Interferon-based therapy delays but metabolic comorbidity accelerates progression of chronic hepatitis C

Background. We compared mortality and complications of chronic hepatitis C between treated and untreated Mexican patients after long-term follow-up. We used a time-to-event analysis and identified the prognostic factors.Material and methods. Seventy-four patients with chronic hepatitis C were studied. They were ≥ 18 years of age and had a molecular diagnosis of chronic hepatitis C and ≥ 6 months of follow-up. Patients with neoplasia or those infected with human immunodeficiency virus or hepatitis B Virus were excluded. Kaplan-Meier analysis, log-rank test, annualized incidence per 100 person-years, and stepwise discriminant analysis were used to analyse mortality and complications.Results. The end-point of annualized incidence was lowest in sustained virological responders, intermediate in non-responders, and highest in untreated patients. The absence of treatment impacted adversely on cirrhosis development and the occurrence of portal hypertension and hepatic decompensation/hepatocellular carcinoma (log-rank, p < 0.05). Diabetes impacted adversely on liver-related death/liver transplantation among untreated patients. Stepwise discriminant analysis showed that diabetes, high blood pressure, and no retreatment predicted cirrhosis development (eigenvalue ≥ 0.8; p < 0.05). A MELD score ≥ 18 and age ≥ 50 years predicted hepatic decompensation/hepatocellular carcinoma (eigenvalue < 0.8; p < 0.05). APRI ≥ 1.5 predicted mortality/liver transplantation and liver-related death/liver transplantation (eigenvalue < 0.8; p < 0.05).Conclusions. This is the first long-term study of chronic hepatitis C among Mexican patients. Treated patients showed less progression of liver disease. Treated patients showed less progression of liver disease; and older patients, those with metabolic comorbidities, with MELD score ≥ 18 and APRI ≥ 1.5 exhibited adverse effects.     

Chronic hepatitis B: a long-term retrospective cohort study of disease progression in Shanghai, China

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The present study aimed to describe the disease progression of chronic hepatitis B patients without or with compensated cirrhosis at baseline, to estimate the risk of progression to decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and death, and to determine prognostic factors of disease progression in patients in Shanghai, China. METHODS: Stored medical records from 322 biopsy-confirmed chronic hepatitis B cases diagnosed between 1981 and 1993 were selected, and the status of patients was tracked in 1999-2000. Among consenting patients, ultrasound examination and laboratory tests were conducted. Person-year incidence rates, Kaplan-Meier analysis, log-rank tests, and Cox regression analysis were conducted. RESULTS: Among chronic hepatitis B patients without compensated cirrhosis, the incidence rates of decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and death were 6.3, 2.8, and 7.6 per 1000 person-years, respectively, while for patients with compensated cirrhosis, the rates were 35.6, 8.2, and 35.2 per 1000 person-years, respectively. The 15-year survival rate was 88% for patients without compensated cirrhosis, compared with 56% for patients with compensated cirrhosis (P < 0.001). Cox regression analysis demonstrated that increased alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (P < 0.01), gamma-globulin (P < 0.05), and high-level severity of hepatic fibrosis (P < 0.01) at baseline were risk factors of decompensated cirrhosis. Factors associated with a high risk of death included elevated AFP at baseline (P < 0.01), severity of hepatic fibrosis (P < 0.003), and sustained positivity for hepatitis B surface antigen (P < 0.004). CONCLUSION: Increased AFP and severity of hepatic fibrosis at baseline were associated with higher risk of decompensated cirrhosis and death. These data provide rare empirical estimates of the negative long-term outcomes for patients with chronic hepatitis B in Shanghai, China.     

Goals of treatment, indication, and treatment for chronic hepatitis C

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a major cause of chronic hepatitis and hepatic fibrosis worldwide. Up to 85% of individuals infected with HCV develop chronic infection, which can progress to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. The primary goal in the treatment of HCV infection is to reduce the mortality by preventing liver-related deaths associated with the development of hepatocellular carcinoma and decompensated cirrhosis. Pegylated interferons together with ribavirin are currently the standard of care for patients with chronic hepatitis. Here, I discuss the goals of treatment, indication and treatment of chronic hepatitis C.     

Development of hepatocellular carcinoma in elderly patients with chronic hepatitis C with or without elevated aspartate and alanine aminotransferase levels

Objective. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the elderly infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) is expected to increase globally within the next two decades. The purpose of the study was to define the natural history of elderly patients with chronic hepatitis C needs in order to prevent HCC from arising in these patients. Material and methods. Treatment-naive patients aged ≥65 years with platelet counts >120×10³/mm³ were classified as 120 with aspartate and alanine aminotransferase (ASAT and ALAT) levels ≦40 IU/l (group A) and 212 with either or both levels ≥41 (group B) and followed-up for 3 years or longer without antiviral treatment. Results. Cirrhosis and HCC developed more frequently in group B than in group A (p<0.001 for both). In particular, of the patients aged 65–69 years at entry, cirrhosis and HCC developed more frequently in group B than in group A (p<0.001 and p=0.001, respectively). Liver-related causes of death were more common in group B than in group A (20/34 (59%) versus 1/9 (11%), p=0.021). HCC developed more frequently in men than in women (p=0.033). Conclusions. In elderly patients with chronic hepatitis C, cirrhosis and HCC develop more frequently in those with elevated transaminase levels than in those without elevated transaminase levels. Therefore, transaminase levels need to be suppressed below ≦40 IU/l, using antiviral treatments or other agents, in order to prevent cirrhosis and HCC arising in these patients. In view of rare liver-related deaths, aggressive antiviral treatment would not be necessary in the elderly with chronic hepatitis C who have normal transaminase levels.     

Effect of immune pressure on hepatitis C virus evolution: insights from a single-source outbreak

The incidence of liver disease progression among subjects with histologically advanced but compensated chronic hepatitis C is incomplete. The Hepatitis C Antiviral Long-term Treatment against Cirrhosis Trial was a randomized study of 3.5 years of maintenance peginterferon treatment on liver disease progression among patients who had not cleared virus on peginterferon and ribavirin therapy. Patients were followed subsequently off therapy. Because maintenance peginterferon treatment did not alter liver disease progression, we analyzed treated and control patients together. Among 1,050 subjects (60% advanced fibrosis, 40% cirrhosis), we determined the rate of progression to cirrhosis over 4 years and of clinical outcomes over 8 years. Among patients with fibrosis, the incidence of cirrhosis was 9.9% per year. Six hundred seventy-nine clinical outcomes occurred among 329 subjects. Initial clinical outcomes occurred more frequently among subjects with cirrhosis (7.5% per year) than subjects with fibrosis (3.3% per year) (P<0.0001). Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score≥7 was the most common first outcome, followed by hepatocellular carcinoma. Following occurrence of a CTP score≥7, the rate of subsequent events increased to 12.9% per year, including a death rate of 10% per year. Age and sex did not influence outcome rates. Baseline platelet count was a strong predictor of all clinical outcomes. During the 8 years of follow-up, death or liver transplantation occurred among 12.2% of patients with advanced fibrosis and 31.5% of those with cirrhosis. CONCLUSION: Among patients with advanced hepatitis C who failed peginterferon and ribavirin therapy, the rate of liver-related outcomes, including death and liver transplantation, is high, especially once the CTP score reaches at least 7.     

Chronic hepatitis B virus infection in the Asia-Pacific region and Africa: review of disease progression

Countries in the the Asia-Pacific region and Africa tend to have the highest prevalence of hepatitis B infection worldwide. Hepatitis B infection progresses from an asymptomatic persistently infected status to chronic hepatitis B, cirrhosis, decompensated liver disease and/or hepatocellular carcinoma. The aim of this review was to summarize rates and risk factors for progression between disease states in the Asia-Pacific region and Africa. A literature search was conducted employing MEDLINE and EMBASE (1975-2003) using the following key words: hepatitis B, natural history, disease progression, cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, mortality, Africa and the Asia-Pacific region. Bibliographies of articles reviewed were also searched. Ranges for annual progression rates were: (i) asymptomatic persistent infection to chronic hepatitis B, 0.84-2.7%; (ii) chronic hepatitis B to cirrhosis, 1.0-2.4%; and (iii) cirrhosis to hepatocellular carcinoma, 3.0-6.6%. Patients with asymptomatic persistent infection and chronic hepatitis B had relatively low 5-year mortality rates (<4%); rates (>50%) were much higher in patients with decompensated liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma. No data were found for progression rates in African populations. Hepatitis B e antigen was a risk factor for chronic hepatitis B, and bridging hepatic necrosis in chronic hepatitis B increased the risk of cirrhosis. Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma included cirrhosis, co-infection with hepatitis C virus, and genetic and environmental factors. In this review, wide ranges of disease progression estimates are documented, emphasizing the need for further studies, particularly in Africa, where progression rates are largely not available. Summarizing information on factors associated with disease progression should assist in focusing efforts to arrest the disease process in those at most risk.     

Excess mortality in patients with advanced chronic hepatitis C treated with long-term peginterferon

Chronic hepatitis C virus infection can cause chronic liver disease, cirrhosis and liver cancer. The Hepatitis C Antiviral Long-term Treatment against Cirrhosis (HALT-C) Trial was a prospective, randomized controlled study of long-term, low-dose peginterferon therapy in patients with advanced chronic hepatitis C who failed to respond to a previous course of optimal antiviral therapy. The aim of this follow-up analysis is to describe the frequency and causes of death among this cohort of patients. Deaths occurring during and after the HALT-C Trial were reviewed by a committee of investigators to determine the cause of death and to categorize each death as liver- or nonliver-related and as related or not to complications of peginterferon. Rates of liver transplantation were also assessed. Over a median of 5.7 years, 122 deaths occurred among 1,050 randomized patients (12%), of which 76 were considered liver-related (62%) and 46 nonliver-related (38%); 74 patients (7%) underwent liver transplantation. At 7 years the cumulative mortality rate was higher in the treatment compared to the control group (20% versus 15%, P = 0.049); the primary difference in mortality was in patients in the fibrosis compared to the cirrhosis stratum (14% versus 7%, P = 0.01); comparable differences were observed when liver transplantation was included. Excess mortality, emerging after 3 years of treatment, was related largely to nonliver-related death; liver-related mortality was similar in the treatment and control groups. No specific cause of death accounted for the excess mortality and only one death was suspected to be a direct complication of peginterferon. CONCLUSION: Long-term maintenance peginterferon in patients with advanced chronic hepatitis C is associated with an excess overall mortality, which was primarily due to nonliver-related causes among patients with bridging fibrosis.     

Liver fibrosis scores and risk of liver-related mortality in young adults with chronic hepatitis B: A cohort study

The predictive role of noninvasive liver fibrosis scores on liver-related mortality in patients with chronic hepatitis B below 40 years of age remains unclarified. We examined the association of liver fibrosis scores with liver-related mortality in young (<40 years) and older adults with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. A cohort study was performed in 21,360 HBsAg-positive Korean adults without liver cirrhosis or liver cancer at baseline who were followed up for up to 18 years. The liver fibrosis scores were determined using the fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4) and aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI). Patients’ vital status and cause of death were ascertained through the National Death Records. During a median follow-up of 10.2 years, 283 liver-related deaths were identified (liver-related mortality, 127.4/10⁵ person-years). The liver fibrosis scores were significantly associated with increased risks of liver-related mortality; this association did not differ by age group (<40 vs. ≥40 years). The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals for liver-related mortality comparing intermediate and high to low FIB-4 scores were 4.23 (1.99–9.00), and 15.16 (5.18–44.38), respectively, among individuals under 40, and 4.46 (3.03–6.56) and 22.47 (15.11–33.41), respectively, among older individuals. These associations were similar in analyses using APRI. In this cohort of HBsAg-positive individuals, the liver fibrosis scores were associated with increased risks of liver-related mortality in young and older adults. The liver fibrosis scores have a role in predicting liver mortality, even in young adults with HBV.     

Morbidity and mortality from chronic hepatitis B virus infection in family members of patients with malignant and nonmalignant hepatitis B virus-related chronic liver diseases.

Three-hundred forty-one HBsAg-positive family members of 152 patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection (47 asymptomatic carriers, 59 with chronic hepatitis, 17 with cirrhosis and 29 with hepatocellular carcinoma) were prospectively studied to determine the morbidity and mortality from chronic hepatitis B virus infection in the family members of patients with malignant and nonmalignant hepatitis B virus-related chronic liver diseases. Most of the family members had no history of acute hepatitis, were asymptomatic and were unaware of their carrier status. However, 5.3% had stigmata of chronic liver disease, 6% had serum ALT levels that exceeded two times the upper limit of normal and 78% of those who had biopsies had chronic hepatitis with or without cirrhosis. During a follow-up period of 12 to 90 mo (median = 39 mo), 3% had symptoms of chronic liver disease; 24% had transient, recurrent or persistent elevation in serum ALT levels, 1.4% had cirrhosis and 1% had hepatocellular carcinoma. Neither hepatocellular carcinoma in the index patient nor a previous history of hepatocellular carcinoma in the family was associated with an increase in the morbidity and mortality from chronic hepatitis B virus infection in the HBsAg-positive family members.     

Natural history and prognosis of hepatitis B

The natural history of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is complex and variable and is greatly influenced by the age at infection, the level of HBV replication, and host immune status. Chronic HBV infection generally consists of an early replicative phase with active liver disease (hepatitis B e antigen [HBeAg]-positive chronic hepatitis) and a late low or nonreplicative phase with HBeAg seroconversion and remission of liver disease (inactive carrier state). After HBeAg seroconversion, some patients may have active hepatitis due to HBV variants not expressing HBeAg (HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis). Morbidity and mortality are linked to development of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Survival is reasonably good (about 85% probability at 5 years) in compensated cirrhosis but very poor in decompensated cirrhosis. Both cirrhotic and noncirrhotic patients with sustained reduction of HBV replication and normalization of aminotransferase after interferon alfa therapy have a reduced risk for liver-related complications.     

The natural history of chronic hepatitis C in haemophiliacs

Most haemophiliacs treated with non-virally-inactivated clotting factor concentrates have been infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV). We have studied the natural history of chronic HCV infection by following all 138 HCV-positive patients from our centre for periods of up to 28 years. As well as the clinical and biochemical characteristics, we studied 116 liver samples from 63 patients obtained at elective biopsy ( n =103) or autopsy ( n =13). 36 (26%) of the patients were HIV positive, and three were chronic carriers of hepatitis B. Evidence of previous exposure to hepatitis A and B was found in 37.2% and 48.1% respectively. Raised transaminase levels were found in 82.6% of patients. 11 of 15 patients with normal transaminases tested by PCR for HCV RNA were positive, indicating that most patients, even in this group, have chronic hepatitis C infection. Cirrhosis was diagnosed by liver histology in 19 patients, and nine patients developed liver failure. The incidence of cirrhosis rose rapidly 15 years after HCV infection to 15.6 per 1000 person-years. Multivariate analysis showed that HIV status, length of time since HCV infection and age at HCV infection were independently associated with both the development of cirrhosis and liver failure. Two patients developed hepatocellular carcinoma; one of these was exposed only to a single batch of FVIII concentrate 11 years earlier. Chronic hepatitis C is increasingly recognized as a major cause for morbidity and mortality in haemophiliacs, especially those who are HIV positive and who were infected at an older age.     

Incidence and risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma in 967 patients with cirrhosis

Purpose: To determine the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis and to examine the influence of age and sex, and the contribution of etiological factors. Methods: 967 patients with liver cirrhosis and free of hepatocellular carcinoma were enrolled in this longitudinal, retrospective and observational study. Monitoring for hepatocellular carcinoma was scheduled at 3- to 6-month intervals. The mean (±SD) length of follow-up was 60.3 ± 51.7 months (range 6–258). Results: During the observation period, hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 64 patients. The calculated annual incidence was 2.1%. The probability of being free of liver cancer was 92% at 5 years, 80% at 10 years, and 69% at 15 years. Age was the only independent risk factor for the development of malignancy in the multivariate analysis. There were no differences according to male sex, alcohol abuse, and chronic hepatitis B and C virus infection. Conclusions: The annual incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma was 2.1%. These results, although confirming that age is a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis, indicate that alcohol abuse, male sex, and concurrent hepatitis B and C virus infection do not involve a higher risk of developing liver cancer.     

Natural history of chronic HBV carriers in northern Italy: morbidity and mortality after 30 years

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Increased morbidity and mortality from liver disease have been reported in chronic hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) carriers, but data on survival are equivocal. To assess the impact of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection on survival and liver-related complications, we re-evaluated, after a mean follow-up of 30 years, a cohort of 296 blood donors excluded from donation 30 years ago when HBsAg screening became mandatory. METHODS: Clinical and ultrasound examination and biochemical and virologic tests were performed. The cause of death was recorded and survival was compared with a control population of 157 HBV-negative blood donors selected at baseline. RESULTS: Thirty-two (10.8%) cases and 14 controls (8.9%) ( P = 0.625) had died; 3 of 32 (9.3%) and 1 of 14 (7.1%) deaths were liver-related. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) caused death in 2 of 296 and 1 of 157 subjects (0.6% in each group). Alcohol-induced cirrhosis occured in the remaining subject. By Cox regression analysis, survival was independently predicted by older age, abnormal gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) levels, and presence of medical comorbidities at baseline. Unequivocal liver disease was found in 4 carriers only. No disease decompensation occurred during follow-up. Fifty-nine (32.2%) carriers cleared HBsAg (yearly incidence, 1.0%). Full-length serum HBV DNA was present in 32.2% of persistently HBsAg-positive individuals (average titer always <10 5 copies/mL). CONCLUSIONS: Over a 30-year period, chronic HBV carrier blood donors from Northern Italy did not develop clinically significant liver disease, hepatocellular cancer, or other liver-related morbidity or mortality at a higher rate than uninfected controls. The presence of medical comorbidities, older age at diagnosis, and abnormal GGT levels were independent predictors of death among chronic HBV carriers.     

Serum concentration of E-selectin in patients with chronic hepatitis, liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma

Objectives: High levels of soluble E-selectin have been reported in acute and chronic inflammatory disorders. Moreover, in some types of tumor elevated values have been found while in other types reduced levels have been reported. Our aims were to determine whether soluble E-selectin levels might be useful in monitoring the progression of chronic liver disease, including hepatocellular carcinoma. Methods: Circulating soluble E-selectin was measured by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in the sera of 18 patients with chronic hepatitis, 44 with liver cirrhosis, and 38 with hepatocellular-carcinoma-associated liver cirrhosis. Immunohistochemical localization of E-selectin was also performed on liver tissue specimens of patients with chronic hepatitis, liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Results: Serum levels of soluble E-selectin were higher in the chronic hepatitis and liver cirrhosis patients than in the hepatocellular carcinoma patients and healthy controls. Levels in the hepatocellular carcinoma patients and controls were not significantly different. In the liver cirrhosis group, divided according to the Child-Pugh classification, soluble E-selectin decreased with disease severity. Similarly, in patients with liver cirrhosis who developed hepatocellular carcinoma, soluble E-selectin decreased as the disease progressed. Immunohistochemical localization showed strong membrane staining on endothelial cells in areas rich in inflammatory cells in severe chronic hepatitis. In some hepatocellular carcinoma tissues a marked E-selectin staining was observed on endothelial cells of tumor-associated small vessels. Conclusions: The results obtained suggest that high serum levels of soluble E-selectin are associated with chronic hepatitis and liver cirrhosis, and that levels decrease in liver cirrhosis patients as the disease progresses. Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma have different types of soluble E-selectin behaviour the significance of which requires further investigation. Received: 27 July 1999 / Accepted: 24 December 1999     

The burden of liver disease in human immunodeficiency virus-infected patients

Introduction of effective combined antiretroviral therapy has made human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection a chronic illness. Substantial reductions in the number of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome- (AIDS-) related deaths have been accompanied by an increase in liver-related morbidity and mortality. Liver diseases rank in the first three most-common causes of death in HIV-infected persons. Mortality is mainly due to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma induced by hepatitis C virus and hepatitis B virus coinfection. However, antiretroviral drugs toxicity also plays a role. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is a common cause of liver injury as well. Nevertheless, alcohol consumption probably plays a pivotal role. Noncirrhotic portal hypertension, an uncommon condition observed in less than 1% of patients, is increasingly described. Finally, acute hepatitis A virus (HAV) and acute and even chronic hepatitis E virus infection have also been reported as causes of liver damage in HIV. Anti-HAV vaccination is thus recommended in persons at risk living with HIV.     

Clinical outcome of HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B in relation to virological response to lamivudine

The effect of lamivudine treatment on the outcome of patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative chronic hepatitis is unclear. In a retrospective multicenter study, we have analyzed the virological events observed during lamivudine therapy in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis and evaluated the correlation between virological response and clinical outcomes. Among 656 patients (mean age 49.1 years) included in the database, 54% had chronic hepatitis, 30% had Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) A cirrhosis, and 16% had CTP B/C cirrhosis. On therapy (median 22 months, range 1-66), a virological response was obtained in 616 patients (93.9%). The rate of maintained virological response was 39% after 4 years. During follow-up, 47 (7.2%) patients underwent liver transplantation, liver disease worsened in 31 (4.7%), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) developed in 31 (4.7%), and 24 patients (3.6%) died of liver-related causes. Patients who had cirrhosis and who maintained virological response were less likely than those with viral breakthrough to develop HCC (P <.001) and disease worsening (P <.001). Survival was better in CTP A patients with cirrhosis and maintained virological response (P =.01 by rank test). Multivariate analysis revealed that presence of cirrhosis and viral breakthrough were independently related to mortality and development of HCC. In conclusion, lamivudine is highly effective in reducing viral load in HBeAg-negative patients. After 4 years of therapy, 39% of patients maintain a virological and biochemical response. Loss of virological response may lead to clinical deterioration in patients with cirrhosis.     

Effects of antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B and cirrhosis

Introduction: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is the major cause of cirrhosis worldwide. The ultimate goal of current antiviral treatments for chronic hepatitis B (nucleos(t)ide analogs and interferon-α) is to prevent the development of end-stage liver diseases.

Areas covered: We present a review of the current literature on antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B and cirrhosis. Medline search was performed to identify relevant literature from 1993 through January of 2017.

Expert commentary: One randomized controlled trial and a number of observational studies have shown that nucleos(t)ide analogs can decrease the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B patients with advanced fibrosis. Data from clinical trials of entecavir and tenofovir have shown that histological improvement and regression of fibrosis can be achieved in the majority of patients with chronic hepatitis B by successful viral suppression. Entecavir and tenofovir are the preferred antiviral agents for treatment of chronic hepatitis B in patients with cirrhosis due to their high antiviral potency and high genetic barrier to resistance. Pegylated interferon-α is another therapeutic option for chronic hepatitis B patients with well-compensated cirrhosis. However, interferon therapy is contraindicated in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, and evidence for reduced HCC is currently insufficient.     

Interferon treatment improves survival in chronic hepatitis C patients showing biochemical as well as virological responses by preventing liver-related death

Interferon therapy for chronic hepatitis C reduces the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma, especially among virological and biochemical responders. However, little is known about the effect of interferon therapy on mortality. We studied the long-term effect of interferon therapy on mortality in patients with chronic hepatitis C. For this retrospective cohort study, 2954 patients with chronic hepatitis C were recruited, of whom 2698 received interferon therapy and 256 did not. The effect of interferon therapy on survival was assessed by standardized mortality ratio (SMR) based on published mortality data for the general Japanese population and by risk ratio calculated by proportional hazard regression. Over 6.0 +/- 2.2 years follow-up, death from liver-related diseases was observed in 69 (68%) of 101 deaths among interferon-treated patients and in 42 (81%) of 52 deaths among untreated patients. Compared with the general population, overall mortality was high among untreated patients (SMR: 2.7; 95% CI: 2.0-3.6) but not among interferon-treated patients (SMR: 0.9; 95% CI: 0.7-1.1). Liver-related mortality was extremely high among untreated patients (SMR: 22.2; 95% CI: 16.0-30.0) and less among interferon-treated patients (SMR: 5.5; 95% CI: 4.3-6.9). The risk of death from all causes was lower for interferon-treated than untreated patients (risk ratio: 0.47; 95% CI: 0.261-0.836; P = 0.01). The risk of death from liver-related diseases was significantly lower for sustained virological responders (risk ratio: 0.04; 95% CI: 0.005-0.301; P = 0.002) compared with untreated patients, but not for nonsustained virological responders. Sustained biochemical responders (risk ratio: 0.03; 95% CI: 0.004-0.230; P < 0.001) and transient biochemical responders (risk ratio: 0.18; 95% CI: 0.063-0.532; P = 0.002) showed a significantly reduced risk of death from liver-related death, whereas biochemical nonresponders did not. Hence interferon treatment improved survival in chronic hepatitis C patients showing a biochemical as well as a virological response by preventing liver-related deaths.     

Predicting Liver-Related Events Using Transient Elastography in Chronic Hepatitis C Patients with Sustained Virological Response

Background/AimsFew studies have investigated prognostic factors for the development of liver-related events (LREs) in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) who achieve sustained virological response (SVR).MethodsWe analyzed 190 patients with CHC who achieved SVR after treatment with pegylated interferon (peg-IFN) plus ribavirin. LREs were defined as any complications related to cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), or liver-related mortality.ResultsThe mean age was 54.1 years, and 84 of the patients (44.2%) were male. The mean liver stiffness (LS) value at SVR was 7.1±5.4 kPa. During the follow-up period (median, 43.0 months), LREs occurred in 10 patients (5.3%; HCC in eight patients, ascites in one patient, and liver-related mortality in one patient). By multivariate Cox regression analysis, age, α-fetoprotein level, and LS value were independent predictors for LRE development (all p<0.05). Patients with LS values ≥7.0 kPa had a greater risk (hazard ratio, 9.472; 95% confidence interval, 1.018 to 88.126; p=0.048) for LRE development compared to those with LS values <7.0 kPa.ConclusionsThe LS value at SVR is useful for predicting LRE development in CHC patients who achieve SVR after treatment with peg-IFN plus ribavirin. Thus, LRE surveillance strategies might be optimized according to the LS values at SVR, even with complete viral eradication.     

Incidence,prevalence, and causes of death of patients with autoimmune hepatitis: A nationwide register-based cohort study in Finland

BackgroundEpidemiological studies of autoimmune hepatitis are scarce and often based on single centre registries.AimsWe conducted a nationwide register study of incidence, prevalence, survival, and causes of death of autoimmune hepatitis patients in Finland.MethodsAutoimmune hepatitis cases 1995–2015 were retrieved from the national database of special reimbursements for drugs costs. Data on causes of death were retrieved from Statistics Finland.ResultsAfter incomplete registration of AIH during the first years, the incidence of autoimmune hepatitis stabilised to 1.1/100,000 person-years (1.6 in women and 0.52 in men) in 2008–2015. The prevalence of autoimmune hepatitis at the end of 2015 was 14.3/100,000, 23.0/100,000 in women and 6.6/100,000 in men. The all-cause standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of autoimmune hepatitis patients was 1.81 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.47–2.20). The SMR was increased in all age groups and in both sexes. The SMR for hepatocellular carcinoma was 20.6 (95% CI 10.3–36.8), and for digestive diseases in overall 13.5 (95% CI 8.2–20.8), constituting mainly from autoimmune hepatitis and liver cirrhosis.ConclusionIncidence of autoimmune hepatitis has remained stable, with clear female predominance. Autoimmune hepatitis is associated with a markedly increased risk of death with hepatocellular cancer forming the greatest risk.