Hepatic steatosis and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Obesity associated hepatic steatosis has been suggested to have a premalignant potential. We determined whether hepatic steatosis predisposes to liver cancer in persons with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. METHODS: We compared the histological severity of steatosis in the index liver biopsies of 25 patients with chronic hepatitis C who subsequently developed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with matched controls who did not. Cases were aged (mean) 54.7 years, 84% males, 76% genotype 1, and 64% fibrosis stage 4; and controls were matched for these characteristics. Those with a sustained virologic response to antiviral therapy were excluded. RESULTS: Duration of HCV infection, concomitant alcohol intake, body mass index and indices of past hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection were comparable between the groups. Controls were followed for a longer period after the index liver biopsy than were cases (113 months vs 55 months, P < 0.001). As determined by percentage area of biopsy core occupied by steatosis on computer assisted morphometric evaluation, and graded by semiquantitative histological assessment, steatosis was comparable among cases and controls. The odds of developing HCC among those with steatosis grades 1 and 2 did not differ significantly from those without steatosis. There was no association between increasing morphometric percentage area occupied by steatosis and the subsequent development of HCC. Neither steatosis grade or percent area of steatosis on biopsy were selected in multivariate regression analysis as independent predictors for the development of HCC. CONCLUSIONS: Hepatic steatosis does not augment the risk of hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with chronic HCV infection.     

Impact of treatment on extra hepatic manifestations in patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Fatigue and other extra hepatic manifestations of hepatitis C have never been studied prospectively in a large cohort. The aim was to assess the prevalence of these symptoms prior to any treatment, and on prolonged follow-up in treated and untreated patients.METHODS: A single-center cohort of consecutive patients with chronic hepatitis C was investigated prior to any treatment. A questionnaire was completed every 6 months for 18 months of follow-up.RESULTS: Of 1614 patients, 431 met the inclusion criteria (56% male; age 49 years; 60% with significant fibrosis or cirrhosis; 46% with cryoglobulinemia). Seventy-six were untreated; of the treated patients, 83 were sustained responders, 47 relapsers and 225 non-responders. At baseline, fatigue and other extrahepatic manifestations were present in 254 (59%) and 225 (52%) patients. Fatigue was improved in 29 of 83 (35%) responders versus 75 of 348 (22%) patients with detectable hepatitis C virus (HCV)-RNA (P=0.01). The impact of virologic response on fatigue persisted after adjusting for age, gender, fibrosis stage, and depression (odds ratio: 0.34, P<0.001). A cryoglobulin was detectable in two of 34 (6%) responders versus 38 of 115 (33%) patients with detectable HCV-RNA (P<0.001).CONCLUSIONS: In hepatitis C, a sustained virologic response is associated with a reduction in fatigue and cryoglobulin, but fatigue frequently persists despite a virologic response.     

Histologic improvement of fibrosis in patients with hepatitis C who have sustained response to interferon therapy

BACKGROUND: Short-term histologic improvement in hepatitis C-related hepatic fibrosis has been noted in studies with more than 2 years of follow-up, but the long-term effects of interferon therapy on hepatic fibrosis remain unclear. OBJECTIVE: To assess changes in hepatic fibrosis after interferon therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: 7 university hospitals and 1 national hospital in Japan. PATIENTS: 593 patients with chronic hepatitis C who underwent a paired liver biopsy from 1987 to 1997. Of these, 487 patients received interferon therapy and 106 patients were untreated. INTERVENTION: Patients in the treatment group received a 2- to 6-month course of interferon within 6 months after the initial biopsy. MEASUREMENTS: Fibrosis and inflammatory activity in paired biopsy samples obtained a median of 3.7 years apart (range, 1 to 10 years) were graded by using the criteria of Desmet and colleagues (F0 to F4) and those of the French METAVIR Cooperative Study Group (A0 to A3), respectively. Changes in fibrosis staging and activity scores and yearly rates of fibrosis progression and regression were calculated. RESULTS: 183 of the 487 interferon-treated patients showed a sustained virologic response. Activity grade was unchanged in most of the untreated patients and improved in 89% (CI, 83% to 93%) of patients with a sustained virologic response. A sustained response to interferon was associated with a mean (+/-SE) reduction in fibrosis score of -0.60+/-0.07 at less than 3 years of follow-up and -0.88+/-0.08 at 3 years or more of follow-up. The rate of fibrosis progression was -0.28+/-0.03 unit/y (regression) in patients with sustained response, 0.02+/-0.02 unit/y in patients with nonsustained response (P< 0.001), and 0.10+/-0.02 unit/y in untreated patients. CONCLUSION: Although the time between biopsies partly affected the patient's clinical course, the differences observed here suggest that in patients with chronic hepatitis C, regression of fibrosis is associated with sustained virologic response to interferon therapy.     

Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis C virus cure

Hepatitis C virus(HCV)is a significant cause of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).The direct-acting antivirals marked a new era of HCV therapy and are associated with greater than 95%cure rate.Successful treatment of chronic hepatitis C greatly reduces the risk of HCC.A proportion of patients,especially those with pre-existing cirrhosis,remain at risk for HCC despite sustained virologic response(SVR).Diabetes mellitus,hepatic steatosis,alcohol consumption and lack of fibrosis regression are associated with risks of HCC after HCV cure.Noninvasive modalities such as aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index and fibrosis-4 index and transient elastography have been used to monitor hepatic fibrosis.More recently,various fibrosis scores have been combined with clinical parameters and other novel biomarkers to predict risks of HCC for patients who achieved SVR.These models still need to be validated and standardized prior to applying to routine clinical care.     

Fibrogenesis serum markers in patients with chronic hepatitis C treated with α-IFN

The correlation between therapeutic response and liver fibrogenesis was studied in serum and liver specimens taken from 31 patients treated with α-interferon (IFN) (14 sustained responders and 17 non-responders) for chronic hepatitis C. Serum samples, collected before therapy, and at further 6-month intervals over 2 years, were tested for markers of liver neofibrogenesis. Serum N-terminal procollagen III peptide (PIIINP) displayed a significant and persistent decrease (P < 0.05) in sustained responders but not in non-responders; significantly lowered (P < 0.05) mean levels of C-terminal procollagen I peptide (PICP) were transiently observed in both patient groups, apparently as a result of IFN administration. Serum laminin (Lam) levels remained unchanged. One year after the cessation of treatment, liver biopsy re-testing showed an improvement in necro-inflammatory scores only in sustained responders, with the histological fibrosis scores remaining unaltered in both groups. IFN treatment seemed to exert an influence on serum levels of markers of hepatic connective tissue turnover even in patients that did not respond to therapy, while no effect was observed on preexistent liver fibrosis. Received: June 15, 1998/Accepted: November 27, 1998     

8-Hydroxy-2'-deoxy-guanosine is a risk factor for development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection

Background and Aim:  Increased production of reactive oxygen species, which cause oxidative DNA damage, is considered to be related to hepatocarcinogenesis. 8-Hydroxy-2'-deoxy-guanosine (8-OHdG) is a useful marker of DNA damage induced by oxidative stress. The aim of this study was to determine whether expression of 8-OHdG is a risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection.
Methods:  The expression of 8-OHdG in liver biopsy specimens was assessed immunohistochemically. In total, 104 patients with chronic HCV infection who were diagnosed on liver biopsy between January 1987 and December 2002 were studied retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses using age, gender, habitual drinking, tobacco exposure, diabetes mellitus, serum alanine aminotransferase level, HCV genotype, hepatic fibrosis, inflammation, steatosis, and 8-OHdG expression in liver biopsy specimens were conducted to identify factors related to the development of HCC.
Results:  On multivariate analysis, 8-OHdG and fibrosis were independent and significant risk factors for HCC development (relative risk, 2.48; P  = 0.023; relative risk, 5.35; P  = 0.001, respectively). Furthermore, the cumulative incidence rate of HCC in 39 patients with high 8-OHdG expression levels was significantly greater than that in 65 patients with low 8-OHdG expression levels ( P  = 0.043). In addition, liver 8-OHdG expression was correlated with hepatic inflammation.
Conclusions:  8-OHdG is a risk factor for the development of HCC in patients with chronic HCV infection. Patients with chronic HCV who express 8-OHdG should be monitored carefully for the development of HCC.     

Hepatic steatosis in chronic hepatitis C is a significant risk factor for developing hepatocellular carcinoma independent of age,sex, obesity,fibrosis stage and response to interferon therapy

Aim: Hepatic steatosis is linked to development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in non‐viral liver disease such as non‐alcoholic steatohepatitis. The present study aimed to assess whether hepatic steatosis is associated with the development of HCC in chronic hepatitis C. Methods: We studied a retrospective cohort of 1279 patients with chronic hepatitis C who received interferon (IFN) therapy between 1994 and 2005 at a single regional hospital in Japan. Of these patients, 393 had a sustained virological response (SVR) and 886 had non‐SVR to IFN therapy. After IFN therapy, these patients were screened for development of HCC every 6 months. The average period of observation was 4.5 years. Results: HCC developed in 68 patients. The annual incidence of HCC was 2.73% for patients with a steatosis grade of 10% or greater and 0.69% for patients with a steatosis grade of 0–9%. On multivariate analysis, higher grade of steatosis was a significant risk factor for HCC independent of older age, male sex, higher body mass index (BMI), advanced fibrosis stage and non‐SVR to IFN therapy. The adjusted risk ratio of hepatic steatosis was 3.04 (confidence interval 1.82–5.06, P < 0.0001), which was higher than that of older age (1.09), male sex (2.12), non‐SVR to IFN (2.43) and higher BMI (1.69). Conclusion: Hepatic steatosis is a significant risk factor for development of HCC in chronic hepatitis C independent of other known risk factors, which suggest the possibility that amelioration of hepatic steatosis may prevent hepatocarcinogenesis.     

Fibrosis in chronic viral hepatitis

In the last years, several studies have been performed with the aim to evaluate the real impact of antiviral treatments on fibrosis progression in patients with chronic viral hepatitis. The main goal of therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B is viral suppression. This outcome leads to an important improvement in both hepatic inflammation and fibrosis and reduces the HCC occurrence. An histological improvement has been largely demonstrated in patient treated with oral nucleoside and nucleotide analogs achieving the rate of 72% with entecavir and tenofovir. Similarly, in patients with chronic hepatitis C, sustained virologic response to interferon therapy is associated with regression of fibrosis and lower liver decompensation and HCC occurrence. In the next future further studies will assess the real impact of the new directly anti-viral agents on liver necroinflammation and fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C.     

Predictors of the efficacy of interferon therapy for patients with chronic hepatitis C before and during therapy: how does this modify the treatment course?

Antiviral therapy for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection should be based on the natural history of HCV infection; there is a sequential, but slow, progression from chronic hepatitis to cirrhosis, leading to death from either liver failure or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The risk of HCC development increases in association with the advance of fibrosis, and antiviral therapy can reduce this risk. More than 30 indices have been proposed as ‘predictors’ of favourable response to IFN therapy: host factors (age, gender, duration of HCV‐infection, alcohol intake, hepatic iron stores, platelet count, histological staging of the liver disease), viral factors (HCV RNA levels in serum, HCV subtype, diversity of the hypervariable region, mutation of non‐structure 5A gene), and IFN factors (dose, duration of treatment, type, treatment regimens i.e. every day vs three times a week, escalating dose regimen). Before starting IFN therapy, HCV subtype and pretreatment HCV RNA load, as well as the fibrotic stage of the liver, should be determined. The response to IFN therapy should be monitored by the HCV RNA status in serum during therapy, and the treatment regimen modified, or discontinued as required. A sustained virological response should be checked at more than 3 months after the completion of therapy. Even though the risk of HCC is markedly reduced in sustained responders, it is possible to develop HCC several years after completion of IFN therapy.     

Roles of iron and HFE mutations on severity and response to therapy during retreatment of advanced chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Iron overload may cause or contribute to hepatic injury and fibrosis. Mutations in the HFE gene may influence development or progression of chronic liver disease by increasing iron stores or modulating immune responses. The aim of this work was to assess the influence of HFE mutations and serum and hepatic measures of iron status on baseline features and response to lead-in therapy in subjects with advanced chronic hepatitis C enrolled in the Hepatitis C Anti-viral Long-term Treatment to prevent Cirrhosis (HALT-C) Trial. METHODS: Entry criteria included an Ishak fibrosis score >2 and lack of iron overload (Scheuer iron grade <3+) according to local study pathologists. All baseline biopsy specimens were rescored by consensus of study pathologists, and detailed assessment of stainable iron was performed. Hepatic iron concentrations were measured on portions of 144 liver biopsy specimens. A total of 1051 out of 1145 subjects agreed to HFE mutational testing (C282Y, H63D, S65C). RESULTS: Thirty-five percent carried at least one HFE gene mutation. There were no significant differences in the prevalence of HFE gene mutations among subjects with fibrosis (35.5%) versus cirrhosis (32.9%). Thirty-three percent of subjects had end-of-treatment and 16% sustained virologic responses. Presence of HFE mutations, in particular the H63D variation, was associated with increased end-of-treatment (40% vs 29%, P = .0078) and sustained virologic responses (20% with HFE mutation vs 14% sustained virologic response without HFE mutation; P = .009). CONCLUSIONS: Although HFE mutations (especially the most frequent H63D mutation) are associated with increased iron loading, they are also associated with increased sustained virologic responses in US patients with advanced chronic hepatitis C.     

Treatment considerations in patients with hepatitis C and cirrhosis

Patients with cirrhosis due to hepatitis C have a high chance of dying from progressive liver disease and thus have much to gain from successful antiviral therapy. The highest sustained virologic responses in patients with cirrhosis have been achieved using pegylated interferon alfa plus Ribavirin; 43% or more remain with undetectable virus 6 months after the cessation of 48 weeks of treatment. In those who achieve a sustained virologic response, the degree of fibrosis is less as judged on posttreatment liver biopsy; cirrhosis may even regress. In those individuals with cirrhosis who achieve a sustained virologic response, the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma is significantly reduced and it is likely that their chance of developing liver failure is less. Patients who do not achieve sustained virologic response can still show histologic improvement as demonstrated on liver biopsy posttherapy as compared to baseline. Patients with compensated cirrhosis can benefit from therapy while those who are decompensated are prone to more safety issues. Thus, individuals with any evidence of hepatic decompensation should generally not be given interferon-based antiviral therapy, but treatment should be encouraged for those whose status is Child Class A.     

How much does alcohol contribute to the variability of hepatic fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C?

In order to determine the contribution of alcohol intake to the severity of hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C, we studied associations between various levels of alcohol intake, other demographic variables and semiquantitative liver histology in 434 cases of chronic hepatitis C. Clinical, demographic and disease-related data were entered into a relational database. Liver histology was scored according to Scheuer. The average daily alcohol intake for the year preceding liver biopsy (recent exposure) and for earlier periods (past exposure) was categorized into five levels of intake. One-third of patients gave a history of alcohol intake that had exceeded 40g/day for at least 5 years. By univariate analysis, age, but not recent or past alcohol intake or other baseline variables, was associated with portal score (r=0.14, P= 0.004), fibrosis score (r= 0.46, P < 0.001), total Scheuer score (r= 0.35, P < 0.001), However, by multivariate analysis, age (P < 0.001), past (but not present) alcohol intake (P < 0.001) and birth in Egypt (P= 0.006) were independently associated with fibrosis score. Age, past alcohol and birth place in Egypt contributed 27% to total variance of the hepatic fibrosis score, while age alone accounted for 23%. Age also independently predicted portal activity (P=0.02) and total Scheuer score (P < 0.001), whereas past alcohol intake correlated with total Scheuer score (P= 0.002) but not with other histological indices. A separate multivariate analysis was performed on a more homogeneous subgroup of 196 patients who acquired hepatitis C by injection drug use. In this subgroup, age (P < 0.05) and past alcohol (P < 0.05) were independently associated with fibrosis score. In both the overall and subgroup analyses, there was a threshold level of past alcohol intake (>80g/day) beyond which the risk of fibrosis increased significantly. It is concluded that toxic levels of alcohol exposure for at least 5 years accentuate hepatic fibrosis in hepatitis C but the influence of alcohol appears to be minor compared with age and other variables and is exerted only at toxic levels of intake.     

Occult viral hepatitis and noncirrhotic hepatocellular carcinoma

The achievement of a sustained virologic response to hepatitis C antiviral therapy represents a milestone occurrence that many tout as a cure. Recent studies, however, have found trace HCV viral material both among sustained responders and in patients with chronic liver disease who are HCV RNA negative, suggesting the entity of occult hepatitis C. As a body of literature emerges on the pathogenic role of occult hepatitis B, little is known of the potential importance of occult type C hepatitis. Specifically, occult hepatitis B has been strongly implicated as a culprit that facilitates the development of hepatocellular carcinoma, typically in the background of cirrhosis. Those cancers that develop in noncirrhotic livers, an especially rare entity in the West, usually occur in the setting of smoldering liver injury, often with some degree of fibrosis. The role of multiple hepatotoxins acting in concert to potentiate hepatic carcinogenicity has become increasingly recognized, including viral coinfection. The finding of occult hepatitis B in noncirrhotic hepatocellular carcinomas among patients with hepatitis C who achieved antiviral sustained virologic response raises provocative theories regarding the natural history of both of these viral hepatitis agents.     

Interferon Inhibits Progression of Liver Fibrosis and Reduces the Risk of Hepatocarcinogenesis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C: A Retrospective Multicenter Analysis of 652 Patients

A retrospective multicenter analysis of 652 patients with chronic hepatitis C who have been treated with interferon (IFN) was performed to assess the effects of IFN on the clinical course and development of HCC. During a mean follow-up of 54.8 months, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) developed in 7.0% of the patients. The rate was significantly higher in the patients who did not respond to IFN treatment than in those with sustained virological response and those who obtained a normalization of alanine aminotransferase levels despite the presence of HCV RNA (incomplete response) (P < 0.01). Using multivariate Cox's proportional hazard model, alcohol abuse (P < 0.05) and a higher level of fibrosis (P < 0.05) before treatment were the significant background factors associated with HCC development in the patients who did not respond to IFN. Interestingly, a significant increase in the rate of HCC development occurred in patients who had a histological finding of progressive fibrosis (F3). In addition, patients with low histological staging scores were likely to have an incomplete response, even if a sustained virological response was not obtained. IFN produced an improvement in histological activity and fibrosis stage in the second biopsy specimens irrespective of the clinical outcome when compared against untreated subjects.     

Hepatic Fas protein expression might be a predictive factor for hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis C undergoing interferon therapy

BACKGROUND: Several studies have revealed that interferon treatment may reduce the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV). However, even after eradication of HCV, patients remain at risk for developing HCC. STUDY: Of 153 consecutive HCV patients who were treated with interferon and followed up for 5 years, 17 (11.1%) developed HCC. To elucidate predictive factors of HCC development, multivariate analysis was done for the 153 patients, and Fas protein expression in the biopsied specimens of liver before interferon treatment was examined in 17 patients who developed HCC and 17 patients who did not. RESULTS: Among the independent factors (sex, age, HCV genotype, HCV-RNA level, effect of interferon therapy, serum alanine aminotransferase before interferon therapy, and histologic stage and grade) tested by Cox proportional-hazards analysis, histologic stage (hepatic fibrosis) before interferon was significantly associated with HCC development (p = 0.01). In addition, the intensity of Fas protein expression was significantly greater in the liver specimens of the patients who developed HCC than in those who did not (p = 0.015). CONCLUSION: Histologic stage (hepatic fibrosis) and Fas protein expression before interferon treatment might be indicative of the need for intensive follow-up in patients with chronic hepatitis C undergoing interferon therapy.     

Post-challenge hyperglycemia is a significant risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C

Background

Several epidemiological studies have reported that diabetes mellitus is a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-positive patients. However, it is unclear whether or not post-challenge hyperglycemia is a risk factor. The purpose of this study was to determine the association between post-challenge hyperglycemia and hepatocarcinogenesis in HCV-positive patients.

Methods

A total of 203 HCV-RNA-positive subjects (108 males, mean age 54.3?±?10.8?years; 95 females, mean age 56.6?±?10.3?years; genotype 1b/2a/2b/3a: 152/38/12/1) who underwent liver biopsy and a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test, and who were treated with interferon (IFN) were enrolled in this study. None of the subjects had been treated with antidiabetic drugs. The subjects underwent ultrasonography and/or computed tomography every 6?months after the end of the IFN therapy.

Results

Thirteen patients, including one patient who achieved a sustained viral response (SVR) with IFN, developed HCC. On multivariate analysis, male sex, age >65?years, excessive alcohol consumption, non-SVR, liver steatosis area >5% in liver specimens, and 120-min post-challenge hyperglycemia were risk factors for the development of HCC. After matching subjects for sex, age, alcohol intake, and response to the IFN therapy, advanced fibrosis stages [hazard ratio (HR) 2.8], liver steatosis (HR 5.4), and 120-min post-challenge hyperglycemia (HR 4.9) were significant risk factors for the development of HCC. Furthermore, after matching for the fibrosis stage, liver steatosis (HR 5.7) and 120-min post-challenge hyperglycemia (HR 6.9) remained as significant factors for HCC development.

Conclusion

Post-challenge hyperglycemia is an independent risk factor for HCC in HCV-positive patients.     

Rate of natural disease progression in patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The interval at which liver biopsy should be repeated in untreated patients with chronic hepatitis C is not defined. We examined fibrosis change by METAVIR scoring in these patients in whom two or more liver biopsies were available. METHODS: One hundred and eighty patients with histologically proven chronic hepatitis C were studied. Mean delay between biopsies was 3.67+/-2.69 years and 3.08+/-1.43 in the 16 patients having three biopsies. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine factors associated with liver fibrosis progression. RESULTS: Median rate of fibrosis progression per year was 0.04 (0.00-0.55) to first biopsy, 0.00 (-0.84-1.02) between first and second biopsy (NS), and 0.17 (0.00-1.50) between second and third biopsy (P<0.05). In multivariate analysis, only age at first biopsy >40 years (OR=5) (2-12) and alcohol consumption of 1-50 g per day (OR=4) (2-12) and more than 50 g per day (OR=8) (3-23) were associated with severe fibrosis. The number of patients who increased in fibrosis stage was significantly higher after 4 years (P<0.02). CONCLUSIONS: An interval of at least 4-5 years is needed between liver biopsies to measure change in patients with mild liver disease.     

Efficacy of lamivudine for preventing hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B: A multicenter retrospective study of 2795 patients.

A retrospective survey of Japanese patients histologically diagnosed with chronic hepatitis B was conducted to determine the effectiveness of lamivudine in preventing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Of the 2795 patients who satisfied criteria for analysis after treatment from any of 30 medical institutions, 657 had received lamivudine and the remaining 2138 had not. A Cox regression model with liver biopsy as the starting point revealed seven factors related to HCC: lamivudine therapy, gender, family clustering of hepatitis B, age at liver biopsy, hepatic fibrosis stage, serum albumin level, and platelet count. In a matched case-controlled study, 377 patients in a lamivudine-treated group and 377 matched patients in a non-treated group were selected based on their propensity scores. The mean follow-up period was 2.7 years in the lamivudine group and 5.3 years in the control group. In the lamivudine group, HCC occurred in four patients (1.1%) with an annual incidence rate of 0.4%/(patient/year), whereas in the control group HCC occurred in 50 patients (13.3%) for a rate of 2.5%/(patient/year). A comparison of the cumulative HCC incidence between the two groups by the Kaplan-Meier method showed a significantly lower incidence of HCC in the lamivudine group (p<0.001). These findings suggest that lamivudine effectively reduces the incidence of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B.     

Hepatocellular carcinoma in southern Germany: epidemiological and clinicopathological characteristics and risk factors

The aetiology of chronic liver disease leading to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the clinical characteristics of patients with HCC vary considerably internationally and intranationally. This study analyses the characteristics of HCC patients in southern Germany, a low endemic area of HCC. METHODS: The files of 118 consecutive patients with HCC observed in a single tertiary care hospital between 1994 and 2000 have been reviewed. Epidemiological and clinicopathological characteristics such as age at presentation, ethanol consumption, serological hepatitis virus markers, and fibrosis were studied. Additionally, serum levels of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) were analysed at the time of diagnosis in 77 patients. RESULTS: The male:female ratio was 4:1 and the mean age at presentation was 61.8 years. Alcohol abuse (49.2%) and chronic hepatitis C infection (17.8%) were the most frequent risk factors. Histologically proven liver cirrhosis in the surrounding non-tumorous tissue was present in only 59.0% of cases. AFP levels were elevated in 78% of cases, but only 34% reached >500 ng/ml, a value considered to be significant for the diagnosis of HCC. AFP levels correlated with the stage of fibrosis. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS: The sensitivity of AFP serum levels as a tumour marker is poor but might help to detect at least a minority of cases. As in other populations within Europe, chronic alcohol abuse is frequently associated with HCC in southern Germany, confirming that alcohol is still the most important risk factor for hepatocarcinogenesis in areas with low hepatitis virus prevalence. Considering the poor prognosis of HCC, prevention is of pivotal importance, particularly for patients with chronic liver disease and other risk factors for the development of HCC.     

Rates and risk factors of liver fibrosis progression in patients with chronic hepatitis c.

BACKGROUND AIMS: In hepatitis C there is controversy over the linearity of the rate of progression and the significance of gender, mode of infection and viral factors. METHODS: 2313 untreated patients with a reliable estimated duration of infection and liver fibrosis were included. Fibrosis progression was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the rate of fibrosis progression using the hazard function. Seven risk factors were assessed: age at biopsy, gender, alcohol consumption, mode of infection, activity grade, hepatitis C virus genotype and RNA level. RESULTS: The percentage of patients without cirrhosis was 91% after 20 years of infection (95% CI:90-92%) and 56% after 40 years (95% CI:48-64%). Three independent factors were associated (P < 0.001) with a faster progression rate: age at infection, alcohol consumption of 50 g or more per day, and male gender. The mode of infection, histologic activity, genotype and viral load were not independently associated with fibrosis. Fibrosis progression was mainly dependent on age and the duration of infection and can be divided into four successive periods with very slow, slow, intermediate and rapid progression rates. CONCLUSION: In patients infected with hepatitis C, the majority of fibrosis progression occurred in those aged fifty years or older.