Postoperative outcomes in older surgical patients with preoperative cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Study objectiveTo determine the effect of cognitive impairment (CI) and dementia on adverse outcomes in older surgical patients.DesignA systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies and randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Various databases were searched from their inception dates to March 8, 2021.SettingPreoperative assessment.PatientsOlder patients (≥ 60 years) undergoing non-cardiac surgery.MeasurementsOutcomes included postoperative delirium, mortality, discharge to assisted care, 30-day readmissions, postoperative complications, and length of hospital stay. Effect sizes were calculated as Odds Ratio (OR) and Mean Difference (MD) based on random effect model analysis. The quality of included studies was assessed using the Cochrane Risk Bias Tool for RCTs and Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for observational cohort studies.ResultsFifty-three studies (196,491 patients) were included. Preoperative CI was associated with a significant risk of delirium in older patients after non-cardiac surgery (25.1% vs. 10.3%; OR: 3.84; 95%CI: 2.35, 6.26; I²: 76%; p < 0.00001). Cognitive impairment (26.2% vs. 13.2%; OR: 2.28; 95%CI: 1.39, 3.74; I²: 73%; p = 0.001) and dementia (41.6% vs. 25.5%; OR: 1.96; 95%CI: 1.34, 2.88; I²: 99%; p = 0.0006) significantly increased risk for 1-year mortality. In patients with CI, there was an increased risk of discharge to assisted care (44.7% vs. 38.3%; OR 1.74; 95%CI: 1.05, 2.89, p = 0.03), 30-day readmissions (14.3% vs. 10.8%; OR: 1.36; 95%CI: 1.00, 1.84, p = 0.05), and postoperative complications (40.7% vs. 18.8%; OR: 1.85; 95%CI: 1.37, 2.49; p < 0.0001).ConclusionsPreoperative CI in older surgical patients significantly increases risk of delirium, 1-year mortality, discharge to assisted care, 30-day readmission, and postoperative complications. Dementia increases the risk of 1-year mortality. Cognitive screening in the preoperative assessment for older surgical patients may be helpful for risk stratification so that appropriate management can be implemented to mitigate adverse postoperative outcomes.     

Type A Aortic Dissection Repair in Patients With Prior Cardiac Surgery

BackgroundEmergency surgery for acute type A aortic dissection in patients with previous cardiac surgery is controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the association between previous cardiac surgery and outcomes after surgery for acute type A aortic dissection, to appreciate whether emergency surgery can be offered with acceptable risks.MethodsAll patients operated on for acute type A aortic dissection between 2005 and 2014 from the Nordic Consortium for Acute Type A Aortic Dissection database were eligible. Patients with previous cardiac surgery were compared with patients without previous cardiac surgery. Univariable and multivariable statistical analyses were performed to identify predictors of 30-day mortality and early major adverse events (a secondary composite endpoint comprising 30-day mortality, perioperative stroke, postoperative cardiac arrest, or de novo dialysis).ResultsIn all, 1159 patients were included, 40 (3.5%) with previous cardiac surgery. Patients with previous cardiac surgery had higher 30-day mortality (30% vs 17.8%, P = .049), worse medium-term survival (51.7% vs 71.2% at 5 years, log rank P = .020), and higher unadjusted prevalence of major adverse events (52.5% vs 35.7%, P = .030). In multivariable analysis, previous cardiac surgery was not associated with 30-day mortality (odds ratio 0.78; 95% CI, 0.30-2.07; P = .624) or major adverse events (odds ratio 1.07; 95% CI, 0.45-2.55, P = .879).ConclusionsMajor adverse events after surgery for acute type A aortic dissection were more frequent in patients with previous cardiac surgery. Previous cardiac surgery itself was not an independent predictor for adverse events, although the small sample size precludes definite conclusions. Previous cardiac surgery should not deter from emergency surgery.     

Predictors of survival in octogenarians after mitral valve surgery for degenerative disease: The Mitral Surgery in Octogenarians study

Objectives

An increasing number of octogenarians are referred to undergo mitral valve surgery for degenerative disease, and percutaneous approaches are being increasingly used in this subgroup of patients. We sought to determine the survival and its predictors after Mitral Valve Surgery in Octogenarians (MiSO) in a multicenter UK study of high-volume specialized centers.

Preoperative predictors of recurrent atrial fibrillation late after successful mitral valve reconstruction

Objective: Late outcome after mitral valve repair was examined to define preoperative predictors of recurrent atrial fibrillation late after successful mitral valve reconstruction. Methods: One hundred and eighty-nine patients, 112 with preoperative sinus rhythm and 72 with preoperative chronic or intermittent atrial fibrillation, were followed for 12.2±10 years after valve repair. Clinic, hemodynamic end echocardiographic data were entered into Cox-regression and Kaplan–Meyer analysis to assess predictors for recurrent atrial fibrillation late after successful mitral valve repair. Results: Univariate and multivariate predictors for recurrent atrial fibrillation late after successful mitral valve reconstruction were preoperative atrial fibrillation (P=0.0001), preoperative antiarrhythmic drug treatment (P=0.005), heart rate (P=0.01), left ventricular ejection fraction (P=0.01) and increased left ventricular posterior wall thickness (P=0.05). Patients>57.5 years with a mean pulmonary artery pressure ≥23mm Hg and a history of preoperative antiarrhythmic drug treatment had an odds ratio of 53.33 (95% confidence limits 6.12–464.54) for atrial fibrillation late after successful mitral valve repair. Conclusion: Older patients with a history of atrial fibrillation, antiarrhythmic treatment or an elevated pulmonary artery pressure may present atrial fibrillation late after successful mitral valve repair. They could be considered for combined mitral valve reconstruction and surgery for atrial fibrillation even though sinus rhythm is present preoperatively.     

A National Cancer Database analysis of the predictors of unplanned 30-day readmission after proctectomy for rectal adenocarcinoma: The CCF RETURN-30 Score

BackgroundUnplanned 30-day readmission is common after major surgery, including rectal cancer surgery. The present study aimed to assess the rate and predictors of unplanned 30-day readmission after proctectomy for rectal cancer.MethodsThis was a retrospective case-control study using data from the National Cancer Database. Patients with non-metastatic rectal cancer who underwent proctectomy were included, and patients who required readmission within 30 days after discharge were compared to patients who were not readmitted in regard to patient and treatment baseline factors to determine the predictors of 30-day readmission after proctectomy. The main outcome measures were the rate and predictors of 30-day unplanned readmission and the impact of readmission on short-term mortality and overall survival.ResultsA total of 55,181 patients (60.9% men) with a mean age of 61.2 years were included. The 30-day readmission rate was 7.07% (95% confidence interval: 6.9–7.3). A Charlson score of 0 (odds ratio: 0.75, P < .001), Medicare insurance (odds ratio: 0.836, P = .04), and private insurance (odds ratio: 0.73, P = .0003) were predictive of a lower likelihood of 30-day readmission, whereas urban living area (odds ratio: 1.18, P = .01), rural living area (odds ratio: 1.65%, P = .0004), neoadjuvant radiation therapy (odds ratio: 1.37, P = .001), pull-through coloanal anastomosis (odds ratio: 1.37, P = .0005), conversion to open surgery (odds ratio: 1.25, P = .001), and hospital stay ≥6 days (odds ratio: 1.02, P < .001) were predictive of a higher likelihood of 30-day readmission. Readmitted patients had a higher rate of 90-day mortality (3.1% vs 2.1%, P < .001) and a lower 5-year overall survival (67.0% vs 72.7%, P < .001) than non-readmitted patients. Using the weighted ORs of the significant predictors of 30-day readmission, a risk score, the Cleveland Clinic Florida REadmission afTer sUrgery for Rectal caNcer in 30 days (RETURN-30) score, was developed.ConclusionComorbidities, residence in urban or rural areas, neoadjuvant radiation therapy, pull-through coloanal anastomosis, conversion to open surgery, and extended hospital stay were predictive of a higher risk of 30-day readmission. Patients who were readmitted had a higher rate of 90-day mortality and a lower 5-year overall survival.     

Evaluation of continuous veno-venous hemofiltration for the treatment of cardiogenic shock in conjunction with acute renal failure after cardiac surgery

Background: Cardiogenic dysfunction with acute renal failure (ARF) and diuretic drug resistance increases mortality after cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) in adults. Until few years ago, intermittent renal replacement therapy (IRRT) was the only therapeutical strategy proposed to such patients. Few data are available in the literature regarding the use of continuous veno-venous haemofiltration (CVVH) in this clinical context. The aim of our observational study was to evaluate the impact of CVVH strategy on ARF in conjunction with cardiogenic shock after cardiac surgery and on its well-known associated poor outcome. Methods: During the period 2005–2006, we prospectively collected data from our database as we controlled the renal replacement therapy using CVVH (n = 73). We also retrospectively collected data from our computerised database on patients who were treated with IRRT (n = 68, period 2002–2003). Among CVVH-treated patients, a multivariate analysis of the data aimed to identify risk factors associated with 30-day mortality. Results: In patients who presented with ARF in conjunction with cardiogenic shock after cardiac surgery, 30-day mortality rate was 59% for the IRRT group and 42% for the CVVH group. Within the CVVH group, the logistic regression and multivariate analyses reported that some variables were associated with higher mortality risk: a score F concerning the urinary output criteria of the RIFLE (risk, injury, failure, loss, end-stage kidney disease) classification (for scores R or I: odds ratio (OR): 0.01, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.02–0.59; p = 0.01), plasma bilirubin (OR: 1.44, 95% CI: 1.12–1.84; p = 0.04), total CVVH duration <50 h over 72 h (>50 h; OR: 0.009, 95% CI: 0.04–0.93; p = 0.01), the need of catecholamine support (OR: 12.88, 95% CI: 1.95–84.96; p = 0.01), tachycardia in the intensive care unit (ICU; OR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.02–2.65; p = 0.04), surgery duration (<300 min; OR: 0.11, 95% CI: 0.02–0.71; p = 0.02) and combined cardiac surgery (OR: 7.00, 95% CI: 1.29–37.88; p = 0.02). Conclusion: In patients with ARF in conjunction with cardiogenic shock after cardiac surgery, renal replacement therapeutic strategy based on long-lasting CVVH could improve patients’ outcome. The identification of risk factors associated with a poor outcome would help to better manage such patients in the ICU. Low total duration of CVVH within the first 72 h was one criteria related to poor outcome. This suggests that CVVH must be initiated as soon as possible when ARF with diuretic resistance occurs in patients after cardiac surgery and continued as long as possible for the first 3 days.     

Association between use of enhanced recovery after surgery protocols and postoperative complications in colorectal surgery in Europe: The EuroPOWER international observational study

Study objectiveAssess the relationship between the Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS®) pathway and routine care and 30-day postoperative outcomes.DesignProspective cohort study.SettingEuropean centers (185 hospitals) across 21 countries.PatientsA total of 2841 adult patients undergoing elective colorectal surgery. Each hospital had a 1-month recruitment period between October 2019 and September 2020.InterventionsRoutine perioperative care.MeasurementsTwenty-four components of the ERAS pathway were assessed in all patients regardless of whether they were treated in a formal ERAS pathway. A multivariable and multilevel logistic regression model was used to adjust for baseline risk factors, ERAS elements and country-based differences.ResultsA total of 1835 patients (65%) received perioperative care at a self-declared ERAS center, 474 (16.7%) developed moderate-to-severe postoperative complications, and 63 patients died (2.2%). There was no difference in the primary outcome between patients who were or were not treated in self-declared ERAS centers (17.1% vs. 16%; OR 1.00; 95%CI, 0.79–1.27; P = 0.986). Hospital stay was shorter among patients treated in self-declared ERAS centers (6 [5–9] vs. 8 [6–10] days; OR 0.82; 95%CI, 0.78–0.87; P < 0.001). Median adherence to 24 ERAS elements was 57% [48%–65%]. Adherence to ERAS-pathway quartiles (≥65% vs. <48%) suggested that patients with the highest adherence rates experienced a lower risk of moderate-to-severe complications (15.9% vs. 17.8%; OR 0.71; 95%CI, 0.53–0.96; P = 0.027), lower risk of death (0.3% vs. 2.9%; OR 0.10; 95%CI, 0.02–0.42; P = 0.002) and shorter hospital stay (6 [4–8] vs. 7 [5–10] days; OR 0.74; 95%CI, 0.69–0.79; P < 0.001).ConclusionsTreatment in a self-declared ERAS center does not improve outcome after colorectal surgery. Increased adherence to the ERAS pathway is associated with a significant reduction in overall postoperative complications, lower risk of moderate-to-severe complications, shorter length of hospital stay and lower 30-day mortality.     

Spinal or general anaesthesia for surgical repair of hip fracture and subsequent risk of mortality and morbidity: a database analysis using propensity score-matching

Around 76,000 people fracture their hip annually in the UK at a considerable personal, social and financial cost. Despite longstanding debate, the optimal mode of anaesthesia (general or spinal) remains unclear. Our aim was to assess whether there is a significant difference in mortality and morbidity between patients undergoing spinal anaesthesia compared with general anaesthesia during hip fracture surgery. A secondary analysis examined whether a difference exists in mortality for patients with pre-existing cardiovascular disease or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. This was a clinical database analysis of patients treated for hip fracture in Nottingham, UK between 2004 and 2015. Propensity score-matching was used to generate matched pairs of patients, one of whom underwent each mode of anaesthesia. Data were analysed using conditional logistic regression, with 7164 patients successfully matched. There was no difference in 30- or 90-day mortality in patients who had spinal rather than general anaesthesia (OR [95%CI] 0.97 [0.8–1.15]; p = 0.764 and 0.93 [0.82–1.05]; p = 0.247 respectively). Patients who had a spinal anaesthetic had a lower-risk of blood transfusion (OR [95%CI] 0.84 [0.75–0.94]; p = 0.003) and urinary tract infection (OR [95%CI] 0.72 [0.61–0.84]; p < 0.001), but were more likely to develop a chest infection (OR [95%CI] 1.23 [1.07–1.42]; p = 0.004), deep vein thrombosis (OR [95%CI] 2.18 [1.07–4.45]; p = 0.032) or pulmonary embolism (OR [95%CI] 2.23 [1.16–4.29]; p = 0.016). The mode of anaesthesia for hip fracture surgery resulted in no significant difference in mortality, but there was a significant difference in several measures of postoperative morbidity.     

Tricuspid valve surgery: a thirty-year assessment of early and late outcome

Objective: Tricuspid valve (TV) surgery is usually performed as a concomitant reconstruction procedure in addition to the correction of other cardiac pathologies. Isolated tricuspid procedures are exceptionally rare. Prosthetic valve replacement is also seldom required. Generally, these patients face a high risk of operative mortality and long-term outcome is poor. In this study we reviewed our experience with TV surgery focusing on risk factors for operative mortality, long-term outcome and incidence of valve related complications Methods: Retrospective analysis of 416 consecutive patients >18 years with acquired TV disease operated on between 1974 and 2003. The follow-up is 97% complete (mean 5.9 ± 6.3 years). Three hundred and sixty-six patients (88%) underwent TV surgery with concomitant mitral (n = 340) or aortic (n = 100) valve surgery. The tricuspid valve was repaired in 310 patients (74.5%) and replaced in 106 (25.5%). A biological prosthesis was used in 68 patients (64%). Mean age at repair and replacement was 61 ± 12.5 and 50 ± 11.3 years, respectively (p < 0.001). Results: Overall 30-day mortality was 18.8% (78/416) and decreased from 33.3% (1974–1979) to 11.1% (2000–2003) (p ≤ 0.0001). Thirty-day mortality after TV repair and replacement was 13.9% (43/310) and 33% (35/106), respectively (p ≤ 0.001). Cox regression analysis revealed TV replacement as an independent predictor of 30-day mortality. Ten-year actuarial survival after TV repair and replacement was 47 ± 3.5% and 37 ± 4.8%, respectively (p = 0.002). Forty-five patients (10.8%) required a TV re-operation after 7.7 ± 5.1 years. Freedom from TV re-operation 10 years after TV repair and replacement was 83 ± 3.6% and 79 ± 6.1%, respectively (p = 0.092). Conclusions: Patients who require tricuspid valve surgery constitute a high-risk group. Tricuspid valve repair is associated with better perioperative and long-term outcome than valve replacement. However, patients undergoing replacement showed a significant higher incidence of risk factors for operative mortality. The incidence of re-operation is low with no significant difference when the tricuspid valve has been repaired or replaced. When valve replacement is necessary we recommend the use of a biological prosthesis considering the poor long-term survival.     

心脏瓣膜手术在院死亡风险预测模型及评分标准的建立

目的为提高心脏瓣膜手术围术期的安全性,建立我国心脏瓣膜手术在院死亡的风险预测模型及评分标准。方法纳入1998年1月1日至2008年12月31日于长海医院接受主动脉瓣置换术、二尖瓣置换术、二尖瓣成形术和二尖瓣＋主动脉瓣联合手术患者共4 032例的临床资料,其中男1876例（46.53%）,女2156例（53.47%）;年龄45.90±13.60岁。根据左侧房室瓣的手术部位,将患者分为二尖瓣手术组（n=1910）、主动脉瓣手术组（n=724）和二尖瓣＋主动脉瓣联合手术组（n=1398）3组;并将纳入患者的60%作为建模亚库（n=2418）,40%作为验证亚库（n=1 614）。采用单因素分析和多因素logistic回归分析建立模型,通过Hosmer-Lemeshow（H-L）卡方检验及受试者工作特征（receiver operating characteristic,ROC）曲线下面积评价模型预测校准度和鉴别效度,据模型中各危险因素的权重系数及其变量类型构建风险预测的评分标准。结果总在院病死率为4.74%（191/4032）。多因素logistic回归分析发现,三尖瓣关闭不全[OR=1.33,95%CI（1.071,1.648）]、主动脉瓣狭窄[OR=1.34,95%CI（1.082,1.659）]、慢性肺部疾病[OR=2.11,95%CI（1.292,3.455）]、左心室射血分数[OR=1.55,95%CI（1.081,2.234）]、术前危重状态[OR=2.69,95%CI（1.499,4.821）]、心功能分级（NYHA）[OR=2.75,95%CI（1.343,5.641）]、同期冠状动脉旁路移植术（CABG）[OR=3.02,95%CI（1.405,6.483）]以及术前最后一次血清肌酐水平[OR=4.16,95%CI（1.979,8.766）]为心瓣膜手术在院死亡的独立危险因子。各组预测校准度较好,H-L卡方检验P均〉0.05（建模亚库组：χ^2=1.615,P=0.830;验证亚库组：χ^2=2.218,P=0.200;二尖瓣手术组：χ^2=5.175,P=0.470;主动脉瓣手术组：χ^2=12.708,P=0.090;二尖瓣＋主动脉瓣手术组：χ^2=3.875,P=0.380）,而ROC曲线下面积均〉0.70[建模亚库组：0.757,95%CI（0.712,0.802）;验证亚库组：0.754,95% CI（0.701,0.806）;二尖瓣手术组：0.760,95%CI（0.706,0.813）;主动脉瓣手术组：0.803,95%CI（0.738,0.868）;二尖瓣＋主动脉瓣联合手术组：0.727,95%CI（0.668,0.785）]。成功建立风险预测的评分标准为：三尖瓣关闭不全（轻度1分、中度2分、重度3分）,主动脉瓣狭窄（轻度1分、中度2分、重度3分）,慢性肺部疾病3分,左心室射血分数（40%-50%2分3、0%-40%4分、〈30%6分）,术前危重状态3分,NYHA分级Ⅲ-Ⅳ级4分,同期CABG 4分以及术前最后一次血清肌酐水平〉110μmol/L5分。结论三尖瓣关闭不全等8个因素为影响我国心瓣膜手术在院死亡的独立危险因子,该模型具有良好的预测校准度和鉴别效度,通过该模型建立的评分标准对我国心瓣膜手术在院死亡的发生具有较好的预测性。     

Predictors of stroke in patients undergoing cardiac surgery

Objective

To determine the risk factors related to the development of stroke in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

Methods

A historical cohort study. We included 4626 patients aged > 18 years who underwent coronary artery bypass surgery, heart valve replacement surgery alone or heart valve surgery combined with coronary artery bypass grafting between January 1996 and December 2011. The relationship between risk predictors and stroke was assessed by logistic regression model with a significance level of 0.05.

Results

The incidence of stroke was 3% in the overall sample. After logistic regression, the following risk predictors for stroke were found: age 50-65 years (OR=2.11 - 95% CI 1.05-4.23 - P=0.036) and age >66 years (OR=3.22 - 95% CI 1.6-6.47 - P=0.001), urgent and emergency surgery (OR=2.03 - 95% CI 1.20-3.45 - P=0.008), aortic valve disease (OR=2.32 - 95% CI 1.18-4.56 - P=0.014), history of atrial fibrillation (OR=1.88 - 95% CI 1.05-3.34 - P=0.032), peripheral artery disease (OR=1.81 - 95% CI 1.13-2.92 - P=0.014), history of cerebrovascular disease (OR=3.42 - 95% CI 2.19-5.35 - P<0.001) and cardiopulmonary bypass time > 110 minutes (OR=1.71 - 95% CI 1.16-2.53 - P=0.007). Mortality was 31.9% in the stroke group and 8.5% in the control group (OR=5.06 - 95% CI 3.5-7.33 - P<0.001).

Conclusion

The study identified the following risk predictors for stroke after cardiac surgery: age, urgent and emergency surgery, aortic valve disease, history of atrial fibrillation, peripheral artery disease, history of cerebrovascular disease and cardiopulmonary bypass time > 110 minutes.     

Clinical outcomes of venoarterial extracorporeal life support in 462 patients: Single-center experience

This study aims to investigate the outcomes of venoarterial extracorporeal life support (VA-ECLS) in a large single-center patient cohort regarding survival and adverse events. Between June 2009 and March 2019, 462 consecutive patients received VA-ECLS. The mean age was 66.2 ± 11.9 years. Two patient groups were identified: Group 1—patients with ECLS due to postcardiotomy shock (PCS) after cardiac surgery (PCS, n = 357); Group 2—patients with ECLS due to cardiogenic shock (CS) without previous surgery (nonPCS, n = 105). The primary end point was overall in-hospital survival, while secondary end points were adverse events during the study period. Overall, the in-hospital survival rate was 26%. There was no statistically significant difference between the groups: 26.3% for PCS and 24.8% for nonPCS, respectively (P > .05). Weaning from VA-ECLS was possible in 44.3% for PCS and in 29.5% for nonPCS (P = .004). The strong predictors of overall mortality were postoperative hepatic dysfunction (OR = 14.362, 95%CI = 1.948-105.858), cardiopulmonary resuscitation > 30 minutes (OR = 6.301, 95%CI = 1.488-26.673), bleeding with a need for revision (OR = 2.123, 95%CI = 1.343-3.355), and previous sternotomy (OR = 2.077, 95%CI = 1.021-4.223). Despite its low survival rates, VA-ECLS therapy is the last resort and the only lifesaving option for patients in refractory CS. In contrast, there is still a lack of evidence for VA-ECLS in PCS patients. Future studies are warranted to evaluate the outcomes of VA-ECLS therapy after cardiac surgery.     

SAPS 3 at dialysis commencement is predictive of hospital mortality in patients supported by extracorporeal membrane oxygenation and acute dialysis

Objective: This study examined the association between hospital mortality and five illness–severity scoring systems evaluated at different time points in the intensive care unit (ICU) as well as clinical variables as predictors in critically ill patients supported by extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) and acute dialysis. Methods: This multicenter prospective observational study included 104 patients who received ECMO support and acute dialysis from January 2002 to December 2006. Patients’ demographic, clinical and laboratory variables were analyzed as predictors of survival. The SAPS 2, APACHE II, SOFA, MODS, and SAPS 3 scores upon ICU admission and at acute dialysis commencement were evaluated to predict the patient's hospital mortality. Results: Hospital mortality for the study group was 76% (79/104). Among the five scoring systems, only SAPS 3 score showed a significant difference between survivors and non-survivors either upon ICU admission (p = 0.038) or at dialysis commencement (p = 0.001). SAPS 3 score at dialysis commencement showed the best discrimination ability by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (SOFA, 0.55; SAPS 2, 0.56; MODS, 0.58; APACHE II, 0.59; and SAPS 3, 0.73). Multiple logistic regression analysis indicated that SAPS 3 score at dialysis commencement (OR: 1.070, 95% CI: 1.016–1.216) and IABP usage before ECMO (OR: 4.181, 95% CI: 1.448–12.075) were two independent risk factors for hospital mortality. Conclusions: Among five common ICU scoring systems evaluated at different time points, SAPS 3 at dialysis commencement is the best risk adjustment systems to predict hospital mortality in critically ill patients supported by ECMO and acute dialysis. Furthermore, the SAPS 3 score at dialysis commencement and IABP usage before ECMO are two major independent predictors for hospital mortality in patients supported by ECMO and acute dialysis.     

Incidence,characteristics and risk factors for perioperative cardiac arrest and 30-day-mortality in preterm infants requiring non-cardiac surgery

Study objectiveTo determine 30-day-mortality, incidence and characteristics of perioperative cardiac arrest as well as the respective independent risk factors in preterm infants undergoing non-cardiac surgery.DesignRetrospective observational Follow-up-study.SettingBielefeld University Hospital, a German tertiary care hospital.PatientsPopulation of 229 preterm infants (age < 37th gestational week at the time of surgery) who underwent non-cardiac surgery between 01/2008–12/2018.MeasurementsPrimary endpoint was overall 30-day-mortality. Secondary endpoints were the incidence of perioperative cardiac arrest and identification of independent risk factors. We performed univariate and multivariate analyses and calculated odds ratios (OR) for risk factors associated with these endpoints.Main results30-day-mortality was 10.9% and perioperative mortality 0.9%. Univariate risk factors for 30-day-mortality were perioperative cardiac arrest (OR,12.5;95%CI,3.1 to 50.3), comorbidities of lungs (OR,3.7;95%CI,1.2 to 11.3) and gastrointestinal tract (OR,3.5;95%CI,1.3 to 9.6); sepsis (OR,3.6;95%CI,1.4 to 9.5); surgery between 22:01–7:00 (OR,7.3;95%CI,2.4 to 21.7); emergency (OR,4.5;95%CI,1.6 to 12.4); pre-existing catecholamine therapy (OR,5.0;95%CI,2.1 to 11.9). Multivariate logistic regression indicated that perioperative cardiac arrest (OR,13.9;95%CI,2.7 to 71.3), low body weight (weight < 1000 g: OR,26.0;95%CI,3.2 to 212; 1000-1499 g: OR,10.3; 95%CI,1.1 to 94.9 compared to weight > 2000 g), and time of surgery (OR,5.9;95%CI,1.6 to 21.3) for 22:01–7:00 compared to 7:01–15:00) were the major independent risk factors of mortality. Incidence of perioperative cardiac arrests was 3.9% (9 of 229;95%CI,1.8 to 7.3). Univariate risk factors were congenital anomalies of the airways (OR,4.7;95%CI,1.2 to 20.3), lungs (OR,4.7;95%CI,1.2 to 20.3) and heart (OR,8.0;95%CI,2 to 32.2), pre-existing catecholamine therapy (OR,59.5;95%CI,3.4 to 1039), specifically, continuous infusions of epinephrine (OR,432;95%CI,43.2 to 4318).Conclusions30-day-mortality and the incidence of perioperative cardiac arrest of preterms undergoing non-cardiac surgery were higher than previously reported. The identified independent risk factors may improve interdisciplinary perioperative risk assessment, optimal preoperative stabilization and scheduling of optimal surgical timing.     

The Vascular Quality Initiative 30-day stroke/death risk score calculator after transfemoral carotid artery stenting

ObjectiveCarotid artery stenting (CAS) was introduced as an alternative carotid revascularization procedure in patients deemed to be at high risk for carotid endarterectomy. Although techniques and selection criteria for patients have dramatically improved, CAS continues to have higher risk of stroke and death in comparison to carotid endarterectomy. Several risk factors are known to be associated with worse outcomes. Whereas knowledge of these independent factors is helpful, clinical decision-making is further refined when these are considered in aggregate. This study aimed to develop a score to predict the risk of stroke/death after transfemoral CAS (TFCAS).MethodsWe analyzed the Vascular Quality Initiative CAS data set from 2010 to 2018. Lesions due to trauma, dissection, or transcarotid artery stenting and cases performed without an embolic protection device were excluded. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression methods with bootstrapping (1000 repetitions) were used to identify predictors associated with 30-day stroke/death. Stepwise backward selection for variables was used to achieve model parsimony. A risk score was made by converting regression coefficients for each predictor to integers from which probability was calculated. Scores were grouped into simplified categories.ResultsWe identified 10,753 patients undergoing TFCAS during the study period with a combined 30-day stroke/death rate of 4.1%. On multivariable adjustment, independent predictors of 30-day stroke/death included age (odds ratio [OR], 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.06; P < .001), nonwhite race (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.16-1.74; P = .001), diabetes (OR,1.34; 95% CI, 1.08-1.67; P = .01), coronary artery disease (OR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.13-1.73; P = .001), congestive heart failure (OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.07-1.85; P = .02), symptomatic status (OR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.64-2.72; P < .001), and contralateral occlusion (OR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.22-2.19; P = .001). On the other hand, preoperative use of statins (OR, 0.074; 95% CI, 0.59-0.93; P = .02) and dual antiplatelet therapy (P2Y₁₂ inhibitors and aspirin; OR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.32-0.66; P < .001) were associated with a significant reduction in stroke/death after TFCAS. The model had a C statistic of 69.0%. The coefficients of these predictors were used to develop a risk score calculator that estimates the probability of 30-day stroke/death after TFCAS.ConclusionsIn an analysis of 10,753 patients undergoing TFCAS between 2010 and 2018, significant predictors of perioperative stroke or death included old age, nonwhite race, symptomatic status, diabetes, coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, and contralateral occlusion in addition to perioperative dual antiplatelet therapy and statin use. These variables were used to develop a risk score calculator that estimates the probability of 30-day stroke/death after TFCAS. External validation of this tool in different populations of patients and data sets is warranted to evaluate its predictive performance.     

Clinical efficacy of direct or indirect left ventricular unloading during venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for primary cardiogenic shock

ObjectiveLeft ventricular (LV) distention is a feared complication in patients receiving venoarterial (VA) extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). LV unloading can be achieved indirectly with intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) or directly with an Impella device (Abiomed, Danvers, Mass). We sought to assess the clinical and hemodynamic effects of IABP and Impella devices on patients supported with VA ECMO.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective review of VA ECMO patients at our institution from January 2015 to June 2020. Patients were categorized as either ECMO alone or ECMO with LV unloading. LV unloading was characterized as either ECMO with IABP or ECMO with Impella. We recorded baseline characteristics, survival, complications, and hemodynamic changes associated with device initiation.ResultsDuring the study, 143 patients received ECMO alone whereas 140 received ECMO with LV unloading (68 ECMO with IABP, 72 ECMO with Impella). ECMO with Impella patients had a higher incidence of bleeding events compared with ECMO alone or ECMO with IABP (52.8% vs 37.1% vs 17.7%; P < .0001). Compared with ECMO alone, ECMO with IABP patients had better survival at 180 days (log rank P = .005) whereas survival in ECMO with Impella patients was not different (log rank P = .66). In a multivariable Cox hazard analysis, age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.03; P = .015), male sex (HR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.38-0.80; P = .002), baseline lactate (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.11; P = .004), baseline creatinine (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.00-1.11; P = .032), need for extracorporeal membrane oxygenation-cardiopulmonary resuscitation (HR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.40-3.39; P = .001), and presence of pre-ECMO IABP (HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.25-0.83; P = .010) were associated with reduced mortality. There was no significant difference in hemodynamic changes in the ECMO with IABP versus ECMO with Impella cohorts.ConclusionsConcomitant support with IABP might help reduce morbidity and improve 180-day survival in patients receiving VA ECMO for cardiogenic shock.     

Transcatheter arterial embolization for cancer-related non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding: A multicenter retrospective study of 107 patients

PurposeThe purpose of this study was to retrospectively evaluate the outcome of transcatheter arterial embolization (TAE) in the treatment of cancer-related non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB).Materials and methodsOne-hundred and seven patients who underwent TAE for the treatment of cancer-related non-variceal UGIB at five institutions between June 2016 and May 2019 were retrospectively included. There were 78 men and 29 women, with a mean age of 60.6 ± 13.2 (SD) (age range: 31–87 years). Clinical success was defined as no rebleeding within 30 days after TAE. Rebleeding was defined as non-variceal UGIB resulting in a decrease in hemoglobin > 2 g/dL within 24 h. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate actuarial probabilities of rebleeding and survival within 30 days after TAE. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to identify variables associated with clinical success and 30-day mortality.ResultsTechnical success was achieved in 106 out of 107 patients (99.1%). Positive angiographic findings (contrast extravasation and pseudoaneurysm) were observed in 30/107 patients (28.0%). Empiric embolization was performed in 77/107 patients (72.0%). Clinical success was achieved in 60/107 patients (56.1%). The 3-day, 7-day, and 30-day actuarial probabilities of rebleeding were 21.5%, 31.0%, and 44.6%, respectively. No variables were identified as predictors of clinical success. Nineteen patients (19/107; 17.8%) died within 30 days after TAE; of them, 14 (14/107; 13.1%) died due to bleeding-related causes. The 3-day, 7-day, and 30-day actuarial probabilities of survival were 91.6%, 88.8%, and 77.4%, respectively. A baseline hemoglobin level of ≤ 60 g/L (Odds ratio [OR]: 3.376; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.223–9.318; P = 0.019) and clinical failure (OR: 6.149; 95% CI: 2.113–17.893; P = 0.001) were identified as predictors of 30-day mortality. Major complications (gastrointestinal perforation) occurred in one patient (1/107; 0.9%). Minor complications (abdominal pain, fever, and vomiting) occurred in 19 patients (19/107; 17.8%).ConclusionTAE is a safe treatment option for patients with cancer-related non-variceal UGIB, and seems to be effective in more than half of these patients.     

Is preoperative balloon aortic valvuloplasty of interest for severe aortic stenosis in hip fracture surgery?

PurposeIn elderly patients, the discovery and management of a severe aortic stenosis (AS) prior to emergency non-cardiac surgery is a frequent and controversial issue. The objective of this study was to evaluate preoperative balloon aortic valvuloplasty (BAV) for severe AS in hip fracture surgery.MethodsWe conducted an observational, monocentric, retrospective study from 2011 to 2018. Survival (30-day, 90-day and 180-day mortality) and the occurrence of perioperative complications were analyzed and compared between control (i.e. no BAV prior to surgery) and preoperative BAV groups in patients with hip fracture surgery and a formal transthoracic echocardiographic diagnosis of severe AS (aortic valve area < 1 cm²). Patients' allocation to the intervention and control groups was after a discussion between cardiologist, anesthesiologist and the surgeon.ResultsAmong the 8506 patients who underwent hip fracture surgery, 29 patients in the control group and 30 patients in the BAV group were finally included. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated a significant decrease in mortality in the BAV group (p=0.014) despite an increase in median time to operation of about 48 hours (p<0.0001). Multivariate analysis (stepwise logistic regression) showed that postoperative delirium (OR [95%CI]: 17.5 [1.8-168]; p=0.013) and postoperative acute congestive heart failure (OR [95%CI]: 59.4 [5.0-711.1]; p=0.0013) were predictive factors of 30-day mortality with an area under ROC curve of 0.90 (95%CI: 0.80-0.97; p<0.0001).Conclusionspreoperative BAV for severe AS could reduce the mortality of hip fracture patients despite an increase in time to operation. This improved survival could be linked to the decrease in cardiologic and neurologic adverse events. A larger prospective randomized study is necessary before generalizing our results.     

Predictors of Venous Thromboembolism after Colorectal Surgery in a Single Unit

Background: Patients undergoing colorectal surgery are at risk of developing venous thromboembolism (VTE), including deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE). Knowing predictors of VTE could help preventing this life-threatening complication.

Methods: We collected data of patients undergoing colorectal surgery at our Unit between 2009 and 2014. Baseline characteristics, type of surgery, and postoperative complications were gathered. A univariate regression analysis was performed with symptomatic VTE as outcome. Pre-, intra-and postoperative clinical factors were separately tested. All variables significantly associated with VTE occurring within three months from the discharge were entered in the final multivariate regression model.

Results: A total of 476 patients were included. Symptomatic VTE occurred in 13 patients (2.7%). Six (46.1%) occurred after hospital discharge. Preoperative variables associated with VTE were: advanced age at surgery (OR 2.3, 95%CI 1.8–5.6), smoking (OR 1.7, 95%CI 1.2–2.5), inflammatory bowel diseases (OR 2.1, 95%CI 1.5–4.3), advanced pelvic malignancies (OR 2.4, 95%CI 2.0-4.2), and obesity (OR 1.5, 95%CI 1.1-2.1). Prolonged pelvic manipulation (OR 1.8, 95%CI 1.1-4.3) and steep Trendelenburg position (OR 2.4, 95%CI 1.9-5.0) were intraoperative predictors of VTE, while stockings significantly reduced the risk (OR 0.8, 95%CI 0.4-0.9). Late mobilization (OR 2.5, 95%CI 2.0-4.6) and septic complications (OR 1.4, 95%CI 1.2-3.7) were postoperative predictors of VTE, whereas anticoagulants administered for at least 3 weeks after discharge were associated with lower VTE risk (OR 0.5, 95%CI 0.2-0.8).

Conclusions: We observed several modifiable predictors of VTE. Patients with > 2 risk factors undergoing colorectal surgery could benefit from a more intensive VTE preventive pathway.     

Systematic review and meta-analysis of sex differences in outcomes after endovascular aneurysm repair for infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm

ObjectiveWomen face distinctive challenges when they receive endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) treatment, and according to the previous studies, sex differences in outcomes after EVAR for infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) remains controversial. This study aimed to compare the short-term and long-term outcomes between women and men after EVAR for infrarenal AAA.MethodsWe conducted a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis of all available studies reporting sex differences after EVAR for infrarenal AAA, which were retrieved from the MEDICINE, Embase, and Cochrane Database. The pooled results were presented as odds ratios (ORs) for dichotomous data and hazard ratios for time-to-event data using a random effect model.ResultsThirty-six cohorts were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled results showed that women were associated with a significantly increased risk of 30-day mortality (crude OR, 1.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.50-1.87; P < .001; adjusted OR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.32-2.26; P < .001), in-hospital mortality (OR, 1.90; 95% CI, 1.43-2.53; P < .001), limb ischemia (OR, 2.44; 95% CI, 1.73-2.43; P < .001), renal complications (OR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.12-2.67; P = .028), cardiac complications (OR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.01-2.80; P = .046), and long-term all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.09-1.38; P = .001) compared with men; however, no significant sex difference was observed for visceral/mesenteric ischemia (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 0.91-2.88; P = .098), 30-day reinterventions (OR, 1.37; 95% CI, 0.95-1.98; P = .095), late endoleaks (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.88-1.56; P = .264), and late reinterventions (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.78-1.41; P = .741). In the intact AAA subgroup, women had a significantly increased risk of visceral/mesenteric ischemia (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.01-3.39; P = .046) and an equivalent risk of cardiac complications (OR, 1.64; 95% CI, 0.85-3.17; P = .138) compared with men.ConclusionsCompared with male sex, female sex is associated with an increased risk of 30-day mortality, in-hospital mortality, limb ischemia, renal complications, cardiac complications, and long-term all-cause mortality after EVAR for infrarenal AAA. Women should be enrolled in a strict and regular long-term surveillance after EVAR.