Translation of clinical prediction rules for febrile children to primary care practice: an observational cohort study

BackgroundClinical prediction rules (CPRs) to identify children with serious infections lack validation in low-prevalence populations, which hampers their implementation in primary care practice.AimTo evaluate the diagnostic value of published CPRs for febrile children in primary care.MethodAlarm signs of serious infection and clinical management were extracted from routine clinical practice data and manually recoded with a structured electronic data-entry program. Eight CPRs were selected from literature. CPR-variables were matched with alarm signs and CPRs were applied to the GPC-population. ‘Referral to emergency department (ED)’ was used as a proxy outcome measure for ‘serious infection’. CPR performance was assessed by calibration analyses, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the ROC-curve (ROC-area).ResultsA total of 9794 GPC-contacts were eligible, 54% male, median age 2.3 years (interquartile range 1.0–4.6 years) and 8.1% referred to ED. Frequencies of CPR-variables varied from 0.5% (cyanosis, drowsy) to 25% (temperature ≥40°C). Alarm signs frequently included in CPRs were ‘ill appearance’, ‘inconsolable’, and ‘abnormal circulatory or respiratory signs’. The height of the CPR’s predicted risks generally corresponded with being (or not being) referred to the ED in practice. However, calibration-slopes indicated that three CPRs underestimated the risk of serious infection in the GPC-population. Sensitivities ranged from 42% to 54%, specificities from 68% to 89%. ROC-areas ranged from 0.52 to 0.81, with best performance of CPRs for children aged <3 months.ConclusionPublished CPRs performed moderately well in the primary out-of-hours care population. Advice is given on how to improve translation of CPRs to primary care practice.     

Incidence and prevalence of autoimmune hepatitis in the area of the Hospital de Sagunto (Spain)

Thirteen cases of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) were diagnosed from 1990 to 2003 in the area of the Hospital de Sagunto (Valencia, Spain), which attends a population of 112,003 inhabitants aged more than 14 years (54,622 males and 57,381 females). The diagnostic criteria of the International Autoimmune Hepatitis Group were used and patients who, despite having a probable diagnosis of AIH, presented hepatitis C virus infection were excluded. The diagnosis was probable in one patient and definitive in 12. All patients, 11 females and two males aged 45.9 12.2 years (range: 28-66), were classified as AIH type 1. Among the population aged more than 14 years, the mean annual incidence of AIH was 0.83 cases/100,000 inhabitants (95% CI, 0.44-1.42) (range: 0-2.68), showing a significant trend to increase (b = 0.132; p = 0.019). The incidence was higher in women than in men (RR = 5.24; 95% CI, 1.16-23.62). The mean annual incidence was 1.37 (95% CI, 0.68-2.46) (range: 0-3,49) in women and was 0.26 (95% CI, 0.02-0.96) (range: 0-1.83) in men. By age, the maximum mean annual incidence was observed in the group aged 55-64 years (1.6 cases/100,000 inhabitants). The prevalence of AIH in September 2003 was 11.61 cases/100,000 inhabitants aged more than 14 years (95% CI, 6.78-19.86). The prevalence was 3.66 (95% CI, 1-13.35) in men and was 19.17 (95% CI, 10.70-34.33) in women.     

Marrow transplantation with or without donor buffy coat cells for 65 transfused aplastic anemia patients

Sixty-five multiply transfused patients with severe aplastic anemia were given cyclophosphamide followed by grafts anemia were given cyclophosphamide followed by grafts from HLA-identical siblings. The effect of the administration of viable donor buffy coat cells following the marrow inoculum was evaluated with regard to graft rejection and survival. Results in 43 patients so treated are presented along with those in 22 concurrent patients given marrow alone. Most patients given buffy coat had positive in vitro tests of sensitization indicating a high risk for graft rejection, while all but one of the patients given marrow alone had negative tests. Thirty of the 43 (70%) patients given marrow and buffy coat are alive between 10 and 61 mo (median 36) after grafting; 4 died after graft rejection and 6 with acute or chronic graft-versus-host disease (GVHD). Eleven of the 22 (50%) patients given marrow alone are alive between 29 and 65 mo (median 52); 7 died after graft rejection and 3 with GVHD. The addition of buffy coat cell infusions to the marrow inoculum reduced the risk of rejection and increased survival in the currently reported transfused patients when compared to patients grafted before 1976. However, there was an increased risk of chronic GVHD. Recipients of marrow from female donors survived slightly better (73%) than recipients of male marrow (58%).     

Reducing Ventral Tegmental Dopamine D2 Receptor Expression Selectively Boosts Incentive Motivation

Altered mesolimbic dopamine signaling has been widely implicated in addictive behavior. For the most part, this work has focused on dopamine within the striatum, but there is emerging evidence for a role of the auto-inhibitory, somatodendritic dopamine D2 receptor (D2R) in the ventral tegmental area (VTA) in addiction. Thus, decreased midbrain D2R expression has been implicated in addiction in humans. Moreover, knockout of the gene encoding the D2R receptor (Drd2) in dopamine neurons has been shown to enhance the locomotor response to cocaine in mice. Therefore, we here tested the hypothesis that decreasing D2R expression in the VTA of adult rats, using shRNA knockdown, promotes addiction-like behavior in rats responding for cocaine or palatable food. Rats with decreased VTA D2R expression showed markedly increased motivation for both sucrose and cocaine under a progressive ratio schedule of reinforcement, but the acquisition or maintenance of cocaine self-administration were not affected. They also displayed enhanced cocaine-induced locomotor activity, but no change in basal locomotion. This robust increase in incentive motivation was behaviorally specific, as we did not observe any differences in fixed ratio responding, extinction responding, reinstatement or conditioned suppression of cocaine, and sucrose seeking. We conclude that VTA D2R knockdown results in increased incentive motivation, but does not directly promote other aspects of addiction-like behavior.     

The quality of Intensive Care nursing before,during, and after the introduction of nurses without ICU-training

OBJECTIVE: The forecasted shortage of nurses specialized in intensive care seriously threatens the service level in the intensive care units (ICUs). This problem might partly be solved by introducing nurses without ICU experience who can provide basic nursing care to relieve the workload of the ICU nurses. This prospective controlled study was set up to determine whether such an introduction causes a significant shift in the quality of care. DESIGN: A prospective observational study was conducted to measure possible changes in the quality of care by examining the number of predefined nursing errors per patient with an observational instrument, the Critical Nursing Situation Index (CNSI). The CNSI was randomly applied during a preassessment period, an intervention period, and a postassessment period. During the intervention period, 16 full time equivalent nurses were employed with the assignment to assist the ICU nurses with basic care activities for 6 months. SETTING: The study was conducted in a 30-bed ICU at the Academic Medical Center in Amsterdam. ANALYSIS: The effect of the employment of nurses was expressed as the difference in the incidence of CNSI scores between the preassessment period and the intervention period on the basis of the relative risk ratios. The results of the comparison between the preassessment and the postassessment period were used to express the consistency of the measure. RESULTS: The researchers completed 600 CNSI observations in 256 patients in 162 days. Overall incidence rates during the preassessment (13%; 1539/12 222) and postassessment (14%; 1554/11 327) period were comparable, whereas the intervention period showed a diminished overall incidence of 9% (1019/11 395). The overall relative risk (95% CL) was 0.70 (0.56/0.86), indicating a significant risk reduction during the intervention period. CONCLUSION: The employment of nurses without ICU training improved the quality of care. This positive effect was primarily explained by the increase in available nursing time.     

Studies of recombinant plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 in rabbits. Pharmacokinetics and evidence for reactivation of latent plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 in vivo

The pharmacokinetics of human recombinant plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (rPAI-1) was studied in rabbits. Latent rPAI-1 (0-2 units of tissue-type plasminogen activator neutralizing activity per microgram protein); reactivated rPAI-1 (approximately 150 units/micrograms); and chloramine T-oxidized, nonreactivatable rPAI-1 (approximately 0.7 units/microgram) were studied. The pharmacokinetic parameters for the disposition of rPAI-1 antigen after an intravenous bolus injection of 1.0 or 2.5 mg/kg rPAI-1 were very similar for all three forms: the initial volume of distribution was approximately 60 ml/kg, the initial half-life in plasma was 6 minutes, and the plasma clearance was approximately 4 ml/kg/min. The disposition of PAI activity after injection of reactivated rPAI-1 was similar to that of rPAI-1 antigen. Injection of latent rPAI-1 was associated with a nearly threefold increase in the specific activity of circulating PAI-1 from 2 units/micrograms to 5.0 +/- 1.1 units/micrograms (p less than 0.01) within 1 minute, followed by a cumulative 25-fold increase in specific activity over 1 hour (p = 0.01). In contrast, the specific activity of oxidized or reactivated preparations of rPAI-1 did not increase in the first several minutes after injection. These findings support the existence of a fast-acting but low-capacity mechanism for the reactivation of rPAI-1 in vivo.     

HLA antigens and anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA) in inflammatory bowel disease.

HYPOTHESIS AND OBJECTIVES: the hypothesis of this study is that genes involved in the regulation of the immune system, expressed by HLA antigens and anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA), could be determinants of disease susceptibility and behavior in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). MATERIAL AND METHOD: seventy patients with a diagnosis of inflammatory bowel disease, 46 with ulcerative colitis and 24 with Crohn"s disease were included. HLA class I (A and B) and II (DR) antigens were studied by serological techniques. Detection of ANCA was carried out in all patients by an indirect immunofluorescence method. The relative frequencies of HLA antigens were compared with a control group made up of 156 blood donors. The control group for the ANCA study was made up of 100 individuals. RESULTS: we found a significant increased frequency of HLA-DR2 in patients with ulcerative colitis. No significant differences were found between patients with Crohn"s disease and controls regarding HLA typing. We detected a significant increase of HLA-DR3 in extensive forms of ulcerative colitis. Detection of ANCA was positive in 46% of the patients with ulcerative colitis and in 12% of the patients with Crohn"s disease (p <0.05). We observed an increased frequency of ANCA in patients with UC and HLA-DR2 (p = 0.15). CONCLUSIONS: the association found between HLA-DR3 and extensive forms of ulcerative colitis provides evidence of genetic heterogeneity. The relationship between ANCA and HLA phenotype (although not significant) supports this concept.