Risk of hip fracture in disabled community-living older adults

OBJECTIVES: To determine the rate of hip fracture and risk factors associated with hip fractures in disabled older persons who enroll in the Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE), a program providing comprehensive care to community-living nursing-home-eligible persons. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study between January 1990 and December 1997. SETTING: The twelve PACE demonstration sites: San Francisco, California; Columbia, South Carolina; Detroit, Michigan; Denver, Colorado; East Boston, Massachusetts; El Paso, Texas; Milwaukee, Wisconsin; Oakland, California; Portland, Oregon; Rochester, New York; Sacramento, California; and the Bronx, New York. PARTICIPANTS: Five thousand one hundred eighty-seven individuals in PACE; mean age 79, 71% female, 49% white, 47% with dementia. MEASUREMENTS: Functional status, cognitive status, demographics, and comorbid conditions were recorded on all the participants, who were tracked for occurrence of a hip fracture. The goals were to determine the rate of hip fracture and identify risk factors. RESULTS: Two hundred thirty-eight hip fractures (4.6%) occurred during follow-up. The rate of hip fracture was 2.2% per person-year. Four independent predictors of hip fracture were identified using Cox proportional hazard analysis: age of 75 and older (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 2.0, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.4-2.8); white ethnicity (HR = 2.1, 95% CI = 1.6-2.8); ability to transfer independently to and from bed, chair, and toilet (HR = 3.0, 95% CI = 1.2-7.2); and five or more Short Portable Mental Status Questionnaire errors (HR = 1.6, 95% CI = 1.3-2.1). The incidence of hip fracture ranged from 0.5% per person-year in persons with zero to one independent risk factors to 4.7% per person-year in those with all four independent risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: The rate of hip fracture in this cohort of disabled community-living older adults was similar to that reported in nursing home cohorts. Older age, white race, ability to transfer independently, and cognitive impairment were independent predictors of hip fracture. Persons with these risk factors should be targeted for preventive interventions, which should include strategies for making transferring safer.     

Visual Field Loss and Risk of Fractures in Older Women

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the associations between visual field loss and nonspine fractures.
DESIGN: Prospective cohort study.
SETTING: Community.
PARTICIPANTS: Four thousand seven hundred seventy-three community-dwelling white and African-American women aged 65 and older with no previous history of hip fracture at the time of recruitment.
MEASUREMENTS: Radiographically confirmed hip and nonspine, nonhip fractures identified from September 1997 to April 2008. Visual field loss was measured using a Humphrey Field Analyzer suprathreshold screening test of the peripheral and central vision of each eye and was classified into an ordinal rating of no, mild, moderate, or severe binocular visual field (BVF) loss.
RESULTS: For hip and nonspine, nonhip fractures and in unadjusted and covariate-adjusted analyses, the highest incidence of fractures was seen in women with the most-severe BVF loss. In covariate-adjusted analysis, women with mild, moderate, and severe BVF loss had a 49% (hazard ratio (HR)=1.49, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.18–1.88), 25% (HR=1.25, 95% CI=0.87–1.80), and 66% (HR=1.66, 95% CI=1.19–2.32) greater risk, respectively, for hip fractures than women without BVF loss. Similarly, women with mild visual field loss had a 12% (HR=0.88, 95% CI=0.75–1.04) lower risk for nonspine, nonhip fractures, whereas women with moderate and severe visual field loss had a 18% (HR=1.18, 95% CI=0.92–1.52) and 59% (HR=1.59, 95% CI=1.24–2.03) greater risk of nonspine, nonhip fractures than women without BVF loss.
CONCLUSION: BVF loss is independently associated with hip and nonspine, nonhip fractures in older female volunteers.     

Lowered vision as a risk factor for injurious accidents in older people

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Poor vision in older people is often related to increased fall risk. However, the association of the severity between visual deficit and risk for all kind of injurious accidents has not been widely studied. The aim of this study was to examine whether visual loss is associated with higher incidence of injurious accidents and whether walking speed or physical activity play a mediating role in the association. METHODS: 416 persons aged 75 and 80 years at baseline underwent visual acuity measurements. Visual acuity (VA) <0.3 in the better eye, with spectacle correction when necessary, was defined as visual impairment, VA >or=0.3 but 0.5 as normal VA. Hospital records of accidents resulting in injury were monitored for 10 years after baseline. RESULTS: During the 10-year follow-up, 239 (58%) participants suffered at least one injurious accident. The risk for injurious accidents in a multivariate model adjusted for age, gender, eye-related diseases, diabetes and cardiovascular diseases among participants with lowered vision was 1.45 (95% CI 1.08- 1.94), compared with that for people with normal visual acuity. Participants with visual impairment did not have an increased risk for injurious accidents (HR 1.20, 95% CI 0.82-1.75). Furthermore, neither walking speed nor physical activity had a mediating effect on the relationship between visual loss and accidents. CONCLUSIONS: Lowered vision is a risk factor for injurious accidents in older people independent of mobility and physical activity. Interestingly, more severe visual impairment did not increase the risk. Early intervention strategies, for example, proper correction of refractive errors or cataract extraction, may potentially prevent injurious accidents in older people.     

Serum vitamin A concentration and the risk of hip fracture among women 50 to 74 years old in the United States: a prospective analysis of the NHANES I follow-up study

BACKGROUND: Recent studies on the association between vitamin A and fracture risk have focused on samples with high vitamin A intake. We analyzed a cohort that was more representative of the overall U.S. population to test the hypothesis that both high and low serum vitamin A concentrations increase the risk of hip fracture. METHODS: We utilized data on 2799 women who were 50 to 74 years of age from the first National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Epidemiologic Follow-up Study. There were 172 incident hip fractures during the 22-year follow-up period. Using Cox regression analysis, we analyzed the relation between baseline serum vitamin A (retinol and retinyl esters) concentration, as a continuous variable and by quintiles, and hip fracture risk. RESULTS: While there was no linear relation between serum vitamin A concentration and the risk of hip fracture in the multivariate analysis (hazard ratio [HR] per SD increase = 1.0; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.9 to 1.2), analysis by quintiles revealed a U-shaped relation between serum vitamin A concentration and hip fracture. Fracture risk was significantly higher among subjects in the lowest (HR = 1.9; 95% CI: 1.1 to 3.3) and highest (HR = 2.1; 95% CI: 1.2 to 3.6) quintiles compared with those in the middle quintiles. CONCLUSION: Both low and high serum vitamin A concentrations may be associated with an increased risk of hip fracture.     

Second hip fracture in older men and women: the Framingham Study

BACKGROUND: Older persons with hip fractures remain at increased risk of subsequent hip fractures. However, little is known about the frequency and characteristics of persons who sustain a second hip fracture. METHODS: Participants included 481 members of the Framingham Heart Study who sustained an initial hip fracture between April 1952 and December 31, 2003. Participants were followed up until a second hip fracture, death, dropout, or study completion. Age, sex, falls, stroke, dementia, residence, recent weight change, body mass index, and functional status were considered potential predictors of a second hip fracture. RESULTS: During a median of 4.2 years of follow-up, 71 subjects (14.8%) experienced a second hip fracture. Following a first hip fracture, 2.5% of subjects experienced a second hip fracture within 1 year, and 8.2% of subjects (9.7% of women) experienced a second hip fracture within 5 years. One-year mortality following an initial hip fracture was 15.9% compared with 1-year mortality following a second hip fracture of 24.1%. The risk of a second hip fracture increased with age (hazard ratio [HR] per 5-year increase in age, 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-1.8) and with high functional status (HR compared with moderate functional status, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.1-6.9). There was a statistically nonsignificant association between low functional status and the risk of second hip fracture (HR compared with moderate functional status, 3.7; 95% CI, 0.9-14.8). CONCLUSIONS: Among survivors of an initial hip fracture, the incidence of a second hip fracture is substantial. Older age and functional status may be important predictors of a second hip fracture. There seems to be adequate time between the first and second hip fractures for interventions that may reduce second hip fractures.     

Osteoporotic fractures and heart failure in the community

Purpose

Recent findings suggest a role for heart failure in the etiology of osteoporotic fractures, yet the temporal sequence of occurrence of the 2 conditions needs clarification.

Methods

Using the Rochester Epidemiology Project, the authors conducted a 2-phase study: a case-control study compared osteoporotic fracture history among Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents newly diagnosed with heart failure in 1979-2002 with age- and sex-matched community controls without heart failure (961 pairs; mean age 76 years; 54% women). Both groups were then followed to July 2009 to evaluate their subsequent fracture risk in a cohort study.

Results

Prior fractures were more frequent in heart failure cases than controls (23.1% vs. 18.8%, P = .02). The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for heart failure associated with prior fracture was 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-1.81), mainly driven by hip fractures (OR 1.82; 95% CI, 1.25-2.66) with little or no association with other fractures. Over a mean follow-up of 7.5 years, 444 individuals developed subsequent osteoporotic fractures. The adjusted fracture risk was marginally elevated in heart failure patients compared with controls (hazard ratio [HR] 1.32; 95% CI, 0.98-1.79), again largely attributable to hip fractures (HR 1.58; 95% CI, 1.03-2.41).

Conclusions

In this community, the association with fracture risk was about as strong before as after the diagnosis of heart failure and was nearly entirely attributable to hip fractures. Additional work is needed to identify common underlying mechanisms for heart failure and hip fracture, which may define prevention opportunities.     

Cognitive status, body mass index, and hip fracture in older Hispanic adults

OBJECTIVES: To examine the interactive effect of cognition and body weight on hip fracture. DESIGN: A 7-year (1993-2000) prospective cohort study. SETTING: Five southwestern states (Texas, New Mexico, Arizona, Colorado, and California). PARTICIPANTS: Noninstitutionalized Mexican Americans (N=2,653) aged 65 and older and free of hip fracture at baseline interview. MEASUREMENTS: Incidence of hip fracture at 2-, 5-, and 7-year follow-up interviews. Body weight and cognition were measured using body mass index (BMI) and Mini-Mental State Examination score, respectively. Covariates included sociodemographics, self-reported medical conditions, visual acuity, and Short Physical Performance Battery. RESULTS: A significant interaction between BMI and hip fracture was found in persons with cognitive impairment (hazard ratio =0.91, 95% confidence interval=0.85-0.98; P=.02), after adjusting for covariates. In the lowest BMI category, the hip fracture rate in cognitively impaired subjects was more than four times the hip fracture rate for subjects who were not cognitively impaired with the same BMI (34.6% vs 8.7%). Hip fracture rates in the highest BMI category were similar in persons with and without cognitive impairment (9.3% vs 6.1%). CONCLUSION: Low cognitive function increased the conditional association between BMI and hip fracture in older Mexican Americans. The relationship between BMI and cognition is potentially important in identifying persons at risk for hip fracture and supports the need to include cognitive and anthropometric measures in the assessment of hip fracture risk into osteoporosis screening programs.     

Self-reported sleep and nap habits and risk of falls and fractures in older women: the study of osteoporotic fractures

OBJECTIVES: To test the association between self-reported sleep and nap habits and risk of falls and fractures in a large cohort of older women. DESIGN: Study of Osteoporotic Fractures prospective cohort study. SETTING: Clinical centers in Baltimore, Maryland; Minneapolis, Minnesota; Portland, Oregon; and the Monongahela Valley, near Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. PARTICIPANTS: Eight thousand one hundred one community-dwelling Caucasian women aged 69 and older (mean 77.0). MEASUREMENTS: Sleep and nap habits were assessed using a questionnaire at the fourth clinic visit (1993/94). Fall frequency during the subsequent year was ascertained using tri-annual questionnaire. Incident hip and nonspinal fractures during 6 years of follow-up were confirmed using radiographic reports. RESULTS: Five hundred fifty-three women suffered hip fractures, and 1,938 suffered nonspinal fractures. In multivariate models, women who reported napping daily had significantly higher odds of suffering two or more falls during the subsequent year (odds ratio=1.32, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.03-1.69) and were more likely to suffer a hip fracture (hazard ratio (HR)=1.33, 95% CI=0.99-1.78) than women who did not nap daily. Those sleeping at least 10 hours per 24 hours had a higher risk of nonspinal fracture than (HR=1.26, 95% CI=1.00-1.58) and a similar but nonsignificant increased risk of hip fracture to (HR=1.43, 95% CI=0.95-2.15) those who reported sleeping between 8 and 9 hours. CONCLUSION: Self-reported long sleep and daily napping are associated with greater risk of falls and fractures in older women. Interventions to improve sleep may reduce their risk of falls and fractures. Future research is needed to determine whether specific sleep disorders contribute to these relationships.     

Knee pain, knee osteoarthritis, and the risk of fracture

OBJECTIVE: Patients with osteoarthritis (OA) have increased bone mineral density; however, the association between knee OA and fracture is controversial. Few data exist on the association between knee pain and fracture. We examined the association of knee OA and knee pain with fracture and falls in elderly men and women. METHODS: The study group comprised 6,641 men and women ages > or =75 years who participated in a 3-year randomized controlled trial of intramuscular vitamin D therapy. Patients completed a questionnaire about knee pain and OA. Fracture and fall data were collected prospectively every 6 months. RESULTS: Knee pain prevalence and a clinician diagnosis of knee OA were 35.2% and 6.8%, respectively. A total of 436 incident nonvertebral fractures were reported, and 3,992 patients sustained a fall. Prevalent knee pain was associated with an increased risk of falls (hazard ratio [HR] 1.26, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.17-1.36) and hip fracture (HR 2.0, 95% CI 1.18-3.37). Increasing severity of knee pain was associated with a greater risk of falls and hip fracture. Clinician diagnosis of knee OA was associated with an increased risk of nonvertebral fractures (HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.09-2.36). The increased risk of fracture was not substantially reduced by adjusting for falls, but was attenuated by adjustment for the use of walking aids. CONCLUSION: Patients with a clinical diagnosis of knee OA and with knee pain have an increased risk of nonvertebral and hip fracture. This is not explained by the increased risk of falls, but is more likely to be due to the severity of falls sustained. Knee pain and OA should be regarded as independent risk factors for fracture.     

Fracture risk in people with primary biliary cirrhosis: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Controversy exists as to whether people with primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) have an increased risk of developing osteoporosis and the extent to which this may translate into an increased risk of fracture. We have performed a cohort study using the General Practice Research Database to quantify the excess fracture risk in people with PBC. METHODS: We identified 930 people with PBC and 9202 age- and sex-matched control subjects. We used Cox regression to estimate the hazard ratios for any fracture, hip fracture, and ulna/radius fracture in the PBC cohort compared with the general population. RESULTS: There were approximately 2-fold relative increases in the risk of any fracture, hip fracture, and ulna/radius fracture for the PBC cohort compared with the general population (hazard ratio [HR], 2.03; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.70-2.44; HR 2.14 (95% CI: 1.40-3.28), and HR, 1.96; 95% CI: 1.42-2.71, respectively). The absolute excess in fracture rates were for any fracture, 12.5 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 8.1-16.9); for hip fracture, 1.9 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.3-3.5); and for ulna/radius fracture, 3.4 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 1.2-5.7). In those people with more severe disease, the relative risks of fracture were similar (any fracture HR, 2.24; hip fracture HR, 1.25; ulna/radius fracture HR, 1.28). CONCLUSIONS: There are modest increases in both the absolute and relative fracture risks in people with PBC compared with the general population, with the excess risks similar in those with more severe disease.     

Clinical assessment of the long-term risk of fracture in patients with rheumatoid arthritis

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have an increased risk of fracture, and to estimate their long-term absolute fracture risk. METHODS: We studied patients with RA ages >or=40 years in the British General Practice Research Database, each matched by age, sex, calendar time, and practice to 3 control patients. Incident fractures, as recorded in the computerized medical records, were ascertained over a median followup of 7.6 years. The fracture rate in RA patients compared with controls was adjusted for smoking, body mass index (BMI), and several clinical risk factors, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate the relative risk (RR) of fracture in RA. A risk score was then developed to provide an estimate of the 5- and 10-year fracture risk among RA patients. RESULTS: There were 30,262 patients with RA, of whom 2,460 experienced a fracture during followup. Compared with controls, patients with RA had an increased risk of fracture, which was most marked at the hip (RR 2.0, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.8-2.3) and spine (RR 2.4, 95% CI 2.0-2.8). Indicators of a substantially elevated risk of fracture (at the hip) included >10 years' duration of RA (RR 3.4, 95% CI 3.0-3.9), low BMI (RR 3.9, 95% CI 3.1-4.9), and use of oral glucocorticoids (RR 3.4, 95% CI 3.0-4.0). Modeling of the long-term risk profiles revealed that, for example, in a woman age 65 years with longstanding RA whose risk factors also included low BMI, a history of fracture, and frequent use of oral glucocorticoids, the 5-year risk of hip fracture was 5.7% (95% CI 5.3-6.1%). CONCLUSION: Patients with RA are at increased risk of osteoporotic fractures. This increased risk is attributable to a combination of disease activity and use of oral glucocorticoids.     

Diabetes mellitus and incidence of lower body disability among older Mexican Americans

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the effect of diabetes mellitus on subsequent lower body disability in older Mexican Americans, one of the fastest growing ethnic groups in the United States. The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between diabetes mellitus and incident lower body disability over a 7-year follow-up period. METHODS: Ours was a 7-year prospective cohort study of 1835 Mexican-American individuals > or = 65 years old, nondisabled at baseline, and residing in five Southwestern states. Measures included self-reported physician diagnosis of diabetes, stroke, heart attack, hip fracture, arthritis, or cancer. Disability measures included activities of daily living (ADLs), mobility tasks, and an 8-foot walk test. Body mass index, depressive symptoms, and vision function were also measured. RESULTS: At 7-year follow-up, 48.7% of diabetic participants nondisabled at baseline developed limitations in one or more measures of lower body function. Cox proportional regression analyses showed that diabetic participants were more likely to report any limitation in lower body ADL function (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.05, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.58-2.67), mobility tasks (HR = 1.69, 95% CI, 1.39-2.04), and 8-foot walk (HR = 1.46, 95% CI, 1.15-1.85) compared with nondiabetic participants, after controlling for relevant factors. Older age and having one or more diabetic complications were significantly associated with increased risk of limitations in any lower body ADL and mobility task at follow-up. CONCLUSION: Older Mexican Americans with diabetes mellitus are at high risk for development of lower body disability over time. Awareness of disability as a potentially modifiable complication and use of interventions to reduce disability should become health priorities for older Mexican Americans with diabetes.     

Use of inhaled and oral glucocorticoids, severity of inflammatory disease and risk of hip/femur fracture: a population-based case-control study

BACKGROUND: Patients using higher dosages of inhaled or oral glucocorticoids (GCs) have an increased risk of hip/femur fractures. The role of the underlying disease in the aetiology of this increased risk has not been widely studied. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the contribution of the underlying disease to the risk of hip/femur fracture in patients using inhaled or oral GCs. DESIGN AND SUBJECTS: A case-control study within the Dutch PHARMO-RLS database was conducted. Cases (n = 6763) were adult patients with a first hip/femur fracture during enrolment. Each case was matched to four controls by age, gender and region. RESULTS: The risk of hip/femur fracture increased with current use of inhaled GCs (crude OR 1.30, 95% CI:1.16-1.47) and with current use of oral GCs (crude OR 1.66, 95% CI: 1.46-1.90). After adjustment for disease severity, the risk of hip/femur fracture was no longer statistically significantly increased in inhaled GC users (adjusted OR 1.08, 95% CI: 0.91-1.27), whilst it remained elevated in oral GC users (adjusted OR 1.43, 95% CI: 1.22-1.67). Patients using inhaled GCs without any exposure to oral GCs had no increased risk of fracture (adjusted OR 0.98, 95% CI: 0.79-1.22). CONCLUSION: Inhaled GC users had no increased risk of femur/hip fracture after adjustment for underlying disease severity. Our data suggest that, even at higher dosages, inhaled GC use is not an independent risk factor for fracture. In contrast, oral GC use was associated with an increased risk of fracture, which was not fully explained by the underlying disease severity.     

Endogenous sex hormones and incident fracture risk in older men: the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study

BACKGROUND: Data on the influence of gonadal hormones on incident fracture risk in elderly men are limited. We prospectively examined the relationship between serum levels of testosterone and estradiol and future fracture risk in community-dwelling men. METHODS: A total of 609 men older than 60 years had been observed between January 1989 and December 2005, with the median duration being 5.8 years (up to 13 years). Clinical risk factors, including bone mineral density and lifestyle factors, were assessed at baseline. Serum testosterone and estradiol levels were measured by tandem mass spectrometry. The incidence of a low-trauma fracture was ascertained during follow-up. RESULTS: During follow-up, 113 men had at least 1 low-trauma fracture. The risk of fracture was significantly increased in men with reduced testosterone levels (hazard ratio [HR], 1.33; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-1.62). After adjustment for sex hormone-binding globulin, serum testosterone (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.22-1.78) and serum estradiol (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.00-1.47) levels were associated with overall fracture risk. After further adjustment for major risk factors of fractures (age, weight or bone mineral density, fracture history, smoking status, calcium intake, and sex hormone-binding globulin), lower testosterone was still associated with increased risk of fracture, particularly with hip (HR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.24-2.82) and nonvertebral (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.03-1.68) fractures. CONCLUSION: In community-dwelling men older than 60 years, serum testosterone is independently associated with the risk of osteoporotic fracture and its measurement may provide additional clinical information for the assessment of fracture risk in elderly men.     

Adjusted mortality after hip fracture: From the cardiovascular health study

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the risk of death associated with hip fracture (HFx), stratifying by sex and time since fracture. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study compared participants with and without hip fracture, matched on sex, age, race, recruitment period, and time since enrollment. SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Study, a more-than-15-year longitudinal study of 5,888 older individuals from four U.S. sites. PARTICIPANTS: Three hundred seventy-nine individuals with HFx were compared with 1,134 without HFx. MEASUREMENTS: Extended Cox models were used to estimate mortality hazard ratios (HRs) for different periods after fracture, adjusting for prefracture health. RESULTS: Age- and race-adjusted excess mortality was 9% in women and 24% in men 1 year after fracture, and 24% in women and 26% men 5 years postfracture. Multivariable-adjusted HRs of mortality associated with HFx in women were 7.1 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.3-21.5), 2.1 (95% CI = 1.0-4.1), 1.4 (95% CI = 1.1-2.0), and 1.0 (95% CI = 0.6-1.5) for 0 to 1 months, 2 to 6 months, 7 months to 4 years, and 5 to 8 years, respectively, after index date. In men, respective HRs for the same time periods were 39.9 (95% CI = 5.2-308.7), 3.8 (95% CI = 1.4-10.3), 1.1 (95% CI = 0.7-1.8), and 1.0 (95% CI = 0.3-2.7). HRs adjusted for age and race were 20% to 40% higher. CONCLUSION: The risk of mortality was highest in the first 6 months after HFx. In men, the risk of death approximated that of men without HFx after 6 months; in women, a moderately greater risk persisted through the fourth year. Although the mortality pattern was different in women and men, excess mortality 5 years postfracture was similar for both sexes.     

Fracture risk among breast cancer survivors: results from the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer and its treatment may compromise bone health. We tested the hypothesis in the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study that postmenopausal survivors of breast cancer have a higher risk for fractures compared with women who have no cancer history. METHODS: A prospective cohort (5.1 years' follow-up) study design was used. Breast cancer survivors were women who reported a history of breast cancer (n = 5298). A reference group included women who had no cancer history at baseline (n = 80 848). Fracture occurrence was ascertained from annual self-reports. Hip fractures were confirmed by reviewing medical records. RESULTS: After adjustment for age, weight, ethnicity, and geographic region of enrollment, the hazard ratios (HRs) of breast cancer survivors to women in the reference group were 0.93 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64-1.33) for hip; 1.36 (95% CI, 1.16-1.59) for forearm or wrist; 1.31 (95% CI, 1.19-1.43) for eligible fractures other than hip, vertebral, and forearm or wrist; and 1.31 (95% CI, 1.21-1.41) for these fractures combined. The increased risk for clinical vertebral fracture was statistically significant only among survivors who had a breast cancer diagnosis before age 55 years (HR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.28-2.46). After adjusting for factors related to hormone levels, risk of fall, fracture history, medication use, comorbidity, and lifestyle, the increased risk for all fractures studied among survivors was reduced to 15% (HR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.05-1.25). CONCLUSIONS: Postmenopausal survivors of breast cancer are at increased risk for clinical fractures. Preventions and therapeutic interventions are needed to reduce fracture risk in this large and growing population.     

Renal function and risk of hip and vertebral fractures in older women

BACKGROUND: An increased rate of hip fractures has been reported in patients with end-stage renal disease, but the effect of less severe renal dysfunction on fracture risk is uncertain. METHODS: We conducted a case-cohort study within a cohort of 9704 women 65 years or older to compare baseline renal function (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] using the Cockcroft-Gault equation) in 149 women who subsequently had hip fractures and 150 women who subsequently had vertebral fractures with eGRF in 396 randomly selected women. RESULTS: In models adjusted for age, weight, and calcaneal bone density, decreasing eGFR was associated with increased risk of hip fracture. Compared with women with an eGFR 60 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) or greater, the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) for hip fracture was 1.57 (95% CI, 0.89-2.76) in those with an eGFR 45 to 59 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) and 2.32 (95% CI, 1.15-4.68) in those with an eGFR less than 45 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) (P for trend = .02). In particular, women with a reduced eGFR were at increased risk of trochanteric hip fracture (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.93 [95% CI, 1.37-11.30] in women with an eGFR 45-59 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) and 7.17 [95% CI, 1.93-26.67] in women with an eGFR <45 mL/min per 1.73 m(2); P for trend = .004). Renal function was not independently associated with risk of vertebral fracture (adjusted odds ratio, 1.08 [95% CI, 0.61-1.92] in women with an eGFR 45-59 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) and 1.33 [95% CI, 0.63-2.80] in women with an eGFR <45 mL/min per 1.73 m(2); P for trend = .47). CONCLUSION: Older women with moderate renal dysfunction are at increased risk of hip fracture.     

Diabetes mellitus as a risk factor for hip fracture in mexican american older adults

BACKGROUND: Hip fracture in older adults is a significant medical, social, and economic concern to society. Little is known regarding diabetes as a risk factor for hip fracture in the Mexican American population. The objective of this study was to examine diabetes and other potential risk factors for hip fracture in a sample of community-dwelling, older, Mexican American adults. METHODS: The study was a prospective cohort design involving the Hispanic Established Population for the Epidemiologic Study of the Elderly, a longitudinal study involving a weighted probability sample of Mexican American adults (>65 years) living in the southwestern United States. Included in the study were 3050 older Mexican American subjects who were originally interviewed and tested at baseline and then followed with reassessment at 2, 5, and 7 years. Incidence of hip fracture was examined for subjects over 7-year follow-up. RESULTS: At baseline, 690 subjects were identified with diabetes. One hundred and thirty-four subjects experienced a first-time hip fracture during follow-up. Cox proportional hazard regression revealed an increased hazard ratio for hip fracture in subjects with diabetes compared to those without diabetes (hazard ratio = 1.57, 95% confidence interval [CI(95)] = 1.03, 2.39, p <.04) when adjusted for age, body mass index, smoking, and previous stroke. The hazard ratio for Mexican Americans taking insulin was 2.84 (CI(95) = 1.49, 5.43, p <.002) when adjusted for covariates. CONCLUSIONS: We found diabetes was associated with increased risk for a hip fracture in older Mexican Americans, particularly subjects taking insulin. Diabetes has not previously been considered a risk factor for hip fracture in older adults. The high incidence of type 2 diabetes in the Mexican American population highlights the need for increased research on risk factors in this ethnic group.     

Associations of serum sex hormone-binding globulin and sex hormone concentrations with hip fracture risk in postmenopausal women

CONTEXT: Endogenous estradiol, testosterone, and SHBG may influence the risk of hip fracture. DESIGN AND METHODS: From the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study, 39,793 eligible postmenopausal women did not have a previous hip fracture and were not using estrogen or other bone-active therapies. Of these, 400 who had a first-time nonpathological hip fracture (median follow-up, 7 yr) were matched to 400 controls by age, ethnicity, and baseline blood draw date. Estradiol, testosterone, and SHBG were measured in banked baseline serum. RESULTS: Compared with women in the lowest tertiles, those with bioavailable testosterone in the highest tertile had a lower risk [odds ratio (OR) = 0.62; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.44-0.88]; those with bioavailable estradiol in the highest tertile had a lower risk (OR = 0.44; 95% CI = 0.29-0.66), and those with SHBG in the highest tertile had a higher risk (OR = 1.90; 95% CI = 1.31-2.74) of hip fracture. In models with all three hormones and potential confounders, high SHBG remained a strong independent risk factor (OR = 1.76; 95% CI = 1.12-2.78), high bioavailable testosterone remained protective (OR = 0.64; 95% CI = 0.40-1.00), but estradiol no longer was associated (OR = 0.72; 95% CI = 0.42-1.23). CONCLUSIONS: High serum SHBG is associated with an increased risk of subsequent hip fracture and high endogenous testosterone with a decreased risk, independent of each other, serum estradiol concentration, and other putative risk factors. But endogenous estradiol has no independent association with hip fracture.     

Population-attributable risk of coronary heart disease risk factors during long-term follow-up: the Malmö Preventive Project

AIMS: To calculate the population-attributable risk (PAR) of coronary events (CE) from 10 risk factors, during long-term follow-up. METHODS: We used both case-cohort and case-control analyses for calculation of PAR in relation to 10 baseline risk factors. First CE (fatal or nonfatal, n=3072) in 22,444 males and 10,902 females was recorded during a mean follow-up of 20 years by use of national registers. RESULTS: Using a Cox regression analysis in a case-cohort design, smoking (prevalence in men 49%, women 37%) was the strongest risk factor, RR 2.29 (95% CI 2.09-2.52; PAR 39%), followed by hypercholesterolaemia, RR 1.70 (95% CI 1.56-1.86; PAR 18%), and diabetes, RR 1.67 (95% CI 1.41-1.99; PAR 3%). For women the strongest risk factors were smoking, RR 3.16 (95% CI 2.50-3.98; PAR 44%), diabetes, RR 2.59 (95% CI 1.78-3.76; PAR 6%), and hypertension, RR 2.47 (95% CI 1.94-3.14; PAR 23%). In men, smoking was the strongest predictor both after 10 years [RR 2.69 (95% CI 2.23-3.24)] and 20 years [RR 2.45 (95% CI 2.15-2.79)], followed by hypercholesterolaemia (RR 2.16-1.63), hypertension (RR 2.04-1.51), and diabetes (RR 1.85 -1.47). The case-control design gave very similar results. Total PAR varied from 74% (fully adjusted Cox regression, case-control, in men) to 116% in women (case-cohort). CONCLUSION: Smoking is the most important long-term risk factor for CE in both genders, based on data from a population with a high proportion of smokers. Ten measured variables explained almost all variation in risk and could be used as a basis for intervention programmes.