Early organ dysfunction affects long-term survival in acute pancreatitis patients

Background

The effect of early organ dysfunction on long-term survival in acute pancreatitis (AP) patients is unknown.

Objective

The aim of this study was to ascertain whether early organ dysfunction impacts on long-term survival after an episode of AP.

Methods

A retrospective analysis was performed using survival data sourced from a prospectively maintained database of patients with AP admitted to the Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh during a 5-year period commencing January 2000. A multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) score of ≥ 2 during the first week of admission was used to define early organ dysfunction. After accounting for in-hospital deaths, long-term survival probabilities were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier test. The prognostic significance of patient characteristics was assessed by univariate and multivariate analyses using Cox''s proportional hazards methods.

Results

A total of 694 patients were studied (median follow-up: 8.8 years). Patients with early organ dysfunction (MODS group) were found to have died prematurely [mean survival: 10.0 years, 95% confidence interval (CI) 9.4–10.6 years] in comparison with the non-MODS group (mean survival: 11.6 years, 95% CI 11.2–11.9 years) (log-rank test, P = 0.001) after the exclusion of in-hospital deaths. Multivariate analysis confirmed MODS as an independent predictor of long-term survival [hazard ratio (HR): 1.528, 95% CI 1.72–2.176; P = 0.019] along with age (HR: 1.062; P < 0.001), alcohol-related aetiology (HR: 2.027; P = 0.001) and idiopathic aetiology (HR: 1.548; P = 0.048).

Conclusions

Early organ dysfunction in AP is an independent predictor of long-term survival even when in-hospital deaths are accounted for. Negative predictors also include age, and idiopathic and alcohol-related aetiologies.     

Is tumour size an underestimated feature in the current TNM system for malignancies of the pancreatic head?

Background

As the long-term survival of pancreatic head malignancies remains dismal, efforts have been made for a better patient selection and a tailored treatment. Tumour size could also be used for patient stratification.

Methods

One hundred and fourteen patients underwent a pancreaticoduodenectomy for pancreatic adenocarcinoma, peri-ampullary and biliary cancer stratified according to: ≤20 mm, 21–34 mm, 35–45 mm and >45 mm tumour size.

Results

Patients with tumour sizes of ≤20 mm had a N1 rate of 41% and a R1/2 rate of 7%. The median survival was 3.4 years. N1 and R1/2 rates increased to 84% and 31% for tumour sizes of 21–34 mm (P = 0.0002 for N, P = 0.02 for R). The median survival decreased to 1.6 years (P = 0.0003). A further increase in tumour size of 35–45 mm revealed a further increase of N1 and R1/2 rates of 93% (P < 0.0001) and 33%, respectively. The median survival was 1.2 years (P = 0.004). Tumour sizes >45 mm were related to a further decreased median survival of 1.1 years (P = 0.2), whereas N1 and R1/2 rates were 87% and 20%, respectively.

Discussion

Tumour size is an important feature of pancreatic head malignancies. A tumour diameter of 20 mm seems to be the cut-off above which an increased rate of incomplete resections and metastatic lymph nodes must be encountered and the median survival is reduced.     

Predicting patient survival after pancreaticoduodenectomy for malignancy: histopathological criteria based on perineural infiltration and lymphovascular invasion

Background:

Accurate and simple prognostic criteria based on histopathology following pancreaticoduodenectomy would be helpful in assessing prognosis and considering and evaluating adjuvant therapy. This study analysed the histological parameters influencing outcome following pancreaticoduodenectomy for periampullary malignancy.

Methods:

A total of 110 pancreaticoduodenectomies were performed from 1998 to 2008. The median age of patients was 69 years (range 20–89 years). The median follow-up was 4.9 years. Of the procedures, 87% (96) were performed for malignancies and the remainder (n= 14) for benign aetiologies. Of the 96 malignancies, 60 were pancreatic adenocarcinoma and the rest were ampullary (14), cholangio (9), duodenal (9) carcinomas and others. Statistical analysis was performed using log-rank and Cox regression multivariate analyses.

Results:

Patients who underwent resection had 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates of 70%, 46% and 41%, respectively. The 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates for periampullary cancers other than pancreatic adenocarcinoma were 83%, 69% and 61%, respectively; those for pancreatic adenocarcinoma were 62%, 31% and 27%, respectively (P < 0.003). Poor tumour differentiation (P < 0.02), tumour size >3 cm (P < 0.04), margin ≤2 mm (P < 0.02), nodal involvement (P < 0.003), perineural infiltration (P < 0.0001) and lymphovascular invasion (P < 0.002) were associated with poorer prognosis. In a multivariate analysis, histologically identified perineural infiltration (P < 0.03) and lymphovascular invasion (P= 0.05) were significant factors influencing outcome. Five-year survival was 77% in patients negative for both factors and 15% in patients positive for both (P < 0.0001). In the pancreatic adenocarcinoma subgroup, patients who were negative for both factors had a 5-year survival of 71%, whereas those who were positive for both had a 5-year survival of 16% (P < 0.02).

Conclusions:

The presence of perineural infiltration and lymphovascular invasion on histopathology is highly significant in predicting 5-year outcomes after pancreaticoduodenectomy for periampullary and pancreatic malignancies.     

Results of pancreatic surgery in the elderly: is age a barrier?

Background

By 2033, the number of people aged 85 years and over in the UK is projected to double, accounting for 5% of the total population. It is important to understand the surgical outcome after a pancreatic resection in the elderly to assist decision making.

Methods

Over a 9-year period (from January 2000 to August 2009), 428 consecutive patients who underwent a pancreatic resection were reviewed. Data were collected on mortality, complications, length of stay and survival. Patients were divided into two groups (younger than 70 and older than 70 years old) and outcomes were analysed.

Results

In all, 119 (27.8%) patients were ≥ 70 years and 309 (72.2%) patients were < 70 years. The median length of stay for the older and younger group was 15 days (range 3–91) and 14 days (range 3–144), respectively. The overall mortality was 3.4% in the older group and 2.6% in the younger group (P = 0.75). The older cohort had a cumulative median survival of 57.3 months (range 0–119), compared with 78.7 months (range 0–126) in the younger cohort (P < 0.0001). In patients undergoing a pancreatic resection for ductal adenocarcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma there was a significant difference in survival with P-values of 0.043 and 0.003, respectively. For ampullary adenocarcinoma, the older group had a median survival of 47.1 months compared with 68.3 months (P = 0.194).

Conclusion

Results from this study suggest that while elderly patients can safely undergo a pancreatic resection and that age alone should not preclude a pancreatic resection, there is still significant morbidity and mortality in the octogenarian subgroup with poor long-term survival with the need for quality-of-life assessment.     

Comparative Survival among Older Adults with Advanced Kidney Disease Managed Conservatively Versus with Dialysis

Background and objectives

Outcomes of older patients with ESRD undergoing RRT or conservative management (CM) are uncertain. Adequate survival data, specifically of older patients, are needed for proper counseling. We compared survival of older renal patients choosing either CM or RRT.

Design, setting, participants, & measurements

A retrospective survival analysis was performed of a single-center cohort in a nonacademic teaching hospital in The Netherlands from 2004 to 2014. Patients with ESRD ages ≥70 years old at the time that they opted for CM or RRT were included. Patients with acute on chronic renal failure needing immediate start of dialysis were excluded.

Results

In total, 107 patients chose CM, and 204 chose RRT. Patients choosing CM were older (mean±SD: 83±4.5 versus 76±4.4 years; P<0.001). The Davies comorbidity scores did not differ significantly between both groups. Median survival of those choosing RRT was higher than those choosing CM from time of modality choice (median; 75th to 25th percentiles: 3.1, 1.5–6.9 versus 1.5, 0.7–3.0 years; log-rank test: P<0.001) and all other starting points (P<0.001 in all patients). However, the survival advantage of patients choosing RRT was no longer observed in patients ages ≥80 years old (median; 75th to 25th percentiles: 2.1, 1.5–3.4 versus 1.4, 0.7–3.0 years; log-rank test: P=0.08). The survival advantage was also substantially reduced in patients ages ≥70 years old with Davies comorbidity scores of ≥3, particularly with cardiovascular comorbidity, although the RRT group maintained its survival advantage at the 5% significance level (median; 75th to 25th percentiles: 1.8, 0.7–4.1 versus 1.0, 0.6–1.4 years; log-rank test: P=0.02).

Conclusions

In this single–center observational study, there was no statistically significant survival advantage among patients ages ≥80 years old choosing RRT over CM. Comorbidity was associated with a lower survival advantage. This provides important information for decision making in older patients with ESRD. CM could be a reasonable alternative to RRT in selected patients.     

Tumour size over 3 cm predicts poor short-term outcomes after major liver resection for hilar cholangiocarcinoma. By the HC-AFC-2009 group

Introduction

As mortality and morbidity after a curative resection remains high, it is essential to identify pre-operative factors associated with an early death after a major resection.

Methods

Between 1998 and 2008, we selected a population of 331 patients having undergone a major hepatectomy including segment I with a lymphadenectomy and a common bile duct resection for a proven hilar cholangiocarcinoma in 21 tertiary centres. The study''s objective was to identify pre-operative predictors of early death (<12 months) after a resection.

Results

The study cohort consisted of 221 men and 110 women, with a median age of 61 years (range: 24–85). The post-operative mortality and morbidity rates were 8.2% and 61%, respectively. The 1-, 3- and 5-year overall survival rates were 85%, 64% and 53%, respectively. The median tumour size was 23 mm on pathology, ranging from 8 to 40. A tumour size >30 mm [odds ratio (OR) 2.471 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.136–7.339), P = 0.001] and major post-operative complication [OR 3.369 (95% CI 1.038–10.938), P = 0.004] were independently associated with death <12 months in a multivariate analysis.

Conclusion

The present analysis of a series of 331 patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma showed that tumour size >30 mm was independently associated with death <12 months.     

Model to predict survival after surgical resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: the Mayo Clinic experience

Background

The 7th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system has recently been validated and shown to predict survival in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). The present study attempted to investigate the validity of these findings.

Methods

A single-centre, retrospective cohort study was conducted. Histopathological restaging of disease subsequent to primary surgical resection was carried out in all consecutive ICC patients. Overall survival was compared using Kaplan–Meier estimates and log-rank tests.

Results

A total of 150 patients underwent surgery, 126 (84%) of whom met the present study''s inclusion criteria. Of these 126 patients, 68 (54%) were female. The median length of follow-up was 4.5 years. The median patient age was 58 years (range: 24–79 years). Median body mass index was 27 kg/m² (range: 17–46 kg/m²). Staging according to the AJCC 7th edition categorized 33 (26%) patients with stage I disease, 27 (21%) with stage II disease, five (4%) with stage III disease, and 61 (48%) with stage IVa disease. The AJCC 7th edition failed to accurately stratify survival in the current cohort; analysis revealed significantly worse survival in those with microvascular invasion, tumour size of >5 cm, grade 4 disease, multiple tumours and positive lymph nodes (P < 0.001). A negative resection margin was associated with improved survival (P < 0.001).

Conclusions

The AJCC 7th edition did not accurately predict survival in patients with ICC. A multivariable model including tumour size and differentiation in addition to the criteria used in the AJCC 7th edition may offer a more accurate method of predicting survival in patients with ICC.     

Time trends in the treatment and prognosis of resectable pancreatic cancer in a large tertiary referral centre

Objectives

Mortality in pancreatic cancer has remained unchanged over the last 20–30 years. The aim of the present study was to analyse survival trends in a selected population of patients submitted to resection for pancreatic cancer at a single institution.

Methods

Included were 544 patients who underwent pancreatectomy for pancreatic cancer between 1990 and 2009. Patients were categorized into two subgroups according to the decade in which resection was performed (1990–1999 and 2000–2009). Predictors of survival were analysed using univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

Totals of 114 (21%) and 430 (79%) resections were carried out during the periods 1990–1999 and 2000–2009, respectively (P < 0.0001). Hospital length of stay (16 days versus 10 days; P < 0.001) and postoperative mortality (3% versus 1%; P = 0.160) decreased over time. Median disease-specific survival significantly increased from 16 months in the first period to 29 months in the second period (P < 0.001). Following multivariate analysis, poorly differentiated tumour [hazard ratio (HR) 3.1, P < 0.001], lymph node metastases (HR = 1.9, P < 0.001), macroscopically positive margin (R2) resection (HR = 3.2, P < 0.0001), no adjuvant therapy (HR = 1.6, P < 0.001) and resection performed in the period 1990–1999 (HR = 2.18, P < 0.001) were significant independent predictors of a poor outcome.

Conclusions

Longterm survival after surgery for pancreatic cancer significantly improved over the period under study. Better patient selection and the routine use of adjuvant therapy may account for this improvement.     

Predicting recurrence patterns after resection of hepatocellular cancer

Background

The reliable prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence patterns potentially allows for the prioritization of patients for liver resection (LR) or transplantation.

Objectives

The aim of this study was to analyse clinicopathological factors and preoperative Milan criteria (MC) status in predicting patterns of HCC recurrence.

Methods

During 1992–2012, 320 patients undergoing LR for HCC were categorized preoperatively as being within or beyond the MC, as were recurrences.

Results

After a median follow-up of 47 months, 183 patients developed recurrence, giving a 5-year cumulative incidence of recurrence of 62.5%. Patients with preoperative disease within the MC had better survival outcomes than those with preoperative disease beyond the MC (median survival: 102 months versus 45 months; P < 0.001). Overall, 31% of patients had preoperative disease within the MC and 69% had preoperative disease beyond the MC. Estimated rates of recurrence-free survival at 5 years were 61.8% for all patients and 53.8% for patients with initial beyond-MC status. Independent factors for recurrence beyond-MC status included preoperative disease beyond the MC, the presence of microsatellite or multiple tumours and lymphovascular invasion (all: P < 0.001). A clinical risk score was used to predict survival and the likelihood of recurrence beyond the MC; patients with scores of 0, 1, 2 and 3 had 5- year incidence of recurring beyond-MC of 9.0%, 29.5%, 48.8% and 75.4%, respectively (P < 0.0001).

Conclusions

Regardless of initial MC status, at 5 years the majority of patients remained disease-free or experienced recurrence within the MC after LR, and thus were potentially eligible for salvage transplantation (ST). Incorporating clinicopathological parameters into the MC allows for better risk stratification, which improves the selection of patients for ST and identifies patients in need of closer surveillance.     

Prognostic value of the lymph node ratio after resection of periampullary carcinomas

Background

Data have indicated that the lymph node ratio (LNR) may be a better prognostic indicator than lymph node status in pancreatic cancer.

Objectives

To analyse the value of the LNR in patients undergoing resection for periampullary carcinomas.

Methods

A cut off value of 0.2 was assigned to the LNR in accordance with published studies. The impact of histopathological factors including a LNR was analysed using Kaplan–Meier and Cox regression methods.

Results

In total, 551 patients undergoing a resection (January 2000 to December 2010) were analysed. The median lymph node yield was 15, and 198 (34%) patients had a LNR > 0.2. In patients with a LNR of > 0.2, the median overall survival (OS) was 18 versus 33 months in patients with an LNR < 0.2 (P < 0.001). Univariate analysis demonstrated a LNR > 0.2, T and N stage, vascular or perineural invasion, grade and resection margin status to be significantly associated with OS. On multivariate analysis, only a LNR > 0.2, vascular or perineural invasion and margin positivity remained significant. In N1 disease, a LNR was able to distinguish survival in patients with a similar lymph node burden, and correlated with more aggressive tumour pathological variables.

Conclusion

A LNR > 0.2, and not lymph note status, is an independent prognostic factor for OS indicating the LNR should be utilized in outcome stratification.     

Predictors of survival and incidence of hepatoblastoma in the paediatric population

Objectives

This study evaluates current trends in incidence, clinical outcomes and factors predictive of survival in children with hepatoblastoma (HB).

Methods

The Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database was queried for the period 1973–2009 for all patients aged <20 years with HB.

Results

A total of 606 patients were identified. The age-adjusted incidence was 0.13 patients per 100 000 in 2009. An annual percentage change of 2.18% (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10–3.27; P < 0.05) was seen over the study period. Overall survival rates at 5, 10 and 20 years were 63%, 61% and 59%, respectively. Ten-year survival rates significantly improved in patients with resectable disease who underwent operative treatment in comparison with those with non-resectable HB (86% versus 39%; P < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis showed surgical treatment (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.23, 95% CI 0.17–0.31; P < 0.0001), Hispanic ethnicity (HR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.43–0.89; P = 0.01), local disease at presentation (HR = 0.43, 95% CI 0.29–0.63; P < 0.0001) and age < 5 years (HR = 0.63, 95% CI 0.41–0.95; P < 0.03) to be independent prognostic factors of survival.

Conclusions

The incidence of paediatric HB has increased over time. Hepatoblastoma is almost exclusively seen in children aged < 5 years. When HB presents after the age of 5 years, the prognosis is most unfavourable. Tumour extirpation markedly improves survival in paediatric patients with local disease.     

Influence of resection margin on survival in hepatic resections for colorectal liver metastases

Background:

Traditionally a 1-cm margin has been accepted as the gold standard for resection of colorectal liver metastases. Evidence is emerging that a lesser margin may provide equally acceptable outcomes, but a critical margin, below which recurrence is higher and survival poorer, has not been universally agreed. In a recent publication, we reported peri-operative morbidity and clear margin as the two independent prognostic factors. The aim of the current study was to further analyse the effect of the width of the surgical margin on patient survival to determine whether a margin of 1 mm is adequate.

Methods:

Two hundred and sixty-one consecutive primary liver resections for colorectal metastases were analysed from 1992 to 2007. The resection margins were assessed by microscopic examination of paraffin sections. The initial analysis was performed on five groups according to the resection margins: involved margin, 0–1 mm, >1–<4 mm, 4–<10 mm and ≥ 10 mm. Subsequent analysis was based on two groups: margin <1 mm and >1 mm.

Results:

With a median follow-up of 4.7 years, the overall 5-year patient and disease-free survival were 38% and 22%, respectively. There was no significant difference in patient- or disease-free survival between the three groups with resection margins >1 mm. When a comparison was made between patients with resection margins ≤1 mm and patients with resection margins >1 mm, there was a significant 5-year patient survival difference of 25% versus 43% (P < 0.04). However, the disease-free survival difference did not reach statistical significance (P= 0.14).

Conclusions:

In this cohort of patients, we have demonstrated that a resection margin of greater than 1 mm is associated with significantly improved 5-year overall survival, compared with involved margins or margins less than or equal to 1 mm. The possible beneficial effect of greater margins beyond 1 mm could not be demonstrated.     

Elevated CA 19-9 portends poor prognosis in patients undergoing resection of biliary malignancies

Background:

Biliary tree malignancies including cholangiocarcinoma and gallbladder cancer are aggressive cancers with a high disease-specific mortality despite resection. The aim of the present study was to identify predictors of survival after resection.

Methods:

A retrospective review of all patients that underwent radical resection of biliary malignancies was performed. Demographics, elevated CA19-9 (>35 U/ml), treatment and outcome data were collected and compared according to tumour location. Kaplan–Meier survival curves were created and compared using log-rank analysis. Multivariate analysis was undertaken using Cox proportional hazards regression.

Results:

Ninety-one patients with biliary malignancies underwent surgical resection between 1992 and 2007. There were 46 (50.5%) extrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas (EHC), 23 (25.2%) intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas (IHC) and 22 (24.2%) gallbladder carcinomas (GBC). The median (range) age was 64 (24–92) years. An elevated CA19-9 was recorded in 45 (55%) patients (52% of IHC, 63% of EHC, and 41% of GBC). The overall median (range) survival was 22.5 (0.3–153.3) months. All three groups were similar in terms of age, gender, pre-operative CA 19-9 level, completeness of resection and tumour histopathological characteristics. GBC were associated with the shortest median survival (14.3 months) followed by EHC (24.8 months) and IHC (30.4 months); however, this did not meet statistical significance (P= 0.971). Only elevated pre-operative CA 19-9 level (>35 U/ml) was predictive of poor median survival by univariate (P= 0.003) and multivariate analysis (15.1 months vs. 67.4, P= 0.047).

Conclusions:

Elevated pre-operative CA 19-9 levels were found to be independent predictors of poor survival after attempted resection for biliary tree malignancies. It is recommended that CA19-9 be routinely measured prior resection.     

Interaction of tumour biology and tumour burden in determining outcome after hepatic resection for colorectal metastases

Aims:

To determine the outcome of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) patients based on tumour burden, represented by tumour number and size, and tumour biology as assessed by an inflammatory response to tumour (IRT) and margin positivity.

Methods:

Data were collated from CRLM patients undergoing resection from January 1993 to March 2007. Patients were divided into: low (≤3 metastases and/or ≤3 cm); moderate (4–7 metastases and/or >3–≤5 cm); and high (≥8 metastases and/or >5 cm) tumour burden.

Results:

Seven hundred and five patients underwent resection, of which 154 (21.8%), 262 (37.2%) and 289 (41.0%) patients were in the low, moderate and high tumour burden groups, respectively. The 5-year disease-free (P < 0.001) and overall (P < 0.001) survival were significantly different between the groups. IRT (P < 0.001), extent of resection (P < 0.001) and margin (P < 0.001) also differed between the groups.Sub-group analysis revealed that IRT was the only adverse predictor for disease-free and overall survival in the low group. In the moderate group, IRT predicted poorer disease-free survival on multi-variate analysis. In the high group, R1 resection and transfusion were predictors of poorer disease-free survival and age ≥65 years, R1 resection and IRT were adverse predictors of overall survival.

Conclusion:

Resection margin influenced the outcome of patients with high tumour burden, hence the importance of achieving clear margins. IRT influenced the outcome of patients with less aggressive disease.     

Total pancreatectomy: a national study

Background:

Total pancreatectomy (TP) is performed for various indications. Historically, morbidity and mortality have been high. Recent series reporting improved peri-operative mortality have renewed interest in TP. We performed a national review of TP including indication, patient/hospital characteristics, complications and peri-operative mortality.

Methods:

The Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) was queried to identify TPs performed during 1998 to 2006. Univariate analyses were used to compare patient/hospital characteristics. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality. Post-operative complications/disposition were assessed.

Results:

From 1998 to 2006, 4013 weighted patient-discharges occurred for TP. Fifty-three per cent were male; mean age 58 years. Indication: neoplastic disease 67.8%. Post-operative complications occurred in 28%. Univariate analyses: TPs increased significantly (1998, n= 384 vs. 2006 n= 494, P < 0.01). 77.1% of TPs occurred in teaching hospitals (P < 0.0001), 86.4% in hospitals performing <five pancreatectomies/year (P < 0.0001). In-patient mortality was 8.5% with a significant decrease (12.4% 1998–2000 vs. 5.9% 2002–2006, P < 0.01). Multivariable analyses: advanced age [referent ≤50 years; ≥70 Adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 3.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33–8.67], select patient comorbidities and year (referent = 2004–2006; 1998–2000 AOR 2.70; 95% CI 1.41–5.14) independently predicted in-patient mortality whereas hospital surgical volume did not.

Discussion:

TP is increasingly performed nationwide with a concomitant decrease in peri-operative mortality. Patient characteristics, rather than hospital volume, predicted increased mortality.     

Open liver resection for colorectal metastases: better short- and long-term outcomes in patients potentially suitable for laparoscopic liver resection

Background:

There is no prospective randomized data comparing laparoscopic to open hepatectomy. This study compared short- and long-term outcomes in patients undergoing hepatectomy for colorectal metastases (CRM), who were suitable for either laparoscopic or open surgery.

Methods:

Data were prospectively collected from consecutive patients undergoing hepatic resection of CRM at a single centre (1987–2007). Patients who were suitable for laparoscopic resection (Group 1) were compared with patients whose tumour characteristics would best be considered for open resection (Group 2).

Results:

Out of 1152 hepatectomies, 266 (23.1%) were deemed suitable for a laparoscopic approach. The median (IQR) number of metastases was greater in Group 2 [2(1–20) vs. 1(1–10), P < 0.001], as was the mean (SD) tumour size [5.3(3.6) cm vs. 3.3(1.2) cm, P < 0.001]. The median (IQR) operation time [210 (70) min vs. 240 (90) min, P < 0.001] and blood loss [270 (265) ml vs. 355 (320) ml, P < 0.001] were less in Group 1. There was no difference in length of stay, morbidity or mortality. Patients in Group 2 had a higher R1 resection rate (14.9%) compared with Group 1 (4.5%, P < 0.001) and lower 5-year survival (37.8% vs. 44.2%, P= 0.005).

Discussion:

Current criteria for laparoscopic hepatectomy selects patients who have more straight-forward surgery, with less risk of an involved resection margin and better long-term survival, compared with patients unsuited to a laparoscopic approach. Clearly defined criteria for laparoscopic hepatectomy are essential to allow meaningful analysis of outcomes and the results of unrandomized series of laparoscopic hepatectomies must be interpreted with caution.     

Three Decades of Progress in Treating Childhood-Onset Lupus Nephritis

Summary

Background and objectives

Childhood-onset lupus nephritis (LN) carries a worse renal prognosis compared with adults. Controlled treatment trials in children are lacking. We compared renal and patient survival in a cohort of pediatric patients followed over 3 decades.

Design, settings, participants, & measurements

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 138 patients with childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus from 1980 to 2010. The core cohort included 95 with severe LN: 28 progressed to end-stage renal disease (ESRD group) whereas 67 did not (no-ESRD group). Patients were stratified into four “eras” according to the introduction of the primary immuno-suppressive drug: era 1: triple oral therapy with corticosteroids (CS), cyclophosphamide (CYC), and azathioprine (AZA); era 2: intravenous CYC; era 3: mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) ± CYC; era 4: rituximab (RTX) ± CYC ± MMF.

Results

Mean age at diagnosis was 12.3 ± 2.9 years with median follow-up of 5 years. Poor renal function (estimated GFR < 60 ml/min per 1.73 m²) and nephrotic proteinuria at diagnosis imparted a poor prognosis. Increasing proteinuria correlated with progression of kidney disease. The addition of MMF in era 3 improved 5-year renal survival from 52% to 91% and overall patient survival from 83% to 97%. African-American ethnicity was associated with significant risk for progression to ESRD whereas Hispanic ethnicity conferred an advantage. Infection and cardiovascular disease were the primary causes of patient demise.

Conclusions

Renal and patient survival in childhood-onset LN has improved during the past 3 decades with progressive treatment regimens. Future trials in children are very much warranted.     

Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score,as a prognostic factor for post-operative morbidity and mortality in cirrhotic patients,undergoing hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

Background/aims:

To evaluate the ability of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) in predicting the post-hepatectomy outcome for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods:

Between 2001 and 2004, 69 cirrhotic patients with HCC underwent hepatectomy and the results were retrospectively analysed. MELD score was associated with post-operative mortality and morbidity, hospital stay and 3-year survival.

Results:

Seventeen major and 52 minor resections were performed. Thirty-day mortality rate was 7.2%. MELD ≤ 9 was associated with no peri-operative mortality vs. 19% when MELD > 9 (P < 0.02). Overall morbidity rate was 36.23%; 48% when MELD > 9 vs. 25% when MELD ≤ 9 (P < 0.02). Median hospital stay was 12 days [8.8 days, when MELD ≤ 9 and 15.6 days when MELD > 9 (P = 0.037)]. Three-year survival reached 49% (66% when MELD ≤ 9; 32% when MELD > 9 (P < 0.01). In multivariate analysis, MELD > 9 (P < 0.01), clinical tumour symptoms (P < 0.05) and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score (P < 0.05) were independent predictors of peri-operative mortality; MELD > 9 (P < 0.01), tumour size >5 cm (P < 0.01), high tumour grade (P = 0.01) and absence of tumour capsule (P < 0.01) were independent predictors of decreased long-term survival.

Conclusion:

MELD score seems to predict outcome of cirrhotic patients with HCC, after hepatectomy.     

Survival in Pediatric Dialysis and Transplant Patients

Summary

Background and objectives

Long-term follow-up data are few in children with ESRD. We sought to describe long-term survival, assess risk factors for death, and compare survival between two time periods in pediatric ESRD patients.

Design, setting, participants, & measurements

We used a population-based retrospective cohort utilizing data from a national organ failure registry and from Canada''s universal healthcare system. We included 843 children (ages, 0 to 18) initiating renal replacement therapy from 1992 to 2007 and followed them until death or date of last contact (median follow-up, 6.8 years; interquartile range, 3.0 to 10.6). We assessed risk factors for death and examined cause-specific mortality.

Results

During 5991 patient-years of follow-up, 107 (12.7%) patients died. Unadjusted cumulative survival for the cohort was: 91.7% (95% CI, 89.8 to 93.7%) at 5 years and 85.8% (95% CI, 82.8 to 88.8%) at 10 years. Among patients commencing dialysis, overall adjusted survival was poorest among those who started dialysis at age <1 year. No secular trends in survival were noted for either dialysis or transplant patients. The proportion of incident patients receiving pre-emptive transplantation increased over time. Pre-emptively transplanted patients did not demonstrate superior adjusted survival compared with those who spent >2 years on dialysis before transplant (hazard ratio, 1.53; 95% CI, 0.63 to 3.67).

Conclusions

No significant improvements in survival were observed among ESRD patients over the study period. Time with transplant function had the strongest association with survival. Pre-emptive transplantation was not associated with improved survival in adjusted models.     

Actual 10-year survival following hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

Objectives

This study was conducted to compare 10-year survivors with patients who survived <10 years in a large Western series of patients submitted to hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

A retrospective review of a series of hepatic resections conducted in a referral centre for HCC between January 1987 and October 2002 was conducted.

Results

A total of 176 patients were analysed. Twenty-eight patients survived ≥ 10 years (Group A) and were compared with the 148 patients who did not (Group B). Group A had smaller tumours (5.7 cm versus 8.2 cm; P = 0.001) and a lower incidence of microvascular invasion (18.5% versus 37.1%; P = 0.004). Recurrence did not differ significantly (Group A 18/28, 64.3% versus Group B 94/148, 63.5%). Median time to recurrence was longer in Group A (70 months versus 15 months; P < 0.0001), and more patients in Group A were able to undergo curative treatment for recurrence (88.8% versus 40.4%; P < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis showed that lack of vascular invasion (P = 0.020), absence of perioperative transfusion (P = 0.014), and recurrence at >2 years after primary resection (P = 0.045) were significantly associated with 10-year survival.

Conclusions

Ten-year survival after liver resection for HCC can be expected in approximately 15% of patients. Recurrence does not preclude longterm survival. Recurrence at >2 years after resection, absence of vascular invasion, and absence of perioperative transfusion are independently associated with 10-year survival.