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1.

Background

Febrile neutropenia (FN) is a serious adverse event associated with myelotoxic chemotherapy that predisposes patients to life-threatening bacterial infections. Prophylaxis with granulocyte colony-stimulating factors (G-CSFs) from the first cycle of chemotherapy is recommended by the 2006 American Society of Clinical Oncology, 2008 National Comprehensive Cancer Network and 2006 European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer guidelines when the overall risk of FN is approximately 20% or higher. Once-per-cycle pegfilgrastim and daily filgrastim are two commonly used G-CSFs with different dosing schedules and associated costs.

Objective

To evaluate the cost effectiveness of pegfilgrastim versus filgrastim primary prophylaxis in women with early-stage breast cancer receiving chemotherapy in the UK.

Methods

A decision-analytic model was constructed from the UK NHS perspective with a lifetime study horizon. The model simulated three clinical scenarios: scenario 1 assumed that pegfilgrastim and filgrastim had differential impact on the risk of FN; scenario 2 assumed additional differential impact on FN-related mortality; and scenario 3 assumed additional differential impact on chemotherapy relative dose intensity (RDI) with long-term survival effects. The base-case population included 45-year-old women with stage II breast cancer receiving four chemotherapy cycles, with an FN risk of approximately 20% or higher. Model inputs, including FN risk, FN case-fatality, RDI, impact of RDI on survival and utility scores, were based on a review of the literature and expert panel validation. Using data from the literature, it was estimated that the absolute risk of FN associated with pegfilgrastim was 5.5% lower than with 11-day filgrastim (7% vs 12.5%), and 10.5% lower than with 6-day filgrastim (7% vs 17.5%). Costs were taken from official price lists or the literature and included drugs, drug administration, FN-related hospitalizations and subsequent medical costs. Breast cancer mortality and all-cause mortality were obtained from official statistics. The main outcome measures were the costs (d, year 2006 values) per percentage decrease in (absolute) FN risk, per FN event avoided, per life-year gained (LYG), and per QALY gained. Model robustness was tested using deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

Results

Pegfilgrastim was cost saving compared with 11-day filgrastim (£3196 vs £4315). Compared with 6-day filgrastim, pegfilgrastim was associated with a cost of £4200 per FN event avoided, or £42 per 1% decrease in absolute risk of FN, in scenario 1. In scenario 2, pegfilgrastim provided 0.055 more LYGs or 0.052 more QALYs at a minimal cost increase of d441 (£3196 vs £2754) per person, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £8075/LYG or £8526/QALY. In scenario 3, when all potential benefits of G-CSF were considered, the ICER became £3955/LYG or £4161/QALY. Results were most sensitive to the relative risk of FN for 6-day filgrastim versus pegfilgrastim.

Conclusions

In this UK analysis, pegfilgrastim appears to dominate 11-day use of filgrastim. The value of pegfilgrastim versus 6-day filgrastim at £4161-8526/QALY was very favourable compared with the commonly used threshold in the UK. In this setting, primary prophylaxis with pegfilgrastim may be cost effective compared with filgrastim.  相似文献   

2.
Objectives:  Our purpose was to assess the cost-effectiveness of intraperitoneal chemohyperthermia (IPCH) compared to palliative chemotherapy (STANDARD) against peritoneal carcinomatosis arising from colorectal cancer.
Methods:  We performed a retrospective study of 96 patients whose peritoneal carcinomatosis had been diagnosed between January 1998 and December 2003 and treated either with IPCH or with palliative chemotherapy in French comprehensive cancer centers. Patients were followed up over a 3-year period. Effectiveness was measured by restricted mean survival at 3 years. The Bang and Tsiatis method was used to handle cost-censored data. The confidence limits of the mean cost per patient in each group and the mean incremental cost per life-year saved were computed using 1000 bootstrapreplicates. We also computed an acceptability curve for the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).
Results:  We found that IPCH improved survival and was more costly than STANDARD treatment. Over a 3-year observation period, IPCH yielded an average survival gain of 8.3 months at the additional cost of €58,086 (95% confidence interval 35,893–112,839) per life-year saved.
Conclusion:  The ICER of IPCH is acceptable given the severity and burden of peritoneal carcinomatosis for which there is no alternative curative treatment.  相似文献   

3.
Objective:  We sought to determine lifetime costs, morbidity, and mortality associated with varying adherence to antihypertensive and 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-coenzyme A reductase inhibitors (statin) therapy in a hypertensive population.
Methods:  A model was constructed to compare costs and outcomes under three adherence scenarios: no treatment, ideal adherence, and real-world adherence. Simulated patients' characteristics matched those of participants in the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial–Lipid-Lowering Arm and event probabilities were calculated with Framingham Heart Study risk equations. The real-world adherence scenario employed adherence data from an observational study of a US population; risk reductions at each level of adherence were based on linear extrapolations from clinical trials. Outputs included life expectancy, frequencies of primary and secondary coronary heart disease and stroke, and direct medical costs in 2006 US$. The incremental cost per life-year gained and incremental cost per event avoided were calculated comparing the three adherence scenarios.
Results:  Mean life expectancy was 14.73 years (no-treatment scenario), 15.07 (real-world adherence), and 15.49 (ideal adherence). The average number of cardiovascular events per patients was 0.738 (no treatment), 0.610 (real-world adherence), and 0.441 (ideal adherence). The incremental cost of real-world adherence versus no treatment is $30,585 per life-year gained, and ideal adherence versus real-world adherence is $22,121 per life-year gained.
Conclusions:  Hypertensive patients taking antihypertensive and statin therapy at real-world adherence levels can be expected to receive approximately 50% of the potential benefit seen in clinical trials. Depending on its cost, the incremental benefits of an effective adherence intervention program could make it an attractive value.  相似文献   

4.
《Value in health》2015,18(4):387-395
BackgroundThe use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in the treatment of advanced ovarian cancer has increased in recent years. There is uncertainty about NAC’s effectiveness and no study of its cost-effectiveness compared with that of standard primary debulking surgery (PDS).ObjectivesTo seek answers to three important questions: 1) What is the lifetime cost of treating elderly patients with advanced ovarian cancer, based on the primary treatment received? 2) Are the extra costs expended by the NAC group worth any extra survival advantage? 3) Would NAC potentially benefit a particular subgroup and serve as a cost-effective first-line treatment approach?MethodsA cohort of elderly women (≥65 years) with stage III/IV ovarian cancer was identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results-Medicare linked database from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2009. Cost analysis was conducted from a payer perspective, and direct medical costs incurred by Medicare were integrated for each patient. Cumulative treatment costs were estimated with a phase-of-care approach, and effectiveness was measured as years of survival. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and propensity-score–adjusted net monetary benefit regression was used to estimate the cost-effectiveness of NAC per life-year gained. Analyses were further stratified by risk group categorization on the basis of tumor stage, patient age, and comorbidity score.ResultsAverage lifetime cost for treatment with NAC was $17,417 more than with PDS. With only 0.1 incremental life-year gained, the ICER estimate was $174,173. Stratification, however, helped to delineate the treatment effect. Patients in the high-risk subgroup incurred $34,390 and 0.8 life-years more than did patients in the PDS subgroup, with a corresponding ICER of $42,987. In the non–high-risk subgroup, NAC use was dominated by PDS (more costly, less effective).ConclusionsAdministering NAC before surgery to patients in the high-risk subgroup was cost-effective at “normal” levels of willingness to pay, but not for the overall sample or for patients in the non–high-risk subgroup.  相似文献   

5.
Zi Chen  MD  PhD  Chun Wang  MD  Xiaoping Xu  MD  Weiwei Feng  PhD 《Value in health》2009,12(S3):S85-S88
Objective:  Imatinib, a breakthrough oral molecular-targeted therapy, has demonstrated durable responses and significant survival advantage compared with interferon-based treatment. This study compares imatinib with interferon in newly diagnosed chronic-phase chronic myeloid leukemia (CML-CP) patients from the Chinese public health-care system perspective (CPHSP).
Methods:  One-year cost responder and lifetime cost-utility analyses were conducted, respectively. Complete cytogenetic response was used to define a responder. Direct medical costs were included. Response rates as well as survival estimates were obtained from published literature.
Results:  The cost per responder for interferon was close to 20 times higher than that for imatinib. The cost per additional responder was RMB36,545. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) comparing imatinib with interferon was RMB73,674 (95% confidence interval RMB67,712–RMB79,637) per quality-adjusted life-year.
Conclusion:  In newly diagnosed CML-CP, the cost per responder for patients treated with imatinib is much lower than that for patients treated with interferon. In the cost-utility analysis, the ICER is below the cost-effectiveness threshold recommended by the World Health Organization for developing countries. Therefore, imatinib is more cost-effective than interferon from the CPHSP.  相似文献   

6.
Wen Chen  PhD  Zefei Jiang  MD  Zhimin Shao  MD  Qiang Sun  MD  Kunwei Shen  MD 《Value in health》2009,12(S3):S82-S84
Objective:  One-year adjuvant trastuzumab therapy increases disease-free and overall survival in the adjuvant treatment of early HER2-positive breast cancer. This study aims to assess the long-term cost-effectiveness of adjuvant trastuzumab treatment in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou.
Methods:  A Markov health-state transition model was constructed to simulate the natural development of breast cancer based on HERceptin Adjuvant (HERA) trial, estimate costs and disease progression over a lifetime perspective with annual transition cycles, and evaluate the cost-effectiveness of 1-year adjuvant trastuzumab treatment group compared with the standard adjuvant chemotherapy. From the perspective of a China health insurance system, cost was calculated based on a survey from clinical expert panels.
Results:  On the basis of HERA data, the model results showed that the utilization of adjuvant trastuzumab treatment in early breast cancer can prolong 2.87 life years, compared with the standard chemotherapy group. The incremental cost for an additional life-year gained (LYG) was US$7564, US$7933, and US$7929 in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou, respectively. If measured by quality-adjusted life-year, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was US$7676, US$8049, and US$8046, respectively.
Conclusion:  The results suggest that the 1-year adjuvant trastuzumab treatment is cost-effective. Both clinical and economic benefits were superior for the 1-year adjuvant trastuzumab treatment group compared with the standard adjuvant chemotherapy group.  相似文献   

7.
Objectives:  The primary risk of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) is rupture, which is associated with a high mortality rate. Elective surgical options for AAA include open repair (OR) and endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR). EVAR is less invasive than OR, and therefore may have less surgical risk than OR. However, the graft used for EVAR is much more expensive then the graft used for OR.
Methods:  A decision model with a 10-year time horizon was used to assess the cost-effectiveness of EVAR versus OR. The primary outcome measure was quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). The model incorporated the costs and benefits of both perioperative outcomes and postoperative outcomes. A systematic review was conducted to derive clinical outcome rates. Cost and utility model variables were based on various literature sources and data from a recent Canadian observational study. Parameter uncertainty was assessed using probabilistic sensitivity analysis.
Results:  In the base-case model, the incremental cost per QALY of EVAR was estimated to be $268,337, whereas the incremental cost per life-year was found to be $444,129. The incremental cost per QALY of EVAR remained above $295,715 under different assumptions of cohort age and model time horizon.
Conclusions:  Based on commonly quoted willingness-to-pay thresholds, EVAR was not found to be cost-effective compared to OR.  相似文献   

8.
Chris Skedgel  MDE    Daniel Rayson  MD    Tallal Younis  MBBCh  FRCP 《Value in health》2009,12(5):641-648
Background:  The efficacy of sequential adjuvant trastuzumab (aTZ) after chemotherapy in women with early-stage human epidermal growth factor-2 (HER2/neu)-positive breast cancer reported by the updated Herceptin Adjuvant (HERA) trial appears less favorable than originally reported. Based on these updated results, we estimated the cost-utility (CU) of sequential aTZ relative to chemotherapy alone in terms of incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained.
Methods:  A Markov model estimated incremental costs and outcomes of 12 months of aTZ after adjuvant chemotherapy in women with HER2/neu-positive breast cancer over a 25-year horizon. The model incorporated four broad health states (disease-free, local recurrence [LCR], distant recurrence [DCR], death), stratified with or without symptomatic cardiotoxicity. Baseline event rates and 3-year relative risk (RR = 0.75) were derived from the HERA trial. As the duration of the benefit remains uncertain, the analysis considered 5-year and 3-year duration of benefit in two scenarios. Costs and utility weights were from the literature. The analysis took a direct payer perspective, with costs reported in 2007 Canadian dollars. Costs and QALYs were discounted by 3% annually.
Results:  The mean CU of sequential aTZ at a 25-year horizon was $72,292 per QALY gained in the 5-year scenario and $127,862 per QALY gained in the 3-year scenario. Results were particularly sensitive to the magnitude and duration of carryover benefit.
Conclusions:  The CU of sequential aTZ is primarily dependent on the magnitude and duration of benefit. Further clinical research is required to establish the optimum sequence and duration of aTZ therapy and clarify the magnitude and duration of treatment benefit.  相似文献   

9.
Elamin H. Elbasha  PhD    Erik J. Dasbach  PhD    Ralph P. Insinga  PhD    Richard M. Haupt  MD    Eliav Barr  MD 《Value in health》2009,12(5):697-707
Background:  The risk of infection with human papillomavirus (HPV) increases with age. Answering the question of which age groups are appropriate to target for catch-up vaccination with the newly licensed quadrivalent HPV vaccine (types 6/11/16/18) will be important for developing vaccine policy recommendations.
Objectives:  To assess the value of varying female HPV vaccination strategies by specific age groups of a catch-up program in the United States.
Methods:  The authors used previously published mathematical population dynamic model and cost-utility analysis to evaluate the public health impact and cost-effectiveness of alternative quadrivalent HPV (6/11/16/18) vaccination strategies. The model simulates heterosexual transmission of HPV infection and occurrence of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN), cervical cancer, and external genital warts in an age-structured population stratified by sex and sexual activity groups. The cost-utility analysis estimates the cost of vaccination, screening, diagnosis, and treatment of HPV diseases, and quality-adjusted survival.
Results:  Compared with the current screening practices, vaccinating girls and women ages 12 to 24 years was the most effective strategy, reducing the number of HPV6/11/16/18-related genital warts, CIN grades 2 and 3, and cervical cancer cases among women in the next 25 years by 3,049,285, 1,399,935, and 30,021; respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of this strategy when compared with vaccinating girls and women ages 12 to 19 years was $10,986 per quality-adjusted life-year gained.
Conclusion:  Relative to other commonly accepted health-care programs, vaccinating girls and women ages 12 to 24 years appears cost-effective.  相似文献   

10.
Objective:  Coronary heart disease (CHD) is associated with a large burden of disease in Ireland and is responsible for more than 6000 deaths annually. This study examined the cost-effectiveness of specific CHD treatments in Ireland.
Methods:  Irish epidemiological data on patient numbers and median survival in specific groups, plus the uptake, effectiveness, and costs of specific interventions, all stratified by age and sex, were incorporated into a previously validated CHD mortality model, the IMPACT model. This model calculates the number of life-years gained (LYGs) by specific cardiology interventions to generate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per LYG for each intervention.
Results:  In 2000, medical and surgical treatments together prevented or postponed approximately 1885 CHD deaths in patients aged 25 to 84 years, and thus generated approximately 14,505 extra life-years (minimum 7270, maximum 22,475). In general, all the cardiac interventions investigated were highly cost-effective in the Irish setting. Aspirin, beta-blockers, ACE inhibitors, spironolactone, and warfarin for specific conditions were the most cost-effective interventions (<€3000/LYG), followed by the statins for secondary prevention (<€6500/LYG). Revascularization for chronic angina and primary angioplasty for myocardial infarction, although still cost-effective, had the highest ICER (between €12,000 and €20,000/LYG).
Conclusions:  Using a comprehensive standardized methodology, cost-effectiveness ratios in this study clearly favored simple medical treatments for myocardial infarction, secondary prevention, angina, and heart failure.  相似文献   

11.
Objective:  This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of varenicline compared with the other smoking cessation interventions, bupropion, nicotine replacement therapy (NRT), and willpower.
Methods:  The Benefits of Smoking Cessation on Outcomes model was modified to reflect major smoking-related diseases in Korea. Transitional probabilities, resource utilization, and costs were obtained from Korean public data. The analysis was carried out from a societal perspective for the lifetime period. Also, series of sensitivity analyses, including probabilistic sensitivity analysis, were performed.
Results:  With the exclusion of bupropion, which is subject to extended dominance, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for varenicline versus NRT was analyzed as $US4809 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) during the lifetime. The results of sensitivity analysis are quite stable across most of the included parameters. The acceptability curves showed that the probability of varenicline being cost-effective was 83.3% at the willingness to pay of $US15,000.
Conclusions:  Even though the maximum willingness to pay for a QALY has not officially been defined, varenicline can be regarded as cost-effective because the ICER is at the 24.0% level of per capital gross domestic product, which is an implicit reference for decision-making in Korea.  相似文献   

12.
Objective:  To estimate the long-term cost-effectiveness of using continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion (CSII) compared with multiple daily injections (MDI) of insulin in adult and child/young adult type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) patients from a third-party payer perspective in the United States.
Method:  A previously validated health economic model was used to determine the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of CSII compared with MDI using published clinical and cost data. The primary input variable was change in HbA1c, and was assumed to be an improvement of −0.9% to −1.2% for CSII compared with MDI for child/young adult and adults, respectively. A series of Markov constructs simulated the progression of diabetes-related complications.
Results:  CSII was associated with an improvement in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained of 1.061 versus MDI for adults and 0.799 versus MDI for children/young adults. ICERs were $16,992 and $27,195 per QALY gained for CSII versus MDI in adults and children/young adults, respectively. Improved glycemic control from CSII led to a lower incidence of diabetes complications, with the most significant reduction in proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR), end stage renal disease (ESRD), and peripheral vascular disease (PVD). The number needed to treat (NNT) for PDR was nine patients, suggesting that only nine patients need to be treated with CSII to avoid one case of PDR. The NNT for ESRD and PVD was 19 and 41, respectively.
Conclusions:  Setting the willingness to pay at $50,000/QALY, the analysis demonstrated that CSII is a cost-effective option for patients with T1DM in the United States.  相似文献   

13.
《Value in health》2015,18(8):1079-1087
BackgroundPrevious economic evaluations of cinacalcet in patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism (sHPT) relied on the combination of surrogate end points in clinical trials and epidemiologic studies.ObjectivesThe objective was to conduct an economic evaluation of cinacalcet on the basis of the EValuation Of Cinacalcet HCl Therapy to Lower CardioVascular Events (EVOLVE) trial from a US payer perspective.MethodsWe developed a semi-Markov model to assess the cost-effectiveness of cinacalcet in addition to conventional therapy, compared with conventional therapy alone, in patients with moderate-to-severe sHPT receiving hemodialysis. We used treatment effect estimates from the unadjusted intent-to-treat (ITT) analysis and prespecified covariate-adjusted ITT analysis as our main analyses. We assessed model sensitivity to variations in individual inputs and overall decision uncertainty through probabilistic sensitivity analyses.ResultsThe incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for cinacalcet was $61,705 per life-year and $79,562 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained using the covariate-adjusted ITT analysis. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggested a 73.2% chance of the ICER being below a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000. Treatment effects from unadjusted ITT analysis yielded an ICER of $115,876 per QALY. The model was most sensitive to the treatment effect on mortality.ConclusionsIn the unadjusted ITT analysis, cinacalcet does not represent a cost- effective use of health care resources when applying a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per QALY. When using the covariate-adjusted ITT treatment effect, which represents the least biased estimate, however, cinacalcet is a cost-effective therapy for patients with moderate-to-severe sHPT on hemodialysis.  相似文献   

14.
ObjectiveTo determine the incremental cost-effectiveness of clopidogrel plus aspirin (C + A) compared with aspirin (A) alone during the Clopidogrel for High Atherothrombotic Risk and Ischemic Stabilization, Management and Avoidance (CHARISMA) trial from a US payer perspective.BackgroundAlthough the CHARISMA trial did not find a benefit of adding clopidogrel to aspirin in its overall study cohort, a benefit was suggested in a prespecified subgroup of patients with established cardiovascular (CV) disease. The cost-effectiveness of dual antiplatelet therapy in this population is unknown.MethodsMedical resource utilization was assessed prospectively, and costs for hospitalizations, physician services, outpatient care, and medications were assigned using 2007 US dollars. Life expectancy was estimated contingent on fatal and nonfatal CV events using statistical models of long-term survival from the Saskatchewan Health database.ResultsC + A was associated with a 12.5% relative reduction in CV death, myocardial infarction, or stroke compared with A alone (6.9% vs. 7.9%, P = 0.048) over a median 28 months of follow-up. Severe or moderate bleeding events were higher in patients receiving C + A versus A alone (3.6% vs. 2.5%, P < 0.001). Mean cost/patient was $2607 higher for C + A, while projected life expectancy increased by an average of 0.072 years due to fewer in-trial events. The resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for C + A was $36,343/year of life gained. Findings were insensitive to discount rate, life expectancy projections, post-event costs, and indirect costs from lost productivity; the ICER was most sensitive to the cost of clopidogrel. Bootstrap analysis demonstrated that the ICER for C + A remained <$50,000/life-year gained in 70.6% of bootstrap replicates and <$100,000/life-year gained in 87.4%.ConclusionsAmong patients with established CV disease, adding clopidogrel to aspirin appears to increase life expectancy modestly at a cost generally considered acceptable within the US health-care system.  相似文献   

15.
Objectives:  Clinical trial data indicate that posaconazole is superior to fluconazole (FLU) or itraconazole (ITRA) in preventing invasive fungal infections (IFIs) among neutropenic patients. Our objective was to assess the cost-effectiveness of posaconazole versus FLU or ITRA for prevention of IFIs among neutropenic patients.
Methods:  We used modeling techniques to assess the cost-effectiveness of posaconazole versus FLU or ITRA in the prevention of IFIs among patients with acute myelogenous leukemia (AML) or myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and chemotherapy-induced neutropenia. The probabilities of experiencing an IFI, IFI-related death, and death from other causes over 100 days of follow-up were estimated from clinical trial data. Long-term mortality, drug costs, and IFI treatment costs were obtained from secondary sources.
Results:  Posaconazole is associated with fewer IFIs per patient (0.05 vs. 0.11) relative to FLU or ITRA over 100 days of follow-up, and lower discounted costs ($3900 vs. $4500) and increased life-years (2.50 vs. 2.43 discounted) over a lifetime horizon. Results from a probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicate that there is a 73% probability that posaconazole is cost saving versus FLU or ITRA and a 96% probability that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for posaconazole is at or below $50,000 per life-year saved.
Conclusions:  We conclude that posaconazole is very likely to be a cost-effective alternative to FLU or ITRA in the prevention of IFIs among neutropenic patients with AML and MDS, and may result in cost savings.  相似文献   

16.
17.
《Vaccine》2014,32(51):6941-6947
We examined the long-term clinical and economic benefits of quadrivalent human papillomavirus (qHPV) vaccine as a secondary/adjunct prevention strategy in the prevention of recurrent high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (HGAIN) in HIV-negative men who have sex with men (MSM) and are 27 years or older. We constructed a Markov model to evaluate the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of two strategies: (1) no qHPV vaccine after treatment for HGAIN versus (2) qHPV vaccine after treatment for HGAIN. Model parameters, including natural history of anal cancer, vaccine efficacy measured in terms of hazard ratio (HR) (decrease in the risk of recurrent HGAIN), HGAIN treatment efficacy, utilities, and costs, were obtained from the literature. The outcomes were measured in terms of lifetime risk of anal cancer, lifetime cost, quality-adjusted life years, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Sensitivity analysis was conducted on all model parameters. We found that vaccinating HIV-negative MSM reduced the lifetime risk of anal cancer by 60.77% at an ICER of US$87,240 per quality-adjusted life-year. The results were highly sensitive to vaccine efficacy, transition of HGAIN to anal cancer, cost of treatment for HGAIN, vaccine degree of protection over time, and the vaccine duration of protection and less sensitive to HPV clearance, cost of qHPV vaccine, and the transitions from normal to low-grade anal intraepithelial neoplasia (LGAIN) and normal to HGAIN. With an HR of 0.3, the ICER was well below a $50,000 willingness-to-pay threshold; with an HR of 0.5, the ICER was still below a threshold of $100,000. The most critical disease-related factor influencing the cost-effectiveness was the progression of HGAIN to anal cancer. At an annual transition probability below 0.001, the ICER was below $50,000. Vaccinating HIV-negative MSM treated for HGAIN decreases the lifetime risk of anal cancer and is likely to be a cost-effective intervention.  相似文献   

18.
Aim:  The purpose of this study is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of oseltamivir for influenza in Japan considering the complications and the emergence of oseltamivir-resistant virus.
Methods:  Study design is a cost-effectiveness analysis in decision analytic modeling based on previously published evidence. Outcome measures included costs and quality-adjusted life year (QALY).
Results and Conclusion:  In the base-case analysis, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of oseltamivir during influenza and complications was JPY398,571 ($3320) per QALY without productivity loss, which implied oseltamivir is evidently cost-effective. Furthermore, considering the productivity loss, the ICER for oseltamivir turned to be negative, which means simply dominant. When the prevalence was in the low range of 10% to 38%, oseltamivir became less cost-effective than conventional treatment. Regarding potential emergence of the drug-resistant virus, we found the dominance of oseltamivir will vanish if the emerging rate becomes larger than 27%. The two-way sensitivity analysis also suggested that if the resistant virus rate becomes less and the prevalence higher, then oseltamivir becomes more advantageous. The analysis for uncertainty, using cost-effectiveness acceptability curve by Monte Carlo simulation, resulted in the estimate of about 80% chance that oseltamivir could be cost-effective at the willingness-to-pay level of JPY6,000,000 ($50,000), which is commonly accepted as an affordable threshold.  相似文献   

19.
OBJECTIVE: Chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) is a significant problem for cancer patients. Aprepitant, a novel NK-1 receptor antagonist, is approved for use with 5-HT3 antagonists and corticosteroids to prevent CINV associated with highly emetogenic chemotherapy. Nevertheless, the cost-effectiveness of standard aprepitant use has not been established. METHODS: We developed a Markov model to compare three strategies for CINV: conventional treatment with a 5-HT3 antagonist and a corticosteroid, conventional treatment plus aprepitant, and conventional treatment with aprepitant added after the onset of CINV. Data from published clinical trials provided probabilities and utilities for the model. Data from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and the Federal Supply Scale provided costs for medical resources and medications utilized. Resource use data were based on a randomized clinical trial and routine clinical practice. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for each aprepitant strategy was calculated in US$ per healthy day equivalent (HDE) and converted to dollars per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses addressed uncertainty in model parameters. RESULTS: Adding aprepitant after CINV occurred cost $264 per HDE ($96,333/QALY). The three-drug strategy cost $267/HDE with a 95% confidence range of $248-$305/HDE ($97,429/QALY; $90,396-$111,239/QALY). In univariate analyses, the most influential factors on the ICER were: the cost of aprepitant, the likelihood of delayed CINV without aprepitant, the likelihood of acute CINV with/without aprepitant, and the increase in HDE from avoiding CINV. CONCLUSIONS: Aprepitant provides modest incremental benefits compared with conventional management of CINV. Routine aprepitant use appears most cost-effective when the likelihood of delayed CINV or the cost of rescue medications is high.  相似文献   

20.
ObjectiveWe sought to compare the cost-effectiveness of different interventions that have been shown to improve adherence with antihypertensive and lipid-lowering therapy, by combining a burden of nonadherence model framework with literature-based data on adherence-improving interventions.MethodsMEDLINE was reviewed for studies that evaluated ≥1 adherence intervention compared with a control, used an adherence measure other than self-report, and followed patients for ≥6 months. Effectiveness was assessed as Relative Improvement, ratio of adherence with an intervention versus control. Costs, standardized to 12 months and adjusted to 2007 US$, and effectiveness estimates for each intervention were entered into a previously published model designed to measure the burden of nonadherence with antihypertensive and lipid-lowering medications, in a hypertensive population. Outputs included direct medical costs and incremental costs per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained.ResultsAfter screening, 23 eligible adherence-improving interventions were identified from 18 studies. Relative Improvement ranged from 1.13 to 3.60. After eliminating more costly/less effective interventions, two remained. Self-monitoring, reminders, and educational materials incurred total health-care costs of $17,520, and compared with no adherence intervention, had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $4984 per QALY gained. Pharmacist/nurse management incurred total health-care costs of $17,896, and versus self-monitoring, reminders, and education had an ICER of $6358 per QALY gained.ConclusionsOf published interventions shown to improve adherence, reminders and educational materials, and a pharmacist/nurse management program, appear to be cost-effective and should be considered before other interventions. Understanding relative cost-effectiveness of adherence interventions may guide design and implementation of efficient adherence-improving programs  相似文献   

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