Is sialic acid an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease? A 17-year follow-up study in Busselton, Western Australia

PURPOSE: To investigate the relationship between serum sialic acid level and risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke in men and women without diagnosed cardiovascular disease. METHODS: A prospective case-cohort study over the period 1981 to 1998 involving 151 CHD cases, 87 stroke cases, and a random sub-cohort of 340 was used. Sialic acid levels were determined by enzymatic method from frozen serum. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the relative risks of CHD and stroke for sialic acid tertiles and for continuous sialic acid level after adjustment for age, blood pressure, body mass index, cholesterol, triglycerides, diabetes, and smoking. RESULTS: The multivariate-adjusted relative risk of CHD associated with a 25 mg/dl increase in sialic acid was 1.22 (95% CI: 1.02-1.45) overall, 1.40 (95% CI: 1.11-1.76) in women, and 1.06 (95% CI: 0.82-1.37) in men. The overall relative risk for stroke was 1.13 (95% CI: 0.87-1.46) and for CHD and stroke combined it was 1.17 (95% CI: 0.99-1.37) CONCLUSIONS: Serum sialic acid may be a long-term predictor of CHD events in adults (especially women) who are currently clinically free of cardiovascular disease. Further studies are needed to determine whether this association can be explained by sialic acid being a marker of accelerated atherosclerosis or inflammation.     

Low bone mineral density, coronary heart disease, and stroke mortality in men and women: the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

PURPOSE: The aim of this study is to determine the long-term association of bone mineral density and cardiovascular disease mortality. METHODS: The data used are from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III), a nationally representative sample of noninstitutionalized civilians. A cohort of white, black, and Mexican-American persons ages 50 years and older at baseline (1988-1994) was followed through 2000 for coronary heart disease (CHD; n = 4690) and stroke mortality (n = 5272) using the NHANES III Linked Mortality File. RESULTS: Death certificates were used to identify 369 CHD and 166 stroke deaths. Results were evaluated to determine the relative risk of CHD or stroke per one standard deviation lower bone mineral density after adjusting for multiple risk factors. In Cox proportional hazards models, risk of CHD death and risk of stroke death were not associated with low bone mineral density among men. For women, no significant associations were found for stroke (relative risk, 1.34; 95% confidence interval, 0.86-2.07, p = 0.20) or CHD (relative risk, 1.26; 95% confidence interval, 0.88, 1.80; p = 0.21). CONCLUSIONS: Low bone mineral density was not associated with risk of cardiovascular disease in men. Among women with low bone mineral density, risk of CHD and stroke were elevated, but no significant associations were found.     

Orthostatic hypotension and the risk of incidental cardiovascular diseases: A meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies

ObjectiveTo quantitatively estimate the prospective associations between orthostatic hypotension (OH) and cardiovascular diseases, including coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke.MethodsRelevant prospective cohort studies were identified by searching of Medline and Embase databases. We applied fixed or random effect model to estimate the overall effects depending on the heterogeneity among the included studies.ResultsEight published articles from 7 cohorts, consisting of 64,782 participants, were included. During a mean follow-up of 15.2 years, 5719 CHD events and 3657 stroke events occurred. The overall results of the meta-analysis indicated that OH was associated with significant increased risk for incident CHD (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.12–1.56) and stroke (HR: 1.19, 95% CI 1.08–1.30), which were independent of conventional risk factors. Stratified analyses by ages suggested that the associations between OH and CHD and stroke were significant for both the middle-aged and the old participants.ConclusionPresence of OH was independently related to significantly increased risk for incidence of CHD and stroke. Further, studies regarding the mechanisms and potential treatments for OH may be important for understanding whether the associations between OH and cardiovascular diseases are causative.     

Serum albumin level as a predictor of incident coronary heart disease: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

Various studies have reported an inverse association between serum albumin level and incident coronary heart disease (CHD), though biologic mechanisms have not been established. The authors examined the association between serum albumin level and CHD in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort, comprising 14,506 White and African-American middle-aged men and women. The mean albumin level in this population was 3.9 g/dl (standard deviation 0.3). During 5.2 years of follow-up, 470 incident CHD events occurred. The hazard ratio for incident CHD associated with a 1-standard deviation decrease in serum albumin level was 1.26 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.15, 1.38) after adjustment for age, gender, and ethnicity and 1.18 (95% CI: 1.07, 1.30) after additional adjustment for covariates related to CHD. Hazard ratios were similar across gender and ethnic groups. However, there was statistically significant effect modification by smoking status, with hazard ratios of 1.01 (95% CI: 0.84, 1.22) among never smokers, 1.09 (95% CI: 0.92, 1.30) among former smokers, and 1.35 (95% CI: 1.17, 1.54) among current smokers. Further adjustment for factors related to renal disease, nutrition, platelet aggregation, inflammation, use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, and hemostasis factors attenuated the albumin-CHD relation only slightly. In this study, serum albumin was inversely associated with incident CHD at the baseline examination in current smokers but not in never or former smokers. Albumin level may be a marker of susceptibility to the inflammatory response that results from smoking.     

Adult height and the risk of cardiovascular disease among middle aged men and women in Japan

An inverse association between height and risk of cardiovascular disease has been reported, but the evidence is limited for stroke subtypes, in particular in Asian populations. Further, few studies have examined how socioeconomic status in adulthood influence the relationship between height and risk of cardiovascular disease. This study examined the association between height and risks of stroke and coronary heart disease, and whether education level, an indicator of adult socioeconomic status, modify the effect of height on those risks, within a cohort of the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study (JPHC Study). The hazard ratios for the incidence of cardiovascular disease associated with height were calculated by a 16-year follow-up of 15,564 Japanese men and women, aged 40–59. The hazard ratios were adjusted for age, gender, area, education, occupation and cardiovascular risk factors. Height was inversely associated with risks of total stroke, either hemorrhagic or ischemic stroke but not with coronary heart disease. The adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval (CI)) of total stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and ischemic stroke for a 1 SD height increments were 0.82 (95% CI: 0.74, 0.90), 0.80 (95% CI: 0.70, 0.92), and 0.83 (95% CI: 0.73, 0.95), respectively. No multiplicative interaction was observed between height and education level on stroke risk. Short stature was associated with increased risk of total stroke, either hemorrhagic or ischemic stroke, independent of adult socioeconomic status and cardiovascular risk factors, but not with risk of coronary heart disease in Japanese men and women.     

中老年男性吸烟状况与心血管疾病发生风险的关联性

  目的  探讨中老年男性吸烟状况与心血管疾病(cardiovascular disease,CVD)及其亚型发生风险的关联性。  方法  本研究选取东风-同济(Dongfeng-Tongji,DFTJ)队列中基线未患冠心病(coronary heart disease,CHD)、中风、癌症、严重心电图异常的13 940名男性为研究对象。研究对象均完成了基线调查,包括问卷调查、体格检查、生化指标检查和血液样本采集。采用Cox比例风险回归模型进行关联性分析,计算风险比(hazard ratio,HR)和95%置信区间(confidence intervals,CI)。  结果  多因素调整后,与从不吸烟者相比,现在吸烟者发生CVD、CHD和中风的风险增加,吸烟指数≥ 40包年者发生CVD、CHD和中风的风险HR值分别为1.49(95%CI:1.32~1.68,P_trend=0.001)、1.40(95%CI:1.22~1.62,P_trend=0.026)和1.59(95%CI:1.26~2.00,P_trend=0.029),开始吸烟年龄 < 20岁者发生CVD和CHD的风险HR值分别为1.29(95%CI:1.06~1.58,P_trend=0.007)和1.30(95%CI:1.03~1.64,P_trend=0.010);与现在吸烟者相比,戒烟时长≥ 10年者发生CVD和中风的风险显著降低,HR值分别为0.80(95%CI:0.71~0.91,P_trend=0.017)和0.65(95%CI:0.50~0.84,P_trend=0.207)。  结论  吸烟能增加CVD、CHD和中风的发生风险,且吸烟指数越大或开始吸烟年龄越小,CVD发生风险越高。戒烟可降低CVD和中风的发生风险。     

Serum ferritin and death from all causes and cardiovascular disease: the NHANES II Mortality Study. National Health and Nutrition Examination Study

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to assess the association between serum ferritin and death from all causes, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), CHD and myocardial infarction (MI). Positive body iron stores have been proposed as a risk factor for coronary heart disease (CHD). While most epidemiologic studies using serum ferritin and other measures of body iron stores have not found an association between iron and heart disease risk, the hypothesis remains controversial. As a result, we examined the relationship of serum ferritin, the principle blood measure of body iron stores, to risk of death in a cohort with a standardized exam and long follow-up. METHODS: The baseline data for this prospective cohort study were collected in 1976-1980 as part of the second National Health and Nutrition Examination Study (NHANES II) with mortality follow-up using the National Death Index (NDI) through December 31, 1992. The analytic sample (n = 1604) consisted of 128 black men, 658 white men, 100 black women and 718 white women 45-74 years of age at baseline who, based on self-reported data, were free of coronary heart disease at baseline and had no missing data. The main outcome measures were the relative risk of death for persons with serum ferritin levels: <50 microg/L; or 100-199 microg/L; or > or =200 microg/L was compared to persons with serum ferritin levels of 50-99 microg/L adjusted for possible confounding using the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Most of the deaths were among white men (n = 254) and women (n = 168). There were relatively few deaths among black men (n = 50) and too few in women (n = 23) to reliably model. The largest number of CVD (n = 119), CHD (n = 82), and MI (n = 49) deaths were in white men while there were 69 CVD, 45 CHD and 13 MI deaths in white women. Black men with a serum ferritin level of <50 microg/L had a significantly higher adjusted risk of death from all causes (RR = 3.1 with 95% confidence limits of 1.5-6.5). There were no other statistically significant associations for all causes mortality for the other three race/sex groups. Additionally, there were no statistically significant associations between serum ferritin and any of the cardiovascular endpoints for any of the groups. There was an apparent but nonsignificant u-shaped association between serum ferritin and all causes mortality in black men and between serum ferritin and CVD death in white women. However, in both cases very wide confidence limits preclude further interpretation. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the results do not support the hypothesis that positive body iron stores, as measured by serum ferritin, are associated with an increased risk of CVD, CHD or MI death or between serum ferritin and all causes mortality. Most of the research to date with serum ferritin has been conducted in European men or in European American men. Our results are consistent with the primarily negative results for that race/sex group. More research is needed in women and minority groups, including an explanation of why such an association would exist in these groups but not in white men before an association can be established in them.     

A pooled analysis of the association of isolated low levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol with cardiovascular mortality in Japan

Low levels of serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) have been shown to be associated with increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). However, because this is usually observed in the context of other lipid abnormalities, it is not known whether isolated low serum HDL-C levels are an independent risk factor for CHD. We performed a large pooled analysis in Japan using data from nine cohorts with 41,206 participants aged 40–89 years who were free of cardiovascular disease at baseline. We divided participants into three groups: isolated low HDL-C, non-isolated low HDL-C, and normal HDL-C. Cohort-stratified Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for death due to CHD, ischemic stroke, and intracranial cerebral hemorrhage; during a 12.9-year follow-up, we observed 355, 286, and 138 deaths, respectively, in these groups. Non-isolated low HDL-C was significantly associated with increased risk of CHD compared with normal HDL-C (HR 1.37, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.04–1.80); however, isolated low HDL-C was not. Although isolated low HDL-C was significantly associated with decreased risk of CHD (HR 0.51, 95 % CI 0.29–0.89) in women, it was significantly associated with increased risk of intracranial cerebral hemorrhage in all participants (HR 1.62, 95 % CI 1.04–2.53) and in men (HR 2.00, 95 % CI 1.04–3.83). In conclusion, isolated low HDL-C levels are not associated with increased risk of CHD in Japan. CHD risk may, therefore, be more strongly affected by serum total cholesterol levels in this population.     

Predictors of cardiovascular events and mortality in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program pilot project

Do the established cardiovascular risk factors for younger persons remain important predictors of cardiovascular disease events and mortality in those who are older? The authors examined this question in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program pilot project which prospectively followed 551 men and women 60 years of age and older with pretreatment systolic blood pressure greater than or equal to 160 mmHg and diastolic blood pressure less than 90 mmHg who were enrolled between May 1981 and July 1982. Mean age was 72 years, 37% were men, 82% were white, and 24% had attended college. The vital status of all 551 participants was known at the end of follow-up, an average of 34 months after entry; there were 39 deaths from all causes, 66 first cardiovascular events, 18 strokes, and 20 episodes of myocardial infarction/sudden death. Univariate Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed that age was a predictor (p less than 0.05) of all-cause mortality, first cardiovascular event, and stroke. Less than college education was a predictor of all-cause mortality and first cardiovascular event, smoking was a predictor of first cardiovascular event and myocardial infarction/sudden death, cholesterol was a predictor of first cardiovascular event, and lower body mass index was a predictor of increased all-cause mortality. After adjustment for covariables, age, lower education, lower body mass index, and baseline electrocardiographic abnormalities were significant predictors of all-cause mortality, and age, lower education, history of cardiovascular event, and smoking remained significant predictors of first cardiovascular event. Sex was not a risk factor, and the ability to examine hypertension as a risk factor was impaired by the fact that the entire cohort had systolic hypertension at baseline, and most were treated. These findings, combined with prior evidence, suggest that smoking, low education level, and perhaps serum cholesterol are risk factors for cardiovascular disease in the elderly. Although the excess risk conveyed by these factors is large, its reversibility needs to be demonstrated by intervention studies.     

Physical activity and risk of cardiovascular disease--a meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies

In order to update and improve available evidence on associations of physical activity (PA) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) by applying meta-analytic random effects modeling to data from prospective cohort studies, using high quality criteria of study selection, we searched the PubMed database from January 1980 to December 2010 for prospective cohort studies of PA and incident CVD, distinguishing occupational PA and leisure time PA, coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke, respectively. Inclusion criteria were peer-reviewed English papers with original data, studies with large sample size (n ≥ 1,000) and substantial follow-up (≥ 5 years), available data on major confounders and on estimates of relative risk (RR) or hazard ratio (HR), with 95% confidence intervals (CI). We included 21 prospective studies in the overall analysis, with a sample size of more than 650,000 adults who were initially free from CVD, and with some 20,000 incident cases documented during follow-up. Among men, RR of overall CVD in the group with the high level of leisure time PA was 0.76 (95% CI 0.70-0.82, p < 0.001), compared to the reference group with low leisure time PA, with obvious dose-response relationship. A similar effect was observed among women (RR = 0.73, 95% CI 0.68-0.78, p < 0.001). A strong protective effect of occupational PA was observed for moderate level in both men (RR = 0.89, 95% CI 0.82-0.97, p = 0.008) and women (RR = 0.83, 95% CI 0.67-1.03, p = 0.089). No publication bias was observed. Our findings suggest that high level of leisure time PA and moderate level of occupational PA have a beneficial effect on cardiovascular health by reducing the overall risk of incident coronary heart disease and stroke among men and women by 20 to 30 percent and 10 to 20 percent, respectively. This evidence from high quality studies supports efforts of primary and secondary prevention of CVD in economically advanced as well as in rapidly developing countries.     

Association of small artery elasticity with incident cardiovascular disease in older adults: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis

Functional biomarkers like large artery elasticity (LAE) and small artery elasticity (SAE) may predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) events beyond blood pressure. The authors examined the prognostic value of LAE and SAE for clinical CVD events among 6,235 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants who were initially aged 45-84 years and without symptomatic CVD. LAE and SAE were derived from diastolic pulse contour analysis. During a median 5.8 years of follow-up between 2000 and 2008, 454 adjudicated CVD events occurred, including 256 cases of coronary heart disease (CHD), 93 strokes, and 126 heart failures (multiple diagnoses were possible). After adjustment for age, race/ethnicity, sex, clinic, height, heart rate, body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive and cholesterol-lowering medications, smoking, total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, diabetes, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, the hazard ratio for any CVD per standard-deviation increase in SAE was 0.71 (95% confidence interval: 0.61, 0.83; P < 0.0001). The lowest (stiffest) SAE quartile had a hazard ratio of 2.28 (95% confidence interval: 1.55, 3.36) versus the highest (most elastic) quartile. The net reclassification index, conditional on base risk, was 0.11. SAE was significantly associated with future CHD, stroke, and heart failure. After adjustment, LAE was not significantly related to CVD. In asymptomatic participants free of overt CVD, lower SAE added prognostic information for CVD, CHD, stroke, and heart failure events.     

Association of childhood intelligence with risk of coronary heart disease and stroke: findings from the Aberdeen Children of the 1950s cohort study

Objectives Associations of cognitive function assessed in adulthood with coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke might reflect a causal effect or could be explained by residual confounding or a common underlying pathology (atherosclerosis) that links both declines in cognitive function and increased risk of cardiovascular disease (i.e. reverse causality). Our objective was to examine the association of childhood intelligence (assessed at an age when generalised atherosclerosis would be extremely unlikely) with risk of CHD and stroke in later life in a cohort of females and males on whom information on a wide range of potential confounding factors is available. Methods Cohort study of 11,125 individuals born in Aberdeen, Scotland, between 1950 and 1956, who had childhood intelligence measured at ages 7, 9, 11 and who have been followed up by linkage to hospital admissions and mortality data. Results The cohort contributed 264,672 person years of follow-up and over this time 93 females experienced CHD and 56 experienced a stroke; 264 males experienced CHD and 67 a stroke. There were inverse associations of childhood intelligence measured at all 3 ages (7, 9, 11 years) with both CHD and stroke, with some evidence that the association with intelligence assessed at age 11 was stronger than at younger ages. The magnitude of associations were similar for CHD and stroke. Adjustment for a range of potential confounding factors did not markedly attenuate the associations and there was evidence that the association was stronger in females than in males. For example, the age adjusted hazard ratio of a combined outcome of CHD and stroke per 1 standard deviation (SD; 1SD = 15 points) difference in intelligence score at age 11 in females was 0.52 (95% CI: 0.42, 0.64) and in males was 0.78 (95% CI: 0.68, 0.90), with adjustment for all potential confounding factors these became 0.60 (95% CI: 0.48, 0.76) and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.72, 0.98) respectively; P-value for interaction with gender in both models =0.002. Adjustment for educational attainment attenuated both associations to the null and removed evidence of a gender difference. Conclusions Our results suggest an association of intelligence in childhood with future CHD and stroke that is unlikely to be explained by reverse causality and was robust to adjustment for a wide range of confounding factors. This association appeared to be mediated by educational attainment. The gender difference seen in our study requires replication in other studies. Electronic supplementary material  The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.     

Shift-work and cardiovascular disease: a population-based 22-year follow-up study

Studies on the association between shift-work and cardiovascular disease (CVD), in particular coronary heart disease (CHD), have given conflicting results. In this prospective population-based study we assessed the association of shift-work with three endpoints: CHD mortality, disability retirement due to CVD, and incident hypertension. A cohort of 20,142 adults (the Finnish Twin Cohort) was followed from 1982 to 2003. Type of working time (daytime/nighttime/shift-work) was assessed by questionnaires in 1975 (response rate 89%) and in 1981 (84%). Causes of death, information on disability retirement and hypertension medication were obtained from nationwide official registers. Cox proportional hazard models were used to obtain hazard ratios (HR) for each endpoint by type of working time. Adjustments were made for 14 socio-demographic and lifestyle covariates. 76.9% were daytime workers and 9.5% shift-workers both in 1975 and in 1981. During the follow-up, 857 deaths due to CHD, 721 disability retirements due to CVD, and 2,642 new cases of medicated hypertension were observed. However, HRs for shift-work were not significant (mortality HR men 1.09 and women 1.22; retirement 1.15 and 0.96; hypertension 1.15 and 0.98, respectively). The results were essentially similar after full adjustments for all covariates. Within twin pairs, no association between shift work and outcome was observed. Our results do not support an association between shift-work and cardiovascular morbidity.     

Height in young adulthood and risk of death from cardiorespiratory disease: a prospective study of male former students of Glasgow University, Scotland

To investigate the association between height in young, socially homogeneous males and cause-specific mortality, the authors conducted a prospective study of 8,361 male former students who underwent medical examinations while attending Glasgow University, Scotland, from 1948 to 1968. The mean age at examination was 20.5 (range, 16.1-30.0) years. The median follow-up time was 41.3 years. There were 863 deaths. In Cox proportional hazards modeling, there was no association between height and all-cause mortality with age-adjusted hazard ratios per 10-cm increase in height (hazard ratio = 0.92, 95% confidence interval: 0.83, 1.02). Height was inversely associated with all cardiovascular disease and coronary heart disease mortality, with hazard ratios per 10-cm increase in height of 0.78 (95% confidence interval: 0.66, 0.93) and 0.76 (95% confidence interval: 0.62, 0.93), respectively. Sizeable inverse associations with stroke and respiratory disease were also found, although these did not reach conventional levels of significance. There was no association with cancer or noncardiorespiratory disease mortality. There was a positive, although nonsignificant, association between height and mortality from aortic aneurysm. Controlling for confounding variables had little effect on these results. The findings suggest that factors operating in early life, and which influence height, also influence future cardiovascular health in men.     

Shaving,coronary heart disease,and stroke: the Caerphilly Study

The relation between frequency of shaving and all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality, coronary heart disease, and stroke events was investigated in a cohort of 2,438 men aged 45-59 years. The one fifth (n = 521, 21.4%) of men who shaved less frequently than daily were shorter, were less likely to be married, had a lower frequency of orgasm, and were more likely to smoke, to have angina, and to work in manual occupations than other men. Over the 20-year follow-up period from 1979-1983 to December 31, 2000, 835 men (34.3%) died. Of those who shaved less frequently than daily, 45.1% died, as compared with 31.3% among those who shaved at least daily. Men who shaved less frequently had fully adjusted hazard ratios (adjusted for testosterone, markers of insulin resistance, social factors, lifestyle, and baseline coronary heart disease) of 1.24 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03, 1.50) for all-cause mortality, 1.30 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.71) for cardiovascular disease mortality, 1.08 (95% CI: 0.61, 1.92) for lung cancer mortality, 1.16 (95% CI: 0.90, 1.48) for coronary heart disease events, and 1.68 (95% CI: 1.16, 2.44) for stroke events. The association between infrequent shaving and all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality is probably due to confounding by smoking and social factors, but a small hormonal effect may exist. The relation with stroke events remains unexplained by smoking or social factors.     

Serum sialic acid concentration predicts both coronary heart disease and stroke mortality: multivariate analysis including 54,385 men and women during 20.5 years follow-up.

To investigate the nature of the relationship between serum sialic acid concentration and cardiovascular mortality, the risks for coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke were assessed separately in 26,693 men and 27,692 women followed during 20.5 years. Diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol and body mass index were used as covariates in a person-year-based Poisson model. Relative risks for CHD mortality associated with the highest sialic acid quartile was 1.76 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.58-1.96) in men and 1.94 (95% CI: 1.61-2.34) in women. Corresponding figures for stroke were 1.62 (95% CI: 1.26-2.09) and 1.68 (95% CI: 1.28-2.21) respectively. No significant patterns related to the age at entry was observed. For both genders, and both endpoints, diastolic blood pressure was associated with higher relative risk than sialic acid, and body mass index and serum total cholesterol were less predictive. Serum sialic acid concentration predicts both death from CHD and stroke in men and women independent of age. The biological foundation of this finding remains unclear.     

Erythrocyte sedimentation rate, an independent predictor of coronary heart disease in men and women: The Reykjavik Study

The relation between erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) and risk of developing coronary heart disease (CHD) or fatal cerebrovascular accident was assessed in a cohort of 7,988 men and 8,685 women who participated in The Reykjavik Study (Iceland). Cardiovascular risk assessment was based on characteristics at baseline, from 1967 to 1996. During an average follow-up of 19 and 20 years, 2,092 men and 801 women, respectively, developed CHD, and 251 men and 178 women died from cerebrovascular accident. For men, the fully adjusted increase in risk of developing CHD predicted by the top compared with the bottom quintile of ESR was 57% (hazard ratio = 1.57, 95% confidence interval: 1.38, 1.78; p < 0.001); for women, risk was increased by 49% (hazard ratio = 1.49, 95% confidence interval: 1.16, 1.90; p < 0.001). The increased risk after baseline ESR measurement was stable for up to 25 years for men and 20 years for women. The fully adjusted risk of death due to stroke predicted by increasing the ln(ESR + 1) by one standard deviation was increased by 15% for men (p = 0.06) and 16% for women (p = 0.08). In conclusion, ESR is a long-term independent predictor of CHD in both men and women. These findings support the evidence of an inflammatory process in atherosclerosis.     

Value of the sagittal abdominal diameter in coronary heart disease risk assessment: cohort study in a large, multiethnic population

Whether visceral obesity predicts coronary heart disease (CHD) risk above and beyond overall fatness remains unsettled. Moreover, whether the association between visceral obesity and CHD risk differs by sex, age, race, and overall fatness is poorly understood. The authors conducted a cohort study among 101,765 adult members of Kaiser Permanente of Northern California who underwent multiphasic health checkups between 1965 and 1970. After a median of 12 years and adjustment for age, race, body mass index (BMI), educational level, smoking, alcohol consumption, and hormone replacement therapy (in women), the upper quartile of standing sagittal abdominal diameter, relative to the lowest quartile, was associated with a 1.42-fold increased hazard of CHD in men (95% confidence interval: 1.30, 1.55) and a 1.44-fold increased hazard of CHD in women (95% confidence interval: 1.30, 1.59). Further adjustment for metabolic mediators attenuated the association minimally. Standing sagittal abdominal diameter was a consistent predictor of CHD across racial groups but was more strongly associated with CHD in the younger age group. Joint consideration of BMI/standing sagittal abdominal diameter categories better discriminated risk of CHD compared with use of BMI alone. In conclusion, standing sagittal abdominal diameter was a strong predictor of CHD independently of BMI and added incremental CHD risk prediction at each level of BMI.     

Associations between serum calcium,phosphorus and mortality among patients with coronary heart disease

Purpose

Serum calcium and phosphorus abnormalities are associated with cardiovascular disorders in general population, but evidence among patients with established coronary heart disease (CHD) is limited and controversial. This study aimed to investigate the associations of baseline serum calcium and phosphorus levels with long-term mortality risk among patients with CHD.

Methods

We conducted a prospective cohort study among 3187 patients with CHD from October 2008 and December 2011 in China. Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the associations of serum calcium and phosphorus at baseline with the risk of death.

Results

During follow-up (mean, 4.9 years), 295 patients died, 193 of which resulted from cardiovascular causes. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for each 1 mmol/L increase in serum calcium at baseline were 0.27 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.14–0.51) for all-cause mortality and 0.26 (95% CI 0.12–0.54) for cardiovascular mortality. Patients in the highest compared to the lowest quartile of serum calcium were at lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 95% CI 0.57, 0.40–0.82) and cardiovascular mortality (0.50, 0.32–0.79) (both P _trend < 0.001). This inverse association between serum calcium and the risk of mortality did not change when participants were stratified by sex, age groups, level of overweight, types of CHD, and history of diabetes. We also observed a graded positive association between baseline serum phosphorus and the risks of mortality.

Conclusions

The present study is the first to report that lower serum calcium at baseline is associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a Chinese coronary heart disease cohort. Further studies are required to investigate the causal relationship and actual mechanisms.

     

Prediction of coronary heart disease risk using a genetic risk score: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Recent studies have evaluated whether incorporating nontraditional risk factors improves coronary heart disease (CHD) prediction models. This 1986-2001 US study aggregated the contribution of multiple single nucleotide polymorphisms into a genetic risk score (GRS) and assessed whether the GRS plus traditional risk factors predict CHD better than traditional risk factors alone. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort was followed for a median of 13 years for CHD events (n = 1,452). Individuals were genotyped for 116 single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with CHD in multiple case-control studies. Single nucleotide polymorphisms nominally predicting incident CHD in the ARIC study were included in the GRS. The GRS was significantly associated with incident CHD in Blacks (hazard rate ratio = 1.20, 95% confidence interval: 1.11, 1.29) and Whites (hazard rate ratio = 1.10, 95% confidence interval: 1.06, 1.14) as well as in each tertile defined by the traditional cardiovascular risk score (p < or = 0.02). When receiver operating characteristic curves based on traditional risk factors were recalculated after the GRS was added, the increase in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was statistically significant for Blacks and suggestive of improved CHD prediction for Whites. This study demonstrates the concept of aggregating information from multiple single nucleotide polymorphisms into a risk score and indicates that it can improve prediction of incident CHD in the ARIC study.