Risk factors for hypertension in a national cohort study

Hypertension continues to be a major public health problem in the United States. We used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Epidemiologic Followup Study (1971-1984) to examine predictors of hypertension for the 7,073 participants free from hypertension at the baseline examination. The follow-up period averaged 10 years. Body mass index was positively related to the probability of hypertension developing among white men (n = 2,370), white women (n = 3,949), black men (n = 231), and black women (n = 523). Education was inversely associated with the probability of hypertension developing among white women and was of borderline significance among white men and black women. In a subanalysis of white men (n = 1,790) and white women (n = 3,063) who completed the 24-hour recall dietary questionnaire, dietary consumption of sodium, calcium, and potassium did not predict the development of hypertension. The failure of our study to support findings relating intake of dietary cations to the development of hypertension may be attributable to imprecision in the measurement of dietary data and misclassification of hypertension status. These data reinforce the importance of weight control in the primary prevention of hypertension.     

Risk factors for incident condyloma in a multinational cohort of men: the HIM study

Identifying factors associated with condyloma are necessary for prevention efforts. Risk factors for incident condyloma were examined in a cohort of 2487 men from the United States, Brazil, and Mexico and were followed up every 6 months (median, 17.9 months). Factors strongly associated with condyloma were incident infection with human papillomavirus (HPV) types 6 and 11 (hazard ratio [HR], 12.42 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 3.78-40.77]), age (HR, 0.43 [95% CI, .26-.77]; 45-70 vs 18-30 years), high lifetime number of female partners (HR, 5.69 [95% CI, 1.80-17.97]; ≥21 vs 0 partners), and number of male partners (HR, 4.53 [95% CI, 1.68-12.20]; ≥3 vs 0 partners). The results suggest that HPV types 6 and 11 and recent sexual behavior are strongly associated with incident condyloma.     

Risk factors for cardiovascular disease in a Brazilian population-based cohort study

Objective: Our aim was to investigate risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in a population-based Brazilian cohort. Design and methods: A cohort study was conducted with 1091 individuals identified through multi-stage probability sampling in Porto Alegre, Brazil. Risk factors were investigated among demographic and anthropometric characteristics, including education, smoking habits, income, alcoholic beverage consumption, and blood pressure. A fatal or non-fatal episode of myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure, and cases of sudden death comprised the composite endpoint. Results: Vital status was determined in 982 (90.0%) of the participants of the original cohort after 6.0±1.7 years of follow-up. A total of 52 individuals presented a cardiovascular event. Male gender (hazard ratio (HR) 2.01, 95% CI 1.03–3.91), systolic blood pressure (mmHg) (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01–1.04) and alcohol consumption (g/day) (HR 1.001, 95% CI 1.00–1.003) were associated with the incidence of CVD after controlling for confounding. Body mass index (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.99–1.11) and current or previous smoking (HR 1.65, 95% CI 0.83–3.26) showed a trend for a positive association. Conclusions: We confirmed that male gender, systolic blood pressure, obesity and smoking are risk factors for cardiovascular disease in a Brazilian population. The positive association between alcohol consumption and incident CVD was unexpected and deserves replication.     

Risk factors for squamous intraepithelial lesions in systemic lupus erythematosus: a prospective cohort study

Objective

We undertook a prospective cohort study to ascertain the risk factors for the development of squamous intraepithelial lesions (SIL) in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

Methods

One hundred thirty‐seven SLE patients with a normal Papanicolaou (Pap) smear at baseline were evaluated at 6‐month intervals for up to 3 years. At each visit, a Pap smear, human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA test, and clinical assessment were performed.

Results

Among the 137 patients, there were 12 incident cases (8.8%) of SIL over a median followup duration of 30.7 months (interquartile range 25.5–31.7). Among the 30 patients with HPV infection detectable by DNA testing at baseline, 9 (30%) developed SIL. The independent risk factors for the incident SIL in this group of SLE patients included the use of cyclophosphamide (CYC) ever (odds ratio [OR] 5.6, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.1–29.3; P = 0.041) and persistent high‐risk HPV infection (OR 26.9, 95% CI 3.2–222.3; P = 0.002). The use of baseline HPV testing has a higher sensitivity than abnormal cytology (defined as atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance; 47.7% versus 33.3%) in predicting the development of SIL.

Conclusion

Independent risk factors associated with the development of SIL in SLE patients included persistent high‐risk HPV infection and the use of CYC. Low‐risk patients who receive negative test results on both cervical cytology screening and HPV DNA testing may not need to be rescreened within 3 years.     

Risk factors for gout developed from hyperuricemia in China: a five-year prospective cohort study

The aim of the study was to investigate the factors that promote the development of gout in Chinese patients with hyperuricemia. Chinese cohort with 659 patients with hyperuricemia who had no history of gout at base line had been followed up for 5 years. The baseline data of the general states (gender, age, occupation and education level), lifestyle and behavior (smoking, drinking, and diet), the major chronic diseases (diabetes and hypertension), family history and gout attacks, physical examination (height, weight and blood pressure), and blood parameters (creatinine, urea nitrogen, triglycerides, total cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol) were recorded before the follow-up. Over the five-year period, 75 hyperuricemia patients developed gout. In the logistic regression model, shrimp intake and shell intake were the risk factors (P = 0.038 and P < 0.001, respectively) and, combined with diabetes, also served as risk factor for gout developed from hyperuricemia, with relative risk (RR) of 2.571 (95 % confidence interval (95 % CI), 1.110–5.953), and females served as protective factors of gout, with RR of 0.113 (95 % CI, 0.041–0.312, referred to male). We identified that shrimp intake and shell intake, combined with diabetes, were the independent risk factors, and females served as protective factors of gout in those suffering from hyperuricemia in coast regions of Shandong province, China.     

Risk factors for nosocomial infections in critically ill newborns: a 5-year prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND: Nosocomial infections (NIs) are one of the most important causes of morbidity in neonatal intensive care units (NICUs). The aim of this study was to identify risk factors (RFs) for NIs among critically ill newborn patients in a Brazilian NICU. METHODS: This 5-year prospective cohort study in an 8-bed NICU included all infants born in the hospital and admitted to the NICU from 1993 to 1997. Exposure variables were maternal and newborn data prospectively collected from patient records. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine independent RFs associated with NIs. RESULTS: Univariate analysis indicated gestational age, congenital abnormality, premature rupture of membranes, maternal illness, birth weight, mechanical ventilation, central venous catheter, total parenteral nutrition, peripheral venous catheter, and length of stay as possible RFs. Multivariate analysis identified 5 independent RFs for NIs: premature rupture of membranes (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.51 [95% CI, 1.15-1.99]), maternal disease (HR = 1.57 [95% CI, 1.18-2.07]), mechanical ventilation (HR = 2.43 [95% CI, 1.67-3.53]), central venous catheter (HR = 1.70 [95% CI, 1.21-2.41]), and total parenteral nutrition (HR = 4.04 [95% CI, 2.61-6.25]). CONCLUSION: The recognition of RFs for NIs is an important tool for the identification and development of interventions to minimize such risks in the NICU.     

Risk factors for Acinetobacter baumannii nosocomial bacteremia in critically ill patients: a cohort study.

Nosocomial bacteremia caused by Acinetobacter baumannii (AB) is of increasing concern in critically ill patients, and the risk factors for this infection are not well established. An inception cohort study in a 40-bed medical and surgical intensive care unit (ICU) at a single institution was conducted during a 2-year period to determine the risk factors for AB nosocomial bacteremia. Risk factors related to the underlying diseases, the clinical picture at admission, and those acquired during the stay in the ICU were recorded upon admission and daily throughout the ICU stay. We defined an "invasive procedures index" as the number of invasive procedures performed every day during the ICU stay before the onset of AB bacteremia divided by the number of days in the ICU before the onset of AB bacteremia. Risk factors that were independently associated with AB bacteremia were immunosuppression, unscheduled admission to the hospital, respiratory failure at ICU admission, previous antimicrobial therapy, previous sepsis in the ICU, and the invasive procedures index.     

Risk factors for recurrent thrombosis: prospective study of a cohort of Japanese systemic lupus erythematosus

Not only antiphospholipid antibodies (aPLs) but also other factors should be considered in assessing the risk of thrombosis development in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and antiphospholipid antibodies (aPLs). The kinds of risk factors, including past history of thrombotic event (PHTE), hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus (DM), obesity, and smoking, in conjunction with aPLs, that contribute to the development of new thrombotic events in patients with SLE and aPLs were studied prospectively over a 5-year observation period. One-hundred and sixty-six Japanese patients with SLE (55 patients with aPLs and 111 patients without aPLs) were examined and followed up for 5 years. Five major risk factors for ischemic coronary disease and stroke according to the Framingham heart cohort study were evaluated objectively in these patients. A significant difference was seen for 4 factors: past history of thrombotic event (PHTE; odds ratio: 101.93; 95% confidence interval: 12.29-845.22; p < 0.0001), hypertension (odds ratio: 8.87; 95% CI: 2.58-30.53; p < 0.001), DM (odds ratio: 5.42; 95% CI: 1.44-20.46; p < 0.05), and lupus anticoagulant (LAC; odds ratio: 47.41; 95% CI: 5.88-382.03, p < 0.0001) as aPLs, when the incidence of these risk factors was compared between patients with and without new thrombotic events. Furthermore, PHTE (odds ratio: 30.19, 95% CI: 1.33-683.13), hypertension (odds ratio: 15.44; 95% CI: 1.77-134.80), and LAC (odds ratio: 14.11; 95% CI: 0.48-412.42) showed higher odds ratios than DM (odds ratio: 11.53; 95% CI: 0.83-159.94) on multivariate logistic analysis as well as analysis of the combination of risk factors, suggesting that these are important risk factors for the development of new thrombotic events in patients with SLE and aPLs.     

Risk factors for defaulting from tuberculosis treatment: a prospective cohort study of 301 cases in the Gambia.

SETTING: An urban tuberculosis (TB) clinic, The Gambia. OBJECTIVE: To identify patient characteristics associated with increased rates of defaulting from treatment, specifically knowledge and cost factors amenable to intervention. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of TB cases at least 15 years of age commencing treatment, interviewed by semi-structured questionnaire and followed for attendance at thrice-weekly directly observed treatment (DOT). RESULTS: Of 301 patients, 76 (25.2%) defaulted from treatment and 25 did not return for treatment. The defaulting rate was higher among those who said they were uncertain that their treatment would work (HR 3.64; 95%CI 1.42-9.31, P = 0.007) and among those who incurred significant time or money costs travelling to receive treatment (HR 2.67; 95%CI 1.05-6.81; P = 0.04). These factors had differing effects with respect to time: uncertainty over treatment success was important in the first 90 days of treatment, while increased cost of travelling to the clinic was important after 90 days. CONCLUSION: In The Gambia, risk groups for defaulting can be recognised at the start of treatment and are at highest risk at different times. Home-based self-administration of medications after 3 months of DOT should be considered as confidence in treatment success rises, and the costs of travelling to receive treatment start to take their toll.     

Risk factors for pulmonary embolism in patients preliminarily diagnosed with community-acquired pneumonia: a prospective cohort study

D-dimer levels are increased in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). However, D-dimer levels are also increased in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). The aim of this prospective cohort study was to examine the incidence and clinical features of patients preliminarily diagnosed with CAP and with increased D-dimer levels, and who finally were diagnosed with PE. Patients diagnosed with CAP and hospitalized in the Respiratory Department of the Tenth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Tongji University between May 2011 and May 2013 were enrolled. D-dimer levels were measured routinely after admission. For patients with increased D-dimer levels, those suspected with PE underwent computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA). A total of 2387 patients with CAP was included: 724 (30.3 %) had increased D-dimer levels (median of 0.91 mg/L). CTPA was performed for 139 of the 724 patients (median D-dimer levels of 1.99 mg/L). Among the 139 patients, 80 were diagnosed with PE, and 59 without PE; D-dimer levels were 2.83 and 1.41 mg/L, respectively (p < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that age, coronary heart disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), lower limb varicosity, chest pain, shortness of breath, hemoptysis, fever, and increased levels of troponin I were independent risk factors for PE. Presentation of PE and CAP are similar. Nevertheless, these results indicated that for hospitalized patients with CAP and elevated D-dimer levels, PE should be considered for those >60 years; with CHD, COPD, or lower limb varicosity; with chest pain, shortness of breath, hemoptysis, increased troponin I, or low fever.     

Risk factors for total hip replacement due to primary osteoarthritis: a cohort study in 50,034 persons

OBJECTIVE: To identify prospectively the possible risk factors for total hip replacement (THR) due to primary osteoarthritis in a large cohort. METHODS: Data from a cardiovascular screening were matched with 9 years of national data on THR. Mean age at the start of followup was 54.9 years, and the 50,034 participants were followed up for an average of 9 years. During followup, 672 persons had a first THR due to primary osteoarthritis. RESULTS: We found dose-response associations between body mass index (BMI), body weight, and the level of physical activity at work and THR for primary osteoarthritis. The highest versus the lowest quarter of BMI had a relative risk of 2.0 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.4-2.9) among men and 3.0 (95% CI 2.1-4.1) among women. The highest versus the lowest quarter of body weight had a relative risk of 2.1 (95% CI 1.4-3.2) among men and 3.4 (95% CI 2.4-4.9) among women. Intensive versus sedentary physical activity at work had a relative risk of 2.1 (95% CI 1.5-3.0) among men and 2.1 (95% CI 1.3-3.3) among women. No association was found between physical activity in leisure and THR for primary osteoarthritis. CONCLUSION: Intensive physical activity at work and a high BMI each contribute significantly to the overall risk of undergoing THR due to primary osteoarthritis. Lowering the exposure to these risk factors may substantially reduce the need for hip replacement.