Cardiovascular risk prediction by N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide and high sensitivity C-reactive protein is affected by age and sex

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that the urine albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR), high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) and N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP) predict cardiovascular events in a general population aged 41, 51, 61 or 71 years. This study investigated the impact of age and sex on their prognostic performance in a subgroup of 1994 apparently healthy individuals without diabetes, previous stroke or myocardial infarction, who did not receive any cardiovascular, antidiabetic or lipid-lowering medication. METHODS: In 1993-1994 we recorded cardiovascular risk factors, UACR, hsCRP and Nt-proBNP. The composite cardiovascular endpoint (CEP) of cardiovascular death and non-fatal stroke or myocardial infarction was assessed after 9.5 years. RESULTS: In Cox regression analyses predicting CEP, the effects of log(hsCRP) and log(Nt-proBNP) were modulated by sex (P < 0.05) and age (P < 0.05), respectively. The effect of logUACR was not significantly modulated by age or sex. Log(hsCRP)/SD did not predict CEP in women, but did predict CEP in 41 plus 51-year-old men [hazard ratio (HR) 1.71; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-2.6; P < 0.05] and 61 plus 71-year-old men (HR 1.64; 1.3-2.2; P < 0.001). Log(Nt-proBNP)/SD predicted CEP in 61 plus 71-year-old women (HR 1.74; 1.2-2.5; P < 0.01) and in 61 plus 71-year-old men (HR 1.58; 1.3-2.0; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Elevated hsCRP, reflecting early atherosclerosis, predicted CEP even in 41 plus 51-year-old men. Elevated Nt-proBNP, reflecting subclinical cardiovascular damage, predicted CEP in 61 plus 71-year-old subjects. Elevated UACR, reflecting endothelial dysfunction as well as microvascular damage, predicted events independently of age and sex, but primarily in 61 plus 71-year-old subjects.     

N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, but not high sensitivity C-reactive protein, improves cardiovascular risk prediction in the general population.

AIM: Serum N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP), high sensitivity (hs)-C-reactive protein, and urine albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR) are cardiovascular (CV) risk markers in the general population. The aim of this study was to determine whether they predicted CV events independently of established CV risk factors and whether they did so in an additive fashion. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a population-based sample of 2656 individuals, 41, 51, 61, and 71 years old, we measured UACR, serum Nt-proBNP, hs-C-reactive protein, insulin, lipids and plasma glucose, clinic blood pressures, body composition, left ventricular (LV) mass index, and ejection fraction (EF) by echocardiography and pulse wave velocity. During the following 9.4 years, the combined CV endpoint (CEP) of CV death (136), non-fatal stroke, or non-fatal myocardial infarction occurred in 219 subjects. After adjustment for established CV risk factors using Cox-regression analyses, CEP and CV death were predicted by log(Nt-proBNP)/SD [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.58 and HR = 1.80, both P < 0.001] and by log(UACR)/SD (HR = 1.44 and HR = 1.52, both P < 0.001) in an additive fashion, but not by log(hs-C-reactive protein)/SD (HR = 1.17, P = 0.06 and HR = 1.13, NS). CV risk functions were constructed on the basis of Cox-regression analyses. Inclusion of Nt-proBNP and UACR did not increase the area under the receiver-operating characteristic plots. CONCLUSION: Serum Nt-proBNP and UACR, but not hs-C-reactive protein, predicted CV events after adjustment for established CV risk factors including LV EF and relative wall thickness. However, more studies in relevant subgroups are needed before Nt-proBNP and UACR can be recommended for risk prediction in the general population to select subjects for primary prevention.     

Impact of the metabolic syndrome on the predictive values of new risk markers in the general population

Although the metabolic syndrome (MetS) is positively associated with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), negatively associated with N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP) and inconsequently related to urine albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR) they are all associated with cardiovascular events. Therefore, we wanted to determine the influence of MetS on the predictive values of UACR, hsCRP and Nt-proBNP. On the basis of the definition of MetS by the International Diabetes Federation, a Danish population sample of 1983 apparently healthy subjects was divided into three groups: 530 subjects without any elements of MetS, 1093 subjects with some elements of MetS and 360 subjects with MetS. During the following 9.5 years the composite end point of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke (composite cardiovascular end point, CEP) occurred in 204 subjects. In Cox-regression analyses adjusting for age, gender and smoking, all three cardiovascular risk markers predicted CEP independently of MetS. Despite no significant interaction with MetS, high log(hsCRP) was associated with CEP primarily in subjects without any elements of MetS (hazard ratio (HR)=4.5 (1.5-14.0), P<0.01), log(Nt-proBNP) primarily in subjects with some elements of MetS (HR=3.0 (1.6-5.6), P<0.01), and logUACR independently of elements of MetS. Pre-specified gender-adjusted (men/women) cutoff values of hsCRP > or = 6.0/7.3 mg l(-1) predicted CEP in subjects without elements of MetS with positive and predictive values of 11.5 and 98%, respectively. UACR > or = 0.73/1.06 mg mmol(-1) predicted CEP in subjects with MetS with positive and predictive values of 23.5 and 93%, respectively. In apparently healthy subjects, high hsCRP was associated with CEP primarily in subjects without MetS, high Nt-proBNP in subjects with elements of MetS and UACR independently of MetS.     

New risk markers may change the HeartScore risk classification significantly in one-fifth of the population

The study aim was to determine whether urine albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) or N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP) added to risk prediction based on HeartScore and history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease. A Danish population sample of 2460 individuals was divided in three groups: 472 subjects receiving cardiovascular medication or having history of diabetes, prior myocardial infarction or stroke, 559 high-risk subjects with a 10-year risk of cardiovascular death above 5% as estimated by HeartScore, and 1429 low-moderate risk subjects with estimated risk below 5%. During the following 9.5 years the composite end point of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke (CEP) occurred in 204 subjects. CEP was predicted in all three groups by UACR (HRs: 2.1, 2.1 and 2.3 per 10-fold increase, all P<0.001) or by hsCRP (HRs: 1.9, 1.9 and 1.7 per 10-fold increase, all P<0.05), but not by Nt-proBNP (HRs: 1.1, 2.6 and 3.7 per 10-fold increase, last two P<0.001) (P<0.05 for interaction). In the low-moderate risk group, pre-specified gender adjusted (men/women) cutoff values of UACR> or =0.73/1.06 mg mmol(-1) or hsCRP> or =6.0/7.3 mg l(-1) identified a subgroup of 16% who experienced one-third of the CEPs. In the patient group, combined absence of high UACR and high Nt-proBNP> or =110/164 pg ml(-1) (men/women) identified a subgroup of 52% who experienced only 15% of the CEPs. Additional use of UACR and hsCRP in subjects with low-moderate risk and UACR and Nt-proBNP in subjects with known diabetes of cardiovascular disease changed HeartScore risk classification significantly in 19% of the population.     

Reductions in albuminuria and in electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy independently improve prognosis in hypertension: the LIFE study

BACKGROUND: In the Losartan Intervention For Endpoint reduction in hypertension (LIFE) study, reduced urine albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR) as well as regression of left ventricular hypertrophy have been associated with lower incidence of cardiovascular events. We wanted to investigate whether these prognostic improvements were independent. METHODS: In 6679 hypertensive patients included in the LIFE study, we measured UACR, left ventricular hypertrophy by electrocardiography, serum cholesterol, plasma glucose and blood pressure after 2 weeks of placebo treatment and again after 1 year of anti-hypertensive treatment with either an atenolol- or a losartan-based regimen. During this first year of treatment, 77 patients encountered a non-fatal stroke or myocardial infarction and were excluded to avoid bias. During the next 3-4 years, 610 composite endpoints [cardiovascular death (n = 228), fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke] were recorded. RESULTS: In Cox regression analyses, the composite endpoint was after adjustment for treatment allocation predicted by baseline logUACR [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.16 per 10-fold increase, P < 0.05], 1-year logUACR (HR = 1.29 per 10-fold increase), baseline Sokolow-Lyon voltage (HR = 1.01 per mm, both P < 0.001) and 1-year Cornell product (HR = 1.01 per 100 mm x ms, P < 0.01). Cardiovascular death was predicted by 1-year logUACR (HR = 1.59, P < 0.001), baseline Sokolow-Lyon voltage (HR = 1.01, P = 0.06) and 1-year Cornell product (HR = 1.02, P < 0.001). Both were predicted independent of age, Framingham risk score, current smoking, history of cardiovascular disease and diabetes. Gender, serum cholesterol, plasma glucose and blood pressure did not enter the models. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline UACR and Sokolow-Lyon voltage, as well as in-treatment UACR and Cornell product, added to the risk prediction independent of traditional risk factors, indicating that albuminuria and left ventricular hypertrophy reflect different aspects of cardiovascular damage and are modifiable cardiovascular risk factors.     

N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide predicts cardiovascular events in patients with hypertension and left ventricular hypertrophy: a LIFE study

BACKGROUND: N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP) and N-terminal pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (Nt-proANP) are strong cardiovascular risk markers in patients with chronic heart failure, as well as in the general population. We investigated whether high Nt-proBNP or Nt-proANP could also predict the composite endpoint (CEP) of cardiovascular death, non-fatal stroke or non-fatal myocardial infarction in patients with hypertension and left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy. METHODS: After 2 weeks of placebo treatment, clinical, laboratory and echocardiographic variables were assessed in 183 hypertensive participants in the LIFE echo substudy with electrocardiographic LV hypertrophy. Nt-proBNP and Nt-proANP were measured by immunoassay at baseline. The patients were followed for 60 +/- 5 months. RESULTS: Using Cox regression analysis, the 25 CEP were predicted by ln(Nt-proBNP) (hazard ratio 1.61 per 2.73-fold increase, P < 0.01) as well as ln(Nt-proANP) (hazard ratio 2.93, P < 0.05). Nt-proBNP above the median value of 21.8 pmol/ml was associated with higher incidence of CEP (19.6 versus 7.7%, P < 0.05). Nt-proBNP above the median value was associated with higher incidence of CEP in the 123 patients without history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease (14.8 versus 4.3%, P < 0.05), but the association was insignificant in the 60 patients with a history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease (26.3 versus 18.2%, NS). Nt-proANP showed the same tendency. CONCLUSION: Nt-proBNP, more than Nt-proANP, strongly predicts cardiovascular events in patients with hypertension and LV hypertrophy, especially in patients without diabetes or clinically overt cardiovascular disease.     

High-sensitivity C-reactive protein is only weakly related to cardiovascular damage after adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors

BACKGROUND: The independent prognostic value of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) has been questioned, and consequently we decided to investigate whether hsCRP was associated with subclinical cardiovascular (CV) damage independently of traditional CV risk factors. METHODS: In a population-based sample of 2028 apparently healthy individuals without prior stroke or myocardial infarction not receiving any CV, anti-diabetic or lipid-lowering treatment, aged 41, 51, 61 or 71 years, we measured in 1993 serum hsCRP, traditional CV risk factors (lifestyle, metabolic and hemodynamic) and assessed subclinical CV damage [atherosclerotic plaques in the carotid arteries, pulse wave velocity (PWV), urine albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR), left ventricular (LV) mass and ejection fraction]. RESULTS: Adjusting for age and gender in multiple regression analyses, higher log(hsCRP) was associated with higher logPWV (beta = 0.15) and log(left ventricular mass index) (LVMI) (beta = 0.09, both P < 0.001), LV relative wall thickness (beta = 0.07, P < 0.01), logUACR (beta = 0.04, P = 0.06) and more atherosclerotic plaques (beta = 0.06, P < 0.05). However, higher log(hsCRP) was only weakly associated with higher logPWV(beta = 0.06, P < 0.05) and more atherosclerotic plaques (beta = 0.04, P = 0.06) when adjusting for other significant CV risk factors, such as daily smoking (beta = 0.18), female gender (beta = -0.17), older age (beta = 0.11), lower log(high density lipoprotein cholesterol) (beta = -0.11, all P < 0.001); wider waist (beta = 0.17), higher body mass index (beta = 0.14), higher heart rate (beta = 0.06, all P < 0.01); and higher log(plasma glucose) (beta = 0.05, P < 0.05) (adj. R2 = 0.19, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: After adjustment for traditional CV risk factors hsCRP was only associated with PWV and atherosclerotic plaques, indicating a possible effect of low-grade inflammation on macrovascular damage. The close relationship between traditional CV risk factors and hsCRP suggested that hsCRP was an integrated CV risk marker early in the development of atherosclerosis.     

Aortic valve sclerosis and albuminuria predict cardiovascular events independently in hypertension: a losartan intervention for endpoint-reduction in hypertension (LIFE) substudy

BACKGROUND: Aortic valve (AV) sclerosis and urine albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR) are both markers of atherosclerosis. We aimed to investigate whether they predicted cardiovascular (CV) events independently in patients with hypertension and electrocardiographic left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy. METHODS: After 2 weeks of placebo treatment, clinical, laboratory, and echocardiographic variables were assessed in 960 hypertensive patients from the LIFE Echo substudy who had electrocardiographic LV hypertrophy. Morning urine albumin and creatinine were measured calculating UACR. The presence of AV sclerosis was defined as valve thickening or calcification. Fifteen patients with mild AV stenosis were excluded. The patients were followed for 60 +/- 4 months and the composite endpoint (CEP) of CV death, nonfatal stroke, or nonfatal myocardial infarction was recorded. RESULTS: A value of UACR above the median value of 1.406 was associated with higher incidence of CEP and CV death in patients with AV sclerosis (CEP: 18.8% v 9.0% P < 0.05, CV death: 7.1% v 0.7% P < 0.01) and in patients without AV sclerosis (CEP: 14.0% v 4.9% P < 0.001, CV death: 5.1% v 1.1% P < 0.01). In Cox regression analysis, AV sclerosis predicted CEP (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.52, P < .05), but not CV death (HR = 1.30 [0.62 to 2.70], NS) independently of logUACR (HR = 1.70 and HR = 3.25, both P < .001). After adjusting for the Framingham Risk Score, CV disease, diabetes, smoking, and treatment allocation, AV sclerosis predicted CEP (HR = 1.5, P < .05) but not CV death (HR = 1.4, NS) independently of logUACR (HR = 1.2, P = .09 and HR = 1.94, P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: In hypertensive patients with electrocardiographic LV hypertrophy, AV sclerosis predicted CEP but not CV death independently of UACR after adjusting for CV risk factors and treatment allocation, indicating that AV sclerosis and UACR might be markers of different aspects of the atherosclerotic process.     

Albuminuria predicts cardiovascular events independently of left ventricular mass in hypertension: a LIFE substudy

We wanted to investigate whether urine albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR) and left ventricular (LV) mass, both being associated with diabetes and increased blood pressure, predicted cardiovascular events in patients with hypertension independently. After 2 weeks of placebo treatment, clinical, laboratory and echocardiographic variables were assessed in 960 hypertensive patients from the LIFE Echo substudy with electrocardiographic LV hypertrophy. Morning urine albumin and creatinine were measured to calculate UACR. The patients were followed for 60+/-4 months and the composite end point (CEP) of cardiovascular (CV) death, nonfatal stroke or nonfatal myocardial infarction was recorded. The incidence of CEP increased with increasing LV mass (below the lower quartile of 194 g to above the upper quartile of 263 g) in patients with UACR below (6.7, 5.0, 9.1%) and above the median value of 1.406 mg/mmol (9.7, 17.0, 19.0%(***)). Also the incidence of CV death increased with LV mass in patients with UACR below (0, 1.4, 1.3%) and above 1.406 mg/mmol (2.2, 6.4, 8.0%(**)). The incidence of CEP was predicted by logUACR (hazard ratio (HR)=1.44(**) for every 10-fold increase in UACR) after adjustment for Framingham risk score (HR=1.05(***)), history of peripheral vascular disease (HR=2.3(*)) and cerebrovascular disease (HR=2.1(*)). LV mass did not enter the model. LogUACR predicted CV death (HR=2.4(**)) independently of LV mass (HR=1.01(*) per gram) after adjustment for Framingham risk score (HR=1.05(*)), history of diabetes mellitus (HR=2.4(*)) and cerebrovascular disease (HR=3.2(*)). (*)P<0.05, (**)P<0.01, (***)P<0.001. In conclusion, UACR predicted CEP and CV death independently of LV mass. CV death was predicted by UACR and LV mass in an additive manner after adjustment for Framingham risk score and history of CV disease.     

B-type natriuretic peptide and the risk of cardiovascular events and death in patients with stable angina: results from the AtheroGene study.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess the predictive value of the cardiac hormone B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) for long-term outcome in a large cohort of stable angina patients. BACKGROUND: Recent data suggest a role of BNP in stable ischemic heart disease beyond its known value in heart failure and acute coronary syndromes. METHODS: In 1,085 patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) baseline levels of BNP were prospectively associated with cardiovascular (CV) events during a mean follow-up of 2.5 years. RESULTS: BNP concentrations were significantly elevated in patients with future CV events (median [25th/75th interquartile range] 119.2 [43.6/300.4] pg/ml vs. 36.2 [11.3/94.6] pg/ml; p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a stepwise decrease in event-free survival across quartiles of BNP baseline concentration (p(log rank) < 0.001). Patients in the highest quartile revealed a 6.1-fold increased risk (p = 0.001) compared to patients in the lowest quartile after adjustment for potential confounders. For a cut-off value of 100 pg/ml, an independently increased risk of adverse outcome (hazard ratio [HR] 4.4; p < 0.001) could be demonstrated. One standard deviation (SD) decrease in ejection fraction implied the most prominent increase in risk of future CV events (HR 1.69; p < 0.001) followed by one SD increase in BNP (HR 1.53; p < 0.001). The highest prognostic accuracy could be demonstrated for BNP (area under the curve 0.671). CONCLUSIONS: The data of this large group of CAD patients provide independent evidence that BNP is a strong predictor of cardiovascular risk in patients with stable angina independent of left ventricular systolic performance and known risk factors.     

N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide is inversely related to metabolic cardiovascular risk factors and the metabolic syndrome

We wanted to investigate the relationship of N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP) to metabolic and hemodynamic cardiovascular (CV) risk factors in the general population. From a population-based sample of 2656 people 41, 51, 61, or 71 years of age, we selected 2070 patients without previous stroke or myocardial infarction who did not receive any CV, antidiabetic, or lipid-lowering treatment in 1993 to 1994. Traditional CV risk factors, 24-hour blood pressures, left ventricular (LV) mass, and ejection fraction by echocardiography, pulse wave velocity, urine albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR), and serum Nt-proBNP were measured in 1993 to 1994. The metabolic syndrome was defined in accordance with the definition of the European Group for the Study of Insulin Resistance (EGIR). Higher log(Nt-proBNP) was in multiple regression analysis related to female gender (beta=-0.37), older age (beta=0.32), higher clinic pulse pressure (beta=0.20), lower serum total cholesterol (beta=-0.15), lower LVEF (beta=-0.08, all P<0.001), lower log(serum insulin) (beta=-0.07), lower log(plasma glucose) (beta=-0.06, both P<0.01, lower log(serum triglyceride) (beta=-0.06), lower body mass index (beta=-0.05); lower heart rate (beta=-0.05), higher logUACR (beta=0.04, all P<0.05) and higher log(LV mass index) (beta=0.04, P=0.07), adjusted R2=0.35, P<0.001). The metabolic syndrome was associated with lower Nt-proBNP (35 pg/mL versus 48 pg/mL; P<0.001) and shifted the positive relationship between pulse pressure and Nt-proBNP to the right (ie, higher blood pressure for a given level of Nt-proBNP). The metabolic syndrome was associated with lower Nt-proBNP levels and shifted the positive relationship between Nt-proBNP and pulse pressure to the right, creating a possible link between the metabolic syndrome and hypertension.     

Serum C-reactive protein levels and death and cardiovascular events in mild to moderate chronic kidney disease

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) disease. Elevated circulating levels of high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) have been suggested to be associated with high risk of CV disease. It is uncertain whether the CV risk in CKD can be stratified by hsCRP levels in the Japanese population. Baseline data including serum hsCRP and creatinine levels were determined in the general population. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated using a modified MDRD equation, and CKD was defined as eGFR below 60 mL/minute/1.73m(2). We analyzed 1,074 male subjects with mild to moderate CKD (mean age, 70.4 years). CV events (stroke and myocardial infarction) and all-cause death were surveyed prospectively. The CKD subjects were followed for 5.1 years, and 72 CV events and 115 all-cause deaths were found (composite endpoint). After adjustment for established CV risk factors, hazard ratios (HRs) for the endpoint were significantly increased according to the hsCRP quintile (P < 0.001), and HR for the highest (versus the lowest) quintile was 2.77 (95% CI; 1.61-4.77). These results suggest that serum hsCRP measurement is a useful tool for the risk stratification of CV events and death in CKD male subjects selected from the general population.     

Analysis of N-terminal-pro-brain natriuretic peptide and C-reactive protein for risk stratification in stable and unstable coronary artery disease: results from the AtheroGene study.

AIMS: N-terminal-pro-brain natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP) is a reliable risk predictor in acute coronary artery disease (CAD). Little is known about patients with stable angina pectoris (SAP). We aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of Nt-proBNP in a population with CAD especially focussing on patients with SAP. METHODS AND RESULTS: We obtained baseline samples from a prospective cohort of 904 consecutive patients with CAD. Cardiovascular events were registered during follow-up (median 2 years; maximum 3.7 years). Baseline Nt-proBNP was significantly higher among individuals with cardiovascular events compared with those without (711.5 vs. 238.8 pg/mL; P<0.0001). A similar association was found if the analysis was performed in patients who presented with stable angina (330 vs. 166.5 pg/mL; P=0.006) or acute coronary syndrome (990.9 vs. 527.7 pg/mL; P=0.03). In the SAP group, patients within the top quartile (>487.9 pg/mL) had a 3.7-fold (95% CI 1.2-9.1; P=0.01) increase in cardiovascular risk. After adjustment for most potential confounders including left ventricular ejection fraction, Nt-proBNP remained predictive for patients with serum concentrations in the upper quartile in comparison with patients in the lowest quartile (hazard ratio highest vs. lowest quartile: 4.0; P=0.03) (n=417). CONCLUSION: Baseline concentration of Nt-proBNP is independently related to future cardiovascular events in patients with stable angina.     

Is high-sensitivity C-reactive protein associated with carotid atherosclerosis in healthy Koreans?

BACKGROUND: There is a positive association between chronic inflammation and the risk of cardiovascular disease, but whether there is an association between C-reactive protein (CRP) and carotid atherosclerosis is controversial. We investigated the relationship between high-sensitivity CRP (hsCRP) levels and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) in healthy Koreans. DESIGN: We measured hsCRP levels, the carotid IMT, and conventional cardiovascular risk factors including obesity parameters, blood pressure, lipid profiles, insulin resistance, and smoking habits in 820 volunteers (35-79 years old) in a cross-sectional study. RESULTS: Higher hsCRP quartile groups had higher mean IMTs, as compared with the lowest quartile (P < 0.001 for the trend across quartiles). However, after adjustment for age, the relationship between hsCRP level and IMT was substantially weaker (P = 0.018). After additional adjustments for conventional cardiovascular risk factors, no significant association was observed (P = 0.548). The unadjusted risk for a high carotid IMT value (> or = 1.0 mm) was also positively related to hsCRP quartile, but this relationship was not significant after adjustment for age and other cardiovascular risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Both hsCRP levels and the carotid IMT were strongly correlated with conventional cardiovascular risk factors, but there was no independent association between hsCRP levels and carotid IMT in healthy Korean adults.     

Níveis Elevados de Netrina-1 e IL-1β em Mulheres Idosas com SCA: Pior Prognóstico no Acompanhamento de Dois Anos

Background Several markers have been evaluated for a potential impact on clinical decisions or mortality prediction in acute coronary syndrome (ACS), including Netrin-1 and IL-1β that have been associated with cardiovascular disease.Objective Our study examined the prognostic value of Netrin-1 and IL-1β in patients with ACS (2-year follow-up).Methods We evaluate Netrin-1, IL-1β and other risk factors in the serum sample of 803 patients. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression were used for the analysis of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and a combined outcome of fatal myocardial infarction (MI) or new non-fatal MI, considering p-value < 0.05.Results There were 115 deaths from all causes, 78 deaths due to cardiovascular causes and 67 events in combined outcomes. Netrin-1 levels above the median (>44.8 pg/mL) were associated with a worse prognosis (all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality) in elderly females, even after model adjustment (HR: 2.08, p = 0.038 and HR: 2.68, p = 0.036). IL-1β levels above the median (>13.4 pg/mL) in elderly females were associated with increased risk of all outcomes after adjustment (all-cause mortality - HR: 2.03, p = 0.031; cardiovascular mortality - HR: 3.01, p = 0.013; fatal MI or new non-fatal MI - HR: 3.05, p = 0.029). For males, no associations were observed between Netrin-1 or IL-1β and outcomes.Conclusion High serum levels of Netrin-1 and IL-1β showed significant association with worse prognosis in elderly females. They may be useful as prognostic indicators in ACS. (Arq Bras Cardiol. 2020; 114(3):507-514)     

Use of proton pump inhibitors is associated with an increase in adverse cardiovascular events in patients with hemodialysis: Insight from the kids registry

BackgroundProton pump inhibitors (PPIs) are known to increase the risk of mortality and cardiovascular events in the general population. However, in patients with maintenance hemodialysis, PPI effects are under investigated.MethodsWe analyzed the risk of PPIs for cardiovascular events using the Kagoshima Dialysis (KIDS) registry, a prospective, multicenter, observational study in patients with maintenance hemodialysis in Japan.ResultsIn all, 531 patients were enrolled from June 2015 to December 2018. One-year follow-up data were available for 376 patients (Use of PPIs at baseline (PPI group): 217 patients and without PPIs (No PPI group): 159 patients). The incidence of a composite outcome (all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or non-fatal stroke) was higher in patients in the PPI group than the No PPI group (15.2% vs. 4.4%; hazard ratio (HR): 3.65, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.61–8.23, P = 0.002). In the multivariate analysis, even after adjustment for covariates, the use of PPIs was an independent risk factor for a composite outcome (HR: 2.38, 95% CI: 1.02–5.54, P = 0.045). We performed propensity score matching analysis as a sensitivity analysis, showing a consistent result. The incidence of bleeding showed no difference between the two groups (15.7% vs. 11.3%; HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 0.83–2.59, P = 0.19).ConclusionsThese results indicate that the use of PPIs in patients with maintenance hemodialysis might increase mortality and cardiovascular events without decreasing the risk of bleeding. Therefore, it should always be analyzed if a patient truly needs PPIs.     

Effect of Beta-blockade and ACE Inhibition on B-type Natriuretic Peptides in Stable Patients with Systolic Heart Failure

INTRODUCTION: The long-term effect of beta-blockade on the plasma levels of natriuretic peptides BNP and its N-terminal counterpart, NT-proBNP, as risk markers in heart failure (HF) is obscure. METHODS: Stable systolic HF patients from the CARMEN study were divided in groups matching their randomised treatment allocation: Carvedilol, enalapril or carvedilol+enalapril. Changes in BNP and NT-proBNP from baseline to 6 months maintenance visit were evaluated in each treatment arm. Furthermore, the prognostic value of BNP and NT-proBNP during monotherapy with carvedilol was assessed with univariate Cox proportional hazards models using a combined endpoint of all cause mortality and cardiovascular hospitalisation. RESULTS: NT-proBNP and BNP were significantly reduced after six months treatment with enalapril (NT-proBNP 1,303 to 857 pg/ml (P < 0.001), BNP 119 to 85 pg/ml (P < 0.001)) or carvedilol+enalapril (NT-proBNP 1,223 to 953 pg/ml (P = 0.003), BNP 117 to 93 pg/ml (P = 0.01)). In contrast, no change was observed in the carvedilol group (NT-proBNP 907 to 1,082 pg/ml (P = 0.06), BNP 114 to 130 pg/ml (P = 0.15). The prognostic value of NT-proBNP and BNP was maintained in the carvedilol group (NT-proBNP HR 1.018 95% CI (1.005-1.032), BNP 1.171 (1.088-1.260)). CONCLUSION: Treatment of HF patients with carvedilol alone does not reduce levels of natriuretic peptides, but treatment with enalapril does. Both BNP and NT-proBNP predict death and hospitalisation in HF patients treated with carvedilol for six months. The clinical implication of our results is that NT-proBNP and BNP can be used as risk markers of death and cardiovascular hospitalisations in systolic HF patients receiving carvedilol without ACE inhibition.     

Pentraxin-3 in chronic heart failure: the CORONA and GISSI-HF trials

AIMS: Pentraxin-3 (PTX3) is a component of the humoral arm of innate immunity which can regulate inflammatory processes. Since the role of inflammation in the progression of chronic heart failure (HF) is debated, we investigated the prognostic value of PTX3 and the effect of a statin in two large populations of patients with HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Plasma levels of PTX3 were measured at randomization and after 3 months in 1457 patients enrolled in the Controlled Rosuvastatin Multinational Trial in HF (CORONA) and 1233 patients enrolled in the GISSI-Heart Failure trial (GISSI-HF). The relationships between baseline PTX3 levels or their changes over time and mortality were evaluated with multivariable Cox proportional hazard models including clinical factors, high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), and N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). PTX3 concentration [median (Q1-Q3) = 5.34 (3.55-7.64) ng/mL, n = 2690] was higher in females, in older patients, and those with lower body mass index. Baseline elevated PTX3 was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality [759 events, hazard ratio (HR) for 1 SD increase 1.20, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-1.30, P < 0.0001], cardiovascular mortality (587 events, HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.17-1.38, P < 0.0001), or hospitalization for worsening HF (720 events, HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.12-1.30, P < 0.0001), and marginally improved discrimination. Three-month changes in PTX3 were associated with fatal events after adjustment for hsCRP or NT-proBNP. Rosuvastatin lowered hsCRP levels but significantly raised PTX3. CONCLUSION: In two independent clinical trials that enrolled patients with chronic HF, PTX3 was consistently associated with outcomes. The opposite effects of a statin on hsCRP and PTX3 call for further investigation. Trial registration NCT00336336 (GISSI-HF), NCT00206310 (CORONA).     

Risk factors for cardiovascular disease in a Brazilian population-based cohort study

Objective: Our aim was to investigate risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in a population-based Brazilian cohort. Design and methods: A cohort study was conducted with 1091 individuals identified through multi-stage probability sampling in Porto Alegre, Brazil. Risk factors were investigated among demographic and anthropometric characteristics, including education, smoking habits, income, alcoholic beverage consumption, and blood pressure. A fatal or non-fatal episode of myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure, and cases of sudden death comprised the composite endpoint. Results: Vital status was determined in 982 (90.0%) of the participants of the original cohort after 6.0±1.7 years of follow-up. A total of 52 individuals presented a cardiovascular event. Male gender (hazard ratio (HR) 2.01, 95% CI 1.03–3.91), systolic blood pressure (mmHg) (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01–1.04) and alcohol consumption (g/day) (HR 1.001, 95% CI 1.00–1.003) were associated with the incidence of CVD after controlling for confounding. Body mass index (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.99–1.11) and current or previous smoking (HR 1.65, 95% CI 0.83–3.26) showed a trend for a positive association. Conclusions: We confirmed that male gender, systolic blood pressure, obesity and smoking are risk factors for cardiovascular disease in a Brazilian population. The positive association between alcohol consumption and incident CVD was unexpected and deserves replication.     

Increased Plasma Concentrations of Soluble ST2 Independently Predict Mortality but not Cardiovascular Events in Stable Coronary Heart Disease Patients: 13-Year Follow-up of the KAROLA Study

Purpose

sST2 (soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2), a member of the interleukin-1 family, has been suggested to play a role in cardiac remodeling and inflammatory signaling. We assessed the association between sST2 in patients with stable coronary heart disease (CHD) with multiple cardiovascular outcomes and total mortality, simultaneously controlling for a large number of potential confounders.

Methods

Plasma concentrations of sST2 (ELISA, Critical Diagnostics) were measured at baseline in a cohort of 1081 patients. The Cox-proportional hazards model was used to determine the prognostic value of sST2 on a combined cardiovascular disease (CVD) endpoint, on cardiovascular death, and on total mortality after adjustment for covariates.

Results

The median sST2 level was 28.9 ng/mL (IQR 23.8, 35.1) (mean age at baseline 58.9 years, 84.6% male). sST2 concentration was positively correlated with inflammatory markers and emerging risk factors, e.g., cystatin C, N-terminal probrainnatriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity (hs)-Troponin T and I, mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP), and growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15). Results after short- and long-term (4.5 and 12.3 years, respectively) follow-up (FU) displayed no statistically significant association with the combined endpoint of non-fatal and fatal CVD events when the top quartile (Q4) of sST2 concentration was compared to the bottom quartile (Q1). A relationship during long-term FU was seen with CVD mortality even after multivariable adjustments including clinical risk variables (HR 1.65; 95% CI 1.02–2.86), but not in a fully adjusted model whereas, in contrast, it was still highly significant after short-term FU (HR (5.97 (95%CI 1.32–27.06)). In addition, the sST2 concentration was still strongly associated with total mortality in the fully adjusted model including clinical variables and cystatin C based estimated glomerular filtration rate, NT-proBNP, hsCRP and hs-TnI comparing Q4 vs Q1 during long-term FU (HR of 1.48 (95% CI 1.03–2.13)) and short-term FU (HR 3.06 (95% CI 1.29–7.24)).

Conclusions

Elevated levels of sST2 concentration in stable CHD patients may independently predict short- and long-term risk for fatal CVD events and total mortality but not non-fatal CVD events.