Prognosis of completely asymptomatic adult patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Objectives. We investigated the long-term prognosis of completely asymptomatic adult patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HC). Diagnosis of HC was suspected because of an abnormal electrocardiogram and/or cardiac murmur and confirmed by echocardiography and/or left ventricular angiography, and hemodynamic investigation.Background. Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy shows marked heterogeneity in clinical expression and prognosis. The prognosis of asymptomatic patients with HC has not been fully defined.Methods. Of 128 consecutive adult patients with HC, 58 asymptomatic patients (Group 1, mean age 42.8 years) and 70 symptomatic patients (Group 2, mean age 50.4 years) were studied to assess cardiac mortality. Mean follow-up periods were 11.0 years for Group 1 and 9.1 years for Group 2.Results. At presentation, Group 1 patients were younger and had smaller left atrial dimensions than did Group 2 patients. The annual cardiac mortality rate and the rate for sudden death alone in Group 1 were significantly lower than in Group 2 (0.9% vs. 1.9%, p < 0.05, 0.1% vs. 1.4%, p < 0.05, respectively). Although about one-third of the survivors in Group 1 had cardiac symptoms at their most recent evaluation, only one patient died suddenly compared with eight in Group 2. The annual mortality rate due to heart failure was similar in each group. Only a syncopal episode was associated with both cardiac death and sudden death for both groups combined.Conclusions. The cardiac mortality rate for completely asymptomatic adult patients with HC was very low, significantly lower than that of symptomatic patients, and there was a disproportionately low incidence of sudden death.     

Clinical course of middle-aged asymptomatic patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HC) may present a wide spectrum of clinical and morphologic manifestations. Although many aspects of the natural history of HC are understood, the initial presentation and subsequent clinical course of certain subgroups are not yet well defined. To further our understanding in this regard, 241 middle-aged patients with HC (aged 35 to 55 years) were analyzed. The vast majority of patients (210) had already experienced symptoms, whereas the remaining 31 initially presented with no or minimal symptoms and are the focus of this investigation; 29 of these were followed for greater than or equal to 2 years (range to 11.5 years, mean 8). A separate group of 30 moderately symptomatic age- and gender-matched patients with HC were selected as control subjects for morphologic comparisons. Of the 29 study patients with follow-up, 22 (76%) are presently free of important cardiac symptoms, but 3 showed progression of symptoms, and 4 have died suddenly. Annual mortality rate was 1.7%. Eighteen of the middle-aged asymptomatic patients with HC (58%) had localized left ventricular hypertrophy, usually involving only the anterior ventricular septum; in contrast, only 9 of the 30 symptomatic control subjects (30%) had such localized hypertrophy (p = 0.02). In conclusion, of those patients with HC who achieved middle-age without developing important cardiac symptoms, approximately 75% remained asymptomatic during the ensuing average 8-year follow-up. However, such patients are not protected in absolute terms from unfavorable clinical events (despite relatively mild left ventricular hypertrophy and in most cases absence of outflow obstruction.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Prevalence and prognostic value of perfusion defects detected by stress technetium-99m sestamibi myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography in asymptomatic patients with diabetes mellitus and no known coronary artery disease

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in diabetics. Early diagnosis of CAD and identification of high-risk subgroups, followed by appropriate therapy, may therefore enhance survival. This study sought to determine the value of stress myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) with technetium-99m sestamibi to detect perfusion defects and predict cardiac events in asymptomatic diabetics. One hundred eighty asymptomatic diabetics without known CAD who underwent 2-day stress technetium-99m sestamibi SPECT were followed up for 36 +/- 18 months. End points were defined as hard (myocardial infarction or cardiac death) or total events (myocardial infarction, cardiac death, or late revascularization). Logistic regression analysis evaluated clinical variables, type of stress, exercise treadmill test (ETT), and SPECT as predictors of end points. Perfusion defects were found in 26% of patients (15% reversible, 6% mixed, and 5% fixed). Clinical or ETT variables were not associated with perfusion defect type or with hard events. However, male gender predicted total events (chi-square 3.3; p = 0.01). An abnormal SPECT significantly increased the risk of hard events (chi-square 5.4; p = 0.001) and total events (chi-square 7.4; p = 0.0001). Extensive defects determined the highest risk of total events (chi-square 18.8; p = 0.0001). Event rates increased according to SPECT: 2% of hard events per year and 5% of total events per year in patients with normal SPECT versus 9% per year and 38% per year, respectively, in those with abnormal SPECT. Importantly, a normal SPECT identified a relatively low-risk subgroup of patients. Thus, stress technetium-99m sestamibi SPECT was useful in evaluating asymptomatic diabetics for the presence of CAD, and effectively risk-stratified this population.     

Significance and relation between magnitude of left ventricular hypertrophy and heart failure symptoms in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

In hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HC), an important subgroup of patients develop progressive and disabling symptoms that are related to heart failure and death. Although a direct relation has been demonstrated between left ventricular (LV) wall thickness and likelihood of sudden and unexpected death (usually in patients who are asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic), it is unresolved whether magnitude of hypertrophy is similarly associated with severity of heart failure. To determine the relation of LV wall thickness to heart failure symptoms in HC, 700 consecutive patients who had HC were assessed by 2-dimensional echocardiography. The relation between maximum level of heart failure symptoms by New York Heart Association functional class and maximum LV wall thickness was not linear but rather parabolic. Therefore, marked symptoms were most commonly associated with moderate degrees of LV hypertrophy (wall thickness 16 to 24 mm; 27%) but less frequently with extreme hypertrophy (>/=30 mm 13%) or mild hypertrophy (相似文献   

Asymptomatic myocardial ischemia as a predictor of cardiac events after coronary artery bypass grafting for stable angina pectoris

Thirty-six patients with chronic stable angina were studied before and after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) to assess the prevalence and prognostic implications of asymptomatic myocardial ischemia obtained by ambulatory monitoring. Ambulatory monitoring performed during medical therapy before CABG detected 66 episodes of transient ischemia, 54 (82%) being asymptomatic. All patients were asymptomatic or with minimal symptoms 3 months after CABG. Additional ambulatory monitoring was performed for 36 hours. There were 39 episodes of silent ischemia detected in the 12 patients of group 1, whereas no episodes of ST-segment shift occurred in the 24 patients of group 2. Coronary artery bypass grafting reduced the frequency of transient ischemia by 41% (p less than 0.05) compared with medical therapy, whereas the number of ischemic episodes in group 1 increased from 23 during medical therapy to 39 episodes after CABG (41%, p less than 0.05). During a follow-up of 9 months, 8 cardiac events occurred: 6 in group 1 comprising sudden death (1), revascularization (2), and angina (3) and 2 in group 2, including revascularization (1) and angina (1) (p = 0.005). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that asymptomatic myocardial ischemia was correlated with a significant cumulative probability of cardiac events (p less than 0.025) and multivariate analysis of 11 variables showed that silent ischemia was the most powerful predictor of cardiac events (p less than 0.005). Silent ischemia was a forerunner for angina pectoris in some patients, whereas angina did not occur during the follow-up period in others. This study does not reveal whether or not these patients are at higher risk for cardiac events during long-term follow-up.     

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Long-term clinical development in a regional cohort of 243 patients

This retrospective study was undertaken to assess the long-term clinical outcome of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) in a regional cohort of 243 patients aged 40.4 years on average at the time of diagnosis and followed up for 12.3 +/- 8.1 years. Forty-one deaths were recorded during the follow-up period directly related to HCM (including 20 sudden deaths and 17 deaths due to cardiac failure), an annual cardiac mortality rate of 1.37%. In multivariate analysis, two factors were associated with extra mortality: occurrence of the first symptoms before the age of 20 (RR x 2.35) (p = 0.006) and NYHA functional classes III: IV at the latest clinical assessment (p = 0.005). The risk of sudden death increased significantly with septal wall thickness: RR x 2.34 (p = 0.05), RR x 3.27 (p = 0.007) and RR x 3.67 (p = 0.02) respectively, for septal thickness equal to or greater than 25, 30 and 35 mm. Eighty-three patients (34%) had major cardiovascular events (sudden death, congestive cardiac failure, cerebrovascular accident) during follow-up. However, at the latest clinical assessment, 79% were relatively unaffected by their disease, without treatment (12%) or with drug therapy alone (60%). In a minority of patients (28%) a more aggressive therapeutic approach was necessary: cardiac pacing (N = 48), implantable cardiac defibrillators (N = 2) myomectomy (N = 27) or cardiac transplantation (N = 6). The authors conclude that HCM is a complex disease, less serious than initially thought in the majority of patients, but the cause of major cardiovascular events and premature deaths which still remain difficult to prevent.     

Exercise echocardiographic findings and outcome of patients referred for evaluation of dyspnea

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to characterize the outcome of patients referred for exercise echocardiographic evaluation of dyspnea. BACKGROUND: Little information exists regarding outcome of patients with dyspnea. METHODS: We identified 443 patients with unexplained dyspnea, 2,033 with chest pain, and 587 with both symptoms referred for exercise echocardiography. RESULTS: Compared to those with chest pain alone, patients referred for dyspnea alone were older, predominantly men, and had lower workload, lower ejection fraction (EF), more prior myocardial infarction (MI), and abnormal rest electrocardiograms. Patients with both symptoms were similar to those with dyspnea, but more had prior revascularization. Exercise echocardiography showed ischemia in 42% of patients with dyspnea, 19% with chest pain, and 58% with both symptoms. During 3.1 +/- 1.8 years follow-up, cardiac death (5.2% vs. 0.9%, p < 0.0001) and nonfatal MI (4.7% vs. 2.0%, p < 0.0001) occurred more often in patients with dyspnea. Events in patients with both symptoms were similar to those with dyspnea, except for revascularization (20% vs. 13%, p = 0.0004). For patients with dyspnea, independent predictors of events were previous MI (hazard ratio [HR] 3.35, p < 0.0001), male gender (HR 1.94, p = 0.0252), EF (HR 0.95/10% increment, p < 0.0001), and increase in wall motion score index with exercise (HR 4.19/0.25 U, p < 0.0001), but not chest pain. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with unexplained dyspnea have a high likelihood of ischemia and an increased incidence of cardiac events. Exercise echocardiography provides independent information for identifying patients at risk. In patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease, dyspnea is a symptom requiring investigation.     

Significance of false negative electrocardiograms in preparticipation screening of athletes for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Preparticipation screening of athletes with 12-lead electrocardiography has been promoted for the detection of asymptomatic cardiovascular disease, particularly hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HC). Although false-positive electrocardiographic (ECG) results for HC are well recognized in athlete screening, expected false-negative rates are unknown. The aim of this study was to characterize the rate of false-negative ECG findings in a cohort of young asymptomatic patients with phenotypically expressed HC, defined by cardiovascular magnetic resonance, using the 2010 European Society of Cardiology recommended ECG criteria for the identification of suspected heart disease in trained athletes. Cardiac magnetic resonance studies and 12-lead electrocardiography were performed in 114 consecutive asymptomatic patients with HC aged ≤35 years (mean age 22 ± 8 years; 77% male patients). Electrocardiograms were analyzed to distinguish pathologic ECG patterns from alterations considered nonpathologic and physiologic consequences of athletic training. Among the 114 patients with HC, 103 (90%) demonstrated ≥1 pathologic ECG abnormality, while the remaining 11 patients (10%) had normal or nonpathologic ECG patterns and therefore defined a subgroup in whom ECG screening would not be expected to raise suspicion of heart disease (i.e., false-negative results). In this false-negative ECG results group, maximal left ventricular wall thickness was 17 ± 2 mm (range 15 to 21), compared to patients with pathologic ECG patterns, in whom maximal left ventricular wall thickness was 22 ± 5 mm (p = 0.003). In conclusion, a substantial minority of young asymptomatic patients with HC with phenotypically expressed left ventricular hypertrophy have nonpathologic ECG findings on the basis of the 2010 European Society of Cardiology guidelines. In principle, this high false-negative rate of 10% represents an important limitation in applying 12-lead electrocardiography to large, apparently healthy athletic populations for the detection of HC.     

Seven-year follow-up after dobutamine stress echocardiography: impact of gender on prognosis

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of gender on long-term prognosis of patients undergoing dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE). BACKGROUND: Gender differences in the predictors of outcome among patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease undergoing DSE have not been adequately studied. METHODS: We studied 2,276 men and 1,105 women with known or suspected coronary artery disease who underwent DSE. Follow-up events were cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI). RESULTS: Dobutamine stress echocardiography was normal in 687 men (30%) and 483 women (44%) (p <0.0001). Ischemia on DSE was present in 1,194 men (52%) and 416 women (38%) (p <0.001). During a mean follow-up of 7 +/- 3.4 years, there were 894 (26%) deaths (442 attributed to cardiac causes) and 145 (4%) nonfatal MIs. The annual cardiac event rate was 2.5% in men and 1.2% in women with normal DSE. Independent predictors of cardiac events in patients with normal DSE using a Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were male gender (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.7 [range 1.1 to 2.8]), age (HR: 1.02 [range 1.01 to 1.04]), history of heart failure (HR: 3.4 [range 1.5 to 7.9]), previous MI (HR: 1.7 [range 1.1 to 2.8]), and diabetes (HR: 2.4 [range 1.3 to 4.5]). Independent predictors of cardiac events in patients with an abnormal DSE were age (HR: 1.03 [range 1.02 to 1.04]), history of heart failure (HR: 1.7 [range 1.3 to 2.1]), diabetes (HR: 1.4 [range 1.1 to 1.8]), heart rate at rest (HR: 2.8 [range 1.4 to 5.8]), wall motion abnormalities at rest (HR: 1.06 [range 1.04 to 1.09]), and ischemia on DSE (HR: 1.04 [range 1.02 to 1.07]). Myocardial ischemia was an independent predictor of cardiac events in both men and women. CONCLUSIONS: Dobutamine stress echocardiography provides independent prognostic information in both men and women. In patients with normal DSE, gender is independently associated with cardiac events. The outcome of patients with abnormal DSE is not related to gender, after adjusting for stress echocardiographic abnormalities.     

Relation between myocyte disarray and outcome in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HC) is associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac death or death from heart failure. Little is known of the pathologic substrate for risk of premature death in this disease. We therefore set out to correlate the pathologic findings with the mode of death and risk profile in 75 patients with HC. Hearts with HC were obtained after death or transplantation. The clinical details were correlated with the macroscopic findings and the percent fibrosis, disarray, and small-vessel disease across 19 sections of each heart. Thirty-nine patients died suddenly, 28 had end-stage heart failure, and 8 died of other causes. Myocyte disarray correlated positively with evidence of ischemia (r = 0.5, p <0.0001), and was greater in patients who died before age 21 years (mean disarray 33% vs 18%, p <0.0001) and in those with an abnormal vascular response to exercise (mean disarray and 30% vs 19%, p = 0.04). Myocardial fibrosis was greater in patients who died in heart failure (mean percent fibrosis was 2.8% versus 0.9%, p = 0.003), and in patients with nonsustained ventricular tachycardia or a high risk fractionation study (4.9% vs 2.7%, p = 0.04, and 6.84% vs 2.8%, p = 0.03, respectively). In conclusion, young patients who die with HC have greater disarray than their older counterparts. In contrast, myocardial fibrosis is the substrate for premature deaths from heart failure and is associated with an increased risk of a primary ventricular arrhythmia.     

Prevalence of systolic impairment in an unselected regional population with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HC) may transition to a phase characterized by systolic impairment resembling dilated cardiomyopathy. This study retrospectively assessed the incidence of left ventricular (LV) systolic impairment at initial clinical evaluation in 248 consecutive patients with HC (mean age 53 +/- 16 years). HC with systolic impairment was diagnosed if the LV ejection fraction was <50%, calculated by echocardiography. Twenty patients (8%) had HC with LV systolic impairment at initial evaluation. Patients with systolic impairment had a greater incidence of family histories of sudden cardiac death (SCD) than patients with preserved systolic function (25% vs 5.3%, p = 0.006) and more severe functional limitations (New York Heart Association class >or=III, p <0.001). All-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality did not differ between the 2 groups. The incidence of SCD was 1.7% in patients with normal LV ejection fractions, and no SCD was observed in patients with systolic impairment. The latter group had more frequent major cardiac events (SCD, ventricular fibrillation, aborted cardiac arrest, and first implantable cardioverter-defibrillator discharge; p = 0.03). During follow-up, 2 patients progressed to HC with systolic impairment (annual incidence 0.85%). In conclusion, systolic impairment is not exceptional in patients with HC at initial evaluation and is associated with functional deterioration and major cardiac events.     

Cardiac events after carotid endarterectomy: long-term results]

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence of late cardiac events in patients submitted to carotid endarterectomy (CEA), asymptomatic for coronary artery disease during the carotid surgical procedure. METHODS: During a period of 11 years, 162 patients (122 males, 40 females, mean age 68 +/- 12 years), asymptomatic for coronary artery disease and/or without sings of coronary artery disease at the cardiological screening, were submitted to CEA for symptomatic or severe (> or = 70%) carotid stenoses. Clinical follow-up was performed on 151 patients (93%), to identify the incidence of cardiac and neurological events and freedom from late death. The results of this group of patients (group A) were compared to those obtained during follow-up of 147 patients (133 males, 14 females, mean age 69 +/- 15 years) (group B) affected by coronary artery disease and submitted to combined CEA and coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). RESULTS: During follow-up, in group A freedom from late death, cardiac death and adverse neurological events were 77 +/- 4.8, 86 +/- 4.4 and 87.3 +/- 4.5% at 9 years, respectively. Freedom from adverse neurological events in group A was similar to that registered in group B (86.4 +/- 5.6%, p = NS). The incidence of cumulative cardiac events and fatal cardiac events (myocardial infarction, sudden death, congestive heart failure) on the contrary, was higher in group A than in group B (13.2 vs 6.8%, p = 0.0424, and 7.9 vs 3.4%, p = 0.0446, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: In patients submitted to isolated CEA, although without symptoms or signs of coronary artery disease at the timing of the carotid procedure, the possibility of a severe coronary disease development during follow-up is not negligible: the incidence of late cardiac events may be higher than in patients with coronary artery disease corrected at the same time of the CEA procedure. These data suggest the opportunity of a systematic cardiological screening during follow-up in patients submitted to isolated CEA, although clinically asymptomatic for coronary artery disease at the timing of the vascular procedure, to improve the long-term survival.     

Prognostic determinants in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Prospective evaluation of a therapeutic strategy based on clinical, Holter, hemodynamic, and electrophysiological findings.

BACKGROUND. Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) frequently have arrhythmias and hemodynamic abnormalities and are prone to sudden death and syncope. An important need exists for improved risk stratification and definition of appropriate investigation and therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS. The relation of 31 clinical, Holter, cardiac catheterization, and electrophysiological (EP) variables to subsequent cardiac events in 230 HCM patients was examined by multivariate analysis. Studies were for cardiac arrest (n = 32), syncope (n = 80), presyncope (n = 52), ventricular tachycardia (VT) on Holter (n = 36), a strong family history of sudden death (n = 9), and palpitations (n = 21). Nonsustained VT on Holter was present in 115 patients (50%). Sustained ventricular arrhythmia was induced in 82 patients (36%). Seventeen cardiac events (eight sudden deaths, one cardiac arrest, and eight syncope with defibrillator discharges) occurred during a follow-up of 28 +/- 19 months. The 1-year and 5-year event-free rates were 99% and 79%, respectively. Two variables were significant independent predictors of subsequent events: sustained ventricular arrhythmia induced at EP study (beta, 3.5; p = 0.002) and a history of cardiac arrest or syncope (beta, 2.9; p less than 0.05). Only two of 66 patients without symptoms of impaired consciousness had a cardiac event (3-year event-free rate, 97%). In contrast, nonsustained VT on Holter was associated with a worse prognosis only in patients with symptoms of impaired consciousness: 11 of 79 symptomatic patients with VT on Holter (14%) had events versus only four of 85 symptomatic patients without VT on Holter (5%) (p = 0.057). Notably, none of 51 patients without symptoms of impaired consciousness in whom VT was not induced at EP study had a cardiac event. CONCLUSIONS. In HCM, VT on Holter is of benign prognostic significance in the absence of symptoms of impaired consciousness and inducible VT, and sustained VT induced at EP study, especially when associated with cardiac arrest or syncope, identifies a subgroup at high risk for subsequent cardiac events.     

Pre-participation examination of competitive athletes: role of the ECG

Sudden cardiac death in athletes is rare but has a wide social impact because it confronts the general population with the paradox that athletes perceived and admired as the fittest and healthiest suddenly drop dead during their sport. Mass media coverage is guaranteed in the case of sudden cardiac death of a top athlete, while other competitive and noncompetitive athletes of all ages, team members, sponsors, as well as huge parts of society remain puzzled and frightened. Therefore, debate is ongoing regarding how to minimize the number of fatalities, and the search continues for a cost-effective preparticipation screening for competitive athletes. Despite the fact that routine ECG screening would be widely available and rather inexpensive, debate continues regarding whether this should be part of initial screening for every athlete before starting to train at high intensity as well as during annual checkups. The role of ECGs in preparticipation examinations of competitive athletes is intensively discussed because there is a lack of strict criteria for which ECG findings should generate further workup. In this article, we analyze the main publications on sudden cardiac death, focusing on the benefit of ECG screening in preparticipation examination as it has been shown to be feasible and effective in identifying athletes at risk of sudden cardiac death.     

Functional and prognostic significance of exercise-induced ventricular arrhythmias in patients with suspected coronary artery disease

Our aims were to assess (1) the relation between exercise-induced ventricular arrhythmia (VA) and myocardial wall motion abnormalities during exercise echocardiography in patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD), and (2) the effect of this relation on outcome. We studied the clinical and prognostic significance of exercise-induced VA in 1,460 patients (mean age 64 +/- 10 years; 867 men) with intermediate pretest probability of CAD and no history of previous myocardial infarction or revascularization who underwent exercise echocardiography. Exercise-induced VA occurred in 146 patients (10%). Compared with patients without VA, those with VA had a greater prevalence of abnormal exercise echocardiographic findings (48% vs 29%, p = 0.001) and ischemia on exercise echocardiography (39% vs 22%, p = 0.001), greater increase in wall motion score index with exercise (0.14 +/- 0.28 vs 0.06 +/- 0.18, p <0.0001), and a greater percentage of abnormal segments with exercise (21 +/- 30% vs 9 +/- 19%, p <0.0001). During follow-up (median 2.7 years), cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction occurred in 36 patients. In multivariate analysis of combined clinical and exercise stress test variables, independent predictors of cardiac events were exercise-induced VA (chi-square 4.7, p = 0.03) and exercise heart rate (chi-square 18, p = 0.0001). The percentage of abnormal myocardial segments with exercise echocardiography was the most powerful predictor of VA (chi-square 31, p = 0.0001) and cardiac events (chi-square 15, p = 0.0001). In patients with suspected CAD, exercise-induced VA is associated with a greater risk of cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction. This risk is attributed to the relation between VA and the extent and severity of left ventricular functional abnormalities with exercise.     

Prognostic value of dipyridamole thallium-201 imaging in elderly patients.

The prognostic value of intravenous dipyridamole myocardial perfusion imaging has not been studied in a large series of elderly patients. Patients greater than or equal to 70 years of age with known or suspected coronary artery disease were evaluated to determine the predictive value of intravenous dipyridamole thallium-201 imaging for subsequent cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction. Of the 348 patients, 207 were symptomatic and 141 were asymptomatic; 52% of the asymptomatic group had documented coronary artery disease. During 23 +/- 15 months of follow-up, there were 52 cardiac deaths, 24 nonfatal myocardial infarctions and 42 revascularization procedures (percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty in 20; coronary artery bypass surgery in 22). Clinical univariate predictors of a cardiac event included previous myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure symptoms, hypercholesterolemia and diabetes (all p less than 0.05). The presence of a fixed, reversible or combined thallium-201 defect was significantly associated with the occurrence of cardiac death or myocardial infarction during follow-up (p less than 0.05). Cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction occurred in only 7 (5%) of 150 patients with a normal dipyridamole thallium-201 study (p less than 0.001). Stepwise logistic regression analysis of clinical and radionuclide variables revealed that an abnormal (reversible or fixed) dipyridamole thallium-201 study was the single best predictor of cardiac events (relative risk 7.2, p less than 0.001). As has been demonstrated in younger patients, previous myocardial infarction (relative risk 1.8, p less than 0.001) and symptoms of congestive heart failure at presentation (relative risk 1.6, p = 0.02) were also significant independent clinical predictors of cardiac death or myocardial infarction.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

The natural history of adults with asymptomatic, hemodynamically significant aortic stenosis

The natural history of asymptomatic, hemodynamically significant, valvular aortic stenosis in adults was documented. Of 471 patients with aortic stenosis identified by Doppler echocardiography (peak systolic flow velocity greater than or equal to 4 m/s) from January 1984 through August 1987, 143 were asymptomatic and had isolated valvular aortic stenosis. Thirty patients underwent aortic valve intervention within 3 months (group 1); the remaining 113 patients did not have an intervention within 3 months (group 2). Follow-up information was available for all patients; the mean duration of follow-up study was 20 months (range 6 to 48). Three cardiac events occurred in the 30 group 1 patients after operation (two deaths, one reoperation). Among the 113 group 2 patients, three had cardiac death presumed to be a result of the aortic stenosis; all three developed symptoms at least 3 months before death. The actuarial probability of remaining free of symptoms of angina, dyspnea or syncope for group 2 was 86% at 1 year and 62% at 2 years. For this group, the 1 and 2 year probabilities of remaining free of cardiac events, including aortic valve intervention or cardiac death, were 93% and 74%, respectively. Of all clinical and echocardiographic variables (group 2), only Doppler flow velocity (p = 0.004) and ejection fraction (p = 0.01) were independent predictors of subsequent cardiac events. Among the 44 patients (groups 1 and 2) with a flow velocity greater than or equal to 4.5 m/s, the relative risk of sustaining a cardiac event (by Cox regression analysis) was 4.9 (p = 0.004).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Assessment of cardiac risk before nonvascular surgery: dobutamine stress echocardiography in 530 patients

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the incremental value of dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) for assessment of cardiac risk before nonvascular surgery. BACKGROUND: Limited information exists regarding the preoperative assessment of cardiac risk in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease who are to undergo nonvascular surgery. METHODS: All patients (303 men, 227 women) who underwent DSE before nonvascular surgery and did not sustain an intervening event (coronary revascularization or cardiac event) were studied. Clinical, electrocardiographic and rest and stress echocardiographic variables were evaluated to identify predictors of postoperative cardiac events. RESULTS: Events occurred in 6% of patients: 1 cardiac death and 31 nonfatal myocardial infarctions. All of these patients had inducible ischemia on DSE (sensitivity 100%, specificity 63%). Multivariate predictors of postoperative events in patients with ischemia were history of congestive heart failure (p = 0.006; odds ratio = 4.66; confidence interval 1.55 to 14.02) and ischemic threshold less than 60% of age-predicted maximal heart rate (p = 0.0001; odds ratio 7.002; confidence interval 2.79 to 17.61). Clinical variables of Eagle's index identified 21% of patients as low, 68% as intermediate and 11% as high risk preoperatively; the postoperative event rates were 3%, 6%, and 14%, respectively. Dobutamine stress echocardiography identified 60% of patients as low (no ischemia), 32% as intermediate (ischemic threshold 60% or more) and 8% as high risk (ischemic threshold < 60%); postoperative event rates were 0%, 9% and 43%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this population of patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease evaluated before nonvascular surgery, DSE had incremental value over clinical, electrocardiographic and rest echocardiographic variables for identifying patients at low, intermediate and high risk for postoperative cardiac events. Ischemia occurring at less than 60% of age-predicted maximal heart rate identified patients at highest risk.     

QT dispersion and risk factors for sudden cardiac death in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

This study examines the relation of QT dispersion (QTd) on a surface electrocardiogram (ECG) to clinical features and established risk factors of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HC). One hundred fifty-six consecutive patients with HC (91 men, mean age 41 ± 15 years, range 7 to 79) and 72 normal subjects (41 men, mean age 39 ± 9 years, range 20 to 60) were studied. Standard 12-lead ECGs were recorded from each subject using a MAC VU electrocardiograph. Patients with nonsinus rhythm, atrioventricular conduction block, QRS duration >120 ms, age <15 years, and low amplitude T waves were excluded from the analysis (n = 51). Another 22 patients who were receiving amiodarone and/or sotalol therapy were also excluded. QT interval and QTd were measured using automated analysis in the remaining 83 patients (46 men, age 40 ± 14 years, range 16 to 76). QT interval (406 ± 38 ms), QTc interval (432 ± 27 ms), and QTd (43 ± 25 ms) were significantly greater in patients with HC than in normal controls (386 ± 31 ms, 404 ± 16 ms, 26 ± 16 ms, respectively) (p <0.0001). QTd was significantly greater in patients with HC with chest pain compared with asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic patients (50 ± 28 ms vs 37 ± 20 ms, p = 0.02). Increased QTd was found in patients with dyspnea New York Heart Association functional classes II/III than in those with dyspnea New York Heart Association functional class I (50 ± 27 ms vs 38 ± 22 ms, p = 0.04). QTd was weakly correlated with maximum left ventricular wall thickness (r = 0.228, p = 0.038). No significant association was found between QTd and any risk factors for SCD. Thus, patients with HC have increased QTd. The QTd correlates with symptomatic status. Assessment of QTd might provide complementary clinical characterization of patients with HC but its relation to SCD remains uncertain.     

Prediction of death and myocardial infarction by radionuclide angiocardiography in patients with suspected coronary artery disease

The prognostic value of radionuclide angiocardiography was examined in patients with suspected coronary artery disease. Nine hundred and eight patients who underwent rest and exercise radionuclide angiocardiography without subsequent cardiac catheterization were followed for a median of 4.6 years. Fifty-two cardiovascular deaths and 28 nonfatal myocardial infarctions occurred during the follow-up period. Thirty-nine radionuclide angiocardiographic and clinical variables were analyzed in association with the end points of cardiovascular death, total cardiac events and death from all causes using the Cox proportional hazards model and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates. Univariable analysis identified the exercise ejection fraction as the best predictor of cardiovascular death (chi-square = 82), total cardiac events (chi-square = 84) and death from all causes (chi-square = 66). A small subset of patients (n = 45) with an exercise ejection fraction less than 0.35 were at high risk for future cardiac events, whereas most patients (n = 776) had an exercise ejection fraction greater than or equal to 0.50 and a low probability of a subsequent event. Three variables--the exercise ejection fraction, the exercise change in heart rate, and gender--contained independent prognostic information determined by multivariable analysis. The exercise ejection fraction was the strongest independent predictor (p less than 0.0001) for every end point. The measurement of ventricular function during exercise provides important independent prognostic information in patients with suspected coronary artery disease. Radionuclide angiocardiography successfully identifies patients requiring invasive assessment, and the low probability of cardiac events in patients with good exercise ventricular function obviates the need for interventional therapy.