Orthostatic hypotension as a risk factor for incident heart failure: the atherosclerosis risk in communities study

Heart failure causes significant morbidity and mortality. Distinguishing risk factors for incident heart failure can help identify at-risk individuals. Orthostatic hypotension may be a risk factor for incident heart failure; however, this association has not been fully explored, especially in nonwhite populations. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study included 12363 adults free of prevalent heart failure with baseline orthostatic measurements. Orthostatic hypotension was defined as a decrease of systolic blood pressure ≥20 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure ≥10 mmHg with position change from supine to standing. Incident heart failure was identified from hospitalization or death certificate disease codes. Over 17.5 years of follow-up, orthostatic hypotension was associated with incident heart failure with multivariable adjustment (hazard ratio: 1.54 [95% CI: 1.30-1.82]). This association was similar across race and sex groups. A stronger association was identified in younger individuals ≤55 years old (hazard ratio: 1.90 [95% CI: 1.41-2.55]) than in older individuals >55 years old (hazard ratio: 1.37 [95% CI: 1.12-1.69]; interaction P=0.034). The association between orthostatic hypotension and incident heart failure persisted with exclusion of those with diabetes mellitus, coronary heart disease, and those on antihypertensives or psychiatric or Parkinson disease medications. However, exclusion of those with hypertension somewhat attenuated the association (hazard ratio: 1.34 [95% CI: 1.00-1.80]). We identified orthostatic hypotension as a predictor of incident heart failure among middle-aged individuals, particularly those 45 to 55 years of age. This association may be partially mediated through hypertension. Orthostatic measures may enhance risk stratification for future heart failure development.     

Orthostatic hypotension and the incidence of coronary heart disease: the atherosclerosis risk in communities study

We examined the association between orthostatic hypotension (OH) at baseline examination (1987–1989) and the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) over an average of 6 years, among 12,433 black and white middle-aged men and women participating in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. OH was defined as a SBP decrease ≥ 20 mm Hg or a DBP decrease ≥ 10 mm Hg after changing from supine to standing. CHD events included definite or probable myocardial infarctions (MI), silent MI, and fatal CHD. Five percent of participants had OH. Prevalence increased with advancing age and was more common among those with cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related comorbidities and risk factors. Those with OH had an increased risk of CHD (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.58, 4.73). This association was attenuated after controlling for age, ethnicity, gender, comorbid conditions, and CVD risk factors (HR = 1.85, 95% CI = 1.31, 2.63).     

Orthostatic hypotension and risk of cardiovascular disease in elderly people: the Rotterdam study

OBJECTIVES: To determine the prognostic role of orthostatic hypotension for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all‐cause mortality in elderly people. DESIGN: Prospective study. SETTING: Community based. PARTICIPANTS: Five thousand sixty‐four subjects from the Rotterdam study aged 55 and older. MEASUREMENTS: Orthostatic hypotension was measured using a Dinamap automatic blood pressure recorder. Orthostatic hypotension is defined as a decline in systolic blood pressure of 20 mmHg or more or a decline in diastolic blood pressure of 10 mmHg or more from supine to standing position at any of three measurements taken 1, 2, and 3 minutes after standing. RESULTS: At baseline, 901 subjects had orthostatic hypotension. During follow‐up, 668 subjects had coronary heart disease (CHD) (mean follow‐up 6.0 ± 3.5 years), and 1,835 subjects died (mean follow‐up period 7.8 ± 3.8 years). Orthostatic hypotension increased the risk of CHD (hazard ratio (HR)=1.31, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.08–1.57) and all‐cause mortality (HR=1.22, 95% CI=1.09–1.36), in models adjusted for age and sex. The risk was slightly lower after additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. In analyses stratified for age, the HRs for all‐cause mortality were 1.80 (95% CI 1.25–2.60), 1.13 (0.89–1.42), and 1.27 (95% CI=1.11–1.44), in the first, second, and third tertile of age, respectively. CONCLUSION: Orthostatic hypotension increases the risk of CHD and all‐cause mortality in elderly people. The risk of CVD and mortality is strongest in younger and very old subjects.     

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and risk of incident chronic kidney disease: A nationwide cohort study

AimsThe recently proposed metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has been suggested to better reflect the metabolic components of fatty liver disease (FLD), compared to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study investigated whether MAFLD identifies a higher proportion of individuals at risk of developing chronic kidney disease (CKD).Methods268,946 participants aged 40–64 years, who underwent National Health Insurance Service health examinations between 2009 and 2015 were included. Participants were categorized by presence of FLD, according to MAFLD or NAFLD. In participants with FLD, participants were categorized into three groups: non-metabolic risk (non-MR) NAFLD, MAFLD but not NAFLD, and overlapping FLD. Incident CKD was defined as the occurrence of eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m² or proteinuria (≥ trace) on two consecutive health examinations.Results73,726 (27.4%) and 88,762 (33.0%) participants had NAFLD and MAFLD, respectively. During a median follow-up of 5.1 years, CKD occurred in 8,335 (6.2/1,000 person-years) participants. Compared to non-NAFLD participants, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for incident CKD was 1.33 (95% CI, 1.27–1.39; P < 0.001) for participants with NAFLD. Compared to non-MAFLD participants, the aHR for participants with MAFLD was 1.39 (95% CI, 1.33–1.46; P < 0.001). When the analysis was confined to participants with FLD, compared to non-MR NAFLD participants, the aHRs for participants with MAFLD but not NAFLD, and those with overlapping FLD were 1.18 (95% CI, 1.01–1.39; P = 0.040) and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.19–1.54; P < 0.001), respectively.ConclusionMAFLD identified a higher proportion of individuals at risk of developing CKD than NAFLD.     

Serum uric acid predicts incident hypertension in a biethnic cohort: the atherosclerosis risk in communities study

Serum uric acid has been positively associated with incident hypertension, but previous studies have had limited ability to explore this relationship across sex and ethnic strata. We sought to evaluate this association in a biethnic cohort of middle-aged men and women. Participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study who were free of hypertension at baseline (N=9104) were evaluated for hypertension at 3-year intervals over 4 examinations. Adjusted Cox proportional hazards models evaluated risk of incident hypertension or progression of blood category for each SD higher baseline serum uric acid. At baseline, the mean age was 53.3 years (range: 45 to 64 years), with a mean (SD) systolic blood pressure of 113.8 (12.2) mm Hg, mean diastolic blood pressure of 70.2 (8.6) mm Hg, and mean serum uric acid of 5.7 (1.4). Higher serum uric acid was associated with greater risk of hypertension in the overall cohort (hazard ratio for each SD of higher uric acid [95% CI]: 1.10 [1.04 to 1.15]) and in subgroup analyses (black men: 1.32 [1.14 to 1.54]; black women: 1.16 [1.03 to 1.31]; white men: 1.01 [0.94 to 1.09]; white women: 1.04 [0.96 to 1.11]), after adjustment for age, baseline blood pressure, body mass index, renal function, diabetes, and smoking. The pattern was similar when modeling blood pressure progression (overall: 1.10 [1.05 to 1.14]; black men: 1.26 [1.11 to 1.42]; black women: 1.18 [1.06 to 1.31]; white men: 1.05 [0.99 to 1.11]; white women: 1.05 [1.00 to 1.12]). In conclusion, serum uric acid was positively associated with incident hypertension over 9 years of follow-up, and this relationship was stronger in blacks than in whites. More research is warranted concerning the physiological and clinical consequences of hyperuricemia, especially in blacks.     

Thirty-year risk of ischemic stroke in individuals with sickle cell trait and modification by chronic kidney disease: The atherosclerosis risk in communities (ARIC) study

Sickle cell trait (SCT) has been associated with hypercoagulability, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and ischemic stroke. Whether concomitant CKD modifies long-term ischemic stroke risk in individuals with SCT is uncertain. We analyzed data from 3602 genotyped black adults (female = 62%, mean baseline age = 54 years) who were followed for a median 26 years by the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Ischemic stroke was verified by physician review. Associations between SCT and ischemic stroke were analyzed using repeat-events Cox regression, adjusted for potential confounders. SCT was identified in 236 (7%) participants, who more often had CKD at baseline than noncarriers (18% vs 13%, P = .02). Among those with CKD, elevated factor VII activity was more prevalent with SCT genotype (36% vs 22%; P = .05). From 1987-2017, 555 ischemic strokes occurred in 436 individuals. The overall hazard ratio of ischemic stroke associated with SCT was 1.31 (95% CI: 0.95-1.80) and was stronger in participants with concomitant CKD (HR = 2.18; 95% CI: 1.16-4.12) than those without CKD (HR = 1.09; 95% CI: 0.74-1.61); P for interaction = .04. The hazard ratio of composite ischemic stroke and/or death associated with SCT was 1.20 (95% CI: 1.01-1.42) overall, 1.44 (95% CI: 1.002-2.07) among those with CKD, and 1.15 (95% CI: 0.94-1.39) among those without CKD; P for interaction = .18. The long-term risk of ischemic stroke associated with SCT relative to noncarrier genotype appears to be modified by concomitant CKD.     

Hypertension and arterial stiffness: the atherosclerosis risk in communities study

Our objective was to describe the relationship of arterial stiffness and hypertension in a large, population-based sample of men and women. Hypertension-related increases in arterial stiffness may reflect the distending pressure and/or structural alterations in the artery. Included were 10,712 participants, ages 45 to 64 years, of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, free of prevalent cardiovascular disease. Hypertension was classified as systolic or diastolic blood pressure (BP) ≥140/90 mm Hg, respectively, or the current use of antihypertensive medications. Common carotid arterial diameter change was measured using B-mode ultrasound and an electronic device that utilized radio frequency signals to track the motion of the arterial walls.Using statistical models to control for diastolic BP and pulse pressure, arterial diameter change was calculated separately in normotensive/nonmedicated and medicated hypertensives. Hypertension was associated with a smaller adjusted diameter change (ie, greater stiffness) in comparison to optimal blood pressure (BP < 120/80 mm Hg): normotensive/nonmedicated men, 0.33 versus 0.43 mm (P < 0.001); medicated men, 0.34 versus 0.42 mm (P < 0.001); normotensive/ nonmedicated women, 0.34 versus 0.40 mm (P < 0.001), and medicated women, 0.33 versus 0.40 mm (P < 0.001). The relationship between pulse pressure and diameter change (ie, the slope of pulse pressure and diameter change) did not differ between hypertensives and normotensives.These cross-sectional data suggest that hypertension is associated with carotid arterial stiffness; however, these differences in the calculated stiffness appear to be the effect of distending pressure rather than structural changes in the carotid artery.     

Glycemic control and coronary heart disease risk in persons with and without diabetes: the atherosclerosis risk in communities study

BACKGROUND: Chronic hyperglycemia has been hypothesized to contribute to coronary heart disease (CHD), but the extent to which hemoglobin A(1c) (HbA(1c)) level, a marker of long-term glycemic control, is independently related to CHD risk is uncertain. METHODS: We conducted a prospective case-cohort study of 1321 adults without diabetes and a cohort study of 1626 adults with diabetes from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Using proportional hazards models, we assessed the relation between HbA(1c) level and incident CHD during 8 to 10 years of follow-up. RESULTS: In adults with diabetes, the relative risk (RR) of CHD was 2.37 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.50-3.72) for the highest quintile of HbA(1c) level compared with the lowest after adjustment for CHD risk factors. In persons without diabetes, the adjusted RR of CHD in the highest quintile of HbA(1c) level was 1.41 (95% CI, 0.90-2.30); however, there was evidence of a nonlinear relationship in this group. In nondiabetic adults, HbA(1c) level was not related to CHD risk below a level of 4.6% but was significantly related to risk above that level (P<.001). In diabetic adults, the risk of CHD increased throughout the range of HbA(1c) levels. In the adjusted model, the RR of CHD for a 1-percentage point increase in HbA(1c) level was 2.36 (95% CI, 1.43-3.90) in persons without diabetes but with an HbA(1c) level greater than 4.6%. In diabetic adults, the RR was 1.14 (95% CI, 1.07-1.21) per 1-percentage point increase in HbA(1c) across the full range of HbA(1c) values. CONCLUSION: Elevated HbA(1c) level is an independent risk factor for CHD in persons with and without diabetes.     

Cardiovascular disease,heart failure,chronic kidney disease and depression independently increase the risk of incident diabetes

Aims/hypothesis  

Diabetes increases the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and heart failure, as well as other serious complications, such as renal disease and depression. However, these conditions are often present prior to diabetes diagnosis. We sought to determine whether they increase the risk of developing diabetes independent of other risk factors.     

Orthostatic hypotension and the risk of myocardial infarction in the home-dwelling elderly

OBJECTIVEs: We investigated the prognostic significance of orthostatic hypotension on the risk of myocardial infarction (MI) amongst the elderly. DESIGN: Prospective population-based study. SETTING: Home-dwelling population. SUBJECTS: Orthostatic testing was performed between 8 a.m. and 2 p.m., irrespective of having had meals, on 792 persons, representing 82% of all home-dwelling persons aged > or =70 years living in five municipalities around the city of Oulu. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Occurrence of cases of MI were recorded during mean 3.58 (SD 1.09) years follow-up period, from national mortality statistics and local hospital discharge registers. RESULTS: Ninety cases of MI, of which 40 were fatal after initial hospitalization, occurred during the follow-up period. Orthostatic diastolic blood pressure (BP) drop 1 min after standing up was associated with subsequent MI, but systolic BP reactions had no predictive value. According to the Cox regression model, the strongest predictor of the occurrence of subsequent MI was found in regard to > or =8 mmHg drop in diastolic BP 1 min after standing up; adjusted for history of MI, diabetes mellitus, chest pain, use of calcium antagonist, beta-blocker, nitrate and diuretic medication, hazard ratio of MI being 2.00 (1.11-3.59). CONCLUSIONS: Orthostatic testing offers a novel means to assess the risk of MI amongst elderly persons. Diastolic BP drop immediately after standing up identifies elderly subjects at a high risk of subsequent MI.     

Endogenous postmenopausal hormones and serum lipids: the atherosclerosis risk in communities study

Previous studies have revealed that exogenous estrogen has a beneficial effect on the lipid profile; however, studies examining the relation between endogenous hormones and lipid profiles in postmenopausal women have yielded conflicting results. We sought to characterize the cross-sectional relationship between endogenous hormones and lipid parameters in postmenopausal women with significant (cases, n = 156) and minimal (controls, n = 172) carotid atherosclerosis not taking hormone therapy in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Endogenous hormone status was assessed by measuring levels of estrone, total testosterone, androstenedione, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate, and SHBG. Free testosterone was estimated using the free androgen index (total testosterone/SHBG). Lipid parameters assessed included total cholesterol, triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol. We found that SHBG was significantly associated with a more favorable lipid profile, including lower total and LDL cholesterol and triglycerides and higher HDL cholesterol among controls. This association was less prominent among cases where SHBG was only associated with higher triglycerides and lower HDL cholesterol. The free androgen index was associated with a more atherogenic lipid profile, including increased LDL cholesterol among controls and increased total and LDL cholesterol and triglycerides among cases. These relations were independent of demographic and metabolic factors and health behaviors. In contrast to controls, estrone was associated with higher total cholesterol and triglycerides among cases in multivariate analyses. Our data suggest that endogenous sex hormones may play a role in regulating lipid metabolism in postmenopausal women.     

Lack of association between uncoupling protein-2 Ala55Val polymorphism and incident diabetes in the atherosclerosis risk in communities study

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is characterized by impaired insulin secretion, peripheral insulin resistance, and increased hepatic glucose production. Genes that contribute to genetic susceptibility to T2DM function in numerous biochemical pathways. Uncoupling protein-2 (UCP2) functions as a negative regulator of insulin secretion. Animal studies show induction of UCP2 plays a pathogenic role in the progression of obesity-induced T2DM and some human studies have shown an association between a common UCP2 polymorphism, Ala55Val (rs660339), and T2DM, obesity, and resting metabolic rate with the Val/Val genotype conferring increased risk. We investigated the relationship between the Ala55Val variant and incidence of T2DM among 12,056 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study aged 45-64 years at baseline. Incident T2DM (n = 1,406) cases were identified over 9 years of follow-up. The Val55 allele frequency was 44% in blacks and 41% in whites. The rate of T2DM per 1,000 person was 15.0, 15.6, and 15.6 yearsfor Ala/Ala, Ala/Val, and Val/Val genotypes, respectively. We found no significant association between UCP2 genotypes and incident T2DM in the whole cohort, in race-gender subgroups, or in categories of body mass index (normal, overweight and obese). The Ala55Val polymorphism of UCP2 was not associated with incident T2DM in the ARIC cohort.     

Retinal microvascular calibre and risk of incident diabetes: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis

Aim

To prospectively examine the association of retinal microvascular signs with incident diabetes and impaired fasting glucose (IFG) in a multi-ethnic population-based cohort.

Methods

The multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis comprised Caucasians, African-Americans, Hispanics and Chinese aged 45-84 years. Retinal vascular calibre and retinopathy were quantified from baseline retinal photographs. Incident diabetes and IFG were ascertained prospectively.

Results

After a median follow-up of 3 years, 243 (4.9%) people developed diabetes and 565 (15.0%) developed IFG. After adjusting for known risk factors, participants with wider retinal arteriolar calibre had a higher risk of developing diabetes [HR: 1.60; 95% CI: 1.12-2.29, p = 0.011 comparing highest with lowest arteriolar calibre tertile]. In ethnic subgroup analysis, the association between wider retinal arteriolar calibre and incident diabetes was stronger and statistically significant only in Caucasians [HR: 2.78; 95% CI: 1.37-5.62, p = 0.005]. Retinal venular calibre and retinopathy signs were not related to risk of diabetes or IFG.

Conclusion

Wider retinal arteriolar calibre is independently associated with an increased risk of diabetes, supporting a possible role for early arteriolar changes in diabetes development. This effect was largely seen in Caucasians, and not in other ethnic groups, and may reflect ethnic differences in susceptibility to diabetes from microvascular pathways.