Abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture rates: A 7-year follow-up of the entire abdominal aortic aneurysm population detected by screening

Purpose: The goal of the current study was to identify the risk of rupture in the entire abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) population detected through screening and to review strategies for surgical intervention in light of this information. Methods: Two hundred eighteen AAAs were detected through ultrasound screening of a family practice population of 5394 men and women aged 65 to 80 years. Subjects with an AAA of less than 6.0 cm in diameter were followed prospectively with the use of ultrasound, according to our protocol, for 7 years. Patients were offered surgery if symptomatic, if the aneurysm expanded more than 1.0 cm per year, or if aortic diameter reached 6.0 cm. Results: The maximum potential rupture rate (actual rupture rate plus elective surgery rate) for small AAAs (3.0 to 4.4 cm) was 2.1% per year, which is less than most reported operative mortality rates. The equivalent rate for aneurysms of 4.5 to 5.9 cm was 10.2% per year. The actual rupture rate for aneurysms up to 5.9 cm using our criteria for surgery was 0.8% per year Conclusion: In centers with an operative mortality rate of greater than 2%, (1) surgical intervention is not indicated for asymptomatic AAAs of less than 4.5 cm in diameter, and (2) elective surgery should be considered only for patients with aneurysms between 4.5 and 6 cm in diameter that are expanding by more than 1 cm per year or for patients in whom symptoms develop. In centers with elective mortality rates of greater than 10% for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair, the benefit to the patient of any surgical intervention for an asymptomatic AAA of less than 6.0 cm in diameter is questionable. (J Vasc Surg 1998;28:124-8.)     

Distribution of aortic diameter in a screened male population.

Between September 1990 and August 1991, 2291 men aged 65 years were invited for ultrasonographic screening of the aorta in the Gloucestershire aneurysm screening programme; 1748 (76.3 per cent) attended. An aortic diameter less than or equal to 2.5 cm was found in 1547 (88.5 per cent); 174 (10.0 per cent) had diameters in the range 2.6-4.0 cm, and 26 (1.5 per cent) had diameters greater than 4.0 cm. The mean(s.d.) aortic diameter was 2.1(0.55) cm and 97.5 per cent of patients had a diameter less than or equal to 3.3 cm. Any man over the age of 65 years with an aortic diameter greater than 3.3 cm has an aortic aneurysm.     

Endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair

Around two-thirds of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) are incidentaldiscoveries during the investigation of backache, hip pain orurinary tract complaints. They are much more common in men thanwomen (5:1) and account for 2% of all deaths in men aged >60yr. Open surgical repair of the aneurysm is considered as thestandard, traditional method of treatment. Surgery is recommendedwhen the AAA exceeds 55 mm in anteroposterior diameter as measuredby ultrasound scan. The risk of spontaneous rupture dependson aneurysm size, ranging from <1% per annum for AAA <55mm diameter to >17% per annum for aneurysms >60 mm diameter.Ninety per cent of AAAs are located distal to the renal arteries. Endovascular repair of an aortic aneurysm using an in-situ prostheticgraft was suggested as a technique in 1969 by Dotter, but wasonly first performed successfully by Parodi and colleagues in1990. Over the last 10 yr, the availability of endovascularstent grafts has provided an alternative treatment for patientswith AAA, especially the elderly with significant co-existingmedical conditions. Endovascular repair is much less invasive.However, it is challenging technically and requires a multidisciplinaryapproach. During endovascular surgery, an aortic stent graft is passedvia the femoral arteries through the aortic lumen to fit tightlyabove and below the AAA. The aim is to exclude the aneurysmsac from the systemic circulation, thereby decreasing or eliminatingthe risk of future rupture. The procedure is performed throughincisions in one or both groins; no laparotomy is required.However, certain anatomical considerations apply.     

Results of surgical therapy and classification of non-ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms

INTRODUCTION: Surgery for symptomatic aortic abdominal aneurysms (sAAA) is associated with an increased mortality and morbidity compared to asymptomatic aortic aneurysms (aAAA). With the advent of endovascular therapy, an alternative therapeutic modality has become available. Endovascular therapy, however, depends on certain morphologic criteria, whereas open surgery can be performed on any type of AAA. The purpose of this study was to analyse our data of surgical treatment of non ruptured AAA and to identify the amount of patients in whom endovascular therapy would have been possible. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of the medical data of all patients operated upon non ruptured AAA in our department by 3 responsible vascular surgeons from 1995-1999. RESULTS: 225 consecutive patients with a median age of 65 (42-95) years were included in the study. There were 184 (82%) male and 41 (18%) female patients with 143 (63.5%) aAAA and 82 (36.5%) sAAA. Patients with sAAA underwent emergency aneurysm repair and had a significantly increased aneurysm diameter compared to the aAAA, who underwent elective surgical aneurysm repair (6.9 +/- 1.6 cm vs. 6 +/- 1.2 cm; p = 0.002). A total of 11 (4.9%) patients had an inflammatory AAA. Smoking was found to be the only significant increased preoperative risk factor in the group of sAAA compared to aAAA (91 vs. 35 patients; p = 0.008). Morbidity was significantly increased in the patients with sAAA compared to the aAAA (55% vs. 31.5%; p = 0.041) The mortality however did not differ significantly in the two groups (2 vs. 3 patients; p = 0.691). Considering morphological criteria of the AAA, endovascular therapy would have been possible in 59 (26%) patients. However, in 24 (11%) of the 59 patients, endovascular therapy was not feasible because of aortic kinking, heavy calcification of the aneurysm neck, a patent inferior mesenteric artery or atherosclerotic diseased iliac arteries. Consequently, only 35 (15%) patients would have qualified for an endovascular therapy. DISCUSSION: Surgical therapy can be performed in patients with asymptomatic and symptomatic AAA with an equal low mortality. This finding underlines the fact, that surgical therapy still remains the standard therapy for AAA. In addition, in our study only a relative small amount of patients would have qualified for an endovascular therapy.     

Elective abdominal aortic aneurysm repair: does the aneurysm diameter influence long-term survival?

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate whether initial abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) diameter influences long-term survival after elective repair. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of database. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Between March 1995 and December 2006, a consecutive series of 895 patients underwent elective treatment of an AAA either by open surgical or endovascular repair. An AAA diameter of 5.5cm was chosen as threshold to distinguish between small and large aneurysms, according to the definition given by the UK small aneurysm trial. Patient characteristics and distribution of basic risk factors were assessed. Survival estimates (Kaplan-Meier) and Cox proportional hazards regression results are reported. RESULTS: Patients with small aneurysms were more likely to survive the first 6 years after AAA repair, even after adjustment for treatment modality and baseline risk factors. After adjustment for age and sex aneurysms with smaller diameter were related to a lower risk of death (p<0.0016). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with small aneurysms (< or =5.5cm) have an improved long-term survival than patients with larger aneurysms.     

Extra-anatomic arterial reconstruction with ligation of common iliac arteries and embolization of the aneurysm for the treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysms in high-risk patients

PURPOSE: The mortality of an unrepaired abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) generally exceeds the mortality associated with surgical repair. However, as our longevity increases, more frequently we see patients whose risk of surgical repair approximates the risk of rupture. We present an extra-anatomic bypass graft with complete aneurysm exclusion by iliac ligation and coil embolization of the aneurysm as an alternative for these high-risk patients. METHODS: An extra-anatomic bypass graft, followed by bilateral iliac artery ligation (retroperitoneal approach) and complete coil embolization of the AAA, was performed in eight patients (mean age, 77 years) found to be at prohibitive operative risk because of multiple comorbidities (American Society of Anesthesiologists class IV). Most patients (5 of 8) were symptomatic on presentation with a mean AAA diameter of 7 cm (range, 6.7-9.5 cm). We repair approximately 30 infrarenal aneurysms per year electively at our institution. RESULTS: All patients tolerated the surgical procedures. The average hospital stay was 8 days. All but two aneurysms demonstrated complete thrombosis by 48 hours. After 48 months there was no incidence of graft thrombosis, peripheral ischemia, visceral ischemia or thrombus infection. There was one perioperative death from aspiration pneumonia. Seventy-five percent (6 of 8) of patients have survived at least 1 year without surgical complications. No patient has had a ruptured aneurysm. CONCLUSION: Combining an extra-anatomic bypass graft and complete exclusion of the AAA by ligation of the common iliac arteries and a coil embolization is an effective, less invasive treatment option for patients with AAA and prohibitive operative risk. We emphasize the need for complete embolization documented by decreased aneurysm size.     

Variables that affect the expansion rate and outcome of small abdominal aortic aneurysms

Seventy-three patients with small (less than 6 cm in diameter) abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) were selected for nonoperative management and followed up with sequential ultrasound size measurements. Fifty-four men and 19 women, 51 to 89 years of age (mean 70 years), had an initial mean AAA size of 4.1 cm (anteroposterior) x 4.3 cm (lateral) diameter, with a calculated elliptic cross-sectional area of 14.3 cm2. After a mean of 37 months of follow-up, AAA area increased at a mean rate of 20% per year (3 cm2 yr; 0.4 to 0.5 cm/yr diameter). Expansion rate was not affected by initial aneurysm size. During follow-up, only 3 patients (4%) required urgent operation (1 died), 26 patients (36%) died of non-AAA causes, and 26 patients (36%) underwent elective AAA repair because of progressive size increase (1 died). Elective operations were performed at the rate of 10% per year, when mean AAA size had increased to 22 cm2 (5.1 cm in diameter). Multiple regression analysis of clinical parameters available at presentation indicated that subsequent elective AAA repair was predicted by younger age at diagnosis and larger initial aneurysm size. As anticipated, patients who underwent surgery had more rapid aneurysm expansion (5.3 cm2/yr) compared with patients who did not undergo surgery (1.6 cm2/yr; p less than 0.05). This difference was caused by more rapid expansion during later follow-up intervals among patients selected for operation and was not predicted by the change in aneurysm size observed during initial ultrasonographic follow-up. Final aneurysm size was predicted by initial size, duration of follow-up, and both systolic and diastolic pressure.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Endoleak after stent-graft treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysm: a meta-analysis of clinical studies.

BACKGROUND: Endoleak is the major complication after endovascular treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and its incidence seems to remain significant. Little is known about the association of device type and configuration with respect to the incidence, location, time of onset and fate of endoleakage. METHODS: A meta-analysis was performed via a Medline search of clinical studies after 1995 dealing with the endovascular treatment of AAA. Details of number of patients treated, configuration and type of endovascular device were collected. Data concerning site of origin, time of occurrence and fate of the endoleak were retrieved, along with information on change in diameter of the aneurysm with time. RESULTS: The 23 publications included reported on 1189 patients. The 1118 patients with successfully inserted transfemoral endovascular grafts experienced 270 endoleaks (24 per cent). The majority arose from the distal stent attachment site (36 per cent), were present immediately after stent-graft placement (66 per cent) and were persistent in time (37 per cent). Tube grafts were more frequently affected by endoleakage (35 per cent; P < 0.0001), especially at the distal stent attachment site (51 per cent), than bifurcated grafts (18 per cent; P = 0.004) and aortounilateral devices (20 per cent; P = 0.70). Self- expandable stent-grafts were more frequently associated with endoleaks (25 per cent) than balloon-expandable stent-grafts (17 per cent) (P = 0.037). CONCLUSION: Endovascular treatment of AAA is an evolving field. Even after the initial learning curve and attention to device-related problems, it is still accompanied by a significant number of endoleaks. Uniform presentation of results of treatment is necessary for analysing the effect of differences between patients, aneurysm morphology and device type.     

A myth exposed: fast growth in diameter does not justify precocious abdominal aortic aneurysm repair.

OBJECTIVES: fast growth of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) diameter is claimed to be an indication for repair. We investigated the validity of this claim. METHODS: between January 1988 and October 2000, 277 patients have had duplex sonography at six-monthly intervals in our aneurysm surveillance programme. During this period fast AAA growth was not an indication for operation in our unit. RESULTS: we identified 63 patients whose aneurysms had grown 0.5 cm or more in 6 months. Thirty-one of the 63 patients had aneurysms measuring 5.5 cm or greater in anterior-posterior diameter after the fast growth and all have been operated on unless deemed not fit due to anaesthetic risk. The remaining 32 patients continued in surveillance for a total of 50 patient years and none had rupture of their aneurysm. The calculated 95% confidence interval for the risk of rupture was 0-6 per 100 patient years. Six patients, who would have been operated on if fast growth had been an indication, have been spared surgery of whom 3 died and 3 became unfit. Nine patients remained in surveillance at the end of the study. CONCLUSION: our data support the view that rapid increase in AAA diameter is not an indication for elective AAA repair.     

The risk of rupture in untreated aneurysms: the impact of size,gender, and expansion rate

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to establish the risk of rupture as related to size of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), gender, and expansion of the aneurysm. METHODS: Between 1976 and 2001, 476 patients with conditions considered unfit for surgery with AAA 5.0 cm or more were followed with computed tomographic scans every 6 months until rupture, surgery, death, or deletion from follow-up. Surgery was performed for rupture (n = 22), improved medical condition (n = 37), increase in size (n = 95), symptoms (n = 17), and other reasons (n = 24). RESULTS: Fifty ruptures occurred during the follow-up period. The average risk of rupture (and standard error) in male patients with 5.0-cm to 5.9-cm AAA was 1.0% (0.01%) per year, in female patients with 5.0-cm to 5.9-cm AAA was 3.9% (0.15%) per year, in male patients with 6.0-cm or greater AAA was 14.1% (0.18%) per year, and in female patients with 6.0-cm or greater AAA was 22.3% (0.95%) per year. CONCLUSION: The risk of rupture in male patients with AAA 5.0 to 5.9 cm is low. The four-time higher risk of rupture in female patients with AAA 5.0 to 5.9 cm suggests a lower threshold for surgery be considered in fit women. The data regarding risk of rupture in patients with AAA 6.0 cm or more may allow more appropriate decision analysis for surgery in patients with unfit conditions with large AAA.     

Randomized clinical trial of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm in women

BACKGROUND: Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is commonly restricted to men. Recent studies have indicated a possible increase in deaths due to ruptured AAA in women, and a higher rate of rupture in women than in men. The present report details results from a randomized controlled trial that assessed the effects of screening women for AAA. METHODS: Some 9342 women aged 65-80 years were entered into the trial and randomized to age-matched screen and control groups. A single ultrasonographic scan was offered to women in the screening arm of the study. Women with an AAA received follow-up scans, and were considered for elective surgery if certain criteria were met. RESULTS: The prevalence of AAA was six times lower in women (1.3 per cent) than in men (7.6 per cent). Over 5- and 10-year follow-up intervals, the incidence of rupture was the same in the screened and control groups of women. CONCLUSION: Screening women for AAA is neither clinically indicated nor economically viable.     

Final follow‐up of the Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) randomized trial of abdominal aortic aneurysm screening

Background:

The long‐term effects of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening were investigated in extended follow‐up from the UK Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) randomized trial.

Methods:

A population‐based sample of men aged 65–74 years were randomized individually to invitation to ultrasound screening (invited group) or to a control group not offered screening. Patients with an AAA (3·0 cm or larger) detected at screening underwent surveillance and were offered surgery after predefined criteria had been met. Cause‐specific mortality data were analysed using Cox regression.

Results:

Some 67 770 men were enrolled in the study. Over 13 years, there were 224 AAA‐related deaths in the invited group and 381 in the control group, a 42 (95 per cent confidence interval 31 to 51) per cent reduction. There was no evidence of effect on other causes of death, but there was an overall reduction in all‐cause mortality of 3 (1 to 5) per cent. The degree of benefit seen in earlier years of follow‐up was slightly diminished by the occurrence of AAA ruptures in those with an aorta originally screened normal. About half of these ruptures had a baseline aortic diameter in the range 2·5–2·9 cm. It was estimated that 216 men need to be invited to screening to save one death over the next 13 years.

Conclusion:

Screening resulted in a reduction in all‐cause mortality, and the benefit in AAA‐related mortality continued to accumulate throughout follow‐up. Registration number: ISRCTN37381646 ( http://www.controlled‐trials.com ). Copyright © 2012 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Suitability for endovascular aneurysm repair in an unselected population

BACKGROUND: Tertiary referral centres report that up to 60 per cent of patients may be suitable for endovascular repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm (EVAR). The aim of this study was to determine the percentage of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) presenting to a county-wide vascular service that were suitable for EVAR, and to examine the outcome of subsequent AAA repair in relation to aneurysm morphology. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All patients being assessed for AAA repair between January 1998 and December 1999 underwent spiral computed tomography angiography to determine aneurysm morphology and suitability for EVAR. Subsequent outcome for all patients in the study was recorded in a prospective vascular database. RESULTS: A total of 115 patients was assessed. Sixty-three aneurysms (55 per cent) had one or more absolute contraindications to EVAR, a further 13 (11 per cent) had at least one relative contraindication, and 39 (34 per cent) had no contraindication. Of patients with no absolute contraindication to EVAR, ten underwent successful EVAR, five did not meet recognized criteria for surgery, one awaits EVAR, four remain under observation, one awaits open repair, and 31 underwent open repair without death. CONCLUSION: Only 30 per cent of unselected AAAs presenting to a vascular service are entirely suitable for EVAR; most of these patients can safely undergo open AAA repair. These data suggest that increased use of EVAR is only possible by deploying devices in suboptimal morphology, and in treating patients who would not normally be considered for open AAA repair.     

Aneurysm of the infrarenal abdominal aorta

Preoperative and postoperative treatment as well as standardisation of surgical techniques over the past 20 years have helped to bring about considerable reduction of operative mortality in cases of asymptomatic aortic aneurysm. Yet, with all improvement, rupture of aneurysm has continued to be associated with high rates of mortality. At the Department of Surgery of Cologne University, between 1963 and 1985, operations were performed on 681 patients for abdominal aortic aneurysm. Asymptomatic aneurysm were surgically removed from 41.7 per cent of them, while 27.5 per cent underwent surgery in symptomatic stages. Aneurysm had ruptured in 210 patients. Operative mortality accounted for 5.3 per cent of all asymptomatic patients. High mortality rates among patients with ruptured aortic aneurysms were attributable to preoperative shock. Only 16.3 per cent of patients survived in this group. The mortality rate among patients without shock amounted to 39.5 per cent.     

A screening program to identify risk factors for abdominal aortic aneurysms.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to explore the feasibility of a nurse-supervised aneurysm screening program to identify any independent risk factors for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) formation in high-risk patients. METHODS: We conducted a prospective observational study of 90 male patients in a university- affiliated hospital in southern Ontario. The patients were prospectively evaluated and all underwent abdominal ultrasonography, with the main outcome measure being detection of an AAA. RESULTS: AAAs were identified in 18 patients (20%) and had a mean diameter of 3.6 (range 2.8-6.0) cm. A separate analysis was performed to identify risk factors for the presence of an aneurysm. The presence of carotid artery disease proved to be the only statistically significant independent predictor of the presence of AAA (odds ratio 2.23, 95% confidence interval 1.76-2.56). CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms the feasibility of a nurse-supervised AAA screening program, and on the basis of these results we recommend ultrasonographic screening for AAA in patients with a history of carotid artery disease.     

Influence of gender on outcome from ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm

BACKGROUND: The aim of the present study was to compare outcomes following ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in men and women. METHODS: Overall mortality from ruptured AAA was compared in men and women using the Western Australia Health Services Research Database. The linked chains of de-identified hospital morbidity and death records were selected using the ICD-9-CM (International Classification of Diseases - Clinical Modification) diagnostic and procedure codes pertaining to AAA. Cases were divided into three groups for analysis: patients who died without admission to hospital, those admitted to hospital with a ruptured AAA but who did not undergo operation, and patients who underwent operation for ruptured AAA. RESULTS: Ruptured AAA occurred in 648 men and 225 women over the age of 55 years during the decade 1985-1994. Only 50 per cent of women, compared with 59 per cent of men, were admitted to hospital. Of those admitted to hospital only 37 per cent of women underwent operation, compared with 63 per cent of men. The overall mortality rate from ruptured AAA was 90 per cent in women and 76 per cent in men (chi2 = 50.34, 1 d.f., P < 0.0001). Although women were, on average, 6 years older than men, this unfavourable pattern occurred across all age groups. CONCLUSION: Women with a ruptured AAA are more likely to die than men. More research is required to identify the causes of this sex difference.     

Screening of abdominal aortic aneurysm: a pragmatic approach

In order to evaluate the feasibility of a selective screening programme for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) within an urban setting and assess its impact on the expected increase in workload for the local hospital(s), a population based, prospective study was performed. A total of 4823 men aged 65 years were invited for ultrasound examination of the abdominal aorta between January 1993 and April 1997 as part of a general practice-based aneurysm screening programme covering two districts with a general hospital each. All examinations were carried out by senior radiographers using a portable B mode grey scale machine and a 3.5 MHz curvi-linear array probe. Patients with a maximum aortic diameter of over 3 cm were annually recalled, those with over 4 cm were referred to hospital for an out-patient's appointment. Those with AAA greater than 5 cm were considered for surgery. Of those approached, 3497 (72.5%) took part in the study, 1206 (25%) did not attend and 120 (2.5%) were excluded by their general practitioners (GPs) on medical grounds. Of the men taking part, 3130 (89.5%) had an aortic diameter equal to or less than 2.5 cm, 196 (5.6%) between 2.6 and 3.0 cm, and 171 (4.9%) had aortic diameters greater than 3 cm--29 of whom had AAA greater than 5 cm with a mean diameter of 6.0 cm (range 5.1-9.0 cm). Of 127 men with an initial diameter of 3.1-4.0 cm (mean progression in size of 2.3 mm/year), 22 enlarged to > 4 cm and 3 to > 5 cm. Of 24 men with an initial diameter of 4.1-5.0 cm, 6 enlarged to > 5 cm. Some 69 (2%) patients were referred to hospital requiring a total of 125 consultations (1.8 consultations per patient); 21 underwent surgery and one died from rupture whilst awaiting surgery. Five patients refused their operation and two failed to attend the clinic (all > 5 cm) but remain well to date. No patient died following surgery. We conclude that, screening for AAA in men at age 65 years within an urban setting is feasible and well received by patients and GPs. Screening does not lead to a huge increase in terms of outpatient appointments and operations for AAA.     

Endovascular treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysms.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this paper is to briefly review the historical aspects and outcome of endoluminal abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair and summarise two studies presented at the 1997 and 1998 meetings of the Society for Vascular Surgery. PATIENTS: Between May 1992 and September 1998 the endoluminal method was used to repair arterial aneurysms in 304 patients at the Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, a tertiary referral teaching hospital. The study focuses on 243 patients with true AAA who underwent primary repair. There were 17 females and 226 males with a mean age of 72 years. Co-morbidities leading to rejection for conventional open repair were present in 83 patients. The criteria for inclusion included a segment of thrombus-free aorta between the lowermost renal artery and the commencement of the aneurysm of 1.5 cm or greater and iliac arteries that allowed access to the aorta from the groin. The technique involved the delivery of an endograft into the abdominal aorta by means of a sheath inserted through the femoral or iliac artery. Laparotomy associated with conventional open repair was avoided. Outcome measures included clinical examination and contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) within 10 days, at 6, 12, 18 months after operation and then annually thereafter. RESULTS: Endografts were successfully deployed in 226 patients. In the remaining 17 patients endoluminal repair was converted to open repair. There were 8 deaths within 30 days of operation giving a perioperative mortality rate of 3.3%. The two studies presented to the Society for Vascular Surgery concern: (i) a concurrent comparison of the endoluminal versus open methods of treating AAA; and (ii) a comparison of adverse events following endoluminal repair of AAA during two consecutive periods of time.     

The natural history of abdominal aortic aneurysms

This study examines the rate of expansion of abdominal aortic aneurysms and the risk of rupture in relation to their size. To assess these variables, we conducted a prospective study of 300 consecutive patients who presented over a 6-year interval with abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) that were initially managed nonoperatively. The mean age of the patients was 70.4 years, and 211 (70%) were men. The mean initial aneurysm diameter was 4.1 cm. Among the 208 patients who underwent more than one ultrasound or computed tomographic (CT) scan, the diameter of the aneurysm increased by a median of 0.3 cm per year. The 6-year cumulative incidence of rupture was 1% and 2% among patients with aneurysms less than 4.0 cm and 4.0 to 4.9 cm in diameter, respectively (p greater than 0.05). In comparison, the 6-year cumulative incidence of rupture was 20% among patients with aneurysms greater than 5.0 cm in diameter (p less than 0.004). We conclude that (1) abdominal aortic aneurysms expand at a median rate of 0.3 cm per year; and (2) the risk of rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysms less than 5.0 cm is substantially lower than the risk of rupture of aneurysms 5.0 cm or more in diameter.     

Late results concerning feasibility and compliance from a randomized trial of ultrasonographic screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm

BACKGROUND: The study was an update at 10 years of a randomized trial of the efficacy of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). The extent of benefit, feasibility and compliance were examined, and reasons why this intervention may fail a proportion of those screened were identified. METHODS: A total of 6058 men aged 65 years and over were randomized to a group invited to attend ultrasonographic screening or to a control group. The mortality rate from AAA in the two arms of the trial was compared using a Poisson model. Analyses were by intention to treat. RESULTS: There was a 21 per cent reduction in mortality rate from AAA over the 10-year follow-up (relative risk 0.79 (95 per cent confidence interval 0.53 to 1.40)). The observed relative mortality reduction peaked at 4 years with a 52 per cent reduction in the study group. Eighteen of 24 AAA deaths in the study group were among those who did not attend the first screen, or failed to comply with the follow-up protocol. CONCLUSION: A greater awareness of the benefits of full participation in a screening programme could provide a larger and sustained mortality reduction.