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OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the accuracy of predicting long-term mortality in patients with coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) by using the European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE). METHODS: Medical records of patients with CABG (n=3760) between January 1992 and March 2002 were retrospectively reviewed and their predicted surgical risk was calculated according to the standard (study A) and logistic (study B) EuroSCORE. In study A the patients were divided into six groups: 0-2 (n=610), 3-5 (n=1479), 6-8 (n=1099), 9-11 (n=452), 12-14 (n=103) and >14 (n=17). In study B the patients were divided into seven groups: 0.00-2.00 (n=447), 2.01-5.00 (n=1190), 5.01-10.00 (n=890), 10.01-20.00 (n=686), 20.01-30.00 (n=234), 30.01-60.00 (n=254) and >60.00 (n=59). Long-term survival was obtained by the National Death Index and Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed and compared employing the log-rank test. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed in order to control for pre, intra and postoperative factors and adjusted hazard ratios were calculated for standard and logistic EuroSCORE groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to assess the discrimination ability of the EuroSCORE. RESULTS: In study A there were differences among the six groups in 30-day mortality (0.7%, 1.0%, 3.1%, 4.6%, 13.6% and 23.5%; P<0.001), in major complications (8.5%, 10.4%, 16.2%, 20.4%, 31.1% and 35.3%; P<0.001) as well as in actuarial long-term survival (86.2%, 79.6%, 53.6%, 37.9%, 24.9% and 0% from EuroSCORE 0-2 to >14; P<0.001). In study B there were differences among the seven groups in 30-day mortality (0.9%, 1.1%, 1.2%, 3.6%, 3.4%, 8.7% and 15.3%; P<0.001), major complications (8.5%, 10.1%, 12.1%, 18.4%, 16.2%, 26.0% and 30.5%; P<0.001) as well as in actuarial long-term survival (89.5%, 79.9%, 66.9%, 51.0%, 40.3%, 38.4% and 13.7% from EuroSCORE 0.00-2.00 to >60.00; P<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed that EuroSCORE (standard or logistic) was a statistically significant predictor for long-term mortality, while the area under the ROC curve was 0.72 for either standard or logistic EuroSCORE. CONCLUSION: The predicted surgical risk in CABG patients as calculated by standard or logistic EuroSCORE is a strong predictor for long-term survival in addition to predicting operative survival for which it was originally designed.  相似文献   
4.
Twenty eight tonsillar carcinomas of various histological types were investigated for the presence of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), cytomegalovirus (CMV), and human papillomavirus (HPV) types 6, 11, and 16 by in situ hybridisation using highly stringent procedures. In six cases an autoradiographic signal was obtained in the tumour cell nuclei with the HPV type 16 specific probe. No signal was obtained with any of the other probes. Immunohistochemical investigations with mouse monoclonal antibodies directed against the L1 protein of HPV type and a rabbit antiserum that detects common protein determinants of HPV gave negative results, thus indicating latent infection. Furthermore, a series of tonsils from controls with comparable age distribution was negative by both in situ hybridisation and immunohistology. These results indicate a possible role for HPV 16 in the aetiology of a proportion of tonsillar carcinomas.  相似文献   
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This study deals with the electrical responses of the peritubular membrane of the Necturus proximal tubule to 8 organic anions, in NaHCO3-free (trismaleate-buffered) and NaHCO3-containing solutions. The anions glutamate and gluconate brought about a small depolarization, but only in NaHCO3-free media. Benzene sulfonate did not alter significantly membrane p.d. The 5 other test-anions produced hyperpolarization. The magnitude of membrane depolarization elicited by high-K media was proportionally larger in the presence of the test-anions propionate, lactate, pyruvate, acetate and formate than with chloride: it is inferred that these anions increasedT K. The same 5 anions shifted in the negative direction the p.d. achieved at peak K-depolarization; according to a previous analysis (Anagnostopoulos, 1977), this observation suggests that their permeabilities (P A) are greater thanP Cl, at least during the substitution. The association ofP A>P Cl with an increase ofT K, upon exposure of the kidney to test-anions, is at best accounted for by a decrease ofP Cl. The pattern of voltage attenuation along the epithelial cable during anionic substitutions is also consistent with an increase ofT K via a decrease ofP Cl. In conclusion, the apparent sequence of relative anionic permeabilities, as obtained from the responses of the tissue to a single anion, irrespective of buffering procedures, is:P acet,P lact,P pyruv,P prop,P form>P ClP gluc,P glut. The test-anions propionate, lactate, pyruvate, acetate and formate tend to increaseT K, mainly by reducingP Cl. The effect of glutamate and gluconate on physiologic ion permeabilities is too small to be specified with accuracy: it depends to some extent on the buffer used in the solutions.  相似文献   
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This work presents experimental dosimetry results for the new selectSeed 125I prostate seed design for use with the seedSelectron afterloading device, in accordance with the AAPM advisory that all new low energy interstitial brachytherapy seeds should undergo one Monte Carlo (MC) and at least one experimental dosimetry characterization. TLD dosimetry was performed using 120 cylindrical LiF TLD type-100 rods calibrated using a 6 MV photon beam. They were irradiated in solid water phantoms for the experimental determination of the seed dose rate constant, radial dose functions and anisotropy functions. MC simulations were performed for the determination of the TLDs relative energy response that was found position independent and equal to 1.40+/-0.03, and for the calculation of the ratio of dose in liquid water to dose in solid water that was found to be well described by Dliquidwater/Dsolidwater= 1.013*r+0.030 presenting only a minor dependence on polar angle. The selectSeed dose rate constant in liquid water was found equal to 0.938+/-0.065 cGy h(-1) U(-1), which agrees within experimental uncertainties with corresponding MC results of lambdaselect Seed=0.954+/-0.005 cGy h(-1) U(-1). The experimental radial dose and anisotropy function results were also found in good agreement with corresponding MC calculations.  相似文献   
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This work provides full dosimetric data for the new selectSeed 125I prostate seed source to be distributed by Nucletron B.V. The AAPM TG-43 dosimetric formalism and the new 1999 NIST air kerma strength calibration standard have been followed. Air kerma strength, dose rate constant, radial dose functions, anisotropy functions, and anisotropy factors were calculated using Monte Carlo simulation. Corresponding calculations were also performed for the commercially available 6711 seed source, which is of similar design, for reasons of comparison. The calculated dose rate constant of the selectSeed was 0.954+/-0.005 cGy h(-1) U(-1) compared to 0.953+/-0.005 cGy h(-1) U(-1) for the 6711 source design. The latter value for the 6711 source suggests that the correction factor proposed by NIST for conversion of dose rate constants to the new 1999 NIST calibration standard may be overestimated by 2-3%. Radial dose functions of the two sources were found in good agreement for radial distances up to 4 cm, the selectSeed being less penetrating at greater radial distances (approximately 4% at 10 cm). The selectSeed source presents similar anisotropy characteristics with the 6711 source design. For both source designs, a distance and polar angle dependent discontinuity of anisotropy function values was observed owing to the dose contribution of radioactivity distributed on the ends of the cylindrical source cores. Variation of dosimetric parameters with possible variation in radioactive silver halide coating thickness of the silver source core of the new source was also investigated.  相似文献   
8.
Hereditary hearing impairment affects about 1 in 1000 newborns. In most cases hearing loss is non-syndromic with no other clinical features, while in other families deafness is associated with specific clinical abnormalities. Analysis of large families with non-syndromic and syndromic deafness have been used to identify genes or gene locations that cause hearing impairment. The present report describes a large Norwegian family with autosomal dominant non-syndromic, progressive high tone hearing loss with linkage to 1q21-q23. A maximum LOD score of 7.65 (theta = 0.00) was obtained with the microsatellite marker D1S196. Analysis of recombinant individuals maps the deafness gene (DFNA7) to a 22 cM region between D1S104 and D1S466. The region contains several attractive candidate genes. This report supports the idea of extensive genetic heterogeneity in hereditary hearing impairment and represents the first localization of a deafness gene in a Norwegian family.   相似文献   
9.
A population based hybrid design combining element of cohort and cross-sectional approach was used to develop a simple clinical algorithm to predict individual probability of developing hypertension (systolic BP > 140 mm Hg and/or diastolic BP > 90 mmHg). 3615 soldiers initially normotensive at the time of induction into high altitude, were studied by systematic random sampling. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed a high significant association between hypertension and age, body mass index (BMI), tobacco smoking and alcohol consumption. Using the constant/coefficient values obtained from the logistic model and the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis, the following predictive rule was developed – To the age in years, add (BMIx 3.86); also add 5.53 if he is a smoker; and add 19.81 if he consumes alcohol. If the total exceeds 142, the individual is at high risk of developing hypertension. This algorithm carries a sensitivity of 68.2% and specificity of 78.5%.KEY WORDS: Hypertension, High altitude  相似文献   
10.
The most common site for rupture of the aorta as a consequence of blunt chest trauma is at the level of the isthmus. Rupture of the aortic valve with concomitant rupture of the ascending aorta is an uncommon entity and only relatively few patients sustaining such an injury survive to surgery. Early diagnosis of such injuries are critical to facilitate timely intervention. We report a case of a 17-year old male who sustained a rupture left coronary cusp and ascending aorta in a road traffic accident. The diagnosis was preoperatively made by transesophageal echocardiography and he underwent successful surgical repair with primary apposition of the torn cusp and closure of the aorta with a pericardial patch. Preoperative diagnosis of this rare combination of injury has hitherto not been made by transesophageal echocardiography.  相似文献   
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