Circumcision Status and Time to Sexual Debut Among Youth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Six Demographic and Health Surveys

This paper examines the relationship between circumcision status and timing of sexual debut among unmarried youth in Sub-Saharan Africa using Demographic and Health Surveys. Results from survival analysis indicate that the association between circumcision and timing of first sex is place and context specific. Compared to uncircumcised, circumcised men in Rwanda, Uganda and Namibia hasten sexual initiation, whilst circumcised youth in Ethiopia and Mali delayed sex initiation. In Togo however, we found parity in timing to sexual debut. Our multivariate results reveal that, knowledge of HIV/AIDS risk and educational level also feed into the association between circumcision and timing of sex initiation- implying that efforts to prevent new HIV infection through circumcision could benefit from a proper understanding of how diverse set of factors interact in specific contexts to shape youth’s decisions to initiate early sex.     

A stochastic model of acute-care decisions based on patient and provider heterogeneity

The primary cause of preventable death in many hospitals is the failure to recognize and/or rescue patients from acute physiologic deterioration (APD). APD affects all hospitalized patients, potentially causing cardiac arrest and death. Identifying APD is difficult, and response timing is critical - delays in response represent a significant and modifiable patient safety issue. Hospitals have instituted rapid response systems or teams (RRT) to provide timely critical care for APD, with thresholds that trigger the involvement of critical care expertise. The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) was developed to define these thresholds. However, current triggers are inconsistent and ignore patient-specific factors. Further, acute care is delivered by providers with different clinical experience, resulting in quality-of-care variation. This article documents a semi-Markov decision process model of APD that incorporates patient and provider heterogeneity. The model allows for stochastically changing health states, while determining patient subpopulation-specific RRT-activation thresholds. The objective function minimizes the total time associated with patient deterioration and stabilization; and the relative values of nursing and RRT times can be modified. A case study from January 2011 to December 2012 identified six subpopulations. RRT activation was optimal for patients in “slightly concerning” health states (NEWS?>?0) for all subpopulations, except surgical patients with low risk of deterioration for whom RRT was activated in “concerning” states (NEWS?>?4). Clustering methods identified provider clusters considering RRT-activation preferences and estimation of stabilization-related resource needs. Providers with conservative resource estimates preferred waiting over activating RRT. This study provides simple practical rules for personalized acute care delivery.     

Accessing Maternity Care in Rural Canada: There's More to the Story Than Distance to a Doctor

Drawing upon a comparative, qualitative study of the experiences of rural women accessing maternity care in two Canadian provinces, we demonstrate that availability of services, having economic and informational resources to access the services offered, and the appropriateness of those services in terms of gender, continuity of care, confidentiality, quality of care, and cultural fit are key to an accurate understanding of health care access. We explore the implications of living rurally on each of these dimensions, thereby revealing both gaps in and solutions to rural maternity care access that narrower, proximity-based definitions miss.     

Differences in basal and poststimulation glucose homeostasis in nondiabetic first degree relatives of black and white patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Black Americans (blacks) have a higher prevalence and earlier onset of type 2 diabetes than white Americans (whites). To examine metabolic differences in both races, we measured the basal glucose turnover rates (D-]3-3H]glucose technique) and plasma glucose, insulin, and C-peptide levels before and after an oral glucose load in 24 glucose-tolerant black and 14 white female relatives of patients with type 2 diabetes. Eight black and 8 white female subjects with no family history of diabetes served as controls. Mean fasting and postglucose plasma glucose levels were not significantly different between the black and white relatives and the control subgroups. Mean fasting plasma insulin and C-peptide levels were slightly greater but not significantly different between the relatives. After oral glucose ingestion, mean incremental integrated plasma insulin areas were significantly (P less than 0.02) greater in the black than the white relatives (70 +/- 14 vs. 29 +/- 6 nM.min). In addition, incremental integrated C-peptide areas were greater in the black than the white relatives (303 +/- 55 vs. 115 +/- 33; P less than 0.005). Similarly, we found significantly greater integrated incremental insulin (61 +/- 11 vs. 22 +/- 3 nM.min; P less than 0.02) and C-peptide (248 +/- 58 vs. 47 +/- 16; P less than 0.005) areas in the black than the white controls, respectively. The estimated basal and postglucose hepatic insulin extraction values, expressed as molar ratios of C-peptide and insulin, were not significantly different between the relatives. While basal hepatic insulin extraction was significantly (P less than 0.05) lower in the black controls, the postprandial insulin clearance was not different between the black and white controls. Mean basal hepatic glucose production was greater (P less than 0.02) in the black than the white relatives (2.49 +/- 0.13 vs. 2.02 +/- 0.12 mg/kg.min). Similarly, the black controls had greater hepatic glucose production than the white controls (2.36 +/- 0.15 vs. 1.81 +/- 0.08 mg/kg.min; P less than 0.001). We conclude that basal and poststimulation glucose homeostatic regulation appear to be different in black and white females, regardless of family history of type 2 diabetes.     

Noninvasive Methods for Determining Pulmonary Vascular Function in Children with Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension: Application of a Mechanical Oscillator Model

Objective. Noninvasive diagnostics for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) have traditionally sought to predict main pulmonary artery pressure from qualitative or direct quantitative measures of the flow velocity pattern obtained from spectral Doppler ultrasound examination of the main pulmonary artery. A more detailed quantification of flow velocity patterns in the systemic circuit has been obtained by parameterizing the flow trace with a simple dynamic system model. Here, we investigate such a model's utility as a noninvasive predictor of total right heart afterload and right heart function. Design. Flow velocity and pressure was measured within the main pulmonary artery during right heart catheterization of patients with normal hemodynamics (19 subjects, 20 conditions) and those with PAH undergoing reactivity evaluation (34 patients, 69 conditions). Our model parameters were obtained by least‐squares fitting the model velocity to the measured flow velocity. Results. Five parameter means displayed significant (P < .05) differences between normotensive and hypertensive groups. The model stiffness parameter correlated to actual pulmonary vascular resistance (r = 0.4924), pulmonary vascular stiffness (r = 0.6811), pulmonary flow (r = 0.6963), and stroke work (r = 0.7017), while the model initial displacement parameter had good correlation to stiffness (r = 0.6943) and flow (r = 0.6958). Conclusions. As predictors of total right heart afterload (resistance and stiffness) and right ventricle work, the model parameters of stiffness and initial displacement offer more comprehensive measures of the disease state than previous noninvasive methods and may be useful in routine diagnostic monitoring of patients with PAH.