Rothman Index variability predicts clinical deterioration and rapid response activation

Background

The overall utility of the Rothman Index (RI), a global measure of inpatient acuity, for surgical patients is unclear. We evaluate whether RI variability can predict rapid response team (RRT) activation in surgical patients.

Total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio is independently associated with CKD progression

Purpose

Although dyslipidemia can cause kidney damage, whether it independently contributes to the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains controversial. The research aims to evaluate the predictive value of serum lipids and their ratios in the progression of CKD.

Methods

The retrospective, case–control study included 380 adult subjects with CKD stage 3–4 (G3-4) at baseline. The end point of follow-up was the progression of CKD, defined as a composite of renal function rapid decline [an annual estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline?>?5 mL/min/1.73 m²] or the new-onset end-stage renal disease (ESRD) [eGFR?<?15 mL/min/1.73 m²]. Logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the association between CKD progression and lipid parameters. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive power of lipid parameters in the progression of CKD.

Results

Over a median follow-up of 3.0 years, 96 participants (25.3%) developed CKD progression. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, logarithm-transformed urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (log ACR) [odds ratio (OR) 1.834;95% confidence interval (CI) 1.253–2.685; P?=?0.002] and total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TC/HDL-C) [OR 1.345; 95% CI 1.079–1.677; P?=?0.008] were independently associated with CKD progression. The ROC curve showed the combined predictor of ACR and TC/HDL-C ratio was acceptable for CKD progression diagnosis (area under the ROC curve [AUC]?=?0.716, sensitivity 50.0%, specificity 84.2%), and the cut-off value was ? 0.98.

Conclusions

The combination of TC/HDL-C ratio and ACR had predictive value in the progression of CKD, and may help identify the high-risk population with CKD.

     

Relationship between hepatitis B virus infection and chronic kidney disease in Asian populations: a meta-analysis

Purpose: To evaluate the association of Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Methods: We searched Embase, Grateful Med, Ovid, PubMed, and the China Biological Medicine Database. A meta-analysis was performed to assess whether HBV infection plays an independent impact on the development of CKD in the general population. Relative risks of CKD (defined as reduced glomerular filtration rate or proteinuria) according to HBsAg serologic status were studied.

Results: Six eligible clinical studies (189,709 individuals in total) were included in the analysis. There was no association between HBsAg seropositive status and prevalence of CKD, the summary estimate for adjusted relative risk (RR) was 1.16 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.78, 1.71; p?=?.46) according to the random-effects model, and between studies heterogeneity was noted (p values by Q test <0.001). Also, there were no significant associations between positive HBV serologic status and low eGFR (adjusted relative risk, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.72, 1.26; p?=?.72) or proteinuria (adjusted relative risk, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.83, 1.20; p?=?.99).

Conclusions: This meta-analysis shows that there was no association between exposure to HBV and the risk of developing CKD in Asian populations.     

Kidney function predicts the risk of asymptomatic peripheral arterial disease in a Chinese community-based population

Purpose

Lower-extremity peripheral arterial disease (PAD) can predict the risk of subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) as a precursor of CVD has been proven to be independently associated with PAD. However, few data exist regarding the prediction value of kidney function for incident asymptomatic PAD in community-based populations. We aimed to investigate the predicting value of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) for incident asymptomatic PAD in a Chinese community-based population. A total of 3549 subjects without PAD and eGFR?>?30 ml/min/1.73 m² were included.

Methods

PAD was defined by an ankle-brachial index (ABI)?≤?0.9. Multivariate regression models were used to evaluate the associations.

Results

Subjects were 56.69?±?8.56 years old and 35.9% were males. After 2.36 years of follow-up, the incidence of asymptomatic PAD was 3.1%. The risk of incident PAD was graded related to the categories of eGFR. Compared to participants with normal kidney function, the multivariate adjusted OR [95% CI] for new PAD was 1.31 (0.81–2.12) for those with mildly decreased kidney function, 4.13 (1.73–9.89) for those with grades 3 CKD (P for trend: 0.014). Baseline eGFR was significantly and linearly associated with incident PAD (OR [95% CI] for each 5 mL/min/1.73 m² decrease of eGFR: 1.23 [1.09–1.38]) in participants with baseline eGFR?<?90 mL/min/1.73 m² but not in those with baseline eGFR?≥?90 mL/min/1.73 m² after adjustment for covariates.

Conclusion

Kidney function was an independent risk factor for development of incident PAD in community-based population with baseline eGFR?≤?90 mL/min/1.73 m².

     

The effect of prophylactic mesh implantation on the development of incisional hernias in patients with elevated BMI: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Incisional hernia is a common complication after midline laparotomy. In certain risk profiles incidences can reach up to 70%. Large RCTs showed a positive effect of prophylactic mesh reinforcement (PMR) in high-risk populations.

Objectives

The aim was to evaluate the effect of prophylactic mesh reinforcement on incisional hernia reduction in obese patients after midline laparotomies.

Methods

Following the PRISMA guidelines, a systematic literature search in Medline, Web of Science and CENTRAL was conducted. RCTs investigating PMR in patients with a BMI ≥ 27 reporting incisional hernia as primary outcome were included. Study quality was assessed using the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool and certainty of evidence was rated according to the GRADE Working Group grading of evidence. A random-effects model was used for the meta-analysis. Secondary outcomes included postoperative complications.

Results

Out of 2298 articles found by a systematic literature search, five RCTs with 1136 patients were included. There was no significant difference in the incidence of incisional hernia when comparing PMR with primary suture (odds ratio (OR) 0.59, 95% CI 0.34–1.01, p = 0.06, GRADE: low). Meta-analyses of seroma formation (OR 1.62, 95% CI 0.72–3.65; p = 0.24, GRADE: low) and surgical site infections (OR 1.52, 95% CI 0.72–3.22, p = 0.28, GRADE: moderate) showed no significant differences as well as subgroup analyses for BMI ≥ 40 and length of stay.

Conclusions

We did not observe a significant reduction of the incidence of incisional hernia with prophylactic mesh reinforcement used in patients with elevated BMI. These results stand in contrast to the current recommendation for hernia prevention in obese patients.

     

The Cholecystectomy As A Day Case (CAAD) Score: A Validated Score of Preoperative Predictors of Successful Day-Case Cholecystectomy Using the CholeS Data Set

Background

Day-case surgery is associated with significant patient and cost benefits. However, only 43% of cholecystectomy patients are discharged home the same day. One hypothesis is day-case cholecystectomy rates, defined as patients discharged the same day as their operation, may be improved by better assessment of patients using standard preoperative variables.

Methods

Data were extracted from a prospectively collected data set of cholecystectomy patients from 166 UK and Irish hospitals (CholeS). Cholecystectomies performed as elective procedures were divided into main (75%) and validation (25%) data sets. Preoperative predictors were identified, and a risk score of failed day case was devised using multivariate logistic regression. Receiver operating curve analysis was used to validate the score in the validation data set.

Results

Of the 7426 elective cholecystectomies performed, 49% of these were discharged home the same day. Same-day discharge following cholecystectomy was less likely with older patients (OR 0.18, 95% CI 0.15–0.23), higher ASA scores (OR 0.19, 95% CI 0.15–0.23), complicated cholelithiasis (OR 0.38, 95% CI 0.31 to 0.48), male gender (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.58–0.74), previous acute gallstone-related admissions (OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.48–0.60) and preoperative endoscopic intervention (OR 0.40, 95% CI 0.34–0.47). The CAAD score was developed using these variables. When applied to the validation subgroup, a CAAD score of ≤5 was associated with 80.8% successful day-case cholecystectomy compared with 19.2% associated with a CAAD score >5 (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

The CAAD score which utilises data readily available from clinic letters and electronic sources can predict same-day discharges following cholecystectomy.

     

15-year-change of phenotype and prognosis in non-dialysis CKD patients referred to a nephrology clinic

Purpose

Changes over time of phenotype and prognosis in CKD patients starting nephrology care are undefined. This information is critical to correctly plan and optimize healthcare resources and clinical management in tertiary care.

Methods

We performed a long-term observational cohort study including 2,866 non-dialysis CKD patients newly referred to our nephrology clinic from 2004 to 2018. Three cohorts were constituted based on 5-year calendar intervals (2004–2008, 2009–2013, and 2014–2018). The changes over time of main demographic, clinical and laboratory characteristics were compared among the three cohorts. We also compared between cohorts the risk of renal death (combined endpoint of renal replacement therapy-RRT, or death before RRT) as well as of the single components (RRT or death).

Results

Across the three cohorts, we detected a significant increase in the prevalence of age?≥?75 years (from 22.0 to 28.4%), male gender (from 53.1 to 62.1%), diabetes (from 32.6 to 39.5%), severe proteinuria?≥?500 mg/24 h (from 46.9 to 52.4%). Mean eGFR at referral declined from 56.8?±?27.0 to 49.6?±?26.1 mL/min/1.73m². Incidence of renal death significantly declined over time (5.36, 3.22 and 4.54/100 pts-year in 2004–2008, 2009–2013 and 2014–2018 cohorts, respectively). As compared with patients referred in 2004–2008, adjusted risk of renal death was lower in patients referred in 2009–2013 (HR 0.49, 95%CI 0.34–0.69) and 2014–2018 (HR 0.61, 95%CI 0.45–0.84). Similar results were obtained for RRT, while mortality did not change over time.

Conclusions

In the last 15 years, phenotype of newly referred CKD patients has remarkably changed with increasing frequency of older patients and more severe disease; however, renal survival improved suggesting greater efficacy of nephrology care.

     

Association between ion shift index and prognosis in severe trauma patients without isolated head injury

IntroductionThis study aimed to investigate the ion shift index (ISI) as a prognostic factor of severe trauma. We hypothesized that the initial ISI measured in the emergency department (ED) is associated with discharge survival in severe non-isolated head injury (IHI) patients.Materials and methodsThis retrospective observational study included severe trauma patients with available medical records from January 2017 to December 2018 but excluded those with IHI. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify the risk factors for mortality in non-IHI patients, and adjustments were performed for relevant covariates. An area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) analysis was performed to examine the primary outcome of our study, which was mortality at hospital discharge in severe non-IHI trauma patients.ResultsOf the 483 severe non-IHI trauma patients included in the study, 86 patients (17.8 %) died. The multiple logistic regression analysis demonstrated ISI (odds ratio [OR], 2.300; 95% CI, 1.183–4.470) was significantly associated with mortality in the non-IHI group. Additionally, trauma and injury severity score (TRISS; OR, 0.538; 95% CI, 0.447–0.649), lactate (OR, 1.410; 95% CI, 1.252–1.588), creatinine (OR, 1.554; 95% CI, 1.221–1.979), and activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT; OR, 1.050; 95% CI, 1.021–1.080) were independently associated with mortality at hospital discharge. The AUROC values for TRISS, lactate, aPTT, creatinine, and ISI were as follows: 0.892 (95% CI, 0.861–0.918), 0.838 (95% CI, 0.803–0.870), 0.754 (95% CI, 0.712–0.792), 0.650 (95% CI, 0.606–0.693), and 0.848 (95% CI, 0.813–0.879), respectively. The AUROC for the multiple logistic regression model with ISI was 0.942 (95% CI, 0.917–0.962). In a model in which TRISS was omitted, the addition of ISI to other predictors significantly improved the AUROC to 0.900 (95% CI, 0.869-0.925) (p=0.039).ConclusionThe initial ISI in the ED after trauma was associated with mortality in severe non-IHI trauma patients. In conjunction with other prognostic indicators, it could be used as an early prognostic marker, particularly if TRISS is unavailable.     

Comparison of Intensive Care and Trauma-specific Scoring Systems in Critically Ill Patients

IntroductionAmongst critically ill trauma patients admitted to ICU and still alive and in ICU after 24 hours, it is unclear which trauma scoring system offers the best performance in predicting in-hospital mortality.MethodsThe Australia and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Adult Patient Database and Victorian State Trauma Registry were linked using a unique patient identification number. Six scoring systems were evaluated: the Australian and New Zealand Risk of Death (ANZROD), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III (APACHE III) score and associated APACHE III Risk of Death (ROD), Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS), Injury Severity Score (ISS), New Injury Severity Score (NISS) and the Revised Trauma Score (RTS). Patients who were admitted to ICU for longer than 24 hours were analysed. Performance of each scoring system was assessed primarily by examining the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and in addition using standardised mortality ratios, Brier score and Hosmer-Lemeshow C statistics where appropriate. Subgroup assessments were made for patients aged 65 years and older, patients between 18 and 40 years of age, major trauma centre and head injury.ResultsOverall, 5,237 major trauma patients who were still alive and in ICU after 24 hours were studied from 25 ICUs in Victoria, Australia between July 2008 and January 2018. Hospital mortality was 10.7%. ANZROD (AUROC 0.91; 95% CI 0.90-0.92), APACHE III ROD (AUROC 0.88; 95% CI 0.87-0.90), and APACHE III (AUROC 0.88; 95% CI 0.87-0.89) were the best performing tools for predicting hospital mortality. TRISS had acceptable overall performance (AUROC 0.78; 95% CI 0.76-0.80) while ISS (AUROC 0.61; 95% CI 0.59-0.64), NISS (AUROC 0.68; 95% CI 0.65-0.70) and RTS (AUROC 0.69; 95% CI 0.67-0.72) performed poorly. The performance of each scoring system was highest in younger adults and poorest in older adults.ConclusionIn ICU patients admitted with a trauma diagnosis and still alive and in ICU after 24 hours, ANZROD and APACHE III had a superior performance when compared with traditional trauma-specific scoring systems in predicting hospital mortality. This was observed both overall and in each of the subgroup analyses. The anatomical scoring systems all performed poorly in the ICU population of Victoria, Australia.     

Factors contributing to a longer length of stay in adults admitted to a quaternary spinal care center

Background

Longer hospital length of stay (LOS) has been associated with worse outcomes and increased resource utilization. However, diagnostic and patient-level factors associated with LOS have not been well studied on a large scale. The goal was to identify patient, surgical and organizational factors associated with longer patient LOS for adult patients at a high-volume quaternary spinal care center.

Methods

We performed a retrospective analysis of 13,493 admissions from January 2006 to December 2019. Factors analyzed included age, sex, admission status (emergent vs scheduled), ASIA grade, operative vs non-operative management, mean blood loss, operative time, and adverse events. Specific adverse events included surgical site infection (SSI), other infection (systemic or UTI), neuropathic pain, delirium, dural tear, pneumonia, and dysphagia. Diagnostic categories included trauma, oncology, deformity, degenerative, and “other”. A multivariable linear regression model was fit to log-transformed LOS to determine independent factors associated with patient LOS, with effects expressed as multipliers on mean LOS.

Results

Mean LOS for the population (SD) was 15.8 (34.0) days. Factors significantly (p < 0.05) associated with longer LOS were advanced patient age [multiplier on mean LOS 1.011/year (95% CI: 1.007–1.015)], emergency admission [multiplier on mean LOS 1.615 (95% CI: 1.337–1.951)], ASIA grade [multiplier on mean LOS 1.125/grade (95% CI: 1.051–1.205)], operative management [multiplier on mean LOS 1.211 (95% CI: 1.006–1.459)], and the occurrence of one or more AEs [multiplier on mean LOS 2.613 (95% CI: 2.188–3.121)]. Significant AEs included postoperative SSI [multiplier on mean LOS 1.749 (95% CI: 1.250–2.449)], other infections (systemic infections and UTI combined) [multiplier on mean LOS 1.650 (95% CI: 1.359–2.004)], delirium [multiplier on mean LOS 1.404 (95% CI: 1.103–1.787)], and pneumonia [multiplier on mean LOS 1.883 (95% CI: 1.447–2.451)]. Among the diagnostic categories explored, degenerative patients experienced significantly shorter LOS [multiplier on mean LOS 0.672 (95%CI: 0.535–0.844), p < 0.001] compared to non-degenerative categories.

Conclusion

This large-scale study taking into account diagnostic categories identified several factors associated with patient LOS. Future interventions should target modifiable factors to minimize LOS and guide hospital resource allocation thereby improving patient outcomes and quality of care and decreasing healthcare-associated costs.

     

Kidney failure,CKD progression and mortality after nephrectomy

Purpose

This study tested the hypothesis that progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is less aggressive in patients whose primary cause of CKD was nephrectomy, compared with non-surgical causes.

Methods

A sample of 5983 patients from five specialist nephrology practices was ascertained from the Queensland CKD Registry. Rates of kidney failure/death were compared on primary aetiology of CKD using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. CKD progression was compared using multivariable linear and logistic regression analyses.

Results

Of 235 patients with an acquired single kidney as their primary cause of CKD, 24 (10%) and 38 (17%) developed kidney failure or died at median [IQR] follow-up times of 12.9 [2.5–31.0] and 33.6 [18.0–57.9] months after recruitment. Among patients with an eGFR?<?45 mL/min per 1.73m² at recruitment, patients with diabetic nephropathy and PCKD had the highest rates (per 1000 person-years) of kidney failure (107.8, 95% CI 71.0–163.8; 75.5, 95% CI 65.6–87.1); whereas, patients with glomerulonephritis and an acquired single kidney had lower rates (52.9, 95% CI 38.8–72.1; 34.6, 95% CI 20.5–58.4, respectively). Among patients with an eGFR?≥?45 mL/min per 1.73m², those with diabetic nephropathy had the highest rates of kidney failure (16.6, 95% CI 92.5–117.3); whereas, those with glomerulonephritis, PCKD and acquired single kidney had a lower risk (11.3, 95% CI 7.1–17.9; 11.7, 95% CI 3.8–36.2; 10.7, 95% CI 4.0–28.4, respectively).

Conclusion

Patients who developed CKD after nephrectomy had similar rates of adverse events to most other causes of CKD, except for diabetic nephropathy which was consistently associated with worse outcomes. While CKD after nephrectomy is not the most aggressive cause of kidney disease, it is by no means benign, and is associated with a tangible risk of kidney failure and death, which is comparable to other major causes of CKD.

     

Bone mineral density in children and young adults with idiopathic scoliosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose

Osteoporosis is a risk factor for idiopathic scoliosis (IS) progression, but it is still unclear whether IS patients have bone mineral density (BMD) loss and a higher risk of osteoporosis than asymptomatic people. This systematic review aims to explore the differences in BMD and prevalence of osteoporosis between the IS group and the control group.

Methods

We searched 5 health science-related databases. Studies that were published up to February 2022 and written in English and Chinese languages were included. The primary outcome measures consisted of BMD z score, the prevalence of osteoporosis and osteopenia, and areal and volumetric BMD. Bone morphometry, trabecular microarchitecture, and quantitative ultrasound measures were included in the secondary outcome measures. The odds ratio (OR) and the weighted mean difference (WMD) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) were used to pool the data.

Results

A total of 32 case–control studies were included. The pooled analysis revealed significant differences between the IS group and the control group in BMD z score (WMD −1.191; 95% CI  − 1.651 to −0.732, p  <  0.001). Subgroup analysis showed significance in both female (WMD −1.031; 95% CI −1.496 to −0.566, p  <  0.001) and male participants (WMD −1.516; 95% CI −2.401 to −0.632, p  =  0.001). The prevalence of osteoporosis and osteopenia in the group with IS was significantly higher than in the control group (OR  =  6.813, 95% CI 2.815–16.489, p  <  0.001; OR 1.879; 95% CI 1.548–2.281, p  <  0.000). BMD measures by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry and peripheral quantitative computed tomography showed a significant decrease in the IS group (all p  <  0.05), but no significant difference was found in the speed of sound measured by quantitative ultrasound between the two groups (p > 0.05).

Conclusion

Both the male and female IS patients had a generalized lower BMD and an increased prevalence of osteopenia and osteoporosis than the control group. Future research should focus on the validity of quantitative ultrasound in BMD screening. To control the risk of progression in IS patients, regular BMD scans and targeted intervention are necessary for IS patients during clinical practice.

     

Transapical versus transfemoral approach and risk of acute kidney injury following transcatheter aortic valve replacement: a propensity-adjusted analysis

Background: The aim of this study was to compare the incidence of post-procedural acute kidney injury (AKI) and other renal outcomes in patients undergoing transapical (TA) and transfemoral (TF) approaches for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR).

Methods: All consecutive adult patients undergoing TAVR for aortic stenosis from 1 January 2008 to 30 June 2014 at a tertiary referral hospital were included. AKI was defined based on Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria. Logistic regression adjustment, propensity score stratification, and propensity matching were performed to assess the independent association between procedural approach and AKI.

Results: Of 366 included patients, 171 (47%) underwent TAVR via a TA approach. AKI occurrence in this group was significantly higher compared to the TF group (38% vs. 18%, p?Conclusion: In a cohort of patients undergoing TAVR for aortic stenosis, a TA approach significantly increases the AKI risk compared with a TF approach. However, the TAVR approach did not affect severe renal outcomes or long-term renal function.     

Mortality in Older Patients with Breast Cancer Undergoing Breast Surgery: How Low is “Low Risk”?

Background

Breast surgery carries a low risk of postoperative mortality. For older patients with multiple comorbidities, even low-risk procedures can confer some increased perioperative risk. We sought to identify factors associated with postoperative mortality in breast cancer patients ≥70 years to create a nomogram for predicting risk of death within 90 days.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with nonmetastatic invasive breast cancer (2010–2016) were selected from the National Cancer Database. Unadjusted OS was estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate the association of age and surgery with 90-day mortality and to build a predictive nomogram.

Results

Among surgical patients ≥70 years, unadjusted 90-day mortality increased with increasing age (70–74 = 0.4% vs. ≥85 = 1.6%), comorbidity score (0 = 0.5% vs. ≥3 = 2.7%), and disease stage (I = 0.4% vs. III = 2.7%; all p < 0.001). After adjustment, death within 90 days of surgery was associated with higher age (≥85 vs. 70–74: odds ratio [OR] 3.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.74–3.65), comorbidity score (≥3 vs. 0: OR 4.79, 95% CI 3.89–5.89), and disease stage (III vs. I: OR 4.30, 95% CI 3.69–5.00). Based on these findings, seven variables (age, gender, comorbidity score, facility type, facility location, clinical stage, and surgery type) were selected to build a nomogram; estimates of risk of death within 90 days ranged from <1 to >30%.

Conclusions

Breast operations remain relatively low-risk procedures for older patients with breast cancer, but select factors can be used to estimate the risk of postoperative mortality to guide surgical decision-making among older women.

     

Association of angiotensin-converting enzyme insertion/deletion polymorphism with type 1 diabetic nephropathy: a meta-analysis

Objective: This study aimed to systematically evaluate the effect of an angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) insertion/deletion (I/D) gene polymorphism on type 1 diabetic nephropathy (DN).

Methods: Cochrane Library, Embase, PubMed, Science Direct, Web of science, Wanfang data, VIP database, China Knowledge Resource Integrated Database, and SinoMed were searched. A total of 17 case–control studies analyzing ACE I/D polymorphism and type 1 DN risk were included in the present meta-analysis.

Results: Overall, a significant increased risk was found in allele comparison (OR?=?1.16, 95% CI?=?1.05–1.28, p?=?0.04), dominant comparison (OR?=?1.56, 95% CI?=?1.14–2.15, p?=?0.006) and homozygote comparison (OR?=?1.52, 95% CI?=?1.06–2.19, p?=?0.02). In subgroup analyses according to ethnicity, the risk of type 1 DN in Asian population was increased in allele comparison (OR?=?1.98, 95% CI?=?1.15–3.42, p?=?0.01), recessive comparison (OR?=?2.48, 95% CI?=?1.51–4.10, p?=?0.0004), dominant comparison (OR?=?3.15, 95% CI?=?1.90–5.23, p?p?=?0.05). However, there was no association between the ACE I/D genetic variants and type 1 DN in Caucasian populations.

Conclusions: Our meta-analysis results indicate that the ACE I/D polymorphism may contribute to type 1 DN development, especially in the Asian groups with type 1 diabetes. The current findings need to be confirmed by future well-designed and larger sample size primary studies in populations with different ethnicities.     

Pre-treatment Eckardt score is a simple factor for predicting one-year peroral endoscopic myotomy failure in patients with achalasia

Background

Peroral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) is a novel treatment for achalasia with excellent outcomes. But the predictor for treatment failure is not well defined. This study was aimed to prospectively investigate the factors for predicting failed POEM.

Methods

From June 2011 to May 2015, a total of 115 achalasia patients treated by POEM were included for the retrospective cohort study from Nanfang Hospital and the First People’s Hospital of Yunnan Province. Patients were followed up with Eckardt score, high-resolution manometry and endoscope. POEM failure was defined as primary failure (Eckardt score failed to decrease to 3 or below) and recurrences (decrease of Eckardt score to 3 or below, then rise to more than 3) during one-year follow-up. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to assess the predictive factor. For the associated factor, receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was utilized to determine the cutoff value of the predicting factor.

Results

The failure rate of POEM after 1 year was 7.0% (8/115), including 5 primary failure cases and 3 recurrences. Multivariate analysis showed higher pre-treatment Eckardt score was the single independent factor associated with POEM failure [9.5 (6–12) vs. 7 (2–12), odds ratio (OR) 2.24, 95 confidence interval (95% CI) 1.39–3.93, p = 0.001]. The cutoff value (Eckardt score ≥9) had 87.5 sensitivity (95% CI 47.3–99.7%) and 73.8% specificity (95% CI 64.4–81.9%) for predicting failed POEM.

Conclusions

Pre-treatment Eckardt score could be a predictive factor for failed POEM. Eckardt score ≥9 was associated with high sensitivity and specificity for predicting POEM failure.

     

Use of renal replacement therapy after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Denmark 2005–2013

Abstract

Objectives: Renal replacement therapy (RRT) is used to treat acute kidney injury as part of multi organ failure. Use and prognostic implications after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is not well known.

This study aims to assess incidence and use of RRT and whether RRT post-arrest was associated with 30-day mortality in Denmark in the years 2005–2013. Methods: The Danish Cardiac Arrest Registry holds information on all OHCA patients in Denmark from 2005 to 2013. We identified 3,012 one-day survivors of OHCA ≥18 years, with presumed cardiac aetiology of arrest, admitted to ICU without previous RRT. Change in use of RRT during the study period was assessed using competing risk analysis. Mortality was assessed with Cox regression. Results: On average, RRT was performed in 6% of the patient population with an average annual 1% increase, HR: 1.01, CI: 0.95–1.07, p?=?.69. Hazard of RRT was lower in patients receiving bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) (p?<?.001), patients with a shockable primary rhythm (p?=?.009) and elderly patients (p?=?.03). Socioeconomic factors did not influence hazard of RRT, but patients admitted to tertiary centres had higher hazard of RRT (p?=?.009).

Use of RRT was associated with increased mortality in multivariate Cox regression (HR: 1.28, CI: 1.06–1.55, p?=?.01). Conclusion: Use of RRT as part of post resuscitation care following OHCA did not increase from 2005 to 2013; use was more common in tertiary centres and in patients with negative prehospital predictors (no bystander CPR, non-shockable rhythm). RRT was associated with increased mortality.     

Effects of far infrared therapy on arteriovenous fistulas in hemodialysis patients: a meta-analysis

Background: Far infrared (FIR) therapy may have a beneficial effect on maturity and function of arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) in hemodialysis (HD) patients. Therefore, we performed this pooled analysis to assess the protective effects of FIR therapy in HD patients.

Methods: The randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and quasi-RCTs of FIR therapy for HD patients were searched from multiple databases. Relevant studies were screened according to the predefined inclusion criteria. The meta-analyses were performed using RevMan 5.2 software (The Cochrane Collaboration, Oxford, UK).

Results: Meta-analysis showed that FIR therapy could significantly increase the vascular access blood flow level (MD, 81.69?ml/min; 95% CI, 46.17–117.21; p?p?p?p?p?Conclusions: FIR therapy can reduce AVFs occlusion rates and needling pain level, while significantly improve the level of vascular access blood flow, AVFs diameter and the primary AVFs patency.     

Urinary protein and renal prognosis in idiopathic membranous nephropathy: a multicenter retrospective cohort study in Japan

Background: Several studies have revealed a relationship between proteinuria and renal prognosis in idiopathic membranous nephropathy (IMN). The benefit of achieving subnephrotic proteinuria (<3.5?g/day), however, has not been well described.

Methods: This multicenter, retrospective cohort study included 171 patients with IMN from 10 nephrology centers in Japan. The relationship between urinary protein over time and a decrease of 30% in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was assessed using time-dependent multivariate Cox regression models adjusted for clinically relevant factors.

Results: During the observation period (median, 37?months; interquartile range, 16–71?months), 37 (21.6%) patients developed a 30% decline in eGFR, and 2 (1.2%) progressed to end-stage renal disease. Time-dependent multivariate Cox regression models revealed that lower proteinuria over time were significantly associated with a lower risk for a decrease of 30% in eGFR (primary outcome), adjusted for clinically relevant factors. Complete remission (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.005 [95%CI, 0.0–0.09], p?p?=?.002), and 1.0 to 3.5?g/day (ICR II) (adjusted HR, 0.12 [95%CI, 0.02–0.64], p?=?.013) were significantly associated with avoiding a 30% decrease in eGFR, compared to that at no remission.

Conclusions: Attaining lower proteinuria predicts good renal survival in Japanese patients with IMN. This study quantifies the impact of proteinuria reduction in IMN and the clinical relevance of achieving subnephrotic proteinuria in IMN as a valuable prognostic indicator for both the clinician and patient.     

Reduced kidney function is a risk factor for atrial fibrillation

There is limited knowledge on the relationship between kidney function and incidence of atrial fibrillation. Thus, this prospective study was designed to evaluate whether various biomarkers of kidney function are associated to the risk of atrial fibrillation. The study population consisted of 1840 subjects (615 women and 1225 men) aged 61–82 years. Cystatin C‐ and creatinine‐based estimation of glomerular filtration rate (eGFR_cys and eGRF_creat, respectively) and urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR) were assessed to investigate their relationship with the risk of atrial fibrillation. During a median follow‐up of 3.7 years, a total of 159 incident atrial fibrillation cases occurred. After adjustment for potential confounders, the risk of atrial fibrillation was increased (hazard ratio 2.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.56–4.81, P < 0.001) in subjects with reduced kidney function (eGFR_cys, 15–59 mL/min per 1.73 m²) compared to subjects with normal kidney function (≥90 mL/min per 1.73 m²). Similar results were also found when comparing the respective groups of subjects defined by their eGRF_creat levels (hazard ratio 2.41, CI 1.09–5.30, P = 0.029). Consistently, subjects with ACR ≥300 mg/g had an increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation (hazard ratio 2.16, CI 1.35–2.82, P < 0.001) compared to those with ACR <30 mg/g. Reduced eGFR and albuminuria were associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation.