The Limited Clinical Utility of Testosterone,Estradiol, and Sex Hormone Binding Globulin Measurements in the Prediction of Fracture Risk and Bone Loss in Older Men

Measurement of serum testosterone (T) levels is recommended in the evaluation of osteoporosis in older men and estradiol (E2) and sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) levels are associated with the rate of bone loss and fractures, but the clinical utility of sex steroid and SHBG measurements for the evaluation of osteoporosis in men has not been examined. To evaluate whether measurements of T, E2, and/or SHBG are useful for the prediction of fracture risk or the rate of bone loss in older men, we analyzed longitudinal data from 5487 community‐based men participating in the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) study in the United States, Sweden, and Hong Kong. Serum T, E2, and SHBG levels were assessed at baseline; incident fractures were self‐reported at 4‐month intervals with radiographic verification (US), or ascertained via national health records (Sweden, Hong Kong). Rate of bone loss was assessed by serial measures of hip bone mineral density (BMD). We used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) to assess improvement in prediction. Mean age at baseline was 72 to 75 years and the prevalence of low T levels (<300 ng/dL) was 7.6% to 21.3% in the three cohorts. There were 619 incident major osteoporotic and 266 hip fractures during follow‐up of approximately 10 years. Based on ROC curves, there were no improvements in fracture risk discrimination for any biochemical measure when added to models, including the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) with BMD. Although minor improvements in NRI were observed for the dichotomous parameters low bioavailable E2 (BioE2) (<11.4 pg/mL) and high SHBG (>59.1 nM), neither sex steroids nor SHBG provided clinically useful improvement in fracture risk discrimination. Similarly, they did not contribute to the prediction of BMD change. In conclusion, there is limited clinical utility of serum E2, T, and SHBG measures for the evaluation of osteoporosis risk in elderly men. © 2016 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Total Hip Bone Mineral Density as an Indicator of Fracture Risk in Bisphosphonate-Treated Patients in a Real-World Setting

Bone mineral density (BMD) is an established measure used to diagnose patients with osteoporosis. In clinical trials, change in BMD has been shown to provide a reliable estimate of fracture risk reduction, and achieved BMD T-score has been shown to reflect the near-term risk of fracture. We aimed to test the association between BMD T-score and fracture risk in patients treated for osteoporosis in a real-world setting. This retrospective, observational cohort study included Swedish females aged ≥55 years who had a total hip BMD measurement at one of three participating clinics. Patients were separated into two cohorts: bisphosphonate-treated and bisphosphonate-naïve prior to BMD measurement, stratified by age and prior nonvertebral fracture status. The primary outcome was cumulative incidence of clinical fractures within 24 months of BMD measurement, with other fracture types included as secondary outcomes. Associations between T-score and fracture risk were estimated using proportional hazards regression and restricted cubic splines. A total of 15,395 patients were analyzed: 11,973 bisphosphonate-naïve and 3422 bisphosphonate-treated. In the 24 months following BMD measurement, 6.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.9–6.7) of bisphosphonate-naïve and 8.4% (95% CI, 7.5–9.4) of bisphosphonate-treated patients experienced a clinical fracture. Strong inverse relationships between BMD T-score and fracture incidence were observed in both cohorts. Among bisphosphonate-naïve patients, this relationship appeared to plateau around T-score −1.5, indicating smaller marginal reductions in fracture risk above this value; bisphosphonate-treated patients showed a more consistent marginal change in fracture risk across the evaluated T-scores (−3.0 to –0.5). Trends remained robust regardless of age and prior fracture status. This real-world demonstration of a BMD–fracture risk association in both bisphosphonate-naïve and bisphosphonate-treated patients extends evidence from clinical trials and recent meta-regressions supporting the suitability of total hip BMD as a meaningful outcome for the clinical management of patients with osteoporosis. © 2021 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).     

Change in Trabecular Bone Score (TBS) With Antiresorptive Therapy Does Not Predict Fracture in Women: The Manitoba BMD Cohort

Bone mineral density (BMD) and trabecular bone score (TBS), along with additional clinical risk factors, can be used to identify individuals at high fracture risk. Whether change in TBS in untreated or treated women independently affects fracture risk is unclear. Using the Manitoba (Canada) DXA Registry containing all BMD results for the population we identified 9044 women age ≥40 years with two consecutive DXA scans and who were not receiving osteoporosis treatment at baseline (baseline mean age 62 ± 10 years). We examined BMD and TBS change, osteoporosis treatment, and incident major osteoporotic fractures (MOFs) for each individual. Over a mean of 7.7 years follow‐up, 770 women developed an incident MOF. During the interval between the two DXA scans (mean, 4.1 years), 5083 women initiated osteoporosis treatment (bisphosphonate use 80%) whereas 3961 women did not receive any osteoporosis treatment. Larger gains in both BMD and TBS were seen in women with greater adherence to osteoporosis medication (p for trend <0.001), and the magnitude of the increase was consistently greater for BMD than for TBS. Among treated women there was greater antifracture effect for each SD increase in total hip BMD change (fracture decrease 20%; 95% CI, 13% to 26%; p < 0.001), femoral neck BMD change (19%; 95% CI, 12% to 26%; p < 0.001), and lumbar spine BMD change (9%; 95% CI, 0% to 17%; p = 0.049). In contrast, change in TBS did not predict fractures in women who initiated osteoporosis treatment (p = 0.10). Among untreated women neither change in BMD or TBS predicted fractures. We conclude that, unlike antiresorptive treatment–related changes in BMD, change in lumbar spine TBS is not a useful indicator of fracture risk irrespective of osteoporosis treatment. © 2016 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Trabecular Bone Score (TBS) Predicts Vertebral Fractures in Japanese Women Over 10 Years Independently of Bone Density and Prevalent Vertebral Deformity: The Japanese Population‐Based Osteoporosis (JPOS) Cohort Study

Bone strength is predominantly determined by bone density, but bone microarchitecture also plays an important role. We examined whether trabecular bone score (TBS) predicts the risk of vertebral fractures in a Japanese female cohort. Of 1950 randomly selected women aged 15 to 79 years, we analyzed data from 665 women aged 50 years and older, who completed the baseline study and at least one follow‐up survey over 10 years, and who had no conditions affecting bone metabolism. Each survey included spinal imaging by dual‐energy X‐ray absorptiometry (DXA) for vertebral fracture assessment and spine areal bone mineral density (aBMD) measurement. TBS was obtained from spine DXA scans archived in the baseline study. Incident vertebral fracture was determined when vertebral height was reduced by 20% or more and satisfied McCloskey‐Kanis criteria or Genant's grade 2 fracture at follow‐up. Among eligible women (mean age 64.1 ± 8.1 years), 92 suffered incident vertebral fractures (16.7/10³ person‐years). These women were older with lower aBMD and TBS values relative to those without fractures. The unadjusted odds ratio of vertebral fractures for one standard deviation decrease in TBS was 1.98 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.56, 2.51) and remained significant (1.64, 95% CI 1.25, 2.15) after adjusting for aBMD. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of TBS and aBMD combined was 0.700 for vertebral fracture prediction and was not significantly greater than that of aBMD alone (0.673). However, reclassification improvement measures indicated that TBS and aBMD combined significantly improved risk prediction accuracy compared with aBMD alone. Further inclusion of age and prevalent vertebral deformity in the model improved vertebral fracture prediction, and TBS remained significant in the model. Thus, lower TBS was associated with higher risk of vertebral fracture over 10 years independently of aBMD and clinical risk factors including prevalent vertebral deformity. TBS could effectively improve fracture risk assessment in clinical settings. © 2014 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Major Osteoporotic to Hip Fracture Ratios in Canadian Men and Women With Swedish Comparisons: A Population‐Based Analysis

Fracture Risk Assessment (FRAX) tools are calibrated from country‐specific fracture epidemiology. Although hip fracture data are usually available, data on non‐hip fractures for most countries are often lacking. In such cases, rates are often estimated by assuming similar non‐hip to hip fracture ratios from historical (1987 to 1996) Swedish data. Evidence that countries share similar fracture ratios is limited. Using data from Manitoba, Canada (2000 to 2007, population 1.2 million), we identified 21,850 incident major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) in men and women aged >50 years. Population‐based age‐ and sex‐specific ratios of clinical vertebral, forearm, and humerus fractures to hip fractures were calculated, along with odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). All ratios showed decreasing trends with increasing age for both men and women. Men and women showed similar vertebral/hip fracture ratios (all p > 0.1, with ORs 0.86 to 1.25). Forearm/hip and humerus/hip fracture ratios were significantly lower among men than women (forearm/hip ratio: p < 0.01 for all age groups, with ORs 0.29 to 0.53; humerus/hip ratio: p < 0.05 for all age groups [except 80 to 84 years] with ORs 0.46 to 0.86). Ratios for any MOF/hip fracture were also significantly lower among men than women in all but two subgroups (p < 0.05 for all age groups [except 80 to 84 and 90+ years] with ORs 0.48 to 0.87). Swedish vertebral/hip fracture ratios were similar to the Canadian fracture ratios (within 7%) but significantly lower for other sites (men and women: 46% and 35% lower for forearm/hip ratios, 19% and 15% lower for humerus/hip ratios, and 19% and 23% lower for any MOF/hip ratios). These differences have implications for updating and calibrating FRAX tools, fracture risk estimation, and intervention rates. Moreover, wherever possible, it is important that countries try to collect accurate non‐hip fracture data. © 2014 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research     

Clinical Performance of the Updated Trabecular Bone Score (TBS) Algorithm,Which Accounts for the Soft Tissue Thickness: The OsteoLaus Study

Regional soft tissue may have a noise effect on trabecular bone score (TBS) and eventually alter its estimate. The current TBS software (TBS iNsight®) is based on an algorithm accounting for body mass index (BMI) (TBS_v3.03). We aimed to explore the updated TBS algorithm that accounts for soft tissue thickness (TBS_v4.0). This study was embedded in the OsteoLaus cohort of women in Lausanne, Switzerland. Hip and lumbar spine (LS) dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans were performed using Discovery A System (Hologic). The incident major osteoporotic fractures (MOFs) were assessed from vertebral fracture assessments using Genant's method (vertebral MOF) or questionnaires (nonvertebral MOF). We assessed the correlations of bone mineral density (BMD) or TBS with body composition parameters; MOF prediction ability of both versions of TBS; and the differences between Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) adjusted for TBS_v3.03 or TBS_v4.0. In total, 1362 women with mean ± SD age 64.4 ± 7.5 years and mean ± SD BMI 25.9 ± 4.5 kg/m² were followed for 4.4 years and 132 experienced an MOF. All the anthropometric measurements of our interest were positively correlated with LS, femoral neck, or hip BMD and TBS_v4.0; whereas with TBS_v3.03 their correlations were negative. In the models adjusted for age, soft tissue thickness, osteoporotic treatment, and LS-BMD, for each SD decline in TBS_v3.03, there was a 43% (OR 1.43; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.83) increase in the odds of having MOF; whereas for each SD decline in TBS_v4.0, there was a 54% (OR 1.54; 95% CI, 1.18 to 2.00) increase in the odds of having an MOF. Both FRAXs were very strongly correlated and the mild differences were present in the already high-risk women for MOF. This study shows that TBS_v4.0 overcomes the debatable residual negative correlation of the current TBS with body size and composition parameters, postulating itself as free from the previously acknowledged technical limitation of TBS. © 2019 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Limited Clinical Utility of a Genetic Risk Score for the Prediction of Fracture Risk in Elderly Subjects

It is important to identify the patients at highest risk of fractures. A recent large‐scale meta‐analysis identified 63 autosomal single‐nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with bone mineral density (BMD), of which 16 were also associated with fracture risk. Based on these findings, two genetic risk scores (GRS63 and GRS16) were developed. Our aim was to determine the clinical usefulness of these GRSs for the prediction of BMD, BMD change, and fracture risk in elderly subjects. We studied two male (Osteoporotic Fractures in Men Study [MrOS] US, MrOS Sweden) and one female (Study of Osteoporotic Fractures [SOF]) large prospective cohorts of older subjects, looking at BMD, BMD change, and radiographically and/or medically confirmed incident fractures (8067 subjects, 2185 incident nonvertebral or vertebral fractures). GRS63 was associated with BMD (?3% of the variation explained) but not with BMD change. Both GRS63 and GRS16 were associated with fractures. After BMD adjustment, the effect sizes for these associations were substantially reduced. Similar results were found using an unweighted GRS63 and an unweighted GRS16 compared with those found using the corresponding weighted risk scores. Only minor improvements in C‐statistics (AUC) for fractures were found when the GRSs were added to a base model (age, weight, and height), and no significant improvements in C‐statistics were found when they were added to a model further adjusted for BMD. Net reclassification improvements with the addition of the GRSs to a base model were modest and substantially attenuated in BMD‐adjusted models. GRS63 is associated with BMD, but not BMD change, suggesting that the genetic determinants of BMD differ from those of BMD change. When BMD is known, the clinical utility of the two GRSs for fracture prediction is limited in elderly subjects. © 2014 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Dietary Inflammatory Index,Bone Mineral Density,and Risk of Fracture in Postmenopausal Women: Results From the Women's Health Initiative

Previous studies suggest that bone loss and fracture risk are associated with higher inflammatory milieu, potentially modifiable by diet. The primary objective of this analysis was to evaluate the association of the dietary inflammatory index (DII), a measure of the inflammatory potential of diet, with risk of hip, lower‐arm, and total fracture using longitudinal data from the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study and Clinical Trials. Secondarily, we evaluated changes in bone mineral density (BMD) and DII scores. DII scores were calculated from baseline food frequency questionnaires (FFQs) completed by 160,191 participants (mean age 63 years) without history of hip fracture at enrollment. Year 3 FFQs were used to calculate a DII change score. Fractures were reported at least annually; hip fractures were confirmed by medical records. Hazard ratios for fractures were computed using multivariable‐adjusted Cox proportional hazard models, further stratified by age and race/ethnicity. Pairwise comparisons of changes in hip BMD, measured by dual‐energy X‐ray absorptiometry from baseline, year 3, and year 6 were analyzed by quartile (Q1 = least inflammatory diet) of baseline DII scores in a subgroup of women (n = 10,290). Mean DII score improved significantly over 3 years (p < 0.01), but change was not associated with fracture risk. Baseline DII score was only associated with hip fracture risk in younger white women (HR Q4,1.48; 95% CI, 1.09 to 2.01; p = 0.01). There were no significant associations among white women older than 63 years or other races/ethnicities. Women with the least inflammatory DII scores had less loss of hip BMD (p = 0.01) by year 6, despite lower baseline hip BMD, versus women with the most inflammatory DII scores. In conclusion, a less inflammatory dietary pattern was associated with less BMD loss in postmenopausal women. A more inflammatory diet was associated with increased hip fracture risk only in white women younger than 63 years. © 2016 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Relationship Between Bone Mineral Density T-Score and Nonvertebral Fracture Risk Over 10 Years of Denosumab Treatment

Although treat-to-target strategies are being discussed in osteoporosis, there is little evidence of what the target should be to reduce fracture risk maximally. We investigated the relationship between total hip BMD T-score and the incidence of nonvertebral fracture in women who received up to 10 years of continued denosumab therapy in the FREEDOM (3 years) study and its long-term Extension (up to 7 years) study. We report the percentages of women who achieved a range of T-scores at the total hip or femoral neck over 10 years of denosumab treatment (1343 women completed 10 years of treatment). The incidence of nonvertebral fractures was lower with higher total hip T-score. This relationship plateaued at a T-score between -2.0 and -1.5 and was independent of age and prevalent vertebral fractures, similar to observations in treatment-naïve subjects. Reaching a specific T-score during denosumab treatment was dependent on the baseline T-score, with higher T-scores at baseline more likely to result in higher T-scores at each time point during the study. Our findings highlight the importance of follow-up BMD measurements in patients receiving denosumab therapy because BMD remains a robust indicator of fracture risk. These data support the notion of a specific T-score threshold as a practical target for therapy in osteoporosis. © 2019 The Authors Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR)     

Performance of FRAX and FRAX-Based Treatment Thresholds in Women Aged 40 Years and Older: The Manitoba BMD Registry

We examined among women aged ≥40 years the performance of the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) and FRAX-based osteoporosis treatment thresholds under the US National Osteoporosis Foundation (NOF) and UK National Osteoporosis Guideline Group (NOGG) guidelines. We used registry data for all women aged ≥40 years in Manitoba, Canada, with baseline bone mineral density (BMD) testing (n = 54,459). Incident major osteoporotic fracture (MOF), hip fracture, and clinical fracture were assessed from population-based health services data (mean follow-up 10.5 years). Age-stratified hazard ratios (HR) were estimated from Cox regression models. We assessed the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), number needed to screen (NNS), and number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent a fracture (assuming 20% relative risk reduction on treatment) for osteoporosis treatment thresholds under the NOF and NOGG guidelines. Femoral neck T-score and FRAX (with and without BMD) predicted all fracture outcomes at all ages. There was good calibration in FRAX-predicted versus observed 10-year MOF and hip fracture probability. Overall sensitivity (PPV) for incident MOF was 25.7% (24.0%) for femoral neck T-score ≤ –2.5; 20.3% (26.3%) for FRAX (with BMD)-predicted 10-year MOF risk ≥20% (NOF threshold); 27.3% (22.0%) for FRAX-predicted 10-year MOF risk ≥ age-dependent cut-off (NOGG threshold), 59.4% (19.0%) for the NOF treatment algorithm; and 28.5% (18.4%) for the NOGG treatment algorithm. Sensitivity for identifying incident MOF varied by age, ranging from 0.0% to 26.3% in women 40 to 49 years old and from 49.0% to 93.3% in women aged 80+ years. The gradient of risk for fracture prediction from femoral neck T-score and FRAX (with and without BMD) as continuous measures was strong across the age spectrum. The sensitivity and PPV of the strategies based on dichotomous cut-offs are low, especially among women aged 40 to 49 years (who have lowest incidence rates). Threshold-based approaches should be reassessed, particularly in younger women. © 2019 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Association of 3D Geometric Measures Derived From Quantitative Computed Tomography With Hip Fracture Risk in Older Men

We investigated the associations of 3D geometric measures and volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) of the proximal femur assessed by quantitative computed tomography (QCT) with hip fracture risk among elderly men. This study was a prospective case‐cohort design nested within the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men Study (MrOS) cohort. QCT scans of 230 men (65 with confirmed hip fractures) were evaluated with Mindways' QCTPRO‐BIT software. Measures that are indicative of bone strength for the femoral neck (FN) and for the trochanteric region (TR) were defined. Bending strength measures were estimated by minimum section modulus, buckling strength by buckling ratio, and a local thinning index (LTI). Integral and trabecular vBMD measures were also derived. Areal BMD (aBMD) of the total proximal femur from dual‐energy X‐ray absorptiometry (DXA) is presented for comparison. Associations of skeletal measures with incident hip fracture were estimated with hazard ratios (HR) per standard deviation and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) from Cox proportional hazard regression models with adjustment for age, body mass index (BMI), site, and aBMD. Men with hip fractures were older than men without fracture (77.1 ± 6.0 years versus 73.3 ± 5.7 years, p < 0.01). Age, BMI, and site‐adjusted HRs were significant for all measures except TR_LTI. Total femural BMD by DXA (HR = 4.9, 95% CI 2.5–9.9) and QCT (HR = 5.5, 95% CI 2.5–11.7) showed the strongest association followed by QCT FN integral vBMD (HR = 3.6, 95% CI 1.8–6.9). In models that additionally included aBMD, FN buckling ratio (HR = 1.9, 95% CI 1.1–3.2) and trabecular vBMD of the TR (HR = 2.0, 95% CI 1.2–3.4) remained associated with hip fracture risk, independent of aBMD. QCT‐derived 3D geometric indices of instability of the proximal femur were significantly associated with incident hip fractures, independent of DXA aBMD. Buckling of the FN is a relevant failure mode not entirely captured by DXA. Further research to study these relationships in women is warranted. © 2016 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Contribution of Lumbar Spine BMD to Fracture Risk in Individuals With T‐Score Discordance

Fracture risk estimates are usually based on femoral neck (FN) BMD. It is unclear how to address T‐score discordance, where lumbar spine (LS) T‐score is lower than FN T‐score. The objective of this work was to examine the impact of LS BMD on fracture risk, in individuals with lower LS T‐score than FN T‐score. Participants aged 60+ years from the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study with LS and FN BMD measured at first visit, and were followed from 1989 to 2014. Five‐hundred and seventy‐three (573) of 2270 women and 131 of 1373 men had lower LS than FN T‐score by ≥0.6 standard deviation (SD) (low‐LS group based on least significant change). In low‐LS women, each 1 SD lower LS T‐score than FN was associated with a 30% increase in fracture risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.30; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.45). For low‐LS men there was a 20% nonsignificant increase in fracture risk for each 1 SD lower LS than FN T‐score (HR 1.20; 95% CI, 0.10 to 1.67). Low‐LS women had greater absolute fracture risks than the rest of the women. This increased risk was more apparent for lower levels of FN T‐score and in older age groups. At an FN T‐score of –2, low‐LS women had a 3%, 10%, and 23% higher 5‐year absolute fracture risk than non‐low LS women in the 60 to 69 year, 70 to 79 year, and 80+ years age‐groups, respectively. Furthermore, an osteoporotic LS T‐score increased 5‐year absolute fracture risk for women with normal or osteopenic FN T‐score by 10% to 13%. Men in the low‐LS group had very few fractures; therefore, a meaningful analyses of fracture risk could not be conducted. This study shows the significant contribution of lower LS BMD to fracture risk over and above FN BMD in women. A LS BMD lower than FN BMD should be incorporated into fracture risk calculators at least for women in older age‐groups. © 2015 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

The Prevalence of Vertebral Fractures Is Associated With Reduced Hip Bone Density and Inferior Peripheral Appendicular Volumetric Bone Density and Structure in Older Women

Vertebral fractures (VFs) are among the most severe and prevalent osteoporotic fractures. Their association with bone microstructure have been investigated in several retrospective case‐control studies with spine radiography for diagnosis of VF. The aim of this population‐based cross‐sectional study of 1027 women aged 75 to 80 years was to investigate if prevalent VF, identified by vertebral fracture assessment (VFA) by dual‐energy X‐ray absorptiometry (DXA), was associated with appendicular volumetric bone density, structure, and bone material strength index (BMSi), independently of hip areal bone mineral density (aBMD). aBMD was measured using DXA (Discovery; Hologic); BMSi with microindentation (Osteoprobe); and bone geometry, volumetric BMD, and microstructure with high‐resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HRpQCT) (XtremeCT; Scanco Medical AG). aBMD was lower (spine 3.2%, total hip [TH] 3.8%) at all sites in women with VF, but tibia BMSi did not differ significantly compared to women without VF. In multivariable adjusted logistic regression models, radius trabecular bone volume fraction and tibia cortical area (odds ratio [OR] 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], [1.06 to 1.49]; and OR 1.27 [95% CI, 1.08 to 1.49], respectively) were associated with VF prevalence, whereas BMSi and cortical porosity were not. The risk of having one, two, or more than two VFs was increased 1.27 (95% CI, 1.04 to 1.54), 1.83 (95% CI, 1.28 to 2.61), and 1.78 (95% CI, 1.03 to 3.09) times, respectively, for each SD decrease in TH aBMD. When including either cortical area, trabecular bone volume fraction or TBS in the model together with TH aBMD and covariates, only TH aBMD remained independently associated with presence of any VF. In conclusion, TH aBMD was consistently associated with prevalent VFA‐verified VF, whereas neither trabecular bone volume fraction, cortical area, cortical porosity, nor BMSi were independently associated with VF in older women. © 2017 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

High Imminent Vertebral Fracture Risk in Subjects With COPD With a Prevalent or Incident Vertebral Fracture

Subjects with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have an increased risk of vertebral fractures (VFs); however, VF incidence is largely unknown. Therefore, the aim of our study was to determine the incidence of new and/or worsening VF in subjects with COPD. Smokers and subjects with COPD (GOLD II–IV) from the ECLIPSE study with complete set of chest CT scans (baseline and 1‐ and 3‐year follow‐up) to evaluate vertebrae T₁ down to L₁ were included. If a VF was diagnosed on the last scan, detailed VF assessment of the previous scans was performed. VFs were scored according to the method of Genant as mild, moderate, or severe. Main outcome measure was the cumulative incidence of new and/or worsening VF at subject level, within 1 and 3 years. Of 1239 subjects (mean age 61 years, 757 males [61%], 999 subjects with COPD), 253 (20.5%) had ≥1 prevalent VF. The cumulative incidence of VFs was 10.1% within 1 year and 24.0% within 3 years. After adjustment for age, sex, body mass index (BMI), pack‐years, and smoking status, prevalence and incidence were similar between smokers and COPD GOLD stages. Within 1 year, 29.2% of the subjects with a prevalent VF had an incident VF, compared with 5.1% in absence of prevalent VF (hazard ratio [HR] = 5.1; 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.6–7.4) and 58.5% versus 15.0% within 3 years (HR = 3.6; 95% CI 2.9–4.6). The incidence of VF was higher with increasing number and severity of prevalent VFs. Among subjects having an incident VF within the first year, 57.3% had a subsequent VF within the next 2 years. In this study, more than half of the smokers and subjects with COPD with a prevalent VF or an incident VF within the first year sustained a subsequent VF within 3 years. The 3‐year risk was even higher in the presence of multiple or severe prevalent VFs. © 2018 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research Published by Wiley Periodicals Inc.     

FRAME Study: The Foundation Effect of Building Bone With 1 Year of Romosozumab Leads to Continued Lower Fracture Risk After Transition to Denosumab

Romosozumab is a bone‐forming agent with a dual effect of increasing bone formation and decreasing bone resorption. In FRActure study in postmenopausal woMen with ostEoporosis (FRAME), postmenopausal women with osteoporosis received romosozumab 210 mg s.c. or placebo once monthly for 12 months, followed by denosumab 60 mg s.c. once every 6 months in both groups for 12 months. One year of romosozumab increased spine and hip BMD by 13% and 7%, respectively, and reduced vertebral and clinical fractures with persistent fracture risk reduction upon transition to denosumab over 24 months. Here, we further characterize the BMD gains with romosozumab by quantifying the percentages of patients who responded at varying magnitudes; report the mean T‐score changes from baseline over the 2‐year study and contrast these results with the long‐term BMD gains seen with denosumab during Fracture REduction Evaluation of Denosumab in Osteoporosis every 6 Months (FREEDOM) and its Extension studies; and assess fracture incidence rates in year 2, when all patients received denosumab. Among 7180 patients (n = 3591 placebo, n = 3589 romosozumab), most romosozumab‐treated patients experienced ≥3% gains in BMD from baseline at month 12 (spine, 96%; hip, 78%) compared with placebo (spine, 22%; hip, 16%). For romosozumab patients, mean absolute T‐score increases at the spine and hip were 0.88 and 0.32, respectively, at 12 months (placebo: 0.03 and 0.01) and 1.11 and 0.45 at 24 months (placebo‐to‐denosumab: 0.38 and 0.17), with the 2‐year gains approximating the effect of 7 years of continuous denosumab administration. Patients receiving romosozumab versus placebo in year 1 had significantly fewer vertebral fractures in year 2 (81% relative reduction; p < 0.001), with fewer fractures consistently observed across other fracture categories. The data support the clinical benefit of rebuilding the skeletal foundation with romosozumab before transitioning to antiresorptive therapy. © 2018 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

Metabolomics Insights into Osteoporosis Through Association With Bone Mineral Density

Osteoporosis, a disease characterized by low bone mineral density (BMD), increases the risk for fractures. Conventional risk factors alone do not completely explain measured BMD or osteoporotic fracture risk. Metabolomics may provide additional information. We aim to identify BMD-associated metabolomic markers that are predictive of fracture risk. We assessed 209 plasma metabolites by liquid chromatography with tandem mass spectrometry (LC–MS/MS) in 1552 Framingham Offspring Study participants, and measured femoral neck (FN) and lumbar spine (LS) BMD 2 to 10 years later using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. We assessed osteoporotic fractures up to 27-year follow-up after metabolomic profiling. We identified 27 metabolites associated with FN-BMD or LS-BMD by LASSO regression with internal validation. Incorporating selected metabolites significantly improved the prediction and the classification of osteoporotic fracture risk beyond conventional risk factors (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.74 for the model with identified metabolites and risk factors versus AUC = 0.70 with risk factors alone, p = .001; net reclassification index = 0.07, p = .03). We replicated significant improvement in fracture prediction by incorporating selected metabolites in 634 participants from the Hong Kong Osteoporosis Study (HKOS). The glycine, serine, and threonine metabolism pathway (including four identified metabolites: creatine, dimethylglycine, glycine, and serine) was significantly enriched (false discovery rate [FDR] p value = .028). Furthermore, three causally related metabolites (glycine, phosphatidylcholine [PC], and triacylglycerol [TAG]) were negatively associated with FN-BMD, whereas PC and TAG were negatively associated with LS-BMD through Mendelian randomization analysis. In summary, metabolites associated with BMD are helpful in osteoporotic fracture risk prediction. Potential causal mechanisms explaining the three metabolites on BMD are worthy of further experimental validation. Our findings may provide novel insights into the pathogenesis of osteoporosis. © 2021 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).