Incidental vertebral fractures on chest radiographs

BACKGROUND: Recognition of incidental vertebral fractures may be an important opportunity for identifying and treating osteoporosis. OBJECTIVE: To assess osteoporosis documentation rates in patients with vertebral fractures, and to define patient and hospitalization characteristics associated with osteoporosis management. DESIGN: Hospital and outpatient records were abstracted for patients with vertebral fractures on inpatient radiograph reports. The primary outcome of interest was discharge summary fracture documentation. Covariates associated with fracture documentation and treatment were examined with multivariate regression models. Secondary outcomes included osteoporosis documentation and management 6 months following discharge. PATIENTS: Women > or =50 years hospitalized at an academic medical center. RESULTS: Among 10,291 women with chest radiographs, 142 (1.4%) had vertebral fractures reported. Among patients with a reported fracture, 58 (41%) had their fracture noted in the findings section but not in the final impression. Only 23 (16%) discharge summaries documented a vertebral fracture. Factors associated with documentation of the fracture in the discharge summary included notation of the fracture in the impression section (odds ratio [OR] 3.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0 to 13.1), tobacco use (OR 3.7; 95% CI 1.1 to 12.2), discharge from a medical service (OR 7.6; 95% CI 0.9 to 66.2) and glucocorticoid use (OR 3.7; 95% CI 0.8 to 17.0). Only 36% of patients were using any osteoporosis medications at discharge. Fracture notation in the impression section was associated with fracture documentation in subsequent outpatient notes (OR 3.6, 95% CI 0.9 to 13.8). Discharge summary fracture documentation was associated with an increased likelihood of starting an osteoporosis medication by 6 months (OR 2.8; 95% CI 0.8 to 9.2). CONCLUSIONS: Incidental vertebral fractures from inpatient chest radiographs may represent a missed opportunity for osteoporosis management.     

北京首批重症急性呼吸综合征患者临床特征及预后分析

目的　探讨重症急性呼吸综合征 (SARS)临床特征 ,分析其预后影响因素。方法　以北京地区首批 34例SARS患者为研究对象 ,观察其临床特征及辅助检查 ,并对 1例死亡患者尸检。结果　患者年龄平均 (33 4± 13 4 )岁 ;潜伏期 2～ 14d ,中位数 4d。发热 (10 0 % )、心悸 (91 7% )、肌痛(79 2 % )、头痛 (70 8% )、腹泻 (73 9% )、咳嗽 (5 8 3% )为主要临床表现。初诊时白细胞计数平均 (4 6± 1 4 )× 10 9/L ,淋巴细胞平均 0 2 7± 0 11,淋巴细胞绝对计数 (1 2 3± 0 4 6 )× 10 9/L ,6 8 4 %病例低于正常。ALT、乳酸脱氢酶、血沉水平升高者分别占 76 2 %、2 8 6 %、4 7 8% ,血清铁、血清白蛋白水平降低者分别为 6 3 2 %、38 1%。 32例有胸部X线检查异常 ,2例CT扫描发现异常。尸检 :肺脏和淋巴组织受累明显。多因素分析显示 ,不良预后独立影响因素是高龄。结论　发热、淋巴细胞和血清铁降低及胸部影像学检查可早期诊断SARS ;年龄为该病预后的独立预测因素。     

Evaluation of clinical parameters to predict Mycobacterium tuberculosis in inpatients

BACKGROUND: Respiratory isolation has been recommended for all patients with suspected tuberculosis (TB) to avoid transmission to other patients and health care personnel. In implementing these guidelines, patients with and without TB are frequently isolated, significantly increasing hospital costs. The objective of this study was to derive a clinical rule to predict the need for respiratory isolation of patients with suspected TB. METHODS: To identify potential predictors of the need for isolation, 56 inpatients with sputum cultures positive for TB were retrospectively compared with 56 controls who were isolated on admission to the hospital based on clinically suspected TB but whose sputum cultures tested negative for TB. Variables analyzed included TB risk factors, clinical symptoms, and findings from physical examination and chest radiography. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis revealed that the following factors were significantly associated with a culture positive for TB: presence of TB risk factors or symptoms (odds ratio [OR], 7.9 [95% confidence interval (CI), 4.4-24.2]), a positive purified protein derivative tuberculin test result (OR, 13.2 [95% CI, 4.4-40.7]), high temperature (OR, 2.8 [95% CI, 1.1-8.3]), and upper-lobe disease on chest radiograph (OR, 14.6 [95% CI, 3.7-57.5]). Shortness of breath (OR, 0.2 [95% CI, 0.12-0.53]) and crackles noted during the physical examination (OR, 0.29 [95% CI, 0.15-0.57]) were negative predictors of TB. A scoring system was developed using these variables. A patient's total score of 1 or higher indicated the need for respiratory isolation, accurately predicting a culture positive for TB (98% sensitivity [95% CI, 95%-100%]; 46% specificity [95% CI, 33%-59%]). CONCLUSION: Among inpatients with suspected active pulmonary TB, a prediction rule based on clinical and chest radiographic findings accurately identified patients requiring respiratory isolation.     

Response to empirical anti-tuberculosis treatment in patients with sputum smear-negative presumptive pulmonary tuberculosis

BACKGROUND: In many cases, physicians initiate anti-tuberculosis (TB) treatment based only on symptoms or radiographic findings without confirmation of pulmonary TB by acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smear. It has not been well known which clinical characteristics could be used as predictors for positive culture or real TB in patients with sputum smear-negative presumptive pulmonary TB. OBJECTIVE: We tried to elucidate treatment outcomes in patients with sputum smear-negative presumptive pulmonary TB and to find predictors of positive culture results. METHODS: We reviewed data of the patients who had been treated as presumptive TB with negative AFB smear on the basis of clinical and radiographic features from December 1998 to December 2000 at a university hospital in Korea. We reviewed medical records and radiographs of patients and analyzed possible predictors for positive culture. RESULTS: One hundred and one patients were enrolled. Among them, pulmonary TB was confirmed by culture in 32 patients (31%). Thirty-one (96.9%) out of 32 culture-positive patients showed clinical or radiographic improvement as did 50 (72.5%) out of 69 culture-negative patients. The predictor for a positive culture result is the presence of patchy consolidation in an initial radiograph (p = 0.025; OR 2.89; 95% CI 1.14-7.28). CONCLUSIONS: The empirical anti-TB treatment in patients with sputum smear-negative presumptive pulmonary TB was effective and adequate, especially presented with patchy consolidation in initial chest radiographs in Korea.     

HIV infection and chronic chest disease as risk factors for bacterial pneumonia: a case-control study

OBJECTIVES: To investigate risk factors for severe acute pneumonia in South African gold miners. DESIGN AND METHODS: An inclusive case-control study drawn from a predefined cohort of 4762 miners of known HIV status. Cases were defined by hospital admission meeting the clinical and radiological case definitions for pneumonia during 1998. Controls were randomly selected from the starting cohort. Considered risk factors were: HIV infection, smoking, age, occupation, previous tuberculosis, and chronic premorbid chest disease caused by post-tuberculous lung disease or silicosis (International Labour Office grades 1/0 and above) defined from routine screening radiographs taken before the start of the study. RESULTS: There were 109 cases and 400 controls. HIV infection [odds ratio (OR) 31.6], previous tuberculosis (OR 2.4), and an abnormal premorbid radiograph (OR 2.8) were each significantly more prevalent in cases than controls, whereas other variables were not. On multivariate analysis, HIV infection [OR 30.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 12.1-78.1] and an abnormal premorbid radiograph (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.1-4.8) remained significant risk factors. Median CD4 cell counts in HIV-positive cases with and without abnormal premorbid radiographs were 185 and 162 x 106/l, making confounding between chronic chest disease and the extent of immunocompromise an unlikely explanation for this association. CONCLUSION: HIV infection and an abnormal premorbid chest radiograph are both strong risk factors for pneumonia in miners. Pre-existing chronic chest disease may be an important risk factor for HIV-associated pneumonia in other populations, and if so, is an additional indication for considering antibiotic prophylaxis in HIV-positive individuals.     

Patterns of resolution of chest radiograph abnormalities in adults hospitalized with severe community-acquired pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Timing of follow-up chest radiographs for patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is difficult, because little is known about the time to resolution of chest radiograph abnormalities and its correlation with clinical findings. To provide recommendations for short-term, in-hospital chest radiograph follow-up, we studied the rate of resolution of chest radiograph abnormalities in relation to clinical cure, evaluated predictors for delayed resolution, and determined the influence of deterioration of radiographic findings during follow-up on prognosis. METHODS: A total of 288 patients who were hospitalized because of severe CAP were followed up for 28 days in a prospective multicenter study. Clinical data and scores for clinical improvement at day 7 and clinical cure at day 28 were obtained. Chest radiographs were obtained at hospital admission and at days 7 and 28. Resolution and deterioration of chest radiograph findings were determined. RESULTS: At day 7, 57 (25%) of the patients had resolution of chest radiograph abnormalities, whereas 127 (56%) had clinical improvement (mean difference, 31%; 95% confidence interval, 25%-37%). At day 28, 103 (53%) of the patients had resolution of chest radiograph abnormalities, and 152 (78%) had clinical cure (mean difference, 25%; 95% confidence interval, 19%-31%). Delayed resolution of radiograph abnormalities was independently associated with multilobar disease (odds ratio, 2.87; P < or = .01); dullness to percussion at physical examination (odds ratio, 6.94; P < or = .01); high C-reactive protein level, defined as >200 mg/L (odds ratio, 4.24; P < or = .001); and high respiratory rate at admission, defined as >25 breaths/min (odds ratio, 2.42; P < or = .03). There were no significant differences in outcome at day 28 between patients with and patients without deterioration of chest radiograph findings during the follow-up period (P > .09). CONCLUSIONS: Routine short-term follow-up chest radiographs (obtained <28 days after hospital admission) of hospitalized patients with severe CAP seem to provide no additional clinical value.     

Predictors of short-term outcome in acute chest pain without ST-segment elevation

BACKGROUND: Management of acute chest pain in the emergency room constitutes a challenge. METHODS: Seven hundred and one consecutive patients were evaluated by clinical history (chest pain score and risk factors), ECG, troponin I and early (<24 h) exercise testing in low risk patients (n=165). A composite end-point (recurrent unstable angina, acute myocardial infarction or cardiac death) was recorded during hospital stay or in ambulatory care settings for patients discharged after early exercise testing. RESULTS: The end-point occurred in 122 patients (17%). Multivariate analysis identified the following predictors: chest pain score > or =11 points (OR=1.8, 2-2.8, 95% CI, P=0.007), age > or =68 (OR 1.6, 1.1-2.4 CI 95%, P=0.03), insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (OR 1.9, 1.1-3.4 CI 95%, P=0.02), a history of coronary surgery (OR 3.3, 1.5-7.2 CI 95%, P=0.003), ST-segment depression (OR 1.9, 1.2-3.0 CI 95%, P=0.009) and troponin I elevation (OR 1.6, 1.1-2.5, CI 95%, P=0.05). ST-segment depression produced a high end-point increase (31 vs. 13%, P=0.0001). Troponin I elevation increased the risk in the subgroup without ST-segment depression (20 vs. 11%, P=0.006) but did not further modify the risk in the subgroup with ST depression (31 vs. 28%, ns). Nevertheless, the negative ECG and troponin I subgroup showed a non-negligible end-point rate (16% when pain score > or =11 or 7% when pain score <11, P=0.004). Finally, no patient with a negative exercise test presented events compared to 7% of those with a non-negative test (RR=2.5, 2.1-3.1 95% CI, P=0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Emergency room evaluation of chest pain should not focus on a single parameter; on the contrary, the clinical history, ECG, troponin and early exercise testing must be globally analysed.     

Emergency room risk stratification of patients with chest pain without ST segment elevation

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the prognostic factors in patients who come to the emergency room with chest pain but without ST segment elevation. PATIENTS AND METHOD: 743 consecutive patients were evaluated by recording clinical history, electrocardiogram and troponin I determination, and early (<24 h) exercise testing was done for the low-risk subgroup of patients (n=203). All patients were followed during 3 months for major events (acute myocardial infarction or death). RESULTS: Major events occurred in 71 patients (9.6%). Multivariate analysis (C statistic=0.79; 95% CI 0.73-0.84; p=0.0001) identified the following predictors: age > or =72 years (OR=1.7; 95% CI, 1.0-2.9; p=0.05), insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (OR=2.9; 95% CI, 1.5-5.4; p=0.001), previous ischemic heart disease (OR=1.9; 95% CI, 1.1-3.2; p=0.02), ST depression (OR=2.1; 95% CI, 1.2-3.8; p=0.01) and troponin I elevation (OR=2.9; 95% CI, 1.5-5.3; p=0.001). These five predictors were used to construct a risk score based on their odds ratios, which allowed event rate stratification by quartiles of the score: 0-2 points (1.6% events), 3-4 points (8.1% events), 5-7 points (11.9% events) and > or =8 points (26.2% events); p=0.0001. No patient with negative findings in the early exercise testing had major events. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with chest pain, the combination of clinical, electrocardiographic and biochemical data available on admission to the emergency service allows rapid prognostic stratification. Early exercise testing is advisable for the final stratification of low risk patients.     

Predictors of clinical outcome and radiologic progression in patients with neuropsychiatric manifestations of systemic lupus erythematosus

PURPOSE: We sought to identify the predictors of clinical outcome and of the evolution of cerebral abnormalities in patients with neuropsychiatric systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Thirty-two patients with SLE (including 14 with the antiphospholipid syndrome) who had been hospitalized with primary neuropsychiatric disease were observed prospectively for at least 2 years. Laboratory and clinical characteristics and data from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies obtained during the hospitalization and 2 years later were evaluated. We ascertained nonreversible or new MRI changes and clinical outcomes, including neuropsychiatric events, during follow-up. RESULTS: Cranial MRI scans on admission were abnormal in 26 (81%) of the 32 patients. Patients with the antiphospholipid syndrome were more likely to have focal cerebral white matter lesions (odds ratio [OR] = 12, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.0 to 72). After 2 years, neuropsychiatric deficits substantially improved in 22 (69%) of the patients, stabilized in 6 (19%), and deteriorated in 4 (12%). The number of prior neuropsychiatric events was associated with persistent MRI lesions (OR = 4.8 per each event, 95% CI: 1.1 to 21) and unfavorable clinical outcome (OR = 4.3 per each event, 95% CI: 1.4 to 13) at 2 years. The antiphospholipid syndrome also predicted an unfavorable clinical outcome at 2 years (OR = 11, 95% CI: 1.7 to 65). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with SLE who have neuropsychiatric disease, prior neuropsychiatric events and the antiphospholipid syndrome increase the risk of adverse outcomes.     

Incidental vertebral fractures discovered with chest radiography in the emergency department: prevalence, recognition, and osteoporosis management in a cohort of elderly patients

BACKGROUND: Vertebral fractures are common and usually an indication for osteoporosis treatment. However, screening is not recommended, and many fractures go undetected. Our objectives were to determine the utility of chest radiographs for detecting previously unrecognized vertebral fractures; document rates of recognition; and evaluate osteoporosis treatments. METHODS: In 2001, we conducted a cohort study in a random sample of 500 patients older than 60 years who presented to our emergency department and underwent chest radiography for any indication. The primary outcome was prevalence of moderate-to-severe vertebral fractures determined by independent radiograph review using validated semiquantitative techniques. Secondary outcomes were rates of fracture recognition according to official radiologists' reports and rates of osteoporosis diagnosis and treatment. We conducted multivariable regression analyses to determine correlates of study-defined and officially reported fractures. RESULTS: We excluded 36 patients with inadequate radiographs and 5 for other reasons. Mean age was 75.2 years; 47% were women; and 80% were white. The prevalence of moderate-to-severe vertebral fractures according to independent review was 72 (16%) of 459; 29 (40%) of these fractures were not recorded in the official radiologists' report (kappa = 0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.53-0.75). A history of osteoporosis was the only independent correlate of having a vertebral fracture identified by independent review (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 2.18; 95% CI, 1.14-4.17) or by official report (adjusted OR, 4.97; 95% CI, 0.95-25.86). Of the 72 patients with fractures, only 18 (25%) had histories of osteoporosis or received osteoporosis medications. CONCLUSIONS: One in 6 elderly patients who underwent chest radiography in our emergency department had clinically important vertebral fractures. Nevertheless, only 43 (60%) of these fractures were reported, and only 25% of patients with fractures received a diagnosis of or treatment for osteoporosis.     

Diagnostic value of B-Type natriuretic peptide and chest radiographic findings in patients with acute dyspnea

PURPOSE: To compare chest radiographic findings and circulating B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels as an adjunct to clinical findings in the diagnosis of heart failure in patients presenting with acute dyspnea. METHODS: The diagnostic performance of radiographic evidence of cardiomegaly/redistribution and BNP levels > or =100 pg/mL as indicators of heart failure were assessed in 880 patients presenting with acute dyspnea to the emergency departments of five U.S. and two European teaching hospitals. BNP levels were determined by a rapid, point-of-care device. Two blinded cardiologists reviewed all clinical data and categorized patients as to whether they had acute heart failure (n = 447) or not (n = 433). RESULTS: Three-factor analyses showed that BNP levels > or =100 pg/mL contributed significantly to the prediction of heart failure over each of the radiographic indicators. In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, both BNP levels > or =100 pg/mL (odds ratio [OR] = 12.3; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.4 to 20.4) and radiographic findings of cardiomegaly (OR = 2.3; 95% CI: 1.4 to 3.7), cephalization (OR = 6.4; 95% CI: 3.3 to 12.5), and interstitial edema (OR = 7.0; 95% CI: 2.9 to 17.0) added significant, predictive information above historical and clinical predictors of heart failure. CONCLUSION: In patients presenting to the emergency department with acute dyspnea, BNP levels and chest radiographs provide complementary diagnostic information that may be useful in the early evaluation of heart failure.     

The value of chest roentgenography in the diagnosis of pneumothorax after thoracentesis.

PURPOSE: We sought to assess the yield of chest roentgenography for the detection of pneumothorax among hospitalized patients with pleural effusion who have undergone diagnostic or therapeutic thoracentesis. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We performed a prospective study of 506 thoracentesis procedures in 370 patients. After the procedure, each operator filled out a note recording patient data and the characteristics of the thoracentesis. A chest radiograph was performed within 12 hours after the procedure in all patients. RESULTS: Eighteen (4%) pneumothoraces occurred in 17 patients, 9 (2%) of which required chest tube drainage. Of the 488 patients without symptoms, only 5 (1%) developed a pneumothorax, only 1 of which required chest tube drainage. By contrast, of the 18 patients with symptoms, 13 developed a pneumothorax, 8 of which required chest tubes. There were two independent predictors of pneumothorax: presence of symptoms (odds ratio [OR] = 250; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 65 to 980) and male gender (OR = 5.4; 95% CI: 1.9 to 69). CONCLUSIONS: Among the symptom-free patients in our sample, the risk of developing pneumothorax with clinical consequences was so low that the practice of routine chest roentgenography may not be justified.     

Factors predicting relapse and poor outcome in type I autoimmune hepatitis: role of cirrhosis development, patterns of transaminases during remission and plasma cell activity in the liver biopsy

AIM: To determine factors predicting relapse and poor outcome in patients with type I autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). METHODS: Patients with AIH were retrospectively recruited. Definitions-remission: AST/ALT < 2 ULN; relapse: AST/ALT > or = 2 ULN; poor outcome: cirrhosis complications, transplantation (OLTx), and death; abnormal transaminases: AST/ALT > ULN but within the remission range; abnormal transaminases index (ATI): number of occasions AST/ALT abnormal/years of remission. Liver biopsies were assessed by Ishak system, and additional score given for portal and parenchymal plasma cells. Data are presented as median (range). RESULTS: Seventy-one patients were identified. Twenty (28%) had cirrhosis at presentation, 14 (20%) developed it during follow-up of 52 months (18-336). Of the 14, four had histological confirmation, and the remainder had clinical/radiological evidence of cirrhosis. Factors independently associated with cirrhosis development were inability to have consistently normal transaminases during remission, OR 19.3 (95% CI 2.2-40), p = 0.002. Treatment was discontinued in 40/69 patients of whom 30 (75%) relapsed within 2 months (1-23), culminating in one death. Factors independently associated with relapse were: time to initial remission, OR 5.5, 95% CI 1.3-22, p = 0.01; failure to have consistently normal transaminases during remission OR 11.8, 95% CI 1.3-100, p = 0.02; and portal plasma cell score (PPCS) OR 10.6 (95% CI 1.0-107), p = 0.04. Time to remission > or = 5 months, PPCS > or = 3 and ATI > or = 2 was associated with > 90% probability of relapse (PPV 100%). Fifteen percent had a poor outcome. Independent predictors of poor outcome were: globulins at onset OR 3.4 (95% CI 1.1-10.1), p = 0.02 and cirrhosis development, OR 23 (95% CI 1.7-307), p = 0. CONCLUSIONS: Seventy percent of patients with AIH relapse upon drug cessation. Time to remission > or = 5 months, ATI > or = 2 and PPCS > or = 3 were associated with > 90% probability of relapse. Factors predicting poor outcome were globulins at onset and cirrhosis development.     

Relative importance of preoperative health status versus intraoperative factors in predicting postoperative adverse outcomes in geriatric surgical patients

OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence and predictors of adverse postoperative outcomes in older surgical patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of consecutive patients undergoing noncardiac surgery in 1997. SETTING: A medical school-affiliated teaching community hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Patients age 70 and older undergoing noncardiac surgery. Patients presenting for surgery requiring only local anesthesia or monitored anesthesia care were excluded. MEASUREMENTS: Potential pre- and intra-operative risk factors were measured and evaluated for their association with the occurrence of predefined in-hospital postoperative adverse outcomes. Univariate predictors of postoperative outcomes were first measured using the chi-square or Fisher's exact tests followed by multivariate logistic regression. Odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI), and two-sided P-values were reported. RESULTS: Five hundred forty-four consecutive patients were studied. Overall, 21% of patients developed one or more postoperative adverse outcomes and 3.7% died during the in-hospital postoperative period. Of all the adverse outcomes, cardiovascular complications (10.3%) were the leading cause of morbidity, followed by neurological (7.7%) and pulmonary complications (5.5%). By multivariate logistic regression analysis, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification (OR = 2.7, CI = 1.6-4.4), emergency surgery (OR = 2.0, CI = 1.1-3.4), and intraoperative tachycardia (OR = 3.8, CI = 1.9-7.6) were the most important predictors of postoperative adverse outcomes. Of all the preoperative physical symptoms and signs, decreased functional status (OR = 3.0, CI = 1.4-6.4) and clinical signs of congestive heart failure (OR = 2.1, CI = 1.1-5.1) were the two most important predictors of postoperative adverse neurological and cardiac outcomes, respectively. The median hospital stay was 4 days. The patients who developed postoperative adverse outcomes had significantly longer median hospital stays (9 days) than those without complications (3 days), (P < .0001). CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates that the postoperative mortality rate in geriatric surgical patients undergoing noncardiac surgery is low. Despite the prevalence of preoperative chronic medical conditions, most patients do well postoperatively. The ASA classification (a reflection of the severity of preoperative comorbidities), emergency surgery, and intraoperative tachycardia increase the odds of developing any postoperative adverse events. Future studies aimed at modifying some of the potentially reversible risk factors, such as preoperative heart function and intraoperative heart rate are warranted.     

Predictors for successful angioplasty of chronic totally occluded coronary arteries

AIMS: Reevaluation of clinical and angiographic predictors for percutaneous recanalization of coronary chronic total occlusion (CTO) using current techniques with conventional PTCA wires and balloons. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 253 consecutive patients with 283 lesions who underwent attempted PTCA of CTO (mean time since occlusion 33 months, range 3-150 month). Immediate procedural success rate was 84.8% (95% CI = 80.3%-88.6%). Multiple clinical and angiographic characteristics were evaluated as possible predictors of success/failure. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that a tapered morphology (P < 0.001, OR = 6.1; 95% CI = 2.1-18.2), 相似文献   

Timeliness of care in veterans with non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND: Timeliness is an important dimension of quality of care for patients with lung cancer. METHODS: We reviewed the records of consecutive patients in whom non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) had been diagnosed between January 1, 2002, and December 31, 2003, at the Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System. We used multivariable statistical methods to identify independent predictors of timely care and examined the effect of timeliness on survival. RESULTS: We identified 129 veterans with NSCLC (mean age, 67 years; 98% men; 83% white), most of whom had adenocarcinoma (51%) or squamous cell carcinoma (30%). A minority of patients (18%) presented with a solitary pulmonary nodule (SPN). The median time from the initial suspicion of cancer to treatment was 84 days (interquartile range, 38 to 153 days). Independent predictors of treatment within 84 days included hospitalization within 7 days (odds ratio [OR], 8.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.9 to 23), tumor size of > 3.0 cm (OR, 4.8; 95% CI, 1.8 to 12.4), the presence of additional chest radiographic abnormalities (OR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.1 to 8.5), and the presence of one or more symptoms suggesting metastasis (OR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.1 to 6.2). More timely care was not associated with better survival time (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.3 to 1.9). However, in patients with SPNs, there was a trend toward better survival time when the time to treatment was < 84 days. CONCLUSIONS: The time to treatment for patients with NSCLC was often longer than recommended. Patients with larger tumors, symptoms, and other chest radiographic abnormalities receive more timely care. In patients with malignant SPNs, survival may be better when treatment is initiated promptly.     

Early predictors of severe lower gastrointestinal bleeding and adverse outcomes: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Unlike in upper tract bleeding, prognostic factors for ongoing or recurrent bleeding from the lower gastrointestinal tract have not been well-defined. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for severe lower gastrointestinal bleeding and for significant adverse outcomes. METHODS: All patients seeking attention at a university emergency department for gastrointestinal bleeding were prospectively identified during a 3-year period. Ninety-four of 448 (21%) admitted patients had lower gastrointestinal bleeding. Clinical predictors available in the first hour of evaluation were recorded. The primary outcome, severe lower gastrointestinal bleeding, was defined as gross blood per rectum after leaving the emergency department associated with either abnormal vital signs (systolic blood pressure < 100 mm Hg or heart rate > 100/min) or more than a 2-unit blood transfusion during the hospitalization. Significant adverse outcomes, including death, were tabulated. RESULTS: Thirty-seven patients (39%) had severe lower gastrointestinal bleeding. Independent risk factors for severe lower gastrointestinal bleeding were initial hematocrit 100/min) 1 hour after initial medical evaluation (OR, 4.3; 95% CI, 1.4-12.5); and gross blood on initial rectal examination (OR, 3.9; 95% CI, 1.2-13.2). Nineteen patients (20%) experienced a significant adverse outcome, including 3 deaths. The main independent predictor of adverse outcomes was severe lower gastrointestinal bleeding (OR, 5.3; 95% CI, 1.7-16.5). CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors are available in the first hour of evaluation in the emergency department to identify patients at risk for severe lower gastrointestinal bleeding. Severe lower gastrointestinal bleeding is a significant risk factor for global adverse outcomes.     

经桡动脉介入治疗冠心病的住院期间疗效和主要不良心脏事件的预测因素

目的 评价经桡动脉介入治疗冠心病的住院期间安全性和有效性及主要不良心脏事件的预测因素.方法 入选阜外心血管病医院2004年5月至2009年5月16 281例经桡动脉介入治疗冠心病患者(桡动脉组)和5388例经股动脉介入治疗冠心病患者(股动脉组).比较桡动脉组与股动脉组患者临床特征、操作特点及住院期间临床疗效,并分析经桡动脉介入治疗患者住院期间发生主要不良心脏事件(包括死亡、心肌梗死和靶病变血运重建)的预测因素.结果 与股动脉组比较,桡动脉组冠状动脉导管插入时间较长(P＜0.01),X线曝光时间、对比剂用量差异无统计学意义.桡动脉组与股动脉组操作成功率差异无统计学意义(95.5%比96.2%,P＞0.05).血管径路并发症比例桡动脉组低于股动脉组(0.1%比1.3%,P＜0.01).桡动脉组住院期间主要不良心脏事件发生率、死亡发生率均低于股动脉组(分别为1.6%比3.8%,P＜0.01;0.2%比0.4%,P＜0.01).多因素logistic回归分析表明,经桡动脉介入治疗患者住院期间发生主要不良心脏事件的独立预测因素为年龄≥65岁(OR:1.98,95%可信区间:1.50～2.61,P＜0.01)、既往心肌梗死(OR:2.14,95%可信区间:1.63～2.82,P＜0.01)、置入药物洗脱支架(OR:0.68,95%可信区间:0.47～0.98,P=0.04)、冠状动脉夹层(OR:4.08,95%可信区间:2.28～7.33,P＜0.01)、左主干病变(OR:2.12,95%可信区间:1.09～4.13,P=0.03)、支架数(OR:1.25,95%可信区间:1.09～1.43,P＜0.01)、支架总长度(OR:1.01,95%可信区间:1.00～1.02,P=0.03).结论 经桡动脉介入治疗冠心病在住院期间具有良好的有效性和安全性.年龄≥65岁、既往心肌梗死、置入药物洗脱支架、冠状动脉夹层、左主干病变、支架数、支架总长度是经桡动脉介入治疗住院期间发生主要不良心脏事件的独立预测因素.

Abstract：

Objective The purpose of this study is to evaluate the in-hospital clinical outcome of patients with coronary artery disease who underwent transradial intervention (TRI) and analyze the predictors of chinical outcome. Methods From May 2004 to May 2009, there were 16 281 patients who underwent transradial intervention, as well as 5388 patients who underwent transfemoral intervention (TFI) at our institution. The clinical characteristics, procedural characteristics, and in-hospital clinical adverse events were compared between TRI and TFI groups. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to determine predictors of in-hospital major adverse cardiac events ( composite of death, myocardial infarction,or target lesion revascularization) of TRI. Results The annulations time was significantly longer for TRIthan TFI (P ＜0. 01 ), fluoroscopy time, amount of contrast agent and procedural success rate (95.5% for TRI and 96. 2% for TFI) were similar between the two groups. However, the rates of vascular complications (0. 1% for TRI group and 1.3% for TFI group, P ＜0. 01 ), incidence of in-hospital major adverse cardiac events (1.6% vs. 3. 8%, P＜ 0.01) and in-hospital death (0.2% vs. 0.4%, P＜0.01) were all significantly lower in TRI group compared with TFI group. The following characteristics were identified as independent multivariate predictors of in-hospital major adverse cardiac events of TRI: age ≥65 ( OR: 1.98,95% CI: 1. 50 - 2. 61, P ＜ 0. 01 ), prior myocardial infarction ( OR:2. 14, 95% CI: 1.63 - 2. 82, P ＜0. 01 ), use of drug-eluting stent (DES) ( OR:0. 68, 95% CI:0. 47 - 0. 98, P = 0. 04 ), dissection during procedure (OR:4.08, 95%CI:2.28-7.33, P＜0.01), left main lesion (OR:2. 12, 95% CI:1.09-4. 13, P=0.03), number of implanted stents (OR:1.25, 95% CI:1.09 - 1.43, P ＜0.01), and total stented length (OR:1.01, 95% CI:1. 00 -1. 02 , P=0.03). Conclusions In this large single-centre patient cohort, the transradial intervention is superior to transfemoral intervention in terms of in-hospital safety and efficacy. Age ≥ 65, prior myocardial infarction, use of DES, dissection during procedure, left main lesion, number of implanted stents and total stented length were identified as independent multivariate predictors of in-hospital major adverse cardiac events of TRI.     

A comparative study of markers of inflammation for the assessment of cardiovascular risk in patients presenting to the emergency department with acute chest pain suggestive of acute coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND: The role of inflammation in the pathogenesis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is established. Little is known however, regarding the use of inflammatory markers as predictors of future cardiovascular events in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with suspected ACS. HYPOTHESIS: To assess whether biomarkers that predict cardiovascular risk in apparently healthy individuals and coronary artery disease patients are useful predictors of future cardiovascular events in patients presenting to the ED with chest pain suggestive of ACS. METHODS: We compared the abilities of serum C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), albumin and leukocyte count to identify subjects with ACS and those who are at high risk of developing events during a 30-day follow-up. RESULTS: 144 patients (mean age 62+/-13 years, 45 female) presenting to the ED <3 h after the onset of symptoms suggestive of ACS were evaluated. Final hospital diagnoses were non-ischemic chest pain in 43 (30%) and ACS in 101 (70%) patients. Patients with ACS had significantly higher leukocyte count (p<0.0001) and hs-CRP levels (p<0.02) and lower albumin concentrations, compared to patients with NICP (p<0.0001). Lower albumin concentrations (p=0.03) and hs-CRP (p=0.049) were predictors of recurrent events at 30 days. On multivariate analysis, however, only leukocyte count was a predictor of ACS (OR 20.9; 95% CI: 3.7-19.5; p=0.01) and high hs-CRP levels were a predictor of clinical outcome (OR 2.8; 95% CI: 1.5-5.2; p=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Leukocyte count is an independent predictor of ACS in patients presenting to the ED with chest pain suggestive of ACS and high hs-CRP levels are an independent predictor of clinical outcome in ACS patients.     

Factors predicting success rate and recurrence of atrial fibrillation after first electrical cardioversion in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND: The recurrence rate of atrial fibrillation (AF) after elective cardioversion is high. HYPOTHESIS: The study aimed to identify clinical predictors for successful electrical cardioversion and maintenance of sinus rhythm after a first electrical cardioversion in patients with persistent AF without concomitant antiarrhythmic drugs of class I and III. METHODS: Consecutive outpatients (n = 166) with persistent AF for > 1 month, scheduled for elective cardioversion, were prospectively included in the study. A clinical investigation, echocardiographic assay, and Holter electrocardiogram (ECG) before and ECG 4 weeks after cardioversion, were performed in all patients. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 68 years (range 45-83) and duration of AF was 5 (1-48) months. Sinus rhythm was established in 124 (75%) patients. In multivariate analysis, only duration of AF < 6 months (p < 0.04, odds ratio [OR] 2.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1 to 4.7) and patients weight (p < 0.03, OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.1 to 4.8 for weight < 80 kg) were identified as independent predictors of successful cardioversion. At 4 weeks after cardioversion, only 46 (37%) of 124 patients maintained sinus rhythm. Independent factors for maintenance of sinus rhythm, in multivariate analysis, were AF <3 months (p < 0.04, OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1 to 5.6), treatment with beta blockers (p < 0.00001, OR 7.0, 95% CI 3.0 to 16.3) or verapamil/diltiazem (p < 0.04, OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.1 to 12.1), and right atrial dimension < 37 mm (p < 0.02, OR 5.9, 95% CI 1.4 to 25.4). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with persistent AF, the patient's weight and the duration of AF are independent predictors for a successful cardioversion. Short duration of AF, treatment with beta blockers or verapamil/diltiazem, and right atrial area/dimension are independent predictors for maintenance of sinus rhythm.