Increasing the efficiency of Monte Carlo cohort simulations with variance reduction techniques.

The authors discuss techniques for Monte Carlo (MC) cohort simulations that reduce the number of simulation replications required to achieve a given degree of precision for various output measures. Known as variance reduction techniques, they are often used in industrial engineering and operations research models, but they are seldom used in medical models. However, most MC cohort simulations are well suited to the implementation of these techniques. The authors discuss the cost of implementation versus the benefit of reduced replications.     

Serum monitoring of antipsychotic drug levels during concomitant administration of sertraline and antipsychotic medication.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether pharmacokinetic drug interactions occur when sertraline is added to antipsychotic medications. METHOD: Forty-eight patients with remitted DSM-IV schizophrenia and comorbid major depression were randomized to placebo for 6 weeks or sertraline 50 mg for 4 weeks followed by sertraline 50 mg to 100 mg for 2 weeks for nonresponders. Treatment with the patients' usual antipsychotic continued. Weekly clinical outcome assessments occurred for 6 weeks, and serum samples for drug monitoring were collected at Weeks 1, 5, and 6. Serum concentrations of sertraline and antipsychotics were measured with standard assays. RESULTS: In both placebo- and sertraline-treated groups, most patients displayed minor fluctuations in antipsychotic serum levels over 6 weeks. There was no clinical evidence of drug interactions in the sertraline-treated group. CONCLUSIONS: Clinically significant adverse effects did not occur despite variable antipsychotic serum levels with or without sertraline. Concern about pharmacokinetic interactions should not deter the use of sertraline for depression in individuals with schizophrenia.     

Cause-specific and total mortality in the Canterbury (New Zealand) insulin-treated Diabetic Registry population: a 15-year follow-up study.

AIMS: To establish all-cause and cause-specific death rates, and risk factors for mortality in insulin-treated diabetic individuals living in the province of Canterbury, New Zealand. METHODS: Insulin-treated diabetic subjects (n = 995) on the Canterbury Diabetes Registry were followed up over 15 years and vital status determined. Death rates were standardized and hazard regression was used to model the effects of demographic covariates on relative survival time. RESULTS: There were 419 deaths in 11 226.3 person-years of follow-up with a standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of 2.0 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8-2.2). Relative mortality was greatest for the group aged 0-29 years (SMR 3.0 (95% CI 2.4-3.7)). After controlling for diabetes duration and gender, a 10-year increment in age of onset was associated with a 33% decrease in relative hazard (95% CI 29-36%), indicating that excess mortality due to diabetes declines with rising age of onset. After controlling for age of onset and gender, each 10-year increment in duration of diabetes is associated with a 26% decrease in relative hazard (95% CI 24-29%), indicating that with longer survival the mortality hazard approaches the general population hazard. Relative mortalities were increased for cardiovascular, renal and respiratory disease, but not malignancy. Relative mortality from acute metabolic complications was increased in the subgroup with age of onset of diabetes < 30 years and requiring insulin within 1 year of diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality rates are high for insulin-treated diabetic individuals relative to the general population.     

Hospital Episode Statistics and trends in ophthalmic surgery 1998 – 2004

Background  

Hospital episode statistics (HES) is a UK national database for the National Health Service (NHS), now available online. The purpose of this study was to observe trends in ophthalmic operations performed during the period from 1998 to 2004, using this data.     

The influence of different error estimates in the detection of post-operative cognitive dysfunction using reliable change indices with correction for practice effects.

The reliable change index (RCI) expresses change relative to its associated error, and is useful in the identification of post-operative cognitive dysfunction (POCD). This paper examines four common RCIs that each account for error in different ways. Three rules incorporate a constant correction for practice effects and are contrasted with the standard RCI that had no correction for practice. These rules are applied to 160 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery who completed neuropsychological assessments preoperatively and 1 week post-operatively using error and reliability data from a comparable healthy non-surgical control group. The rules all identify POCD in a similar proportion of patients, but the use of the within subject standard deviation, expressing the effects of random error, as an error estimate is a theoretically appropriate denominator when a constant error correction, removing the effects of systematic error, is deducted from the numerator in a RCI.     

Reduction of embryonic intracellular pH: a potential mechanism of acetazolamide-induced limb malformations

The effects of acetazolamide on the developing rodent limb bud were postulated to result from a reduction of intracellular pH (pHi). Embryonic intracellular pH was calculated from transplacental distribution of the weak acid, 5,5'-dimethyloxazolidine-2,4-dione, in teratogenically sensitive (C57BL/6) and resistant (SWV) inbred mice. pHi was reduced by acetazolamide treatment in C57 embryos and limb buds but not in SWV samples. Acetazolamide teratogenesis can be exacerbated by coadministration of amiloride, presumably through inhibition of Na+/H+ exchange attributable to the latter agent. pHi reduction after such treatment was more profound than after acetazolamide alone, providing further support for the central hypothesis. pH was also reduced in other embryonic (embryo plasma) and extraembryonic compartments (exocoelomic fluid, amniotic fluid). pH changes in these compartments could also lead or contribute to abnormal development.     

Calcium, network activity, and the role of NMDA channels in synaptic plasticity in vitro.

Functionally effective neuronal circuits are constructed through a competitive process that requires patterned neuronal activity elicited by structured input from the environment. To explore the mechanisms of this activity-dependent synaptic restructuring, we have developed an in vitro preparation of mouse spinal cord neurons maintained in a 3-chambered cell-culture system. Sensory afferents that received chronic electrical stimulation for 3-5 d developed stronger synaptic connections than unstimulated afferents converging onto the same postsynaptic spinal cord neuron. Exposure to 100 microM DL-2-amino-5-phosphonovaleric acid (APV), an antagonist of the NMDA channel, during the stimulation period prevented the competitive advantage associated with electric stimulation. However, when APV was applied with a higher concentration of calcium (3 mM), activity-dependent synaptic plasticity was no longer inhibited by the NMDA receptor antagonist. This reversal of APV block of the plasticity was not impaired by reducing transmitter release with 3 mM magnesium (in addition to 3 mM calcium and APV). A suppressant effect of APV on spontaneous activity was observed, which was attributed to loss of the NMDA component of the EPSP. Activity-dependent plasticity was also blocked if spontaneous activity was suppressed with dilute tetrodotoxin (TTX; 5-10 nM), a dosage that reduces excitability of neurons but is insufficient to block sodium-dependent action potentials. These experiments bring into question how NMDA channel activation is involved in the processes of synaptic remodeling during development. The data suggest that postsynaptic activity is required for synaptic remodeling, but this activity need not involve NMDA receptor activation specifically for activity-evoked synaptic plasticity. Instead, the mechanism for plasticity appears to operate through calcium-dependent processes in general.