Incidence of stillbirth and perinatal mortality and their associated factors among women delivering at Harare Maternity Hospital, Zimbabwe: a cross-sectional retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND: Death of an infant in utero or at birth has always been a devastating experience for the mother and of concern in clinical practice. Infant mortality remains a challenge in the care of pregnant women worldwide, but particularly for developing countries and the need to understand contributory factors is crucial for addressing appropriate perinatal health. METHODS: Using information available in obstetric records for all deliveries (17,072 births) at Harare Maternity Hospital, Zimbabwe, we conducted a cross-sectional retrospective analysis of a one-year data, (1997-1998) to assess demographic and obstetric risk factors for stillbirth and early neonatal death. We estimated risk of stillbirth and early neonatal death for each potential risk factor. RESULTS: The annual frequency of stillbirth was 56 per 1,000 total births. Women delivering stillbirths and early neonatal deaths were less likely to receive prenatal care (adjusted relative risk [RR] = 2.54; 95% confidence intervals [CI] 2.19-2.94 and RR = 2.52; 95% CI 1.63-3.91), which for combined stillbirths and early neonatal deaths increased with increasing gestational age (Hazard Ratio [HR] = 3.98, HR = 7.49 at 28 and 40 weeks of gestation, respectively). Rural residence was associated with risk of infant dying in utero, (RR = 1.33; 95% CI 1.12-1.59), and the risk of death increased with increasing gestational age (HR = 1.04, HR = 1.69, at 28 and 40 weeks of gestation, respectively). Older maternal age was associated with risk of death (HR = 1.50; 95% CI 1.21-1.84). Stillbirths were less likely to be delivered by Cesarean section (RR = 0.64; 95% CI 0.51-0.79), but more likely to be delivered as breech (RR = 4.65; 95% CI 3.88-5.57, as were early neonatal deaths (RR = 3.38; 95% CI 1.64-6.96). CONCLUSION: The frequency of stillbirth, especially macerated, is high, 27 per 1000 total births. Early prenatal care could help reduce perinatal death linking the woman to the health care system, increasing the probability that she would seek timely emergency care that would reduce the likelihood of death of her infant in utero. Improved quality of obstetric care during labor and delivery may help reduce the number of fresh stillbirths and early neonatal deaths.     

Racial disparity in stillbirth among singleton, twin, and triplet gestations in the United States

OBJECTIVE: We investigated the relationship between maternal race and stillbirth among singletons, twins, and triplets. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study on 14,348,318 singletons, 387,419 twins, and 20,953 triplets delivered in the United States from 1995 through 1998. We compared the risk of stillbirth between pregnancies of black and those of white mothers using the generalized estimating equations framework to adjust for intracluster correlation in multiples. RESULTS: The proportion of black infants was 16%, 18%, and 8% among singletons, twins, and triplets, respectively. Crude stillbirth rate among singletons was 6.6 per 1,000 and 3.5 per 1,000 for black and white fetuses, respectively. Among twins, 796 stillbirths (11.6 per 1,000) were recorded for black mothers versus 3,209 stillbirths (10.1 per 1,000) among white mothers, whereas among triplets there were 233 stillbirths, of which 39 stillbirths were black fetuses (24.6 per 1,000) and 194 stillbirths were white fetuses (10.0 per 1,000). Black singletons, twins, and triplets weighed 278 g, 186 g, and 216 g less than white fetuses, respectively (P <.001). Risk of stillbirth was elevated in black fetuses compared with white fetuses among singletons (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 2.9, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.8-3.0) and twins (OR 1.3. 95% CI 1.2-1.4) but comparable among triplets (OR 1.2, 95% CI 0.7-2.1). This decreasing trend was significant (P for trend <.001). CONCLUSION: The disparity of stillbirths between black and white fetuses still persists among singletons and twins. Among triplet gestations, however, the 2 racial groups have a comparable risk level. Our findings highlight the need for a rigorous research agenda to elucidate causes of stillbirth across racial/ethnic entities in the United States. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II-2     

死胎的预测及其高危人群的管理

死胎是各种高危因素下母体、胎儿、胎盘疾病的终末期结局。早中孕期联合母体病史、超声胎儿生长及子宫动脉多普勒血流评估、母体血清胎盘生长因子,对胎盘受损所致死胎的预测价值较高,但对足月死胎的预测价值有限。正确识别死胎的高危因素,加强高危人群的孕前及孕期管理,有效利用各种产前监护手段以及适时分娩,可降低死胎的发生率。     

Late stillbirths and long-term mortality of mothers

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether women who experienced stillbirths have an excess risk of long-term mortality. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study in the setting of the Jerusalem Perinatal Study, a population-based database of all births to West Jerusalem residents. Through data linkage with the Israeli Population Registry, we followed mothers who gave birth at least twice between 1964 and 1976 and compared the survival of women who had at least one stillbirth (n=595) with that of women who had only live births (n=24,523), using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: During the study period, 78 (13.1%) mothers with stillbirths died, compared with 1,518 (6.2%) women without stillbirth (crude hazard ratio 2.08, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.65-2.61). The mortality risk remained significantly increased after adjustments for sociodemographic variables, maternal diseases at pregnancy, placental abruption, and preeclampsia (hazard ratio 1.40, 95% CI 1.11-1.77). Stillbirth was associated with an increased risk of death from coronary heart disease (adjusted hazard ratio 2.00, 95% CI 1.02-3.93), all circulatory (adjusted hazard ratio 1.70, 95% CI 1.02-2.84) and renal (adjusted hazard ratio 4.70, 95% CI 1.47-15.0) causes. Stratifying by country of origin, an increased risk was evident particularly among women of North African origin (all-cause mortality, adjusted hazard ratio 2.47, 95% CI 1.69-3.63). CONCLUSION: Stillbirth may be a risk marker for premature mortality among parous women.     

Combining 2nd-trimester maternal serum homocysteine levels and uterine artery Doppler for prediction of preeclampsia and isolated intrauterine growth restriction

AIM: To evaluate the efficacy of a combined 2nd-trimester maternal serum homocysteine and uterine artery Doppler screening at 20 weeks of gestation for complications of pregnancy: preeclampsia, isolated intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR), placental abruption, and stillbirths. METHODS: Consecutive singleton pregnancies without previous risk factors who had homocysteine measured as part of a serum-screening program for trisomy 21 had uterine artery Doppler performed. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, odds ratio, and positive and negative likelihood ratios for the subsequent development of preeclampsia, isolated IUGR, placental abruption, stillbirth, and preterm delivery were calculated for the following methods (1) homocysteine cut-off level 6.3 micromol/l (95th centile); (2) on Doppler ultrasound bilateral notches with a mean resistance index (RI) >0.55 (50th centile), all unilateral notches with a mean RI >0.65 (80th centile), and absence of notches with a mean RI >0.7 (95th centile), and (3) Doppler ultrasound notch evaluation (bilateral, unilateral, absence as in method 2) combined with the homocysteine cut-off level of 6.3 micromol/l. RESULTS: By using a logistic regression model, methods 1 and 2 predicted preeclampsia (p < 0.001), isolated IUGR (p < 0.01), and "any complication" (p < 0.01). The sensitivity for prediction of preeclampsia using the combined method (3) was 61.3% for a false-positive rate of 2%, better than that for isolated IUGR (54%) below the 5th centile and "any complication" (56%). CONCLUSION: This prospective study confirms the potential of a combined method of elevated homocysteine and uterine artery Doppler screening for preeclampsia, isolated IUGR, and any obstetric complication.     

Screening for pre-eclampsia and small for gestational age fetuses at the 11-14 weeks scan by uterine artery Dopplers

OBJECTIVE: To assess the role of uterine artery Doppler studies at 11-14 weeks in screening for pre-eclampsia (PET), small for gestational age (SGA) fetuses, and placental abruption. METHODS: Prospective study on 1,123 women presenting for routine ultrasound examination at 11-14 weeks for nuchal translucency measurement. Uterine artery blood flow was studied by transvaginal colour Doppler, the mean pulsatility index (PI) was calculated, and the presence of a diastolic notch was recorded. RESULTS: The mean, median and 95th centile of uterine artery PI were 1.71, 1.64 and 2.54, respectively. Bilateral notches were observed in 63.4%, and a unilateral notch in 18.4% of cases. The sensitivity of mean uterine artery PI>or=95th centile for PET, early onset severe PET necessitating delivery before 34 weeks, SGA相似文献   

Risk of Fetal Death Associated With Maternal Drug Dependence and Placental Abruption: A Population-Based Study

ObjectiveSubstance use in pregnancy is associated with placental abruption, but the risk of fetal death independent of abruption remains undetermined. Our objective was to examine the effect of maternal drug dependence on placental abruption and on fetal death in association with abruption and independent of it.MethodsTo examine placental abruption and fetal death, we performed a retrospective population-based study of 1 854 463 consecutive deliveries of liveborn and stillborn infants occurring between January 1, 1995 and March 31, 2001, using the Canadian Institute for Health Information Discharge Abstract Database.ResultsMaternal drug dependence was associated with a tripling of the risk of placental abruption in singleton pregnancies (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 3.1; 95% confidence intervals [CI] 2.6–3.7), but not in multiple gestations (adjusted OR 0.88; 95% CI 0.12–6.4). Maternal drug dependence was associated with an increased risk of fetal death independent of abruption (adjusted OR 1.6: 95% CI 1.1–2.2) in singleton pregnancies, but not in multiples. Risk of fetal death was increased with placental abruption in both singleton and multiple gestations, even after controlling for drug dependence adjusted OR 11.4 in singleton pregnancy; 95% CI 10.6–12.2, and 3.4 in multiple pregnancy; 95% CI 2.4–4.9).ConclusionMaternal drug use is associated with an increased risk of intrauterine fetal death independent of placental abruption. In singleton pregnancies, maternal drug dependence is associated with an increased risk of placental abruption.     

Extreme obesity and risk of stillbirth among black and white gravidas

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the risk for stillbirth among three generally accepted obesity subtypes based on severity. METHODS: We used the Missouri maternally linked cohort data containing births from 1978 to 1997. Using prepregnancy weight and height, mothers were classified on the basis of calculated body mass index (BMI) above 30 into three subsets: class I (30-34.9), class II (35-39.9), and extreme obesity (greater than or equal to 40). Using normal-weight, white women (18.5-24.9) as a reference, we applied Cox proportional hazard regression models to estimate risks for stillbirth. RESULTS: The prevalence of obesity in pregnant women was 9.5% (12.8% among blacks and 8.9% among whites). Overall, obese mothers were about 40% more likely to experience stillbirth compared with nonobese gravidas (adjusted hazard ratio 1.4; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.3-1.5). The risk for stillbirth increased in a dose-dependent fashion with increase in BMI: class I (adjusted hazard ratio 1.3; 95% CI 1.2-1.4); class II (adjusted hazard ratio 1.4; 95% CI 1.3-1.6) and extreme obesity (adjusted hazard ratio 1.9; 95% CI 1.6-2.1; P for trend <.01). Obese black mothers experienced more stillbirths than their white counterparts (adjusted hazard ratio 1.9; 95% CI 1.7-2.1 compared with adjusted hazard ratio 1.4; 95% CI 1.3-1.5). The black disadvantage in stillbirth widened with increase in BMI, with the greatest difference observed among extremely obese black mothers (adjusted hazard ratio 2.3; 95% CI 1.8-2.9). CONCLUSION: Obesity is a risk factor for stillbirth, particularly among extremely obese, black mothers. Strategies to reduce black-white disparities in birth outcomes should consider targeting obese, black women. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II.     

Prospective risk of stillbirth in multiple-gestation pregnancies: a population-based analysis

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prospective risk of stillbirth in multiple gestations. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of birth notifications and infant mortality records relating to all multiple gestations to residents in a predefined health district. The incidence of live births and stillbirths was used to calculate the prospective risk of stillbirth at each week of gestation. RESULTS: The risk of stillbirth in multiple gestations increased from 1:3333 at 28 weeks' gestation to 1:69 at 39 or more weeks' gestation. The stillbirth risk in multiple gestations at 39 weeks surpassed that of postterm singleton pregnancies (1:526). CONCLUSION: Multiple gestations at 37-38 weeks have a risk of stillbirth equivalent to that of postterm singleton pregnancy. Because multiple gestations rarely proceed beyond 39 weeks, and because stillbirth risk increases several-fold beyond this stage, elective delivery might be justified at this gestational age.     

Influence of parity on second-trimester uterine artery Doppler waveforms in twin pregnancy.

We performed uterine artery Doppler velocimetry in 16 nulliparous and 16 parous women with non-preeclamptic singleton gestations and 16 nulliparous and 16 parous women with dichorionic twin gestations at 17-18 and 26-27 weeks of gestation. In both singleton and twin pregnancies, the average pulsatility index (PI) in nulliparous women was significantly higher than that in parous women at 17-18 weeks of gestation. At 26-27 weeks of gestation, however, there were no significant differences in PI between nulliparous and parous women with either singleton or twin pregnancies. During the early second-trimester of non-preeclamptic singleton and twin pregnancies, parity has a significant effect on uterine artery blood flow.     

Prediction and prevention of recurrent stillbirth

Stillbirth is one of the most common adverse pregnancy outcomes in the United States, occurring in one out of every 200 pregnancies. There is a paucity of information on the outcome of pregnancies after stillbirth. Prior stillbirth is associated with a twofold to 10-fold increased risk of stillbirth in the future pregnancy. The risk depends on the etiology of the prior stillbirth, presence of fetal growth restriction, gestational age of the prior stillbirth, and race. Categorization of the cause of the initial stillbirth will allow better estimates of individual recurrence risk and guide management. A history of stillbirth also increases the risk of other adverse pregnancy outcomes in the subsequent pregnancy such as placental abruption, cesarean delivery, preterm delivery, and low birth weight infants. Prospective studies have revealed an increased risk of stillbirth with low pregnancy-associated plasma protein A, elevated maternal serum alpha fetoprotein, abnormal uterine artery Doppler studies, and antiphospholipid antibodies. However, the positive predictive value of these factors individually is poor. Because fetal growth restriction is associated with almost half of all stillbirths, the correct diagnosis of fetal growth restriction is essential. The use of individualized or customized growth standards will improve prediction of adverse pregnancy outcome by distinguishing growth-restricted fetuses from constitutionally small, healthy fetuses. Antepartum fetal surveillance and fetal movement counting are also mainstays of poststillbirth pregnancy management.     

Discordant uterine artery velocity waveforms as a predictor of subsequent miscarriage in early viable pregnancies

Objective: Our purpose was to determine whether an abnormal uterine perfusion pattern was associated with subsequent pregnancy loss after fetal cardiac activity was documented. Study Design: Pulsatility indexes of both the right and left uterine arteries were obtained by transvaginal color Doppler ultrasonography in 318 consecutive viable pregnancies between 6 and 12 weeks’ gestation. The Δ uterine artery pulsatility index value, expressed as the highest uterine artery pulsatility index value minus the lowest value, was calculated for each pregnancy. Women were subsequently classified as having continuing pregnancies or pregnancy loss before 20 weeks’ gestation. To predict subsequent pregnancy loss, Doppler findings were adjusted for maternal age, history of previous abortion, presence of subchorionic hematoma, embryonic bradycardia, and gestational age by means of multivariate logistic regression analysis. Results : Twenty-four pregnancies (8%) were spontaneously aborted before 20 weeks’ gestation. Both Δ uterine artery pulsatility index (odds ratio 2.9, 95% confidence interval 1.5-5.8) and history of previous abortion (odds ratio 3.1, 95% confidence interval 1.2-8.2) were significantly associated with pregnancy loss in the multivariate logistic regression analysis. The sensitivity and specificity of the multivariate logistic regression model to predict abortion were 75% and 85%, respectively, significantly higher than the diagnostic performances of qualitative and quantitative variables considered individually. Conclusion : Discordant uterine artery pulsatility indexes in the first trimester were strongly associated with subsequent pregnancy loss. This suggests that uterine ischemia may be implicated in certain cases of early pregnancy loss after documentation of fetal cardiac activity during the first trimester. (Am J Obstet Gynecol 1998;179:1587-93.)     

Prognostic value of placental ultrasound in pregnancies complicated by absent end-diastolic flow velocity in the umbilical arteries

Our objective was to evaluate the utility of gray-scale placental ultrasound for the detection of pathological lesions in the placentas of preterm pregnancies with abnormal fetoplacental blood flow (defined by absent or reversed end-diastolic flow velocities [ARED] in the umbilical arteries) before 32 weeks of gestation. Sixty consecutive structurally and chromosomally normal singleton pregnancies were evaluated. Pre-defined criteria were used to describe placental appearances using gray-scale real-time ultrasound. Proximal uterine artery Doppler waveforms were recorded using pulsed and color Doppler ultrasound. Each patient had a thrombophilia profile. Following delivery, a single perinatal pathologist reviewed each placenta at a gross and microscopic level blinded to the placental ultrasound findings. Placental shape or texture was abnormal on gray-scale ultrasound in 43/59 (73%) and echogenic cystic lesions (ECL) were found in 16 (27%). Uterine artery Doppler was abnormal in 47/60 (78%) cases. Thirty-eight pregnancies were subsequently delivered by planned Caesarean section in the fetal and/or maternal interest (birthweights 540-2300 g, mean gestational age 30.6 weeks) and 21 pregnancies resulted in the vaginal delivery of a stillborn fetus where fetal weight and/or gestational age did not justify Caesarean section (birthweights 85-600 g, mean gestational age 24.9 weeks). ECL had a low positive predictive value for both villous infarcts (63%) and for focal/massive perivillous fibrin deposition (40%). Nevertheless, the combination of abnormal uterine artery Doppler and abnormal gray-scale findings (abnormal placental morphology or ECL) was strongly predictive of stillbirth (17/21; sensitivity 81%, PPV 52%, p = 0.006 Fisher's exact test). Pregnancies with ARED in the umbilical arteries have a high perinatal mortality associated with pathology of the placental villi. Ultrasound examination of the placenta and its maternal blood supply may contribute to the perinatal management of these pregnancies.     

Predictors of stillbirth in sub-saharan Africa

OBJECTIVE: To describe the incidence and predictors of stillbirth in a predominantly human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected African cohort. METHODS: Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Prevention Trials Network (HPTN) 024 was a randomized controlled trial of empiric antibiotics to reduce chorioamnionitis-related perinatal HIV transmission. A proportion of HIV-uninfected individuals were enrolled to reduce community-based stigma surrounding the trial. For this analysis, only women who gave birth to singleton infants were included. RESULTS: Of 2,659 women enrolled, 2,434 (92%) mother- child pairs met inclusion criteria. Of these, 2,099 (86%) infants were born to HIV-infected women, and 335 (14%) were born to HIV-uninfected women. The overall stillbirth rate was 32.9 per 1,000 deliveries (95% confidence interval [CI] 26.1-40.7). In univariable analyses, predictors for stillbirth included previous stillbirth (odds ratio [OR] 2.3, 95% CI 1.2-4.3), antenatal hemorrhage (OR 14.4, 95% CI 4.3-47.9), clinical chorioamnionitis (OR 20.9, 95% CI 5.1-86.2), and marked polymorphonuclear infiltration on placental histology (OR 2.9, 95% CI 1.7-5.2). When compared with pregnancies longer than 37 weeks, those at 34-37 weeks (OR 1.7, 95% CI 0.8-3.4) and those at less than 34 weeks (OR 22.8, 95% CI 13.6-38.2) appeared more likely to result in stillborn delivery. Human immunodeficiency virus infection was not associated with a greater risk for stillbirth in either univariable (OR 1.5, 95% CI 0.7-3.0) or multivariable (adjusted OR 1.11, 95% CI 0.38-3.26) analysis. Among HIV-infected women, however, decreasing CD4 cell count was inversely related to stillbirth risk (P=.009). CONCLUSION: In this large cohort, HIV infection was not associated with increased stillbirth risk. Further work is needed to elucidate the relationship between chorioamnionitis and stillbirth in African populations. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, www.clinicaltrials.gov, NCT00021671 LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II.     

Prediction of smallness for gestational age by maternal serum human chorionic gonadotropin levels and by uterine artery Doppler study

OBJECTIVES: To compare the utility of maternal serum human chorionic gonadotropin (MShCG) levels with that of uterine artery Doppler study in predicting small for gestational age (SGA) birth and pregnancy-induced hypertension (PIH). METHODS: MShCG assay and uterine artery Doppler study were performed in 359 consecutive pregnant women with singleton pregnancies. MShCG levels > or =2.0 multiples of the median at 15-18 weeks' gestation were considered to be elevated. An abnormal uterine artery Doppler velocimetry at 21-24 weeks' gestation was defined as a mean pulsatility index above the 95th percentile or the presence of an early diastolic notch in either uterine artery. The predictive values of MShCG levels and uterine artery Doppler velocimetry were evaluated for the risk of SGA birth and PIH. RESULTS: Forty-one subjects gave birth to SGA infants, and 20 developed PIH. Patients with MShCG elevation or abnormal uterine artery Doppler velocimetry showed a significantly higher incidence of SGA infants than the controls. The sensitivity and specificity of MShCG elevation for SGA birth were 17.1 and 93.4%, respectively, compared with abnormal uterine artery Doppler velocimetry, which had 24.4 and 94.3%, respectively. There was no significant difference between these methods. Elevated levels of MShCG and abnormal uterine artery Doppler velocimetry were not associated with PIH. CONCLUSION: Elevated levels of second-trimester MShCG were as sensitive and specific in predicting SGA births as abnormal uterine artery Doppler velocimetry.     

Delayed normalization of uterine artery Doppler waveforms is not a benign phenomenon

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the pregnancy outcome in patients with abnormal uterine artery Doppler flow velocity waveforms (FVW's) at 19-21 weeks, which were subsequently normal by 24-26 weeks, and to study the effect of low-dose aspirin on these waveforms. DESIGN: The study group consisted of 49 patients who had abnormal uterine artery flow velocity waveforms (FVW's) at 19-21 weeks. These women were initially commenced on 100 mg slow-release aspirin at 20 weeks, which was discontinued at the follow-up visit, after confirming normal uterine artery Doppler FVW. The control group consisted of 730 patients with normal uterine artery Doppler waveforms at 19-21 weeks. The main outcome measures were: small for gestational age (SGA) <10th centile, pre-eclampsia, placental abruption, and perinatal mortality rate (PMR). RESULTS: When compared with the control group, the study group had an increased risk of placental abruption (2% versus 0.27%, P = 0.05) 95% Confidence Intervals CI = 0.01-0.13), low birth weight (3087 versus 3383 gm, P = 0.0003), SGA <10th centile (32.7% versus 11.9%, P 相似文献   

Perinatal mortality in first- and second-born twins in the United States

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevailing mortality paradox that second-born twins are at higher risk of perinatal mortality than first-born twins. METHODS: We used the 1995-1997 United States "matched multiple birth" data files assembled by the National Center for Health Statistics, for analysis of risk of perinatal mortality in first- and second-born twins (293788 fetuses). Perinatal mortality was defined to include stillbirths after 20 weeks of gestation and neonatal deaths (deaths within the first 28 days). Gestational age-specific risk of perinatal mortality (per 1000 total births), stillbirth (per 1000 total births), and neonatal mortality (per 1000 livebirths) by order of twin birth were based on the fetuses-at-risk approach. Associations between order of birth and mortality indices were evaluated by fitting multivariable logistic regression models based on the method of generalized estimating equations. These models were adjusted for several potential confounding factors. RESULTS: Perinatal mortality was 37% higher in second-born (26.1 per 1000 total births) than in first-born (20.3 per 1000 total births) twins (adjusted relative risk [RR] 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32, 1.42). The increased risk of perinatal mortality in second-born twins was chiefly driven by a 2.46-fold (95% CI 2.29, 2.63) increase in the number of stillbirths. However, the risk of neonatal mortality was very similar between first- and second-born twins (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.95, 1.04). CONCLUSIONS: The increased risk of perinatal death in second-born twins is driven chiefly by increased rates of stillborn second twins. Thus, the increased mortality in second-born over first-born twins probably is an artifact of mortality comparisons.     

Effect of maternal age on the risk of stillbirth: a population-based cohort study on 37 million births in the United States

The objective of our study was to evaluate the incidence and effect of maternal age on the risk of stillbirth. We conducted a population-based cohort study using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's "Linked Birth-Infant Death" and "Fetal Death" data files. We excluded all births of gestational age under 24 weeks and those with reported congenital malformations. We estimated the adjusted effect of maternal age on the risk of stillbirth using logistic regression analysis. There were 37,504,230 births that met study criteria, of which 130,353 (3.5/1,000) were stillbirths. Rates of stillbirth remained constant throughout the 10 years. As compared with women between the ages of 25 and 30, decreasing maternal age was associated with the following risk of stillbirth: odds ratio (OR) 0.95 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.93 to 0.97) for ages 20 to 25; OR 0.97 (95% CI 0.94 to 0.99) for ages 15 to 20; and OR 1.32 (95% CI 1.18 to 1.47) for ages <15. Increasing maternal age was associated with an increasing risk of stillbirth: OR 1.02 (95% CI 0.99 to 1.04) for ages 30 to 35, OR 1.25 (95% CI 1.21 to 1.28) for ages 35 to 40, OR 1.60 (95% CI 1.53 to 1.67) for ages 40 to 45, and OR 2.22 (95% CI 1.91 to 2.53) for ages >45. Although the overall risk is low, the risk of stillbirth increases considerably in women at the extremes of the reproductive age spectrum. Antenatal surveillance may be justified in these women.     

Individualized risk assessment for adverse pregnancy outcome by uterine artery Doppler at 23 weeks

OBJECTIVE: To provide individualized risk prediction of severe adverse pregnancy outcome based on uterine artery Doppler screening at 23 weeks. METHODS: Color Doppler assessment of the uterine arteries was carried out in 5121 women attending for routine care at 23 weeks in two inner-city obstetric units. The mean uterine artery pulsatility index (PI) was calculated, and the likelihood ratios in relation to PI were generated for severe adverse outcome. This was defined as fetal death, placental abruption, and delivery before 34 weeks associated with preeclampsia and birth weight less than the 10th centile. RESULTS: The likelihood of severe adverse pregnancy outcome increased quadratically with mean uterine artery PI. This relationship was not affected by maternal age, ethnicity, or parity. At a mean PI of 1.45, the 95th centile for our population, the likelihood ratio for severe adverse pregnancy outcome was 5. Cigarette smoking had an additional contribution to PI in predicting severe adverse outcome, roughly doubling the risk for a given PI. CONCLUSION: The individualized risk of severe adverse pregnancy outcome can be determined by uterine artery Doppler screening at 23 weeks and knowledge of cigarette smoking history. Such individualized risk would allow ultrasound resources and clinical follow-up to be tailored to the pregnant woman for the most appropriate use of antenatal care.     

Stillbirth and neonatal outcomes in South Australia, 1991-2000

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of maternal factors associated with impaired placental function on stillbirth and neonatal death rates in South Australia. STUDY DESIGN: From 1991 to 2000, the South Australian Pregnancy Outcome Unit's population database was searched to identify stillbirths and neonatal deaths in women with maternal medical conditions during pregnancy and in twin and singleton pregnancies. RESULTS: Women with hypertension and carbohydrate intolerance and who smoked during pregnancy had an increased risk of stillbirth. Women with twin pregnancies had a significantly higher stillbirth rate than for singletons at each week of gestational age. An increase in stillbirth rate at later gestations was seen with singletons, with a similar trend in twins but rising from 36 weeks' gestation. CONCLUSION: There is a clinical correlation between maternal factors associated with impaired placental function and increased risk of stillbirth, suggesting that intrauterine fetal death represents the mortality end point in a spectrum of intrauterine hypoxia.