Nordic experience: expected decline in the incidence of mesotheliomas resulting from ceased exposure?

BACKGROUND: As a result mainly of information to workers and the public on prevention of effects of asbestos exposure, the use of asbestos for insulation was reduced to a minimum in the Nordic countries during the second half of the 1970's and the early 1980's. Stringent regulations when handling asbestos were introduced, and prohibition of use began in the early 1980's. Depending on the duration of the latency period between first exposure and the period of most intense exposure, a decline might be expected in the incidence of Malignant Mesothelioma (MM) 20-45 years after interruption of exposure. OBJECTIVES: to describe the incidence of MM after cessation of asbestos exposure in Nordic countries. METHODS: Nordic countries have cancer registers with information on all new cases of all cancers, over the past 4-6 decades. Cancer incidence data in these registers could describe long-term effects of interruption of asbestos exposure. RESULTS: Current male and female incidence in Norway is about 1.5 x 10(-5)/year and 0.2 x 10(-5)/year respectively, and appears to be increasing. Based on personal observations among 32 MM cases, a number of which resulting from low total asbestos exposure with mean latency of about 45 years, examples are presented of the MM incidence in Nordic countries, illustrating when a significant decline in MM incidence may be expected. CONCLUSIONS: 25 years after interruption of asbestos exposure, the expected rapid decline in MM incidence is still lacking, which appears to agree with population-based selection phenomena, with survival of a large pool of asbestos-exposed subjects with minimal exposure.     

A follow-up of cancer incidence among former Finnish dump site residents: 1999–2011

Abstract

Background:

In an analysis of the years 1976–1998, a 50% excess in cancer incidence was observed among residents in twelve blockhouses in Helsinki, Finland on a former dump area containing industrial and household waste.

Objective:

To assess cancer risk over a 13-year period 1999–2011 among residents formerly living in houses built on a dump area.

Methods:

All 1879 persons who ever lived in the former dump area were identified and the number of cancer cases in this population was obtained from the Finnish Cancer Registry.

Results:

After 5 years of residence at the dump site, the standardized incidence ratio of cancer (all sites combined) was 1·32 (95% CI: 0·94–1·79) in men and 0·53 (95% CI: 0·33–0·82) for women, in comparison with the general Helsinki population (1999–2011). No significant excess cancer risks were found.

Conclusions:

Residing on a former dump area was not found to result in an increased risk of cancer.     

A follow-up of cancer incidence among former Finnish dump site residents: 1999–2011

Background:

In an analysis of the years 1976–1998, a 50% excess in cancer incidence was observed among residents in twelve blockhouses in Helsinki, Finland on a former dump area containing industrial and household waste.

Objective:

To assess cancer risk over a 13-year period 1999–2011 among residents formerly living in houses built on a dump area.

Methods:

All 1879 persons who ever lived in the former dump area were identified and the number of cancer cases in this population was obtained from the Finnish Cancer Registry.

Results:

After 5 years of residence at the dump site, the standardized incidence ratio of cancer (all sites combined) was 1.32 (95% CI: 0.94–1.79) in men and 0.53 (95% CI: 0.33–0.82) for women, in comparison with the general Helsinki population (1999–2011). No significant excess cancer risks were found.

Conclusions:

Residing on a former dump area was not found to result in an increased risk of cancer.     

‘Why take chances?’ Advice on alcohol intake to pregnant and non-pregnant women in four Nordic countries

In this article we explore the construction of risk in government guidelines on alcohol intake during and before pregnancy in four Nordic countries given that there is no sound evidence linking a low level of alcohol intake during pregnancy to foetal harm. In the article we draw on two sources of data to examine the rationale behind the advice given to pregnant women: health education materials and other government documents, such as guidelines for professionals. We found that in all the four countries the government guidelines advised pregnant women to completely abstain from alcohol consumption, but there was some variation between the countries in the advice for non-pregnant women. The guidance in the four countries also differed in the extent to which they discussed the lack of evidence behind the abstinence advice and the precautionary approach on which the advice was based. In all the four countries the printed and widely circulated health education materials did not explain that the abstinence advice was not based on actual evidence of harm but on a precautionary approach. The other government documents adopted varying strategies for justifying the abstinence advice including not offering information about the uncertainty of the knowledge base, implying that there was evidence that low alcohol consumption was harmful to the foetus, acknowledging that a safe level of alcohol intake during pregnancy could not be specified and explaining the precautionary approach to risk. In this article we argue that the shift from ‘estimation of risk’ to the ‘precautionary principle’ is a part of a wider socio-cultural push towards broader employment of the precautionary principle as a strategy to manage uncertainty, and in the context of pregnancy, it is a part of the symbolic struggle to protect the purity of the foetus and construct the ‘perfect mother’.     

Trends in tuberculosis incidence and their determinants in 134?countries

Objective

To determine whether differences in national trends in tuberculosis incidence are attributable to the variable success of control programmes or to biological, social and economic factors.

Methods

We used trends in case notifications as a measure of trends in incidence in 134 countries, from 1997 to 2006, and used regression analysis to explore the associations between these trends and 32 measures covering various aspects of development (1), the economy (6), the population (3), behavioural and biological risk factors (9), health services (6) and tuberculosis (TB) control (7).

Findings

The TB incidence rate changed annually within a range of ±10% over the study period in the 134 countries examined, and its average value declined in 93 countries. The rate was declining more quickly in countries that had a higher human development index, lower child mortality and access to improved sanitation. General development measures were also dominant explanatory variables within regions, though correlation with TB incidence trends varied geographically. The TB incidence rate was falling more quickly in countries with greater health expenditure (situated in central and eastern Europe and the eastern Mediterranean), high-income countries with lower immigration, and countries with lower child mortality and HIV infection rates (located in Latin America and the Caribbean). The intensity of TB control varied widely, and a possible causal link with TB incidence was found only in Latin America and the Caribbean, where the rate of detection of smear-positive cases showed a negative correlation with national incidence trends.

Conclusion

Although TB control programmes have averted millions of deaths, their effects on transmission and incidence rates are not yet widely detectable.     

Levels of physical activity among adults 18–64 years old in 28 European countries

BackgroundSedentary lifestyle is associated with more than three million deaths annually. Data from the 2013 Eurobarometer survey were analyzed to assess levels of physical activity across the European Union (EU) and to explore factors associated with adequate and high physical activity.MethodsA representative sample of n = 19,978 individuals aged 18–64 years from the 28 EU countries (sub-sample of the Eurobarometer survey, wave 80.2) was analyzed. Frequency and average duration of walking, moderate and vigorous physical activity was assessed with a self-reported questionnaire. Participants were then classified as physically inactive or adequately/highly active, based on the World Health Organization's (WHO) recommendations. The total amount of MET-minutes (MET-min) per week was also calculated for each respondent.ResultsThe proportion of physically inactive individuals was 28.6%, (12.4% in Sweden to 53.7% in Cyprus), while 59.1% of the respondents (37.9% in Portugal and Cyprus to 72.2% in Sweden) were classified as highly active. The mean total weekly physical activity was 2151 MET-min (95%CI: 2095–2206), of which 891 MET-min (95%CI: 858–924) were contributed by vigorous exercise, 559 MET-min (95%CI: 540–578) by moderate exercise (excluding walking) and 690 MET-min (95%CI: 673–706) by walking. Male gender, younger age, residence in rural areas and Northern Europe, higher education level and ability to pay bills were independently associated with higher physical activity.ConclusionOne fourth of the EU population did not meet the WHO's recommendations for physical activity, with wide inequalities between and within countries. Wide-reaching environmental approaches are required to promote physical activity and address these inequalities.     

Prevention of zoonotic animal diseases: a step towards co-operation among Nordic authorities?

Aim  

With globalisation, the spreading and consequences of serious animal diseases will become an increasingly realistic threat, also to Nordic countries, their food animals and consumers. It has already been suggested that it might be useful to establish an army to manage all co-operations among countries, for instance, for medical co-operation needs. In light of this, it might also be important to guarantee the security of animal products and to fight together against animal diseases, some of which are potentially dangerous for human beings. The aim of this study was to investigate how the laws concerning animal diseases construct the reality of co-operation among authorities in different Nordic countries.     

Variations in 'avoidable' mortality: a reflection of variations in incidence?

BACKGROUND: Variations in 'avoidable' mortality may reflect variations in the quality of care, but they may also be due to variations in incidence or severity of diseases. We studied the association between regional variations in 'avoidable' mortality and variations in disease incidence. For a selection of conditions we also analysed whether the proportion of in-hospital deaths can explain the regional variations in incidence-adjusted mortality. METHODS: Relative risks for mortality, incidence, incidence-adjusted mortality and in-hospital mortality (1984-1994) were calculated by log-linear regression. Linear regression was used to examine the relationship between mortality and incidence on the one hand, and between incidence-adjusted mortality and in-hospital mortality on the other. RESULTS: Significant regional mortality variations were found for cervical cancer, cancer of the testis, hypertensive and cerebrovascular disease, influenza/pneumonia, cholecystitis/lithiasis, perinatal causes and congenital cardiovascular anomalies. Regional mortality differences in general were only partly accounted for by incidence variations. The only exception was cervical cancer, which no longer showed significant variations after adjustment for incidence. The contribution of inhospital mortality variations to total cause-specific mortality variations varied between conditions: the highest percentage of explained variance was found for mortality from CVA (60.1%) and appendicitis (29.2%). CONCLUSIONS: Incidence data are a worthy addition to studies on 'avoidable' mortality. It is to be expected that the incidence-adjusted mortality rates are more sensitive for quality-of-care variations than the 'crude' mortality variations. Nevertheless, further research at the individual level is needed to identify possible deficiencies in health care delivery.     

Forty-year coronary mortality trends and changes in major risk factors in the first 10 years of follow-up in the seven countries study

Time trends in coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality during a 40-year follow-up were studied in the Seven Countries Study. Thirteen cohorts of men aged 40–59 at entry were enrolled in seven countries (USA, Finland, the Netherlands, Italy, Serbia, Greece and Japan) for a total of 10,628 subjects. Cardiovascular risk factors were measured at entry and at the 10-year follow-up examination and coronary heart disease mortality data collected during 40 years. During the 40-year follow-up, the hazard rate of the Weibull parametric distribution (annual conditional risk of death) for CHD mortality tended to slightly decline in the US, Finnish, Dutch and Japanese cohorts, moderately increased in Italy and exponentially increased in cohorts of Serbia and Greece. A strong positive association was found between the shape of the hazard curve, describing the acceleration of the hazard, and a score of population mean risk factor changes (serum cholesterol, systolic blood pressure and smoking prevalence) observed during the first 10 years of follow-up, with a correlation coefficient of 0.91 between the two indicators. The countries with a relative decline in the annual hazard function were the same where, during the same historical period, large decreases in official death rate from CHD were recorded, and viceversa. The acceleration in mortality risk for CHD mortality in different countries, described by the shape of the Weibull distribution, is related to changes in mean levels of major coronary risk factors.     

The incidence of pertussis hospitalizations among Japanese infants: excess hospitalizations and complications?

We examined pertussis hospitalizations among infants aged <1 year between 2006 and 2008 using the nationwide inpatient database in Japan. A total of 660 infants hospitalized for pertussis were identified. Peak incidence occurred at age 1 month and infants aged 0-2 months (too young for pertussis vaccination) and ≥3 months (eligible for at least one dose of vaccination) accounted for 44·5% and 55·5% of hospitalizations, respectively. Complications related to pertussis were found in 165 (25·0%) cases, including one death; the age at admission did not differ significantly between patients with and those without complications (mean age 4·1 vs. 4·5 months, P=0·12). Seventeen patients required mechanical ventilation. Of the 17 cases, 14 infants were aged <3 months and three infants were aged ≥3 months. Our findings highlight that the vaccination schedule against pertussis may often be delayed in Japan.     

Measuring health inequality among children in developing countries: does the choice of the indicator of economic status matter?

Background  

Currently, poor-rich inequalities in health in developing countries receive a lot of attention from both researchers and policy makers. Since measuring economic status in developing countries is often problematic, different indicators of wealth are used in different studies. Until now, there is a lack of evidence on the extent to which the use of different measures of economic status affects the observed magnitude of health inequalities.     

Comparison of cancer incidence among similar geographic areas: A better source of etiologic hypotheses?

Difference in incidence rates of cancer of specific sites among different populations has been a powerful tool for the generation of etiologic hypotheses. The use of strictly comparable data from cancer registries, on populations from Italy, France, Switzerland and Spain, similar for geographic location, race and ancestry, shows unexpected differences of rates of single cancer sites, being significantly higher or lower than those of the same subgroup of registries. The study of risk factors associated with such differences might be more profitable than those carried out on the basis of comparisons between distantly located populations.Corresponding author.     

Apolipoprotein E genotypes and the incidence of Alzheimer's disease among persons aged 75 years and older: variation by use of antihypertensive medication?

The authors examined the impact of the apolipoprotein E (APOE)(*)epsilon4 allele on Alzheimer's disease incidence in relation to use of antihypertensive medication. A population-based (Kungsholmen Project) cohort of 985 nondemented Swedish subjects aged >/=75 years was followed for an average of 3 years (1990-1992); 164 dementia (122 Alzheimer's disease) cases were identified. Compared with (*)epsilon3/(*)epsilon3, the APOE(*)epsilon4 allele increased the risk of developing dementia (relative risk (RR) = 1.5, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1, 2.1) and Alzheimer's disease (RR = 1.7, 95% CI: 1.2, 2.5). Subjects using antihypertensive medication at baseline (n = 432, 80% used diuretics) had a decreased risk of dementia (RR = 0.6, 95% CI: 0.5, 0.9) and Alzheimer's disease (RR = 0.5, 95% CI: 0.3, 0.8) after adjustment for several variables, including APOE. The effect of antihypertensive medication use was more pronounced among (*)epsilon4 carriers. For those not using antihypertensive medication, the relative risks of dementia and Alzheimer's disease for carriers were 2.2 (95% CI: 1.4, 3.4) and 2.3 (95% CI: 1.4, 3.7), respectively. The corresponding relative risks for those using antihypertensive medication were 0.9 (95% CI: 0.5, 1.6) and 1.1 (95% CI: 0.6, 2.2). The APOE(*)epsilon4 allele is an important predictor of dementia and Alzheimer's disease incidence. Further studies are needed to clarify whether use of antihypertensive medication, especially diuretics, modifies the effect of the allele.     

Introduction of Hib conjugate vaccines in the non-industrialized world: experience in four ‘newly adopting’ countries

Hib conjugate vaccines are widely used in the industrialized world, but are just now beginning to be introduced into other countries. To identify factors facilitating rapid global introduction, we evaluated the decision-making process, mode of introduction, effectiveness, and impact on the immunization program of Hib conjugate vaccine introduction in four non- industrialized countries through site visits and use of a standardized questionnaire. The key promoters of Hib introduction were the pediatric community and ministries of health. Local surveillance and severity data were critical in the decision to adopt Hib vaccine. Assistance with surveillance, introduction guidelines, educational material, tenders, and funding is needed to accelerate wider adoption.     

Psychosocial health and life-events – dynamical development in the short term. A follow-up study of children at four and six years of age

In this paper, (1) the psychosocial health in relation to (2) life-events was assessed among 156 children attending 20 schools by parents and teachers with the Child Behavior Checklist and the Caregiver-Teacher Report Form at the ages of four and six. Life-events were reported by parents. (1) According to the report, 93–96% children had no psychosocial problems. Parents and teachers report significant improvement of externalising (behavioural) problems and total problems in children with psychosocial problems at point of time 1. Teachers also report improvement of internalising (emotional) problems. Parents and teachers agree in 8–25% of the cases. (2) Of the children 46% experienced life events, no correlation was found with changes in psychosocial health. Findings may be explained by regular school attendance, resilience of the children and variability in the normative development. Remarkable dynamic is observed in change of psychosocial problems. Psychosocial development in early childhood is rather liable to change and life-events do not strongly influence psychosocial health.     

‘We are despised in the hospitals’: sex workers' experiences of accessing health care in four African countries

Sex workers in east and southern Africa are exposed to multiple occupational health and safety risks. Detailed understanding of barriers to accessing care would optimise design of improved services for this population. In this study, trained sex workers conducted 55 in-depth interviews and 12 focus group discussions with 106 female, 26 male and 4 transgender sex workers across 6 urban sites in Kenya, Zimbabwe, Uganda and South Africa. Data were analysed thematically, following an interpretive framework. Participants cited numerous unmet health needs, including diagnosis and treatment for sexually transmitted infections and insufficient access to condoms and lubricant. Denial of treatment for injuries following physical assault or rape and general hostility from public-sector providers was common. Resources permitting, many sex workers attended private services, citing higher quality and respect for dignity and confidentiality. Sex workers in southern Africa accessed specialised sex worker clinics, reporting mostly positive experiences. Across sites, participants called for additional targeted services, but also sensitisation and training of public-sector providers. Criminalisation of sex workers and associated stigmatisation, particularly of transgender and male sex workers, hinder HIV-prevention efforts and render access to mainstream healthcare precarious. Alongside law reform, sex worker-led peer outreach work should be strengthened and calls by sex workers for additional targeted services heeded.     

Contrasts in active transport behaviour across four countries: How do they translate into public health benefits?

ObjectiveCountries and regions vary substantially in transport related physical activity that people gain from walking and cycling and in how this varies by age and gender. This study aims to quantify the population health impacts of differences between four settings.MethodThe Integrated Transport and Health Model (ITHIM) was used to estimate health impacts from changes to physical activity that would arise if adults in urban areas in England and Wales adopted travel patterns of Switzerland, the Netherlands, and California. The model was parameterised with data from travel surveys from each setting and estimated using Monte Carlo simulation. Two types of scenarios were created, one in which the total travel time budget was assumed to be fixed and one where total travel times varied.ResultsSubstantial population health benefits would accrue if people in England and Wales gained as much transport related physical activity as people in Switzerland or the Netherlands, whilst smaller but still considerable harms would occur if active travel fell to the level seen in California. The benefits from achieving the travel patterns of the high cycling Netherlands or high walking Switzerland were similar.ConclusionDifferences between high income countries in how people travel have important implications for population health.