Predictors of Mortality in Acute Renal Failure in a Developing Country: A Prospective Study

Acute renal failure (ARF) occurs in wide range of conditions, making the evaluation of its prognosis a difficult task. Data regarding prognostic factors in ARF in a general population in developing countries are scarce. The objective of the study was to describe predictors of mortality in ARF that are relevant in the developing world. This prospective study was carried out over a one-year period; all hospitalized adults with ARF were included in the study. Predictors of mortality studied included causes of ARF, pre-existing diseases, and severity as well as complications of ARF. Of 33,301 patients admitted during the study period, 294 (0.88%) were either admitted with or developed ARF after hospitalization. Mean age was 43.9 ± 16.9 (18–86 yrs). Sepsis was the most common cause (63.26%). Pre-existing diseases like cardiovascular disease (CVSD), respiratory system disease (RSD), central nervous system disease (CNSD), hypertension, diabetet mellitus (DM), and malignancy were significantly higher in elderly as compared to younger patients. On univariate analysis sepsis, hypoperfusion as a cause of ARF and hospital-acquired ARF were associated with higher mortality. Pre-existing diseases viz. RSD, CVSD, CNSD, and DM had higher mortality. Among the severity and complications of ARF, oliguria, bleeding and infection during the course of ARF and critical illness were predictors of poor outcome. Age >60 yrs was associated with significantly higher mortality. However, on multivariate analysis, only critical illness (odds ratio 37.3), age > 60 years (odds ratio of 5.6), and sepsis as cause of ARF (odds ratio of 2.6) were found to be independent predictors of mortality.     

Predictors of mortality in acute renal failure in a developing country: a prospective study

Acute renal failure (ARF) occurs in wide range of conditions, making the evaluation of its prognosis a difficult task. Data regarding prognostic factors in ARF in a general population in developing countries are scarce. The objective of the study was to describe predictors of mortality in ARF that are relevant in the developing world. This prospective study was carried out over a one-year period; all hospitalized adults with ARF were included in the study. Predictors of mortality studied included causes of ARF, pre-existing diseases, and severity as well as complications of ARF. Of 33,301 patients admitted during the study period, 294 (0.88%) were either admitted with or developed ARF after hospitalization. Mean age was 43.9 +/- 16.9 (18-86 yrs). Sepsis was the most common cause (63.26%). Pre-existing diseases like cardiovascular disease (CVSD), respiratory system disease (RSD), central nervous system disease (CNSD), hypertension, diabetes mellitus (DM), and malignancy were significantly higher in elderly as compared to younger patients. On univariate analysis sepsis, hypoperfusion as a cause of ARF and hospital-acquired ARF were associated with higher mortality. Pre-existing diseases viz. RSD, CVSD, CNSD, and DM had higher mortality. Among the severity and complications of ARF, oliguria, bleeding and infection during the course of ARF and critical illness were predictors of poor outcome. Age > 60 yrs was associated with significantly higher mortality. However, on multivariate analysis, only critical illness (odds ratio 37.3), age > 60 years (odds ratio of 5.6), and sepsis as cause of ARF (odds ratio of 2.6) were found to be independent predictors of mortality.     

Predictors of Acute Renal Failure During Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation in Pediatric Patients After Cardiac Surgery

Acute renal failure (ARF) is associated with increased mortality in pediatric extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). The aim of this study was to identify predictors of ARF during ECMO in pediatric patients after cardiac surgery. A retrospective study analyzed 42 children (≤15 years) after cardiac surgery requiring venous‐arterial ECMO between December 2008 and December 2014 at Fuwai Hospital. ARF was defined as ≥300% rise in serum creatinine (SCr) concentration from baseline or application of dialysis. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify the predictors of ARF during ECMO. A total of 42 children (age, interquartile range [IQR], 13.0 [7.2–29.8] months; weight, IQR, 8.5 [6.7–11.0] kg) after cardiac surgery requiring ECMO were included in this study. The total survival rate was 52.4%, and the incidence of ARF was 40.5%. As the result of univariate analysis, ECMO duration, cardiopulmonary resuscitation, maximum free hemoglobin (FHB) during ECMO, lactate level, and mean blood pressure before initiation of ECMO were entered in multiple logistic regression analysis. In multiple logistic regression analysis, FHB during ECMO (OR 1.136, 95% CI 1.023–1.261) and lactate level before initiation of ECMO (OR 1.602, 95% CI 1.025–2.502) were risk factors for ARF during ECMO after pediatric cardiac surgery. There was a linear correlation between maximum SCr and maximum FHB (Pearson's r = 0.535, P = 0.001). Maximum SCr during ECMO has also a linear correlation with lactate level before initiation of ECMO (Pearson's r = 0.342, P = 0.044). Increased FHB during ECMO and high lactate level before initiation of ECMO were risk factors for ARF during ECMO in pediatric patients after cardiac surgery.     

Acute Renal Failure During Eclampsia: Incidence Risks Factors and Outcome in Intensive Care Unit

Objective: To assess the incidence, risk factors and the outcome of acute renal failure (ARF) associated with eclampsia in intensive care unit (ICU). Design: Prospective and analytic study. Setting: A surgical ICU in a university hospital. Patients: 178 consecutive women with eclampsia admitted to an intensive care unit during seven years. ARF was defined by a serum creatinine concentration > 140 µmol/L. Results: The incidence of ARF was 25.8%. In univariate analysis the severity of patient illness, the complications associated with eclampsia (disseminated intravascular coagulation, Hellp syndrome, neurologic complications, abruptio placenta, aspiration pneumonia, delivery hemorrhage) were significantly associated with ARF. In a logistic regression model, risk factors for ARF included organ system failure (OSF) odds ratio (OR) = 1.81 confidence interval (CI) [1.08–3.05], bilirubin > 12 µmol/L OR = 4.42 CI [1.54–12.68], uric acid > 5.9 g/dL OR = 16.5 CI [3.09–87.94], abruptio placenta OR = 0.2 7 CI [0.08–0.99], and oliguria OR = 0.10 CI [0.03–0.44]. In contrast, severity of blood pressure or proteinuria on dipstick were not associated with ARF. However, in this series, 15 women required dialysis in the short term and one required long‐term dialysis. ARF associated with eclampsia was significantly associated with mortality (32.6% versus 9.1% p = 0.0001). Conclusion: ARF with eclampsia is a frequent situation that required intensive management when risks factors were present. The need for dialysis was a rare condition.     

Prognostic Value of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II and Organ System Failure in Patients with Acute Renal Failure Requiring Dialysis

Background. Despite advances in modern technology of dialysis, prognosis of patients with acute renal failure (ARF) remains poor. To give the clinicians the most useful information, a model that accurately predicts outcome early in the course of ARF is required. However, because ARF is a heterogeneous syndrome and occurs in patients with diverse etiologies and some coexisting diseases, predicting outcome early is hard. The aim of this study is to evaluate prospectively the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) and organ system failure (OSF) models, evaluated prior to dialysis, in predicting hospital mortality. Methods. From June 2002 to March 2004, ARF patients requiring dialysis at Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chiayi, were prospectively recruited for this study. The worst clinical and laboratory data in the 24 hours before initiation of dialysis were prospectively evaluated, and the patients' APACHE II score and OSF number were assessed. Results. A total of 61 patients (40 male and 21 female) were enrolled, of whom 38 (62.3%) died before discharge. By multivariate logistic regression, the APACHE II score (odds ratio 1.3 per increase in one score; P< 0.001), or OSF number (odds ratio 1.9 per increase in one OSF; P< 0.01) and oliguria (odds ratio 4.2; P = 0.04), were found to be statistically significant prognostic factors for hospital mortality. Mortality increased progressively and significantly as OSF number (chi-square for trend; P = 0.001) or the APACHE II score (chi-square for trend; P< 0.001) increased. By using Youden's index, the best cut-off value for APACHE II was 24, with 63% sensitivity and 96% specificity. The best cut-off value for OSF number was 2, with a sensitivity of 81.6% and a specificity of 60.9%. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for APACHE II and OSF number were 0.847 (95% confidence interval (CI)= 0.752–0.942; P< 0.01) and 0.769 (95% CI = 0.646–892; P< 0.001), respectively, indicating good model discrimination. Conclusions. This study concludes that APACHE II and OSF number measured prior to initiation of dialysis reliably predict outcomes of ARF patients requiring dialysis. The mortality rates increase as the APACHE II score or OSF number increases. For predicting mortality, the APACHE II score ≥ 24 was found to have 63% sensitivity and 96% specificity, and OSF number ≥ 2 had 81.6% sensitivity and 60.9% specificity.     

Acute renal failure associated with Yersinia pseudotuberculosis infection in children

We report 45 pediatric cases of Yersinia pseudotuberculosis infection confirmed by stool culture between May 1993 and June 1994. In 41 (91.1%) cases there had been contact with untreated well or mountain water. Y. pseudotuberculosis was also isolated from 4 samples of mountain spring water thought to be the sources of infection. During the course of the illness, acute renal failure (ARF) developed in 6 patients (13.6%). The age distribution of the ARF group (12.3±1.2 years) was significantly different from the non-ARF group (8.0±3.2 years). The serogroups of Y. pseudotuberculosis isolates from stool samples were 5 (n = 30) and 4 (n = 15). Isolates from the water samples were all serogroup 5. The main symptoms of both groups were fever, rash, abdominal pain, and vomiting. ARF developed between the 2nd and 14th days (mean 6 days) after the onset of fever, and oliguria (<400 ml/m² per day) developed in 3 patients (3/6, 50%) immediately after their fevers had subsided. ARF underwent a benign course, with complete recovery within a maximum of 4 weeks (mean 10.2 days), with 1 exceptional patient requiring hemodialysis. Renal biopsy showed evidence of tubulointerstitial nephritis. Y. pseudotuberculosis should be included as one of the causes of acute interstitial nephritis causing ARF in children, especially when the children have histories of drinking untreated water in endemic areas. Received August 24, 1995; received in revised form and accepted January 18, 1996     

Factors associated with mortality in acute renal failure (ARF) in children

Objective: To assess the factors that affect the mortality in acute renal failure (ARF) in children. Patients and methods: We studied 149 patients with ARF and described the findings by age, gender, pathophysiological mechanism of renal damage, and type of renal damage, which can be oligoanuric and/or septic. We used multiple logistic analysis, Cox analysis for survival, and Kaplan–Meier curves. Results: The male/female ratio was 91/58. The most affected age groups were newborns (44.3%) and infants (37.6%). The ARF mechanism was ischemic in 87 cases (58%) and the most frequent clinical type was nonoliguric in 118 cases (79.2%). In the multiple logistic regression analysis, only oliguria (P=0.07) and age group (P=0.049) were associated with mortality. In the survival analysis using the Cox method, oliguria (P=0.003) and sepsis (P=0.03) were associated with mortality. The survival curves showed that the cumulative probability of dying in the first 10, 20, or 40 days after the event was 75, 70, and 45% respectively. When oliguria was present, the survival at day 10 was 47% and when sepsis was present it was 68%. Conclusion: Oliguria, age, and sepsis are factors associated with mortality in children with ARF.     

Treatment-related acute renal failure in the elderly: a hospital-based prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Elderly individuals need a host of diagnostic procedures and therapeutic interventions to take care of ailments. This prospective study was carried out to determine the magnitude of treatment-related acute renal failure (ARF) in the elderly in a hospital setting, to know about pathogenetic factors and to study the factors that could predict an adverse outcome. METHODS: All elderly patients (>60 years) admitted over a 12-month period were screened prospectively throughout their hospital stay for the development of ARF. RESULTS: Of 31860 patients admitted, 4176 (13%) were elderly. Of these 59 (1.4%) developed ARF in the hospital. Nephrotoxic drugs contributed towards development of ARF in 39 (66%), sepsis and hypoperfusion in 27 (45.7%) each, contrast medium in 10 (16.9%) and postoperative ARF occurred in 15 (25.4%) patients. These pathogenetic factors were responsible for ARF in different combinations. Amongst these combination of pathogenetic factors, radiocontrast administration (partial chi(2) 28.1, P<0.0001), surgery (partial chi(2) 14.89, P=0.001), and drugs (partial chi(2) 6. 22, P=0.0126) predicted ARF on their own. Nine patients (15.23%) needed dialytic support. Of 59 patients, 15 (25.4%) died, of those who survived, 38 (86.3%) recovered renal function completely and six (13.6%) partially. Mortality in the elderly with ARF was significantly higher than in those without ARF (25.4 vs 12.5%; chi(2) 8.3, P=0.03). Sepsis (odds ratio 43), oliguria (odds ratio 64), and hypotension (odds ratio 15) were independent predictors of poor patient outcome on logistic regression analysis. CONCLUSION: Incidence of treatment-related ARF in the elderly was 1.4%, with more than one pathogenetic factor playing a role in the development of ARF in the majority. Sepsis, hypotension, and oliguria were the independent predictors of poor patient outcome.     

Prognosis of acute renal failure in children

Acute renal failure (ARF) is the acute loss of renal function over a period of hours or days. Given the poor prognosis of ARF among children, there is some urgency to identifying more effective prognostic indicators for detecting disease onset. Such indicators would help provide the means of selecting patients who would benefit the most from early aggressive treatment. In this study we assessed the etiologic and prognostic indicators of ARF, including several risk factors such as sepsis, respiratory distress, age, among others, in 300 children who were admitted to the Ali Asghar Children’s Hospital, Tehran, Iran, from 1990 to 2003. Statistical analysis was performed using multiple regression and chi-square methods, and a score to determine the prognosis of ARF in children was developed. Result: Based on the results of this study the three common causes of ARF are acute tubular necrosis (ATN, 38%), acute glumerulonephritis (24%) and hemolytic uremic syndrome (24.1%). The overall mortality rate among our patients was 24.7%, with the highest risk group being those patients suffering from ischemic ATN. In addition, the correlation (p<0.0005) between the etiology and mortality rate was particularly high in patients with ischemic ATN. Mortality was also high (68%) in children younger than 2 years. Multiple regression models revealed that among those factors that significantly differed between the survivors and nonsurvivors, only the necessity of dialysis (p<0.0005), the use of mechanical ventilation (p=0.05) and disseminated intravascular coagulation (p=0.038) can be regarded as independent determinants of ARF prognosis in children.     

Predictors of mortality in adult patients with congestive heart failure receiving nesiritide--retrospective analysis showing a potential adverse interaction between nesiritide and acute renal dysfunction.

BACKGROUND: A recent meta-analysis has suggested that nesiritide (NES), a new agent for the treatment of congestive heart failure (CHF), is associated with an increased risk of short-term mortality. METHODS: We retrospectively examined this issue among 1407 consecutive elderly CHF patients by Pearson's chi-squared test, and determined independent risk factors for 60-day mortality by multivariate analysis in a cohort of 682 patients for whom we had sufficient clinical and laboratory data. RESULTS: Univariate analysis revealed that NES usage was associated with increased mortality (n=1407, 10 vs 6%, P=0.011; n=682, 19 vs 12.5%, P=0.046). However, by forward stepwise regression analysis, NES usage did not survive as an independent predictor of mortality. The following variables were independent predictors of mortality: development of acute renal failure (ARF) defined as an increase of serum creatinine (SCr) >or= 0.5 mg/dl; lack of beta-adrenergic blockade; increased admission blood urea nitrogen; digoxin use; and increased admission brain natriuretic peptide. When patients were stratified according to NES usage, ARF emerged as an independent risk factor for mortality only among patients who received NES. Strikingly, among CHF patients who developed ARF (n=102), NES usage emerged as the only independent predictor of mortality (P=0.006, OR=3.73, 95% CI 1.45-9.56). CONCLUSION: We conclude that, while NES per se is not independently associated with an increased risk for mortality, the development of ARF in association with NES use may confer an increased risk of mortality.     

Acute Renal Failure and Mortality After Open-Heart Surgery in Infants

Acute renal failure (ARF) is a major complication in infants who undergo cardiac surgery. The aim of this investigation was to identify possible risk factors for ARF and mortality in this patients group. Out of 64 patients, 21 (32.8%) cases developed acute renal failure and overall mortality rate was 25%. The mortality rate was higher in the infants who developed ARF than those who did not (66.7% and 4.7%, respectively, p < 0.05). Also, ARF was positively correlated with mortality (r:0.70, p < 0.0001). The nonsurvivors had lower mean serum albumin than did the survivors (p < 0.05), and serum albumin level was negatively correlated with mortality (r = ? 0.34, p < 0.05). For the patients with serum albumin level < 3.5 g/dL, the unadjusted odds ratio for mortality was 4.3 (CI 95%:1.05 ? 17.86). Total bypass time and aorta clamping time were significantly longer in the nonsurvivor group than in the survivor group (p < 0.05 for both). In conclusion, the significant risk factors for mortality in these patients were development of ARF, low serum albumin level, and long total bypass and aorta clamping times, which may be predictive of poor prognosis.     

Risk factors for acute renal failure requiring dialysis after surgery for congenital heart disease in children

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist on the risk factors for acute renal failure (ARF) following cardiac surgery in children with congenital heart disease. This cohort study was conducted to examine this subject, as well as changes in the incidence of ARF from 1993 to 2002, the in-hospital mortality and the time spent in the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: One thousand, one hundred and twenty-eight children, operated on for congenital heart disease between 1993 and 2002, were identified from our prospectively collected ICU database to obtain data on potential risk factors. RESULTS: A total of 130 children (11.5%) developed ARF after surgery. A young age [> or =1.0 vs. <0.1 year; odds ratio (OR), 0.23; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.12-0.46], high Risk Adjusted Classification of Congenital Heart Surgery (RACHS-1) score (OR, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.66-4.45) and cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) (<90 min vs. none; OR, 2.68; 95% CI, 1.03-6.96; > or =90 min vs. none; OR, 12.94; 95% CI, 5.46-30.67) were independent risk factors for ARF. The risk of ARF decreased during the study period. Children with ARF spent a significantly longer time in the ICU (2-7 days vs. <2 days, P = 0.002; > or =7 days vs. <2 days, P < 0.001) compared with non-ARF patients, and showed increased in-hospital mortality (20% vs. 5%, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: A young age, high RACHS-1 score and CPB were independent risk factors for ARF after surgical procedures for congenital heart disease in children. The risk of ARF decreased during the study period. Children with severe ARF spent a longer time in the ICU, and the mortality in ARF patients was higher than that in non-ARF patients.     

Fluid overload and acute renal failure in pediatric stem cell transplant patients

Acute renal failure (ARF) with fluid overload (FO) occurs often in stem cell transplant (SCT) recipients. We have previously demonstrated that an increased percentage of FO prior to the initiation of continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) is associated with mortality in children with ARF. Based on these data, we devised a protocol for the prevention of FO in SCT patients with ARF. SCT patients with ARF and 5% FO were started on furosemide and low-dose dopamine. To allow for nutrition, medication, and blood product administration, RRT was initiated for patients with 10% FO. There were 272 patients who received allogeneic SCT from 1999 to 2002. Of these, medical records of 26 SCT patients with a first episode of oliguric ARF were reviewed. The mean patient age was 13±5 years (range 2–23.5 years). Mean days to ARF after SCT were 28±29 days (range 2–90 days). Of the 26 patients, 11 (42%) survived an initial ARF episode. All 11 survivors either maintained <10% FO during their course or re-attained <10% FO with RRT treatment. Of the 15 non-survivors, 6 had <10% FO at the time of death. Of 14 patients who received RRT, 4 (29%) survived. Mechanical ventilation and pediatric risk of mortality score 10 at the time of admission to the intensive care unit were associated with lower survival (P<0.05). The use of one or more pressors, the presence of graft-versus-host disease, and septic shock were not correlated with survival. Our data demonstrate that maintenance of euvolemia (<10% FO) is critical but not sufficient for survival in SCT patients with ARF, as all non-euvolemic patients died. We suggest that aggressive use of diuretics and early initiation of RRT to prevent worsening of FO may improve the survival of SCT patients.     

Risk Factors for Hypoxemia After Surgery for Acute Type A Aortic Dissection

Purpose Postoperative hypoxemia is a frequent complication of surgery for acute type A aortic dissection. We tried to determine the factors associated with postoperative hypoxemia. Methods Between 1997 and 2003, 114 patients underwent surgery for acute type A aortic dissection. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was done to identify the independent predictors of postoperative hypoxemia, defined by an arterial partial oxygen/inspired oxygen fraction (PaO₂/FiO₂) ratio of 200 or lower. Results The overall in-hospital mortality was 6.1% (7 of 114 patients), being 5.2% in the hypoxemia group and 6.9% in the non-hypoxemia group. The ventilation time and intensive care unit stay were significantly longer in the hypoxemia group than in the non-hypoxemia group (P = 0.0044, P = 0.038, respectively). Logistic regression identified the following variables as predictors for postoperative hypoxemia: body mass index ≥25 (odds ratio [OR], 5.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1–15.01; P < 0.001), preoperative PaO₂/FiO₂ ratio ≤300 (OR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.09–6.13; P = 0.031), and the volume of transfused blood (OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.01–1.18; P = 0.037). Conclusions Initiating early treatment for hypoxemia and reducing the volume of blood transfused intraoperatively may improve the postoperative clinical course of obese patients with preoperative hypoxemia.     

Validation of Liano score in acute renal failure: a prospective study in Indian patients

Aim  To validate Liano score as a prognostic scoring system in acute renal failure (ARF): a prospective study in Indian patients. Patients and methods  Prospective study including 100 patients over a period of 1 year, from March 2006 to July 2007. Inclusion criteria were patients with no previous renal disease or any systemic disease known to affect the kidney and who presented with acute rise (hours to days) in serum creatinine. Exclusion criteria were patients with preexisting chronic renal failure, age younger than 12 years and ultrasound of the abdomen showing contracted kidneys. Results and conclusions  In this study there were 68 males and 32 females. Peak incidence by age was in the fifth decade. There was no increased mortality in any age group (p = 0.278). A total of 19 patients had pre-renal ARF, 74 patients had intrinsic ARF, of which 46 were acute tubular necrosis (ATN); 7 patients had obstructive ARF. A total of 21 patients had Liano score greater than 0.9, of which 18 patients died and 3 were discharged against medical advice in a critical condition (and died later at home). Calculated sensitivity was 62.1%, specificity was 100% and positive predictive value was 100%. Sensitivity and specificity when calculated separately for intrinsic renal ARF (after excluding post renal ARF) were 60.7% and 100%, respectively. There was statistically significant correlation between Liano score and mortality (p < 0.001).     

Acute renal failure in Nigerian children: Port Harcourt experience

Acute renal failure (ARF) is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality in children. It may be pre-renal, intrinsic, or post-renal (obstructive) in aetiology. ARF was investigated in children in the south-southern part of Nigeria to determine the prevalence, aetiology, management and outcome of ARF. A retrospective review of data from all children from birth to 16 years of age admitted into the Department of Paediatrics, University of Port Harcourt Teaching Hospital (UPTH), with the diagnosis of ARF over an 18 year period (January 1985 to December 2003) was performed. Information was obtained about the age, sex, clinical features, blood pressure, laboratory and radiological investigations, aetiology, and treatment received including dialysis. Information on the outcome, factors influencing outcome, and possible causes of death were reviewed. There were 211 patients, 138 (65.4%) males and 73 (34.6%) females (M:F, 1.9:1), with a hospital prevalence of 11.7 cases/year. The patients were aged 5 days to 16 years (mean 5.6±4.7 years). Oliguria was the most common clinical presentation in 184 (87.2%) patients. Hypertension was seen in only 39 (18.5%) patients. The causes were age-related. The neonates had ARF from severe birth asphyxia 27 (35.5%), septicaemia 17 (22.4%), with tetanus 4 (5.3%) and congenital malformations 11 (14.5%). Sixty-one (28.9%) and 29 (13.7%) patients had ARF from gastroenteritis and malaria respectively. The patients with leukaemia were all more than 10 years old and had acute lymphoblastic leukaemia. Two patients (1.9%) had Burkitts lymphoma involving the abdomen and 3 patients had HIVAN. 112 (53%) patients had anaemia with a mean haematocrit of 20.25±6.9%. Dialysis was indicated in 108 patients, but only 24 patients (22.2%) had peritoneal dialysis (PD), because of financial constraints and lack of dialysis equipment. Mortality rate was 40.5%. The causes of death were uraemia 60 (70.6%), overwhelming infection 5 (5.9%), and recurrent anaemia 20 (23.5%). Hypertension (X² 15.7, P<0.001) and lack of dialysis (X² 7.96, P<0.01) significantly affected outcome. Other factors associated with demise were delayed presentation (58.8%), use of herbal treatment (35%), and unaffordability of treatment (40%). ARF is a significant cause of mortality in Nigerian children. The patients are not adequately managed because of poverty and lack of facilities for dialysis. The causes of ARF in our environment are preventable, and should be expected.     

Severity of illness scores and the outcome of acute tubular necrosis

The outcome of patients with acute renal failure (ARF)due to acute tubular necrosis (ATN) was evaluated inthis study. Two hundred and twenty-two patients witha mean age of 55.l ± 17.7 years (range 19–97years; male 153, female 69) who developed ATN in theperiod from July 1991 through January 1997 werestudied. Patients were divided into four groupsaccording to their APACHE II scores at the time of thediagnosis of ATN. Group I included patients with anAPACHE II score of 14 or less (n = 70), Group II with ascore of 15–18 (n = 52), Group III with a score of 19–23(n = 58), and group IV with a score of 24 or above(n = 42). The mean APACHE II score for each of the fourstudy groups was 11 ± 0.4, 16 ± 0.2, 20 ±0.2, and 29 ± 0.7, respectively. Patient survivalwas evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier analysis withcensorship at 12 months. Survival rates at 180 dayswere 67%, 47%, 39%, and zero%, for group I through IV respectively, χ² = 27.99, p < 0.0001,with a median survival of >365, 120, 31, and 11days, for groups I through IV, respectively. For patients with oliguria (n = 88) survival at 180days was 23% vs. 58% for patients without oliguria(n = 134), p < 0.0001, median survival 13 vs. 364 d.Six months survival of those who required dialysis(n = 79) was 25% vs. 58% for those whom dialysis wasnot needed (n = 143), p = 0.001, median survival 15 vs.364 d, respectively. In patients with sepsis (n = 58),6 months survival was 35% vs. 50% for those withoutsepsis (n = 164), p = 0.013, median survival 14 vs. 169 d. In patients who required mechanical ventilation(n = 72), 6 months survival was 17% vs. 62% for those whodid not need respiratory support (n = 150), p = 0.0001,median survival 13 vs. > 365 d, respectively. Finally, 6 months survival in patients with one(kidney only), two, three, and four organ failure was76, 30, 11, and zero percent, respectively, p = 0.0001,median survival > 365, 16, 11, and 12 days,respectively. We conclude that the use of the APACHE II score forthe stratification of the severity of illness could beof clinical utility in predicting mortality inpatients with ATN. Other predictors of poor prognosisinclude the need for dialysis, the presence ofoliguria, the need for mechanical ventilation, thepresence of sepsis, and the number of failed organs. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

老年住院患者急性肾损伤的临床特点

目的 探讨院内老年急性肾损伤(acute kidney injury,AKI)患者的临床特点.方法 本研究收集2015年1月至2015年12月首都医科大学附属北京潞河医院住院期间发生AKI患者的临床资料,分析老年患者发生AKI的临床特点.结果 共纳入202例院内AKI患者,老年AKI患者103例,死亡率44.66％,非老年AKI患者99例,死亡率33.33％.肾脏缺血及感染是老年AKI患者最常见的病因.多因素Logistic回归分析显示,BNP(OR=4.531,95％ CI1.112 ～10.312,P＜0.001)、C反应蛋白(OR=1.071,95％CI1.047～ 1.096,P＜0.05)、平均动脉压(OR=2.28,95％ CI 1.761～2.983,P＜0.001)、合并脓毒血症(OR=2.28,95％ CI 1.761 ～ 2.983,P＜0.001)、合并MODS(OR=27.316,95％ CI 13.936 ～ 48.344,P＜0.001)是老年AKI患者死亡的独立危险因素.结论 老年住院患者AKI病死率高,其中BNP、低平均动脉压、高C反应蛋白、合并脓毒血症及合并MODS为住院老年AKI患者死亡的独立危险因素.     

Mortality in Elderly Patients with Acute Renal Failure

In a retrospective study, we identified 55 elderly patients with acute renal failure (ARF) admitted to our hospital during an 8-year period from 1985 to 1993. Information about the etiology, complications, laboratory data, and treatment course were obtained from the clinical history. Of the 200 patients with ARF admitted to the hospital during this period, 28% were patients more than 60 years old (41 male and 14 female) with an average age of 68.5 ± 7 years. The main causes of ARF were sepsis, volume depletion, low cardiac output, arterial hypotension, nephrotoxicity by antibiotics, and obstructive uropathy. The global mortality of elderly patients with ARF was 53%. The mortality rate of the different types of the ARF were: prerenal 35%, intrinsic 64% (oliguric 76%, nonoliguric 50%), and postrenal 40%. Mortality as a result of sepsis occurred in 18 patients (62%), by cardiovascular disease in 4 patients (13%), by acute respiratory failure in 2 patients (7%), and by other causes in 5 patients (18%). In the cases of sepsis, Pseudomonas was detected in 7 cases (39%), Escherichia coli in 2 cases (11%), Gram-negative nonspecific in 3 cases (17%), Klebsiella in 1 case (5%), and in 5 cases (16%), the hemoculture was negative. The patient survival rate was 47% (26 of 55 patients). Of these patients, 19 recovered their normal renal function (73%), but 7 patients remained with renal failure (27%). In conclusion, the global mortality in the elderly patients without considering the types of ARF was 53%. The oliguric form had the highest mortality rate with 76%. The main causes for mortality were sepsis with 62%, cardiovascular disease with 13%, and other causes 18%.     

Predictors of worsening renal function in adult patients with congestive heart failure receiving recombinant human B-type brain natriuretic peptide (nesiritide).

BACKGROUND: A recent meta-analysis suggested that the use of nesiritide (NES), a new agent for the treatment of congestive heart failure (CHF), is associated with an increased risk of acute renal failure (ARF). METHODS: We examined this issue among 219 consecutive CHF patients, and determined the risk factors for development of ARF [defined as a rise in serum creatinine (SCr) >0.3 mg/dl]. The sole primary outcome was the development of ARF. RESULTS: Seventy one of 219 patients received NES. There was no difference in ARF between patients receiving vs not receiving NES (29 vs 20%, P = 0.17). Evaluation of the entire cohort employing forward stepwise regression analysis revealed the following independent predictors of ARF: admission blood urea nitrogen (BUN) [P = 0.0004, odds ratio (OR) = 1.026], and admission brain natiuretic peptide (P = 0.04, OR = 1.0003). We repeated the same analysis for the subgroups of patients receiving or not receiving NES. For patients not receiving NES (n = 148), ARF developed in 30 (20%), with lower estimated glomerular filtration rate and older age being independent predictors. For patients receiving NES (n = 71), ARF developed in 21 (29%), with hypertension, elevated BUN/SCr ratio, and lack of use of angiotensin inhibitors being independent predictors. CONCLUSION: Among all patients with CHF, the use of NES was not an independent risk factor for the development of ARF. However, risk factors for developing ARF differed among patients receiving vs not receiving NES. Comparison of these differing factors suggests that administering NES in the setting of diminished renal perfusion and/or altered renal autoregulation may confer an increased risk of ARF.