Blood neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio predicts survival after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: A propensity score-based analysis

AIM: To investigate whether an elevated preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR) can predict poor survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 526 patients with HCC who underwent surgery between 2004 and 2011.RESULTS: Preoperative NLR ≥ 2.81 was an independent predictor of poor disease-free survival(DFS, P 0.001) and overall survival(OS, P = 0.044). Compared with patients who showed a preoperative NLR 2.81 and postoperative increase, patients who showed preoperative NLR ≥ 2.81 and postoperative decrease had worse survival(DFS, P 0.001; OS, P 0.001). Among patients with preoperative NLR ≥ 2.81, survival was significantly higher among those showing a postoperative decrease in NLR than among those showing an increase(DFS, P 0.001; OS, P 0.001). When elevated, alpha-fetoprotein(AFP) provided no prognostic information, and so preoperative NLR ≥ 2.81 may be a good complementary indicator of poor OS whenever AFP levels are low or high.CONCLUSION: Preoperative NLR ≥ 2.81 may be an indicator of poor DFS and OS in patients with HCC undergoing surgery. Preoperative NLR ≥ 2.81 may be a good complementary indicator of poor OS when elevated AFP levels provide no prognostic information.     

Prognostic value of preoperative mean corpuscular volume in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

AIM: To evaluate whether preoperative mean corpuscular volume (MCV) is a prognostic indicator in patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). METHODS: A total of 298 consecutive, prospectively enrolled patients with histologically diagnosed ESCC who underwent surgery with curative intent from 2001 to 2011 were retrospectively evaluated. Patients were excluded if they had previous malignant disease, distant metastasis at the time of primary treatment, a history of neoadjuvant treatment, had undergone nonradical resection, or had died of a non-tumor-associated cause. Survival status was verified in September 2011. Pathological staging was performed based on the 2010 American Joint Committee on Cancer criteria. Preoperative MCV was obtained from blood counts performed routinely within 7 d prior to surgery. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine a cutoff for preoperative MCV. RESULTS: The 298 patients consisted of 230 males and 68 females, with a median follow-up of 30.1 mo. ROC analysis showed an optimal cutoff for preoperative MCV of 95.6 fl. Fifty-nine patients (19.8%) had high (> 95.6 fl) and 239 (80.2%) had low (≤ 95.6 fl) preoperative MCV. Preoperative MCV was significantly associated with gender (P=0.003), body mass index (P=0.017), and preoperative red blood cell count (P<0.001). The predicted 1-, 3and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 72%, 60% and 52%, respectively. Median OS was significantly longer in patients with low than with high preoperative MCV (27.5 mo vs 19.4 mo, P<0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that advanced pT (P=0.018) and pN (P<0.001) stages, upper thoracic location (P=0.010), lower preoperative albumin concentration (P=0.002), and high preoperative MCV (P=0.001) were negative prognostic factors in patients with ESCC. Preoperative MCV also stratified OS in patients with T3, N1-N3, G2-G3 and stage Ⅲ tumors. CONCLUSION: Preoperative MCV is a prognostic factor in patients with ESCC.     

Long-term outcomes and prognostic factors of patients with obstructive colorectal cancer: A multicenter retrospective cohort study

AIM: To investigate the long-term oncologic outcomes and prognostic factors in patients with obstructive colorectal cancer(CRC) at multiple Japanese institutions.METHODS: We identified 362 patients diagnosed with obstructive colorectal cancer from January 1, 2002 to December 31, 2012 in Yokohama Clinical Oncology Group's department of gastroenterological surgery. Among them, 234 patients with stage Ⅱ/Ⅲ disease who had undergone surgical resection of their primary lesions were analyzed, retrospectively. We report the long-term outcomes, the risk factors for recurrence, and the prognostic factors.RESULTS: The five-year disease free survival and cancer-specific survival were 50.6% and 80.3%, respectively. A multivariate analysis showed the ASAPS(HR = 2.23, P = 0.026), serum Albumin ≤ 4.0 g/d L(HR = 2.96, P = 0.007), T4 tumor(HR = 2.73, P = 0.002) and R1 resection(HR = 6.56, P = 0.02) to be independent risk factors for recurrence. Furthermore, poorly differentiated cancers(HR = 6.28, P = 0.009), a T4 tumor(HR = 3.46, P = 0.011) and R1 resection(HR = 6.16, P = 0.006) were independent prognostic factors in patients with obstructive CRC.CONCLUSION: The outcomes of patients with obstructive CRC was poor. T4 tumor and R1 resection were found to be independent prognostic factors for both recurrence and survival in patients with obstructive CRC.     

Elevated serum levels of human relaxin-2 in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

AIM: To assess the prognostic value of serum human relaxin 2 (H2 RLN) level in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). METHODS: From October 1998 to September 2009, 146 patients with histopathologically confirmed ESCC were enrolled in this study. One hundred patients underwent en bloc esophagectomy, and 46 patients with unresectable tumors underwent palliative surgery. Five of the 146 patients died of surgical complications. Serum levels of H2 RLN were measured by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay. The relationship between serum H2 RLN level and each of the clinicopathological parameters was analyzed using the χ2 test. Patients were classified into two groups according to their H2 RLN level (< 0.462 ng/mL vs ≥ 0.462 ng/mL). When any analysis cell had fewer than five cases, the Fisher’s exact test was used. The statistical difference between groups A and B in each clinicopathological category was determined by the Student’s t test (two-tailed) or analysis of variance. Survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method. The statistical difference in survival between the different groups was compared using the log-rank test. Survival correlation with the prognostic factors was further investigated by multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazards model with backward stepwise likelihood ratio. RESULTS: ESCC patients tended to have significantly higher serum H2 RLN concentrations (0.48 ± 0.17 ng/ mL, n=141) compared with the healthy control group (0.342 ± 0.12 ng/mL, n=112). There was a significant difference between patients with lymph node involvement (0.74 ± 0.15 ng/mL, n=90), distant metastasis (0.90 ± 0.19 ng/mL, n=32) and those without lymph node involvement (0.45 ± 0.12 ng/mL, n=51), and distant metastasis (0.43 ± 0.14 ng/mL, n=109), respectively (P < 0.01). Patients with high H2 RLN levels (≥ 0.462 ng/mL) had a poorer prognosis than patients with low serum H2 RLN levels (< 0.462 ng/mL; P=0.0056). The H2 RLN level was also correlated with survival and     

Preoperative defining system for pancreatic head cancer considering surgical resection

AIM: To provide appropriate treatment, it is crucial to share the clinical status of pancreas head cancer among multidisciplinary treatment members. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the medical records of 113 patients who underwent surgery for pancreas head cancer from January 2008 to December 2012 was performed. We developed preoperative defining system of pancreatic head cancer by describing "resectability- tumor location- vascular relationship- adjacent organ involvement- preoperative CA19-9(initial bilirubin level)- vascular anomaly". The oncologic correlations with this reporting system were evaluated.RESULTS: Among 113 patients, there were 75 patients(66.4%) with resectable, 34 patients(30.1%) with borderline resectable, and 4 patients(3.5%) with locally advanced pancreatic cancer. Mean disease-free survival was 24.8 mo(95%CI: 19.6-30.1) with a 5-year diseasefree survival rate of 13.5%. Pretreatment tumor size ≥ 2.4 cm [Exp(B) = 3.608, 95%CI: 1.512-8.609, P = 0.044] and radiologic vascular invasion [Exp(B) = 5.553, 95%CI: 2.269-14.589, P = 0.002] were independent predictive factors for neoadjuvant treatment. Borderline resectability [Exp(B) = 0.222, P = 0.008], pancreatichead cancer involving the pancreatic neck [Exp(B) = 9.461, P = 0.001] and arterial invasion [Exp(B) = 6.208, P = 0.010], and adjusted CA19-9 ≥ 50 [Exp(B) = 1.972 P = 0.019] were identified as prognostic clinical factors to predict tumor recurrence. CONCLUSION: The suggested preoperative defining system can help with designing treatment plans and also predict oncologic outcomes.     

Survival outcome of patients with spontaneously ruptured hepatocellular carcinoma treated surgically or by transarterial embolization

AIM: To evaluate clinical outcomes of patients that underwent surgery, transarterial embolization (TAE), or supportive care for spontaneously ruptured hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: A consecutive 54 patients who diagnosed as spontaneously ruptured HCC at our institution between 2003 and 2012 were retrospectively enrolled. HCC was diagnosed based on the diagnostic guidelines issued by the 2005 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases. HCC rupture was defined as disruption of the peritumoral liver capsule with enhanced fluid collection in the perihepatic area adjacent to the HCC by dynamic liver computed tomography, and when abdominal paracentesis showed an ascitic red blood cell count of > 50000 mm 3 /mL in bloody fluid. RESULTS: Of the 54 patients, 6 (11.1%) underwent surgery, 25 (46.3%) TAE, and 23 (42.6%) supportive care. The 2-, 4and 6-mo cumulative survival rates at 2, 4 and 6 mo were significantly higher in the surgery (60%, 60% and 60%) or TAE (36%, 20% and 20%) groups than in the supportive care group (8.7%, 0% and 0%), respectively (each, P < 0.01), and tended to be higher in the surgical group than in the TAE group. Multivariate analysis showed that serum bilirubin (HR = 1.09, P < 0.01), creatinine (HR = 1.46, P = 0.04), and vasopressor requirement (HR = 2.37, P = 0.02) were significantly associated with post-treatment mortality, whereas surgery (HR = 0.41, P < 0.01), and TAE (HR = 0.13, P = 0.01) were inversely associated with posttreatment mortality. CONCLUSION: Post-treatment survival after surgery or TAE was found to be better than after supportive care, and surgery tended to provide better survival benefit than TAE.     

Prognostic and survival analysis of 837 Chinese colorectal cancer patients

AIM:To develop a prognostic model to predict survival of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). METHODS:Survival data of 837 CRC patients undergoing surgery between 1996 and 2006 were collected and analyzed by univariate analysis and Cox proportional hazard regression model to reveal the prognostic factors for CRC. All data were recorded using a standard data form and analyzed using SPSS version 18.0 (SPSS, Chicago, IL, United States). Survival curves were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. The log rank test was used to assess differences in survival. Univariate hazard ratios and significant and independent predictors of disease-specific survival and were identified by Cox proportional hazard analysis. The stepwise procedure was set to a threshold of 0.05. Statistical significance was defined asP < 0.05. RESULTS:The survival rate was 74% at 3 years and 68% at 5 years. The results of univariate analysis suggested age, preoperative obstruction, serum carcinoembryonic antigen level at diagnosis, status of resection, tumor size, histological grade, pathological type, lymphovascular invasion, invasion of adjacent organs, and tumor node metastasis (TNM) staging were positive prognostic factors (P < 0.05). Lymph node ratio (LNR) was also a strong prognostic factor in stage Ⅲ CRC (P < 0.0001). We divided 341 stage Ⅲ patients into three groups according to LNR values (LNR1, LNR ≤ 0.33, n = 211; LNR2, LNR 0.34-0.66, n = 76; and LNR3, LNR ≥ 0.67, n = 54). Univariate analysis showed a significant statistical difference in 3-year survival among these groups:LNR1, 73%; LNR2, 55%; and LNR3, 42% (P < 0.0001). The multivariate analysis results showed that histological grade, depth of bowel wall invasion, and number of metastatic lymph nodes were the most important prognostic factors for CRC if we did not consider the interaction of the TNM staging system (P < 0.05). When the TNM staging was taken into account, histological grade lost its statistical significance, while the specific TNM staging system s     

Twist2 is a valuable prognostic biomarker for colorectal cancer

AIM: To investigate the significance of Twist2 for colorectal cancer (CRC). METHODS: In this study, 93 CRC patients were included who received curative surgery in Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital from January 1999 to December 2010. Records of patients’ clinicopathological characteristics and follow up data were reviewed. Formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue blocks were used to observe the protein expression of Twist2 and E-cadherin by immunohistochemistry. Two independent pathologists who were blinded to the clinical information performed semiquantitative scoring of immunostaining. A total score of 3-6 (sum of extent + intensity) was considered as Twist2-positive expression. The expression of E-cadherin was divided into two levels (preserved and reduced). An exploratory statistical analysis was conducted to determine the association between Twist2 expression and clinicopathological parameters, as well as E-cadherin expression. Furthermore, the variables associated with prognosis were analyzed by Cox’s proportional hazards model. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to plot survival curves according to different expression levels of Twist2. RESULTS: Twist2-positive expression was observed in 66 (71.0%) samples and mainly located in the cytoplasm. Forty-three (46.2%) samples showed reduced expression of E-cadherin. There were no significant correlations between Twist2 expression and any of the clinicopathological parameters. However, Twist2-positive expression was significantly associated with reduced expression of E-cadherin (P=0.040). Multivariate analysis revealed that bad M-stage [hazard ratio (HR)=7.694, 95%CI: 2.927-20.224,P < 0.001] and Twist2-positive (HR=5.744, 95%CI: 1.347-24.298,P=0.018) were the independent risk factors for poor overall survival (OS), while Twist2-positive (HR=3.264, 95%CI: 1.455-7.375, P=0.004), bad N-stage (HR=2.149, 95%CI: 1.226-3.767, P=0.008) and bad M-stage (HR=10.907, 95%CI: 4.937-24.096, P < 0.001) were independently associated with poor disease-free survival (DFS     

Prognostic value of preoperative platelet–lymphocyte and neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio in patients undergoing surgery for esophageal squamous cell cancer

Increasing evidence has suggested that the host inflammatory status is associated with prognosis of several solid tumors. Preoperative platelet–lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR), both acquired from routine blood tests, can reflect the status of systematic inflammation. However, whether they are correlated with clinical outcomes of esophageal carcinoma is still unknown. The purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic value of preoperative PLR and NLR in patients with resected esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Preoperative PLR and NLR were evaluated in 317 eligible ESCC patients from September 2008 to December 2010. Receiver operating characteristic curves were applied to establish optimal cutoff points. The prognostic values of PLR and NLR were determined by both univariate and multivariate analyses. The optimal cutoff value of preoperative PLR and NLR were 103.0 and 2.1, respectively. One hundred and ninety‐seven (62.1%) patients showed high level of preoperative PLR, while 148 (46.7%) patients showed high level of preoperative NLR. Both elevated PLR (P < 0.001) and NLR (P = 0.009) were correlated with poor disease‐specific survival in univariate analysis. However, only preoperative PLR (P = 0.003) had a significant correlation with prognosis in multivariate analysis. In subgroup analyses, the predictive value of PLR was significant for stage I (P = 0.008) and stage II (P = 0.044) patients, but not for stage III patients (P = 0.100). Preoperative PLR is easily obtained from a routine blood test and may provide additional prognostic information for ESCC patients, especially in the early stage.     

NLR联合血清IL-6水平预测慢加急性乙型肝炎肝衰竭患者近期预后的价值探讨

目的 研究应用中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值(NLR)联合血清白细胞介素6(IL-6)水平预测慢加急性乙型肝炎肝衰竭(HBV-ACLF)患者近期预后的价值。方法 2019年9月～2021年9月我院诊治的HBV-ACLF患者72例,给予综合内科治疗,观察28 d生存率。常规检测血常规,计算NLR,采用ELISA法测定血清IL-6水平,应用Logistic回归分析影响近期预后的因素,应用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估NLR联合血清IL-6水平预测近期预后的效能。结果 72例HBV-ACLF患者28 d生存53例,死亡19例(26.4%);死亡患者NLR为(7.2±2.2),血清IL-6水平为(13.6±3.5)pg/ml,显著高于生存患者【分别为(3.7±1.0)和(8.7±1.5)pg/ml,P<0.05】,死亡组年龄、肝性脑病发生率和MELD评分显著高于生存组,而PLT计数显著低于生存组(P<0.05);经Logistic回归分析发现,年龄、肝性脑病、MELD评分、NLR和血清IL-6水平均为影响近期预后的独立因素(P<0.05);经ROC分析显示,分别以NLR>4...     

应用米兰标准微波消融治疗肝细胞癌患者预后及其影响因素分析*

目的 探讨应用米兰标准施行微波消融术(MWA)治疗肝细胞癌(HCC)患者影响生存的因素。方法 2013年1月～2016年12月我院消化内科住院的94例直径≤5 cm的HCC患者接受超声引导下MWA治疗,随访5年。分析不同HCC结节个数和不同肿瘤直径对总生存率(OS)和无进展生存率(PFS)的影响。结果 随访5年,本组HCC患者OS为64.9%,1 a和2 a 肿瘤复发率分别为12.8%和53.2%;HCC直径> 3 cm患者的PFS显著短于直径≤3 cm的患者(P=0.005),PFS≤2年的HCC患者OS显著低于PFS> 2年的患者(48.0%对 84.1%,P<0.001);多因素回归分析显示HCC直径> 3 cm (HR=0.42,95%CI:0.21～0.83,P=0.01)是MWA术后肿瘤复发的独立危险因素,而白细胞计数< 4.0×10⁹ /L (HR=0.38, 95%CI:0.18～0.84,P=0.017)和PFS≤2 年(HR=0.24, 95%CI:0.10～0.56,P=0.001)是影响HCC患者OS的独立危险因素。结论 直径> 3 cm的HCC患者PFS较短,但似乎不影响OS,因为大多数肝内复发的HCC患者仍然可进行重复MWA治疗。     

Circulating insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 3 as prognostic biomarker in liver cirrhosis

AIM: To investigate the prognostic significance of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 3(IGFBP-3) in patients with cirrhosis.METHODS: Prospective study that included two cohorts: outpatients with stable cirrhosis(n = 138) and patients hospitalized for acute decompensation(n = 189). Development of complications, mortality or liver transplantation was assessed by periodical phone calls and during outpatient visits. The cohort of stable cirrhosis also underwent clinical and laboratory evaluation yearly(2013 and 2014) in predefined study visits. In patients with stable cirrhosis, IGFBP-3 levels were measured at baseline(2012) and at second re-evaluation(2014). In hospitalized subjects, IGFBP-3 levels were measured in serum samples collected in the first and in the third day after admission and stored at-80 ℃. IGFBP-3 levels were measured by immunochemiluminescence.RESULTS: IGFBP-3 levels were lower in hospitalized patients as compared to outpatients(0.94 mcg/mL vs 1.69 mcg/m L, P 0.001) and increased after liver transplantation(3.81 mcg/m L vs 1.33 mcg/mL, P = 0.008). During the follow-up of the stable cohort, 17 patients died and 11 received liver transplantation. Bivariate analysis showed that death or transplant was associated with lower IGFBP-3 levels(1.44 mcg/mL vs 1.74 mcg/m L, P = 0.027). The Kaplan-Meier transplant-free survival probability was 88.6% in patients with IGFBP-3 ≥ 1.67 mcg/mL and 72.1% for those with IGFBP3 1.67 mcg/mL(P = 0.015). In the hospitalized cohort, 30-d mortality was 24.3% and was independently associated with creatinine, INR, SpO_2/FiO_2 ratio and IGFBP-3 levels in the logistic regression. The 90-d transplant-free survival probability was 80.4% in patients with IGFBP-3 ≥ 0.86 mcg/mL and 56.1% for those with IGFBP3 0.86 mcg/mL(P 0.001). CONCLUSION: Lower IGFBP-3 levels were associated with worse outcomes in patients with cirrhosis, and might represent a promising prognostic tool that can be incorporated in clinical practice.     

Alcohol,postprandial plasma glucose,and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM:To identify factors associated with prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC) after initial therapy.METHODS:A total of 377 HCC patients who were newly treated at Katsushika Medical Center,Japan from January 2000 to December 2009 and followed up for > 2 years,or died during follow-up,were enrolled.The factors related to survival were first analyzed in 377 patients with HCC tumor stage T1-T4 using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.A similar analysis was performed in 282 patients with tumor stage T1-T3.Additionally,factors associated with the period between initial and subsequent therapy were examined in 144 patients who did not show local recurrence.Finally,214 HCC stage T1-T3 patients who died during the observation period were classified into four groups according to their alcohol consumption and postprandial glucose levels,and differences in their causes of death were examined.RESULTS:On multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis,the following were significantly associated with survival:underlying liver disease stage [non-cirrhosis/Child-Pugh A vs B/C,hazard ratio(HR):0.603,95% CI:0.417-0.874,P = 0.0079],HCC stage(T1/T2 vs T3/T4,HR:0.447,95% CI:0.347-0.576,P < 0.0001),and mean postprandial plasma glucose after initial therapy(< 200 vs ≥ 200 mg/dL,HR:0.181,95% CI:0.067-0.488,P = 0.0008).In T1-T3 patients,uninterrupted alcohol consumption after initial therapy(no vs yes,HR:0.641,95% CI:0.469-0.877,P = 0.0055) was significant in addition to underlying liver disease stage(non-cirrhosis/Child-Pugh A vs B/C,HR:0649,95% CI:0.476-0.885,P = 0.0068),HCC stage(T1 vs T2/T3,HR:0.788,95% CI:0.653-0.945,P = 0.0108),and mean postprandial plasma glucose after initial therapy(< 200 mg/dL vs ≥ 200 mg/dL,HR:0.502,95% CI:0.337-0.747,P = 0.0005).In patients without local recurrence,time from initial to subsequent therapy for newly emerging HCC was significantly longer in the "postprandial glucose within 200 mg/dL group" than the "postprandial glucose > 200 mg/dL group"(l     

Pretreatment Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio as a Prognostic Predictor of Urologic Tumors: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

The relationship between inflammation and tumor development and progression has been recognized in recent decades. NLR is an easily reproducible and widely used inflammatory response marker. The prognostic value of NLR for urologic tumors has been reported in succession. Here, we perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to summarize the association between the NLR and prognosis of urologic tumors.We conducted a computerized search of PubMed, Embase, and ISI Web of Knowledge to identify clinical studies that had evaluated the association between the pretreatment NLR and prognosis in urologic tumors. Prognostic outcomes included overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), progression-free survival (PFS), and metastasis-free survival (MFS). We extracted and synthesized corresponding hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) using Review Manager 5.3 and STATA 13.We identified 34 retrospective cohort studies and conducted the meta-analysis. The results showed that all OS, CSS, RFS, PFS, and MFS risks were significantly different between patients with an elevated NLR and those with a low NLR in various urologic tumors. A high NLR portended poor prognosis. However, no significance was observed for CSS in patients with renal cell carcinoma (HR = 1.38, 95% CI: 0.96–1.99).Our meta-analysis suggests that NLR could be a prognostic predictor for urologic tumors. Patients with a high NLR were deemed to have a poor prognosis.     

伴有中/重度食管静脉曲张的慢加急性肝衰竭患者预后危险因素分析*

目的 探讨影响伴有中/重度食管静脉曲张的B型和C型慢加急性肝衰竭(ACLF)患者预后的因素。方法 2017年11月1日～2020年3月31日我院住院的首次诊断的ACLF患者58例,其中B型18例(31.0%),C型40例(69.0%),胃镜检查提示存在中/重度食管静脉曲张,随访 6个月。应用Logistic回归分析,探讨影响生存率的独立危险因素。结果 在随访的6个月内,20例(34.5%)死亡,1例行肝移植,2例失访,35例(60.3%)生存;生存组与死亡组患者在腹水量(P=0.039)、住院期间是否行硬化剂治疗(P=0.010)、临床分型(P=0.034)、肝性脑病(P=0.029)和静脉曲张程度(P=0.046)方面差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05);非条件Logistic回归分析分析腹水量(OR=9.76)、住院期间是否行硬化剂治疗(OR=19.28)和肝性脑病(OR=5.98)均是影响患者6个月生存率的独立危险因素。结论 存在大量腹水、严重肝性脑病和食管静脉曲张硬化剂治疗可能严重影响ACLF患者生存,临床医生应尽快控制并发症,不推荐进行硬化剂治疗静脉曲张。     

成人脊柱结核术后并发急性肾损伤的影响因素分析

目的 探讨术前肾功能正常的成年脊柱结核患者行椎体结核病灶清除术后发生急性肾功能损伤(acute kidney injury, AKI)的危险因素。方法 采用回顾性病例对照研究方法,搜集2009—2018年首都医科大学附属北京胸科医院收治的年龄≥18岁、术前肾功能正常,且行脊柱结核手术(后路病灶清除+椎间植骨融合+内固定术)治疗的成人脊柱结核患者2535例,参照排除标准最终纳入2068例。依据全球改善肾脏病预后组织(kidney disease improving global outcomes,KDIGO)指南,最终以术后发生AKI的31例患者作为并发AKI组,以未发生AKI的62例患者(与AKI组按1∶2匹配同期、同手术部位及同手术方式的患者)作为对照组。采用单因素和多因素logistic 回归分析两组患者的临床资料[年龄、性别、体质量指数(BMI),术前高血压、糖尿病、心脏病、吸烟史、慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)、抗结核药物治疗时间、血肌酐(Scr)、尿素氮(BUN)、血红蛋白(Hb)、尿酸、白蛋白、C-反应蛋白(CRP)、估算的肾小球滤过率(eGFR),以及术中ASA分级、麻醉方式、有无高血压、有无低血压、手术时间、术中用药、胶体量、氯化钠注射液补液量、输血量、失血量、尿量,术后肺部感染、住院时间、院内死亡例数]与术后发生AKI的相关性。结果 单因素分析结果显示,并发AKI组患者年龄≥60岁[64.52%(20/31)]、BMI>25[58.06%(18/31)]、术前高血压病史[54.84%(17/31)]、高尿酸血症[87.10%(27/31)]、贫血[54.84%(17/31)]、术中失血量≥600ml[64.52%(20/31)]等方面明显高于对照组[分别为41.94%(26/62)、30.65%(19/62)、29.03%(18/62)、67.74%(42/62)、19.35%(12/62)、35.48%(22/62)](χ²值分别为4.216、5.864、6.486、4.043、12.126、7.034,P值分别为0.040、0.011、0.015、0.044、0.001、0.008);而术前eGFR≥90ml·min^-1·(1.73m²)^-1 [67.74%(21/31) ]、术中使用右美托咪定[41.94%(13/31)]明显低于对照组[分别为87.10%(54/62)、64.52%(40/62)](χ²值分别为4.960、4.299, P值分别为0.026、0.038)。多因素logistic回归分析结果显示,术前BMI>25 [Wald χ²=4.916,P=0.027,OR(95%CI):4.391 (1.187~16.238)]、高尿酸血症[Wald χ²=4.412,P=0.036,OR(95%CI):5.896 (1.126~30.874)]、贫血[Wald χ²=9.396,P=0.002,OR(95%CI):8.173 (2.133~31.314)]、eGFR≥90ml·min^-1·(1.73m²)^-1 [Wald χ²=4.283,P=0.039,OR(95%CI):0.213(0.049~0.921)]是术后发生AKI的影响因素。结论 术前肾功能正常的脊柱结核患者行椎体结核病灶清除术,术前BMI>25、并发高尿酸血症和贫血是术后发生AKI的危险因素,而术前高eGFR水平是保护性因素。     

基于红细胞分布宽度和中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值建立慢加急性乙型肝炎肝衰竭患者短期预后预测模型价值研究

目的 基于红细胞分布宽度(RDW)、中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值(NLR)建立乙型肝炎病毒相关慢加急性肝衰竭(HBV-ACLF)患者短期预后预测模型,即RNM。方法 回顾性分析HBV-ACLF患者102例,随访患者90 d内生存情况。采用单因素和多因素分析,筛选出对预后有影响的因素,构建短期预后预测模型,即RNM。绘制受试者工作特征曲线(ROC),计算ROC曲线下面积(AUC),评价各指标预测预后的价值。结果 本组90 d生存48例,死亡54例(52.9%);单因素分析显示,死亡组并发感染、RDW、WBC、NEU、NLR、TBIL、INR、Cr和MELD评分显著高于生存组(P<0.05),而淋巴细胞(LY)、ALB、Na⁺和PTA显著低于生存组(P <0.05);多因素分析显示,RDW(OR=1.410,95%CI,1.149～1.730)、NLR(OR=1.155,95%CI,1.001～1.333)和MELD评分(OR=1.128,95%CI,1.001～1.271)为影响患者死亡的独立危险因素;ROC曲线分析得出,RDW(AUC=0.826)、NLR(AUC=0.819)、MELD评分(AUC=0.791)和RNM模型(AUC=0.888)具有预测肝衰竭预后的应用价值,其中RNM模型的预测价值最优。结论 我们基于RDW和NLR建立的RNM模型预测CHB-ACLF患者90 d预后有良好的预测效能。     

The duration of systemic inflammatory response syndrome is a reliable indicator of long-term survival after curative esophagectomy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Background

We focused on the Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) duration after surgery for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) as the prognostic marker.

Methods

We enrolled a total of 222 patients with local ESCC, who underwent curative esophagectomy between 2005 and 2015. SIRS was diagnosed according to the criteria as a condition involving two or more of the following factors after surgery: (a) body temperature of?>?38 °C or?<?36 °C; (b) heart rate?>?90 beats/min; (c) respiratory rate?>?20 breaths/min (d) WBC count?>?12,000 or?<?4000 cells/mm³. We defined SIRS duration as the total sum of the days defined as SIRS conditions during 7 days after surgery. The SIRS duration was analyzed by Cox hazards modeling to determine the independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and Cancer-specific survival (CSS).

Results

The cutoff point of SIRS duration was determined to be set at 5.0 days according to the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, which was plotted using 5-year OS as the endpoint. Of the 222 patients, 165 (74.4%) and 57 (25.6%) were classified as having short (<?5.0) and long (≥?5.0) SIRS, respectively. The long SIRS was significantly associated with postoperative pneumonia (Hazard Ratio (HR):9.07; P?<?0.01), great amount of blood loss during surgery (HR: 2.20: P?=?0.04), preoperative high CRP value (HR: 2.45: P?=?0.04) and preoperative low albumin (HR: 2.79: P?=?0.03) by logistic-regression multivariate analysis. Cox Hazard Multivariate analyses revealed that long SIRS was a worse prognostic factor for OS (HR: 2.36; 95% Confidence Interval (CI):1.34–4.20, P?<?0.01) and CSS (HR: 2.07; 95% CI:1.06–4.06, P?=?0.03), while postoperative pneumonia and postoperative high CRP value were not worse prognostic factors for OS and CSS.

Conclusion

SIRS duration is a more reliable prognostic marker than the development of pneumonia and high postoperative CRP value after surgery for ESCC. The surgeons should aim to reduce the SIRS duration to improve the prognosis of ESCC patients.