Using serial observations to identify predictors of progression to AIDS in the Toronto Sexual Contact Study.

The Toronto Sexual Contact Study comprises a cohort of 249 male sexual contacts of men with HIV disease which has been followed every 3 months for almost 5 years. On enrollment 143 were seropositive and 16 seroconverted during the follow-up period. By 31 December 1989, 41 of the 159 seropositive cohort members had developed AIDS. Using Cox relative risk regression models, we investigated the association of a number of laboratory and clinical variables and progression to AIDS. Fixed covariate models examined laboratory variables from the enrollment visit of cohort members, with time calculated from this date. In models assessing time dependent covariates, time was calculated from the estimated date of HIV infection. In the univariate models of either fixed or time dependent covariates, many variables were significantly associated with risk of progression to AIDS (T4 cell count, T4/T8 ratio, blastogenic responses to phytohemagglutinin, concanavalin A, and pokeweed mitogen, serum IgA, appearance of p24 antigen, and the development of oral hairy leukoplakia, thrush, or herpes zoster). Appearance of persistent generalized lymphadenopathy was not associated with increased risk of progression. In the multivariate model which evaluated fixed laboratory covariates, T4/T8 ratio, IgA level, and PHA response at enrollment were significantly associated with elevated risk.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Milk nasendoscopy in the assessment of dysphagia.

The bedside assessment of dysphagia may be difficult, due to the inability to witness the act of swallowing directly. The milk test described in this paper gives a good assessment of swallowing, is cheap and easily portable and allows an instant decision to be made without recourse to special investigations.     

In vivo biological validation and biophysical modeling of the sensitivity and positive accuracy of endocrine peak detection. II. The follicle-stimulating hormone pulse signal

Despite interest in the in vivo control of gonadotropin release, valid assessment of the physiological regulation of the pulsatile secretion of the gonadotropin FSH has been hampered by the uncertain validity and reliability of available FSH peak detection algorithms. Difficulties in identifying FSH peaks accurately are believed to arise in part because of the slow metabolic clearance of this glycoprotein hormone. Here, we have used two complementary strategies to test the validity of FSH pulse detection. First, by means of a computer-assisted mathematical model for simulating episodic hormone secretion, we evaluated the effects of various putative FSH secretory pulse amplitudes and half-lives on the sensitivity and positive accuracy of peak detection. Secondly, we used an in vivo primate animal model, in which presumptively true FSH pulses were evaluated independently by continuous electrophysiological monitoring of mediobasal hypothalamic multiunit activity. These two approaches allowed us to define optimal pulse analysis parameters that yield maximal sensitivity and positive accuracy for detecting FSH peaks in synthetic and biological time series. We found (as predicted intuitively) that increasing half-times of hormone disappearance decrease both the sensitivity and positive accuracy of peak detection for any given peak detection thresholds and hormone secretory amplitudes. However, adequately sampled episodic FSH time series could be analyzed for FSH pulsatility by an appropriately constrained, objective computerized algorithm with reasonable (less than 10-15%) false negative and false positive errors, such that resultant sensitivity and positive accuracy exceed 85-90%. Of interest, computer simulations and the in vivo animal model exhibited similar discriminative capabilities. We conclude that increasing half-times of hormone (e.g. FSH) removal do impair hormone peak detection sensitivity and positive accuracy. Nevertheless, gonadotropin time series can be analyzed for FSH pulsatility in a valid manner with adequately constrained false negative and false positive error rates.     

Antitumor xenograft activity with a conjugate of a Vinca derivative and the squamous carcinoma-reactive monoclonal antibody PF1/D

The human squamous carcinoma-reactive murine monoclonal antibody PF1/D was used to derive a conjugate with the Vinca derivative 4-desacetylvinblastine-3-carboxyhydrazide (PF1/D-DAVLBHYD). This immunoconjugate was shown to be largely aggregate free and there was no loss of immunoreactivity postconjugation. When tested in vivo in a 3-day-established human squamous carcinoma nude mouse xenograft model, the PF1/D-DAVLBHYD conjugate eliminated tumor growth with three injections (days 3, 6, and 9) at 2 mg/kg Vinca content. Significant tumor suppression was also observed with 0.5 mg/kg conjugate doses. In contrast, free PF1/D antibody had minimal antitumor activity and no activity was seen with identical doses of a control non-tumor-binding IgG-DAVLBHYD conjugate. Together, these data demonstrate the specificity of the PF1/D-DAVLBHYD antitumor effects.     

Initial two-year results of the Oregon Liver Transplantation Program

During the first 24 months of the Oregon Liver Transplantation Program, which began in October 1988, 94 patients were formally evaluated and 47 adults underwent 54 liver transplantations. Thirty-four percent of patients were veterans. The recipient operation lasted a mean of 7.4 hours (range: 4 to 16 hours). Veno-venous bypass was used routinely at first but selectively later (7 of the last 26 cases), resulting in reduced operating time. Hepatic artery reconstruction was end-to-end anastomosis in 52 cases and iliac conduit in 2. No arterial thrombosis occurred. Biliary reconstruction was choledochocholedochostomy in 83% and choledochojejunostomy in 17%. Biliary complications occurred in 28%. Operative mortality was 2%, and 1-year actual survival was 80%. Patients with hepatitis B fared worse, with four of six dying at a mean of 7.6 months. Overall, the median hospital stay was 30 days. Patients surviving more than 3 months had a mean Karnofsky score of 82%. No significant difference in outcome was noted in patients receiving prophylactic OKT3 monoclonal antibody (used in 45%) versus conventional immunosuppressive therapy. Overall, allograft rejection occurred in 55% of patients. Retransplantation was required in seven patients, three for primary graft nonfunction, two for uncontrolled rejection during induction therapy with OKT3, and two for graft failure secondary to recurrent hepatitis B.     

Strut fixation of an extensive flail chest

The indications for and preferred approaches to operative stabilization of posttraumatic chest wall instability are uncertain. We suggest this simple, rapid, and effective approach to surgical stabilization by Luque rod strutting of the flail segment when operation is required.