Thirty-Day Readmission After Laparoscopic Sleeve Gastrectomy—a Predictable Event?

Background

Thirty-day readmission post-bariatric surgery is used as a metric for surgical quality and patient care. We sought to examine factors driving 30-day readmissions after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG).

Methods

We reviewed 1257 LSG performed between March 2012 and June 2014. Readmitted and nonreadmitted patients were compared in their demographics, medical histories, and index hospitalizations. Multivariable regression was used to identify risk factors for readmission.

Results

Forty-five (3.6 %) patients required 30-day readmissions. Forty-seven percent were readmitted with malaise (emesis, dehydration, abdominal pain) and 42 % with technical complications (leak, bleed, mesenteric vein thrombosis). Factors independently associated with 30-day readmission include index admission length of stay (LOS) ≥3 days (OR 2.54, CI?=?[1.19, 5.40]), intraoperative drain placement (OR 3.11, CI?=?[1.58, 6.13]), postoperative complications (OR 8.21, CI?=?[2.33, 28.97]), and pain at discharge (OR?8.49, CI?=?[2.37, 30.44]). Patients requiring 30-day readmissions were 72 times more likely to have additional readmissions by 6 months (OR?72.4, CI?=?[15.8, 330.5]).

Conclusions

The 30-day readmission rate after LSG is 3.6 %, with near equal contributions from malaise and technical complications. LOS, postoperative complications, drain placement, and pain score can aid in identifying patients at increased risk for 30-day readmissions. Patients should be educated on postoperative hydration and pain management, so readmissions can be limited to technical complications requiring acute inpatient management.

     

Epidemic forecasts as a tool for public health: interpretation and (re)calibration

Objective: Recent studies have used Bayesian methods to predict timing of influenza epidemics many weeks in advance, but there is no documented evaluation of how such forecasts might support the day‐to‐day operations of public health staff. Methods: During the 2015 influenza season in Melbourne, Australia, weekly forecasts were presented at Health Department surveillance unit meetings, where they were evaluated and updated in light of expert opinion to improve their accuracy and usefulness. Results: Predictive capacity of the model was substantially limited by delays in reporting and processing arising from an unprecedented number of notifications, disproportionate to seasonal intensity. Adjustment of the predictive algorithm to account for these delays and increased reporting propensity improved both current situational awareness and forecasting accuracy. Conclusions: Collaborative engagement with public health practitioners in model development improved understanding of the context and limitations of emerging surveillance data. Incorporation of these insights in a quantitative model resulted in more robust estimates of disease activity for public health use. Implications for public health: In addition to predicting future disease trends, forecasting methods can quantify the impact of delays in data availability and variable reporting practice on the accuracy of current epidemic assessment. Such evidence supports investment in systems capacity.     

Treatment of non-resectable hepatocellular carcinoma with autologous tumor-pulsed dendritic cells

BACKGROUND: The response of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to therapy is often disappointing and new modalities of treatment are clearly needed. Active immunotherapy based on the injection of autologous dendritic cells (DC) co-cultured ex vivo with tumor antigens has been used in pilot studies in various malignancies such as melanoma and lymphoma with encouraging results. METHODS: In the present paper, the preparation and exposure of patient DC to autologous HCC antigens and re-injection in an attempt to elicit antitumor immune responses are described. RESULTS: Therapy was given to two patients, one with hepatitis C and one with hepatitis B, who had large, multiple HCC and for whom no other therapy was available. No significant side-effects were observed. The clinical course was unchanged in one patient, who died a few months later. The other patient, whose initial prognosis was considered poor, is still alive and well more than 3 years later with evidence of slowing of tumor growth based on organ imaging. CONCLUSIONS: It is concluded that HCC may be a malignancy worthy of DC trials and sufficient details in the present paper are given for the protocol to be copied or modified.     

Acquired skewing of X-chromosome inactivation patterns in myeloid cells of the elderly suggests stochastic clonal loss with age

More frequent skewing of X-chromosome inactivation patterns (XCIPs) occurs in the white blood cells of elderly females; this study was performed to determine whether this occurs in myeloid or lymphoid lineages. XCIPs were analysed in purified neutrophils and T cells from 80 females  > 75 years and the results were compared with 23 cord blood and 94 younger adult blood samples. The degree of XCIP skewing in cord blood and younger adult blood cells was similar, with 3–4% having  > 90% expression of one allele. Skewing was markedly increased in the neutrophils of elderly females, with 33% having  > 90% expression of one allele ( P < 0.0001). Extreme skewing was present in only 9% of the elderly T-cell samples and no evidence of T-cell clonality was found by PCR analysis of the TCRγ gene. The high level of acquired skewing of the XCIPs in myeloid cells of the elderly suggests that with time there is a change in stem cell usage with stochastic loss of some of the original stem cells. This has major implications for the use of XCIP analysis in the diagnosis of myeloid malignancies in the elderly and for gene therapy into haemopoietic stem cells.     

HIV infection and chronic chest disease as risk factors for bacterial pneumonia: a case-control study

OBJECTIVES: To investigate risk factors for severe acute pneumonia in South African gold miners. DESIGN AND METHODS: An inclusive case-control study drawn from a predefined cohort of 4762 miners of known HIV status. Cases were defined by hospital admission meeting the clinical and radiological case definitions for pneumonia during 1998. Controls were randomly selected from the starting cohort. Considered risk factors were: HIV infection, smoking, age, occupation, previous tuberculosis, and chronic premorbid chest disease caused by post-tuberculous lung disease or silicosis (International Labour Office grades 1/0 and above) defined from routine screening radiographs taken before the start of the study. RESULTS: There were 109 cases and 400 controls. HIV infection [odds ratio (OR) 31.6], previous tuberculosis (OR 2.4), and an abnormal premorbid radiograph (OR 2.8) were each significantly more prevalent in cases than controls, whereas other variables were not. On multivariate analysis, HIV infection [OR 30.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 12.1-78.1] and an abnormal premorbid radiograph (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.1-4.8) remained significant risk factors. Median CD4 cell counts in HIV-positive cases with and without abnormal premorbid radiographs were 185 and 162 x 106/l, making confounding between chronic chest disease and the extent of immunocompromise an unlikely explanation for this association. CONCLUSION: HIV infection and an abnormal premorbid chest radiograph are both strong risk factors for pneumonia in miners. Pre-existing chronic chest disease may be an important risk factor for HIV-associated pneumonia in other populations, and if so, is an additional indication for considering antibiotic prophylaxis in HIV-positive individuals.     

Laparoscopic gastric banding resolves the metabolic syndrome and improves lipid profile over five years in obese patients with body mass index 30–40 kg/m

Background

Obesity, metabolic syndrome (MS) and dyslipidemia are independent risk factors for cardiovascular disease. Bariatric surgery is increasingly recognized as an effective intervention for improving each of these risk factors. There are sparse data on the long-term durability of metabolic changes associated with bariatric surgery, in particular with laparoscopic gastric banding (LGB). Our objective was to evaluate the durability of metabolic changes associated with LGB in nonmorbid obesity.

Methods

Fifty obese patients (BMI 30–40) with ≥1 obesity-related comorbidity were prospectively followed for five years. At follow-up, subjects underwent fasting blood measures, including lipid NMR spectroscopy and standard lipid profile.

Results

Forty-seven patients (45 female, mean age 43.8 years) completed four years follow-up (46 completed five years). Baseline BMI was 35.1 ± 2.6. Subjects exhibited mean weight loss of 22.3 ± 7.9 kg (22.9 ± 7.4%) at year one and maintained this (19.8 ± 10.2%) over five years. At baseline, 43% (20/47) of subjects met criteria for MS. This was reduced to 15% (7/47) at year one and remained reduced over five years (13%, 6/46) (p < 0.001). There were reductions in triglycerides (p < 0.001) and increases in HDL cholesterol (HDL-C, p < 0.001) and HDL particle concentration (p = 0.02), with a trend toward increased HDL particle size (p = 0.06) at year five. Changes in triglycerides and HDL-C were more prominent in patients with MS at baseline, but unassociated with weight loss or waist circumference. Changes in HDL particle size and concentration were not associated with MS status, weight loss, waist circumference, or statin use.

Conclusions

LGB produces significant weight loss, resolution of MS and changes in lipid profile suggestive of beneficial HDL remodeling. These changes persist five years following LGB.     

Inhibitory saccadic dysfunction is associated with cerebellar injury in multiple sclerosis

Cognitive dysfunction is common in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). Saccadic eye movement paradigms such as antisaccades (AS) can sensitively interrogate cognitive function, in particular, the executive and attentional processes of response selection and inhibition. Although we have previously demonstrated significant deficits in the generation of AS in MS patients, the neuropathological changes underlying these deficits were not elucidated. In this study, 24 patients with relapsing–remitting MS underwent testing using an AS paradigm. Rank correlation and multiple regression analyses were subsequently used to determine whether AS errors in these patients were associated with: (i) neurological and radiological abnormalities, as measured by standard clinical techniques, (ii) cognitive dysfunction, and (iii) regionally specific cerebral white and gray‐matter damage. Although AS error rates in MS patients did not correlate with clinical disability (using the Expanded Disability Status Score), T2 lesion load or brain parenchymal fraction, AS error rate did correlate with performance on the Paced Auditory Serial Addition Task and the Symbol Digit Modalities Test, neuropsychological tests commonly used in MS. Further, voxel‐wise regression analyses revealed associations between AS errors and reduced fractional anisotropy throughout most of the cerebellum, and increased mean diffusivity in the cerebellar vermis. Region‐wise regression analyses confirmed that AS errors also correlated with gray‐matter atrophy in the cerebellum right VI subregion. These results support the use of the AS paradigm as a marker for cognitive dysfunction in MS and implicate structural and microstructural changes to the cerebellum as a contributing mechanism for AS deficits in these patients. Hum Brain Mapp 35:2310–2319, 2014. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc .