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1.
ObjectiveThe incidence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) increases yearly. Central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) is common in PTC. Many studies have addressed ipsilateral CLNM; however, few studies have evaluated contralateral CLNM. The purpose of this study is to investigate the high-risk factors of lymph node metastasis in the contralateral central compartment of cT1 stage in PTC.MethodsIn total, 369 unilateral PTC (cT1N0) patients who underwent total-thyroidectomy with bilateral central lymph node dissection (CLND) between 2013 and 2016 in our hospital were retrospectively enrolled. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified the high-risk factors for contralateral CLNM of PTC.ResultsThe total metastasis rate of the ipsilateral central neck compartment was 31.71% (117/369). The total metastasis rate of the contralateral central neck compartment was 8.13% (30/369). The multivariate analysis showed that multifocality (p = 0.009), ipsilateral CLNM (p<0.001), number of ipsilateral CLNM >2 (p = 0.006), tumor located at the inferior pole (p = 0.032) and tumor diameter > 1 cm (p = 0.029) were independent risk factors for contralateral CLNM at cT1 stage in PTC, with odds ratios (ORs) of,4.132 (95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.430–11.936) ,8.591 (95% CI: 3.200–23.061) ,0.174 (95% CI: 0.050–0.601) ,0.353 (95% CI: 0.136–0.917)and 0.235 (95% CI: 0.064–0863), respectively.ConclusionThe combinational use of these risk factors will help surgeons devise an appropriate surgical plan preoperatively. This information could provide reference for the readers who are interested and help to determine the optimal extent of CLND in patients with PTC, especially for cT1b patients.  相似文献   

2.
IntroductionDelphian lymph node metastasis (DLNM) has proven to be a risk factor for a poor prognosis in head and neck malignancies. This study aimed to reveal the clinical features and evaluate the predictive value of the Delphian lymph node (DLN) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) to guide the extent of surgery.MethodsTianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital pathology database was reviewed from 2017 to 2020, and 516 PTC patients with DLN detection were enrolled. Retrospective analysis was performed, while multivariate analysis was performed to identify the risk factors for DLNM.ResultsAmong the 516 PTC patients with DLN detection, the DLN metastasis rate was 25.39% (131/516). Tumor size >1 cm, location in the upper 1/3, central lymph node metastasis (CLNM), lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) and lymphovascular invasion were independent risk factors for DLNM. Patients with DLNM had a higher incidence of ipsilateral CLNM, contralateral CLNM (CCLNM) and LLNM, and larger numbers and size of metastatic CLNs than those without DLNM. The incidence of CLNM among cN0 patients with DLNM was higher than that among those without DLNM. The incidence of CCLNM among unilateral cN + patients with DLNM was similarly higher than that among patients without DLNM.ConclusionsDLNM indicates a high likelihood and large number of cervical lymph nodes metastases in PTC patients. Surgeons are strongly recommended to detect DLN status during operation by means of frozen pathology, so as to evaluate the possibility of cervical nodal metastasis and decide the appropriate extent of surgery.  相似文献   

3.
BackgroundChronic lymphocytic thyroiditis (CLT) frequently coexists with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) that exhibits normal thyroid function. However, few studies have investigated the relationship between CLT and clinically lymph node (LN)-negative PTC. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between subclinical central LN metastasis and CLT, and to assess the impact of CLT on the recurrence of clinically LN-negative PTC.MethodsWe investigated the medical records of 850 patients with PTC who underwent prophylactic bilateral central neck dissection as well as total thyroidectomy between 2004 and 2010; the median follow-up time was 95.5 months (range, 12–158 months).ResultsCLT was observed in 480 patients (56.5%). Female sex, a preoperative thyroid-stimulating hormone level >2.5 mU/L, a primary tumor ≤1 cm, no gross extrathyroidal extension, high number of harvested LNs, low number of metastatic LNs, and positive anti-thyroglobulin (Tg) antibody at 1 year post-initial treatment were significantly associated with the presence of CLT. Multivariate analysis revealed that patients with N1a stage (vs. N0 stage; hazard ratio [HR], 3.255; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.290–8.213; p = 0.012) and positive anti-Tg antibody at 1 year post-initial treatment (vs. negative anti-Tg antibody; HR, 5.118; 95% CI, 2.130–12.296; p < 0.001) had poorer recurrence-free survival (RFS), while those with CLT (vs. no CLT; HR, 0.357; 95% CI, 0.157–0.812; p = 0.014) had favorable RFS outcomes.ConclusionsCLT is associated with less aggressive tumor characteristics and LN metastasis. Clinically LN-negative PTC patients with CLT experience longer RFS intervals than those without CLT.  相似文献   

4.
IntroductionThe lymph node ratio (LNR), which represents the proportion of metastatic lymph nodes resected, has been found to be a prognostic variable in several cancers, but data for Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) are sparse. The aim of this study was to determine the value of the LNR in predicting outcome in patients with MTC.Materials and methodsA retrospective multicenter study design of 107 patients with MTC who underwent total thyroidectomy with neck dissection between 1984 and 2016. The association of LNR with patient and tumor characteristics and prognostic factors was evaluated.ResultsStudy population consisted of 53.3% female, mean age at diagnosis was 50.3 ± 18.4 years; 16.8% had inherited MTC. LNR was positively correlated with tumor size (p = 0.018) and inversely correlated with age at diagnosis (p = 0.024). A higher LNR was associated with extrathyroidal extension (p < 0.001), multifocality (p = 0.001), bilateral tumor (p = 0.002), distant metastases (p < 0.001), and tumor recurrence (OR = 14.7, p < 0.001). LNR was also correlated to postoperative calcitonin levels (p < 0.001) and carcinoembryonic antigen (p = 0.011). LNR >0.1 was associated with shorter disease-specific survival in patients at risk: tumor larger than 20 mm at diagnosis (p = 0.013), sporadic MTC (p = 0.01), and age above 40 years at diagnosis (p = 0.004). Cox multivariate survival analysis revealed LNR as the only significant independent factor for disease free survival (p = 0.005).ConclusionsThis study showed that LNR correlates well with patient and tumor characteristics and prognostic variables. We suggest that LNR should be considered an important parameter for predicting outcome in MTC.  相似文献   

5.
6.
PurposeTo develop and validate a diagnostic nomogram for preoperative prediction of the level VII nodal spread in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) by incorporating CT features.MethodsA dataset of 7896 patients experiencing thyroidectomy for thyroid cancer was collected retrospectively from two hospitals, and 300 patients were finally included in this study. The CT features of metastatic LN were extracted with a one by one match of radiologic-pathologic correlation. Multivariable binary logistic regression analysis was used to develop predicting model, and then a nomogram was developed utilizing a primary cohort of 152 patients from hospital #1. The nomogram was validated in external cohort of 62 patients from hospital #2 and an independent cohort of 86 patients from hospital #1. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated with respect to its calibration, discrimination.Results531 LNs from 300 patients were analyzed. 42.6% LNs were > 5 mm in short diameter. A total of 7 selected CT features were significantly associated with LN status (P < 0.05), including nodular enhancement, cystic change, calcification and so on. These features were contained in the prediction nomogram. The model showed good discrimination and good calibration, with a C-index of 0.938 (95% CI, 0.913 to 0.963) and 0. 795 (95% CI, 0. 726 to 0.864) for the primary cohort and the validation cohort, respectively. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically applicable.ConclusionsThis nomogram incorporating pathologically relevant CT features has demonstrated a high diagnostic value for predicting level VII nodal spread in PTC. Our work may help thyroid surgeon to decide whether upper mediastinal lymphadenectomy should be performed, which is associated with thoracotomy or other surgery.  相似文献   

7.
BackgroundLymph nodes (LNs) at the splenic hilum (no. 10) are treated as regional LNs in proximal gastric carcinoma. However, patients with no.10 LN metastasis show a poor prognosis after curative surgery. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of no.10 LN metastasis in proximal gastric carcinoma.MethodsWe retrospective reviewed 665 proximal gastric carcinoma patients who underwent total gastrectomy and D2 LN dissection. Clinicopathological features were compared between patients with and without no.10 LN metastasis. The prognostic value of no.10 LN metastasis was examined using Cox prognostic model.ResultsThere were 63 (9.5%) patients with no. 10 LN metastasis. No. 10 LN metastasis only existed in stage III/IV, and was significantly associated with greater curvature/circumferential tumor location, larger tumor size, B4 gross type, undifferentiated histology, lymphovascular invasion. The 5-year survival of no.10 LN metastasis group was 26%, which was significantly lower than those without no.10 LN metastasis (79%, p < 0.001). Patients with no. 10 LN metastasis also showed a significantly worse survival than those without in each tumor stage (stage III = 45% vs. 66%, p = 0.044, stage IV = 13% vs. 33%, p = 0.024). In the multivariate cox model, no.10 LN metastasis was an independent poor prognostic factor when adjusting for TNM stage and other prognostic factors.ConclusionThe prognosis of no.10 LN metastasis is as poor as that of distant metastasis. This suggests that no. 10 LN should rather be considered as non-regional LNs in the treatment of proximal gastric carcinoma.  相似文献   

8.
IntroductionIt is critical to accurately predict the occurrence of lateral pelvic lymph node (LPN) metastasis. Currently, verified predictive tools are unavailable. This study aims to establish nomograms for predicting LPN metastasis in patients with rectal cancer who received or did not receive neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT).Materials and methodsWe carried out a retrospective study of patients with rectal cancer and clinical LPN metastasis who underwent total mesorectal excision (TME) and LPN dissection (LPND) from January 2012 to December 2019 at 3 institutions. We collected and evaluated their clinicopathologic and radiologic features, and constructed nomograms based on the multivariable logistic regression models.ResultsA total of 472 eligible patients were enrolled into the non-nCRT cohort (n = 312) and the nCRT cohort (n = 160). We established nomograms using variables from the multivariable logistic regression models in both cohorts. In the non-nCRT cohort, the variables included LPN short diameter, cT stage, cN stage, histologic grade, and malignant features, and the C-index was 0.930 in the training cohort and 0.913 in the validation cohort. In the nCRT cohort, the variables included post-nCRT LPN short diameter, ycT stage, ycN stage, histologic grade, and post-nCRT malignant features, and the C-index was 0.836 in the training dataset and 0.827 in the validation dataset. The nomograms in both cohorts were moderately calibrated and well-validated.ConclusionsWe established nomograms for patients with rectal cancer that accurately predict LPN metastasis. The performance of the nomograms in both cohorts was high and well-validated.  相似文献   

9.
PurposeTo determine the optimal threshold of examined lymph node (ELN) number from cervical lymph node dissection for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Further to compare the prognostic value of multiple lymph node classification systems and to determine the most suitable scheme to predict survival.MethodsA total of 20991 HNSCC patients were included. Odds ratios (ORs) for negative-to-positive node stage migration and hazard ratios (HRs) for survival were fitted using the LOWESS smoother. Structural breakpoints were determined by the Chow test. The R square, C-index, likelihood ratio, and Akaike information criterion (AIC) were used to compare the prognostic abilities among AJCC N stage, number of positive lymph nodes (pN), positive lymph node ratio (LNR) and log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) stages.ResultsA minimal threshold ELN number of fifteen had the discriminatory capacities for both stage migration and survival. LODDS stages had the highest R square value (0.208), C-index (0.736) and likelihood ratio (2467) and the smallest AIC value (65874). LODDS stages also showed prognostic value in estimating patients with AJCC N0 stage. A novel staging system was proposed and showed good prognostic performance when stratified by different primary sites.ConclusionFifteen lymph nodes should be examined for HNSCC patients. LODDS stage allows better prognostic stratification, especially in N0 stage. The proposed staging system may serve as precise evaluation tools to estimate postoperative prognoses.  相似文献   

10.
BackgroundStage IIB/IIC (8th AJCC) melanoma patients are known to have high-risk primary tumors, however they follow the same routine to sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) as more low risk tumors. Guidelines are not conclusive regarding the use of preoperative imaging for these patients. The aim of this pilot study was to assess the value of ultrasound (US) and 18F-FDG PET/CT prior to lymphoscintigraphy (LSG) and SLNB for stage IIB/C melanoma patients.MethodsFrom 2019-04 till 2020–01, all stage IIB/C melanoma patients underwent US of the regional lymph nodes and whole body 18F-FDG PET/CT before their planned LSG and SLNB. Suspected metastases were confirmed with fine needle aspiration (FNA), prior to surgery.ResultsIn total 23 patients were screened: six had metastases detected by imaging, two by US, one by 18F-FDG PET/CT and three were detected by both imaging modalities. All metastases were nodal and therefore treatment was altered to lymph node dissection and all but one also received adjuvant therapy. Eight (47%) of the 17 patients without macroscopic disease, still had a positive SN. Sensitivity, specificity and false negative rate for US and 18F-FDG PET/CT were 36%, 89%, 64% and 29%, 100% and 71%, respectively.ConclusionPreoperative negative imaging does not exclude the presence of SN metastases, therefore SLNB cannot be foregone. However, US detected metastases in 22% of patients, altering their treatment, which suggests it is effective in the work-up of stage IIB/C melanoma. Staging with 18F-FDG PET/CT is not of added value prior to LSG and SLNB and should therefore not be used.  相似文献   

11.
BackgroundIn order to avoid excessive treatment of thyroid nodules in the clinic, it is necessary to find a simple and practical analysis method to comprehensively and accurately reflect benign or malignant thyroid nodules. This study aimed to construct and validate a comprehensive and reliable network-based predictive model using a variety of imaging and laboratory criteria for thyroid nodules to stratify the risk of malignancy prior to surgery.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed data from patients who underwent surgical treatment for thyroid nodules at the Thyroid and Breast Diagnosis and Treatment Center of Weifang Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine between January 2018 and December 2020. Binary logical regression analysis was performed to predict whether nodules were malignant or benign. The developmental dataset included 457 patients (January 2018–December 2020). The validation set included separate data points (n = 225, January 2018–December 2020).ResultsIn this study, criteria that showed significant predictive value for malignant nodules included TI-RADS: 4b (p = 0.065); Bethesda IV, Bethesda V, Bethesda VI (P < 0.0001); BRAFV600E mutation (P < 0.0001); Calcitonin>5 pg/ml (p = 0.0037); and FNA-Tg>30 ng/ml (p = 0.0003). A 10-grade risk scoring system was developed. The risk of malignancy risk ranged from 2.06% to 100% and was positively associated with increasing risk grade. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of the development and validation sets were 0.972 and 0.946, respectively.ConclusionA simple, comprehensive and reliable web-based predictive model was designed using a variety of imaging and laboratory criteria to stratify thyroid nodules by probability of malignancy.  相似文献   

12.
BackgroundD2 lymph node dissection (LND) is a widely performed as a standard procedure for advanced gastric cancer (AGC). However, there is little evidence supporting D2 over D1+ LND for gastric cancer treatment. This study compared the long-term outcomes of D2 and D1+ LND for AGC.MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed data on 1121 patients who underwent curative distal gastrectomy and had pathologic stage of ≥ pT2 or pN+. The patients were categorized into the D1+ and D2 LND groups, and long-term survival was compared in the original and propensity score matching (PSM) cohorts.ResultsOverall, 909 and 212 patients underwent D2 and D1+ LND, respectively. The D2 group showed more advanced stage and more frequently underwent open surgery. Postoperative morbidity was significantly higher in the D2 group (19.5% vs. 13.2%, p = 0.034); however, mortality or ≥ grade III complications did not significantly differ between the groups. The 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) did not significantly differ between D2 and D1+ groups at the same stage. Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors revealed that the extent of LND did not significantly affect survival, after adjusting for tumor stage and other clinicopathological factors. In the PSM cohort, the D2 and D1 groups showed no significant difference in OS (p = 0.488) and DFS (p = 0.705).ConclusionsLong-term survival with D1+ LND was comparable to that with D2 LND for ≥ pT2 or pN + gastric carcinoma. A large randomized trial is warranted to validate the optimal extent of LND for gastric carcinoma.  相似文献   

13.
IntroductionSentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy is useful for the prognostic stratification of patients with thick melanoma. Identifying which variables are associated with SLN involvement and establishing risk in different subgroups of patients could be useful for guiding the indication of SLN biopsy. The value of complete lymph node dissection (CLND) in patients with a positive SLN biopsy is currently under debate.Materials and methodsTo identify factors associated with SLN involvement in thick melanoma we performed a multicentric retrospective cohort study involving 660 patients with thick melanoma who had undergone SLN biopsy. To analyze the role of CLND in thick melanoma patients with a positive SLN biopsy, we built a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model for melanoma-specific survival (MSS) and disease-free survival (DFS) and compared 217 patients who had undergone CLND with 44 who had not.ResultsThe logistic regression analysis showed that age, histologic subtype, ulceration, microscopic satellitosis, and lymphovascular invasion were associated with nodal disease. The CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection) decision tree showed ulceration to be the most important predictor of lymphatic involvement. For nonulcerated melanomas, the histologic subtype lentigo maligna melanoma was associated with a low rate of SLN involvement (4.3%). No significant differences were observed for DFS and MSS between the CLND performed and not-performed groups. Nodal status on CLND was associated with differences in DFS and MSS rates.ConclusionWe identified subgroups of thick melanoma patients with a low likelihood of SLN involvement. CLND does not offer survival benefit, but provides prognostic information.  相似文献   

14.
Purposethis study attempts to identify the independent risk factors that can predict lymph node metastasis for the patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), and guide doctor adoption of individualized treatment for such patients.Materials and methodsThis study was approved by the Hospital's Ethics Committee and all patients had signed informed consent forms. We retrospectively reviewed NSCLC patients who had undergone surgical resection from December 2008 to December 2013.The statistical significance of evaluation variables and lymph node metastasis was determined with Pearson's Chi-square test. The risk factors of lymph node metastasis were determined through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. And for the age and tumor diameter factors, optimal cutoff points were determined with a receiver operating characteristic analysis.ResultsIn the present study, a total of 2623 patients were included in the study, and 779 patients with lymph node metastasis. Three independent risk factors were identified: age, tumor diameter and Ki-67 index. We found that <65 years of age (Adjusted-OR:1.921), ≥2.85 cm of tumor diameter (Adjusted-OR:3.141), and 5%~25% in Ki-67 group (Adjusted-OR:2.137),≥25% (Adjusted-OR:3.341) were significant. Also we found that 307 patients with lymph node metastasis and the lymph node metastasis rate was 51.0%, when the age<65 years, Ki-67 index≥25%, and the tumor diameter≥2.85 cm. On the contrary, there were only 2 patients with lymph node metastasis, and the rate of lymph node metastasis was 5.1%.ConclusionIdentifying three independent risk factors that predict lymph node metastasis in non-small cell patients, Among NSCLC patients in whom all three predictors were identified, and over a half of the patients showed lymph node metastasis.  相似文献   

15.
ObjectiveThe transoral endoscopic thyroidectomy vestibular approach (TOETVA) has been increasingly used to treat patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) with improved cosmetic outcomes. This study aimed to explore the safety and efficacy of TOETVA in patients with PTC.Materials and methodsThis retrospective study included TOETVA patients from Yantai Yuhuangding and Xiamen Zhongshan Hospitals. Among the 297 patients studied, 84 had benign nodules (28.3%), 208 had PTC (70.0%), and five had follicular thyroid cancer (1.7%).ResultsThe incidence of transient and permanent recurrent laryngeal nerve injury was 1.3%, while that of transient hypoparathyroidism was 1.0%. Mental nerve paraesthesia was observed in 241 cases (81.1%), while permanent mental nerve paraesthesia was noted in seven cases (2.4%). Abnormal motor function of the lower lip and chin was observed in 12 cases (4.0%). Ten of the 208 patients with PTC (4.8%) underwent total thyroidectomy (TT) and bilateral central neck dissection (CND). A mean 6.6 ± 4.1 and 10.9 ± 4.0 lymph nodes were removed in the unilateral and bilateral surgeries, respectively, with a metastasis rate of 49.0%; a mean 2.7 ± 2.3 and 3.2 ± 2.6 lymph nodes were metastatic, respectively. The parathyroid gland was inadvertently removed in 6.6% and auto-transplanted in 10.6% of patients with unilateral PTC. The non-stimulated thyroglobulin level in the TT and bilateral CND patients was below 1 ng/mL at the 6-month follow-up.ConclusionTOETVA is safe in well-selected patients with unilateral PTC. However, its safety remains unclear in patients treated with TT and bilateral CND.  相似文献   

16.
IntroductionIn early-stage vulvar squamous cell carcinoma (VSCC) a sentinel lymph node (SLN) procedure is regarded successful if at least one SLN is removed with minimal residual radioactivity. An inguinofemoral lymphadenectomy is considered if not all SLNs visualized on lymphoscintigraphy can be found, with subsequent increased morbidity. We correlated lymphoscintigraphy findings with surgical outcome and groin recurrence with focus on number of SLNs found.MethodsThis study concerns a retrospective cohort of 171 women treated for early-stage VSCC who underwent a SLN procedure between 2000 and 2020. The risk of groin recurrence was compared after either a successful or complete SLN procedure, i.e. removal of all SLNs that were visualized on lymphoscintigraphy.ResultsIn 13 (7.6%) groins of 171 patients SLN visualization on lymphoscintigraphy failed. In 230 of the 246 (93.5%) groins in which a SLN was visualized, at least one SLN was found during surgery. In 224 of the 246 (91.1%) groins the SLN procedure was regarded either successful (n = 14) or complete (n = 210). An isolated groin recurrence was documented in 5 out of 192 (2.6%, 95%-CI; 0.34 to 4.9) SLN-negative groins after a median follow-up of 47.0 months. All recurrences were noted in the complete SLN group (5/180 groins). The difference with the successful SLN group (0/12 groins) was not significant.ConclusionRisk of groin recurrence was 2.6% after SLN negative biopsy in early-stage VSCC. The risk appeared not increased if at least one SLN was found with minimal residual radioactivity, in case more SLNs were visualized on lymphoscintigraphy.  相似文献   

17.
BackgroundDue to the limited number of landmark structures, it is difficult to standardize the surgical procedures for advanced esophagogastric junction cancer such as Ivor Lewis esophagectomy that require transhiatal lower mediastinal lymph node dissection (TH-LMND). We demonstrate an easily reproducible procedure for TH-LMND, wherein four body cavities, namely, the abdominal cavity, infracardiac bursa (ICB), and left and right thoracic cavities are interconnected.MethodsFirst, the dissection between the right crus and the esophagus was used to connect the abdominal cavity to the ICB — a lower mediastinal cavity separated from the omental bursa during embryonic development [1,2]. Second, the right thoracic cavity was opened with the shortest distance by dissecting the cranial side of the ICB. The right pulmonary ligament was dissected from the right lung. Third, the dissection to the contralateral side while exposing the aorta and the pericardium connected the left and right thoracic cavities. Then, the left pulmonary ligament was dissected from the left lung. The dissected tissues, including the lymph nodes, were subsequently peeled from the esophagus.ResultsBetween April 2018 and August 2021, 14 patients underwent laparoscopic or robotic TH-LMND via the procedure above. The median time required to complete the dissection was 75 min. None of the procedures were converted to open surgery, and none of the patients experienced intraoperative complications such as pericardial injury, lung injury, or massive bleeding.ConclusionThe surgical concept of interconnecting four body cavities made the procedure more accessible and reproducible while achieving en bloc TH-LMND.  相似文献   

18.
IntroductionSurvival of patients with the same clinical stage varies widely and effective tools to evaluate the prognosis utilizing clinical staging information is lacking. This study aimed to develop a clinical nomogram for predicting survival of patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma (ESCC).Materials and methodsOn the basis of data extracted from the SEER database (training cohort, n = 3375), we identified and integrated significant prognostic factors for nomogram development and internal validation. The model was then subjected to external validation with a separate dataset obtained from Jinling Hospital of Nanjing Medical University (validation cohort, n = 1187). The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were determined by concordance index (C-index), Akaike information criterion (AIC) and calibration curves. And risk group stratification was performed basing on the nomogram scores.ResultsOn multivariable analysis of the training cohort, seven independent prognostic factors were identified and included into the nomogram. Calibration curves presented good consistency between the nomogram prediction and actual observation for 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS. The AIC value of the nomogram was lower than that of the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM (AJCC) staging system, whereas the C-index of the nomogram was significantly higher than that of the AJCC staging system. The risk groups stratified by CART allowed significant distinction between survival curves within respective clinical TNM categories.ConclusionsThe risk stratification system presented better discriminative ability for survival prediction than current clinical staging system and might help clinicians in decision making.  相似文献   

19.
The optimal extent of lymphadenectomy for adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEG) has been continuously debatable. The study aimed to determine the incidence of lymph node metastasis at each station in Siewert types Ⅱ/Ⅲ AEG. PubMed was searched and publications reporting metastasis at each nodal station were eligible. Meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.3. Twenty-one studies involving 4662 patients were included. The incidence of lymph node metastasis was high (≥20%) in stations No. 3, 1, 2 and 7 in decreasing order, and moderate (10–20%) in stations No. 9, 19 and 110. The incidence did not exceed 10% in stations No. 10, 11p, 20, 8a, 4sa, 4 s b and 4d, was less than 5% in stations No. 5, 6, 11d, 12a, and even close to 0 in stations No. 107, 111 and 112. Compared with type Ⅲ tumors, type Ⅱ tumors had significantly lower incidence in some abdominal stations including No. 3, 4sa, 4 s b, 6, 8a and 10, while significantly higher in the lower mediastinal stations. The present analysis established a map of lymph node metastasis in Siewert types Ⅱ/Ⅲ AEG, which may serve as a valuable reference for the extent of lymphadenectomy.  相似文献   

20.
BackgroundTumor recurrence after curative resection is common in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but large-scale long-term prediction on an individual basis has seldom been reported. We aimed to construct an albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade-based nomogram to predict tumor recurrence in patients with HCC undergoing surgical resection.MethodsA total 1038 patients with newly diagnosed HCC undergoing curative resection between 2002 and 2016 were enrolled. Baseline characteristics, tumor status and severity of liver functional reserve were collected. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to predict tumor recurrence and construct the nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by the discrimination and calibration tests.ResultsAfter a mean follow up time of 30 months, 510 (49%) patients developed tumor recurrence. The cumulative recurrence-free survival at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years were 79%, 51%, 38% and 26%, respectively. In the Cox multivariate model, ALBI grade 2–3, multiple tumors, tumor size equal or large than 2 cm, serum ɑ-fetoprotein level equal or greater than 20 ng/ml and total tumor volume equal or larger than 227 cm3 were independent risk factors associated with tumor recurrence. A nomogram was constructed based on these five variables. Internal validation with 10,380 bootstrapped sample sets had a good concordance of 0.607 (95% of confidence interval: 0.587–0.627). The calibration plots for 1-, 3- and 5-year recurrence-free survival well matched the idealized 45-degree line.ConclusionsALBI is a feasible marker for tumor recurrence. This easy-to-use ALBI grade-based nomogram may predict tumor recurrence for individual HCC patient undergoing surgical resection.  相似文献   

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