COVID-19 and geographical area of origin

ObjectivesTo describe and compare the main clinical characteristics and outcome measures in hospitalized patients with confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) according to geographical area of origin.MethodsA retrospective analysis of patients hospitalized with confirmed COVID-19 at a referral centre in Madrid, Spain, during March–May 2020 was performed. Recorded variables (age, gender, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, outcome), and geographical area of origin were compared for Europeans and non-Europeans (Latin Americans, Asians and Africans).ResultsIn total, 2345 patients with confirmed COVID-19 hospitalized during the study period were included in the study. Of these, 1956 (83.4%) were European and 389 (16.6%) were non-European (of whom over 90%, 354/389, were Latin American). Non-Europeans were significantly younger than Europeans (mean 54 (SD 13.5) versus 70.4 (SD 15.1) years, p < 0.001); the majority were male (1420/2345, 60.6%), with no significant differences in gender between Europeans and non-Europeans (1197/1956 (61.2%) male in the European group versus 223/389 (57.3%) male in the non-European group, p 0.15). In-hospital mortality overall was higher in Europeans (443/1956, 22.7%) than in non-Europeans (40/389, 10.3%) (p < 0.001), but there were no significant differences when adjusted for age/gender (OR 1.27, 95% CI 0.86–1.88). Non-Europeans were more frequently admitted to ICU (71/389, 18.3%) compared with Europeans (187/1956, 9.6%) (p < 0.001) and a difference in ICU admission rate was also found when adjusted for age/gender (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.03–1.98).ConclusionsNo significant differences in mortality were observed between Europeans and non-Europeans (mainly Latin Americans), but an increase in ICU admission rate was found in non-Europeans.     

N-antigenemia detection by a rapid lateral flow test predicts 90-day mortality in COVID-19: A prospective cohort study

ObjectivesTo evaluate if the detection of N antigen of SARS-CoV-2 in plasma by a rapid lateral flow test predicts 90-day mortality in COVID-19 patients hospitalized at the wards.MethodsThe presence of N-antigenemia was evaluated in the first 36 hours after hospitalization in 600 unvaccinated COVID-19 patients, by using the Panbio COVID-19 Ag Rapid Test Device from Abbott (Abbott Laboratories Inc., Chicago, IL, USA). The impact of N-antigenemia on 90-day mortality was assessed by multivariable Cox regression analysis.ResultsPrevalence of N-antigenemia at hospitalization was higher in nonsurvivors (69% (82/118) vs. 52% (250/482); p < 0.001). The patients with N-antigenemia showed more frequently RNAemia (45.7% (148/324) vs. 19.8% (51/257); p < 0.001), absence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 N antibodies (80.7% (264/327) vs. 26.6% (69/259); p < 0.001) and absence of S1 antibodies (73.4% (240/327) vs. 23.6% (61/259); p < 0.001). The patients with antigenemia showed more frequently acute respiratory distress syndrome (30.1% (100/332) vs. 18.7% (50/268); p = 0.001) and nosocomial infections (13.6% (45/331) vs. 7.9% (21/267); p = 0.026). N-antigenemia was a risk factor for increased 90-day mortality in the multivariable analysis (HR, 1.99 (95% CI,1.09–3.61), whereas the presence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 N-antibodies represented a protective factor (HR, 0.47 (95% CI, 0.26–0.85).DiscussionThe presence of N-antigenemia or the absence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 N-antibodies after hospitalization is associated to increased 90-day mortality in unvaccinated COVID-19 patients. Detection of N-antigenemia by using lateral flow tests is a quick, widely available tool that could contribute to early identify those COVID-19 patients at risk of deterioration.     

Impact of prior statin use on clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients: data from tertiary referral hospitals during COVID-19 pandemic in Italy

BackgroundEpidemiological evidence suggests that anti-inflammatory and immunomodulatory properties of statins may reduce the risk of infections and infection-related complications.ObjectiveWe aimed to assess the impact of prior statin use on coronavirus disease (COVID-19) severity and mortality.MethodsIn this observational multicenter study, consecutive patients hospitalized for COVID-19 were enrolled. In-hospital mortality and severity of COVID-19 assessed with National Early Warning Score (NEWS) were deemed primary and secondary outcomes, respectively. Propensity score (PS) matching was used to obtain balanced cohorts.ResultsAmong 842 patients enrolled, 179 (21%) were treated with statins before admission. Statin patients showed more comorbidities and more severe COVID-19 (NEWS 4 [IQR 2–6] vs 3 [IQR 2–5], p < 0.001). Despite having similar rates of intensive care unit admission, noninvasive ventilation, and mechanical ventilation, statin users appeared to show higher mortality rates. After balancing pre-existing relevant clinical conditions that could affect COVID-19 prognosis with PS matching, statin therapy confirmed its association with a more severe disease (NEWS ≥5 61% vs. 48%, p = 0.025) but not with in-hospital mortality (26% vs. 28%, p = 0.185). At univariate logistic regression analysis, statin use was confirmed not to be associated with mortality (OR 0.901; 95% CI: 0.537 to 1.51; p = 0.692) and to be associated with a more severe disease (NEWS≥5 OR 1.7; 95% CI 1.067–2.71; p = 0.026).ConclusionsOur results did not confirm the supposed favorable effects of statin therapy on COVID-19 outcomes. Conversely, they suggest that statin use should be considered as a proxy of underlying comorbidities, which indeed expose to increased risks of more severe COVID-19.     

Racial disparities in patients hospitalized for COVID-19

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the significance of health disparities across populations with older adults and minoritized groups being disproportionately affected. Data during the COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated higher infection rates, hospitalization rates, morbidity, and potentially greater mortality in Black, Hispanic, and Native Americans compared to Whites.MethodsThis is a retrospective cohort study of de-identified patient data from 178 hospitals across the United States. Outcome variables were the length of stay, in-hospital mortality, disease severity, and discharge disposition. Outcomes were stratified by sex and racial groups.ResultsOf 45,360 patients, 22% were Black, 35% were Hispanic, 37% were White, and 6% were Other. The overall mortality rate was 15% across all groups but was 17% for White patients, 10% for Black patients, 14% for Hispanic patients, and 15% for patients categorized as Other. However, White patients have higher median age on admission (71 years) compared to Blacks (60 years), Hispanics (57 years), and Other (61 years). Race remained statistically significant in a multivariable model that included age, sex, and race. 6484 patients required ICU admission, intubation, and hemodynamic support. This burden was disproportionate across racial groups, with 15.6% of Blacks and 13.9% of non-Blacks having such critical disease (p < 0.0001, z-test for proportions).ConclusionsIn this national study of admitted patients with COVID-19, White patients admitted were older on average compared to other racial/ethnic groups and had a higher mortality rate compared to non-Whites hospitalized for COVID-19. Black patients were significantly more likely to require admission to the ICU, mechanical ventilation, and hemodynamic support. These COVID-19 health disparities highlight the importance of addressing social and structural determinants of health.     

Clinical course and factors associated with outcomes among 1904 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in Germany: an observational study

ObjectivesIn Germany the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic situation is unique among large European countries in that incidence and case fatality rate are distinctly lower. We describe the clinical course and examine factors associated with outcomes among patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in Germany.MethodsIn this retrospective cohort study we included patients with COVID-19 admitted to a national network of German hospitals between February 12 and June 12, 2020. We examined demographic characteristics, comorbidities and clinical outcomes.ResultsWe included 1904 patients with a median age of 73 years, 48.5% (924/1904) of whom were female. The mortality rate was 17% (317/1835; 95% confidence interval (95%CI) 16–19), the rate of admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) was 21% (399/1860; 95%CI 20–23), and the rate of invasive mechanical ventilation was 14% (250/1850: 95%CI 12–15). The most prominent risk factors for death were male sex (hazard ratio (HR) 1.45; 95%CI 1.15–1.83), pre-existing lung disease (HR 1.61; 95%CI 1.20–2.16), and increased patient age (HR 4.11 (95%CI 2.57–6.58) for age >79 years versus <60 years). Among patients admitted to the ICU, the mortality rate was 29% (109/374; 95%CI 25–34) and higher in ventilated (33% [77/235; 95%CI 27–39]) than in non-ventilated ICU patients (23%, 32/139; 95%CI 16–30; p < 0.05).ConclusionsIn this nationwide series of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in Germany, in-hospital and ICU mortality rates were substantial. The most prominent risk factors for death were male sex, pre-existing lung disease, and greater patient age.     

Defining COVID-19–associated pulmonary aspergillosis: systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundPulmonary aspergillosis may complicate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and contribute to excess mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients. The disease is poorly understood, in part due to discordant definitions across studies.ObjectivesWe sought to review the prevalence, diagnosis, treatment, and outcomes of COVID-19–associated pulmonary aspergillosis (CAPA) and compare research definitions.Data sourcesPubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and MedRxiv were searched from inception to October 12, 2021.Study eligibility criteriaICU cohort studies and CAPA case series including ≥3 patients were included.ParticipantsAdult patients in ICUs with COVID-19.InterventionsPatients were reclassified according to four research definitions. We assessed risk of bias with an adaptation of the Joanna Briggs Institute cohort checklist tool for systematic reviews.MethodsWe calculated CAPA prevalence using the Freeman-Tukey random effects method. Correlations between definitions were assessed with Spearman's rank test. Associations between antifungals and outcome were assessed with random effects meta-analysis.ResultsFifty-one studies were included. Among 3297 COVID-19 patients in ICU cohort studies, 313 were diagnosed with CAPA (prevalence 10%; 95% CI 8%–13%). Two hundred seventy-seven patients had patient-level data allowing reclassification. Definitions had limited correlation with one another (ρ = 0.268–0.447; p < 0.001), with the exception of Koehler and Verweij (ρ = 0.893; p < 0.001); 33.9% of patients reported to have CAPA did not fulfill any research definitions. Patients were diagnosed after a median of 8 days (interquartile range 5–14) in ICUs. Tracheobronchitis occurred in 3% of patients examined with bronchoscopy. The mortality rate was high (59.2%). Applying CAPA research definitions did not strengthen the association between mould-active antifungals and survival.ConclusionsThe reported prevalence of CAPA is significant but may be exaggerated by nonstandard definitions.     

INR and COVID-19 severity and mortality: A systematic review with meta-analysis and meta-regression

ObjectivesD-dimer elevations, suggesting a pro-thrombotic state and coagulopathy, predict adverse outcomes in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, the clinical significance of other coagulation markers, particularly the international normalized ratio (INR), is not well established. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the INR in COVID-19.MethodsA literature search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus, between January 2020 and February 2021, for studies reporting INR values, measures of COVID-19 severity, and mortality (PROSPERO registration number: CRD42021241468).ResultsThirty-eight studies in 7440 COVID-19 patients with low disease severity or survivor status during follow up (50 ​% males, mean age 57 years) and 2331 with high severity or non-survivor status (60 ​% males, mean age 69 years) were identified. The INR was significantly prolonged in patients with severe disease or non-survivor status than in patients with mild disease or survivor status (standard mean difference, SMD, 0.60; 95 ​% confidence interval, CI 0.42 to 0.77; p ​< ​0.001). There was extreme between-study heterogeneity (I² ​= ​90.2 ​%; p ​< ​0.001). Sensitivity analysis, performed by sequentially removing each study and re-assessing the pooled estimates, showed that the magnitude and direction of the effect size was not modified. The Begg's and Egger's t-tests did not show publication bias. In meta-regression, the SMD of the INR was significantly associated with C-reactive protein (p ​= ​0.048) and D-dimer (p ​= ​0.001).ConclusionsProlonged INR values were significantly associated with COVID-19 severity and mortality. Both INR prolongation and D-dimer elevations can be useful in diagnosing COVID-19-associated coagulopathy and predicting clinical outcomes.     

Impact of vaccination on the symptoms of hospitalised patients with SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant (B.1.617.1) infection

ObjectivesThe diffusion of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta (B.1.617.2) variant and the waning of immune response after primary Covid-19 vaccination favoured the breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infections in vaccinated subjects. To assess the impact of vaccination, we determined the severity of infection in hospitalised patients according to vaccine status.MethodsWe performed a retrospective observational study on patients hospitalised in 10 centres with a SARS-CoV-2 infection (Delta variant) from July to November 2021 by including all patients who had completed their primary vaccination at least 14 days before hospital admission and the same number of completely unvaccinated patients. We assessed the impact of vaccination and other risk factors through logistic regression.ResultsWe included 955 patients (474 vaccinated and 481 unvaccinated). Vaccinated patients were significantly older (75.0 [63.25-84.0] vs. 55.0 [38.0-73.0]; p < 0.001), more frequently males (55.1% (261/474) vs. 46.4% (223/481); p = 0.009), and had more comorbidities (2.0 [1.0-3.0] vs. 1.0 [0.0-2.0]; p < 0.001). Vaccinated patients were less often admitted for Covid-19 (59.3% (281/474) vs. 75.1% (361/481); p < 0.001), had less extended lung lesions (≤25%: 64.3% (117/182) vs. 38.4% (88/229); p < 0.001), required oxygen less frequently (57.5% (229/398) vs. 73.0% (270/370); p < 0.001), at a lower flow (3.0 [0.0-8.7] vs. 6.0 [2.0-50.0] L/min, p < 0.001), and for a shorter duration (3 [0.0-8.0] vs. 6 [2.0-12.0] days, p < 0.001)., and required less frequently intensive care unit admission (16.2% (60/370) vs. 36.0% (133/369); p < 0.001) but had comparable mortality in bivariate analysis (16.7% (74/443) vs. 12.2% (53/433); p = 0.075). Multivariate logistic regression showed that vaccination significantly decreased the risk of death (0.38 [0.20-0.70](p = 0.002), ICU admission (0.31 [0.21-0.47](p < 0.001) and oxygen requirement (0.16 [0.10-0.26](p < 0.001), even among older patients or with comorbidities.ConclusionsAmong patients hospitalised with a delta variant SARS-CoV-2 infection, vaccination was associated with less severe forms, even in the presence of comorbidities.     

Clinical characteristics of COVID-19 patients in three consecutive generations of spread in Zhejiang,China

ObjectivesThe aim was to determine the clinical characteristics of COVID-19 patients because the SARS-CoV-2 virus continues to circulate in the population.MethodsThis is a retrospective, multicentre, cohort study. Adult COVID-19 cases from four hospitals in Zhejiang were enrolled and clustered into three groups based on epidemiological history. First-generation patients had a travel history to Hubei within 14 days before disease onset; second-generation patients had a contact history with first-generation patients; third-generation patients had a contact history with second-generation patients. Demographic, clinical characteristics, clinical outcomes and duration of viral shedding were analysed.ResultsA total of 171 patients were enrolled, with 83, 44 and 44 patients in the first-, second-, and third-generation, respectively. Compared with the first and second generations, third-generation patients were older (61.3 vs. 48.3 and 44.0 years, p < 0.001) and had more coexisting conditions (56.8% vs. 36.1% and 27.3%, p 0.013). At 7 ± 1 days from illness onset, third-generation patients had lower lymphocyte (0.6 vs. 0.8 and 0.8 × 109/L, p 0.007), higher C-reactive protein (29.7 vs. 17.1 and 13.8 mg/L, p 0.018) and D-dimer (1066 vs. 412.5 and 549 μg/L, p 0.002) and more lesions involving the pulmonary lobes (lobes ≥5, 81.8% vs. 53.0% and 34.1%, p < 0.001). The proportions of third-generation patients developing severe illness (72.7% vs. 32.5% and 27.3%, p < 0.001), critical illness (38.6% vs. 10.8% and 6.8%, p < 0.001) and receiving endotracheal intubation (20.5% vs. 3.6% and 2.3%, p 0.002) were higher than in the other two groups.DiscussionThird-generation patients were older, had more underlying comorbidities and had a higher proportion of severe or critical illness than first- and second-generation patients.     

Serum CK-MB,COVID-19 severity and mortality: An updated systematic review and meta-analysis with meta-regression

ObjectivesWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis with meta-regression of creatine kinase-MB (CK-MB), a biomarker of myocardial injury, in COVID-19 patients.MethodsWe searched PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus, for studies published between January 2020 and January 2021 that reported CK-MB, COVID-19 severity and mortality (PROSPERO registration number: CRD42021239657).ResultsFifty-five studies in 11,791 COVID-19 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled results showed that CK-MB concentrations were significantly higher in patients with high disease severity or non-survivor status than patients with low severity or survivor status (standardized mean difference, SMD, 0.81, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.01, p<0.001). The rate of patients with CK-MB values above the normal range was also significantly higher in the former than the latter (60/350 vs 98/1,780; RR ​= ​2.84, 95%CI 1.89 to 4.27, p<0.001; I² ​= ​19.9, p ​= ​0.254). Extreme between-study heterogeneity was observed (I² ​= ​93.4%, p<0.001). Sensitivity analysis, performed by sequentially removing each study and re-assessing the pooled estimates, showed that the magnitude and direction of the effect size was not modified (effect size range, 0.77 to 0.84). Begg's (p ​= ​0.50) and Egger's (p ​= ​0.86) t-tests did not show publication bias. In meta-regression analysis, the SMD was significantly and positively associated with the white blood count, aspartate aminotransferase, myoglobin, troponin, brain natriuretic peptide, lactate dehydrogenase, and D-dimer.ConclusionsHigher CK-MB concentrations were significantly associated with severe disease and mortality in COVID-19 patients. This biomarker of myocardial injury might be useful for risk stratification in this group.     

Antibody responses to BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine and their predictors among healthcare workers in a tertiary referral hospital in Japan

ObjectivesThis study aimed to determine antibody responses in healthcare workers who receive the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine and identify factors that predict the response.MethodsWe recruited healthcare workers receiving the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine at the Chiba University Hospital COVID-19 Vaccine Center. Blood samples were obtained before the 1st dose and after the 2nd dose vaccination, and serum antibody titers were determined using Elecsys® Anti-SARS-CoV-2S, an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. We established a model to identify the baseline factors predicting post-vaccine antibody titers using univariate and multivariate linear regression analyses.ResultsTwo thousand fifteen individuals (median age 37-year-old, 64.3% female) were enrolled in this study, of which 10 had a history of COVID-19. Before vaccination, 21 participants (1.1%) had a detectable antibody titer (≥0.4 U/mL) with a median titer of 35.9 U/mL (interquartile range [IQR] 7.8 – 65.7). After vaccination, serum anti-SARS-CoV-2S antibodies (≥0.4 U/mL) were detected in all 1774 participants who received the 2nd dose with a median titer of 2060.0 U/mL (IQR 1250.0 – 2650.0). Immunosuppressive medication (p < 0.001), age (p < 0.001), time from 2nd dose to sample collection (p < 0.001), glucocorticoids (p = 0.020), and drinking alcohol (p = 0.037) were identified as factors predicting lower antibody titers after vaccination, whereas previous COVID-19 (p < 0.001), female (p < 0.001), time between 2 doses (p < 0.001), and medication for allergy (p = 0.024) were identified as factors predicting higher serum antibody titers.ConclusionsOur data demonstrate that healthcare workers universally have good antibody responses to the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. The predictive factors identified in our study may help optimize the vaccination strategy.     

Association between first language and SARS-CoV-2 infection rates,hospitalization, intensive care admissions and death in Finland: a population-based observational cohort study

ObjectivesMotivated by reports of increased risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in ethnic minorities of high-income countries, we explored whether patients with a foreign first language are at an increased risk of COVID-19 infections, more serious presentations, or worse outcomes.MethodsIn a retrospective observational population-based quality registry study covering a population of 1.7 million, we studied the incidence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), admissions to specialist healthcare and the intensive care unit (ICU), and all-cause case fatality in different language groups between 27th February and 3rd August 2020 in Southern Finland. A first language other than Finnish, Swedish or Sámi served as a surrogate marker for a foreign ethnic background.ResultsIn total, 124 240 individuals were tested, and among the 118 300 (95%) whose first language could be determined, 4005 (3.4%) were COVID-19-positive, 623 (0.5%) were admitted to specialized hospitals, and 147 (0.1%) were admitted to the ICU; 254 (0.2%) died. Those with a foreign first language had lower testing rates (348, 95%CI 340–355 versus 758, 95%CI 753–762 per 10 000, p < 0.0001), higher incidence (36, 95%CI 33–38 versus 22, 95%CI 21–23 per 10 000, p < 0.0001), and higher positivity rates (103, 95%CI 96–109 versus 29, 95%CI 28–30 per 1000, p < 0.0001). There was no significant difference in ICU admissions, disease severity at ICU admission, or ICU outcomes. Case fatality by 90 days was 7.7% in domestic cases and 1.2% in those with a foreign first language, explained by demographics (age- and sex-adjusted HR 0.49, 95%CI 0.21–1.15).ConclusionsThe population with a foreign first language was at an increased risk for testing positive for SARS-CoV-2, but when hospitalized they had outcomes similar to those in the native, domestic language population. This suggests that special attention should be paid to the prevention and control of infectious diseases among language minorities.     

HLA B53 is associated with a poor outcome in black COVID-19 patients

A disproportionate incidence of death has occurred in African Americans (Blacks) in the United States due to COVID-19. The reason for this disparity is likely to be multi-factorial and may involve genetic predisposition. The association of human leukocyte antigens (HLA) with severe COVID-19 was examined in a hospitalized population (89% Black, n = 36) and compared to HLA typed non-hospitalized individuals (20% Black, n = 40) who had recovered from mild disease. For additional comparison, HLA typing data was available from kidney transplant recipients and deceased donors. Hospitalized patients were followed for 45 days after admission to our medical center with death as the primary end-point. One HLA allele, B53, appeared to be more prevalent in the hospitalized COVID-19 patients (percent of positive subjects, 30.5) compared to national data in US Black populations (percent of positive subjects, 24.5). The percent B53 positive in non-hospitalized COVID-19 patients was 2.6, significantly less than the percent positive in the hospitalized COVID-19 patients (p = 0.001, Fisher’s exact test) and less than the 8 percent positive listed in national data bases for US Caucasian populations. Significantly greater deaths (73 percent) were observed in HLA B53 positive hospitalized COVID-19 patients compared to hospitalized COVID-19 patients who were B53 negative (40 percent). Multi-variate analysis indicated that HLA B53 positive Black hospitalized COVID-19 patients were at a 7.4 fold greater risk of death than Black COVID-19 patients who were B53 negative. Consideration for accelerated vaccination and treatment should be given to HLA B53 positive Black COVID19 patients.     

Predictors of progression from moderate to severe coronavirus disease 2019: a retrospective cohort

ObjectiveMost cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are identified as moderate, which is defined as having a fever or dry cough and lung imaging with ground-glass opacities. The risk factors and predictors of prognosis in such cohorts remain uncertain.MethodsAll adults with COVID-19 of moderate severity diagnosed using quantitative RT-PCR and hospitalized at the Central Hospital of Wuhan, China, from 1 January to 20 March 2020 were enrolled in this retrospective study. The main outcomes were progression from moderate to severe or critical condition or death.ResultsAmong the 456 enrolled patients with moderate COVID-19, 251/456 (55.0%) had poor prognosis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified higher neutrophil count: lymphocyte count ratio (NLR) on admission (OR 1.032, 95% CI 1.042–1.230, p 0.004) and higher C-reactive protein (CRP) on admission (OR 3.017, 95% CI 1.941–4.690, p < 0.001) were associated with increased OR of poor prognosis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for NLR and CRP in predicting progression to critical condition was 0.77 (95% CI 0.694–0.846, p < 0.001) and 0.84 (95% CI 0.780–0.905, p < 0.001), with a cut-off value of 2.79 and 25.95 mg/L, respectively. The AUC of NLR and CRP in predicting death was 0.81 (95% CI 0.732–0.878, p < 0.001) and 0.89 (95% CI 0.825–0.946, p < 0.001), with a cut-off value of 3.19 and 33.4 mg/L, respectively.ConclusionsHigher levels of NLR and CRP at admission were associated with poor prognosis of individuals with moderate COVID-19. NLR and CRP were good predictors of progression to critical condition and death.     

Predictors of poor prognosis in healthy,young, individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infections

ObjectivesTo identify predictors of poor prognosis in previously healthy young individuals admitted to hospital with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).MethodsWe studied a cohort of patients hospitalized with COVID-19. All patients without co-morbidities, without usual treatments and ≤65 years old were selected from an international registry (HOPE-COVID-19, NCT04334291). We focused on baseline variables—symptoms and signs at admission—to analyse risk factors for poor prognosis. The primary end point was a composite of major adverse clinical events during hospitalization including mortality, mechanical ventilation, high-flow nasal oxygen therapy, prone, sepsis, systemic inflammatory response syndrome and embolic events.ResultsOverall, 773 healthy young patients were included. The primary composite end point was observed in 29% (225/773) and the overall mortality rate was 3.6% (28/773). In the combined event group, 75% (168/225) of patients were men and the mean age was 49 (±11) years, whereas in the non-combined event group, the prevalence of male gender was 43% (238/548) and the mean age was 42 (±13) years (p < 0.001 for both). On admission, respiratory insufficiency and cough were described in 51.4% (114/222) and 76% (170/223) of patients, respectively, in the combined event group, versus 7.9% (42/533) and 56% (302/543) of patients in the other group (p < 0.001 for both). The strongest independent predictor for the combined end point was desaturation (Spo₂ <92%) (OR 5.40; 95% CI 3.34–8.75; p < 0.001), followed by tachypnoea (OR 3.17; 95% CI 1.93–5.21; p < 0.001), male gender (OR 3.01; 95% CI 1.96–4.61; p < 0.001) and pulmonary infiltrates on chest X-ray at admission (OR 2.21; 95% CI 1.18–4.16; p 0.014).ConclusionsMajor adverse clinical events were unexpectedly high considering the baseline characteristics of the cohort. Signs of respiratory compromise at admission and male gender, were predictive for poor prognosis among young healthy patients hospitalized with COVID-19.     

Risk factors and outcome of pulmonary aspergillosis in critically ill coronavirus disease 2019 patients—a multinational observational study by the European Confederation of Medical Mycology

ObjectivesCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) -associated pulmonary aspergillosis (CAPA) has emerged as a complication in critically ill COVID-19 patients. The objectives of this multinational study were to determine the prevalence of CAPA in patients with COVID-19 in intensive care units (ICU) and to investigate risk factors for CAPA as well as outcome.MethodsThe European Confederation of Medical Mycology (ECMM) conducted a multinational study including 20 centres from nine countries to assess epidemiology, risk factors and outcome of CAPA. CAPA was defined according to the 2020 ECMM/ISHAM consensus definitions.ResultsA total of 592 patients were included in this study, including 11 (1.9%) patients with histologically proven CAPA, 80 (13.5%) with probable CAPA, 18 (3%) with possible CAPA and 483 (81.6%) without CAPA. CAPA was diagnosed a median of 8 days (range 0–31 days) after ICU admission predominantly in older patients (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.04 per year; 95% CI 1.02–1.06) with any form of invasive respiratory support (HR 3.4; 95% CI 1.84–6.25) and receiving tocilizumab (HR 2.45; 95% CI 1.41–4.25). Median prevalence of CAPA per centre was 10.7% (range 1.7%–26.8%). CAPA was associated with significantly lower 90-day ICU survival rate (29% in patients with CAPA versus 57% in patients without CAPA; Mantel–Byar p < 0.001) and remained an independent negative prognostic variable after adjusting for other predictors of survival (HR 2.14; 95% CI 1.59–2.87, p ≤ 0.001).ConclusionPrevalence of CAPA varied between centres. CAPA was significantly more prevalent among older patients, patients receiving invasive ventilation and patients receiving tocilizumab, and was an independent strong predictor of ICU mortality.     

Not all COVID-19 pandemic waves are alike

ObjectiveWe aimed to assess differences in patients' profiles in the first two surges of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic in Barcelona, Spain.MethodsWe prospectively collected data from all adult patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection diagnosed at the Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Barcelona, Spain. All the patients were diagnosed through nasopharyngeal swab PCR. The first surge spanned from 1st March to 13th August 2020, while surge two spanned from 14th August to 8th December 2020.ResultsThere were 2479 and 852 patients with microbiologically proven SARS-CoV-2 infection in surges one and two, respectively. Patients from surge two were significantly younger (median age 52 (IQR 35) versus 59 (40) years, respectively, p < 0.001), had fewer comorbidities (379/852, 44.5% versus 1237/2479, 49.9%, p 0.007), and there was a shorter interval between onset of symptoms and diagnosis (median 3 (5) versus 4 (5) days, p < 0.001). All-cause in-hospital mortality significantly decreased for both the whole population (24/852, 2.8% versus 218/2479, 8.8%, p < 0.001) and hospitalized patients (20/302, 6.6% versus 206/1570, 13.1%, p 0.012). At adjusted logistic regression analysis, predictors of in-hospital mortality were older age (per year, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.079, 95%CI 1.063–1.094), male sex (aOR 1.476, 95%CI 1.079–2.018), having comorbidities (aOR 1.414, 95%CI 0.934–2.141), ICU admission (aOR 3.812, 95%CI 1.875–7.751), mechanical ventilation (aOR 2.076, 95%CI 0.968–4.454), and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) during surge one (with respect to surge two) (aOR 2.176, 95%CI 1.286–3.680).ConclusionsFirst-wave SARS-CoV-2-infected patients had a more than two-fold higher in-hospital mortality than second-wave patients. The causes are likely multifactorial.     

Comparisons of clinical features and outcomes between Elizabethkingia meningoseptica and other glucose non-fermenting Gram-negative bacilli bacteremia in adult ICU patients

BackgroundClinical information of Elizabethkingia meningoseptica (EM) bacteremia in intensive care unit (ICU) patients is limited and the impact on outcomes uncertain. The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical features and impact of EM bacteremia compared to other glucose non-fermenting Gram-negative bacilli (GNF-GNB) bacteremia in ICU patients.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study enrolled 70 patients who developed GNF-GNB bacteremia after ICU admission, including 19 cases of EM bacteremia (19/70, 27.1%). The main outcome measure was in-hospital mortality.ResultsThe patients with EM bacteremia had a lower rate of appropriate antibiotic therapy (15.8% vs. 62.7%, p < 0.001) and a longer time to appropriate antibiotic therapy (76.8 ± 46.4 vs. 35.1 ± 38.7 h, p < 0.001), but with a less severity in acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II score and shock status (p < 0.05) at the onset of bacteremia, compared to those with non-EM bacteremia. The in-hospital mortality between those with EM bacteremia and non-EM bacteremia was similar (63.2% vs. 51.0%, p = 0.363). However, primary bacteremia was more frequently noted in EM compared with non-EM group (57.9% vs. 25.5%, p = 0.011), and odds ratio 4.294 (95% confidence interval 1.292–14.277, p = 0.017) in multivariate regression analysis.ConclusionAmong the patients with GNF-GNB bacteremia, the numbers of the cases with primary bacteremia and inappropriate therapy were significantly more in EM group than those in non-EM group.     

Thyroid autoimmunity and SARS-CoV-2 infection: Report of a large Italian series

Since the beginning of the pandemic, numerous risk factors have been associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 outcomes, such as older age, male sex, and the presence of comorbidities, such as hypertension, obesity, and diabetes. Preliminary data also suggest epidemiological association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and systemic autoimmune disease. For this reason, we investigated if patients affected by autoimmune thyroid disorders (AITD) are at risk of developing SARS-CoV-2 infection or COVID-19 disease.From April to September 2020, we have conducted a telephone survey that included 515 consecutive unselected patients with known thyroid disorders, of which 350 were affected by AITD. All 11 definitive diagnosis of COVID-19 (def-sympt-COVID-19) belonged to the AITD group, while the rest 14 cases highly suspected for COVID-19 (suspect-sympt-COVID-19) were equally detected in both group (7 in AITD and 7 in not-AITD). The overall prevalence of symptomatic COVID-19 (def-sympt-COVID-19 + suspect-sympt-COVID-19), recorded in the 350 AITD population was statistically significant higher compared to that reported in the Italian and Tuscan general population at the same time period of the present survey (18/350 = 5.14% vs 516/100000 = 0.51% [p < 0.001; OR = 10.45, 95% CI 6.45–16.92] and vs 394/100000 = 0.39% [p < 0.001; OR = 13.70, 95% CI 8.44–22.25], respectively).Therefore, our results suggest a higher prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 disease in patients with AITD.     

Racial Disparities in the Clinical Presentation and Prognosis of Patients with Mycosis Fungoides

ObjectiveRacial and gender disparities in mycosis fungoides (MF) are understudied. The objective of this study was to test the hypothesis that worse prognosis in blacks with MF is mediated by higher disease stage at diagnosis and by earlier disease onset in black females.MethodsWe conducted retrospective chart review of 337 patients with clinically-suspected MF seen at Johns Hopkins between 2003 and 2018, requiring biopsy-proven disease for study inclusion. Patient demographics, initial stage/percent body surface area (BSA) involvement, pathology type, flow cytometry results, and treatment regimens were recorded.ResultsOf 303 patients with confirmed MF, 166 (55%) were white, 107 (35%) black, 10 (3.3%) Middle Eastern, 6 (2.0%) Asian, and 14 (4.6%) Hispanic/other. Blacks were 3 times as likely (95% CI: 1.2, 8.0) to have Stage 2 disease to have Stage 2 disease at diagnosis as compared to whites as whites. In females, blacks were younger at diagnosis (p = 0.003) and at death (p = 0.008) compared to whites. In males, blacks had 4 times the odds of late-stage disease (p = 0.017) and presented with 19% greater BSA involvement on average compared to whites (p < 0.001).ConclusionsCompared to their white counterparts in this cohort, black males were diagnosed with MF at a higher stage with greater skin involvement while black females were diagnosed and died earlier. Earlier recognition of MF in skin of color and closer follow-up of black females with early-onset, aggressive disease may help to mitigate disparities in outcomes.