Differences between women and men in surgical treatment and case fatality rates for ruptured aortic abdominal aneurysm in England

BACKGROUND: Differences between women and men in treatment and outcome after admission with a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in England were studied. METHODS: Routinely collected data in Hospital Episode Statistics, linked to death records, for emergency admissions for ruptured AAA in England were analysed. The percentage of patients who underwent surgical repair was calculated, together with 30-day case fatality rates and age-adjusted odds ratios (ORs), comparing women with men. RESULTS: A total of 2463 women and 7615 men were admitted with a primary diagnosis of ruptured AAA (mean age 79.8 and 74.9 years respectively); 39.6 per cent of women and 66.4 per cent of men underwent surgical repair (OR 0.47 (95 per cent confidence interval 0.42 to 0.52)). Overall, 75.6 per cent of women and 61.7 per cent of men died within 30 days of admission (OR 1.36 (1.22 to 1.52)). The death rate for women and men who had surgery was similar (OR 1.01 (0.88 to 1.17)); when no operation was performed the mortality rate was higher in women, but not significantly so (OR 1.14 (0.91 to 1.42)). CONCLUSION: Women with a ruptured AAA were less likely to be treated surgically than men, and their overall mortality rate was higher. Lower rates of surgery in women than in men may contribute to the higher mortality in women, but other explanations are possible.     

Influence of gender on outcome from ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm

BACKGROUND: The aim of the present study was to compare outcomes following ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in men and women. METHODS: Overall mortality from ruptured AAA was compared in men and women using the Western Australia Health Services Research Database. The linked chains of de-identified hospital morbidity and death records were selected using the ICD-9-CM (International Classification of Diseases - Clinical Modification) diagnostic and procedure codes pertaining to AAA. Cases were divided into three groups for analysis: patients who died without admission to hospital, those admitted to hospital with a ruptured AAA but who did not undergo operation, and patients who underwent operation for ruptured AAA. RESULTS: Ruptured AAA occurred in 648 men and 225 women over the age of 55 years during the decade 1985-1994. Only 50 per cent of women, compared with 59 per cent of men, were admitted to hospital. Of those admitted to hospital only 37 per cent of women underwent operation, compared with 63 per cent of men. The overall mortality rate from ruptured AAA was 90 per cent in women and 76 per cent in men (chi2 = 50.34, 1 d.f., P < 0.0001). Although women were, on average, 6 years older than men, this unfavourable pattern occurred across all age groups. CONCLUSION: Women with a ruptured AAA are more likely to die than men. More research is required to identify the causes of this sex difference.     

Persistent increase in the incidence of abdominal aortic aneurysm in Scotland, 1981-2000

BACKGROUND: In the 1970s and 1980s, mortality and morbidity rates for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) increased throughout the developed world. As AAAs are associated with similar risk factors to other cardiovascular diseases that have recently decreased in incidence, the incidence of AAA should show a similar declining trend. METHODS: Routinely collected data were obtained on all primary diagnoses of aortic aneurysm resulting in death or hospital discharge in Scotland between 1981 and 2000. Trends in the data were analysed according to sex and age, aneurysm site and type of hospital admission. RESULTS: Between 1981 and 2000, 42.3 per cent of the 10 822 deaths from aortic aneurysm in Scotland were attributed to the abdominal aorta. Age-adjusted mortality rates for AAA increased 2.6-fold from 2.62 deaths per 100 000 in 1981 to 6.82 per 100 000 in 2000. Hospital admissions for AAA also rose threefold, with increases in both elective admissions (from 3.05 to 7.80 per 100 000) and emergency admissions (from 7.44 to 11.23 per 100 000). CONCLUSION: The incidence of AAA has increased over the past 20 years in Scotland. This is unlikely to be due simply to changes in detection and diagnosis, data inaccuracies, coding or ageing of the population. The incidence of both elective and emergency admission for AAA increased, suggesting that a genuine and persistent rise in the incidence of AAA has probably occurred.     

Decline in admission rates for acute appendicitis in England

BACKGROUND: The incidence of acute appendicitis declined in western countries between the 1930s and the early 1990s. The aim of this study was to determine time trends in hospital admissions for acute appendicitis in England between 1989-1990 and 1999-2000, and in population mortality rates for appendicitis from 1979 to 1999. METHODS:: Hospital Episode Statistics for admissions were obtained from the Department of Health and mortality data from the Office for National Statistics. RESULTS: Between 1989-1990 and 1999-2000, age-standardized hospital admission rates for acute appendicitis decreased by 12.5 per cent in male patients and by 18.8 per cent in female patients. The proportions of admissions that resulted in operation remained stable. Admission rates for non-specific mesenteric lymphadenitis fell. Admission rates for abdominal pain increased between 1989-1990 and 1995-1996, at which time the International Classification of Diseases codes changed. Between 1995-1996 and 1999-2000, admission rates for abdominal pain declined. Analysis of age-specific admission rates for acute appendicitis and abdominal pain from 1989-1990 to 1995-1996 showed that the decline in acute appendicitis could not be accounted for by a change in diagnostic practice. Mortality rates for acute appendicitis remained stable over the study period. CONCLUSION: Admission rates for acute appendicitis declined over the study period. This decline cannot be explained by reclassification.     

Operative mortality rates for intact and ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms in Michigan: An eleven-year statewide experience

Purpose: The purposes of this study were (1) to determine the current population-based mortality rate for the surgical treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) in Michigan, (2) to document changes in mortality rates over 11 years, and (3) to identify risk factors for operative mortality.Methods: A statewide database provided clinical information on all Michigan hospital admissions with a diagnosis of AAA from 1980 to 1990. The mortality rate analysis included all admissions with a primary diagnosis of AAA that underwent repair. Determination of diagnoses and comorbidities were based on International Classification of Diseases-ninth revision-Clinical Modification codes.Results: Conventional surgical repairs were performed on 8185 intact and 1829 ruptured AAA. Hospital mortality rates accompanying operation for intact AAA decreased from 13.6% in 1980 to 5.6% in 1990 (p < 0.001). Mortality rates over the 11 years averaged 10.7% in women and 6.8% in men (p < 0.001). Mortality rates averaged 10.7% in 4170 admissions of patients 70 years old or older and 4.2% in 4015 admissions of patients 69 years old or younger. Preexistent kidney failure was associated with an average mortality rate of 41.2% compared with 6.2% without this comorbidity. Preexistent dysrhythmia increased mortality rates from 6.6% to 13.6%. Uncomplicated hypertension, cerebrovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, arterial occlusive disease, and ischemic heart disease in recent years were not associated with increased mortality rates. Hospitals with an annual volume of 21 or more intact AAA repairs had a surgical mortality rate of 6.2%, compared with 8.9% in hospitals with lower surgical volume (p < 0.001). Mortality rates for surgical repair of ruptured AAA averaged 49.8% and did not improve significantly over the 11 years studied.Conclusion: Despite a dramatic drop in surgical mortality rates, repair of intact AAA remains a formidable undertaking. This population-based series documents a substantially higher mortality rate than most selected series. The unchanged mortality rate for ruptured AAA suggests that development of better algorithms to identify those AAA most apt to rupture and earlier intervention in those instances is likely to improve patient survival rates. (J VASC SURG 1994;19:804-17.)     

Epidemiology and Outcome of Aortic Aneurysms in Hong Kong

Abstract The objective of this study was to determine epidemiology and mortality statistics for abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) in Hong Kong. Data from three sources were obtained and analyzed: (1) Hong Kong Hospital Authority discharge statistics for 1999 and 2000; (2) a survey on aortic aneurysms in public hospitals conducted by the Working Group of Vascular Surgery; and (3) the Department of Surgery, University of Hong Kong Medical Center aortic aneurysm database. The disease pattern, distribution, and operative mortality were determined. The annual incidence of AAA in Hong Kong is 13.7 per 100,000 population and 105 per 100,000 for those aged 65 and above. About 10% of the AAAs that presented were ruptured. The mean age of the AAA patients was 74 years, with 84% of them over age 65. The operative repair rate for AAAs was low, being only 8% for intact aneurysms and 54% for ruptured ones. Overall, 45% of all aneurysm repairs were performed for a ruptured AAA. There is diverse practice between major vascular centers and smaller regional hospitals. The territory-wide operative mortality rates for intact and ruptured aneurysms were 10% (range 4–24%) and 70% (range 38––100%), respectively. There was no gender bias in the rupture and operative rates. The overall mortality was 17% for intact AAAs and 78% for ruptured AAAs. The average length of hospital stay was 19 days for elective AAA surgery and 13 days for ruptured AAAs. The number of operations in high-volume centers is increasing with a concomitant decrease in operative mortality. There are no definitive data to indicate that the incidence of AAAs is rising, but a trend toward an increasing number of operations in referral centers is noted. The low repair rates for intact AAAs and the high proportion of repairs for ruptured aneurysms suggest that AAAs are undertreated in Hong Kong.     

Epidemiology of pneumothorax in England

BACKGROUND: Little is known of the epidemiology of pneumothorax. Routinely available data on pneumothorax in England are described. METHODS: Patients consulting in primary care with a diagnosis of pneumothorax in each year from 1991 to 1995 inclusive were identified from the General Practice Research Database (GPRD). Emergency hospital admissions for pneumothorax were identified for the years 1991-4 from the Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) data. Mortality data for England & Wales were obtained for 1950-97. Analyses of pneumothorax rates by age and sex were performed for all data sources. Seasonal and geographical analyses were carried out for the HES data. RESULTS: The overall person consulting rate for pneumothorax (primary and secondary combined) in the GPRD was 24. 0/100 000 each year for men and 9.8/100 000 each year for women. Hospital admissions for pneumothorax as a primary diagnosis occurred at an overall incidence of 16.7/100 000 per year and 5.8/100 000 per year for men and women, respectively. Mortality rates were 1. 26/million per year for men and 0.62/million per year for women. The age distribution in both men and women showed a biphasic distribution for both GP consultations and hospital admissions. Deaths showed a single peak with highest rates in the elderly. There was an urban-rural trend observed for hospital admissions in the older age group (55+ years) with admission rates in the conurbations significantly higher than in the rural areas. Analysis for trends in mortality data for 1950-97 showed a striking increase in the death rate for pneumothorax in those aged 55+ years between 1960 and 1990, with a steep decline in the 1990s. Mortality in the younger age group (15-34 years) remained low and constant. CONCLUSION: There is evidence of two epidemiologically distinct forms of spontaneous pneumothorax in England. The explanation for the rise and fall in mortality for secondary pneumothorax is obscure.     

Epidemiological study of the relationship between volume and outcome after abdominal aortic aneurysm surgery in the UK from 2000 to 2005

BACKGROUND: The aim was to assess the relationship between hospital volume and outcome after abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) surgery in the UK. METHODS: Hospital Episode Statistics (2000-2005) were classified as elective, urgent or ruptured AAA repair. Analysis was by modelling of mortality rate, complication rate and length of hospital stay with regard to the annual operative volume, after risk adjustment. RESULTS: There were 112,545 diagnoses, or repairs, of AAAs, of which 26,822 were infrarenal aneurysms. The mean mortality rate was 7.4, 23.6 and 41.8 per cent for elective, urgent and ruptured AAA repair respectively. Elective AAA repair undertaken at high-volume hospitals showed volume-related improvements in mortality (P < 0.001). Patients were discharged from hospital earlier (P < 0.001). The critical volume threshold was 32 elective AAA repairs per year. For urgent repair, patients at high-volume hospitals had a reduced mortality rate (P = 0.017) with an increased length of stay (P = 0.041). There was no relationship between volume and outcome for ruptured AAA repairs. CONCLUSION: Increased annual volumes were associated with significant reductions in mortality for elective and urgent AAA repair, but not for repair of ruptured AAAs.     

Predictors of repair and effect of gender on treatment of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine factors associated with increased likelihood of patients undergoing surgery to repair ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs). Specifically, we investigated whether men were more likely than women to be selected for surgery after rupture of AAAs. METHODS: All patients with a ruptured AAA who came to a hospital in Ontario between April 1, 1992, and March 31, 2001, were included in this population-based retrospective study. Administrative data were used to identify patients, patient demographic data, and hospital variables. RESULTS: Crude 30-day mortality for the 3570 patients who came to a hospital with a ruptured AAA was 53.4%. Of the 2602 patients (72.9%) who underwent surgical repair, crude 30-day mortality was 41.0%. Older patients (odds ratio [OR], 0.649 per 5 years of age; P<.0001), with a higher Charlson Comorbidity Index (OR, 0.848; P<.0001), were less likely to undergo AAA repair. Patients treated at high-volume centers (OR, 2.674 per 10 cases; P<.0001) and men (OR, 2.214; P<.0001) were more likely to undergo AAA repair. CONCLUSION: Men are more likely to undergo repair of a ruptured AAA than women are, for reasons that are unclear. Given the large magnitude of the effect, further studies are clearly indicated.     

Feasibility of preoperative computer tomography in patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm: a time-to-death study in patients without operation

INTRODUCTION: Despite advances in surgery, anaesthesia, and critical care, mortality from ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) has not decreased over the last 20 years. Endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) of ruptured AAAs is an alternative to open repair, which may improve outcome. However, a computed tomography (CT) scan is usually required to assess the anatomic suitability of the aneurysm for EVAR. This may result in delay in transferring patients to the operating room. We evaluated all patients admitted to hospital with a ruptured AAA who died without undergoing surgery, to determine time to death after AAA rupture and thus the potential time available for obtaining a CT scan. METHODS: A retrospective case note review was conducted of 56 patients admitted to a single center with ruptured AAAs who did not undergo surgery because of advanced age or associated comorbidity over 8 years from 1995 to 2003. Statistical analysis was performed with the Fisher exact test. RESULTS: The 56 patients (33 men, 59%; 23 women, 41%) had a median age of 85 years (range, 71-98 years). Reasons for no operation being performed were shock (9%), cardiac arrest (11%), quality of life (29%), malignancy (7%), cardiac disease (15%), respiratory disease (16%) and age (14%). Median systolic blood pressure at admission was 110 mm Hg, heart rate was 88 beats per minute, and hemoglobin concentration was 10.5 g/dL. Patients were not aggressively resuscitated once a decision was made to not perform surgery. Death within 2 hours of hospital admission occurred in 7 (12.5%) patients, and 49 (87.5%) patients died more than 2 hours after admission. Median interval between onset of symptoms and admission to hospital was 2 hours 30 minutes (range, 44 minutes-36 hours), and the median interval between admission and death was 10 hours 45 minutes (range, 1 hour 1 minute-143 hours 55 minutes). The median total time to death from onset of symptoms was 16 hours 38 minutes (range, 2 hours 6 minutes-146 hours 50 minutes). CONCLUSION: Most (87.5%) patients admitted to hospital with a ruptured AAA died after more than 2 hours. These data show that most patients with a ruptured AAA who reach the hospital alive are sufficiently stable to undergo CT and consideration of EVAR.     

Meta-analysis and systematic review of the relationship between volume and outcome in abdominal aortic aneurysm surgery

BACKGROUND: This study investigated the volume-outcome relationship for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) surgery and quantified critical volume thresholds. METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE and the Cochrane library were searched for articles on the operation volume-outcome relationship in elective and ruptured AAA surgery. UK Hospital Episode Statistics data were also considered. Elective and ruptured AAA repairs were dealt with separately. The data were meta-analysed, and the odds ratios (95 per cent confidence interval) for mortality at higher- and lower-volume hospitals were compared. Volume thresholds were identified from each paper. RESULTS: The analysis included 421,299 elective and 45,796 ruptured AAA operations. Significant relationships between mortality and annual volume were noted for both groups. Overall, the weighted odds ratio was 0.66 (0.65 to 0.67) for elective repair at a threshold of 43 AAAs per annum and 0.78 (0.73 to 0.82) for ruptured aneurysm repair at a threshold of 15 AAAs per annum, both in favour of high-volume institutions. CONCLUSION: Higher annual operation volumes are associated with significantly lower mortality in both elective and ruptured AAA repair. This suggests that AAA surgery should be performed only at higher-volume centres.     

Abdominal aortic aneurysms in the New Zealand Maori population

BACKGROUND: Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is believed to be a rare disease in people of non-European descent. Maori, New Zealand's indigenous people, are thought to originate from South East Asia, so their incidence of AAA might also be expected to be low. The aim was to investigate the incidence and phenotypic factors associated with AAA in the New Zealand Maori population. METHODS: A retrospective study was performed using the audit database of the New Zealand Society of Vascular Surgeons. Age-standardized rates of admission and death were calculated for Maori and non-Maori. RESULTS: Maori comprised 3.9 per cent of the population who had an AAA repaired, similar to the percentage of the Maori population aged over 65 years. However, the death rate from AAA in Maori was 2.4 times the rate in non-Maori. Maori were younger at diagnosis than non-Maori (65.2 versus 71.8 years; P < 0.001), had more emergency procedures (46.6 versus 30.2 per cent; P = 0.018) and a significantly higher proportion of Maori admissions were for a ruptured aneurysm. CONCLUSION: Maori had a higher mortality rate from AAA than non-Maori New Zealanders. Although admission rates between Maori and non-Maori were similar, the earlier age of onset and the increased proportion of ruptured aneurysms may indicate that the disease is more severe in Maori.     

Mortality from ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm in Wales.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to identify the incidence of, and mortality in, patients with a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) reaching hospital alive in Wales. METHODS: Patients who presented with a ruptured AAA between September 1996 and August 1997 were analysed. Data were collected prospectively by an independent body, observing strict confidentiality. RESULTS: Some 233 patients with a confirmed ruptured AAA were identified, giving an incidence of eight per 100 000 total population. Some 133 patients (57 per cent) underwent attempted operative repair; 85 (64 per cent) of these died within 30 days. Of the 233 patients, 92 were admitted under the care of a vascular surgeon and 141 under a non-vascular surgeon. Vascular surgeons operated on 82 patients (89 per cent), of whom 50 (61 per cent) died, whereas non-vascular surgeons operated on 51 patients (36 per cent), of whom 35 (69 per cent) died. DISCUSSION: This study is unique as it is an independent prospective study of mortality in patients with a ruptured AAA who reached hospital alive. Mortality was independent of the operating surgeon, but vascular surgeons turned down significantly fewer patients than non-vascular surgeons (11 versus 64 per cent, P < 0.001).     

Outcome after abdominal aortic aneurysm repair. Difference between men and women.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate short- and long-term outcome after open repair for ruptured and non-ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) with special emphasis on the difference between men and women. DESIGN: Single center retrospective study. Time and cause of death were determined from hospital charts, the National Bureau of Statistics and the Department for National Health and Welfare. Materials. Eight hundred and forty-six patients were followed-up, 597 were operated on for non-ruptured and 249 for ruptured aneurysms. METHODS: Case fatality was analyzed by multiple logistic regression considering year of surgery, age at surgery, and gender as covariates. The mortality rate for patients surviving 60 days after surgery was compared with the mortality in the general population by calculating the standardised mortality ratio (SMR). Mortality was also stratified according to gender and type of surgery. RESULTS: The SMR for patients surviving 60 days after surgery was significantly increased. SMR was significantly higher for women than for men. There was no statistically significant difference in SMR between patients operated for rupture compared to those operated for non-ruptured aneurysms. CONCLUSIONS: Women with AAA have a poorer outcome than women in the general population. This finding may relate to the large number of risk factors present in this patient sub-group.     

Prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysm in Western Australia

The prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in Western Australia was studied using health department mortality data. Age-standardized and age-specific mortality rates related to the disease were calculated for the period 1980-88. The mortality rate has risen by 36 per cent for men and 24 per cent for women. Most of this rise was due to an increase in non-hospital and emergency admission hospital deaths. The number of elective and emergency operations has also risen. Despite two decades of elective surgery, the mortality rate for AAA continues to rise. This rise is highly suggestive of an increasing prevalence. This contrasts with the decline in deaths from other manifestations of arteriosclerosis and provides support for a policy of screening for aneurysm.     

Operative treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysms in octogenarians. When is it too much too late?

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the value of operation for treatment of all octogenarians with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Elective AAA resection in octogenarians is safe, with published operative mortality rates of approximately 5%. Published operative mortality rates of ruptured AAA in this age group, however, vary from 27 to 92%. METHODS: To evaluate this question, we extracted the clinical course of the 34 octogenarians submitted to AAA resection by the authors from our total experience of 548 resections performed during the past 7 1/2 years. In this subgroup of octogenarians, 18 underwent elective AAA replacement, 5 were submitted to urgent resection of active but intact AAAs, and 11 had operations for ruptured AAAs. There were 23 males and 11 females in the group. The ages ranged from 80 to 91 years. RESULTS: Operative mortality in the patients managed electively was 5.6%. Two of the five patients (40%) submitted to operation for active yet unruptured aneurysms died in the preoperative period. Finally, 10 of the 11 patients (91%) with ruptured AAAs were operative mortalities. All of these operative mortalities in the ruptured AAA subgroup had severe hypotension preoperatively (mean systolic blood pressure: 23 mm Hg). The charges associated with the management of the ruptured AAA group averaged $84,486 (range $12,537-$199,233). CONCLUSIONS: Although elective replacement of AAA in properly selected octogenarians appears valuable to prolong worthwhile life expectancy, this experience leads us to consider observation only in the treatment of octogenarians with ruptured AAA who present with severe hemodynamic instability.     

An analysis of standard open and endovascular surgical repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms in octogenarians

While elective open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair has been shown to be safe in selected octogenarians, very little is known about the role of endovascular AAA exclusion in this high-risk cohort. A retrospective review of our vascular surgical registry from January 1996 to December 2001 revealed 51 octogenarians that underwent infrarenal AAA repair. Since 1999 all octogenarians who presented for AAA repair were evaluated for preferential endovascular stent graft placement. Over the 6-year period, 35 patients underwent standard open repair while 16 patients were found to be anatomic candidates for and were treated with an endovascular stent graft. Hospital and office charts were reviewed to compare the endovascular cohort to the standard open cohort. Factors considered included patient comorbidities, perioperative data, and operative outcomes. Statistical analysis was done using Wilcoxon rank sum test and Fisher exact test. The median age for the entire group was 83 years. There were 11 females in the open group and 1 female in the endovascular group. There were no statistically significant differences in preoperative patient comorbidities between groups. Total mortality for the entire series was 11.8 per cent but this included 5 ruptured AAAs, all of which patients died, and 11 additional AAAs that were symptomatic, of which 1 patient died. Total nonruptured mortality for the entire series was 2.2 per cent (0% for the endo-group and 3.3% for the open group). There were statistically significant differences between the endovascular versus the open groups when comparing aneurysm diameter (5.6 cm vs. 6.2 cm; P = 0.016), estimated blood loss (225 cc vs. 2100 cc; P < 0.001), ICU days (0 vs. 3; P < 0.001), length of hospital stay (2 days vs. 12 days; P < 0.001), and patients with blood transfusions (1 vs. 27; P < 0.001). When comparing postoperative morbidities, 4 of the endovascular patients (25%) and 25 of the open patients (68.6%) had a complication (P = 0.006). In conclusion, endovascular stent graft treatment of nonruptured infrarenal AAAs in octogenarians led to significantly better outcomes and should probably be considered the preferred treatment whenever anatomically appropriate. Endovascular exclusion of ruptured AAAs may potentially improve future outcomes in this high-risk group.     

Is the Incidence of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Declining in the 21st Century? Mortality and Hospital Admissions for England & Wales and Scotland

BackgroundBetween 1951 and 1995 there was a steady increase in age-standardised deaths from all aortic aneurysms in men, from 2 to 56 per 100,000 population in England &; Wales, supporting an increase in incidence. More recently, evidence from Sweden and elsewhere suggests that now the incidence of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) may be declining.MethodsNational statistics for hospital admissions and deaths from AAA, after population age-standardisation, were used to investigate current trends in England &; Wales and Scotland.ResultsBetween 1997 and 2009 there has been a reduction in age-adjusted mortality from AAA from 40.4 to 25.7 per 100,000 population for England &; Wales and from 30.1 to 20.8 per 100,000 population in Scotland. The decrease in mortality was more marked for men than women. Mortality decreased more than 2-fold in those <75 years versus 25% only in those >75 years. During this same time period the elective hospital admissions for AAA repair have only increased in the population >75 years.ConclusionsThese data suggest that the age at which clinically-relevant aneurysms present has increased by 5–10 years and that incidence of clinically-relevant AAA in men in England &; Wales and Scotland is declining rapidly. The reasons for this are unclear.     

A comparison of the mortality rate after elective repair of aortic aneurysms detected either by screening or incidentally.

OBJECTIVE: to compare predicted and actual mortality rates, using POSSUM scoring, after elective repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) detected from the Gloucestershire Aneurysm Screening Programme and those discovered incidentally. METHODS: a sample of 276 men undergoing elective AAA repair in Gloucestershire between 1991 and 1998 was studied. AAAs were either detected from the screening programme or were discovered incidentally and referred from other sources. Mortality data relating to these patients have been recorded prospectively. POSSUM scoring was performed retrospectively from patients> notes in both groups and related to outcome (30 day and in-hospital mortality). POSSUM and P-POSSUM methodology were used to compare observed and predicted mortality rates. RESULTS: in the 276 men who had elective AAA repair, the overall mortality rate was 7%. Mortality was lower in screen-detected AAAs (3/111, 3%) than AAAs discovered incidentally (16/175, 9%) (p=0.05). Preoperative physiology scores were significantly lower in men with a screen-detected AAA (median 19, range 13-29 versus 21, 12-41, p<0.001). POSSUM operative scores were similar between the groups. Actual versus predicted death ratios in the sample group were more accurate using POSSUM (ratio 0.93) than P-POSSUM (2.38) analysis. CONCLUSIONS: men with a screen-detected AAA had a lower mortality rate after elective repair than in those detected incidentally; lower preoperative physiology scores suggested they were fitter (as well as younger). In this study POSSUM analysis more accurately predicted outcome than P-POSSUM.     

Age stratified, perioperative, and one-year mortality after abdominal aortic aneurysm repair: a statewide experience

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine the in-hospital, 30-day, and 365-day mortality for the open repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs), when stratified by age, in the general population. Age stratification could provide clinicians with information more applicable to an individual patient than overall mortality figures. METHODS: In a retrospective analysis, data were obtained from the California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development (OSHPD) for the years 1995 to 1999. Out-of-hospital mortality was determined via linkage to the state death registry. All patients undergoing AAA repair as coded by International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9) procedure code 38.44 and diagnosis codes 441.4 (intact) and 441.3/441.5 (ruptured) in California were identified. Patients <50 years of age were excluded. We determined in-hospital, 30-day, and 365-day mortality, and stratified our findings by patient age. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine predictors of mortality in the intact and ruptured AAA cohorts. RESULTS: We identified 12,406 patients (9,778 intact, 2,628 ruptured). Mean patient age was 72.4 +/- 7.2 years (intact) and 73.9 +/- 8.2 (ruptured). Men comprised 80.9% of patients, and 90.8% of patients were white. Overall, intact AAA patient mortality was 3.8% in-hospital, 4% at 30 days, and 8.5% at 365 days. There was a steep increase in mortality with increasing age, such that 365-day mortality increased from 2.9% for patients 51 to 60 years old to 15% for patients 81 to 90 years old. Mortality from day 31 to 365 was greater than both in-hospital and 30-day mortality for all but the youngest intact AAA patients. Perioperative (in-hospital and 30-day) mortality for ruptured cases was 45%, and mortality at 1 year was 54%. CONCLUSIONS: There is continued mortality after the open repair of AAAs during postoperative days 31 to 365 that, for many patients, is greater than the perioperative death rate. This mortality increases dramatically with age for both intact and ruptured AAA repair.