Monitoring and detecting sudden outbreaks of respiratory infectious disease is important. Emergency Department (ED)-based syndromic surveillance systems have been introduced for early detection of infectious outbreaks. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a forecasting model of respiratory infectious disease outbreaks based on a nationwide ED syndromic surveillance using daily number of emergency department visits with fever.
Methods
We measured the number of daily ED visits with body temperature?≥?38.0?°C and daily number of patients diagnosed as respiratory illness by the ICD-10 codes from the National Emergency Department Information System (NEDIS) database of Seoul, Korea. We developed a forecast model according to the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method using the NEDIS data from 2013 to 2014 and validated it using the data from 2015. We defined alarming criteria for extreme numbers of ED febrile visits that exceed the forecasted number. Finally, the predictive performance of the alarm generated by the forecast model was estimated.
Results
From 2013 to 2015, data of 4,080,766 ED visits were collected. 303,469 (7.4%) were ED visits with fever, and 388,943 patients (9.5%) were diagnosed with respiratory infectious disease. The ARIMA (7.0.7) model was the most suitable model for predicting febrile ED visits the next day. The number of patients with respiratory infectious disease spiked concurrently with the alarms generated by the forecast model.
Conclusions
A forecast model using syndromic surveillance based on the number of ED visits was feasible for early detection of ED respiratory infectious disease outbreak. 相似文献
Objective: The main pathological change of Parkinson’s disease (PD) is progressive degeneration and necrosis of dopaminergic neurons in the midbrain, forming a Lewy body in many of the remaining neurons. Studies have found that in transgenic Drosophila, mutations in the PTEN-inducible kinase 1 (PINK1) gene may cause indirect flight muscle defects in Drosophila, and mitochondrial structural dysfunction as well.
Methods: In this study, Wnt4 gene overexpression and knockdown were performed in PINK1 mutant PD transgenic Drosophila, and the protective effect of Wnt4 gene on PD transgenic Drosophila and its possible mechanism were explored. The Wnt4 gene was screened in the previous experiment; And by using the PD transgenic Drosophila model of the MHC-Gal4/UAS system, the PINK1 gene could be specifically activated in the Drosophila muscle tissue.
Results: In PINK1 mutation transgenic fruit flies, the Wnt4 gene to study its implication on PD transgenic fruit flies’ wing normality and flight ability. We found that overexpression of Wnt4 gene significantly reduced abnormality rate of PD transgenic Drosophila and improved its flight ability, and then, increased ATP concentration, enhanced mitochondrial membrane potential and normalized mitochondrial morphology were found. All of these findings suggested Wnt4 gene may have a protective effect on PD transgenic fruit flies. Furthermore, in Wnt4 gene overexpression PD transgenic Drosophila, down-regulation autophagy and apoptosis-related proteins Ref(2)P, Pro-Caspase3, and up-regulation of Beclin1, Atg8a, Bcl2 protein were confirmed by Western Blotting.
Conclusion: The results imply that the restoring of mitochondrial function though Wnt4 gene overexpression in the PINK1 mutant transgenic Drosophila may be related to autophagy and/or apoptosis. 相似文献
Study overview. 83 patients with stage I lung adenocarcinoma were included in this study. Whole-exome sequencing was performed on surgical samples of these patients. Patients were further divided into 4 groups according to their TP53 mutational status. Tumor mutational burden, recurrence-free survival and overall survival were compared among different groups.
The ε4 allele of the APOE gene is thought to increase risk from amnestic mild cognitive impairment (aMCI) to Alzheimer’s disease. Cognitive decline in the condition is increasingly considered to worsen functional disconnections in brain network composed of gray matter and white matter. Nevertheless, Whether APOEε4 targets specific white matter functional connectivity in patients with aMCI remains mostly unexplored, mainly due to the challenges of detecting BOLD signals in white matter. Here, we applied a novel approach to investigate APOEε4-related specific bundles and cortical area alterations in aMCI subjects, in order to characterize white matter-gray matter functional connectivity differences throughout the brain. We analyzed 75 patients with aMCI and 76 demographically matched normal controls. The aMCI APOEε4 carriers showed decreased functional connectivity located at left corticospinal tract, bilateral posterior limb of internal capsule, and right temporopolaris, which was different from the regions of aMCI-related changes. We further found that recognition scores were positively associated with the right temporopolaris in aMCI APOEε4 carriers. Collectively, the data provide new evidence that APOEε4 genotype exerts a negative impact on neural activity in both gray and white matter in aMCI, which potentially contributes to functional disconnection and memory decline. A novel method provides full-scale measuring effect of disease conditions on functional architecture throughout the brain. Trial registration: https://www.ClinicalTrials.gov (Identifier: NCT02225964). Registered January 2014.
With the significant growth of migration and expatriation, facilitated by increased global mobility, the number of Koreans living abroad as of 2016 is approximately 7.4 million (15% of the Korean population). Healthcare utilization or health problems, especially among expatriates in developing countries, have not been well researched despite the various health risks these individuals are exposed to. Consequently, we identified the health utilization patterns and healthcare needs among Korean expatriates in Vietnam, Cambodia, and Uzbekistan.
Methods
This cross-sectional survey examined 429 Korean expatriates living in Vietnam (n?=?208), Cambodia (n?=?60), and Uzbekistan (n?=?161) who had access to the Internet and were living abroad for at least 6?months. A 67-item questionnaire was used, and feedback was received via an online survey program. Stepwise logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate factors associated with unmet healthcare needs and preferences of certain type of telemedicine.
Results
We found that 45.5% (195/429) of respondents had used medical services in their country of stay. Among those who visited health institutions >?3 times, the most popular choice was general hospitals (39.4%, 15/38); however, they initially visited Korean doctors’ or local doctors’ offices. The most essential criteria for healthcare service facilities was a “skilled professional” (39.3%, 169/429), 42% wanted a health program for chronic disease management, and 30% wanted specialized internal medicine. A substantial number wanted to access telemedicine services and were willing to pay for this service. They were particularly interested in experts’ second opinion (61.5%, 264/429) and quick, 24-h medical consultations (60.8%, 261/429). Having unmet healthcare needs and being younger was strongly associated with all types of telemedicine networks.
Conclusions
Nearly half of the expatriates in developing countries had unmet healthcare needs. Telemedicine is one potential solution to meet these needs, especially in developing countries.
Pharmacogenetics influences oral tacrolimus exposure; however, little data exist regarding i.v. tacrolimus. We investigated the impact of genetic polymorphisms in CYP3A4, CYP3A5, and ABCB1 on i.v. tacrolimus exposure and toxicity in adult patients receiving an allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant for hematologic malignancies. Germline DNA was extracted from buccal swabs and genotyped for CYP3A4, CYP3A5, and ABCB1 polymorphisms. Continuous i.v. infusion of tacrolimus .03 mg/kg/day was initiated on day +5 post-transplant, and steady-state blood concentrations were measured 4days later. We evaluated the association between phenotypes and prevalence of nontherapeutic target concentrations (below or above 5 to 15 ng/mL) as well as tacrolimus-related toxicities. Of 63 patients, 28.6% achieved the target concentration; 71.4% were >15ng/mL, which was more common in CYP3A4 intermediate/normal metabolizers (compared with rapid) and those with at least 1 ABCB1 C2677T loss-of-function allele (P < .05). ABCB1 C2677T was significantly associated with concentrations >15ng/mL (odds ratio, 6.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.8 to 23.6; P = .004) and tacrolimus-related toxicities (odds ratio, 7.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.6 to 55.2; P = .02). ABCB1 C2677T and CYP3A4 are important determinants of i.v. tacrolimus exposure, whereas ABCB1 C2677T also impacts tacrolimus-related toxicities in stem cell transplants. 相似文献
Previously, we found that dual therapy by the CXCR4 inhibitor Plerixafor and cytosine arabinoside (Ara-C) effectively eradicated leukemia cells and concurrently activated immune cells in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). To reveal the significance of programmed death-ligand1 (PD-L1) in AML and as a strategic approach, we investigated the anti-leukemic effect of a triple combinational therapy by utilizing Plerixafor and anti-PD-L1 in combination with chemotherapy in an AML mouse model. We examined leukemic myeloid blast cells in multiple organs after the successive treatment with Ara-C, Plerixafor, and anti-PD-L1. The results showed that noticeable benefits of triple combinational therapy for eradication of myeloid blast cells in vivo with prolonged survival rates. The frequencies of regulatory T cells (Tregs), monocytic-myeloid-derived suppressor cells (M-MDSCs), and granulocytic-myeloid-derived suppressor cells (G-MDSCs), in the peripheral blood of leukemic mice were consistently decreased, even when mice were sacrificed alive at D + 26 after completion of the triple combinational therapy, compared to the other subgroups. These findings imply that the modulation by the triple combinational therapy may lead to more efficient leukemic myeloid blast cell ablation through the suppression of Tregs or M-MDSCs and G-MDSCs in AML. Although Plerixafor and PD-L1 antagonist do not have a direct anti-leukemic role, our results provide some clues and guidelines to develop clinically therapeutic strategies for chemotherapy-resistant patients by the modulation of leukemic microenvironments. 相似文献
BackgroundTargeting residual varus alignment in total knee arthroplasty may be functionally beneficial to preoperative varus patients.MethodsBilateral TKA patients were enrolled. According to the postoperative hip-knee-ankle axis, patients were allocated into residual varus (3° ± 1°) alignment group or neutral (0° ± 1°) alignment group. Then, 1:2 propensity score matching was used to match preoperative variables. Finally, matched neutral (n = 45) and varus groups (n = 32) were followed-up for two years and compared. The primary outcome was the Western Ontario & McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC). Secondary outcomes were range of motion (ROM), Knee Society knee score and function score, spatiotemporal gait parameters, dynamic alignment, knee flexion angle, knee adduction moment (KAM) and internal knee extension moment.ResultsAt two years after surgery, the mean difference of WOMAC score was 0.3 (95% CI, [? 3.1, 3.7]) between the two groups. All secondary outcomes, except KAM and dynamic alignment, showed no significant difference between the two groups. Residual varus alignment group showed increased KAM and maximum KAM was 19% higher (P = 0.006).ConclusionsResidual varus alignment showed no clinical benefits, and both groups of patients had a functionally identical knee gait biomechanics, except for increased KAM and varus alignment. The authors consider that even in patients with varus alignment, the first principle is still achieving neutral alignment, which is helpful for reducing the KAM.Level of evidenceIII, retrospective cohort study. 相似文献
To study the self-consciousness of children with learning disabilities (LD) and to identify related factors. Methods Five hundred and sixty pupils graded from 1 to 6 in an elementary school were investigated. According to the pupil rating scale revised screening for learning disabilities (PRS), combined Raven‘s test (CRT) and achievement of main courses, 35 of 560 pupils were diagnosed as LD children. Thirty-five children were selected from the average children and 35 from advanced children in academic achievement equally matched in class, gender, and age with LD children as control groups. The three groups were tested by Piers-Harris children‘s self-concept scale. Basic information of each subject was collected by self-made questionnaire. Results Compared with the average and advanced children, LD children got significantly lower scores in self-concept scale. Based on logistic regression analysis, 3 factors were identified, including family income per month, single child and delivery model. Conclusion The results suggest that self-consciousness of children with LD is lower than that of normal children. 相似文献
Despite their similar spindle-shaped appearance, periodontal ligament fibroblasts (PDLF) and gingival fibroblasts (GF) appear to display distinct functional activities in the maintenance of tissue integrity and during inflammatory/immune responses. We postulated that different characteristics of PDLF and GF are defined by the differential expression of specific genes. To test this, we investigated the possible variance of gene expression profile between cultured PDLF and GF, using DNA microarray technology. One hundred sixty-three genes were found differentially expressed by at least three-fold between PDLF and GF. Genes encoding transmembrane proteins and cytoskeleton-related proteins tended to be up-regulated in PDLF, whereas genes encoding cell-cycle regulation proteins and metabolism-related proteins tended to be up-regulated in GF. We concluded that PDLF and GF appear to display different gene expression patterns that may reflect intrinsic functional differences of the two cell populations and may well coordinate with their tissue-specific activities. 相似文献