Incidence and determinants of moderate COPD (GOLD II) in male smokers aged 40–65 years: 5-year follow up

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major health problem with an estimated prevalence of 10-15% among smokers. The incidence of moderate COPD, as defined by the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD), is largely unknown. AIM: To determine the cumulative incidence of moderate COPD (forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity ratio [FEV1/FVC] <0.7 and FEV1 <80% predicted) and its association with patient characteristics in a cohort of male smokers. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: The city of IJsselstein, a small town in the Netherlands. METHOD: Smokers aged 40-65 years who were registered with local GPs, participated in a study to identify undetected COPD. Baseline measurements were taken in 1998 of 399 smokers with normal spirometry (n = 292) or mild COPD (FEV1/FVC <0.7 and FEV1 >or=80% predicted, n = 107) and follow-up measurements were conducted in 2003. RESULTS: After a mean follow-up of 5.2 years, 33 participants developed moderate COPD (GOLD II). This showed an estimated cumulative incidence of 8.3% (95% CI = 5.8 to 11.4) and a mean annual incidence of 1.6%. No participant developed severe airflow obstruction. The risk of developing moderate COPD in smokers with baseline mild COPD (GOLD I) was five times higher than in those with baseline normal spirometry (one in five versus one in 25). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of middle-aged male smokers, the estimated cumulative incidence of moderate COPD (GOLD II) over 5 years was relatively high (8.3%). Age, childhood smoking, cough, and one or more GP contacts for lower respiratory tract problems were independently associated with incident moderate COPD.     

Progression and regression of cervical lesions: Review of smears from women followed without initial biopsy or treatment

Cervical smears were reviewed from patients in whom a cytological abnormality was followed, after an interval without interference, either by regression to `negative' or else by progression to invasive carcinoma. Twenty-eight cases were from a previously analysed series with positive smears and an interval of at least two years before investigation, resulting from refusal or failure to trace. Slides were also reviewed from 25 cases in which `positive' smears had regressed to negative without escaping from surveillance, and from 10 patients subsequently developing invasive carcinoma whose previous slides, taken several years earlier, showed abnormalities on review. None of these 63 patients had any biopsy or other surgical procedure to the cervix between the initial smear and the outcome.

Slides showing `superficial cell dyskaryosis' and/or well-differentiated `parabasal cell dyskaryosis' were found only among the groups with subsequent regression. Those showing dissociated poorly differentiated dyskaryotic parabasal cells regressed to negative in two cases and progressed to invasion in nine. This suggests that many examples of spontaneous regression correspond to mild dysplasias which are not precancerous, and overdiagnosis must often have resulted in unnecessary surgical procedures in the past.

`Regressing' and `progressing' groups both included cases in which the spatula had removed coherent pieces of undifferentiated epithelium. These are difficult to interpret cytologically. In nine of them (including four which regressed) the cytological picture was that of carcinoma in situ. The remainder (14 cases) were probably examples of reserve cell hyperplasia, and it is noteworthy that, of the 21 cases subsequently progressing to invasive carcinoma, five were preceded by appearances of this type. It is concluded that cell aggregates suggesting an unusual degree of reserve cell hyperplasia are a danger signal and require careful surveillance.

     

Changes in food intake and activity after quitting smoking

Quitting smoking often results in weight gain. The causes of the gain are not known. The present study evaluated changes in calories, total sugars, sucrose, fat, protein, and nonsugar carbohydrates as well as changes in activity levels after quitting smoking. Ninety-five subjects were randomly assigned to either early (Week 2) or late (Week 6) quit dates. Subjects were assessed on weight, food intake, activity levels, and smoking levels at baseline, at Weeks 4 and 8, and at Weeks 12 and 26 postquit. The results indicated significant increases in calories, sucrose, and fats 2 weeks after the quit date. Changes for total sugars were less consistent. Activity levels did not change significantly. Early caloric increases predicted weight gain at 26 weeks for abstinent women. No relation was found for abstinent men, but interpretation of this finding is weakened by a small subsample size. Abstinent subjects gained over 9 lb by 26 weeks postquit. Despite this gain, Week 26 results showed that caloric intake for abstinent women was approximately equal to that observed at baseline, whereas that for abstinent men had dropped significantly.     

Fibrillary renal deposits and nephritis.

Fibrillary renal deposits and nephritis. The authors have studied 8 patients whose glomeruli contain abundant fibrils in their mesangial matrix and basement membranes. Although the location of these fibrils is very similar to that of amyloid, they are about twice the size of amyloid fibrils, averaging 20 nm in width, and fail to react as amyloid does with special stains. Immunofluorescence-microscopic studies are usually positive with antiserums to IgG, often IgM, and in some cases IgA, and also kappa and lambda light chains, C3, and C4. The fibrils are associated with diffuse mesangial widening and increased mesangial matrix strands. Although peripheral glomerular capillary walls appear to be spared initially, their eventual involvement leads to glomerular capillary collapse and glomerular obsolescence. Crescent formation occurred in 5 cases, focally in 3 and diffusely in 2. Tubular basement membrane involvement was seen in 1 case. These patients exhibit hematuria, and proteinuria, and often hypertension and renal insufficiency. Proteinuria was in the nephrotic range in 3 patients in whom involvement of glomerular capillary basement membranes was extensive. Unless electron microscopy is applied to renal biopsies, these cases may be considered to represent mesangiocapillary or rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis, or amyloidosis. The nature of these fibrils is as yet not determined. It is likely that they have been called "atypical amyloidosis" in the past.     

Variance in practice emergency medical admission rates: can it be explained?

BACKGROUND: Emergency admission rates have been rising steadily in recent years, with the majority of the increase owing to emergency medical admissions. Possible causative factors include changing demography, incidence of disease, admission thresholds, multiple admissions, and appropriateness of admission. AIM: To investigate the impact of patient and practice factors on variance in general practices' emergency medical admissions rates. DESIGN OF STUDY: Multiple regression analysis relating emergency medical admission rates of general practices to patient and practice characteristics. SETTING: The study was conducted between 1996 and 1997 in the acute hospital trust serving the study area, Dundee, Scotland. METHOD: Scottish Morbidity Record 1 (SMR1) data, which contains details of all hospital consultant episodes, was used to calculate individual practices emergency medical admission rates. These rates were then standardised to an expected value of 100. Forward selection was used to find a suitable multiple regression model to predict each practice's emergency medical admission rate from practice and patient variables. RESULTS: Crude emergency medical admission rates for general practices showed a 1.8-fold variation between the top and bottom deciles. The deprivation status and age of patients explained 42% of the variance in admission rates (64% with the exclusion of one practice that had a poor fit to the model). After correcting for age and deprivation there was a 1.2-fold variation in general practices' emergency medical admission rates. CONCLUSION: The most important factors in explaining variance in general practices' emergency medical admission rates are socio-demographic, with age and deprivation explaining a large proportion of the variation. We found no evidence to support the contention that general practice factors were linked with admission rates.     

Comparative baseline levels of mercury, Hsp 70 and Hsp 60 in subsistence fish from the Yukon-Kuskokwim delta region of Alaska

In subsistence fish; northern pike (Esox lucius), burbot (Lota lota), whitefish (Coregonus nelsoni), grayling (Thymallus arcticus) and sheefish (Stenodus lencichthys), we determined the Hsp 60 and Hsp 70 levels in 31 samples from adult fish gills. A dot-blot analysis using antibodies to either Hsp 70 or Hsp 60 showed the average Hsp 70 concentration was 9.1 microg/mg protein, while the average Hsp 60 concentration was 147.4 microg/mg protein. Mercury levels in muscle tissue in these fish averaged 0.382 ppm. Using a subset of samples (n = 24), we determined that the major component in the muscle of Alaskan subsistence fish was methyl mercury. No correlation was observed between Hsp 60 or Hsp 70 expression in gill tissue and mercury concentrations in muscle tissue. Hsp 60 and Hsp 70 protein levels in the gills were correlated.     

The ATAC ('Arimidex', Tamoxifen, Alone or in Combination) adjuvant breast cancer trial: baseline endometrial sub-protocol data on the effectiveness of transvaginal ultrasonography and diagnostic hysteroscopy

BACKGROUND: The 'Arimidex', Tamoxifen, Alone or in Combination (ATAC) trial is a randomized, double-blind trial comparing anastrozole ('Arimidex'), alone or in combination with tamoxifen, relative to tamoxifen alone as 5 year adjuvant treatment for post-menopausal women with early breast cancer. Since tamoxifen is associated with endometrial pathology, the ATAC endometrial sub-protocol was initiated to establish the background prevalence of intrauterine pathology, and to assess prospectively the incidence and nature of intrauterine changes following endocrine therapy. Another aim was to provide data from which advice could be generated on the best endometrium screening method for patients receiving tamoxifen. METHODS: Patients underwent endometrial assessments at entry to the sub-protocol. The baseline investigations comprised transvaginal ultrasound scanning (TVUS), a hysteroscopy and an endometrial biopsy. RESULTS: A total of 285 gynaecologically asymptomatic women from 31 centres in 10 countries entered the endometrial sub-protocol. The mean uterine volume was 47.7 cm3. The median endometrial thickness overall was 3 mm. Twenty-four histologically confirmed, pathological changes were observed. Twenty-three pathologies were confirmed by TVUS, and 21 were identified by hysteroscopy and confirmed by histopathology. Women with or without intrauterine pathology had median endometrial thickness of 5 and 3 mm respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of pathology was associated with increased endometrial thickness. The relative sensitivity and specificity of hysteroscopy and endometrial thickness for the diagnosis of endometrial pathology was comparable to other studies. If screening of the endometrium prior to treatment is appropriate, this study supports the use of an endometrial thickness of 3 mm, as assessed by TVUS, as a threshold for needing further investigation. This study demonstrates that if the endometrial thickness is >3 mm, hysteroscopy and biopsy is the optimal method of detecting intrauterine pathology in women with breast cancer who are about to commence endocrine treatment.