Cold weather and GP consultations for respiratory conditions by elderly people in␣16 locations in the UK

Background: Cold weather is associated with increases in mortality and demands on hospital services in the UK, particularly by the elderly. Less is known about the relationship with patterns of consultation in primary care. We wished to determine the magnitude and consistency of associations between cold temperature and consultations for respiratory conditions in primary care settings at different sites in the UK. Methods: Time series analysis of any short-term effects of temperature on daily general practitioner (GP) consultations made by elderly people (65+ years) for lower and upper respiratory tract infections (LRTI, URTI) over a 10-year period, 1992–2001. Practices were situated in 16 urban locations across the UK where a Met Office monitoring station was in operation. Results: An association between low temperatures and an increase in LRTI consultations was observed in all 16 locations studied. The biggest increase was estimated for the Norwich practices for which a 19.0% increase in LRTI consultations (95% CI 13.6, 24.7) was associated with every 1 °C drop in mean temperature below 5 °C observed 0–20 days before the day of consultation. Slightly weaker relationships were observed in the case of URTI consultations. A north/south gradient, with larger temperature effects in the north, was in evidence for both LRTI and URTI consultations. Conclusions: An effect that was consistent and generally strongest in populations in the north was observed between cold temperature and respiratory consultations. Better understanding of the mechanisms by which cold weather is associated with increases in consultations for respiratory infections could lead to improved strategies for prevention and reduced burdens for health services.     

The impact of climate on the prevalence of respiratory tract infections in early childhood in Lahore, Pakistan.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory tract infections are a major health problem in developing countries. The aim of this study was to analyse the impact of the climate on the prevalence of upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) and lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) in four socioeconomically different groups in a developing country. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted among children in four socioeconomically different groups in Lahore, Pakistan. Monthly observations were made on 1476 infants born during 1984-1987 and followed for 24 months. Prevalence of URTI and LRTI was analysed according to age, area of living, family size, time of birth, the season of the year and climate variables such as rain, temperature and humidity. RESULTS: Low monthly average minimum day temperature was associated with high prevalence of URTI and LRTI. For LRTI the impact of temperature was larger for boys, children living in larger families and children living in the poorer areas. This pattern was not seen for URTI. A peak in prevalence for LRTI was shown at 5-6 months of age for LRTI and at 10-12 months of age for URTI. CONCLUSIONS: Temperature is related to prevalence of URTI and LRTI in a developing society. The effect of temperature on health varies between different subgroups. These effects should be considered in planning health actions to prevent respiratory tract infections.     

Consultations for Influenza-Like Illness in Primary Care in The Netherlands: A Regression Approach

ObjectivesTo estimate the general practitioner (GP) consultation rate attributable to influenza in The Netherlands.MethodsRegression analysis was performed on the weekly numbers of influenza-like illness (ILI) GP consultations and laboratory reports for influenza virus types A and B and 8 other pathogens over the period 2003–2014 (11 influenza seasons; week 40–20 of the following year).ResultsIn an average influenza season, 27% and 11% of ILI GP consultations were attributed to infection by influenza virus types A and B, respectively. Influenza is therefore responsible for approximately 107 000 GP consultations (651/100 000) each year in The Netherlands. GP consultation rates associated with influenza infection were highest in children under 5 years of age, at 667 of 100 000 for influenza A and 258 of 100 000 for influenza B. Influenza virus infection was found to be the predominant cause of ILI-related GP visits in all age groups except children under 5, in which respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection was found to be the main contributor.ConclusionsThe burden of influenza in terms of GP consultations is considerable. Overall, influenza is the main contributor to ILI. Although ILI symptoms in children under 5 years of age are most often associated with RSV infection, the majority of visits related to influenza occur among children under 5 years of age.     

Higher than expected seasonal influenza activity in Victoria, 2007

In 2007, the Victorian influenza season exceeded normal seasonal activity thresholds. The average rate of influenza-like illness (ILI) reported by general practitioners (GPs) participating in sentinel surveillance was 9.0 cases per 1,000 consultations, peaking at 22 cases per 1,000 consultations in mid-August. The average ILI rate reported by the Melbourne Medical Locum Service (MMLS) was 11.5 per 1,000 consultations over the season. The MMLS ILI rate peaked at 30 per 1,000 consultations at the same time as peak rates were reported by GPs, with a secondary peak observed three weeks later (22 cases per 1,000 consultations). Influenza cases notified to the Victorian Department of Human Services peaked in mid-August with a secondary peak of influenza A in early September. Of the influenza positive swabs collected by GPs and among those collected throughout the state, 92% were type A and 8% were type B. The most common strains identified in Victoria in the 2007 influenza season were A/ Brisbane/10/2007-like followed by A/Solomon Islands/3/2006-like. While neither virus strain was specifically included in the 2007 Australian influenza vaccine, reasonable cross protection was afforded by the strains in the vaccine.     

Effectiveness of trivalent and pandemic influenza vaccines in England and Wales 2008-2010: results from a cohort study in general practice

Estimation of influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) is complicated by various degrees of mismatch between circulating and vaccine strains each season. We carried out a cohort study to estimate VE of trivalent (TIV) and pandemic influenza vaccines (PIV) in preventing various respiratory outcomes among general practice (GP) patients in England and Wales between 2008 and 2010. Dates of consultations for influenza-like illness (ILI), acute respiratory tract infection (ARTI), lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and nasopharyngeal swabs were obtained from the patient-level electronic records of the 100 practices enrolled in a national GP network. Dates of vaccination with TIV and PIV were also extracted. Confounders including age, time period and consultation frequency were adjusted for through Poisson regression models. In the winter of 2008/9, adjusted VE of TIV in preventing ILI was 22.3% (95% CI 13.5%, 30.2%). During the 2009/10 winter VE for PIV in preventing ILI was 21.0% (5.3%, 34.0%). The VE for PIV in preventing PCR-confirmed influenza A/H1N1 (2009) was 63.7% (-6.1%, 87.6%). TIV during the period of influenza circulation of 2008/9 and PIV in the winter of 2009/10 were effective in preventing GP consultations for ILI. The cohort study design could be used each season to estimate VE; however, residual confounding by indication could still present issues, despite adjustment for propensity to consult.     

Influenza surveillance in Victoria, 2006

The Victorian influenza season in 2006 remained within normal seasonal activity thresholds and was relatively mild compared with recent years. The season peaked in mid-August, with influenza-like illness (ILI) rates from general practitioner sentinel surveillance and the Melbourne Medical Locum Service (MMLS), and cases of laboratory-confirmed influenza notified to the Department of Human Services, reaching their zeniths within one week of each other. A total of 74 general practitioners (GPs) participated in the sentinel surveillance in 2006, reporting a total of 136,732 consultations during the surveillance period from May to September inclusive. Participating GPs reported a total of 765 patients with an ILI; an average ILI rate of 5.6 cases per 1,000 consultations. The average ILI rate from the MMLS in the same period was 8.5 cases per 1,000 call-outs. Eighty-two per cent of laboratory-confirmed influenza notifications during the surveillance period were type A; the remainder were type B. Typing indicated circulation of two predominant strains during the season: A/Wisconsin/67/2005(H3N2)-like virus and B/Malaysia/2506/2004-like virus. The influenza vaccine for 2006 contained A/New Caledonia/20/ 99(H1N1)-like virus, A/California/7/2004(H3N2)-like virus and B/Malaysia/2506/2004-like virus.     

Early-Life Exposure to Outdoor Air Pollution and Respiratory Health,Ear Infections,and Eczema in Infants from the INMA Study

Background: Prenatal and early-life periods may be critical windows for harmful effects of air pollution on infant health.Objectives: We studied the association of air pollution exposure during pregnancy and the first year of life with respiratory illnesses, ear infections, and eczema during the first 12–18 months of age in a Spanish birth cohort of 2,199 infants.Methods: We obtained parentally reported information on doctor-diagnosed lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) and parental reports of wheezing, eczema, and ear infections. We estimated individual exposures to nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) and benzene with temporally adjusted land use regression models. We used log-binomial regression models and a combined random-effects meta-analysis to estimate the effects of air pollution exposure on health outcomes across the four study locations.Results: A 10-µg/m³ increase in average NO₂ during pregnancy was associated with LRTI [relative risk (RR) = 1.05; 95% CI: 0.98, 1.12] and ear infections (RR = 1.18; 95% CI: 0.98, 1.41). The RRs for an interquartile range (IQR) increase in NO₂ were 1.08 (95% CI: 0.97, 1.21) for LRTI and 1.31 (95% CI: 0.97, 1.76) for ear infections. Compared with NO₂, the association for an IQR increase in average benzene exposure was similar for LRTI (RR = 1.06; 95% CI: 0.94, 1.19) and slightly lower for ear infections (RR = 1.17; 95% CI: 0.93, 1.46). Associations were slightly stronger among infants whose mothers spent more time at home during pregnancy. Air pollution exposure during the first year was highly correlated with prenatal exposure, so we were unable to discern the relative importance of each exposure period.Conclusions: Our findings support the hypothesis that early-life exposure to ambient air pollution may increase the risk of upper and lower respiratory tract infections in infants.     

Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 infection in patients with hematologic malignancy

To assess outcomes of patients with hematologic malignancy and pandemic (H1N1) 2009 infection, we reviewed cases during June-December 2009 at the University of California San Francisco Medical Center. Seventeen (63%) and 10 (37%) patients had upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) and lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI), respectively. Cough (85%) and fever (70%) were the most common signs; 19% of patients had nausea, vomiting, or diarrhea. Sixty-five percent of URTI patients were outpatients; 35% recovered without antiviral therapy. All LRTI patients were hospitalized; half required intensive care unit admission. Complications included acute respiratory distress syndrome, pneumomediastinum, myocarditis, and development of oseltamivir-resistant virus; 3 patients died. Of the 3 patients with nosocomial pandemic (H1N1) 2009, 2 died. Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 may cause serious illness in patients with hematologic malignancy, primarily those with LRTI. Rigorous infection control, improved techniques for diagnosing respiratory disease, and early antiviral therapy can prevent nosocomial transmission and optimize patient care.     

Impact of the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on hospital admissions in children under three years of age in Iceland

IntroductionPneumococcus is an important respiratory pathogen. The 10-valent pneumococcal vaccine (PHiD-CV) was introduced into the Icelandic vaccination programme in 2011. The aim was to estimate the impact of PHiD-CV on paediatric hospitalisations for respiratory tract infections and invasive disease.MethodsThe 2005–2015 birth-cohorts were followed until three years of age and hospitalisations were recorded for invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), meningitis, sepsis, pneumonia and otitis media. Hospitalisations for upper- and lower respiratory tract infections (URTI, LRTI) were used as comparators. The 2005–2010 birth-cohorts were defined as vaccine non-eligible cohorts (VNEC) and 2011–2015 birth-cohorts as vaccine eligible cohorts (VEC). Incidence rates (IR) were estimated for diagnoses, birth-cohorts and age groups, and incidence rate ratios (IRR) between VNEC and VEC were calculated assuming Poisson variance. Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of hospitalisation between VNEC and VEC.Results51,264 children were followed for 142,315 person-years, accumulating 1,703 hospitalisations for the respective study diagnoses. Hospitalisations for pneumonia decreased by 20% (HR 0.80, 95%CI:0.67–0.95) despite a 32% increase in admissions for LRTI (HR 1.32, 95%CI:1.14–1.53). Hospital admissions for culture-confirmed IPD decreased by 93% (HR 0.07, 95%CI:0.01–0.50) and no hospitalisations for IPD with vaccine-type pneumococci were observed in the VEC. Hospitalisations for meningitis and sepsis did not change. A decrease in hospital admissions for otitis media was observed, but did not coincide with PHiD-CV introduction.ConclusionFollowing the introduction of PHiD-CV in Iceland, hospitalisations for pneumonia and culture confirmed IPD decreased. Admissions for other LRTIs and URTIs increased during this period.     

The risk of lower respiratory tract infection following influenza virus infection: A systematic and narrative review

BackgroundLower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) are a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, particularly in young children and older adults. Influenza is known to cause severe disease but the risk of developing LRTI following influenza virus infection in various populations has not been systematically reviewed. Such data are important for estimating the impact specific influenza vaccine programs would have on LRTI outcomes in a community. We sought to review the published literature to determine the risk of developing LRTI following an influenza virus infection in individuals of any age.Methods and findingsWe conducted a systematic review to identify prospective studies that estimated the incidence of LRTI following laboratory-confirmed influenza virus infection. We searched PubMed, Medline, and Embase databases for relevant literature. We supplemented this search with a narrative review of influenza and LRTI. The systematic review identified two prospective studies that both followed children less than 5 years. We also identified one additional pediatric study from our narrative review meeting the study inclusion criteria. Finally, we summarized recent case-control studies on the etiology of pneumonia in both adults and children.ConclusionsThere is a dearth of prospective studies evaluating the risk of developing LRTI following influenza virus infection. Determining the burden of severe LRTI that is attributable to influenza is necessary to estimate the benefits of influenza vaccine on this important public health outcome. Vaccine probe studies are an efficient way to evaluate these questions and should be encouraged going forward.     

Labelling of acute respiratory illness: evidence of between-practitioner variation in the UK

BACKGROUND: It is unclear which symptoms and signs GPs use when attributing diagnostic labels to patients with acute respiratory illness (ARI). OBJECTIVE: We sought to ascertain GPs' self-reported definitions of ARI. METHODS: A postal questionnaire concerned with the diagnosis of ARI was sent to all registered GPs in Avon Health Authority. GPs were asked to choose a clinical term that would describe the clinical presentation in four hypothetical patients, and the next three questions asked them to define acute bronchitis, upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) and any other term they used for ARI (excluding pneumonia). We measured proportions and compared responses across the three diagnostic categories. RESULTS: The majority (88%) of GPs agreed that cough associated with fever should be labelled as a URTI. When sputum and chest signs were also present, opinion was more divided, with 62% diagnosing acute bronchitis in young patients and 72% lower respiratory tract infection in old patients. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that there is more consistent use of diagnostic labels for URTI than for acute bronchitis or other terms used to label ARI. In the future, researchers should quantify the prognostic significance of symptoms and signs in ARI and provide GPs with a more rational approach to the diagnosis and management of ARI.     

北京市老年人群流行性感冒疫苗免疫效果及成本效益评价

目的评价老年人群接种流行性感冒(流感)疫苗的效果和效益。方法选取北京市朝阳区和宣武区590名接种过流感疫苗,且年龄>60岁的老年人群为接种组,在社区中随机选择与接种组年龄、性别、健康状况等相匹配的602名未接种流感疫苗者为对照组。采用流行病学试验方法,在基线调查的基础上,分别于流感疫苗接种(基线调查)后的第1、3和6个月对试验组和对照组进行随访调查。结果接种组流感样疾病的发病率和就诊率均低于对照组,接种后第1、3和6个月内流感疫苗对流感样疾病的保护率分别为52.38%、36.84%和37.89%;接种流感疫苗减少流感样疾病就诊率分别为45.16%、50.54%和50.54%。接种组患感冒、其他呼吸系统疾病和慢性病的发病率和就诊率低于对照组,接种流感疫苗对感冒、其他呼吸道疾病和其他慢性疾病的保护率分别为49.54%、64.54%和38.82%。老年人群接种流感疫苗后第3和6个月内所获得的效益成本比为4.97∶1和4.98∶1。结论老年人群接种流感疫苗能有效地预防流感样疾病的发生,降低流感相关慢性疾病的发病率和复发率,且能够获得较高的成本效益。     

Portrait of outpatient visits and hospitalizations for acute infections in Nunavik preschool children

OBJECTIVE: Inuit children from around the world are burdened by a high rate of infectious diseases. The objective of this study was to evaluate the incidence rate of infections in Inuit preschool children from Nunavik (Northern Québec). METHODS: The medical chart of 354 children from a previously recruited cohort was reviewed for the first five years of life. All outpatient visits that led to a diagnosis of acute infection and all admissions for acute infections were recorded. RESULTS: Rates of outpatient visits for acute otitis media (AOM) were 2314, 2300, and 732 events/1000 child-years for children 0-11 months, 12-23 months, and 2-4 years, respectively. Rates of outpatient visits for lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) were 1385, 930, and 328 events/1000 child-years, respectively. Rates of hospitalization for pneumonia were 198, 119, and 31 events/1000 child-years, respectively. CONCLUSION: Inuit children from Nunavik have high rates of AOM and LRTI. Such rates were higher than that of other non-native North-American populations previously published. Admission for LRTI is up to 10 times more frequent in Nunavik compared to other Canadian populations.     

Lower incidence of the upper respiratory tract infections among general practitioners as compared to their patients

A retrospective cohort study suggest that general practitioners (GPs) run a significant reduced risk (more then 50%) to develop an upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) with fever compared to their patients. This difference can't be explained by variables such as gender, age, children and particularly young children, vaccination against influenza, presence of chronic illness or allergies, medication taken on a regular basis, smoking habits and regular physical exercise.     

Surveillance of lower respiratory tract infections outbreaks in nursing homes in France

Lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) are the leading cause of infectious deaths in nursing homes. An early reporting procedure of LRTI outbreaks to local public health authorities was set up in France in 2006 in order to reduce the morbidity and the mortality related to these events. Local public health authorities reported these outbreaks to the French institute for Public Health Surveillance through a web application allowing a real-time exchange of information. Between August 2006 and July 2007, 64 outbreaks were reported. In more than 30% of the episodes, influenza virus was detected. On average, attacks rates were 22% for the residents and 7% for the staff. Staff members were affected in at least 56% of outbreaks. Average influenza vaccine uptake was 91% for the residents and 38% for the staff. The time for control measures implementation was 6.7 days on average and control measures were implemented after reporting in 36% of outbreaks. When control measures were implemented more than 2 days after the onset of the first case, the duration of outbreaks was longer (16.4 days vs. 8.3 days, P < 0.005) and residents had an increased rate of LRTI (P < 0.001) than when these measures were implemented earlier. These data show that the influenza immunization coverage for staff working in nursing homes is limited. The implementation of control measures is often delayed, although recommendations stress that they should start upon diagnosis of the first case. Reporting creates a dialog between nursing homes and public health professionals which facilitates outbreak management.     

Seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness against medically attended influenza illness among children aged 6–59 months,October 2011–September 2012: A matched test-negative case–control study in Suzhou,China

BackgroundSeasonal influenza infections among young children in China lead to substantial numbers of hospitalizations and financial burden. This study assessed the seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against laboratory confirmed medically attended influenza illness among children in Suzhou, China, from October 2011–September 2012.MethodsWe conducted a test-negative case–control study among children aged 6–59 months who sought care at Soochow University Affiliated Children's Hospital (SCH) from October 2011–September 2012. A case was defined as a child with influenza-like illness (ILI) or severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) with an influenza-positive nasopharyngeal swab by rRT-PCR. Controls were selected from children presenting with ILI or SARI without laboratory confirmed influenza. We conducted 1:1 matching by age and admission date. Vaccination status was verified from the citywide immunization system database. VE was calculated with conditional logistic regression: (1 − OR) × 100%.ResultDuring the study period, 2634 children aged 6–59 months presented to SCH with ILI (1975) or SARI (659) and were tested for influenza. The vaccination records were available for 69% (1829; ILI: 1354, SARI: 475). Among those, 23% (427) tested positive for influenza, and were included as cases. Among influenza positive cases, the vaccination rates were 3.2% for SARI and 4.5% for ILI. Among controls, the vaccination rates were 13% for SARI, and 11% for ILI. The overall VE against lab-confirmed medically attended influenza virus infection was 67% (95% CI: 41–82). The VE for SARI was 75% (95% CI: 11–93) and for ILI was 64% (95% CI: 31–82).ConclusionsThe seasonal influenza vaccine was effective against medically attended lab-confirmed influenza infection in children aged 6–59 months in Suzhou, China in the 2011–12 influenza season. Increasing seasonal influenza vaccination among young children in Suzhou may decrease medically attended influenza-associated ILI and SARI cases in this population.     

Inside the routine general practice consultation: an observational study of consultations for sore throats

OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to examine how GPs manage the consultation for upper resiratory tract infections (URTIs) and the prescribing of antibiotics, to understand what skills and strategies are used in managing URTIs without antibiotics, and to note evidence of pressure on doctors to prescribe and whether there are signs of overt disagreement about prescribing in the consultation. METHODS: A qualitative analysis of audiotaped consultations was carried out. The setting was a general practice in South Wales and the subjects were five GPs and 29 parents presenting children with URTIs over a 2-week period. The main outcome measures were skills and strategies identified from audiotapes of consultations. RESULTS: This group of GPs used a set of readily identifiable consulting skills for managing the consultation without prescribing. Their consultations had a highly routinized quality. There was little evidence of either conflict or overt pressure from parents to prescribe. The word 'antibiotics' was seldom mentioned. Clinicians did not elicit patient expectations for receiving antibiotics. CONCLUSIONS: Doctors use a set of readily identifiable skills in managing the URTI consultation. Avoiding the prescribing of antibiotics is not necessarily a simple and straightforward matter. Since patients apparently want antibiotics less than anticipated, eliciting expectations might be a way of reducing prescribing and broadening the approach to meeting patient needs. Whether doctors can adjust their routinized consulting patterns in the time-limited context of general practice remains an open question.