Effects of raloxifene on fracture risk in postmenopausal women: the Raloxifene Use for the Heart Trial.

Using data from a randomized placebo-controlled trial of 10,101 postmenopausal women not selected on the basis of osteoporosis, we examined whether the effect of raloxifene treatment on fractures was consistent across categories of fracture risk. Treatment with raloxifene for 5 yr reduced the risk of clinical vertebral fractures, but not nonvertebral fractures, irrespective of the presence or absence of risk factors for fracture. INTRODUCTION: In The Raloxifene Use for The Heart (RUTH) trial, women assigned to raloxifene had a lower risk of clinical vertebral fractures but not nonvertebral fractures. However, it is uncertain whether the effect of raloxifene on fractures in this population not selected for low BMD differs according to risk factors for fractures. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We randomly assigned 10,101 postmenopausal women >or=55 yr of age with documented coronary heart disease or at high risk for coronary events to 60 mg raloxifene daily or placebo and followed them for a median of 5.6 yr. Fractures (nonvertebral and clinical vertebral) were prespecified secondary endpoints that were reported at semiannual visits. Fractures were adjudicated and confirmed using X-ray reports or medical records. RESULTS: There was no difference between raloxifene and placebo groups in risk of nonvertebral fractures (428 versus 438 events; hazard ratio [HR], 0.96; 95% CI, 0.84-1.10), including hip/femur (89 versus 103 events; HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.64-1.13) and wrist (107 versus 111 events; HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.73-1.24) fractures. Women treated with raloxifene had a lower risk of clinical vertebral fractures (64 versus 97 events; HR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.47-0.89). The effect of treatment with raloxifene on risk of nonvertebral and clinical vertebral fractures was consistent across fracture risk categories defined at baseline by age, smoking status, physical activity level, prior history of fracture, family history of hip fracture, diabetes mellitus, previous use of hormone therapy, thyroid hormone use, statin use, weight loss, body mass index, or fracture specific summary risk score. CONCLUSIONS: In older women with or at high risk of coronary heart disease not selected on the basis of osteoporosis or increased fracture risk, treatment with raloxifene for 5 yr reduced the risk of clinical vertebral fractures, but not nonvertebral fractures, irrespective of presence or absence of risk factors for fracture.     

Smoking predicts incident fractures in elderly men: Mr OS Sweden

The aim of this study was to investigate the association between smoking and bone mineral density (BMD) and radiographically verified prevalent vertebral fractures and incident fractures in elderly men. At baseline 3003 men aged 69 to 80 years of age from the Swedish Mr Os Study completed a standard questionnaire concerning smoking habits and had BMD of the hip and spine measured using dual‐energy X‐ray absorptiometry (DXA); 1412 men had an X‐ray of the thoracic‐ and lumbar spine. Radiologic registers were used to confirm reported new fractures after the baseline visit. At baseline, 8.4% were current smokers. Current smokers had a 6.2% lower BMD at the total hip and a 5.4% lower BMD at the lumbar spine (p < .001). Current smoking remained independently inversely associated with BMD at the hip and lumbar spine after adjusting for age, height, weight, calcium intake, physical activity, and centers as covariates. Prevalent vertebral fractures among current smokers were increased in unadjusted analyses [odds ratio (OR) = 1.90, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.26–2.87] and after adjustment for lumbar BMD (OR = 1.67, 95% CI 1.09–2.55). Smokers had a high risk for two or more prevalent vertebral fractures (OR = 3.18, 95% CI 1.88–5.36). During the average follow‐up of 3.3 years, 209 men sustained an X‐ray‐verified fracture. Incident fracture risk among smokers was calculated with Cox proportional hazard models. Current smokers had an increased risk of all new fractures [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.76, 95% CI 1.19–2.61]; nonvertebral osteoporotic fractures, defined as humerus, radius, pelvis, and hip fractures (HR = 2.14, 95% CI 1.18–3.88); clinical and X‐ray‐verified vertebral fractures (HR = 2.53, 95% CI 1.37–4.65); and hip fractures (HR = 3.16, 95% CI 1.44–6.95). After adjustment for BMD, including other covariates, no significant association between smoking and incident fractures was found. Current tobacco smoking in elderly men is associated with low BMD, prevalent vertebral fractures, and incident fractures, especially vertebral and hip fractures. © 2010 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research     

Association between prior non-spine non-hip fractures or prevalent radiographic vertebral deformities known to be at least 10 years old and incident hip fracture.

In this large cohort of elderly women, prior non-spine non-hip fractures and radiographic vertebral deformities >10 years old were modestly associated with incident hip fracture, but the excess risks of hip fracture attributable to those prior fractures and deformities seem to wane over time. INTRODUCTION: Whereas prior clinical fractures and prevalent radiographic vertebral deformities are well-documented predictors of incident hip fracture, the excess risks of incident fractures attributable to those prior fractures and deformities may decrease over time. Current guidelines regarding the assessment of fracture risk do not consider elapsed time since prior fracture or ascertainment of radiographic vertebral deformity. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We ascertained self-reported history of prior clinical fractures and calcaneal and total hip bone BMD and performed lateral spine radiographs in a cohort of 9516 community-dwelling elderly women who had not had a prior hip fracture. We prospectively followed them to assess incident hip fracture. Prevalent radiographic vertebral deformities were identified at baseline using morphometry, and incident hip fractures were confirmed by review of radiographic reports during three follow-up periods (0-5, >5-10, and >10 years after baseline exam). RESULTS: Among women who survived for 10 or more years after the baseline exam without having had a hip fracture, a history of non-spine non-hip fracture since age 50 reported at the baseline study examination was associated with a 21% age- and calcaneal BMD-adjusted excess risk (hazard ratio [HR], 1.21; 95% CI, 1.01-1.45) for subsequent incident hip fracture. Baseline radiographic vertebral deformity was associated with a 41% age- and BMD-adjusted excess risk (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.15-1.73) of hip fracture after 10 years of follow-up. In comparison, the age- and BMD-adjusted HRs of incident hip fracture during the first 5 years of follow-up associated with prior non-spine non-hip fractures reported at the baseline study exam and prevalent radiographic vertebral deformities were 1.70 (95% CI, 1.30-2.22) and 2.10 (95% CI, 1.58-2.78), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Self-reported prior non-spine non-hip fractures and prevalent radiographic vertebral deformities known to be at least 10 years old are modestly associated with incident hip fracture. The association between these predictor fractures and subsequent hip fractures seems to wane with increased time after ascertainment of the predictor fracture. Hip fracture risk assessment strategies incorporating prior fracture history should also consider elapsed time since those prior fractures.     

Risk factors associated with incident clinical vertebral and nonvertebral fractures in postmenopausal women: the Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study (CaMos)

Utilizing data from the Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study (CaMos), we examined the association between potential risk factors and incident vertebral and nonvertebral fractures. A total of 5,143 postmenopausal women were enrolled. Information collected during the study included data from the CaMos baseline and annually mailed fracture questionnaires, the Short Form 36 (SF-36), the Health Utilities Index, and physical measurements. Participants were followed for 3 years. Postmenopausal women were classified into four groups according to their incident fracture status since baseline: those without a new fracture; those with a new clinically recognized vertebral fracture; those with an incident nonvertebral fracture at the wrist, hip, humerus, pelvis, or ribs (main nonvertebral fracture group); and those with any new nonvertebral fracture (any-nonvertebral-fracture group). We performed multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis using all possible risk factors to determine the association between risk factors and the time to the first minimal trauma fracture. Best predictive models were also determined using variables that were included in the full models. The Bayesian information criterion was used for model selection. For all analyses, relative risks and associated 95% confidence intervals were calculated. During the follow-up period, 34, 163, and 280 women developed a vertebral, a main nonvertebral, or any nonvertebral fracture, respectively. The best predictive models indicated that a five point lower quality of life as measured by the SF-36 physical component summary score was associated with relative risks of 1.21 (95% CI, 1.02 to 1.44), 1.17 (95% CI, 1.07 to 1.28), and 1.19 (95% CI, 1.11 to 1.27) for incident vertebral, main nonvertebral, and all nonvertebral fractures, respectively. In addition, for a one standard deviation (SD=0.12) lower femoral neck BMD, the relative risks for incident vertebral, main nonvertebral, and any nonvertebral fractures increased by 2.73 (95% CI, 1.74 to 4.28), 1.39 (95% CI, 1.06 to 1.82), and 1.34 (95% CI, 1.09 to 1.65), respectively. Furthermore, various anthropometric measures, disease conditions, and medications are associated with a new fracture. Identifying postmenopausal women at risk is important given that fracture prevention therapies are now available.The authors wrote this article on behalf of the Camos Research Group.     

Association of Trabecular Bone Score (TBS) With Incident Clinical and Radiographic Vertebral Fractures Adjusted for Lumbar Spine BMD in Older Men: A Prospective Cohort Study

The association of trabecular bone score (TBS) with incident clinical and radiographic vertebral fractures in older men is uncertain. TBS was estimated from baseline spine dual‐energy X‐ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans for 5831 older men (mean age 73.7 years) enrolled in the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) study. Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine the association of TBS (per 1 SD decrease) with incident clinical vertebral fractures. Logistic regression was used to determine the association between TBS (per 1 SD decrease) and incident radiographic vertebral fracture among the subset of 4309 men with baseline and follow‐up lateral spine radiographs (mean 4.6 years later). We also examined whether any associations varied by body mass index (BMI) category. TBS was associated with a 1.41‐fold (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23 to 1.63) higher aged‐adjusted odds of incident radiographic fracture, and this relationship did not vary by BMI (p value = 0.22 for interaction term). This association was no longer significant with further adjustment for lumbar spine bone mineral density (BMD; odds ratio [OR] = 1.11, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.30). In contrast, the age‐adjusted association of TBS with incident clinical vertebral fracture was stronger in men with lower BMI (≤ median value of 26.8 kg/m²; hazard ratio [HR] = 2.28, 95% CI 1.82 to 2.87) than in men with higher BMI (> median; HR = 1.60, 95% CI 1.31 to 1.94; p value = 0.0002 for interaction term). With further adjustment for lumbar spine BMD, the association of TBS with incident clinical vertebral fracture was substantially attenuated in both groups (HR = 1.30 [95% CI 0.99 to 1.72] among men with lower BMI and 1.11 [95% CI 0.87 to 1.41] among men with higher BMI). In conclusion, TBS is not associated with incident clinical or radiographic vertebral fracture after consideration of age and lumbar spine BMD, with the possible exception of incident clinical vertebral fracture among men with lower BMI. © 2017 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Risk factors associated with the occurrence of hip fracture in Japanese patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a prospective observational cohort study

Summary

Risk factors associated with the occurrence of hip fracture in Japanese patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) were evaluated in a prospective, observational cohort study. Physical disability, advanced age, history of total knee replacement (TKR), and low body mass index (BMI) appear to be associated with the occurrence of hip fracture.

Introduction

This study seeks to evaluate the association between potential risk factors and the occurrence of hip fractures in Japanese RA patients.

Methods

A total of 9,720 patients (82.1 % female; mean age, 55.7 years) with RA were enrolled in a prospective observational study from 2000 to 2010. Self-reported hip fractures were verified using patient medical records. Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze independent contributions of various risk factors to hip fracture occurrence.

Results

During a mean follow-up of 5.2 years, 152 patients reported 152 hip fractures. Among these patients, 97 hip fractures in 97 patients (15 males, 82 females) were verified with medical records. Japanese version of the Health Assessment Questionnaire (J-HAQ) disability score [per 1 score, hazard ratio (HR), 2.64; 95 % confidence interval (CI), 1.94–3.58], age (per 10 years; HR, 1.53; 95 % CI, 1.25–1.87), history of TKR (HR, 3.75; 95 % CI, 1.57–8.96), and BMI (per 1 kg/m², HR, 0.92; 95 % CI, 0.86–0.99) were significantly associated with hip fractures. Among the scores on the eight domains of the J-HAQ, J-HAQ (arising) (HR, 1.74; 95 % CI, 1.28–2.36) and J-HAQ (hygiene) (HR, 1.58; 95 % CI, 1.11–2.24) were significantly correlated with the occurrence of hip fracture.

Conclusions

High J-HAQ disability score, advanced age, history of TKR, and low BMI appear to be associated with the occurrence of hip fractures in Japanese RA patients. Among the eight domains of the J-HAQ, arising and hygiene disabilities appear to be correlated with the occurrence of hip fractures in this patient population.     

High Serum SHBG Predicts Incident Vertebral Fractures in Elderly Men

Previous prospective cohort studies have shown that serum levels of sex steroids and sex hormone‐binding globulin (SHBG) associate with nonvertebral fracture risk in men. The predictive value of sex hormones and SHBG for vertebral fracture risk specifically is, however, less studied. Elderly men (aged ≥65 years) from Sweden and Hong Kong participating in the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) study had baseline estradiol and testosterone analyzed by gas chromatography–mass spectrometry (GC‐MS) and SHBG by immunoradiometric assay (IRMA). Incident clinical vertebral fractures (n = 242 cases) were evaluated in 4324 men during an average follow‐up of 9.1 years. In a subsample of these men (n = 2256), spine X‐rays were obtained at baseline and after an average follow‐up of 4.3 years to identify incident radiographic vertebral fractures (n = 157 cases). The likelihood of incident clinical and radiographic vertebral fractures was estimated by Cox proportional hazards models and logistic regression models, respectively. Neither serum estradiol (hazard ratio [HR] per SD increase = 0.93, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.80–1.08) nor testosterone (1.05, 0.91–1.21) predicted incident clinical vertebral fractures in age‐adjusted models in the combined data set. High serum SHBG, however, associated with increased clinical vertebral fracture risk (1.24, 1.12–1.37). This association remained significant after further adjustment for FRAX with or without bone mineral density (BMD). SHBG also associated with increased incident radiographic vertebral fracture risk (combined data set; odds ratio [OR] per SD increase = 1.23, 95% CI 1.05–1.44). This association remained significant after adjustment for FRAX with or without BMD. In conclusion, high SHBG predicts incident clinical and radiographic vertebral fractures in elderly men and adds moderate information beyond FRAX with BMD for vertebral fracture risk prediction. © 2015 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Risk factors for incident vertebral fractures in men and women: the Rotterdam Study.

Low BMD and prevalent vertebral fractures are known risk factors for incident vertebral fractures. In 3001 men and women from the Rotterdam Study, prevalent nonvertebral fractures, early menopause, current smoking, and walking aid use were also strong risk factors for incident vertebral fractures. INTRODUCTION: Thus far, age, low BMD, and prevalent vertebral fractures are the only well-known risk factors for incident vertebral fractures. Therefore, our aim was to investigate other potential risk factors for incident vertebral fractures in the elderly. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was based on the Rotterdam Study, a large prospective population-based cohort study among men and women > or =55 years of age. For 3001 subjects, spinal radiographs were obtained at baseline and again approximately 6.3 years later. These follow-up radiographs were scored for vertebral fractures using the McCloskey-Kanis method. Whenever a vertebral fracture was detected, the radiograph was compared with the baseline radiograph. If this fracture was not already present at baseline, it was considered incident. At baseline, information on potential risk factors was obtained. RESULTS: Low BMD and prevalent vertebral fractures were strong risk factors for incident vertebral fractures in both men and women (RR 2.3 [1.6-3.3] and 2.2 [0.9-5.0] for men and RR 2.1 [1.6-2.6] and 4.1 [2.5-6.7] for women, respectively). For women, age, early menopause (< or =45 years of age; RR 1.0 [1.1-3.5]), current smoking (2.1 [1.2-3.5]), and walking aid use (2.5 [1.1-5.5]) were additional independent risk factors. For men, only a history of nonvertebral fractures was a significant independent risk factor (OR 2.4 [1.2-4.8]). CONCLUSION: Apart from low BMD and prevalent vertebral fractures, prevalent nonvertebral fractures are associated with an increased incident vertebral fracture risk in men. In women, early menopause, current smoking, and walking aid use are additional independent risk factors for incident vertebral fractures.     

Older Men With Low Serum Estradiol and High Serum SHBG Have an Increased Risk of Fractures

Osteoporosis‐related fractures constitute a major health concern not only in women but also in men. To study the predictive role of serum sex steroids for fracture risk in men, serum sex steroids were analyzed by the specific gas chromatography‐mass spectrometry technique at baseline in older men (n = 2639; mean, 75 yr of age) of the prospective population‐based MrOS Sweden cohort. Fractures occurring after baseline were validated (average follow‐up of 3.3 yr). The incidence for having at least one validated fracture after baseline was 20.9/1000 person‐years. Estradiol (E2; hazard ratio [HR] per SD decrease, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.22–1.49), free estradiol (fE2; HR per SD decrease, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.28–1.55), testosterone (T; HR per SD decrease, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.16–1.39), and free testosterone (fT; HR per SD decrease, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.21–1.44) were all inversely, whereas sex hormone–binding globulin (SHBG; HR per SD increase, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.22–1.63) was directly related to fracture risk. Multivariable proportional hazards regression models, adjusted for age, suggested that fE2 and SHBG (p < 0.001), but not fT, were independently associated with fracture risk. Further subanalyses of fracture type showed that fE2 was inversely associated with clinical vertebral fractures (HR per SD decrease, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.36–1.80), nonvertebral osteoporosis fractures (HR per SD decrease, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.23–1.65), and hip fractures (HR per SD decrease, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.18–1.76). The inverse relation between serum E2 and fracture risk was nonlinear with a strong relation <16 pg/ml for E2 and 0.3 pg/ml for fE2. In conclusion, older Swedish men with low serum E2 and high SHBG levels have an increased risk of fractures.     

High Serum Serotonin Predicts Increased Risk for Hip Fracture and Nonvertebral Osteoporotic Fractures: The MrOS Sweden Study

Because several studies have implicated serotonin as a regulator of bone mass, we here explore its potential association on fracture risk and falls, as on bone mineral density (BMD) and muscle strength, in humans. Serum levels of serotonin were analyzed in 950 men (aged 69 to 81 years), participating in the Gothenburg part of the population‐based study MrOS Sweden. Men taking selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) had a mean value of 31.2 μg/L compared with 159.4 μg/L in those not taking SSRIs. SSRI users were excluded from further analysis. During 10‐year follow‐up, 224 men exhibited fractures, including 97 nonvertebral osteoporotic fractures (57 hip fractures), and 86 vertebral fractures. Serotonin was associated with hip fracture in linear analysis (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.27, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03–1.58) and to all fractures in a nonlinear manner, when quintiles of serotonin was included in quadratic terms (HR = 1.12, 95% CI 1.04–1.21). Men in serotonin quintile 5 had, in multivariable analysis, a HR of 2.30 (95% CI 1.31–4.02) for hip fracture and 1.82 (95% CI 1.17–2.85) for nonvertebral fractures compared with men in quintiles 1 to 4. Men in quintile 1 had, in multivariable analysis, a HR of 1.76 (95% CI 1.03–2.99) for nonvertebral fractures compared with men in quintiles 2 to 4. No association was found with vertebral fractures. Individuals in serotonin quintile 1 had higher prevalence of falls compared with quintiles 2 to 5 (odds ratio = 1.90, 95% CI 1.26–2.87). Serotonin was positively associated with hand‐grip strength (r = 0.08, p = 0.02) and inversely with hip BMD (r = ?0.10, p = 0.003). To assess the association between SSRIs and falls and fractures, the total MrOS Sweden cohort was examined (n = 3014). SSRI users (n = 90) had increased prevalence of falls (16% versus 33%, p = 0.0001) and increased rate of incident fractures (28.0 versus 44.7 per 1000 person‐years, p = 0.018). We present novel data showing that high levels of serotonin predict an increased risk for hip fracture and nonvertebral osteoporotic fractures. © 2018 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Predictors of non-spine fracture in elderly men: the MrOS study.

We examined determinants of nonvertebral fracture in elderly men from six U.S. communities followed an average of 4.1 years. Six clinical risk factors predicted fracture risk independent of hip BMD: tricyclic antidepressant use, previous fracture, inability to complete a narrow walk trial, falls in previous year, age > or =80 years, and depressed mood. INTRODUCTION: There are few prospective studies of fracture determinants in men. We examined the associations between a comprehensive set of clinical risk factors and risk of nonspine fracture in older men and whether determinants of fracture risk were independent of total hip BMD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 5995 men > or =65 years of age were recruited from six communities in the Unites States and followed prospectively for an average of 4.1 years. Baseline assessments of demographic, lifestyle, medical history, functional status, anthropometry, and cognitive, visual, and neuromuscular function were assessed by questionnaire or examination. Triannual mailed questionnaires ascertained incident fracture; reported fractures were adjudicated by physicians using medical records and X-ray reports. Proportional hazards models were used to develop multivariable models, selecting variables and controlling for BMD. RESULTS: Of 5876 men, 4.7% (N = 275) reported an incident nonspine fracture during follow-up (11.46/1000 person-years). Tricyclic antidepressant use (hazard ratio [HR], 2.36; 95% CI, 1.25-4.46), history of fracture at or after age 50 (HR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.62-2.65), inability to complete a narrow walk trial (HR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.23-2.34), falls in previous year (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.23-2.05), age > or =80 years (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.01-1.76), depressed mood (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.00-2.95), and decreased total hip BMD (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.34-1.74) were independently related to increased risk. Compared with having none (48.0% of men), having three or more of the clinical risk factors (4.9% of men) increased fracture risk 5-fold, independent of BMD. Having three or more risk factors and being in the lowest tertile of BMD was associated with a 15-fold greater risk than having no risk factors and being in the highest BMD tertile. CONCLUSIONS: Several clinical risk factors were independently associated with nonspine fractures in elderly men. The combination of multiple risk factors and low BMD was a very powerful indicator of fracture risk.     

Endogenous Estradiol and The Risk of Incident Fracture in Postmenopausal Women: The OPUS Study

Some, but not all, studies have found that low endogenous estradiol levels in postmenopausal women are predictive of fractures. The aim of this study was to examine the roles of endogenous estradiol (E(2)), sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG), and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEAS) in the prediction of incident vertebral and nonvertebral fractures. The study subjects were 797 postmenopausal women from the population-based OPUS (Osteoporosis and Ultrasound Study) study. Spine radiographs and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scans were obtained for all subjects at baseline and 6-year follow-up. Nonfasting blood samples were taken at baseline for E(2), SHBG, DHEAS, and bone turnover markers. Incident nonvertebral fractures were self-reported and verified; vertebral fractures were diagnosed at a single center from spinal radiographs. Medical and lifestyle data were obtained by questionnaire at each visit. Thirty-nine subjects had an incident vertebral fracture and 119 a nonvertebral fracture. Estradiol in the lowest quartile predicted vertebral fracture independent of confounders including age, body mass index, bone mineral density, bone turnover, fracture history, and use of antiresorptive therapy, with an OR of 2.97 (95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.52-5.82) by logistic regression. A calculated free estradiol index was not a stronger predictor than total E(2). Higher SHBG predicted vertebral fracture independently of age and body mass index, but not independently of E(2), bone mineral density, or prevalent fracture. Low DHEAS did not predict vertebral fracture. Nonvertebral fractures were not predicted by any of E(2), SHBG, or DHEAS, either in univariate or multivariate analyses. These findings suggest that there may be mechanistic differences in the protective effect of E(2) at vertebral compared with nonvertebral sites.     

Associations between methotrexate treatment and methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase gene polymorphisms with incident fractures in Japanese female rheumatoid arthritis patients

Several case reports have described associations between pathological nonvertebral fractures and low-dose methotrexate (MTX) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. Furthermore, a significant association between the C677T polymorphism in the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) gene and incident fractures has been reported in postmenopausal women. We attempted to determine whether MTX use and MTHFR polymorphisms are associated with incident fracture risk in Japanese female RA patients. DNA samples, laboratory data, and clinical data were obtained from 731 female RA patients more than 50 years old as part of the Institute of Rheumatology Rheumatoid Arthritis (IORRA) observational cohort study. Genotyping of the MTHFR polymorphisms C677T and A1298C was performed using TaqMan SNP Genotyping Assays. MTX use, MTHFR polymorphisms, and other potential risk factors predictive of fracture were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards regression models, including time-dependent covariates. During 78 months from October 2000 to March 2007, 25 and 90 patients developed vertebral and nonvertebral fractures, respectively. Patients with nonvertebral fractures were more likely to take MTX (P = 0.011; odds ratio, 1.77; 95% confidence interval, 1.13–2.76) compared to patients without fractures. Although the C677T and A1298C polymorphisms were not significantly associated with incident fracture risk, MTX use, age, disease duration, and Japanese health assessment questionnaire score were significantly (P < 0.05) and independently associated with nonvertebral fracture incidence. Our results suggest that MTX use is associated with a nonvertebral fracture risk, whereas MTHFR polymorphism status does not appear to be a clinically useful marker for predicting fracture risk in Japanese female RA patients.     

Severity of prevalent vertebral fractures and the risk of subsequent vertebral and nonvertebral fractures: results from the MORE trial

Prevalent vertebral fractures and baseline bone mineral density (BMD) predict subsequent fracture risk. The objective of this analysis is to examine whether baseline vertebral fracture severity can predict new vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk. In the randomized, double-blind 3-year Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) trial, 7705 postmenopausal women with osteoporosis (low BMD or prevalent vertebral fractures) were randomly assigned to placebo, raloxifene 60 mg/day, or raloxifene 120 mg/day. Post hoc analyses studied the association between baseline fracture severity and new fracture risk in the placebo group and the effects of placebo, raloxifene 60 mg/day, and raloxifene 120 mg/day on new fracture risk in women with the most severe prevalent vertebral fractures (n = 614). Vertebral fracture severity was visually assessed using semiquantitative analysis of radiographs and categorized by estimated decreases in vertebral heights. Reported new nonvertebral fractures were radiographically confirmed. Baseline vertebral fracture severity predicted vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk at 3 years. In women without prevalent vertebral fractures, 4.3 and 5.5% had new vertebral and nonvertebral fractures, respectively. In women with mild, moderate, and severe prevalent vertebral fractures, 10.5, 23.6, and 38.1% respectively had new vertebral fractures, whereas 7.2, 7.7, and 13.8% respectively experienced new nonvertebral fractures. Number of prevalent vertebral fractures and baseline BMD also predicted vertebral fracture risk, but the severity of prevalent vertebral fractures was the only predictor of nonvertebral fracture risk and remained a significant predictor after adjustment for baseline characteristics, including baseline BMD. In patients with severe baseline vertebral fractures, raloxifene 60 mg/day decreased the risks of new vertebral [RR 0.74 (95% Cl 0.54, 0.99); P = 0.048] and nonvertebral (clavicle, humerus, wrist, pelvis, hip, and leg) fractures [RH 0.53 (95% CI 0.29, 0.99); P = 0.046] at 3 years. To prevent one new fracture at 3 years in women with severe baseline vertebral fractures with raloxifene 60 mg/day, the number needed to treat (NNT) was 10 for vertebral and 18 for nonvertebral fractures. Similar results were observed in women receiving raloxifene 120 mg/day. In summary, baseline vertebral fracture severity was the best independent predictor for new vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk. Raloxifene decreased new vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk in the subgroup of women with severe vertebral fractures at baseline. These fractures may reflect architectural deterioration, independent of BMD, leading to increased skeletal fragility.     

Prediction of Fractures and Major Cardiovascular Events in Men Using Serum Osteoprotegerin Levels: The Prospective STRAMBO Study

Fragility fractures and cardiovascular diseases often coincide. However, data on shared risk factors and markers are scarce. Our aim was to assess the independent associations of serum osteoprotegerin (OPG) levels with the risk of fracture and cardiovascular outcomes (acute coronary syndrome, cardiac death) in older men. A cohort of 819 home‐dwelling men aged 60 to 87 years was followed prospectively for 8 years. Serum OPG was measured at baseline by ELISA. Bone mineral density (BMD) at femoral neck and Trabecular Bone Score (TBS) were assessed by DXA. Clinical risk factors and Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) were assessed. The incident events (self‐reported peripheral fractures and acute coronary syndrome, cardiac death reported by a proxy) confirmed by a health professional were retained for the statistical analysis. Incident vertebral fractures were assessed on lateral DXA scans after 4 and 8 years. Hazard risk (HR) was assessed using the Cox model. After adjustment for FRAX corrected for femoral neck BMD and TBS, diabetes mellitus, ischemic heart disease, and prior falls, the risk of fracture was twofold higher in the highest versus the lowest OPG quartile (HR 2.35; 95% CI, 1.35 to 4.10). The risk of vertebral and nonvertebral fracture was higher in the highest versus the lowest OPG quartile (OR 2.76 [95% CI, 1.08 to 7.05] and HR 2.46 [95% CI, 1.23 to 4.92]). The risk of major osteoporotic fracture was higher in the fourth versus the first OPG quartile (HR 2.43; 95% CI, 1.16 to 5.10). The risk of cardiovascular outcome (adjusted for confounders) was higher in the highest versus the lowest OPG quartile (HR 3.93; 95% CI, 1.54 to 10.04). The risk of fracture and cardiovascular outcome was higher in the highest OPG quartile versus the lower quartiles combined (HR 2.06 [95% CI, 1.35 to 3.14] and HR 2.98 [95% CI, 1.60 to 5.54], respectively). In conclusion, in older men, higher serum OPG levels represent an independent risk factor for cardiovascular and fracture risk. © 2017 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Older men with low serum IGF‐1 have an increased risk of incident fractures: The MrOS Sweden study

Osteoporosis‐related fractures constitute a major health concern not only in women but also in men. Insulin‐like growth factor 1 (IGF‐1) is a key determinant of bone mass, but the association between serum IGF‐1 and incident fractures in men remains unclear. To determine the predictive value of serum IGF‐1 for fracture risk in men, older men (n = 2902, mean age of 75 years) participating in the prospective, population‐based Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) Sweden study were followed for a mean of 3.3 years. Serum IGF‐1 was measured at baseline by radioimmunoassay. Fractures occurring after the baseline visit were validated. In age‐adjusted hazards regression analyses, serum IGF‐1 associated inversely with risk of all fractures [hazard ratio (HR) per SD decrease = 1.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07–1.41], hip fractures (HR per SD decrease = 1.45, 95% CI 1.07–1.97), and clinical vertebral fractures (HR per SD decrease = 1.40, 95% CI 1.10–1‐78). The predictive role of serum IGF‐1 for fracture risk was unaffected by adjustment for height, weight, prevalent fractures, falls, and major prevalent diseases. Further adjustment for bone mineral density (BMD) resulted in an attenuated but still significant association between serum IGF‐1 and fracture risk. Serum IGF‐1 below but not above the median was inversely related to fracture incidence. The population‐attributable risk proportion was 7.5% for all fractures and 22.9% for hip fractures. Taken together, older men with low serum IGF‐1 have an increased fracture risk, especially for the two most important fracture types, hip and vertebral fractures. The association between serum IGF‐1 and fracture risk is partly mediated via BMD. © 2011 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Inflammatory Markers and the Risk of Hip and Vertebral Fractures in Men: the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS)

Cytokines play major roles in regulating bone remodeling, but their relationship to incident fractures in older men is uncertain. We tested the hypothesis that men with higher concentrations of pro‐inflammatory markers have a higher risk of fracture. We used a case‐cohort design and measured inflammatory markers in a random sample of 961 men and in men with incident fractures including 120 clinical vertebral, 117 hip, and 577 non‐spine fractures; average follow‐up 6.13 years (7.88 years for vertebral fractures). We measured interleukin (IL)‐6, C‐reactive protein (CRP), tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNFα), soluble receptors (SR) of IL‐6 (IL‐6SR) and TNF (TNFαSR1 and TNFαSR2), and IL‐10. The risk of non‐spine, hip, and clinical vertebral fracture was compared across quartiles (Q) of inflammatory markers using Cox proportional hazard models with tests for linear trend. In multivariable‐adjusted models, men with the highest (Q4) TNFa cytokine concentrations and their receptors had a 2.0–4.2‐fold higher risk of hip and clinical vertebral fracture than men with the lowest (Q1). Results were similar for all non‐spine fractures, but associations were smaller. There was no association between CRP and IL‐6SR and fracture. Men in the highest Q of IL‐10 had a 49% lower risk of vertebral fracture compared with men in Q1. Among men with ≥3 inflammatory markers in the highest Q, the hazard ratio (HR) for hip fractures was 2.03 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11–3.71) and for vertebral fracture 3.06 (1.66–5.63). The HRs for hip fracture were attenuated by 27%, 27%, and 15%, respectively, after adjusting for appendicular lean mass (ALM), disability, and bone density, suggesting mediating roles. ALM also attenuated the HR for vertebral fractures by 10%. There was no association between inflammation and rate of hip BMD loss. We conclude that inflammation may play an important role in the etiology of fractures in older men. © 2016 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Postmenopausal bilateral oophorectomy is not associated with increased fracture risk in older women.

We studied whether oophorectomy performed after menopause is associated with an increased risk of hip or vertebral fractures in 6295 Study of Osteoporotic Fractures participants. There was no association between postmenopausal oophorectomy and the risk of hip or vertebral fractures. INTRODUCTION: Bilateral oophorectomy after natural menopause has been associated with an increased risk of osteoporotic fractures, potentially because of a decline in serum estradiol and testosterone levels after the oophorectomy. We prospectively tested this hypothesis in the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We studied 6295 white women 65 years of age participating in the SOF who were not taking estrogen therapy at baseline. Hip fracture analyses included 708 hip fractures; vertebral fracture analyses included 267 incident vertebral fractures. Baseline serum estradiol and free testosterone values were available in a small subset of participants. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: There were no significant differences in age, weight, or BMD between the women who underwent postmenopausal oophorectomy (n = 583) and those who did not (n = 5712). Free testosterone levels were significantly lower among women who had a postmenopausal oophorectomy. A history of postmenopausal oophorectomy was not associated with an increased risk of hip (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.1; 95% CI = 0.9-1.5) or vertebral fracture (HR = 0.7; 95% CI = 0.5-1.2). The relationship between oophorectomy and hip fracture was not altered by adding serum estradiol level (HR = 1.3; 95% CI = 0.5-3.2) or serum free testosterone level (HR = 1.7; 95% CI = 0.8-3.7) to the model. In summary, postmenopausal oophorectomy was not associated with an increased risk of hip or vertebral fracture in this cohort. These results are in contrast to previous findings, suggesting that the relationship between postmenopausal oophorectomy and fractures is not fully elucidated and that incidental oophorectomy after menopause should still be considered carefully in each potential patient.     

Prevalent vertebral deformities predict hip fractures and new vertebral deformities but not wrist fractures. Study of Osteoporotic Fractures Research Group.

Although vertebral deformities are known to predict future vertebral deformities, little is known about their ability to predict other osteoporotic fractures. We examined the association between prevalent vertebral deformities and incident osteoporotic fractures in the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures, a prospective study of 9704 women aged 65 years and older. Prevalent vertebral deformities were determined morphometrically from spinal radiographs at baseline and incident deformities from repeat spinal radiographs after a mean of 3.7 years. Appendicular fractures were collected by postcard every 4 months for a mean of 8.3 years. During follow-up, 389 women with new vertebral deformities, 464 with hip fractures, and 574 with wrist fractures were identified. Prevalent vertebral deformities were associated with a 5-fold increased risk (relative risk 5.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.4, 6.6) of sustaining a further vertebral deformity; the risk increased dramatically with both the number and severity of the prevalent deformities. Similarly, the risks of hip and any nonvertebral fractures were increased with baseline prevalent deformity, with relative risks of 2.8 (95% CI 2.3, 3.4) and 1.9 (95% CI 1.7, 2.1), respectively. Risk increased with number and severity of deformities. These associations remained significant after adjustment for age and calcaneal bone mineral density (BMD). Although there was a small increased risk of wrist fracture, this was not significant after adjusting for age and BMD. In conclusion, the presence of prevalent morphometrically defined vertebral deformities predicts future vertebral and nonvertebral fractures, including hip but not wrist fractures. Spinal radiographs identifying prevalent vertebral deformities may be a useful additional measurement to classify further a woman's risk of future fracture.     

Low Serum DHEAS Predicts Increased Fracture Risk in Older Men: The MrOS Sweden Study

The adrenal‐derived hormones dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA) and its sulfate (DHEAS) are the most abundant circulating hormones and their levels decline substantially with age. DHEAS is considered an inactive precursor, which is converted into androgens and estrogens via local metabolism in peripheral target tissues. The predictive value of serum DHEAS for fracture risk is unknown. The aim of this study was, therefore, to assess the associations between baseline DHEAS levels and incident fractures in a large cohort of older men. Serum DHEAS levels were analyzed with mass spectrometry in the population‐based Osteoporotic Fractures in Men study in Sweden (n = 2568, aged 69 to 81 years). Incident X‐ray validated fractures (all, n = 594; non‐vertebral major osteoporotic, n = 255; hip, n = 175; clinical vertebral, n = 206) were ascertained during a median follow‐up of 10.6 years. DHEAS levels were inversely associated with the risk of any fracture (hazard ratio [HR] per SD decrease = 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05–1.24), non‐vertebral major osteoporotic fractures (HR = 1.31, 95% CI 1.16–1.48), and hip fractures (HR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.02–1.37) but not clinical vertebral fractures (HR = 1.09, 95% CI 0.95–1.26) in Cox regression models adjusted for age, body mass index (BMI) and prevalent fractures. Further adjustment for traditional risk factors for fracture, bone mineral density (BMD), and/or physical performance variables as well as serum sex steroid levels only slightly attenuated the associations between serum DHEAS and fracture risk. Similarly, the point estimates were only marginally reduced after adjustment for FRAX estimates with BMD. The inverse association between serum DHEAS and all fractures or major osteoporotic fractures was nonlinear, with a substantial increase in fracture risk (all fractures 22%, major osteoporotic fractures 33%) for those participants with serum DHEAS levels below the median (0.60 μg/mL). In conclusion, low serum DHEAS levels are a risk marker of mainly non‐vertebral fractures in older men, of whom those with DHEAS levels below 0.60 μg/mL are at highest risk. © The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research Published by Wiley Periodicals Inc.