Gastrointestinal cancer mortality in New Jersey counties, and the relationship with environmental variables

The State of New Jersey (NJ) USA has been thought to have an unusually high cancer mortality rate; this assumption has been based on 1950-1969 mortality data for its 21 counties. This paper presents an analysis of gastrointestinal (GI) cancer mortality rates in New Jersey counties during 1968-1977, a comparison with the 1950-1969 rates, and associations between current GI cancer mortality rates and selected environmental variables. Age-adjusted mortality rates for GI cancers were calculated for the 21 NJ counties during the period 1968-1977, and were compared with the period 1950-1969, with the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) survey and with cancer mortality in the US, 1973-1977. The county rates were also correlated with: the distribution of chemical toxic waste disposal sites; annual per capita income; the rates of low birth weight, birth defects, and infant mortality; chemical industry distribution; percentage of the population employed in chemical industries; the density of population; and the urbanization index for each of the counties. Some of the major findings are: Age-adjusted GI cancer mortality rates (all sites combined) were higher than national rates in 20 of 21 NJ counties. In comparison with national trends, NJ stomach cancer rates have declined less, oesophageal cancer rates have declined more, and pancreatic cancer mortality rates have followed similar patterns. Cancer mortality rates in NJ during the period 1968-1977 significantly (p less than 0.0001) exceeded national rates for cancer of the oesophagus (white male, non-white male), stomach (men and women), colon (white male, white female, non-white female), and rectum (whites only). In 18 of the 21 NJ counties, the observed number of cancer deaths for at least one GI cancer site was significantly greater than expected at the 0.0001 level for at least one population subgroup. Among white men, a significant (p less than 0.0001) excess of observed over expected cancer deaths was observed for three or more GI cancer sites in seven counties. The environmental variables that were most frequently associated with GI cancer mortality rates (except pancreatic cancer) were degree of urbanization, population density, and chemical toxic waste disposal sites. Some of the implications of the study findings are discussed and recommendations made for future investigations.     

Clusters of cancer mortality in New Jersey municipalities; with special reference to chemical toxic waste disposal sites and per capita income

The state of New Jersey (NJ), USA, has been thought to have an unusually high cancer mortality rate; this assumption has been based on 1950-1969 mortality data for NJ counties. This study presents an analysis of mortality from major cancers for NJ municipalities during 1968-1977, and correlates cancer mortality rates with several potentially relevant variables. Age-adjusted mortality rates for 13 major cancer sites for 194 municipalities of 10 000 or more people in 21 NJ counties were compared with cancer mortality in the US. Municipality rates were correlated with: distribution of chemical toxic waste disposal sites (CTWDS); annual per capita income; the rates of low birth weight, birth defects and infant mortality of NJ municipalities. Clusters of cancer mortality were observed in 23 municipalities in 10 counties in which a total of 98 age-adjusted cancer death rates were at least 50% above the national rate, and each of these municipalities had at least two race-sex-specific cancers in which the observed number of cancer deaths was greater than the expected number of deaths at the p less than 0.0005 level. Of these 98 excessive cancer death rates, 72% involved the gastrointestinal tract. Most of the municipalities are located in the highly industrialized densely populated northeastern part of the State. Correlation analyses showed a consistent and significant (p less than 0.05) negative correlation between income and cancer mortality in 11 of 12 cancers studied. These analyses also showed a significant positive association between 8 of 12 cancers studied and CTWDS in one or more subgroup populations and lesser associations with birth defects, low birth weight and infant mortality.     

Respiratory organs cancer mortality in New Jersey counties and the relationship with selected demographic and environmental variables

The state of New Jersey (N.J.) has been thought to have an unusually high overall cancer mortality rate; this assumption has been based on national 1950–1969 mortality data for N.J. counties. This study presents an analysis of more recent rates of respiratory cancer mortality in 21 N.J. counties during 1968–1977, a comparison with the 1950–1969 rates, and associations between current respiratory cancer mortality rates and selected demographic and environmental variables. Age-adjusted mortality rates for cancer of respiratory organs were calculated for the N.J. counties during the period 1968–1977 and compared with the period 1950–1969, with the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) survey, and with cancer mortality in the United States, 1973–1977. The county rates were also correlated with chemical toxic-waste disposal sites (CTWDS), annual per capita income, percentage of the population employed in chemical industries, the density of population, and the urbanization index of each of 21 N.J. counties. The lung, bronchus, trachea, and pleura cancer mortality rates among white and nonwhite males and females in N.J. were substantially higher than the national rates during the period 1950–1969. In more recent years, the increases in U.S. mortality rates for lung, bronchus, trachea, and pleura cancers were significantly greater (P < 0.01) than those found in most of the 21 N.J. counties. As a consequence, the national rates are now more comparable to N.J. rates. Although the gaps between N.J. and the United States in these rates have narrowed, the observed number of laryngeal and lung cancer deaths remained significantly higher (P < 0.01 to P < 0.0001) than expected cancer deaths, based on U.S. rates, among one or more subgroup populations (white and nonwhite males and females) in several N.J. counties. Among white men in Middlesex, Camden, Burlington, and Ocean counties, the observed number of deaths for lung cancer was found to be significantly (P < 0.0001) greater than the expected number of deaths. In Hudson county observed deaths from both laryngeal and lung cancer among white men were significantly greater than the expected number of deaths from these cancers (P < 0.0001). Statistically significant and positive correlations were found between laryngeal cancer mortality and CTWDS, urbanization index, and population density. Lung cancer mortality also correlated significantly with CTWDS in N.J. Both larynx and lung cancer mortality showed significant and consistent negative correlations with annual per capita-income in N.J. Some of the implications of the study findings are discussed and recommendations made for future investigations.     

Female reproductive organs and breast cancer mortality in New Jersey counties and the relationship with certain environmental variables

Age-adjusted female reproductive organs and breast cancer mortality rates (all sites combined) were higher in 19 of 21 New Jersey counties than the U.S. national rates. Compared with national trends, New Jersey cervical cancer and corpus uteri rates have declined less than the national rate among all races. Ovarian and breast cancer rates have not changed over the years, a pattern similar to that of the nation. New Jersey cancer mortality rates during the period 1968-1977 that highly significantly (P less than 0.0005) exceeded national rates were cancers of the cervix in 2 counties among whites and in one county among nonwhites; of the corpus uteri and uterus not specified in 3 counties among whites; of the ovaries in 3 counties among whites; and of the breast in 10 counties among whites. The overall New Jersey cancer mortality significantly (P less than 0.0005) exceeded national rates for ovarian cancer among whites and nonwhites and for breast cancer among whites. Statistically significant and positive correlations were found between breast cancer mortality and chemical toxic waste disposal sites, annual per capita income, urbanization index, and population density among whites in 21 New Jersey counties. Ovarian cancer mortality was also significantly and positively correlated with annual per capita income, and negatively with birth defects. Cervical cancer mortality showed a significant negative correlation with annual per capita income and a significant positive correlation with birth defects and low birth weight among nonwhites in 21 New Jersey counties.     

Changing patterns of ischaemic heart disease mortality in New Jersey 1968-1982, and the relationship with urbanization

Geographical variations in the declining rates of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) mortality may provide clues about various environmental risk factors responsible as a mass influence on the population IHD rate. The rate of IHD decline in 18 of 21 NJ counties was 2 to 45% less than the USA national rate of decline. The overall decline of IHD mortality in New Jersey (NJ) counties lagged significantly (p less than 0.05 to p less than 0.0003) behind the national trend. Age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) for IHD in NJ's 21 counties were 4% to 56% higher than the US rates. The IHD mortality rate of 14 of 21 NJ, counties and the entire state were significantly (p less than 0.005 to p less than 0.000001) above the US rate. Highly urbanized, industrialized, and densely populated NJ counties had the highest IHD rates. In these highly urbanized, industrialized and overcrowded NJ counties the AAMR for IHD was significantly higher and the IHD decline was significantly lower than that in the US. There was a significant (p less than 0.02 to p less than 0.00001) inverse association between annual per capita income and IHD rates. These data suggest that a high degree of urbanization, extensive industrialization, high population density and low socioeconomic status were acting as mass influences on the NJ population IHD rate.     

Cancer mortality and exposure to chemical carcinogens in the work place: An ecological study in the Valencian Community, Spain (1981–1995)

To evaluate the geographical distribution of the mortality from malignant tumours in relationship with exposure to chemical carcinogens in the work place, and to asses the possible association between these questions and the percentage of population employed in certain high-risk sectors, an ecological study in the Valencian Community (VC), Spain was carried out. Age-adjusted mortality rates for the total number of malignant tumours, lung, bladder, lymphomas and leukaemia during the periods 1981–1985 and 1991–1995 were calculated for the 34 geographical areas. The percentage of population in each area working in sectors in which they may be exposed to chemical carcinogens was obtained. The relationship between mortality on-the-job exposure was studied using linear regression methods. Large differences in cancer mortality were seen. In men, the geographical pattern was very stable and reveals a significant association with the distribution of certain high-risk jobs. cStatistically significant positive correlations (p< 0.001) were found between cancer mortality and the percentage of the population working in metal, wood and furniture sectors. In contrast, a negative and statistically significant (p< 0.001) correlation was observed between cancer mortality and the percentage of the population working in agriculture. In conclusion, although the variability in cancer mortality in men was significantly associated with some occupational sectors in the VC, caution is needed when drawing conclusions about causation from ecological studies.     

Cancer mortality in U.S. counties with chemical industries.

Geographic analysis of U. S. cancer mortality, 1950–1969, revealed excess rates for bladder, lung, liver, and certain other cancers among males in 139 counties where the chemical industry is most highly concentrated. The correlation could not be explained by confounding variables such as urbanization, socioeconomic class, or employment in nonchemical industries. If the excess cancer mortality in these areas is due to industrial exposures, the actual risk of cancer among certain chemical workers must be very high. The correlation was limited to counties associated with specific categories of the chemical industry; many involve known occupational hazards, while others suggest new leads to chemically induced cancer in man.     

Cancer mortality among woodworkers

The mortality experience of 10,322 men employed in woodworking industries was compared with that of 406,798 nonwoodworkers. All subjects were enrolled in an American Cancer Society study and followed prospectively from 1959 through 1972. Age-adjusted rates of death from all causes and from all cancers were not higher in the woodworker group, but excess rates were observed for cancers of the lung, stomach, and bladder, as well as nonmelanoma skin cancer and possibly leukemia. Woodworkers experienced significantly decreased rates of colon-rectum cancer and coronary heart disease. The elevated cancer rates could not be explained by cigarette smoking habits. If anything, there is evidence to suggest a possible interaction between employment in woodworking trades and heavy cigarette smoking, in increasing the risk of lung and bladder cancer.     

Breast cancer mortality in Appalachia: reversing patterns of disparity over time

Breast cancer death rates in the U.S. have decreased in recent decades, however areas such as Appalachia with fewer cancer care resources may not have experienced comparable mortality declines. This study examines trends in breast cancer mortality rate disparities in Appalachian states and the continental U.S. using data from SEER mortality files 1969-2007 and the Area Resource File. Overall breast cancer mortality rates decreased significantly, with a smaller decline in Appalachian counties (17.5%) compared with non-Appalachian counties in Appalachian states (30.5%), and compared with non-Appalachia U.S. counties (28.3%). After accounting for poverty, rural/urban status, education, health care resources, and proportion White in the population, residence in Appalachian counties except for those in the Northern subregion was significantly associated with smaller reduction in breast cancer mortality rates. Lower levels of education, physician density, and percent White in the population were also associated with smaller reductions in breast cancer mortality.     

Possible role of diet as a host factor in the aetiology of tobacco-induced lung cancer: an ecological study in southern and northern Italy

Statistical data on smoking and dietary habits in northern and southern Italy were compared and related to mortality rates for lung cancer. Age-adjusted mortality rates for lung cancer in the years 1980 and 1982 were lower in southern than in northern Italy. The proportion of smokers, as surveyed in 1977, was similar in the two geographical areas. Dietary habits in southern Italy, however, were characterized during the years 1960 through 1965, by a low consumption of saturated and polyunsaturated lipids, and a high consumption of foods of vegetable origin. Our data suggest that diet may modify the carcinogenic effect of tobacco in lung cancer.     

Projection of incidence rates to a larger population using ecologic variables

There is wide acceptance of direct standardization of vital rates to adjust for differing age distributions according to the representation within age categories of some referent population. One can use a similar process to standardize, and subsequently project vital rates with respect to continuous, or ratio scale ecologic variables. We obtained from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) programme, a 10 per cent subset of the total U.S. population, country-level breast cancer incidence during 1987-1989 for white women aged 50 and over. We applied regression coefficients that relate ecologic factors to SEER incidence to the full national complement of county-level information to produce an age and ecologic factor adjusted rate that may be more representative of the U.S. than the simple age-adjusted SEER incidence. We conducted a validation study using breast cancer mortality data available for the entire U.S. and which supports the appropriateness of this method for projecting rates.     

Cancer mortality in U.S. counties with hazardous waste sites and ground water pollution

Since the late 1950s, more than 750 million tons of toxic chemical wastes have been discarded in an estimated 30,000 to 50,000 hazardous waste sites (HWSs). Uncontrolled discarding of chemical wastes creates the potential for risks to human health. Utilizing the National Priorities Listing (NPL) of hazardous waste sites developed by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), this study identified 593 waste sites in 339 U.S. counties in 49 states with analytical evidence of contaminated ground drinking water providing a sole source water supply. For each identified county, age-adjusted, site-specific cancer mortality rates for 13 major sites for the decade 1970-1979, for white males and females, were extracted from U.S. Cancer Mortality and Trends 1950-1979. Also, HWS and non-HWS counties that showed excess numbers of deaths were enumerated for each cancer selected. Significant associations (p less than .002) between excess deaths and all HWS counties were shown for cancers of the lung, bladder, esophagus, stomach, large intestine, and rectum for white males; and for cancers of the lung, breast, bladder, stomach, large intestine, and rectum for white females when compared to all non-HWS counties. There were no consistent geographical patterns that suggested a broad distribution of gastrointestinal cancers associated with HWSs throughout the United States, although we did identify a cluster of excess gastrointestinal cancers in counties within states located in EPA Region 3 (Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Patterns in cancer incidence among American Indians/Alaska Natives, United States, 1992-1999

OBJECTIVE: Cancer is a major public health concern in American Indian and Alaska Native (AI/AN) communities. However, information on the incidence of cancer is lacking for this group. The purpose of this study is to report cancer incidence patterns for the U.S. AI/AN population. METHODS: Age-adjusted annual cancer incidence rates for 1992 through 1999 were calculated for 12 Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) areas, representing a sample (42%) of the U.S. AI/AN population. Trends in cancer incidence rates for the AI/AN sample were determined using standard linear regression of log-transformed rates and were compared to those of the U.S. white population. RESULTS: The top five incident cancers (from highest to lowest) among AI/AN males were prostate, lung and bronchus, colon and rectum, kidney and renal pelvis, and stomach cancers. Among AI/AN women, cancers of the breast, colon and rectum, lung and bronchus, endometrium, and ovary ranked highest. Four sites where cancer incidence rates are greater for AI/ANs than for whites include gallbladder (the AI/AN rate was 4.1 times the rate for white males and 2.6 times the rate for white females), liver and intrahepatic bile duct cancers (1.3 times for males and 2.3 times for females), stomach (1.2 times for males and 1.5 times for females), and kidney and renal pelvis (1.03 times for males and 1.07 times for females). The data show increasing trends for AI/AN males and females and declining trends for white males and females for colorectal, stomach, and pancreatic cancers and leukemia. Similar differences between AI/AN rates and white rates were found for urinary bladder cancers in males and gallbladder cancer in females. CONCLUSIONS: Analysis of SEER data allowed for the determination of disparities in cancer incidence between a sample of the U.S. AI/AN population and the white population. The findings of this study provide baseline information necessary for developing cancer prevention and intervention strategies specific to the AI/AN population to address these cancer disparities.     

Cancer mortality in U.S. counties with shipyard industries during World War II

Respiratory cancer mortality, 1950–1969, was consistently high in U.S. counties where shipyards were engaged in the construction and repair of large naval and cargo vessels during World War II. Over three-fourths of the shipyard counties had elevated rates (in comparison to rates in counties of similar population size in the same region of the country) for lung and laryngeal cancer among white males, with the excess particularly evident in the South. Mortality from lung cancer was high also among white females, and the rate of increase in both sexes was greater than recorded nationally. In addition, rates for oropharyngeal, esophageal, and gastric cancers tended to be elevated in the shipyard counties, but mortality from other tumors was roughly comparable to national levels. A causal relation to asbestos exposures in shipyards cannot be inferred from this correlational analysis, but the unusual mortality patterns underscore the need for broadly based analytic studies to evaluate the risk of cancer in persons with wartime shipyard employment.     

Cancer mortality in a Texas county with prior uranium mining and milling activities, 1950-2001.

Uranium was discovered in Karnes County, Texas, in 1954 and the first uranium mill began operating in 1961 near Falls City. Uranium milling and surface and in situ mining continued in Karnes County until the early 1990s. Remediation of uranium tailings ponds was completed in the 1990s. There were three mills and over 40 mines operating in Karnes County over these years and potential exposure to the population was from possible environmental releases into the air and ground water. From time to time concerns have been raised in Karnes County about potential increased cancer risk from these uranium mining and milling activities. To evaluate the possibility of increased cancer deaths associated with these uranium operations, a mortality survey was conducted. The numbers and rates of cancer deaths were determined for Karnes County and for comparison for four 'control' counties in the same region with similar age, race, urbanisation and socioeconomic distributions reported in the 1990 US Census. Comparisons were also made with US and Texas general population rates. Following similar methods to those used by the National Cancer Institute, standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were computed as the ratio of observed numbers of cancers in the study and control counties compared to the expected number derived from general population rates for the United States. Relative risks (RRs) were computed as the ratios of the SMRs for the study and the control counties. Overall, 1223 cancer deaths occurred in the population residing in Karnes County from 1950 to 2001 compared with 1392 expected based on general population rates for the US. There were 3857 cancer deaths in the four control counties during the same 52 year period compared with 4389 expected. There was no difference between the total cancer mortality rates in Karnes County and those in the control counties (RR = 1.0; 95% confidence interval 0.9-1.1). There were no significant increases in Karnes County for any cancer when comparisons were made with either the US population, the State of Texas or the control counties. In particular, deaths due to cancers of the lung, bone, liver and kidney were not more frequent in Karnes County than in the control counties. These are the cancers of a priori interest given that uranium might be expected to concentrate more in these tissues than in others. Further, any radium intake would deposit primarily in the bone and radon progeny primarily in the lung. Deaths from all cancers combined also were not increased in Karnes County and the RRs of cancer mortality in Karnes County before and in the early years of operations (1950-64), shortly after the uranium activities began (1965-79) and in two later time periods (1980-89, 1990-2001) were similar, 1.0, 0.9, 1.1 and 1.0, respectively. No unusual patterns of cancer mortality could be seen in Karnes County over a period of 50 years, suggesting that the uranium mining and milling operations had not increased cancer rates among residents.     

Silicosis and lung cancer: a mortality study of compensated men with silicosis in New South Wales, Australia

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer mortality has been found to be in excess in several groups with silicosis, but allowance for smoking was not always possible. We investigated the lung cancer mortality in men with silicosis in New South Wales, Australia, who were compensated, making allowance for smoking habits. METHODS: A mortality study of 1467 men with silicosis in New South Wales who were compensated was carried out comparing observed mortality with that expected from the New South Wales death rates adjusting for age and period. Their smoking habits were compared with national survey smoking rates and the expected number of lung cancer deaths adjusted for smoking. Cases were coded for occupation and industry. RESULTS: The observed mortality was higher than expected, but the only site of cancer showing a significant excess was the lung. The group with silicosis had smoked more than the national rates. After adjusting for smoking the standardized mortality ratio for lung cancer was 1.9 (95% confidence interval 1.5-2.3). Although there were differences in lung cancer mortality between industries and occupations, these differences were not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: The excess lung cancer death rate may not be entirely due to silica exposure because compensation may have been influenced by the presence of chronic obstructive respiratory disease and there is some evidence that the presence of this disease increases lung cancer risk independently of smoking.     

Recent geographic patterns of lung cancer and mesothelioma mortality rates in 49 shipyard counties in the United States, 1970-94

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer mortality rates among white males in the United States were observed to be elevated during 1950-69 in counties with shipbuilding industries during World War II; risk was found to be associated with asbestos exposure. We evaluated the geographic patterns in more recent years, 1970-94, for whites and compared them with the 1950-69 patterns. METHODS: We calculated age-adjusted rates and estimated rate ratios between comparison groups. RESULTS: Rates generally were higher in shipyard counties than in all nonshipyard counties and in coastal nonshipyard counties for both sexes and time periods. Rates increased markedly from 1950-69 to 1970-94 in all groups, with the changes more pronounced in females than males. Pleural mesothelioma mortality rates were also significantly higher in shipyard counties than coastal nonshipyard counties in all regions among males but not among females. CONCLUSIONS: The more pronounced changes in lung cancer mortality rates among females in shipyard counties may be attributed to the combined effects of low asbestos exposures and changes in smoking behavior. Am. J. Ind. Med. 37:512-521, 2000. Published 2000 Wiley-Liss, Inc.     

Mortalities of workers at the Nitro plant with exposure to 2-mercaptobenzothialzole

OBJECTIVES: An update of a study of workers exposed to 2- mercaptobenzothiazole (MBT) at a rubber chemicals plant in Nitro, West Virginia is reported. The earlier study found high rates of lung cancer, prostate cancer, and bladder cancer in these workers who also had potential exposure to 4-aminobiphenyl (PAB), a potent bladder carcinogen. METHODS: This cohort mortality study examines the mortalities of 1059 full time white male production workers employed at the plant from 1955 to 1977. A detailed exposure assessment was done on the 600 workers with exposure to MBT. Nine years of additional follow up to the previous study are added. RESULTS: It was found that MBT workers have expected rates of lung (standardised mortality ratio (SMR) = 1.0 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.7 to 1.5) and prostate (SMR = 0.9, 95% CI 0.2 to 2.3) cancer. There was an excess of bladder cancer among MBT workers who had definite exposure to PAB (SMR = 27.1, 95% CI 11.7 to 53.4), and MBT workers with potential exposure to PAB (SMR = 4.3, 95% CI 1.4 to 10.0). However, there were no deaths from bladder cancer among workers with no exposure to PAB (SMR = 0.0, 95% CI 0.0 to 24.7), although there were only 0.2 deaths expected. CONCLUSIONS: The potential confounding of exposure to an unknown portion of PAB in the MBT workers makes it impossible to evaluate risk of bladder cancer in this population at this time. However, exposure to MBT does not seem to increase the risk of most cancers including cancers of the lung and prostate.

 

     

Trends in mortality from lung cancer in Mexico, 1980-2000]

OBJECTIVE: To analyze trends in age-adjusted lung cancer mortality rates in Mexico for the period of 1980 through 2000. METHOD: The trends were assessed using the adjusted rates of mortality from lung cancer, year of death, year of birth, age at death, state, and standard population. The standardized mortality rate and the index of potential years of life lost were used to compare incidence and premature deaths. The standardized mortality rate was analyzed by age groups according to the age at death (30-74 years), five-year observation period (1980-1999), and birth cohort (1910-1950). Nonparametric Spearman correlations were calculated for per capita tobacco consumption, social marginalization, and emigration. RESULTS: The adjusted mortality rate from lung cancer declined from 7.91 per 100 000 in 1989 to 5.96 per 100 000 in 2000. This pattern correlated with the reduction in per capita tobacco consumption, from 2.145 kg in 1959 to 0.451 kg in 1982. The latent period for the appearance of lung cancer in Mexico was 30 years. The male:female ratio was 2.4:1. The highest adjusted mortality rate was found in men who were 70-74 years old at the time of death. The adjusted mortality rates were low among the cohorts of persons born in 1945 or later, and those rates declined over the 1980-2000 period. The index of potential years of life lost and the incidence of premature death were greater among men. The mortality rates for the cohorts of men born between 1915 and 1940 showed a slight decline over the 1980-2000 period; beginning with men born in 1944 the rates increased slightly, mainly among men 30-34 and 35-39 years old at the time of death. For women the adjusted mortality rates were highest among those 75 or older; the rates gradually declined among the women born between 1945 and 1960, with the largest decrease among women 30-34 years old. The adjusted mortality rates varied according to the five-year observation period, the year of death, and birth cohort and gender. The correlation coefficient for the adjusted mortality rate by state and social marginalization was -0.70 (P = 0.00). There was no statistically significant correlation with the index of emigration (P = 0.56). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality from lung cancer has declined in Mexico. Morbidity and premature death due to lung cancer are greater in the states of northern Mexico.     

广西肺癌死亡的流行特征及趋势

目的描述 2004～2005 年广西肺癌的死亡率及流行特征, 分析 20 世纪 70 年代～2005 年广西肺癌的流行趋势。方法采用多阶段分层抽样的方法选取广西 9 个县作为样本点, 调查当地居民 2004～2005 年的死亡原因, 分析肺癌死亡的流行特征。结果 2004～2005 年广西肺癌的粗死亡率为 24.54/10 万 (其中男性肺癌死亡率为 33.66/10 万, 女性为14.48 / 10 万)。 1964 年中国人口标化率为 13.58 / 10 万。死亡率男女性别比为 2.33︰1。肺癌占所有恶性肿瘤死亡的20.79%, 居恶性肿瘤死亡的第 2 位。肺癌年龄别死亡率随着年龄的增长呈上升的趋势, 大于 40 岁年龄组上升更为显著.2005 年与 20 世纪 70 年代相比, 肺癌标化率上升幅度达 614.74%。结论 20 世纪 70 年代～2005 年这 30 年间, 广西居民肺癌的死亡率呈上升的趋势, 广西肺癌的防治研究任重而道远。