Prognostic value of pretreatment serum beta 2 microglobulin in myeloma: a Southwest Oncology Group Study

Six hundred twelve eligible, previously untreated patients with active multiple myeloma and at least some data available for analysis were entered into a randomized trial (Southwest Oncology Group [SWOG] Phase III myeloma study 8229/30), in which the prognostic significance of pretreatment serum beta 2 microglobulin levels was evaluated. Because there was no statistically significant survival difference between the alternating and syncopating VMCP/VBAP regimens, it was possible to evaluate serum beta 2 microglobulin for the total population all together. The serum beta 2 microglobulin measurements showed the highest significance of any prognostic factor, both in the bivariate and multivariate regression analyses. The median survival was 36 months for the 322 patients with pretreatment serum beta 2 microglobulin values of less than 6 micrograms/mL, as compared with a median survival of 23 months for the 225 patients with a beta 2 level of greater than or equal to 6 mcg/mL (P less than .0001). The stepwise multiple regression model first contained serum beta 2 microglobulin, followed by serum albumin, serum calcium, age, and serum creatinine. Serum beta 2 microglobulin was highly correlated with stage: median values ranged from 3.7 micrograms/mL for stage IA, to 10.1 for stage IIIB. It was possible to stratify myeloma patients based on combinations of serum beta 2 microglobulin with both albumin and age, producing excellent separation of patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories. It is concluded that serum beta 2 microglobulin is the most powerful prognostic factor currently available for multiple myeloma and that it can be used alone or in combination with other variables for pretreatment stratification.     

C-reactive protein and beta-2 microglobulin produce a simple and powerful myeloma staging system.

Multiple myeloma (MM) staging procedures are still inadequate for detection of the optimal therapeutic procedure for an individual patient. The Durie & Salmon staging system and serum beta 2-microglobulin (beta 2M) are used worldwide because of their easy clinical application. Other prognostic parameters, such as myeloma cell proliferative activity, are of exceeding importance, but are not as simple as standard methods. Recently, interleukin-6 (IL-6) has been shown to be a major growth factor for MM. IL-6 is a pleiotropic cytokine acting on several cell lineages, and, at the hepatocyte level, stimulates the synthesis of acute phase proteins, such as the well known C-Reactive Protein (CRP). Serum CRP concentration actually reflects the IL-6 activity. A survival analysis carried out in 162 MM patients at diagnosis showed that serum CRP level is a highly significant prognostic factor. Moreover, serum CRP was independent of serum beta 2M. This feature allowed stratification of MM patients into 3 groups according to CRP and beta 2M serum levels: (1) low risk group, CRP and beta 2M less than 6 mg/L (50% of patients); (2) intermediate risk group, CRP or beta 2M greater than or equal to 6 mg/L (35% of patients); (3) high risk group, CRP and beta 2M greater than or equal to 6 mg/L (15% of patients). Survival was 54, 27, and 6 months, respectively (P less than .0001). We thus propose a new and powerful myeloma staging system based on simple and reliable laboratory evaluations.     

Beta 2-microglobulin predicts survival in primary systemic amyloidosis

PURPOSE: The study assessed whether beta 2-microglobulin levels predict survival or response in patients with primary systemic amyloidosis without associated multiple myeloma. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The study group consisted of 131 untreated patients with biopsy-proven primary systemic amyloidosis diagnosed and evaluated at the Mayo Clinic. No patient had multiple myeloma. The minimum follow-up of surviving patients is 8 years. No patient was lost to follow-up. RESULTS: The median survival of patients with an increased beta 2-microglobulin level was 10.8 months, compared with patients with a normal beta 2-microglobulin level (less than or equal to 2.7 micrograms/mL, 0.23 mumol/L) of 32.9 months (p less than 0.001). In a multivariate proportional-hazards model, the best model included congestive heart failure (p less than 0.0001) and increased beta 2-microglobulin levels (p less than 0.05). After adjustment for the presence of congestive heart failure, beta 2-microglobulin level remained significant. When the analysis was restricted to those patients with normal renal function, the median survival of those with an elevated beta 2-microglobulin level was 9.1 months versus 39.4 months for those with a normal level (p less than 0.001). The serum level of beta 2-microglobulin was increased in patients with nephrotic-range proteinuria with or without renal insufficiency (p = 0.05). CONCLUSION: The serum beta 2-microglobulin level should be measured routinely in all patients with primary systemic amyloidosis because it provides a useful objective factor to identify subsets of patients with this disease who have unfavorable outcomes.     

Lack of correlation between plasma cell thymidine labelling index and serum beta-2-microglobulin in monoclonal gammopathies

Simultaneous evaluation of bone marrow plasma cell thymidine labelling index (LI) and serum beta-2-microglobulin (SB2M) was performed in 146 patients with multiple myeloma (MM) or monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). Eighty patients had MM on diagnosis, 11 were in relapse and 12 were in remission phase; 43 patients had MGUS. All the evaluated patients had normal renal function with a creatinine level less than 1.4 mg%. Overall there was no direct correlation between LI% and SB2M. LI% best reflected the proliferative capacity of the tumor clone itself being less than or equal to 1% in MGUS and MM in remission, but greater than 2% at relapse of MM. SB2M correlated best with the stage of disease and tumor burden. These two factors therefore have different clinical utility: LI is a useful parameter to detect disease stability (e.g., MGUS) or highly proliferative disease (aggressive MM at diagnosis or early relapse). SB2M remains the best single predictor of patient tumor burden and associated survival duration.     

Serum beta2 microglobulin and survival duration in multiple myeloma: a simple reliable marker for staging.

Previous reports have shown serum beta2 microglobulin (SB2M) to be a reliable marker for evaluation of presenting tumour mass, response to chemotherapy and prognosis of patients with multiple myeloma (MM). In the current study, SB2M was evaluated and correlated by bivariate and multivariate regression analyses with the main presenting clinical features, response to chemotherapy and survival duration of 115 untreated myeloma patients. In the bivariate analysis, there was a clear correlation between SB2M and myeloma stage (P = 0.002). Other interesting correlations were between SB2M and creatinine values (P less than 0.001), SB2M and the likelihood of having lambda subtype (P less than 0.001), high SB2M and high uric acid (P less than 0.036), high SB2M and a low haemoglobin (P less than 0.001). In the multivariate regression analyses, SB2M alone completely substituted for the effect of initial staging and gave a very reliable fit for survival prediction. Particularly noteworthy was the dramatic difference in survival duration observed between patients with a high pre-treatment SB2M (greater than 6 micrograms/ml) and those with low SB2M: 26 months versus 52 months (P less than 0.0001). We conclude that SB2M is the major determinant of survival in MM and can be used alone for effective pretreatment stratification of myeloma patients.     

Peripheral blood monoclonal plasma cells as a predictor of survival in patients with multiple myeloma [see comments]

The purpose of this study was to quantitate the number and labeling index of monoclonal plasma cells in the blood of patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) to learn if these values were independent prognostic factors for survival. Patients were candidates for this study if they had untreated myeloma requiring therapy, were evaluated at our institution between 1984 and 1993, and had a sample of blood analyzed with a sensitive immunofluorescence technique for monoclonal plasma cells and the blood B-cell labelling index (BLI). The % blood monoclonal plasma cells (%BPC) and the BLI were analyzed along with stage, marrow plasma cell LI, % marrow plasma cells, calcium, creatinine, albumin, beta-2-microglobulin, and C-reactive protein as univariate and multivariate factors for survival. Eighty percent of the 254 patients accrued to this study had monoclonal BPC detected. The median % BPC was 6% and 57% (144 of 254) of patients had a high number (> or = 4%). Patients with > or = 4% BPC had a median survival of 2.4 years vs 4.4 years for those with < 4% BPC (P < .001). The BLI was also prognostic (P = .008). In a multivariate analysis, the % BPC, age, albumin, stage, marrow plasma cell LI, and the BLI were independent factors for survival. The %BPC and the marrow plasma cell LI best separated the group into low, intermediate, and high risk myeloma with median survivals of 52, 35, and 26 months, respectively. Patients with high %BPC were less likely to have lytic bone disease from their MM (P = .002). The %BPC and the BLI are independent prognostic factors for survival and are useful in identifying patients as low, intermediate, and high risk. Clonal cells in the blood should be quantified in future clinical trials for myeloma.     

Prognostic value of the staging system proposed by Merlini, Waldenstr?m and Jayakar for multiple myeloma

We have reviewed a series of 90 consecutive patients with multiple myeloma (MM) diagnosed in the period 1.1.1971-31.12.1980 and subsequently treated with an intermittent administration of melphalan and prednisone (62 IgG MM, 20 IgA MM and 8 Bence-Jones (BJ) MM). Unfavorable prognostic factors were: presence of micromolecular M component (K or lambda), serum creatinine greater than or equal to 2 mg/dl, serum calcium greater than or equal to 12 mg/dl, presence of BJ proteinuria, Hb less than 10 g/dl, diffuse osteolytic lesions, bone marrow plasma cell percentage greater than or equal to 30%. In particular, according to the recent staging system proposed by Merlini et al. [Blood 55: 1011, 1980], the most important prognostic parameters for IgG and BJ MM were: serum creatinine, BMPC % and serum calcium; for IgA MM the most important were: serum hemoglobin, calcium and M component levels. We have compared the survival curve of 45 patients who died, with the predicted survival curve according to the multivariate regression analysis of Merlini and co-workers; the prediction was equally precise for all the three types of MM considered, thus showing the high sensibility of this new staging system.     

A new staging system for multiple myeloma patients based on the Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) experience

We aimed to develop and evaluate a staging system for multiple myeloma (MM) based on easily obtained laboratory measures. The Durie-Salmon stage is most commonly used and is an effective system of patient stratification for clinical trial research. However, the criteria are complex and many laboratory parameters are required to properly stage patients. In this analysis, we focused on two common measures with prognostic importance in MM: serum beta2 microglobulin (beta2m) and serum albumin. Pre-study data on 1555 previously untreated MM patients enrolled on four recent South-west Oncology Group (SWOG) phase III trials were used in the analysis. Staging models were developed and validated using regression tree methods for survival outcomes. SWOG stages were defined as: stage 1, beta2m < 2.5 mg/l (14% of patients, median overall survival of 55 months); stage 2, 2.5 /= 5.5 and albumin >/= 30 g/l (32% of patients, median overall survival of 24 months); and stage 4, beta2m >/= 5.5 and albumin < 30 g/l (11% of patients and median overall survival of 16 months). This staging scheme was also predictive of event-free survival, first-year mortality and long-term (>/= 5 years) event-free survival. We conclude that although the SWOG stage does not represent a new prognostic marker for MM (cytogenetics, FISH), it could provide a simple alternative to the Durie-Salmon stage for patients with previously untreated MM. Additional evaluation in other MM patient populations is needed to confirm results.     

Plasma cell labeling index and beta 2-microglobulin predict survival independent of thymidine kinase and C-reactive protein in multiple myeloma [see comments]

The plasma cell labeling index (PCLI) and serum beta 2-microglobulin (beta 2M) are independent prognostic factors in multiple myeloma (MM). Recently, levels of thymidine kinase (TK) and C-reactive protein (CRP) have been shown to have prognostic value. We studied 107 patients with newly diagnosed myeloma to determine whether TK and CRP values added prognostic information not already available using the PCLI and beta 2M. Univariate survival analysis showed prognostic significance for the PCLI, TK, beta 2M, age, serum albumin, and CRP. Multivariate analysis showed that only PCLI and beta 2M have independent prognostic significance. The survival curves were better separated using the PCLI and beta 2M than with other combinations of variables. Among nine patients under age 65 with low PCLI and low beta 2M, eight were alive almost 6 years after starting chemotherapy. These good-risk patients could not be identified by standard clinical features. Although creatinine and calcium were normal, other features such as bone lesions, osteoporosis, fracture, and anemia were present and stage distribution was similar to other patients in the study. In conclusion, PCLI and beta 2M measured at diagnosis are independent prognostic factors. They must be considered when interpreting the results of clinical trials and should be helpful in counseling patients and in designing new trials. When the PCLI and beta 2M values are known, the TK and CRP values do not add useful additional prognostic information.     

Beta-2-microglobulin in myeloma: optimal use for staging, prognosis, and treatment--a prospective study of 160 patients

Previous reports have shown that serum beta-2-microglobulin (S beta2M) is a reliable marker of presenting tumor mass, response to chemotherapy, and prognosis of patients with multiple myeloma (MM). In order to more thoroughly evaluate the optimal use of S beta2M in plasma cell dyscrasias (PCD), S beta2M levels were serially measured in 160 patients with MM, in comparison with 37 normal controls (NC) and 28 patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). In MGUS, S beta2M did not differ significantly from that of NC, but was significantly lower than that of MM (p less than 0.001), including low cell mass MM (p less than 0.02). In MM, S beta 2M was highly correlated with the total body burden of myeloma cells as derived from the staging of Durie and Salmon, both at diagnosis and in remission (residual tumor mass) (p less than 0.001). During the plateau phase, S beta 2M remained very stable and was always within the normal range for patients with greater than or equal to 75% tumor regression. The most striking finding was that S beta 2M gave an extremely reliable fit for survival prediction at (1) diagnosis, (2) remission, and (3) early relapse, with higher S beta 2M levels in each instance being in favor of poorer prognosis. We conclude that S beta 2M is an extremely useful marker in initial stratification and follow-up of patients with MM.     

Beta 2 microglobulin serum levels and prediction of survival in AL amyloidosis.

To study the relation between beta 2 microglobulin (beta 2M) and survival in AL amyloidosis, we measured the serum level of beta 2M in 80 patients with AL amyloidosis diagnosed within 1 year of evaluation, who had received no therapy. Patients had a median age of 61 years and 52% were male. Major clinical manifestations were renal disease in 25 patients (31%), cardiomyopathy in 23 patients (29%), and neuropathy or other organ involvement in 32 patients (41%). The beta 2M level, measured by an ELISA assay in serum samples collected at the time of evaluation, ranged from 1.69 to 10 mg/ml (mean = 4.57); in 56% of the patients beta 2M > 4 mg/ml. The patients with a beta 2M < or = 4 mg/ml had serum creatinine levels lower than those with beta 2M > 4 (1.43 vs 2.67 mg/dl; p = 0.02). Survival from study entry was analyzed overall by the level of beta 2M, adjusting for creatinine level and clinical stratum. We found the beta 2M level to be predictive of survival (median survival 16.1 months for beta 2M < or = 4 mg/ml vs 8.0 months for beta 2M > 4 mg/ml, p = 0.044). Thus a beta 2M level less than 4 mg/ml indicated a longer time of survival.     

High serum IL-2 levels are predictive of prolonged survival in multiple myeloma

In this study we analysed serum IL-2 levels in 61 patients with multiple myeloma (MM). Patients serum IL-2 levels were significantly higher than normal controls. Moreover, higher serum IL-2 levels were associated with a prolonged actuarial survival. In particular, 87% of the MM patients with IL-2 greater the or equal to 10 U/ml are still alive at 5 years while only 13% of the remaining patients with IL-2 less than 10 U/ml are alive. The multivariate analysis confirmed these data indicating that high serum IL-2 levels are the most useful predictor index of longer survival in MM patients. Furthermore, among the 50 patients in whom serum beta-2-microglobulin (SB2M) determination was available we observed that all patients with serum IL-2 levels greater than or equal to 10 U/ml had SB2M less than 6 micrograms/ml, whereas in patients with serum IL-2 less than 10 U/ml SB2M ranged from 1.3 to 15 micrograms/ml. Using these two parameters we were able to identify three groups of patients with different survival duration. Group A (9 patients) defined by serum IL-2 greater than or equal to 10 U/ml and SB2M less than 6 micrograms/ml in which all patients are alive: group B (26 patients) characterized by serum IL-2 less than 10 U/ml and SB2M less than 6 micrograms/ml in which 24% of patients are alive and group C (15 patients) characterized by serum IL-2 levels less than 10 U/ml and SB2M greater than or equal to 6 micrograms/ml in which the actuarial survival curve drops to 0 at 2.5 years. A statistically significant difference was observed between groups A and B (P less than 0.05), groups A and C (P less than 0.01) and groups B and C (P less than 0.01). These data could reflect the existence of an active T cell control on B cell neoplasia and may suggest the opportunity of a more extensive use of recombinant biological modifiers such as IL-2 in the therapeutic strategy of MM.     

p53 gene deletion detected by fluorescence in situ hybridization is an adverse prognostic factor for patients with multiple myeloma following autologous stem cell transplantation

We investigated the relevance of p53 deletions to the clinical outcome of patients with multiple myeloma (MM) treated with high-dose chemotherapy and autologous stem cell transplantation. Hemizygous p53 gene deletions were detected by fluorescence in situ hybridization in 10 of 105 (9.5%) patients studied. p53 deletions were associated with higher serum calcium (P = .0062) and creatinine (P = .013) levels, but there were no association with patient age, gender, beta2-microglobulin, C-reactive protein, hemoglobin, albumin or bone lytic lesions, or immunoglobulin isotype. There were no associations of p53 deletions with 13q deletions or translocations t(11;14) or t(4;14). Patients with p53 deletions had significantly shorter progression-free (median, 7.9 versus 25.7 months, P = .0324) and overall survival (median, 14.7 versus 48.1 months, P = .0008) than patients without a p53 deletion. A multivariate analysis confirmed p53 deletion was an independent prognostic factor predicting shortened progression-free (P = .0009) or overall survival (P = .0002) in patients with MM after high-dose chemotherapy and autologous stem cell transplantation.     

Pretreatment serum β2-microglobulin in multiple myeloma

Serum beta 2-microglobuline (S-beta 2m) was evaluated in 121 untreated patients with multiple myeloma. Values greater than 3 mg/l were found in 82% of the patients. Mean S-beta 2m values of the total group of patients correlated with clinical stage. However, there was no correlation if values were corrected for S-creatinine. Seventy-nine patients had normal (less than or equal to 106 mumol/l) and 52 patients abnormal S-creatinine. Patients with S-beta 2m values below 7 X 6 mg/l had an estimated median survival of 44 months compared to 12 months for patients with levels above 7 X 6 mg/l. If S-beta 2m values in patients with normal S-creatinine were combined with values corrected for S-creatinine from patients with elevated S-creatinine a beta 2m cut off level of 6 X 6 mg/l gave a median probable survival of 43 months compared to 14 months. We conclude that pretreatment S-beta 2 microglobulin is a useful marker for predicting survival in multiple myeloma. The problem of the relationship between S-beta 2m and S-creatinine is discussed.     

Increased serum neopterin concentration as indicator of disease severity and poor survival in multiple myeloma

In this study we investigated serum neopterin levels in 73 multiple myeloma (MM) patients (63 determinations at diagnosis, 58 in remission, and 35 at relapse), in 56 monoclonal gammopathies of undetermined significance (MGUS), and in 70 normal controls. Median neopterin level was 5.3 nmol/l in normal controls, 6.8 nmol/l in MGUS, and 10.7 nmol/l in MM patients. In comparison to healthy subjects, significantly higher levels were observed in MM patients (p less than 0.0001). A statistical difference was observed between MGUS and MM patients at diagnosis (p less than 0.007). Compared to diagnosis, a further increase was noticed during relapse, suggesting a correlation between neopterin and disease activity. The prognostic significance of raised neopterin levels was confirmed by a survival analysis. Median survival for patients with high values was 20 months, whereas it was 63.9 months for those with low values (log-rank test p less than 0.003). Serum neopterin concentrations also correlated to beta 2 microglobulin levels and the percentage of CD38+ circulating lymphocytes, indicating a link between neopterin and other myeloma prognostic factors.     

Serum syndecan-1: a new independent prognostic marker in multiple myeloma

Serum samples drawn at diagnosis from 174 myeloma patients were analyzed for the presence of the heparan [corrected] sulfate proteoglycan, syndecan-1. Syndecan-1 was elevated in 79% of patients (median, 643 units/mL) compared with 40 healthy controls (median, 128 units/mL), P <.0001. Serum syndecan-1 correlated with the following: serum creatinine, secretion of urine M-component over the course of 24 hours, soluble interleukin-6 (IL-6) receptor, C-terminal telopeptide of type I collagen, beta(2)-microglobulin, percentage of plasma cells in the bone marrow, disease stage, and serum M-component concentration. In order to evaluate syndecan-1 as a prognostic marker in multiple myeloma, it was entered into a multivariate Cox regression model. Data from 138 patients were available for this analysis. As a continuous variable, syndecan-1 was an independent prognostic parameter in addition to serum beta(2)-microglobulin and World Health Organization performance status. When syndecan-1 was dichotomized by the best cutoff (66th percentile, 1170 units/mL), the survival difference between the groups was highly significant: "high" syndecan-1 group had a median survival of 20 months, and the "low" syndecan-1 group had a median of 44 months (P <.0001). We conclude that syndecan-1 is a new independent prognostic parameter in multiple myeloma, and its role in prognostic classification systems should be further investigated. (Blood. 2000;95:388-392)     

The plasma cell labeling index: a valuable tool in primary systemic amyloidosis

The plasma cell labeling index (LI) is of value in predicting prognosis in multiple myeloma. Primary systemic amyloidosis (AL) is a plasma cell dyscrasia that shares many features with myeloma. We obtained bromodeoxyuridine LI on 125 patients who presented with AL, 22 of whom also had overt multiple myeloma. Forty-six patients had a plasma cell LI greater than 0%. Of the 46 patients with an elevated LI, 19 (41%) had multiple myeloma as compared with three (4%) of the 79 patients with an LI = 0 (P less than .0001). A response to chemotherapy was seen in 14 (30%) of 46 patients with an LI greater than 0, as compared with ten (13%) of 79 patients with an LI of 0 (P = .015). The median survival of the high LI group was 14.6 months v 29.8 months for the low LI group (P = .02). In the low LI group, 29% are projected to be alive at 60 months, as compared with 20% in the high LI group. When patients with myeloma were excluded from the analysis, the LI did not predict response but continued to indicate a survival disadvantage (P less than .05). The major utility of the LI was in identifying those patients most likely to have multiple myeloma and those AL patients with a poor prognosis (median survival, 14.1 months).     

Prognostic variables and clinical staging in multiple myeloma

To evaluate the most important factors in the prognosis and staging of multiple myeloma (MM), the presenting clinical features of 163 previously untreated patients with MM were correlated with survival duration using univariate and multivariate regression analyses. The univariate proportional hazard analysis ranked the parameters in the following order of importance: platelet count, hemoglobin level (Hb), tumor cell mass stage, lytic bone lesions, creatinine, and age. When the individual contribution of each variable was assessed by multivariate regression analysis, platelet count was confirmed to be the dominant feature for prognosis and clinical stage provided additional information. The introduction of platelet count could then be used to improve the reliability of the Durie and Salmon staging, by allowing to separate the high-risk group (stages II and III) into a smaller subgroup (22%) of thrombocytopenic patients (less than 150 x 10(9) platelets/L) whose risk of death was actually very high (median survival, 9 months) and a larger subgroup (46%) of patients with normal platelet count and intermediate or standard risk (median survival, 48 months). This simple change in the prognostic system gave rise to markedly different survival curves also after the exclusion of patients with renal failure and applied successfully to both old and young patients (greater than and less than 50 years, respectively). Finally, platelet count, Hb, and lytic bone lesions could be combined simply to stratify patients with normal renal function into three risk groups: (1) low (39% of cases; median survival, 79 months), (2) intermediate (53% of cases; median survival, 48 months), and (3) high (8% of cases; median survival, 19 months).     

Interleukin-6 is a potent myeloma-cell growth factor in patients with aggressive multiple myeloma

It has recently been demonstrated that interleukin-6 (IL-6) is a potent myeloma-cell growth factor in the majority of patients with multiple myeloma (MM). Using an anti-bromodeoxyuridine monoclonal antibody (MoAb) to specifically count myeloma cells in the S-phase (ie, labeling index, LI), we demonstrate that the IL-6 responsiveness of myeloma cells in vitro is directly correlated with their LI in vivo. Myeloma cells from all 13 patients with high LIs in vivo (greater than or equal to 1%) responded in vitro to IL-6, the strongest response occurring in cells from five patients with plasma-cell leukemia. In contrast, the cells of only two of eight patients with low myeloma-cell LIs in vivo (less than 1%) responded to IL-6 in vitro. After seven days of culturing with 1,000 U/mL recombinant IL-6 (rIL-6), the median LI value in the first group of patients (in vivo LI greater than or equal to 1%) was 11%, ie 11 times higher (P less than .01) than the median LI value (1%) in the second group of patients (in vivo LI less than 1%). Thus, the in vitro IL-6 responsiveness of myeloma cells is directly related to their in vivo proliferative status, and hence to the severity of the disease.     

A staging system for multiple myeloma based on the morphology of myeloma cells

Abstract: The morphology of myeloma cells is reported to be one of the prognostic factors in multiple myeloma (MM) patients. We analyzed the prognostic factors, including morphological classification, in 292 patients with MM in order to select poor-risk patients who should be considered candidates for early intensive chemotherapy, including stem cell transplantation. Multivariate analysis was applied to 90 patients diagnosed between 1989 and 1996, because serum beta-2-microglobulin (β₂M) has been measured regularly since 1989, and showed that serum albumin, serum β₂M, and the morphology of myeloma cells predicted survival. According to these factors, patients were divided into 3 risk groups; a high-risk group (14%), a intermediate-risk group (46%) and a low-risk group (40%). There were significant differences between survival times in these 3 groups (median survival: high-risk, 16; intermediate-risk, 22; and low-risk, 44 months).