灾难的时代错误:灾害医学的过去、现在和将来(一)

灾难,特别是地震、火山、洪水以及与战争有关的事件如饥饿和流行性传染病,是人类有记录的经历的一部分。从意大利庞贝的火山爆发,到约翰斯顿的洪水、第二次世界大战和黑色瘟疫,到西班牙流感,都发生了灾难,这不会被传说和历史书籍长期忘却。不过,在20世纪中叶以前,那些灾难的发生相对较少,且相距时间较长。从20世纪中叶以来,灾难的本质发生了变化。从恐怖分子使用“新技术”,到与气候有关的导致亿万美元经济损失的事件,表明这个世界正在发生变化。仅仅在最近的50~60年间,造成多种多样的伤亡事件,其危险性和频率的增加引人注目,并且注定要在接…     

Changes in birthweight distribution from 1973 to 1982 in Addis Ababa

Birthweight data for 29 586 infants born in health-care facilities in Addis Ababa in 1973 and 1982 indicate that 40-60% of all deliveries took place within the formal health-care system. The mean birthweight increased by 107 g from 3075 ± 585 g in 1973 to 3181 ± 550 g in 1982. This increase was uniform over the entire birthweight range but was statistically significant only for infants of low birthweight, the frequency of such births decreasing from 13% to 8% over the period. Stratification of the data by sex indicated a similar increase in birthweight. The stillbirth rate decreased from 51.1 per 1000 births in 1973 to 34.1 per 1000 in 1982, but was statistically significant only for birthweights in the range 3000-4000 g. The shift in birthweight distribution reported here may reflect either changes in the demographic characteristics of the population or unidentified changes in medical treatment.     

Association between the HOXA1 A218G polymorphism and increased head circumference in patients with autism.

BACKGROUND: The HOXA1 gene plays a major role in brainstem and cranial morphogenesis. The G allele of the HOXA1 A218G polymorphism has been previously found associated with autism. METHODS: We performed case-control and family-based association analyses, contrasting 127 autistic patients with 174 ethnically matched controls, and assessing for allelic transmission disequilibrium in 189 complete trios. RESULTS: A, and not G, alleles were associated with autism using both case-control (chi(2) = 8.96 and 5.71, 1 df, p <.005 and <.025 for genotypes and alleles, respectively), and family-based (transmission/disequilibrium test chi(2) = 8.80, 1 df, p <.005) association analyses. The head circumference of 31 patients carrying one or two copies of the G allele displayed significantly larger median values (95.0th vs. 82.5th percentile, p <.05) and dramatically reduced interindividual variability (p <.0001), compared with 166 patients carrying the A/A genotype. CONCLUSIONS: The HOXA1 A218G polymorphism explains approximately 5% of the variance in the head circumference of autistic patients and represents to our knowledge the first known gene variant providing sizable contributions to cranial morphology. The disease specificity of this finding is currently being investigated. Nonreplications in genetic linkage/association studies could partly stem from the dyshomogeneous distribution of an endophenotype morphologically defined by cranial circumference.     

The effect of teacher reaction on student's interactive journal entries

The present study provides an analysis of the effects of particular patterns of teacher respose to students' entries in dialogue journals. It extended on previous research related to teacher-student instructional discourse by concentrating on written, teacher-student interactions. Second grade children who were participating in a daily dialogue journal activity were randomly subjected to two types of response patterns by their teacher. The results show that a teacher's elaborative responses to student journal entries directly lead to increase written output by students coupled with a distinct process #ophigher order#cp orientation of student entries.     

Daily nutrient intake represents a modifiable determinant of nutritional status in chronic haemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: In maintenance haemodialysis patients, daily food intake is changeable; however, its relationship with nutritional status is unexplored. This study aimed to evaluate the isolated, long-term effect of daily nutrient intake on nutritional status in haemodialysis patients. METHODS: We performed a prospective 1-year controlled study in 27 chronic haemodialysis patients, without recognized risk factors for malnutrition. Each day for 1 week, four times in the year, we measured protein nitrogen appearance, and assessed dietary protein (DPI) and energy (DEI) intake from dietary diaries. We compared the nutritional outcome of patients spontaneously reducing nutrient intake below the threshold of 0.8 g/kg body weight/day for DPI and 25 kcal/kg body weight/day for DEI during the week (LOW, n = 8), with controls at adequate nutrient intake (CON, n = 19). An interventional 6-month study was then carried out in LOW to verify the cause-effect relationship. RESULTS: All patients showed a day-by-day reduction of whole nutrient intake during interdialytic period, which was mostly relevant in the third interdialytic day (L3). During the 1-year study, even in the presence of adequate dialysis dose and normal inflammatory indexes, body weight (68.0 +/- 5.5 to 65.8 +/- 5.9 kg), serum albumin (3.96 +/- 0.07 to 3.66 +/- 0.06 g/dl) and creatinine (9.2 +/- 1.1 to 8.1 +/- 0.7 mg/dl) significantly decreased in LOW but not in CON. Diaries evidenced in LOW a reduced number of meals at L3 that was explained by the fear of excessive interdialytic weight gain. During the interventional study, daily DPI and DEI increased at L3; this was associated with a significant increment of body weight, and serum albumin and creatinine levels. CONCLUSIONS: In maintenance haemodialysis patients the persistent, marked reduction of daily nutrient intake, even if limited to a single day of the week, is an independent determinant of reversible impairment of nutritional status.     

Mitozolomide activity on human cancer cells in vitro

The growth inhibitory effects, the reduction of [3H]-TdR incorporation and the perturbation of the cell cycle induced by the new agent mitozolomide on the M14 human melanoma cell line and on the SW626 human ovarian cancer cell line were compared to those produced by BCNU. Flow cytometry showed an interesting difference: at the high concentration mitozolomide induced an accumulation of cells in S middle and S late-G2-M phase of the cell cycle whereas BCNU caused only a block in S late-G2-M. Further studies were aimed at investigating the susceptibility of freshly isolated human ovarian cancer cells to pharmacologically reasonable mitozolomide concentrations. Only in one out of 16 primary cultures of human ovarian cancers was mitozolomide able to induce cell cycle perturbation, suggesting that ovarian carcinoma cells may not be sensitive to this drug.     

Conditional estimation of sensitivity and specificity from a phase 2 biomarker study allowing early termination for futility

Development of a disease screening biomarker involves several phases. In phase 2 its sensitivity and specificity is compared with established thresholds for minimally acceptable performance. Since we anticipate that most candidate markers will not prove to be useful and availability of specimens and funding is limited, early termination of a study is appropriate, if accumulating data indicate that the marker is inadequate. Yet, for markers that complete phase 2, we seek estimates of sensitivity and specificity to proceed with the design of subsequent phase 3 studies. We suggest early stopping criteria and estimation procedures that adjust for bias caused by the early termination option. An important aspect of our approach is to focus on properties of estimates conditional on reaching full study enrollment. We propose the conditional‐UMVUE and contrast it with other estimates, including naïve estimators, the well‐studied unconditional‐UMVUE and the mean and median Whitehead‐adjusted estimators. The conditional‐UMVUE appears to be a very good choice. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Two novel mutations at exon 8 of the Sequestosome 1 (SQSTM1) gene in an Italian series of patients affected by Paget's disease of bone (PDB).

PDB is genetically heterogeneous. Mutations of the sequestosome1 gene have been reported in sporadic and familial forms of Paget's in patients of French Canadian and British descent. Mutational analyses in different ethnic groups are needed to accurately investigate hereditary diseases. We describe two novel mutations of sequestosome1 in 62 Italian sporadic patients, confirming the role of the encoded protein in this disorder. INTRODUCTION: Paget's disease of bone (PDB) is a relatively common disease of bone metabolism reported to affect up to 3% of whites over 55 years of age. The disorder is genetically heterogeneous, and at present, there is scientific evidence that at least eight different human chromosomal loci are correlated with its pathogenesis. Mutations of the sequestosome1 (SQSTM1) gene were identified as responsible for most of the sporadic and familial forms of Paget in patients of French Canadian and British descent. Such mutations were located at exon 7 and 8 levels, encoding for the ubiquitin protein-binding domain (UBA) and representing a mutational hot spot area. MATERIALS AND METHODS: To verify the involvement of this gene in Italian subjects affected by PDB, we performed mutational analysis in 62 sporadic PDB cases. RESULTS: We described three different mutations at exon 8 level: P392L, already described in the French Canadian population and families predominantly of British descendent, and two novel mutations consisting of the amino acid substitutions M404V and G425R. No significant differences in the clinical history of PDB have been observed in patients with SQSTM1 mutations in respect to those without. CONCLUSIONS: Even though our findings suggest a minor involvement of the SQSTM1 gene in the pathogenesis of sporadic Italian Paget's cases, the identification of different significant mutations within the SQSTM1 gene in unrelated, but clinically similar individuals, offers extremely convincing evidence for a causal relationship between this gene and PDB. Longitudinal studies are needed to assess the penetrance of genotype/phenotype correlations. Our findings confirm the evidence of a clustered mutation area at this level in this disorder.     

The detection of internal mammary lymph nodal chain metastases in breast cancer using radiolabelled colloids

The authors report their studies of 39 lymphoscintigraphies performed on patients with breast cancer. They point out that interpretation of scintigraphic imaging must take into account the morphologic variations of the lymph nodes of the internal mammary chains (i.e. single central chain, single central lymph node) and the morphological difference in the symmetry of lymph nodes considered non-pathologic to avoid false positives. The authors retain that lack of visualization of a chain, conspicuous increase in size of a lymph node, asymmetry of pathologic development, or reduced uptake by one or more lymph nodes of the internal mammary chains must be interpreted as a sign of metastatic spread. The authors recommend lymphoscintigraphy as an effective technique in the screening of breast cancer patients for staging, follow-up, restaging, and planning of radiotherapy.