血液透析和腹膜透析患者生存比较

目的 比较血液透析和腹膜透析患者的生存情况,探讨影响透析患者生存的主要危险因素。 方法 研究对象为2005年1月1日至2008年12月31日期间新进入透析且年龄≥18岁患者,随访至2009年3月31日。应用Kaplan-Meier法、log-rank检验及Cox回归模型分析患者的生存资料。 结果 共460例透析患者入选,其中247例起始采用血透治疗,213例起始采用腹透治疗。两组患者的基线资料,包括开始透析年龄、体质量指数（BMI）、估算肾小球滤过率（eGFR）、平均动脉压、进入透析治疗前心脑血管事件、Charlson并发症指数（CCI）等的差异均无统计学意义。中位随访时间为17.9（0.25,51）个月。意向治疗分析结果中,Kaplan-Meier生存曲线显示血透总体生存率优于腹透（P ＜ 0.05,log-rank检验）;透析1年内两组生存率差异无统计学意义（P = 0.14）,而透析1年后腹透患者的生存率显著低于血透患者（P ＜ 0.05）。亚组分析结果显示,≥65岁的非糖尿病肾病血透组生存率显著高于腹透组（P ＜ 0.05）。Cox回归分析显示,经混杂因素调整后,两种透析方式本身对透析生存无明显影响（HR,HD：PD = 0.778,95%CI 0.483~1.254,P = 0.303）;而年龄（HR = 1.051,95%CI 1.030~1.073,P ＜ 0.01）、透前有脑血管意外史（HR = 2.032,95%CI 1.125~3.670,P ＜ 0.05）、透前CCI≥5（HR=2.592,95%CI 1.230~5.465,P ＜ 0.05）、前白蛋白（HR = 0.022,95%CI 0.001~0.768,P ＜ 0.05）为透析患者生存率的主要影响因素。 结论 透析龄≤1年的血透和腹透生存率无显著差异;透析龄>1年的血透患者生存率可能逐渐高于腹透患者。老年非糖尿病患者血透生存率可能高于腹透。年龄、透前脑血管意外史、透前CCI≥5为影响透析生存率的主要危险因素。     

Prognostic analysis of end-stage renal disease patients without diabetes mellitus receiving hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis

Objective To compare the prognosis of hemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD) in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients without diabetes mellitus and identify related influencing factors. Methods Patients who started hemodialysis with an arteriovenous graft or fistula or PD in the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 1, 2013 to February 1, 2019 were included. They were followed up until May 1, 2019. The patients were divided into HD group and PD group according to the initial dialysis modality. Kaplan-Meier method was used to obtain survival curves, the Cox regression model was used to evaluate influence factors for survival rates, and the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to eliminate influence of the confounders in the groups. Results There were 371 patients with maintenance dialysis enrolled in this study, including 113 cases (30.5%) in HD group and 258 cases (69.5%) in PD group. At baseline, the scores of standard mean difference (SMD) in age, body mass index (BMI), combined with cerebrovascular disease, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), blood potassium, plasma albumin and hemoglobin between the two groups were greater than 0.1. The score of SMD decreased after IPTW, and the most data were less than 0.1, which meant that the balance had been reached between the two groups. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the cumulative survival rates had no significant difference for all-cause death before using IPTW between the two groups (Log-rank χ2=0.094, P=0.759). After adjusting for confounders with IPTW, the Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the cumulative survival rates still had no significant difference for all-cause death between the two groups (Log-rank χ2=2.090, P=0.150). Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that there was no significant difference between HD and PD on survival rates in ESRD patients without diabetes mellitus for all-cause death (PD/HD, HR=1.171, 95%CI 0.426-3.223, P=0.760). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that there was no significant difference between HD and PD on survival rates in ESRD patients without diabetes mellitus (PD/HD, HR=1.460, 95%CI 0.515-4.144, P=0.477), and high plasma albumin (HR=0.893, 95%CI 0.813-0.981, P=0.019) was an independent protective factor for survival in ESRD patients without diabetes mellitus. There was still no significant difference between HD and PD on survival rates in ESRD patients without diabetes mellitus after using IPTW (PD/HD, HR=1.842, 95%CI 0.514-6.604, P=0.348). Conclusion The difference of cumulative survival rates between HD and PD is not significant in ESRD patients without diabetes mellitus.     

Comparison of cognitive function between patients with hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis

Objective To evaluate whether dialysis modality will affect cognitive function in dialysis population. Methods This was a cross-sectional study. Chronic dialysis patients in our center was screened from July 2013 to July 2014. All of the subjects received brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) examination and comprehensive cognitive function evaluation. Results A total of 189 chronic dialysis patients were enrolled in this study, 122 cases on hemodialysis (HD) and 67 cases on peritoneal dialysis (PD). There was no significant difference in age between HD and PD groups [(56.4±13.2) years vs (56.4±16.1) years, t=0.004, P=0.997]. The dialysis vintage and serum albumin of HD patients was higher than those of PD patients[58.0(16.8, 107.5) months vs 31.0(7.0, 67.0) months, Z=-3.490, P＜0.001; (39.6±3.9) g/L vs (35.3±3.8) g/L, t=7.328，P＜0.001, respectively]. The prevalence of cerebral small vessel diseases (CSVDs) was comparable between HD and PD groups (all P＞0.05). Compared with HD patients, PD patients presented a 11.90-fold risk of immediate memory impairment (95%CI 1.40-101.08, P=0.023) and a 6.18-fold risk of long-delayed memory impairment (95%CI 2.12-18.05, P=0.001). After adjusting for age, educational lever, dialysis vintage, serum creatinine, and CSVDs, the influence of dialysis modality on memory still worked. PD patients presented a 43% risk of executive function impairment of HD patients (OR=0.43, 95%CI 0.17-1.04, P=0.061). Conclusions HD patients manifested better memory than PD patients, while PD probably performed better in executive function than HD patients. There was no significant difference in language function between the two groups. The difference in cognitive function may not be related to CSVDs.     

Risk factors for mortality in diabetic peritoneal dialysis patients

Objective To investigate the risk factors of all-cause mortality in diabetic patients on peritoneal dialysis (PD). Methods As a single-center retrospective cohort study, all incident PD patients who were catheterized at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University between November 1, 2005 and February 28, 2017 were included. Patients were divided into diabetes mellitus group (DM group) and non-diabetes mellitus group (NDM group). Outcomes were analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to assess the risk factors of all-cause mortality. Results A total of 977 patients were enrolled. Compared with NDM group, patients in DM group were older (47.5±14.4 vs 59.3±11.3, P＜0.01), had more cardiovascular disease (CVD) (7.5% vs 20.3%, P＜0.01), higher levels of serum hemoglobin (78.2±17.2 vs 82.3±14.6 g/L, P＜0.01) , and lower levels of serum albumin (36.1±5.0 vs 32.7±5.6 g/L, P＜0.01). The one-, three- and five-year patient survival rates of DM and NDM group were 89.7%, 56.0%, 31.9% and 94.7%, 81.3%, 67.4%, respectively.Survival rate was significantly lower in DM group than in NDM group ( χ2=63.51, P＜0.01). Stratified analysis showed that DM group had significant lower survival rate than NDM group in patients younger than 70 years old ( χ2= 73.35, P＜0.01), while survival rate was similar between the two groups patients older than 70 years old ( χ2= 0.003, P=0.96). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model analysis showed that DM (HR: 1.74, 95%CI: 1.27-2.38, P＜0.01), age (HR: 1.05, 95%CI: 1.04-1.06, P＜0.01), leukocyte (HR: 1.06, 95%CI: 1.00-1.12, P=0.04) and triglyceride (HR: 1.19, 95%CI: 1.07-1.32, P＜0.01) were all independent risk factors for all-cause mortality of PD patients. However, age (HR: 1.05, 95%CI: 1.04-1.07, P＜0.01) and alkaline phosphatase (HR: 1.01, 95%CI: 1.00-1.01, P=0.02) were independent risk factors for all-cause mortality of diabetic patients. Conclusions Long-term survival rate was lower in diabetic PD patients than in non-diabetic PD patients. DM, age, leukocyte and triglyceride were independent risk factors of mortality in PD patients. Age and alkaline phosphatase were independent risk factors of mortality in diabetic patients.     

Effects of timing of dialysis initiation on the prognosis of peritoneal dialysis patients: a retrospective cohort study

Objective To analyze the effects of dialysis therapy initiation on the prognosis of peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. Methods PD patients who were newly catheterization and long-term followed-up in Peking University Shenzhen Hospital from January 1, 2012 to March 25, 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the estimate glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at the time of patients catheterization, the patients were divided into early-dialysis group [eGFR＞5.5 ml?min-1?(1.73 m2)-1] and late-dialysis group [eGFR≤5.5 ml?min-1?(1.73 m2)-1]. The endpoint events were transferred to other renal replacement therapy (such as hemodialysis, kidney transplantation) or death. Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw survival curve, and log-rank test was used to compare the difference of survival rate between the two groups. Cox proportional hazard model was used to analyze the influencing factors of all-cause death and technical death in PD patients. Results A total of 342 PD patients were enrolled in this study, and there were 165 cases and 177 cases in the early-dialysis and the late-dialysis group respectively. Compared with the early-dialysis group, the proportion of patients with diabetes and men, and the level of hemoglobin, serum calcium and CO2 binding capacity in the late-dialysis group were lower, while the incidence of hypertension, serum phosphorus, blood uric acid and blood urea nitrogen level were higher in the late-dialysis group (all P＜0.05). The median follow-up time was 33(16, 57) months. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the cumulative survival rate of late-dialysis group was significantly higher than that of early-dialysis group (Log-rank χ2=12.004, P＜0.001). After adjusting for gender, age of catheterization, body mass index (BMI), diabetes mellitus and hypertension, the risk ratio of all-cause death in the early-dialysis group was 1.950 times higher than that in the late-dialysis group (HR=1.950, 95%CI 1.019-3.730, P=0.044). Subgroup analysis showed that the timing of dialysis and the risk of end-point events were not affected by BMI, diabetes stratification and other factors (interactive P＞0.05), but there was interaction between dialysis time and catheter age (interactive P＜0.05). According to the age of catheterization, the risk of all-cause death were higher in the early dialysis group at a young age (≤48 years old) (HR=21.287, 95%CI 2.609-173.665, P=0.004). Conclusions The mortality rate of PD patients is higher in early-dialysis group, which is independent of gender, age, BMI, diabetes and hypertension. The difference is more distinct in low age group.     

Analysis of early mortality and related risk factors in maintenance hemodialysis patients

Objective To analyze the early mortality and related risk factors of new hemodialysis patients in Zhejiang province, and provide basis for reducing the death risk of hemodialysis patients. Methods The early mortality and related factors of new hemodialysis patients from January 1, 2010 to June 30, 2018 were retrospectively analyzed using the database of Zhejiang province hemodialysis registration. The early mortality was defined as death within 90 days of dialysis. Cox regression model was used to analyze the related risk factors of the early mortality in hemodialysis patients. Results The mortality was the highest in the first month after dialysis (46.40/100 person year), and gradually stabilized after three months. The early mortality was 25.33/100 person year. The mortality within 120 days and 360 days were 21.40/100 person year and 11.37/100 person year, respectively. The elderly (≥65 years old, HR=1.981, 95%CI 1.319-2.977, P＜0.001), primary tumor (HR=3.308, 95%CI 1.137-5.624, P=0.028), combined with tumors (not including the primary tumor, HR=2.327, 95%CI 1.200-4.513, P=0.012), temporary catheter (the initial dialysis pathway, HR=3.632, 95%CI 1.806-7.307, P＜0.001), lower albumin (＜30 g/L, HR=2.181, 95%CI 1.459-3.260, P＜0.001), lower hemoglobin (every 0.01 g/L increase, HR=0.861, 95%CI 0.793-0.935, P=0.001), lower high density lipoprotein (＜0.7 mmol/L, HR=1.796, 95%CI 1.068-3.019, P=0.027) and higher C reactive protein (≥40 mg/L, HR=1.889, 95%CI 1.185-3.012, P=0.008) were the risk factors of early death for hemodialysis patients. Conclusions The early mortality of hemodialysis patients is high after dialysis, and gradually stable after 3 months. The elderly, primary tumor, combined with tumors, the initial dialysis pathway, lower albumin, lower hemoglobin, lower high density lipoprotein and higher C reactive protein are the risk factors of early death for hemodialysis patients.     

Effects of serum uric acid level on all-cause death and cardiovascular death in patients of maintaining peritoneal dialysis

Objective To investigate the effects of serum uric acid (SUA) on all-cause death and cardiovascular death in patients of maintaining peritoneal dialysis (PD). Methods One thousand and sixty-three PD patients in the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University Medical College were included. The SUA levels at 6 months after PD start were measured. Patients with SUA≥420 μmol/L were grouped in hyperuricemia group (492 cases) and patients with SUA＜420 μmol/L were grouped in normal uric acid group (571 cases). The effects on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality were retrospectively analyzed. Results The median age of the patients was 51(41, 62) years; 557 cases were male (52.40%); the median follow-up time was 33(20, 54) months (6-96 months); 167 cases (15.71%) died during the follow-up period, including 64 cases (6.02%) with cardiovascular causes. The mortality in hyperuricemia group was 19.11%(94/492) and the cardiovascular mortality was 7.93%(39/492), both rates were higher than those in normal uric acid group, and the differences were statistically significant (P=0.005, P=0.015, respectively). Hyperuricemia (SUA≥420 μmol/L) at 6 months after PD start (HR=1.572, 95%CI 1.155-2.141, P=0.004), high uric acid level (continuous variable) at 6 months after PD start (HR=1.002, 95%CI 1.001-1.004, P=0.008), and age≥65 years (HR=3.571, 95%CI 2.556-4.990, P＜0.001), serum albumin≤30 g/L (HR=1.907, 95%CI 1.278-2.845, P=0.002), high Charlson comorbidity index (HR=1.209, 95%CI 1.032-1.417, P=0.019) at the beginning of PD start were independent risk factors for all-causes death in PD patients. Hyperuricemia (SUA≥420 μmol/L) at 6 months after PD start (HR=1.734, 95%CI 1.033-2.912, P=0.037) and age≥65 years (HR=1.761, 95%CI 1.024-3.209, P=0.041), with diabetes (HR=2.775, 95%CI 1.358-5.671, P=0.005) at the beginning of PD start were independent risk factors for cardiovascular death in PD patients. Conclusions SUA at 6 months after PD is an independent risk factor for all-cause death and cardiovascular death in PD patients.     

Association between body-mass index and survival in peritoneal dialysis patients

Objective To evaluate the association between body-mass index and prognosis in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. Methods In this observational study of a single nephrology unit in Shanghai East Hospital, 81 incident continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis(CAPD) patients were included from Jan 2008 to Dec 2013, whom were followed-up by 36 months or until death. The patients were classified as underweight (BMI＜18.5kg/m2); normal weight (18.5～23.9kg/m2); overweight (24～27.9kg/m2) and obese (BMI≥28kg/m2). The patients and technique survival rates were estimated by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to elucidate relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality and technique failure in PD patients. Results The overall survival rate was similar between normal and overweight groups (P=0.96), but significantly lower in underweight group and obese group (P＜0.01 respectively). The overall technical survival rate of obese group was lower compare with normal group (P＜0.01). The main cause of technical failure was peritonitis (81.3%). BMI was positively correlated with albumin (r=0.24, P＜0.05), hemoglobin (r=0.56, P＜0.01), glucose(r=0.23, P＜0.05) and cholesterol (r=0.41, P＜0.01), but negatively correlated with Kt/V (r=-0.36, P＜0.01) and Ccr(r=-0.34, P＜0.01). In adjusted Cox proportional hazard mode 3, obese was independently associated with all-cause mortality (HR: 5.93, 95%CI: 1.10～31.79). Obese and peritonitis were independently associated with technical failure (HR: 10.33, 95%CI: 1.04～78.02 and HR: 2.74, 95%CI: 1.17～6.40 respectively). Conclusions Underweight and obese CAPD patients have poorer outcome. Obese CAPD patients also have lower technical survival rate. Obesity was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality in CAPD patients.     

Association between metabolic syndrome and prognosis in patients with peritoneal dialysis

Objective To investigate the incidence situation of metabolic syndrome (MS) in patients with continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD), and analyze the correlation between MS and prognosis of patients. Methods The patients who received peritoneal dialysis from June 1, 2002 to April 30, 2018 and followed up regularly were divided into MS group and non-MS group according to the diagnostic criteria of MS. Follow-up was until July 31, 2018. The differences of clinical data, metabolic indexes and clinical outcomes between the two groups were compared. The survival rates of the two groups were compared by Kaplan-Meier survival curve, and the risk factors of all-cause death and cardiovascular disease (CVD) death were analyzed by Cox regression analysis. Results A total of 516 patients with CAPD were enrolled in this study, including 340 males (65.9%) and 176 females (34.1%). Their age was (47.29±12.20) years. The median follow-up time was 20 (9, 39) months. According to the diagnostic criteria of MS, the patients were divided into MS group (210 cases, 40.7%) and non-MS group (306 cases, 59.3%). At baseline, there was no significant difference in age, educational background, duration of peritoneal dialysis, smoking history and drinking history between the two groups (P＞0.05), but the patients in MS group were more exposed to high glucose peritoneal dialysate (P＜0.05). The body mass index (BMI), blood phosphorus, blood glucose, blood potassium, triglyceride, cholesterol and systolic blood pressure in MS group were significantly higher than those in non-MS group (all P＜0.05), and HDL-C level was significantly lower in MS group than in non-MS group (P＜0.05). There were no significant differences in other indicators between the two groups (P＞0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the cumulative survival rate in MS group was significantly lower than that in non-MS group, and the difference was statistically significant (Log-rank χ2=14.87, P＜0.001). If CVD death was taken as the end event, the cumulative survival rate in the non-MS group was significantly higher than that in the MS group (Log-rank χ2=14.49, P＜0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that MS and high 4 h dialysate creatinine/serum creatinine ratio (4hD/Pcr) were independent risk factor for all-cause death (HR=1.982, 95%CI 1.240-3.168, P=0.004; HR=3.855, 95%CI 1.306-11.381, P=0.015) and CVD death (HR=2.499, 95%CI 1.444-4.324, P=0.001; HR=5.799, 95%CI 1.658-20.278, P=0.006) in patients with CAPD. Conclusion The prevalence of MS in patients with CAPD is high, and MS and high 4hD/Pcr are independent risk factor for all-cause and CVD death in CAPD patients. They can be used as valuable indicators to predict the treatment outcomes and long-term prognosis of patients with CAPD.     

High membrane transport status on peritoneal dialysis is not associated with reduced survival following transfer to haemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: High transporter status is associated with reduced survival of patients receiving peritoneal dialysis (PD). This may be due primarily to the development of complications related to the PD process, in which case the survival disadvantage may not persist following transfer to haemodialysis (HD). In this study, we aimed to assess the impact of peritoneal membrane transporter status on patient survival and the likelihood of return to PD following transfer from PD to HD. METHODS: The Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant (ANZDATA) Registry was searched to identify all patients between 1 April 1999 and 31 March 2004 who had received PD and subsequently transferred to HD, in whom an incident 4 h dialysate: plasma creatinine ratio was recorded. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify factors significantly associated with patient and technique survival after commencement of HD. RESULTS: A total of 918 patients were included in the analysis. On multivariate Cox regression analysis there was no difference in survival between transport groups relative to the reference group of low average transporters (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.71, 95% CI 0.42-1.19, P = 0.19, HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.63-1.38, P = 0.73 and HR 0.24, 95% CI 0.06-1.01, P = 0.051 for high, high average and low transporter groups, respectively). Significant predictors of mortality were duration of PD more than 22 months (HR 2.32, 95% CI 1.24-4.33, P = 0.01), increasing age, late referral to a nephrologist and a history of diabetes mellitus. The likelihood of returning to PD was increased if initial PD technique failure was due to mechanical complications compared with all other causes of failure [HR 3.65 (95% CI 2.78-4.79) P < 0.001] and decreased with higher body mass index [HR 0.97 per kg/m(2) (95% CI 0.94-0.99), P = 0.01] and the 4 h dialysate: plasma creatinine ratio considered as a continuous variable [4 h D:P Cr; HR 0.32 per unit (95% CI 0.12-0.89), P = 0.03]. CONCLUSIONS: The survival disadvantage associated with high peritoneal membrane transport status during PD treatment does not persist following transfer to HD. Early transfer to HD may be beneficial in this patient group.     

Development and validation of a prognostic model for survival in peritoneal dialysis patients

Objective To develop and validate a nomogram for predicting the 1-and 3-year survival rates of patients receiving peritoneal dialysis. Methods Patients who underwent peritoneal dialysis for the first time in Zhujiang hospital from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2017 were enrolled. The patients from January 1, 2014 to December 31, 2017 were enrolled in a training dataset. Baseline clinical data were collected and the primary endpoint was all-cause death. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to analyze risk factors affecting the survival rates. Nomograms were generated using the R rms package. The Harrell' concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve were used to verify the performance of the model. Patients who underwent peritoneal dialysis from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2013 were then selected to validate the external predictive accuracy of the prediction models. Results The prediction cohort enrolled 457 patients, with a median follow-up time of 27.67(18.37, 39.22) months, and 64 patients (14.00%) died during follow-up. The 1-and 3-year cumulative survival rates were 96.4% and 83.0%. Multivariate analysis showed that aging (every 1 year old increase, HR=1.07, 95%CI 1.04-1.09, P﹤0.001), stroke (HR=3.63, 95%CI 1.93-6.85, P﹤0.001), higher cholesterol (every 1 mmol/L increase, HR=1.51, 95%CI 1.20-1.89, P﹤0.001), higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (every 1 increase, HR=1.12, 95%CI 1.05-1.20, P=0.001), and lower albumin (HR=0.89, 95%CI 0.82-0.95, P=0.001) were independent risk factors affecting the survival rates of PD patients. The C-index of the prediction cohort and the validation cohort were 0.815(95%CI 0.765-0.865) and 0.804(95%CI 0.744-0.864, respectively). Both internally and externally verified calibration curves showed that the predicted results were close to the actual survival rates. Conclusion Based on age, blood total cholesterol level, stroke history, and NLR, the prognosis prediction model of peritoneal dialysis patients established with nomogram can help predict the 1-year and 3-year survival rates of peritoneal dialysis patients.     

Relationship between coronary artery calcification and outcomes in maintenance hemodialysis patients

Objective To evaluate the relationship between coronary artery calcification (CAC) and outcomes in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients. Methods Eighty-six patients who were on MHD between October 2014 and May 2015 in the blood purification center of our hospital were enrolled prospectively. CAC was measured and scored by multiple slice computed tomography (MSCT). According to the CAC score (CACs), the patients were divided into mild CAC (CACs＜100) group and severe CAC (CACs≥100) group. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to analyze the survival rates of the two groups, and a COX proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate the risk factors of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality in MHD patients. Results Severe CAC (CACs≥100) was present in 62.8% (54/86) patients. The median of follow-up duration was 28.9(23.8, 29.4) months. During the follow up, 2(6.3%) patients in CACs＜100 group and 18 (33.3%) patients in CACs≥100 group died. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated that patients in CACs≥100 group had higher all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality as compared with patients in CACs＜100 group (P=0.007, P=0.030). Multivariate COX regression analysis demonstrated that CACs≥100 (HR=7.687, 95%CI 1.697-34.819, P=0.008) and low single-pool Kt/V (HR=0.092, 95%CI 0.020-0.421, P=0.002) were independent risk factors for all-cause mortality. Old age (HR=1.192, 95%CI 1.100-1.291, P＜0.001), short duration of dialysis (HR=0.598, 95%CI 0.445-0.804, P=0.001), low 25-hydroxy vitamin D3 (HR=0.461, 95%CI 0.326-0.630, P＜0.001), and low total cholesterol (HR=0.405, 95%CI 0.213-0.772, P=0.006) were independent risk factors for cardiovascular disease mortality. Conclusions The CACs is significantly related with overall survival in MHD patients. Large multicenter prospective studies are to be evaluated the association between CACs and long-term survival in MHD patients.     

Long-term survival analysis of the elderly peritoneal dialysis patients

Objective To analyze the clinical data of the elderly peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients in Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH), and to find the risk factors for the long-term survival. Methods Baseline data and the outcome of maintenance PD patients from 1996-03 to 2015-09-30 were collected for a retrospective cohort study. Patients were divided into the non-elderly group (＜65 years old), the 65-79 years old group and the ≥80 years old group, and were follow to 2016-09-30. The survival rate was calculated by Kaplan-Meier method and the risk factors of outcome were analyzed by the Cox's regression model. Results Among 577 PD patients, about 243(42.1%) were elderly patients, including 207 patients aged between 65 and 79 years (35.9%) and 36 patients aged 80 or more (6.2%). The most common primary disease causing PD was diabetic nephropathy (DN) for both elderly and non-elderly patients. The 1-year, 3-year, 5-year survival rate of patients aged between 65 and 79 years were 87.0%, 61.9%, 32.4% respectively, and 72.5%, 48.5%, 27.3% for the ≥80 years old group. The dominating reasons of death were cardiovascular events and infection. There was no difference of technical survival rates among three groups, and the most common reason for technical failure was peritonitis. For elderly patients, diabetes (HR=2.193, 95%CI 1.445-3.328, P＜0.001) and lower baseline serum albumin (HR=0.968, 95%CI 0.940-0.996, P=0.026) were independent risk factors for death. However, for non-elderly patients, diabetes (HR=3.746, 95%CI 2.149-6.529, P＜0.001) was the only independent risk factor for death. Conclusions Cardiovascular diseases and infection are the main reasons for death among the elderly PD patients in PUMCH. Diabetes and lower baseline serum albumin may predict the mortality of elderly PD patients independently. Better management of nutrition might improve survival in elderly PD patients.     

Clinical features and treatment outcomes of early-onset peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis: a multi-center retrospective study

Objective To explore the clinical characteristics and treatment outcomes of early-onset peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis (EOP). Methods Clinical data of patients with peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis (PDAP) from 2013 to 2018 in four tertiary hospitals of Jilin province were collected retrospectively. According to whether the dialysis time of the first PDAP was ≤12 months or not, the subjects were divided into EOP group (≤12 months) and late-onset PDAP (LOP) group (＞12 months) , and clinical data, pathogenic bacteria, treatment outcomes of PDAP and prognosis of two groups were compared. Results A total of 575 patients were included, including 314 patients in the EOP group, with age of (56.53±15.57) years and 152 females (48.4%), and 261 patients in the LOP group, with age of (56.61±14.42) years old and 144 females (55.2%). Compared with LOP group, the proportion of pathogenic bacteria culture-negative in EOP group was higher and the proportion of streptococcal infection was lower (both P＜0.05). The initial treatment efficiency and cure rate of EOP group were higher than that of LOP group, while the extubation rate was lower than that of LOP group (all P＜0.05). Multivariate logistic analysis indicated that the cure rate of EOP was 79% higher than that of LOP (OR=1.79, 95%CI 1.13-2.82, P=0.012), and the extubation rate of EOP was 68% lower than that of LOP (OR=0.32, 95%CI 0.15-0.66, P=0.002). Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the cumulative rates of multiple PDAP, technical failure, all-cause death, and composite end points (technical failure or all-cause death) in EOP group were higher than those in LOP group (P≤0.001). After correcting for confounding factors by multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression, the risk of multiple PDAP, technical failure, all-cause death, and composite endpoint (technical failure or all-cause death) in EOP group was 2.02 times (HR=2.02, 95%CI 1.26-3.24, P=0.004), 2.53 times (HR=2.53, 95%CI 1.58-4.05, P＜0.001), 2.66 times (HR=2.66, 95%CI 1.70-4.16, P＜0.001) and 2.48 times (HR=2.48, 95%CI 1.78-3.43, P＜0.001) of LOP group respectively. Conclusion The treatment outcome of the first PDAP of EOP patients is good, but the long-term prognosis is poor.     

Serum phosphorus variation is associated with mortality in maintenance hemodialysis patients

Objective To investigate the relationship between serum phosphorus variability and mortality in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients. Methods A total of 502 MHD cases from Renji hospital hemodialysis center were registered in Shanghai Registry Network from January 2007 to April 2015. They were recruited with general information, laboratory results and outcomes. According to their median of coefficient of variation (CV) of blood phosphorus, the patients were divided into high variation group (CV≥0.226 mmol/L) and low variation group (CV＜0.226 mmol/L). The relationship of serum phosphorus CV with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality was assessed respectively. Results The average age was (63.9±14.6) years, the median dialysis age was 82.0 (43.0, 139.0) months, 118 patients (23.5%) died for all cause and 64 patients (12.7%) died for cardiovascular disease. Compared with patients in low phosphorus variation group, patients had a higher all-cause mortality in high phosphorus variation group (27.7% vs 19.3%, P=0.028). Higher cardiovascular disease mortality was observed in high variation group as well, but this difference was no statistical significant (15.4% vs 10.0%, P=0.082). COX regression analysis showed that ＞60 years of age (HR=2.762, 95%CI 1.707-4.468, P＜0.001), low hemoglobin (HR=0.466, 95%CI 0.317-0.686, P＜0.001), low albumin (HR=0.555, 95%CI 0.366-0.840, P=0.005), high CV of phosphorus (HR=1.479, 95%CI 1.023-2.139, P=0.037) were independent risk factors for all-cause mortality. Moreover, ＞60 years of age (HR=2.666, 95%CI 1.469-4.837, P=0.001), low hemoglobin (HR=0.480, 95%CI 0.238-0.801, P=0.005), and high CV of phosphorus (HR=1.655, 95%CI 1.003-2.729, P=0.049) were independent risk factors for cardiovascular disease mortality. There was no significant statistical difference between patients phosphorus on target and patients phosphorus below target in all-cause disease mortality (P=0.065) and cardiovascular disease mortality (P=0.425). High variation group whose phosphorus on target had higher all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality than those in low variation group (29.2% vs 16.9%, P=0.047; 15.0% vs 6.0%, P=0.033). Kaplan-Meier method showed that patients with high phosphorus variation had higher all-cause (P=0.023) and cardiovascular disease mortality (P=0.047) than patients with low phosphorus variation. Conclusions The high CV of phosphorus is independently correlated with all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality. Patients with standard-reaching phosphorus in the low variation group have a lower mortality. A serum phosphorus level sustainably reaching the standard may improve the survival in MHD patients.     

Long-term outcomes of peritoneal dialysis patients with diabetes as a comorbid condition

Objective To investigate the long-term outcomes of peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients with diabetes as a comorbid condition. Methods All diabetic patients who commenced PD between January 1, 1995 and June 30, 2012 at Ren Ji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine were included in the present study. Patients were divided into diabetic kidney disease group (DKD group) and non-diabetic kidney disease group (NDKD group) according to their diagnosis of primary renal disease at the initiation of PD. They were followed until death, cessation of PD, transferred to other centers or to the end of study (June 30, 2013). Outcomes were analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to determine the predictors of outcomes. Results A total of 163 diabetic patients were enrolled in the study. Compared with patients in DKD group, patients in NDKD group had a significantly lower fasting plasma glucose, a higher serum C-reactive protein level, a higher normalized protein nitrogen appearance, a lower dialysate glucose exposure, a lower peritoneal creatinine clearance and were treated with lower dialysate dose (all P＜0.05). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients in NDKD group had a worse patient survive compared to those in DKD group (log rank Chi-square=4.830, P=0.028). Patients in NDKD group had a marginally shorter peritonitis-free period (log rank Chi-square=3.297, P=0.069), however, there was no significant difference in technique survival between these two groups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that older age (HR 1.047, 95%CI 1.022~1.073, P＜0.001) and cardiovascular disease comorbidity (HR 2.200, 95%CI 0.1.269~3.814, P=0.005) and diabetes as a comorbid condition (HR 1.806, 95%CI 1.003~3.158, P=0.038) were the independent predictors for increased mortality. While higher serum C-reactive protein level (HR 1.023, 95% CI 1.008~1.036, P=0.003) was the independent predictor for shorter peritonitis-free period. Conclusion PD patients with diabetes as a comorbid condition had a higher mortality compared to those with diabetic kidney disease, and closer monitoring and extra attention in the former subgroup of patients are therefore warranted.     

Dialysis outcomes in Colombia (DOC) study: a comparison of patient survival on peritoneal dialysis vs hemodialysis in Colombia

The goal of the Dialysis Outcomes in Colombia (DOC) study was to compare the survival of patients on hemodialysis (HD) vs peritoneal dialysis (PD) in a network of renal units in Colombia. The DOC study examined a historical cohort of incident patients starting dialysis therapy between 1 January 2001 and 1 December 2003 and followed until 1 December 2005, measuring demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical variables. Only patients older than 18 years were included. As-treated and intention-to-treat statistical analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard model. There were 1094 eligible patients in total and 923 were actually enrolled: 47.3% started HD therapy and 52.7% started PD therapy. Of the patients studied, 751 (81.3%) remained in their initial therapy until the end of the follow-up period, death, or censorship. Age, sex, weight, height, body mass index, creatinine, calcium, and Subjective Global Assessment (SGA) variables did not show statistically significant differences between the two treatment groups. Diabetes, socioeconomic level, educational level, phosphorus, Charlson Co-morbidity Index, and cardiovascular history did show a difference, and were less favorable for patients on PD. Residual renal function was greater for PD patients. Also, there were differences in the median survival time between groups: 27.2 months for PD vs 23.1 months for HD (P=0.001) by the intention-to-treat approach; and 24.5 months for PD vs 16.7 months for HD (P<0.001) by the as-treated approach. When performing univariate Cox analyses using the intention-to-treat approach, associations were with age > or =65 years (hazard ratio (HR)=2.21; confidence interval (CI) 95% (1.77-2.755); P<0.001); history of cardiovascular disease (HR=1.96; CI 95% (1.58-2.90); P<0.001); diabetes (HR=2.34; CI 95% (1.88-2.90); P<0.001); and SGA (mild or moderate-severe malnutrition) (HR=1.47; CI 95% (1.17-1.79); P=0.001); but no association was found with gender (HR=1.03, CI 95% 0.83-1.27; P=0.786). Similar results were found with the as-treated approach, with additional associations found with Charlson Index (0-2) (HR=0.29; Cl 95% (0.22-0.38); P<0.001); Charlson Index (3-4) (HR=0.61; Cl 95% (0.48-0.79); P<0.001); and SGA (mild-severe malnutrition) (HR=1.43; Cl 95% (1.15-1.77); P<0.001). Similarly, the multivariate Cox model was run with the variables that had shown association in previous analyses, and it was found that the variables explaining the survival of patients with end-stage renal disease in our study were age, SGA, Charlson Comorbidity Index 5 and above, diabetes, healthcare regimes I and II, and socioeconomic level 2. The results of Cox proportional risk model in both the as-treated and intention-to-treat analyses showed that there were no statistically significant differences in survival of PD and HD patients: intention-to-treat HD/PD (HR 1.127; CI 95%: 0.855-1.484) and as-treated HD/PD (HR 1.231; CI 95%: 0.976-1.553). In this historical cohort of incident patients, there was a trend, although not statistically significant, for a higher (12.7%) adjusted mortality risk associated with HD when compared to PD, even though the PD patients were poorer, were more likely to be diabetic, and had higher co-morbidity scores than the HD patients. The variables that most influenced survival were age, diabetes, comorbidity, healthcare regime, socioeconomic level, nutrition, and education.     

The risk factors of mortality in peritoneal dialysis patients in different periods

Objective To explore the risk factors and characteristics in patients with peritoneal dialysis who died in different periods. Methods The clinical data of new peritoneal dialysis patients in the Department of Nephrology and Peritoneal Dialysis Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University from November 1, 2005 to February 28, 2017 was retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into two groups according to the time of death: those who died within one year and died after one year. The risk factors of mortality between the two groups were analyzed by Cox regression model. Results A total of 997 patients were enrolled and 244 patients died. There were 69 patients (28.3%) died within one year and 175 patients (71.7%) died after one year. Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease was the dominating reason of death in both groups, accounting for 59.4% (died within one year group) and 51.4% (died after one year group) respectively. Cox regression analysis showed that for died within one year group, old age (HR=1.035, 95%CI: 1.016-1.055, P＜0.001), low blood total calcium (HR=0.167, 95%CI: 0.053-0.529, P=0.002), low albumin (HR=0.899, 95%CI: 0.856-0.943, P＜0.001) and low apolipoprotein A1 (HR=0.274, 95%CI: 0.095-0.789, P=0.016) were risk factors associated with mortality. However, for died after one year group, old age (HR=1.053, 95%CI: 1.038-1.069, P＜0.001), combined with diabetes (HR=2.181, 95%CI: 1.445-3.291, P＜0.001) and hypertriglyceride (HR=1.204, 95%CI: 1.065-1.362, P=0.003) were risk factors associated with mortality. Conclusions The risk factors of mortality for peritoneal dialysis patients of different periods were not exactly the same. For died within one year patients, old age, low blood total calcium, low albumin and low apolipoprotein A1 were independent risk factors for mortality.However, for died after one year patients, old age, combined with diabetes, and high triglycerides were independent risk factors for mortality.     

Effects of abdominal aortic calcification progression on outcomes in maintenance hemodialysis patients

Objective To investigate the effects of abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) progression on outcomes in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients. Methods Patients who were on MHD between Jun. 2014 and Oct. 2014 in the dialysis center of the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University and finished the AAC examination at baseline and two years later were included prospectively. The progression of AAC by AAC score (AACs) at baseline and two years later was evaluated. According to the change of AACs, the patients were divided into rapid AAC progression group and non-rapid AAC progression group. The effect of AAC progression on outcomes in MHD patients in the follow-up period was investigated. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare their survival rates. Multivariable Cox regression model was used to determine the risk factors of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular events. Results A total of 111 MHD patients were included, including 51 males and 60 females, aged (52.24±12.69) years. Baseline AAC prevalence was 45.9% (51/111), and median AACs was 0 (0, 5); After 2 years, the prevalence of AAC was 78.4% (87/111), and the median AACs was 6 (2, 11). There were 54 cases in the AAC rapid progression group (AACs change value＞2) and 57 cases in the non-rapid AAC progression group (AACs change value≤2). The median follow-up duration was 27.9(27.1, 28.0) months. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients in rapid AAC progression group had a higher risk of mortality as compared to patients in non-rapid AAC progression group (Log-rank χ2=5.695, P=0.017). Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that high baseline AACs (HR=1.135, 95%CI 1.001-1.286, P=0.048), hypoalbuminemia (HR=0.789, 95%CI 0.640-0.972, P=0.026) were independent risk factors for all-cause mortality in MHD patients. High baseline AACs (HR=1.187, 95%CI 1.038-1.356, P=0.012), low spKt/V (HR=0.103, 95%CI 0.013-0.801, P=0.030) were independent risk factors for cardiovascular mortality in MHD patients. Low spKt/V (HR=0.018, 95%CI 0.003-0.115, P＜0.001), hypoalbuminemia (HR=0.736, 95%CI 0.608-0.890, P=0.002) were independent risk factors for cardiovascular events in MHD patients. Conclusions Abdominal aortic calcification progression may increase the risk of cardiovascular events and death in MHD patients. Severity of AAC, adequacy of dialysis, and nutritional status are predictors of outcomes in MHD patients.     

Pathological classification and prognosis of renal damage caused by antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody associated vasculitis

Objective To analyze the pathological characteristics and prognostic factors of antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV). Methods A retrospective analysis of AAV patients with renal biopsy results admitted to Kidney Disease Center of the First Affiliated Hospital from January 2004 to February 2017 was performed. The patients were divided into 4 types according to Berden classification, and their clinical, pathological characteristics and prognosis were compared. The survival curves of each type of patients were plotted by Kaplan-Meier method, and the difference of survival curves was compared using Log-rank test. With entering the maintenance dialysis as the endpoint, Cox regression was used to analyze the prognostic factors. Results A total of 175 patients with AAV, including 59 cases (33.7%) of focal type, 39 cases (22.3%) of crescent type, 32 cases (18.3%) of sclerosis type, 45 cases (25.7%) of mixed type. The basal serum creatinine levels in crescent type group and sclerosis type group were significantly higher than those in the focal type group or mixed type group (all P＜0.05), and loop necrosis rate in sclerosis type group was significantly lower than chat in the focal type group or crescent type group (both P＜0.05). The median follow-up period was 11.8 (0.5-86.7) months. The event-free survival rates were 83.1%, 77.8%, 64.1% and 50.0% in the focal type, mixed type, crescent type and sclerotic type groups (Log-rank χ2=11.537, P=0.009). Cox regression analysis showed higher parathyroid hormone (HR=1.013, 95%CI 1.007-1.019, P＜0.001), glomerular sclerosis ≥50% (HR=10.532, 95%CI 2.903-38.203, P＜0.001) were independent risk factors for AAV patients entering maintenance dialysis, and higher estimated glomerular filtration rate (HR=0.943, 95%CI 0.896-0.993, P=0.025) was protective factor. Conclusion The prognosis of AAV renal damage is worsened according to focal, mixed, crescent and sclerosis types. Lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, higher parathyroid hormone and glomerular sclerosis ≥50% are independent risk factors for AAV patients entering maintenance dialysis.