A Body Shape Index is positively associated with all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in the Chinese population with normal weight: A prospective cohort study

Background and aimA body shape index (ABSI) is a valuable predictor of mortality in the Western population, but similar evidence in the general Chinese population is limited. This study aims to evaluate the association between the ABSI and all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in the Chinese population with normal weight.Methods and results9046 participants with normal BMI (18.5–24.9 kg/m²) from the China Hypertension Survey were enrolled. The baseline ABSI was calculated as waist circumference/(BMI^2/3height^1/2). Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to evaluate the association of the ABSI with all-cause and CVD mortality. Over an average follow-up of 5.4 years, 686 all-cause and 215 CVD deaths occurred. A 0.01-unit increment in the ABSI was associated with a 31% greater risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.31; 95% CI: 1.12, 1.48) and CVD mortality (HR, 1.30; 95% CI: 1.08, 1.58). Compared with quartile 1 of the ABSI, the adjusted HRs of all-cause mortality for quartiles 2–4 were, respectively, 1.25 (95% CI: 0.98, 1.59), 1.28 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.67), and 1.54 (95% CI: 1.17, 2.03) (P_trend = 0.004), and those of CVD mortality for quartiles 2–4 were, respectively, 1.28 (95% CI: 0.88, 1.83), 1.42 (95% CI: 0.97, 2.08), and 1.45 (95% CI: 0.98, 2.170) (P_trend = 0.043). The dose–response analysis showed a linear positive association of the ABSI with all-cause (P_nonlinearity = 0.158) and CVD mortality (P_nonlinearity = 0.213).ConclusionThe ABSI was positively associated with all-cause and CVD mortality among the general Chinese population with normal BMI. The data suggest that the ABSI may be an effective tool for central fatness for mortality risk assessment.     

Association between the visceral adiposity index and risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in a large cohort: Findings from the UK biobank

Background and aimsThe visceral adiposity index (VAI) has been recently established as a measure of visceral fat distribution and is shown to be associated with a wide range of adverse health events. However, the precise associations between the VAI score and all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in the general population remain undetermined.Methods and resultsIn this large-scale prospective epidemiological study, 357,457 participants (aged 38–73 years) were selected from the UK Biobank. We used Cox competing risk regression models to estimate the association between the VAI score and all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and other mortalities. The VAI score was significantly correlated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.200; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001), cancer mortality (HR, 1.224; 95% CI, 1.150–1.303; P < 0.0001), CVD mortality (HR, 1.459; 95% CI, 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001), and other mortalities (HR, 1.200; 95% CI, 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001) after adjusting for a series of confounders. In addition, the subgroup analyses showed that HRs were significantly higher in participants who were male, aged below 65 years, and body mass index less than 25.ConclusionIn summary, VAI was positively associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in a nationwide, well-characterised population identified in a UK Biobank. The VAI score might be a complementary traditional predictive indicator for evaluating the risk of adverse health events in the population of Western adults aged 38 years and older.     

A Common NOS1AP Genetic Polymorphism,rs12567209 G>A,Is Associated With Sudden Cardiac Death in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure in the Chinese Han Population

BackgroundVariants in NOS1AP associated with cardiac repolarization and sudden cardiac death (SCD) in coronary artery disease have been reported. Whether they are related to mortality and QTc interval in chronic heart failure (CHF) has not been investigated.Methods and ResultsA total of 1,428 patients with CHF and 480 control subjects were genotyped for 6 SNPs of NOS1AP, and the genetic associations with mortality as well as QTc interval were analyzed. During a median follow-up period of 52 months, 467 patients (32.70%) died, of which deaths 169 (36.19%) were SCD. The A allele of rs12567209 was associated with greater risk of all-cause death and SCD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.381, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.124–1.698 [P = .002], and HR 1.645, 95% CI 1.184–2.287 [P = .003], respectively). After adjusting for other risk factors, significant differences remained (HR 1.309, 95% CI 1.054–1.624 [P = .015], and HR 1.601, 95% CI 1.129–2.271 [P = .008]). The A allele was also associated with prolongation of QTc interval by 4.04 ms in the entire population (P = .026).ConclusionsThe A allele of rs12567209 in NOS1AP may serve as an independent predictor of all-cause death and SCD in patients with CHF, it is also associated with prolonged QTc interval in the Chinese Han population.     

Association of non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio and its dynamic changes with incident type 2 diabetes mellitus: The Rural Chinese Cohort Study

BackgroundWe aimed to evaluate the association of the ratio of non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C/HDL-C) and its dynamic changes with incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).MethodsA total of 11,487 nondiabetic participants ≥18 years old in rural China were recruited in 2007–2008 and followed up in 2013–2014. A Cox proportional-hazards model was used to assess the risk of incident T2DM by quartiles of baseline non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio and dynamic absolute and relative changes in non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio, estimating hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).ResultsRisk of incident T2DM was increased with quartiles 2, 3, and 4 versus quartile 1 of baseline non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio (HR 1.46 [95% CI 1.08–1.98], 1.51 [1.12–2.03], and 2.16 [1.62–2.88], P_trend < 0.001). As compared with stable non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio during follow-up, an absolute gain in non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio was associated with increased risk of T2DM (HR 1.67 [95% CI 1.25–2.24] for quartile 3 and 2.00 [1.52–2.61] for quartile 4). A relative increase in non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio was also associated with increased risk of T2DM (HR 1.56 [95% CI 1.19–2.04] for quartile 3 and 1.97 [1.49–2.60] for quartile 4). Subgroup analyses showed that the association of non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio with T2DM risk remained consistent.ConclusionsIncreased non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio is associated with increased risk of incident T2DM among rural Chinese adults, so the index may be an important indicator for identifying individuals at T2DM risk.     

Association between body mass index and mortality in atrial fibrillation patients with and without diabetes mellitus: Insights from a multicenter registry study in China

Background and aimsThe aim of this study was to evaluate the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with and without diabetes mellitus (DM).Methods and resultsA total of 1991 AF patients were enrolled and divided into two groups according to whether they have DM at recruitment. Baseline information was collected and a mean follow-up of 1 year was carried out. The primary outcome was defined as all-cause mortality with the secondary outcomes including cardiovascular mortality, stroke and major adverse events (MAEs). Univariable and multivariable Cox regression were performed to estimate the association between BMI and 1-year outcomes in AF patients with and without DM. 309 patients with AF (15.5%) had comorbid DM at baseline. Patients with DM were more likely to have cardiovascular comorbidities, receive relevant medications but carry worse 1-year outcomes. Multivariable Cox regressions indicated that elevated BMI was related with reduced risk of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and major adverse events. Compared to normal weight, overweight [HR (95% CI): 0.548 (0.405–0.741), p < 0.001] and obesity [HR (95% CI): 0.541 (0.326–0.898), p = 0.018] were significantly related with decreased all-cause mortality for the entire cohort. Remarkably reduced all-cause mortality in the overweight [HR (95% CI): 0.497 (0.347–0.711), p < 0.001] and obesity groups [HR (95% CI): 0.405 (0.205–0.800), p = 0.009] could also be detected in AF patients without DM, but not in those with DM.ConclusionElevated BMI was associated with reduced mortality in patients with AF. This association was modified by DM. The obesity paradox confined to AF patients without DM, but could not be generalized to those with DM.     

Right ventricular systolic pressure – Non-invasive bedside predictor of mortality and readmission in heart failure with reduced and preserved ejection fraction hospitalization

ObjectiveTo study the prognostic role of right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP) in patients with heart failure (HF).BackgroundAlthough RVSP is a readily available echocardiographic parameter, it is often underused. Its prognostic role in patients with heart failure is not well established compared with pulmonary artery pressure measured by right heart catheterization.MethodsThis single-center retrospective cohort study included patients with acute heart failure hospitalization admitted to the hospital from January 2005 to December 2018. The primary predictor was right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP) obtained from bedside transthoracic echocardiography at admission. We divided RVSP into two groups, RVSP <40 mm Hg (reference group) and RVSP ≥40 mm Hg. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were all-cause readmission and cardiac readmission. We conducted propensity-score matching and applied cox-proportional hazard model to compute hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI).ResultsOut of 972 HF patients, 534 patients had RVSP <40 mm Hg and 438 patients had RVSP ≥40 mm Hg. Patients with RVSP ≥40 mm Hg compared with RVSP <40 mm Hg were associated with higher rates of death [HR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.22–2.09, P-value = 0.001], all-cause readmissions [HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.09–1.73, P-value = 0.008] and cardiac readmissions [HR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.07–1.85, P-value = 0.014].ConclusionHigher RVSP (≥40 mm Hg) in HF patients was associated with higher rates of death, all-cause readmissions, and cardiac readmissions. RVSP can be considered as a prognostic marker for mortality and readmission.     

Association of serum osmolality with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in US adults: A prospective cohort study

Background and aimsThe association between serum osmolality, an effective indicator of body hydration status, and long-term mortality in the general population remains undetermined. The present study aimed to investigate the association of serum osmolality with long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among adults in the United States.Methods and resultsThis cohort study used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2007–2014. Participants were linked to National Death Index mortality data from the survey date through December 31, 2019. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs, and restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression was conducted. A total of 18312 US adults were included. During a median follow-up of 8.7 years, 1353 total deaths occurred, including 379 cardiovascular deaths. After multivariable adjustments, compared with the 3rd quartile (Q3) of serum osmolality, participants in the 1st (Q1) and 4th (Q4) quartiles were at a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.41 [95% CI, 1.14–1.75] and 1.29 [95% CI, 1.04–1.61], respectively). RCS revealed a nonlinear relationship of serum osmolality to all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, with an inflection point of 278 mmol/kg.ConclusionIn the nationally representative cohort of US adults, serum osmolality was nonlinearly associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. The risk of mortality was lowest around an osmolality of 278 mmol/kg. These findings suggest the importance of serum osmolality management for long-term health outcomes.     

Incident Clinical and Mortality Associations of Myocardial Native T1 in the UK Biobank

BackgroundCardiac magnetic resonance native T1-mapping provides noninvasive, quantitative, and contrast-free myocardial characterization. However, its predictive value in population cohorts has not been studied.ObjectivesThe associations of native T1 with incident events were evaluated in 42,308 UK Biobank participants over 3.17 ± 1.53 years of prospective follow-up.MethodsNative T1-mapping was performed in 1 midventricular short-axis slice using the Shortened Modified Look-Locker Inversion recovery technique (WIP780B) in 1.5-T scanners (Siemens Healthcare). Global myocardial T1 was calculated using an automated tool. Associations of T1 with: 1) prevalent risk factors (eg, diabetes, hypertension, and high cholesterol); 2) prevalent and incident diseases (eg, any cardiovascular disease [CVD], any brain disease, valvular heart disease, heart failure, nonischemic cardiomyopathies, cardiac arrhythmias, atrial fibrillation [AF], myocardial infarction, ischemic heart disease [IHD], and stroke); and 3) mortality (eg, all-cause, CVD, and IHD) were examined. Results are reported as odds ratios (ORs) or HRs per SD increment of T1 value with 95% CIs and corrected P values, from logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression models.ResultsHigher myocardial T1 was associated with greater odds of a range of prevalent conditions (eg, any CVD, brain disease, heart failure, nonischemic cardiomyopathies, AF, stroke, and diabetes). The strongest relationships were with heart failure (OR: 1.41 [95% CI: 1.26-1.57]; P = 1.60 × 10^-9) and nonischemic cardiomyopathies (OR: 1.40 [95% CI: 1.16-1.66]; P = 2.42 × 10^-4). Native T1 was positively associated with incident AF (HR: 1.25 [95% CI: 1.10-1.43]; P = 9.19 × 10^-4), incident heart failure (HR: 1.47 [95% CI: 1.31-1.65]; P = 4.79 × 10^-11), all-cause mortality (HR: 1.24 [95% CI: 1.12-1.36]; P = 1.51 × 10^-5), CVD mortality (HR: 1.40 [95% CI: 1.14-1.73]; P = 0.0014), and IHD mortality (HR: 1.36 [95% CI: 1.03-1.80]; P = 0.0310).ConclusionsThis large population study demonstrates the utility of myocardial native T1-mapping for disease discrimination and outcome prediction.     

Use of fish oil and mortality of patients with cardiometabolic multimorbidity: A prospective study of UK biobank

Background and aimsCardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) has risen as a global issue of public health, with an in-creasing prevalence and more severe clinical prognosis. This study aimed to estimate the association between use of fish oil and mortality among patients with CMM.Methods and ResultsIn this prospective study based on UK Biobank, participants with ≥2 of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs, including coronary heart disease [CHD], diabetes, hypertension, and stroke in this study) at recruitment were included. Use of fish oil was derived from touchscreen questionnaires at baseline. All-cause and cardiovascular mortality were accessed via electronic health-related records. Kaplan–Meier curves and flexible parametric Royston-Parmar proportion-hazard models were fitted to assess the as-sociations of fish-oil use with all-cause, cardiovascular mortality, and related life expectancy alterations. Among 30 068 participants from UK Biobank (67.9% men; mean age 61.75 years), 5357 deaths were reported during 12.03 years of follow-up. For patients with CMM, use of fish oil was associated with a 17% lower risk of all-cause mortality (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.78–0.88, P < 0.001), and 19% lower risk of cardiovascular mortality (95% CI 0.72–0.90, P < 0.001) in multivariable-adjusted models. At 45 years old, using fish oil was associated with 1.66 years of life expectancy gained.ConclusionAmong patients with CMM, use of fish oil was associated with a significantly reduced risk of all-cause, cardiovascular mortality, and prolonged life expectancy.     

Inverse association between circulating vitamin D and mortality – Dependent on sex and cause of death?

Background and aimsIn various populations, vitamin D deficiency is associated with chronic diseases and mortality. We examined the association between concentration of circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], a marker of vitamin D status, and all-cause as well as cause-specific mortality.Methods and ResultsThe study included 3404 participants of the general adult Swiss population, who were recruited between November 1988 and June 1989 and followed-up until the end of 2008. Circulating 25(OH)D was measured by protein-bound assay. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine the association between 25(OH)D concentration and all-cause and cause-specific mortality adjusting for sex, age, season, diet, nationality, blood pressure, and smoking status. Per 10 ng/mL increase in 25(OH)D concentration, all-cause mortality decreased by 20% (HR = 0.83; 95% CI 0.74–0.92). 25(OH)D concentration was inversely associated with cardiovascular mortality in women (HR = 0.68, 95% CI 0.46–1.00 per 10 ng/mL increase), but not in men (HR = 0.97; 95% CI 0.77–1.23). In contrast, 25(OH)D concentration was inversely associated with cancer mortality in men (HR = 0.72, 95% CI 0.57–0.91 per 10 ng/mL increase), but not in women (HR = 1.14, 95% CI 0.93–1.39). Multivariate adjustment only slightly modified the 25(OH)D-mortality association.Conclusion25(OH)D was similarly inversely related to all-cause mortality in men and women. However, we observed opposite effects in women and men with respect to cardiovascular and cancer mortality.     

Complete Revascularization in Patients With STEMI and Multi-Vessel Disease: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

BackgroundPercutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is the treatment of choice for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). However, efficacy of complete vs culprit only revascularization in patients with STEMI and multivessel disease remains unclear.MethodsWe searched PubMed/MEDLINE, and Cochrane library. The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), repeat revascularization, stroke, major bleeding, and contrast induced nephropathy. Estimates were calculated as random effects hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).ResultsTwelve trials with 7592 patients were included. There was a significantly lower risk of MACE [HR 0.61; 95% CI (0.43–0.60); p = 0.0009; I² = 72%], cardiovascular mortality [HR 0.74; 95% CI (0.56–0.99); p = 0.04; I² = 2%], and repeat revascularization [HR 0.43; 95% CI (0.31–0.59); p < 0.00001; I² = 67%] in patients treated with complete compared with culprit-only revascularization. There was no statistically significant difference in MI [HR 0.77; 95% CI (0.52–1.12); p = 0.17; I² = 49%], all-cause mortality [HR 0.86; 95% CI (0.65–1.13); p = 0.28; I² = 14%], heart failure [HR 0.82 95% CI (0.51–1.32); p = 0.42; I² = 26%], major bleeding [HR 1.07; 95% CI (0.66–1.75); p = 0.78; I² = 25%], stroke [HR 0.67; 95% CI (0.24–1.89); p = 0.45; I² = 54%], or contrast induced nephropathy, although higher contrast volumes were used in the complete revascularization group [HR 1.22; 95% CI (0.78–1.92); p = 0.39; I² = 0%].ConclusionComplete revascularization was associated with a significantly lower risk of MACE, cardiovascular mortality, and repeat revascularization compared with culprit-only revascularization. These results suggest complete revascularization with PCI following STEMI and multivessel disease should be considered.     

Anticoagulation With or Without Antiplatelet Therapy Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement for Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Meta-Analysis

BackgroundAlthough current guidelines recommend oral anticoagulants (OAC) with or without antiplatelet therapy (APT) following transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TVAR) in patients with an indication for long-term anticoagulation therapy, the optimal antithrombotic strategy remains unknown in these population. Herein, we conducted a meta-analysis comparing the outcome of OAC alone versus OAC with APT following TAVR in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).MethodsMEDLINE and EMBASE were searched through May 2020 to identify clinical trials that investigated OAC alone versus OAC with APT following TAVR in patients with AF. From each study, we extracted the hazard ratios (HRs) or risk ratios of major or life threatening bleeding, stroke, all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality.Results1 randomized controlled trial and 3 observational studies were identified, which enrolled a total of 2032 patients with AF who underwent TAVR assigned to the OAC group (n = 722) or OAC with APT group (n = 1310). Pooled analyses demonstrated the rate of major or life threatening bleeding was significantly lower in the OAC group compared to the OAC with APT group (HR [95% Confidence Interval [CI] = 0.54 [0.38–0.77], P = .0006]). However, the rate of stroke was similar in both groups (HR [95% CI] = 1.22 [0.80–1.87], P = .36). All-cause and cardiovascular mortalities were also similar in both groups.ConclusionsWe observed that OAC with APT following TAVR in patients with AF increased the risk of bleeding compared to OAC alone without decreasing the risk of stroke.     

Clopidogrel Monotherapy After 1-Month Dual Antiplatelet Therapy in Patients With Diabetes Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

BackgroundDiabetes was reported to be associated with an impaired response to clopidogrel.ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of clopidogrel monotherapy after very short dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) in patients with diabetes undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).MethodsA subgroup analysis was conducted on the basis of diabetes in the STOPDAPT-2 (Short and Optimal Duration of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy After Everolimus-Eluting Cobalt-Chromium Stent–2) Total Cohort (N = 5,997) (STOPDAPT-2, n = 3,009; STOPDAPT-2 ACS [Short and Optimal Duration of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy After Everolimus-Eluting Cobalt-Chromium Stent–2 for the Patients With ACS], n = 2,988), which randomly compared 1-month DAPT followed by clopidogrel monotherapy with 12-month DAPT with aspirin and clopidogrel after cobalt-chromium everolimus-eluting stent implantation. The primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular (cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, definite stent thrombosis, or stroke) or bleeding (TIMI [Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction] major or minor) endpoints at 1 year.ResultsThere were 2,030 patients with diabetes (33.8%) and 3967 patients without diabetes (66.2%). Regardless of diabetes, the risk of 1-month DAPT relative to 12-month DAPT was not significant for the primary endpoint (diabetes, 3.58% vs 4.12% [HR: 0.87; 95% CI: 0.56-1.37; P = 0.55]; nondiabetes, 2.46% vs 2.49% [HR: 0.99; 95% CI: 0.67-1.48; P = 0.97]; P_interaction = 0.67) and for the cardiovascular endpoint (diabetes, 3.28% vs 3.05% [HR: 1.10; 95% CI: 0.67-1.81; P = 0.70]; nondiabetes, 1.95% vs 1.43% [HR: 1.38; 95% CI: 0.85-2.25; P = 0.20]; P_interaction = 0.52), while it was lower for the bleeding endpoint (diabetes, 0.30% vs 1.50% [HR: 0.20; 95% CI: 0.06-0.68; P = 0.01]; nondiabetes, 0.61% vs 1.21% [HR: 0.51; 95% CI: 0.25-1.01; P = 0.054]; P_interaction = 0.19).ConclusionsClopidogrel monotherapy after 1-month DAPT compared with 12-month DAPT reduced major bleeding events without an increase in cardiovascular events regardless of diabetes, although the findings should be considered as hypothesis generating, especially in patients with acute coronary syndrome, because of the inconclusive result in the STOPDAPT-2 ACS trial. (Short and Optimal Duration of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy After Everolimus-Eluting Cobalt-Chromium Stent–2 [STOPDAPT-2], NCT02619760; Short and Optimal Duration of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy After Everolimus-Eluting Cobalt-Chromium Stent–2 for the Patients With ACS [STOPDAPT-2 ACS], NCT03462498)     

Prognostic Value of Elevated Serum Ceruloplasmin Levels in Patients With Heart Failure

BackgroundCeruloplasmin (Cp) is a copper-binding acute-phase protein that is increased in inflammatory states and deficient in Wilson's disease. Recent studies demonstrate that increased levels of Cp are associated with increased risk of developing heart failure. Our objective was to test the hypothesis that serum Cp provides incremental and independent prediction of survival in stable patients with heart failure.Methods and ResultsWe measured serum Cp levels in 890 patients with stable heart failure undergoing elective cardiac evaluation that included coronary angiography. We examined the role of Cp levels in predicting survival over 5 years of follow-up. Mean Cp level was 26.6 ± 6.9 mg/dL and demonstrated relatively weak correlation with B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP; r = 0.187; P < .001). Increased Cp levels were associated with increased 5-year all-cause mortality (quartile [Q] 4 vs Q1 hazard ratio [HR] 1.9, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4–2.8; P < .001). When controlled for coronary disease traditional risk factors, creatinine clearance, dialysis, body mass index, medications, history of myocardial infarction, BNP, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), heart rate, QRS duration, left bundle branch blockage, and implantable cardioverter-defibrillator placement, higher Cp remained an independent predictor of increased mortality (Q4 vs Q1 HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.1–2.6; P < .05). Model quality was improved with addition of Cp to the aforementioned covariables (net reclassification improvement of 9.3%; P < .001).ConclusionsCeruloplasmin is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with heart failure. Measurement of Cp may help to identify patients at heightened mortality risk.     

Predicted and Observed Mortality at 10 Years in Patients With Bifurcation Lesions in the SYNTAX Trial

BackgroundPercutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) of bifurcation lesions is associated with higher rates of adverse events, and currently it is unclear whether PCI or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is the safer treatment for these patients at very long-term follow-up.ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to investigate the impact of bifurcation lesions on individual predicted and observed all-cause 10-year mortality in the SYNTAX (Synergy Between PCI With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) trial.MethodsIn the SYNTAXES (SYNTAX Extended Survival) study, 10-year observed and individual predicted mortality derived from the SYNTAX score 2020 (SS-2020) was compared between patients with ≥1 bifurcation (n = 1,300) and those with no bifurcations (n = 487).ResultsAmong patients treated with PCI, patients with >1 bifurcation lesion compared with those without bifurcation lesions had a significantly higher risk for all-cause death (19.8% vs 30.1%; HR: 1.55; 95% CI: 1.12-2.14; P = 0.007), whereas following CABG, mortality was similar in patients with and those without bifurcation lesions (23.3% vs 23.0%; HR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.59-1.12; P = 0.207; P_interaction = 0.006). In PCI patients, a 2-stent vs a 1-stent technique was associated with higher mortality (33.3% vs 25.9%; HR: 1.51; 95% CI: 1.06-2.14; P = 0.021). According to the SS-2020, among those with ≥1 bifurcation, there was equipoise for all-cause mortality between PCI and CABG in 2 quartiles of the population, whereas CABG was superior to PCI in the 2 remaining quartiles.ConclusionsBifurcation lesions require special attention from the heart team, considering the higher 10-year all-cause mortality associated with PCI. Careful evaluation of bifurcation lesion complexity and calculation of individualized 10-year prognosis using the SS-2020 may therefore be helpful in decision making. (Synergy Between PCI With TAXUS and Cardiac Surgery: SYNTAX Extended Survival [SYNTAXES], NCT03417050; Taxus Drug-Eluting Stent Versus Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery for the Treatment of Narrowed Arteries [SYNTAX], NCT00114972)     

Hyponatremia and long-term outcomes in chronic heart failure--an observational study from the Duke Databank for Cardiovascular Diseases

BackgroundHyponatremia is a well known predictor of short-term outcomes in heart failure (HF); however, its impact on long-term survival in HF patients with systolic dysfunction is not well established.Methods and ResultsUsing the Duke Databank for Cardiovascular Diseases, we identified 1,045 patients with HF and systolic dysfunction undergoing cardiac catheterization from January 2000 through December 2008. The effect of hyponatremia as independent predictor of all-cause death and cardiovascular death/rehospitalization was examined using a multivariable Cox proportional regression model. Hyponatremia was present in 107/1,045 patients (10.2%). Hyponatremic patients were older, more likely to be anemic, with higher heart rate and levels of blood urea nitrogen, lower blood pressure, and more severe HF. Using an unadjusted analysis, hyponatremia was associated with higher risk of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] 1.89, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.44–2.49; P < .0001) and of cardiovascular death/rehospitalization (HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.11–1.77; P = .005) at 4.5 years. When entered into a multivariable Cox model, hyponatremia remained significant for all-cause death (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.07–1.88) and for cardiovascular death/rehospitalization (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.14–1.86).ConclusionsHyponatremia is relatively common in HF patients with LV dysfunction and is independently associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality/rehospitalization.     

Prior History of Falls and Risk of Outcomes in Atrial Fibrillation: The Loire Valley Atrial Fibrillation Project

BackgroundPatients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation are often denied oral anticoagulation due to falls risk. The latter is variably defined, and existing studies have not compared the associated risk of bleeding with other cardiovascular events. There are no data about outcomes in individuals with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation with a prior history of (actual) falls, rather than being “at risk of falls.” Our objective was to evaluate the risk of cardiovascular outcomes associated with prior history of falls in patients with atrial fibrillation in a contemporary “real world” cohort.MethodsPatients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation in a 4-hospital institution between 2000 and 2010 were included. Stroke/thromboembolism event rates were calculated according to prior history of falls. Risk factors were investigated by Cox regression.ResultsAmong 7156 atrial fibrillation patients, prior history of falls/trauma was uncommon (n = 76; 1.1%). Compared with patients without history of falls, those patients were older and less likely to be on oral anticoagulation; they also had higher risk scores for stroke/thromboembolism but not for bleeding. Compared with no prior history of falls, rates of stroke/thromboembolism (P = .01) and all-cause mortality (P < .0001) were significantly higher in patients with previous falls. In multivariable analyses, prior history of falls was independently associated with stroke/thromboembolism (hazard ratio [HR] 5.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1-12.6; P < .0001), major bleeding (HR 3.32 [1.23-8.91]; P = .02), and all-cause mortality (HR 3.69; 95% CI, 1.52-8.95; P = .04), but not hemorrhagic stroke (HR 4.20; 95% CI, 0.58-30.48; P = .16) in patients on oral anticoagulation.ConclusionIn this large “real world” atrial fibrillation cohort, prior history of falls was uncommon but independently increased risk of stroke/thromboembolism, bleeding, and mortality, but not hemorrhagic stroke in the presence of anticoagulation. Prior history of (actual) falls may be a more clinically useful risk prognosticator than “being at risk of falls.”     

Clinical implication of frailty assessment in older patients with atrial fibrillation

BackgroundWe aimed to show the frailty status in older AF patients, and to find the association between frailty and the scores of CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED. Ultimately, we sought to investigate the impact of frailty on cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in older AF patients.MethodsWe retrospectively evaluated 365 patients (≥65 years old) with AF, who underwent comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) between 2007 and 2014 in a single tertiary hospital. The CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED scores were calculated based on the electronic medical records and the frailty index was computed from the CGA data. The primary outcomes were cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.ResultsFrailty status was positively associated with the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (P < 0.001) and the HAS-BLED score (P = 0.01). Patients with high CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED scores were more likely to be treated with anticoagulants rather than antiplatelet agents. However, frailty status was not associated with antithrombotic therapy. During the follow-up period (median [interquartile range], 22.9 [8.4–42.2] months), 141 patients (38.6%) died, of which 48 were due to cardiovascular events. CHA₂DS₂-VASc score could predict cardiovascular mortality, but not all-cause mortality. In contrast, frailty status was the independent predictor for both cardiovascular and all-cause mortality after adjusting for possible confounders (hazard ratio for all-cause mortality, 4.549; 95% CI, 2.756–7.509; P < 0.001).ConclusionFrailty assessment can be used to predict mortality in older AF patients, and provides additional prognostic value, along with the CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED scores.     

Remnant cholesterol as a risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in incident peritoneal dialysis patients

Background and aimsRemnant cholesterol (RC) adversely contributes to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and overall survival in various diseases. However, its role in CVD outcomes and all-cause mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD) is limited. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the association between RC and all-cause and CVD mortality in patients undergoing PD.Methods and resultsBased on lipid profiles recorded using standard laboratory procedures, fasting RC levels were calculated in 2710 incident patients undergoing PD who were enrolled between January 2006 and December 2017 and followed up until December 2018. Patients were divided into four groups according to the quartile distribution of baseline RC levels (Q1: <0.40 mmol/L, Q2: 0.40 to <0.64 mmol/L, Q3: 0.64 to <1.03 mmol/L, and Q4: ≥1.03 mmol/L). Associations between RC and CVD and all-cause mortality were evaluated using multivariable Cox models. During the median follow-up period of 35.4 months (interquartile range, 20.9–57.2 months), 820 deaths were recorded, of which 438 were CVD-related. Smoothing plots showed non-linear relationships between RC and adverse outcomes. The risks of all-cause and CVD mortality increased progressively through the quartiles (log-rank, p < 0.001). Using adjusted proportional hazard models, a comparison of the highest (Q4) to lowest (Q1) quartiles revealed significant increases in the hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality (HR 1.95 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.51–2.51]) and CVD mortality risk (HR 2.60 [95% CI, 1.80–3.75]).ConclusionAn increased RC level was independently associated with all-cause and CVD mortality in patients undergoing PD, suggesting that RC was important clinically and required further research.     

Visit-to-visit variability in the measurements of metabolic syndrome components and the risk of all-cause mortality,cardiovascular disease,and arterial stiffness

Background and aimsThe risk of adverse health conditions varied according to the number of metabolic syndrome components. We aimed to evaluate the risk of mortality and incident cardiovascular events according to the number of components with high variability.Methods and resultsA total of 43,737 Kailuan Study participants with ≥3 examinations of waist circumference, fasting blood glucose, systolic blood pressure, triglyceride, and high-density lipoprotein during 2006–2013 were included in the present study. Visit-to-visit variability in each parameter was defined by the intraindividual standard deviation across visits. High variability was defined as the highest quartile of variability. Participants were classified numerically according to the number of high-variability components (e.g., a score of 0 indicated no high-variability component). There were 1551 deaths during a median follow-up of 5.9 years, and 950 incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) cases during a median follow-up of 4.9 years. In the multivariable adjusted model, compared with participants with low variability for all components, participants with ≥3 high-variability components had significantly higher risks for all-cause mortality (hazards ratio [HR], 1.61; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 1.35–1.91) and incident CVD event (HR, 1.45; 95 % CI, 1.16–1.82). Additionally, participants with ≥3 high-variability components had increased odds of arterial stiffness, as measured by brachia-ankle pulse wave velocity (odds ratio [OR], 1.39; 95 % CI, 1.19–1.63).ConclusionsOur findings suggest that participants with at least three metabolic parameters with high variability experienced increased risk of CVD and all-cause mortality.