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1.
During a three-year period nine patients with haematological diseases after myeloablative chemotherapy died from invasive fungal infections caused by Aspergillus terreus. The hospital inanimate environment was monitored and A. terreus was cultured from potted plants in the vicinity of the patients. The patients (N = 14) and the environmental isolates (N = 2) were fingerprinted by RAPD-PCR with four different primers. Based on RAPD patterns the patients' isolates were differentiated into five different types; the environmental isolates represented two types. The isolates of four patients were identical to those found in the environment. Five additional patients were infected by RAPD types not found in the environment. One patient was infected with two different types. The data indicate a hospital-acquired infection in many of the patients and underline the need for careful environmental monitoring of units in which high-risk patients are housed.  相似文献   

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OBJECTIVE: To determine the contribution of etiologic agents, including Legionella pneumophila and respiratory viruses to nosocomial pneumonia at a tertiary care center. DESIGN: Prospective surveillance of nosocomial pneumonia with standardized laboratory investigations. SETTING: A 1,100-bed tertiary care center. PATIENTS: All adult inpatients. RESULTS: One hundred and thirty-five Nosocomial pneumonias (5.7/1,000 discharges) were identified. Four (3.0%) were L pneumophila serogroup 1 infections (0.17/1,000 discharges). Legionellosis occurred in non-high-risk patients, and three cases would not have been identified without active surveillance. Viral seroconversion was identified in seven (19%) of 36 cases with specimens available (0.59/1,000 discharges): five influenza B, one influenza A, and one respiratory syncytial virus. IgM serology was positive in one case each for Mycoplasma pneumoniae and Chlamydia species. No geographical clustering was observed for viral infections, and these would not have been identified without active surveillance. Mortality for all nosocomial pneumonia was 25%. Patient factors significantly associated with a poorer outcome included older age, underlying disease, low serum albumin, renal insufficiency, lower platelet count, endotracheal intubation, respiratory failure, bacteremia, and use of antacids. CONCLUSIONS: This prospective surveillance suggested that L pneumophila and viral agents were uncommon causes of nosocomial pneumonia at our institution during this surveillance period.  相似文献   

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Analysis of surveillance data with Poisson regression: a case study   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
R A Parker 《Statistics in medicine》1989,8(3):285-94; discussion 331-2
One way to examine the ability of a statistical technique to detect changes in surveillance data is to analyse data sets with known changes and observe how accurately these changes can be detected. The elimination of restrictions on legal abortions should have reduced mortality associated with abortions, particularly mortality associated with illegal abortions. The sensitivity of Poisson regression to detect changes in abortion associated mortality from 1962 to 1984 was assessed for the entire United States of America and for specific states. Although it is clear that this change occurred using data from the entire United States, only the largest of the individual state data sets examined (370 events over 23 years) consistently demonstrated the expected pattern. Inconsistent patterns were found in data sets from two states with between one-fourth and one-half this number of events. The legal change was not detected at all in three states with a small number of events (1 event per year or less). From this case study, a minimum of two or three events per year seems to be necessary before Poisson regression can detect outliers. Comparisons of the four tests used suggest that tests based on model deviance are superior to tests based on comparison of observed and expected number of events.  相似文献   

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A pilot study on environmental surveillance of poliovirus included one hundred ninety-six samples (drinking water, surface water, seawater and sewage), collected between 1996 and 1998 in different regions of Italy. Samples were screened for the presence of poliovirus and other enteric viruses. Twelve polioviruses, 35 non polio enteroviruses (NPE) and 51 enteric non entero (NE) viruses were isolated. All poliovirus isolates, namely four type 1, four type 2 and four type 3, were characterised as Sabin-like strains. Thirty-one Coxsackie B and 4 Echo viruses were also detected. The presence of Sabin-like polioviruses in the environment is not unexpected since immunization with only oral poliovirus vaccine was performed in Italy until May 1999, when a sequential schedule consisting of two doses of inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) and two of oral polio vaccine (OPV) was adopted; in July 2002 a schedule consisting of four doses of IPV was adopted. Although this is only a pilot study and the number of samples analysed is limited, so far data from this study so far supports once again evidence of lack of circulating wild poliovirus and is in line with results from AFP surveillance in Italy and stool survey on healthy children.  相似文献   

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Previous retrospective studies have not identified global psychosocial consequences of weight cycling. These lack of findings may be due to limitations associated with retrospective research or with using general psychological measures rather than weight-specific measures. This prospective study examined changes in a weight-specific measure, eating self-efficacy, using an obese clinical population who returned to a multidisciplinary weight management program subsequent to weight regain. Subjects did not demonstrate any change in eating self-efficacy despite experiencing weight loss and then weight regain. Individuals returning for treatment may be a select population, thus suggesting that there may not be negative psychological effects of weight cycling for all individuals. Implications for further research are discussed.  相似文献   

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The authors conducted a cohort study within the Danish National Birth Cohort to determine whether coffee consumption during pregnancy is associated with late fetal death (spontaneous abortion and stillbirth). A total of 88,482 pregnant women recruited from March 1996 to November 2002 participated in a comprehensive interview on coffee consumption and potentially confounding factors in pregnancy. Information on pregnancy outcome was obtained from the National Hospital Discharge Register and medical records. The authors detected 1,102 fetal deaths. High levels of coffee consumption were associated with an increased risk of fetal death. Relative to nonconsumers of coffee, the adjusted hazard ratios for fetal death associated with coffee consumption of 1/2-3, 4-7, and > or =8 cups of coffee per day were 1.03 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89, 1.19), 1.33 (95% CI: 1.08, 1.63), and 1.59 (95% CI: 1.19, 2.13), respectively. Reverse causation due to unrecognized fetal demise may explain the association between coffee intake and risk of fetal death prior to 20 completed weeks' gestation but not the association with fetal loss following 20 completed weeks' gestation. Consumption of coffee during pregnancy was associated with a higher risk of fetal death, especially losses occurring after 20 completed weeks of gestation.  相似文献   

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Despite the availability of safe and effective live attenuated vaccines, measles continues to be endemic in many developing countries. Control and elimination of measles will be especially difficult in East Africa, because of its limited infrastructure and political instability. We have studied diagnostic and epidemiological aspects of measles in suburban Khartoum, Sudan. Prospective studies were carried out in a cohort of clinically diagnosed measles cases and in a cohort of newborns, which were both followed up for 2 years. The studies intended to provide a rational basis for improvement of measles vaccination strategies, and strengthen measles research infrastructure in Khartoum.  相似文献   

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Objectives  

This study aimed at investigating whether data from medical teleconsultations may contribute to influenza surveillance.  相似文献   

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Environmental epidemiology: challenges and opportunities   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4       下载免费PDF全文
Epidemiology is struggling increasingly with problems with correlated exposures and small relative risks. As a consequence, some scholars have strongly emphasized molecular epidemiology, whereas others have argued for the importance of the population context and the reintegration of epidemiology into public health. Environmental epidemiology has several unique features that make these debates especially pertinent to it. The very large number of environmental exposures require prioritization, and the relative risks are usually very low. Furthermore, many environmental exposures can be addressed only by comparing populations rather than individuals, and the disruption of both local and global ecosystems requires us to develop new methods of study design. The population context is also very important to consider in risk management decisions because of the involuntary nature of most environmental exposures and the diversity of possible outcomes, both health- and nonhealth-related. Studies at the individual or molecular level tend to focus the research hypotheses and subsequent interventions at that level, even when research and interventions at other levels may be more appropriate. Thus, only by starting from the population and ecosystem levels can we ensure that these are given appropriate consideration. Although better research is needed at all levels, it is crucially important to choose the most appropriate level, or levels, of research for a particular problem. Only by conducting research at all these levels and by developing further methods to combine evidence from these different levels can we hope to address the challenges facing environmental epidemiology today.  相似文献   

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The objective of this study is to determine prevention strategies for potentially serious injury events among children younger than 3 years of age based upon circumstances surrounding injury events. Surveillance was conducted on all injuries to District of Columbia (DC) residents less than 3 years old that resulted in an Emergency Department (ED) visit, hospitalization, or death for 1 year. Data were collected through abstraction of medical records and interviews with a subset of parents of injured children. Investigators coded injury-related events for the potential for death or disability. Potential prevention strategies were then determined for all injury events that had at least a moderate potential for death or disability and sufficient detail for coding (n = 425). Injury-related events included 10 deaths, 163 hospitalizations, and 2,868 ED visits (3,041 events in total). Of the hospitalizations, 88% were coded as moderate or high potential for disability or death, versus only 21% of the coded ED visits. For potentially serious events, environmental change strategies were identified for 47%, behavior change strategies for 77%, and policy change strategies for 24%. For 46% of the events more than one type of prevention strategy was identified. Only 8% had no identifiable prevention strategy. Prevention strategies varied by specific cause of injury. Potential prevention strategies were identifiable for nearly all potentially serious injury events, with multiple potential prevention strategies identified for a large fraction of the events. These findings support developing multifaceted prevention approaches informed by community-based injury surveillance.  相似文献   

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PURPOSE: Self-esteem is considered to be importantly associated with both psychosocial states such as depression as well as physical health. There are no population-based studies that examine the association between self-esteem and mortality. The objective of this study was to assess whether low self-esteem was prospectively associated with increased risk of death in a population-based sample of Finnish men. METHODS: A sample of 2682 male residents of Kuopio, Finland were interviewed and followed prospectively as part of the Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study (KIHD). Characteristics of the KIHD sample at baseline included self-esteem, measured by the Rosenberg ten-item scale, socioeconomic factors, behavioral risk factors, other psychosocial characteristics, and prevalent diseases. Mortality was ascertained through linkage to the Finnish national death registry. We assessed the relationship between self-esteem and all-cause mortality using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Low self-esteem was associated with a two-fold [hazard ratio (HR)=2.0, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.3-3.2] increase in age-adjusted mortality. This relationship was partially explained by behavioral and socioeconomic factors, and prevalent diseases, and fully explained by other psychosocial characteristics (hopelessness, depression, cynical hostility, and sullenness). When adjusted for hopelessness alone there was no increased risk associated with low self-esteem (HR=1.3, 95% CI=0.8-2.2). CONCLUSIONS: This study found no association between self-esteem and all-cause mortality after adjustment for other psychosocial characteristics, primarily hopelessness. Our understanding of the observed relationships between some psychosocial factors and mortality may be improved by simultaneous measurement of multiple psychosocial domains, thus diminishing the potential for residual confounding.  相似文献   

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Routine infectious disease surveillance data has to be analysed quickly in order to prevent further disease transmission. This can be done by using epidemiological studies, such as case–control studies. However, these studies are complex to perform and susceptible for biases. An alternative is the case–case study design which is less prone to such limitations. So far mainly methodological publications of this study design exist. In this investigation, outbreak cases are compared with cases infected with the same disease. A Salmonella outbreak was analysed with a case–case study design in order to test the applicability of this method. The analysis showed significant associations to the consumption beef (OR 11.8; 95% CI 2.4–66.7; p<0.001) and pork (OR 8.44; 95% CI 1.7–46.4; p<0.001). A case–control study on the same outbreak confirmed these results. An infected control group is very comparable to the outbreak cluster, which limits selection and recall bias. However, the calculated OR has to be interpreted in context with the study design. The case–case study design has proven to be a useful tool to analyse surveillance data. It was easy to perform and had methodological benefits.  相似文献   

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We conducted a population-based study to assess demographic and risk-factor correlates for the most frequently occurring Mycobacterium tuberculosis genotypes from tuberculosis (TB) patients. The study included all incident, culture-positive TB patients from seven sentinel surveillance sites in the United States from 1996 to 2000. M. tuberculosis isolates were genotyped by IS6110-based restriction fragment length polymorphism and spoligotyping. Genotyping was available for 90% of 11923 TB patients. Overall, 48% of cases had isolates that matched those from another patient, including 64% of U.S.-born and 35% of foreign-born patients. By logistic regression analysis, risk factors for clustering of genotypes were being male, U.S.-born, black, homeless, and infected with HIV; having pulmonary disease with cavitations on chest radiograph and a sputum smear with acid-fast bacilli; and excessive drug or alcohol use. Molecular characterization of TB isolates permitted risk correlates for clusters and specific genotypes to be described and provided information regarding cluster dynamics over time.  相似文献   

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To assess the feasibility of using hospital records for occupational disease surveillance and to evaluate the quality of the industry/occupation (I/O) information available in these records, the computer file of all discharge diagnoses from a large health maintenance organization during 1985 was reviewed. The frequencies of discharge diagnoses previously listed as Sentinel Health Events (Occupational), or SHE (O), were calculated and three possible SHE(O) diagnoses--lung cancer, bladder cancer, and toxic hepatitis--were selected for further review. Outpatient charts of patients discharged for each diagnosis were abstracted with regard to I/O information and the discharged patients were interviewed by telephone to obtain a lifetime occupational history. The accuracy of the I/O information obtained from the hospital chart was compared to that obtained by patient interview by number of digits matched on standard classification codes. The frequencies of matches for occupation and industry were greater for "usual" than for "last" categories with both cancer diagnoses, but were similar for "usual" and "last" categories with toxic hepatitis. To assess the proportion of each possible SHE(O) diagnosis that was related to workplace exposures, the I/O information obtained by interview was rated in a blinded fashion by an experienced occupational medicine physician. The highest probability ratings for work-relatedness were noted for lung cancer, primarily due to asbestos exposure. The results of this study suggest that hospital records can be used to identify possible SHE(O); if adequate I/O information is available, then work-relatedness can be assessed. However, the accuracy of I/O obtained from hospital charts is relatively low. The efficient and accurate collection of I/O information from hospital records will require the use of a simple, easily coded instrument to be routinely administered on admission.  相似文献   

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Background

Prospective surveillance is a recognised approach for measuring death rates in humanitarian emergencies. However, there is limited evidence on how such surveillance should optimally be implemented and on how data are actually used by agencies. This case study investigates the implementation and utilisation of mortality surveillance data by Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) in eastern Chad. We aimed to describe and analyse the community-based mortality surveillance system, trends in mortality data and the utilisation of these data to guide MSF’s operational response.

Methods

The case study included 5 MSF sites including 2 refugee camps and 3 camps for internally displaced persons (IDPs). Data were obtained through key informant interviews and systematic review of MSF operational reports from 2004–2008.

Results

Mortality data were collected using community health workers (CHWs). Mortality generally decreased progressively. In Farchana and Breidjing refugee camps, crude death rates (CDR) decreased from 0.9 deaths per 10,000 person-days in 2004 to 0.2 in 2008 and from 0.7 to 0.1, respectively. In Gassire, Ade and Kerfi IDP camps, CDR decreased from 0.4 to 0.04, 0.3 to 0.04 and 1.0 to 0.3. Death rates among children under 5 years (U5DR) followed similar trends. CDR and U5DR crossed emergency thresholds in one site, Kerfi, where CDR rapidly rose to 2.1 and U5DR to 7.9 in July 2008 before rapidly decreasing to below emergency levels by September 2008.

Discussion

Mortality data were used regularly to monitor population health status and on two occasions as a tool for advocacy. Lessons learned included the need for improved population estimates and standardized reporting procedures for improved data quality and dissemination; the importance of a simple and flexible model for data collection; and greater investment in supervising CHWs.

Conclusions

This model of community based mortality surveillance can be adapted and used by humanitarian agencies working in complex settings. Humanitarian organisations should however endeavour to disseminate routinely collected mortality data and improve utilisation of data for operational planning and evaluation. Accurate population estimation continues to be a challenge, limiting the accuracy of mortality estimates.
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BACKGROUND: Nosocomially acquired respiratory syncytial virus infections (RSV-NI) may cause serious problems in hospitalized paediatric patients. Hitherto, prospectively collected representative data on RSV-NI from multicenter studies in Germany are limited. METHODS: The DMS RSV Ped database was designed for the prospective multicenter documentation and analysis of clinically relevant aspects of the management of inpatients with RSV-infection. The study covered six consecutive seasons (1999-2005); the surveillance took place in 14 paediatric hospitals in Germany. RESULTS: Of the 1568 prospectively documented RSV-infections, 6% (n=90) were NI and 94% (n=1478) were community acquired (CA). A significantly higher proportion in the NI group displayed additional risk factors like prematurity, chronic lung disease, mechanical ventilation (med. history), congenital heart disease, and neuromuscular impairment. Of all NI, 55% occurred in preterms (30.6% of all RSV-infections in preterms with severe chronic lung disease of prematurity were NI). Illness severity as well as the total mortality, but not the attributable mortality was significantly higher in the NI group. In the multivariate analysis, NI was significantly associated with the combined outcome 'complicated course of disease'. CONCLUSION: This is the first prospective multicenter study from Germany, which confirms the increased risk of a severe clinical course in nosocomially acquired RSV-infection. Of great concern is the high rate of (preventable) NI in preterms, in particular in those with severe chronic lung disease or with mechanical ventilation due to other reasons.  相似文献   

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