Risk factors for nonelective hospital readmissions

We previously reported a predictive model that identified potentially modifiable risk factors for nonelective readmission to a county hospital. The objectives of this study were to determine if those risk factors were generalizable to a different population. We found that the previously reported risk factors were generalizable, and other potentially modifiable risk factors were identified in this population of veterans. However, further research is needed to establish whether or not the risk factors can be modified and whether or not modification improves outcomes. Supported by Health Services and Research Development (HSR & D) project UR 87-137.1 from the Veterans Administration.     

Good exercise capacity at hospital discharge predicts recovery of baroreflex sensitivity after myocardial infarction

Myocardial infarction results in depressed baroreflex sensitivity,which has been shown to be associated with increased risk ofventricular arrhythmias and sudden death. We measured baroreflexsensitivity in 37 patients with acute myocardial infarctionbefore hospital discharge and 3 months after the infarctionto find out whether the baroreflex sensitivity recovers duringthat period. In addition, baroreflex sensitivity was assessedin 15 healthy controls. Baroreflex sensitivity was assessedfrom the regression line relating the change in R-R intervalto the change in systolic blood pressure following an intravenousbolus injection of phenylephrine. There was a wide inter-individualvariation in the change of baroreflex sensitivity (Abaroreflexsensitivity) in infarction patients, but the average baroreflexsensitivity showed no significant change during the 3-monthfollow-up (10.2 +5.6 to 11.8 ± 7.5 ms. mmHg ^–1,ns) and remained lower than the baroreflex sensitivity of thecontrols (16.4 ± 9.7 ms. mmHg^–1, P<0.05). Baroreflexsensitivity correlated significantly with exercise capacitymeasured before hospital discharge. When the patients were dividedinto tertiles according to the baroreflex sensitivity ( –3.3 ± 1.5 ms. mmHg^–1 in the lowest tertile, 1.0± 1.0 ms. mmHg^–1 in the middle tertile and 7.5± 40 ms. mmHg^–1 in the highest tertile) the exercisecapacity was found to increase from the lowest to the highesttertile (exercise time 357 ± 115 s, 418 ± 126s and 461 ± 141 s, respectively; P<0.05 lowest vshighest tertile). Patients with a low exercise tolerance (exercisetime <360 s) showed a significantly smaller Abaroreflex sensitivitythan patients with a good exercise tolerance (exercise time480s) ( – 0.5±4.4 vs 5.3 ± 5.4ms. mmHg^–1,P<0.05), respectively. Baroreflex sensitivity was not relatedto the location or type of infarction, thrombolytic therapy,presence of angina pectoris or left ventricular function atthe time of discharge. In conclusion, exercise capacity assessedbefore hospital discharge seems to be a predictor of baroreflexsensitivity recovery in patients with a recent myocardial infarction.     

Risk factors for hospital readmission of elderly patients

BackgroundThe aim of this study was to identify which factors were associated with a risk of hospital readmission within 3 months after discharge of a sample of elderly patients admitted to internal medicine and geriatric wards.MethodsOf the 1178 patients aged 65 years or more and discharged from one of the 66 wards of the ‘Registry Politerapie SIMI (REPOSI)’ during 2010, 766 were followed up by phone interview 3 months after discharge and were included in this analysis. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association of several variables with rehospitalization within 3 months from discharge.ResultsNineteen percent of patients were readmitted at least once within 3 months after discharge. By univariate analysis in-hospital clinical adverse events (AEs), a previous hospital admission, number of diagnoses and drugs, comorbidity and severity index (according to Cumulative Illness Rating Scale-CIRS), vascular and liver diseases with a level of impairment at discharge of 3 or more at CIRS were significantly associated with risk of readmission. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that only AEs during hospitalization, previous hospital admission, and vascular and liver diseases were significantly associated with the likelihood of readmission.ConclusionsThe results demonstrate the need for increased medical attention towards elderly patients discharged from hospital with characteristics such as AEs during the hospitalization, previous admission, vascular and liver diseases.     

Duration of colonization by methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus after hospital discharge and risk factors for prolonged carriage.

To investigate persistent carriage of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), we conducted a prospective 10-month study of MRSA carriage in previous carriers who were readmitted to our hospital. Four screening specimens, 2 from the skin and 2 from the nares, were obtained within 3 days after admission, in addition to diagnostic specimens requested by physicians. Of the 78 patients included in our study, 31 (40%) were persistent carriers of MRSA, with an estimated median time of 8.5 months to MRSA clearance. In the multivariate analysis, the only factor significantly associated with persistent carriage was the presence of a break in the skin at readmission (odds ratio, 4.34; P=.004); however, a trend was found for admission from a chronic-care institution (odds ratio, 3.65; P=.06). Our data confirm that prolonged carriage of MRSA can occur after hospital discharge, support routine screening for MRSA at readmission of previously MRSA-positive patients, and suggest that a particularly high index of suspicion for MRSA carriage should be maintained if these patients have a break in the skin.     

Surgical wound infections documented after hospital discharge

Shorter lengths of hospitalization may result in more surgical wound infections being documented after hospital discharge. The current investigation analyzed 1644 surgical procedures performed over a 3-month period, and documented surgical wound infections both before and for 1 month after hospital discharge. Physician and patient questionnaires were used. One hundred eight infections were noted, of which 50 (46%) were seen after hospital discharge by either the patient or the surgeon. Rates of infection were 5.2%, 7.5%, and 7.5% for clean, clean-contaminated, and contaminated-dirty categories, respectively. Had postdischarge surveillance not been used, rates would have appeared to be 2.5%, 6.5%, and 6.8% for the same surgical classes. Infections following clean and clean-contaminated procedures were more likely to be noticed after hospital discharge. Excluding those that were patient-documented, wound infection rates would have been 4.2% (clean), 6.3% (clean-contaminated) and 6.8% (contaminated-dirty). Postdischarge surveillance is imperative to meaningfully document true rates of surgical wound infection, inasmuch as increasing numbers are likely to occur only after patients leave the hospital.     

Early hospital discharge after direct angioplasty for acute myocardial infarction

To determine the feasibility and safety of early hospital discharge after myocardial infarction, we reviewed a 3-yr experience with direct angioplasty: 204 patients had direct angioplasty with in-hospital mortality of 3.4%. Of these patients, 125 were discharged < 5 days after infarction and 98% of these were available for 30-day follow-up. There was one early death (0.8% mortality), two early readmissions without complications, and three late readmissions. Thus early hospital discharge a mean of 3.4 days after infarction can be achieved in > 60% of patients undergoing direct angioplasty with no significant early complications and excellent 30-day survival (99.2%). © 1995 Wiley-Liss, Inc.     

Risk factors for outbreaks of COVID‐19 in care homes following hospital discharge: A national cohort analysis

BackgroundThe population of adult residential care homes has been shown to have high morbidity and mortality in relation to COVID‐19.MethodsWe examined 3115 hospital discharges to a national cohort of 1068 adult care homes and subsequent outbreaks of COVID‐19 occurring between 22 February and 27 June 2020. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess the impact of time‐dependent exposure to hospital discharge on incidence of the first known outbreak, over a window of 7‐21 days after discharge, and adjusted for care home characteristics, including size and type of provision.ResultsA total of 330 homes experienced an outbreak, and 544 homes received a discharge over the study period. Exposure to hospital discharge was not associated with a significant increase in the risk of a new outbreak (hazard ratio 1.15, 95% CI 0.89, 1.47, P = .29) after adjusting for care home characteristics. Care home size was the most significant predictor. Hazard ratios (95% CI) in comparison with homes of <10 residents were as follows: 3.40 (1.99, 5.80) for 10‐24 residents; 8.25 (4.93, 13.81) for 25‐49 residents; and 17.35 (9.65, 31.19) for 50+ residents. When stratified for care home size, the outbreak rates were similar for periods when homes were exposed to a hospital discharge, in comparison with periods when homes were unexposed.ConclusionOur analyses showed that large homes were at considerably greater risk of outbreaks throughout the epidemic, and after adjusting for care home size, a discharge from hospital was not associated with a significant increase in risk.     

Risk factors indicating recurrent myocardial infarction after recovery from acute myocardial infarction.

Little is known of the risk factors of recurrent myocardial infarction (MI) among Japanese patients who have survived their first MI. The risk factors for the second MI were studied in 808 of 1,042 consecutive patients who recovered from an acute MI in Iwakuni National Hospital. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that only 3 of 21 variables measured were closely related with the recurrence of MI during a follow-up period of 3.2 +/- 4.3 years: (1) transient atrial fibrillation (relative risk (RR) 3.16), (2) previous cerebrovascular accident (RR 3.05), and (3) dyslipidemia (RR 2.19). Of the parameters of dyslipidemia, a low ratio of high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C) to low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) alone indicated subsequent MI. None of age, gender, location of the infarction, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, pulmonary congestion (Killip's class > or = 2), peak serum creatine kinase activity, serum total-cholesterol, HDL- and LDL-cholesterol levels, nor smoking habit on admission was a statistically significant predictor for the second MI. The result suggests that more intensive treatment is needed for patients with the 3 risk factors.     

Early hospital discharge after percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty

To determine the safety and efficacy of early hospital discharge after percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA), 100 patients were studied prospectively. A telemetry observation unit was established to monitor patients having uncomplicated procedures. A total of 170 lesions were dilated, with a procedural success rate of 96% and a clinical success rate of 91%. There were no deaths or patients who required emergency bypass surgery. Four patients developed abrupt vessel closure in the catheterization laboratory. No major complications developed in the telemetry observation unit or after discharge. Patients with high-risk lesion morphology, based on the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force guidelines, tended to have a lower success rate and more procedural complications. Coronary dissections were angiographically detected in 33 patients and stratified into 6 types. To reduce possible adverse sequelae, all patients with complex dissections were triaged in the catheterization laboratory to an in-patient monitored unit for additional management. Accordingly, 20 patients were admitted to an in-patient unit for extended observation. Excluding 4 patients with myocardial infarction, 75% (12 of 16) were discharged the next day. Initial experience with early discharge suggests that under proper conditions the procedure is safe and effective. Patients with complex coronary dissections who are at high risk for abrupt vessel closure can be promptly identified after dilatation and triaged to an appropriate monitoring area. Early discharge after PTCA offers more efficient use of hospital facilities and the opportunity to reduce hospital costs.     

Hypoalbuminemia 3 months after hospital discharge: significance for long-term survival

OBJECTIVES: To determine change in albumin from hospital discharge to 3-month follow-up and the prognostic significance of persistent hypoalbuminemia in older veteran patients. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study. SETTING: A geriatric rehabilitation unit of a university-affiliated Department of Veterans Affairs hospital. PARTICIPANTS: The study population consisted of 282 subjects (of 322 randomly selected discharges who were free of cancer and terminal conditions) that completed the 90-day postdischarge assessment; most were older (75.4+/-8.6), white (76%), and male (99%). MEASUREMENTS: Each subject completed a comprehensive discharge assessment, had a repeat albumin an average of 94 days later, and was then tracked for 5 years. The strongest predictors of survival were identified using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. RESULTS: Between hospital discharge and the 3-month reassessment, albumins improved by more than 2 g/L in 122 subjects (43%), stayed the same in 112 subjects (40%), and deteriorated by more than 2 g/L in the rest. During follow-up, 190 subjects (67%) died. Of the 38 nutritional, functional, demographic, and illness severity variables evaluated, the 3-month postdischarge albumin was the strongest predictor of long-term mortality. Those with albumins less than 35 g/L had a 2.6 times greater mortality than those with albumins of 40 g/L or greater (relative risk=2.6, 95% confidence interval=1.8-3.8). After controlling for 3-month albumin, hospital-discharge albumin was not significantly associated with long-term mortality. CONCLUSION: In older people, a low serum albumin 3 months after hospital discharge is associated with a poor long-term prognosis. It is not known whether this represents ongoing inflammation or inadequate nutrition.     

Risk factors for infection after liver transplantation

Infection is a common cause of morbidity and mortality after liver transplantation. Risk factors relate to transplantation factors, donor and recipient factors. Transplant factors include ischaemia-reperfusion damage, amount of intra-operative blood transfusion, level and type of immunosuppression, rejection, and complications, prolonged intensive care stay with dialysis or ventilation, type of biliary drainage, repeat operations, re-transplantation, antibiotics, antiviral regimen, and environment. Donor risk factors include infection, prolonged intensive care stay, quality of the donor liver (e.g. steatosis), and viral status. For the recipient the most important are MELD score >30, malnutrition, renal failure, acute liver failure, presence of infection or colonisation, and immune status for viruses like cytomegalovirus. In recent years it has become clear that genetic polymorphisms in innate immunity, especially the lectin pathway of complement activation and in Toll-like receptors importantly contribute to the infection risk after liver transplantation. Therefore, the risk for infections after liver transplantation is a multifactorial problem and all factors need attention to reduce this risk.     

Risk factors for bile leakage after hepatectomy

正In the current issue,Panaro et al~([1])presented a retrospective single-center study on 411 hepatectomies for benign and malignant liver tumors.After exclusion of hilar cholangiocarcinomas and hepatectomies with simultaneous biliary or pancreatic resection,risk factors for postoperative bile leakage were analyzed.Progress in