Can Machine Learning Methods Produce Accurate and Easy-to-Use Preoperative Prediction Models of One-Year Improvements in Pain and Functioning After Knee Arthroplasty?

BackgroundApproximately 15%-20% of total knee arthroplasty (TKA) patients do not experience clinically meaningful improvements. We sought to compare the accuracy and parsimony of several machine learning strategies for developing predictive models of failing to experience minimal clinically important differences in patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) 1 year after TKA.MethodsPatients (N = 587) in 3 large Veteran Health Administration facilities completed PROMs before and 1 year after TKA (92% follow-up). Preoperative PROMs and electronic health record data were used to develop and validate models to predict failing to experience at least a minimal clinically important difference in Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) Total, KOOS JR, and KOOS subscales (Pain, Symptoms, Activities of Daily Living, Quality of Life, and recreation). Several machine learning strategies were used for model development. Ten-fold cross-validation and bootstrapping were used to produce measures of overall accuracy (C-statistic, Brier Score). The sensitivity and specificity of various predicted probability cut-points were examined.ResultsThe most accurate models produced were for the Activities of Daily Living, Pain, Symptoms, and Quality of Life subscales of the KOOS (C-statistics 0.76, 0.72, 0.72, and 0.71, respectively). Strategies varied substantially in terms of the numbers of inputs required to achieve similar accuracy, with none being superior for all outcomes.ConclusionModels produced in this project provide estimates of patient-specific improvements in major outcomes 1 year after TKA. Integrating these models into clinical decision support, informed consent and shared decision making could improve patient selection, education, and satisfaction.Level of EvidenceLevel III, diagnostic study.     

Significance and clinical impact of routinely tested urinary ethyl glucuronide after liver transplantation – development of a risk score

Alcohol abuse after liver transplantation can seriously impact graft and patient survival. However, to date, there is no defined standard procedure to identify patients consuming alcohol after liver transplantation. The aim of this study was to analyze the diagnostic value and clinical impact of routinely measured urinary ethyl glucuronide (uEtG) – a metabolite of ethanol – in patients after liver transplantation. Data of 362 consecutive patients after liver transplantation who visited the University Hospital of Tuebingen for outpatient follow-up were analyzed. Forty-eight patients (13%) displayed positive uEtG results. The uEtG positive group contained significantly more patients with pretransplant alcoholic liver disease. However, two thirds of the uEtG positive patients had no history of pretransplant alcoholic liver disease. Several clinical parameters were significantly associated with positive uEtG. In order to enable a more cost-effective application of uEtG in the future, a clinical risk score was developed (specificity 0.95). In conclusion, routine testing for uEtG reveals a considerable percentage of patients practicing alcohol intake after liver transplantation. Application of our proposed risk score could help focusing uEtG testing on patients at risk.     

A pilot study of recombinant interferon beta (IFN-βser) in patients with recurrent glioma

Recombinant interferon beta (IFN-_ser) has been administered by intravenous bolus injection three times weekly at a dose of 90 × 10⁶ IU to 14, patients with recurrent malignant glioma in an ongoing study. The treatment period has ranged from 1 to 40 weeks. The most common adverse experiences were fever, chills, malaise, and headache. Fever, chills and headache were worse with the first two doses and were usually relieved with acetaminophen. All patients tolerated subsequent treatments without any difficulties. No neurologic or hematologic toxicities were observed. Of ten evaluable patients, five had progressive disease in 4 to 8 weeks; three had stable disease for 12 to 21 weeks; one has had a minor response for 13 weeks; and one has had a complete resolution of tumor for 150 + weeks. IFN-_ser appears to have activity in human glioma and is well tolerated at this dosage and schedule.     

Direct current pulse elicits basilar membrane vibration in guinea pigs

Since the lagos, the elec~lity of the cochleahas attheted much attention. It has been demonshatedthat the outer air cells (OHCs) Play a key role in theeleC~hty of the COChiea. EvanS et al if] found thatthe OHCs exhiliited in cairo length change in a Voltagedependent manner upon electric stimulation, applying thatOHCs assess electIO~mecbocal ~sduchon ability,which motivates the intwry into the causality betWeenOHC electIDmotility and basilar membrane (BM) vibrationand fulther, into th…     

Solution properties and light scattering measurements of poly(2,5-pyrimidinediylterephthalamide)

A Series of chains of different molecular weight of the fully aromatic polyamide poly(2,5-pyrimidinediylterephthalamide)

1 IUPAC name: poly(2,5-pyrimidinediyliminoterephthaloylimino).

(PPYMT) in the solvents 96 wt.-% sulfuric acid and methanesulfonic acid have been characterized by means of static and dynamic light scattering, dilute solution viscosimetry and measurements of the critical polymer volume fraction for the onset of a nematic phase. The experimental results are in good agreement with a model of stiff worm-like chains for the solution conformation of PPYMT, and the persistence length is estimated to be ca. 150 Å (lower limit: 50–100 Å).     

Differences in the response of Sprague-Dawley and Lewis rats to bezafibrate: The hypolipidemic effect and the induction of peroxisomal enzymes

The effects of bezafibrate administered at 10 and 50 mg/kg/day for 7 days to male Sprague-Dawley (SD) and Lewis rats were investigated in order to determine the interrelation between the changes in serum and hepatic lipid contents and activities of selected peroxisomal, microsomal and mitochondrial enzymes in the two rat strains. In both strains, bezafibrate effectively reduced serum and hepatic lipids, increased the liver weight, induced a proliferation of peroxisomes, and selectively elevated the activities of carnitine acetyltransferase and of the enzymes of the peroxisomal -oxidation system. Moreover, immunoblotting revealed that the drug specifically enhanced the concentration of only those peroxisomal enzymes involved in fatty acid -oxidation. The data obtained demonstrate that although the responses initiated by bezafibrate are qualitatively similar in both strains, they differ in their magnitude in a dose-dependent manner, with the Lewis strain exhibiting a more pronounced response than the SD rats. These results show that dose-dependent strain differences as well as the generally known species differences should be taken into account in pharmacological and toxicological evaluations of fibrates in rodents. Furthermore, generalization and extrapolation from rodent studies should be treated with great caution.