The mortality risks of smokers in Taiwan: Part I: cause-specific mortality

BACKGROUND: Few studies of adverse health effects from smoking have been conducted in southeastern Asian populations which may exhibit racial, cultural, and smoking behavioral differences that could affect mortality patterns. This study aims to quantify cause-specific mortality risks among cigarette smokers in Taiwan. METHODS: The study population for this investigation was derived from two existing prospective study cohorts: a community-based cohort and a cohort composed of civil servants and teachers. Smoking data were obtained by face-to-face interview in the community cohort and by self-administered questionnaire in the civil servant/teacher cohort. The mortality risks of current smokers, adjusted for age, were compared to those of nonsmokers using Cox's proportional hazards model and dose-response relationships were examined by variables of smoking intensity and duration. RESULTS: Male smokers had significantly higher all-cause mortality than nonsmokers. Cigarette smoking was also significantly associated with increased risks of dying from cancer, cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, chronic bronchitis, diabetes, peptic ulcer, liver cirrhosis, and kidney disease. In addition, smokers had an increase in risk of fatal injuries from motor vehicle accidents and nonmotor vehicle accidents, as well as cancers of the oral cavity nasopharynx, esophagus, stomach, rectum, liver, and lungs. Risks for women smokers were generally higher than those for men, although this is based on small numbers of smokers. In women, deaths from all causes, all cancers, and cancers of the cervix, liver, and lung, cardiovascular disease, and respiratory disease were also significantly increased. The mean age at death for smokers who died before age 65 from smoking-related diseases was 57.4 years, which represented a loss of 22 years of life expectancy. CONCLUSIONS: The pervasive and serious impact of cigarette smoking on the health of Taiwanese cannot be underestimated.     

Smoking and life expectancy among U.S. veterans.

Life expectancies were estimated for selected groups of smokers, ex-smokers, and nonsmokers based on the results of a 16-year mortality follow-up of 198,820 U.S. veterans. Life expectancy varied inversely with number of cigarettes smoked per day. The most pronounced differences were between nonsmokers and heavy cigarette smokers (40+ per day). These differences in life expectancy were greatest at the younger ages--nearly 9 years at ages 35 and 40. Life expectancies for cigarette smokers varied directly with age began smoking. For all ages, differences in life expectancy between nonsmokers and ex-cigarette smokers who stopped for other than doctor's orders were less than those between nonsmokers and current cigarette smokers. Results in the present study clearly confirmed Hammond's earlier findings.     

Risks of premature death from smoking in 15-year-old Australians

Abstract: This cross-sectional actuarial analysis of 1990 mortality data aimed to estimate absolute risk of premature death from all causes, and from lung cancer, ischaemic heart disease and chronic bronchitis/emphysema due to tobacco smoking in the Australian population, and to estimate the number of current 15-year-old smokers in the 1990 Australian population who will die prematurely due to smoking. Competing risks were allowed for in the calculations. In males, conditional life expectancy for 15-year-olds was 78.0 years in nonsmokers, 73.3 years in ever-smokers, and 71.5 years in smokers of more than one packet a day. For 15-year-old females, life expectancy was 82.0 years in nonsmokers, 78.4 years in eversmokers, and 76.9 years in smokers of more than one packet a day. The risk of premature death due to smoking in ever-smokers was estimated as 14.6 per cent in males (before 75 years) and 11.9 per cent in females (before 80 years), with lung cancer (male: 4.2 per cent; female: 3.4 per cent), ischaemic heart disease (male: 3.7 per cent; female: 1.7 per cent) and chronic bronchitis/emphysema (male: 2.4 per cent; female: 2.5 per cent) as the major contributors. From one year of 15-year-old male smokers (26 713), 3 916 premature deaths due to tobacco can be expected; this includes 1 106 lung cancer deaths, 991 ischaemic heart disease deaths and 641 chronic bronchitis/emphysema deaths. From one year of 15-year-old female smokers (32 355), 3 861 premature deaths can be expected; this includes 1 086 lung cancer deaths, 559 ischaemic heart disease deaths and 798 chronic bronchitis/emphysema deaths.     

Smoking and prevalence of disease in the 1983 Italian National Health Survey

The relation between smoking habits and selected chronic diseases was evaluated from the data of the 1983 Italian National Health Survey, based on 72,284 people aged 15 or over randomly selected within strata of geographical area, size of place of residence and of the household in order to be representative of the whole Italian population. The prevalence of all the 19 diseases or groups of diseases considered was elevated among ex-smokers, thus suggesting that the presence of any chronic condition stimulates cessation of smoking. The excess prevalence among ex-smokers was particularly large for myocardial infarction and other heart diseases. Four groups of diseases were positively related with current as well as with past cigarette smoking. These were chronic bronchitis, emphysema of the lung or respiratory insufficiency, gastroduodenal ulcer and varicose veins or haemorrhoids. For all these groups of diseases the relative risks were higher in heavy cigarette smokers. Compared with never smokers, the point estimates for subjects smoking 15 cigarettes per day or more were 2.6 for chronic bronchitis, 1.7 for emphysema of the lung, 2.1 for gastroduodenal ulcer and 1.6 for varicose veins or haemorrhoids. For bronchitis, ulcer and varicose veins or haemorrhoids the relative risks tended to be higher in younger and middle age groups. From these data, it was estimated that in the whole of Italy a total of about 900,000 prevalent cases of chronic bronchitis, 270,000 of emphysema, 610,000 gastroduodenal ulcers and 380,000 varicose veins or haemorrhoids could be associated with cigarette smoking.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

What determines mortality risk in male former cigarette smokers?

OBJECTIVES. The purpose of this study was to examine what factors determine the mortality experience of male ex-cigarette smokers, those who no longer smoke at all and those who changed to pipe or cigar smoking. METHODS. A cohort study was undertaken with 18-year mortality data on 19,018 men. RESULTS. Ex-cigarette smokers had an intermediate mortality risk compared with never and current smokers. Ex-cigarette smokers who switched to pipe smoking had higher mortality than those who no longer smoked at all. The mortality rates for pipe and cigar smokers who were former cigarette smokers were higher than those for pipe or cigar smokers who had never smoked cigarettes. Ex-cigarette smokers who consumed more than 20 cigarettes per day for more than 20 years experienced increased mortality for both coronary heart disease and neoplasms, even after 30 years of cessation. CONCLUSIONS. These results support the notion that an elevated mortality risk may be seen for ex-cigarette smokers, even after they have given up smoking for many years. Ex-cigarette smokers who change to a pipe have a greater mortality risk than those who no longer smoke at all.     

Smoking Habits and the Leukocyte Count

In 86,488 multiphasic examinations, mean leukocyte counts were highest in cigarette smokers, intermediate in ex-cigarette and cigar or pipe smokers, and lowest in nonsmokers. Among the races, whites had the highest, yellows next, and blacks the lowest leukocyte counts. The leukocyte count was related to quantity smoked, inhalation, and smoking duration. Most groups who changed smoking habits showed corresponding changes in leukocyte counts. Higher leukocyte counts in smokers appeared largely to be a direct effect of smoking, although a small part of the increase seemed attributable to chronic bronchitis. A contribution of genetic or constitutional differences between smokers and nonsmokers was not ruled out. “Normal” leukocyte count values should take into account age, sex, race, and smoking status.     

Estimating mortality due to cigarette smoking: two methods, same result

We estimated the mortality from various diseases caused by cigarette smoking using two methods and compared the results. In one method, the "Prevent" model is used to simulate the effect on mortality of the prevalence of cigarette smoking derived retrospectively. The other method, suggested by R. Peto et al (Lancet 1992;339:1268-1278), requires data on mortality from lung cancer among people who have never smoked and among smokers, but it does not require data on the prevalence of smoking. In the Prevent model, 33% of deaths among men and 23% of those among women in 1993 from lung cancer, chronic bronchitis, emphysema, ischemic heart disease, and stroke were caused by cigarette smoking. In the method proposed by Peto et al, 35% of deaths among men and 25% of deaths among women from these causes were estimated to be attributable to cigarette smoking. The differences between the two methods are small and appear to be explicable. The Prevent model can be used for more general scenarios of effective health promotion, but it requires more data than the Peto et al method, which can be used only to estimate mortality related to smoking.     

Cigarette smoking and mortality among Japanese males in a prospective cohort study]

The relationship between smoking and disease was studied in a prospective cohort study among a Japanese male working population. The relative risk of cigarette smoking was positively associated with mortality for all diseases and major neoplasms. In current smokers consuming 25 to 34 cigarettes per day, relative risk for all diseases, major neoplasms, and lung cancer compared to nonsmokers was 1.38, 2.04, 2.36, respectively. These data suggest that there is a positive relation between smoking and disease mortality in this male working population. As for ex-smokers, estimated relative risk for all neoplasms was between that of current smokers and nonsmokers.     

Serum albumin and risk of stroke, coronary heart disease, and mortality: the role of cigarette smoking

OBJECTIVE: Lower levels of serum albumin are associated with increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality as well as with coronary heart disease and stroke incidence. These relationships have been examined with specific focus on the role of cigarette smoking. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: A prospective study of 7,690 British men aged 40-59 years, with 16.8 years mean follow-up. RESULTS: Cigarette smoking was strongly and inversely associated with serum albumin concentrations that reverted to levels seen in never smokers after 5 years' cessation. Only in current and former smokers were there significant inverse relationships between serum albumin and risk of major CHD and stroke events even after adjustment for potential confounders. Only in current smokers was a significant inverse relationship seen between serum albumin and mortality from cardiovascular disease, cancer, and all causes. CONCLUSION: The inverse association between serum albumin concentration and disease outcome appears to be related to the effects of cigarette smoking on serum albumin concentration.     

山东农村人群吸烟及其对健康影响的调查

[目的 ]　研究吸烟对健康的影响。 [方法 ]　对农村人群中 15岁及其以上、每月 1日出生的男女及全部 40岁以上的男性 ,调查其吸烟情况、健康状况以及与健康相关因素。 [结果 ]　吸烟者消化性溃疡、全疾病等标化患病率显著高于不吸烟者 ;吸烟 2 0年以上者肺结核、慢支、肺气肿、消化性溃疡、高血压、全疾病等标化率均显著高于 2 0年以下者 ;开始吸烟年龄小于 2 0岁者消化性溃疡、慢支、全疾病等标化患病率显著高于 2 0岁以后开始者 ;吸旱烟者慢支、高血压、全疾病等标化患病率显著低于吸香烟者 ;中等吸烟量者引起消化性溃疡和慢支的危险年限分别为 9.8年和 2 9.4年。 [结论 ]　吸烟可使多种疾病患病的危险性增大 ,加强对全民 ,尤其是青少年关于烟害问题的健康教育是十分必要的。     

海南省成年人吸烟与心血管疾病发病风险的前瞻性研究

目的 探讨海南省成年人吸烟与各类心血管疾病发病风险的关联。方法 利用中英合作项目“中国慢性病前瞻性研究”项目海南省人群数据,剔除基线调查时自报患有冠心病、脑卒中和恶性肿瘤的个体后,纳入基线年龄为30～79岁的研究对象共28 940人,利用Cox回归分析计算非吸烟者、戒烟者和当前吸烟者的心血管疾病发病风险HR值和95%CI。结果 研究人群平均随访6.2年,累积随访177 279人年。随访期间男性1 310人,女性2 200人发病。男性吸烟率（47.0%）远高于女性吸烟率（0.3%）。多因素调整后,与非吸烟者相比,吸烟人群心血管疾病的发病风险有所增加,HR值(95%CI)分别为急性冠心病1.63(1.12～2.38)和缺血性心脏病1.53(1.22～1.91)。在当前吸烟者中,每天吸烟量多于30支的人群急性冠心病、缺血性脑卒中和出血性脑卒中的发病风险最高。结论 吸烟能够增加心血管疾病的发病风险,应基于不同心血管疾病风险制定吸烟者戒烟目标和全人群控烟措施。     

The British-Norwegian migrant study: 5-year mortality differentials due to cigarette smoking

Cigarette smoking and 5-year survivorship of 20,017 British and 10,016 Norwegian migrants to the United States were compared with 17,696 British and 26,155 Norwegian nonmigrants. The highest mortality ratios for 5-year age-adjusted death rates observed were of cigarette smokers to nonsmokers, ranging from 1.40 to 1.60 for men and from 1.18 to 1.36 for women. Mortality ratios of nonmigrants to migrants ranged from 1.07 to 1.19 for men and from 1.22 to 1.36 for women. Mortality ratios for British to Norwegian groups ranged from 1.13 to 1.27. Some differences in mortality ratios for cardiovascular diseases contrasted with mortality ratios for noncardiovascular diseases were noted. The most important of these differences was the apparent lack of any consistent difference between nonmigrants and migrants in their 5-year cardiovascular mortality rates, although there were consistent differences for noncardiovascular diseases.     

Mortality in relation to cigarette and pipe smoking: 16 years'' observation of 25,000 Swedish men.

In a random sample of 25,129 Swedish men who responded to a questionnaire on smoking habits in 1963 the cause specific mortality was followed through 1979. In the cohort, 32% smoked cigarettes, 27% a pipe, and 5% cigars. There were clear covariations (p less than 0.001) between the amount of tobacco smoked and the risk of death due to cancer of the oral cavity and larynx, oesophagus, liver, pancreas, lung, and bladder as well as due to bronchitis and emphysema, ischaemic heart disease, aortic aneurysm, and peptic ulcer. Pipe smokers showed similar risk levels to cigarette smokers. There was a close to linear increase in lung cancer risk in relation to the amount of tobacco smoked for cigarette, pipe, and cigar smokers, respectively. An increasing risk of ischaemic heart disease with amount smoked was seen among both cigarette and pipe smokers. A similar fraction of inhalers in Swedish cigarette and pipe smokers may explain the similarity in risks.     

The economic costs of smoking and benefits of quitting for individual smokers

The results of a study that estimated the expected lifetime economic consequences of cigarette smoking for individual smokers are reported herein. The estimates were obtained by combining age- and sex-specific estimates of the incidence-based costs of three smoking-related diseases (lung cancer, coronary heart disease, and emphysema) with estimates of smokers' increased likelihood of developing these illnesses in each remaining year of life relative to nonsmokers. Estimates of the economic consequences of quitting based on these disease cost estimates and on estimates of exsmokers' probability of future disease relative to continuing smokers are also reported. Both the estimates of the economic costs of smoking and the benefits of quitting were calculated separately for men and women between the ages of 35 and 79 who were light, moderate, or heavy cigarette smokers. While the economic costs of smoking varied considerably by sex, age, and amount smoked, they were significant for all groups of smokers. Costs for a 40-year-old man, for example, ranged from $20,000 for a smoker of less than one pack of cigarettes per day to over $56,000 for a smoker of more than two packs of cigarettes per day. The economic benefits of quitting also were found to be sizable for all groups of smokers.     

Cigarette smoking and mortality. MRFIT Research Group.

METHODS. The relationship of cigarette smoking and smoking cessation to mortality was investigated among men screened for and also among those randomized to the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial (MRFIT). RESULTS. Among the 361,662 men screened for the MRFIT, cigarette smoking was an important risk factor for all-cause, coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, and cancer mortality. These risks, on the log relative scale, were strongest for cancers of the lung, mouth, and larynx. The excess risk associated with cigarette smoking was greatest for death from CHD. Overall, approximately one-half of all deaths were associated with cigarette smoking. Among the 12,866 randomized participants, weak positive associations with duration of cigarette smoking habit and tar and nicotine levels were found with all-cause mortality. For both SI and UC men, substantial differences in subsequent CHD (34-49%) and all-cause (35-47%) mortality were evident for men who reported cigarette smoking cessation by the end of the trial compared with those continuing to smoke. There was no evidence that lung cancer death rates were lower among cigarette smokers who quite compared with those who continued to smoke in this 10-year follow-up period. CONCLUSION. The data are consistent with results of previous epidemiologic studies indicating that the benefits of smoking cessation on CHD are rapid, while for lung cancer, the benefit is not evident in a 10-year follow-up period.     

Excess mortality among cigarette smokers: changes in a 20-year interval.

OBJECTIVES: This study was undertaken to examine changes in smoking-specific death rates from the 1960s to the 1980s. METHODS: In two prospective studies, one from 1959 to 1965 and the other from 1982 to 1988, death rates from lung cancer, coronary heart disease, and other major smoking-related diseases were measured among more than 200,000 current smokers and 480,000 lifelong non-smokers in each study. RESULTS: From the first to the second study, lung cancer death rates (per 100,000) among current cigarette smokers increased from 26 to 155 in women and from 187 to 341 in men; the increase persisted after current daily cigarette consumption and years of smoking were controlled for. Rates among nonsmokers were stable. In contrast, coronary heart disease and stroke death rates decreased by more than 50% in both smokers and nonsmokers. The all-cause rate difference between smokers and nonsmokers doubled for women but was stable for men. CONCLUSIONS: Premature mortality (the difference in all-cause death rates between smokers and nonsmokers) doubled in women and continued unabated in men from the 1960s to the 1980s. Lung cancer surpassed coronary heart disease as the largest single contributor to smoking-attributable death among White middle-class smokers.     

Lifestyle and mortality among Norwegian men

Information on six different habits (cigarette smoking, physical activity, frequency of alcohol and of fruit/vegetable consumption, and daily bread and potato consumption) was obtained by two postal surveys (1964 and 1967) among Norwegian men. The answers were related to mortality among 10,187 respondents ages 35-74 years at the start of the follow-up period (1967-1978). Analyses, stratified by age, place of residence, marital status, and socioeconomic group, showed an association between the six variables and observed/expected deaths, as well as odds ratio estimates. A health practice score, obtained by adding the number of favorable habits, showed a strong inverse relationship with total mortality as well as deaths from cancer, cardiovascular diseases, and other causes. Odds ratio estimates for men with only favorable habits vs those with at most one such habit, were 0.31 for total mortality, 0.44 for cancer, and 0.36 for cardiovascular mortality. Separate analyses among current smokers and nonsmokers showed a particularly strong association between the five other habits and mortality from cardiovascular disease.     

How Much Do Rural Hispanics Know About the Adverse Health Risks of Smoking?

The object of this study was to measure knowledge in a rural Hispanic community about the adverse health effects of smoking and to compare knowledge between current smokers and nonsmokers. A survey was administered to waiting room patients (n =137) over 16 years old at three predominantly Hispanic rural community health centers in the central San Joaquin Valley of California. Proportions of respondents who believed that smoking caused a specific consequence were calculated and compared between smokers and nonsmokers by chi-square tests. Likelihood of attributing negative health consequences to smoking was determined and compared between smokers and nonsmokers. A majority of all participants (smokers and nonsmokers) knew that smoking causes lung cancer (93 percent) and emphysema (91 percent). Many fewer participants knew that smoking contributes to problems such as osteoporosis (39 percent) or sexual dysfunction (33 percent). Current smokers were less likely than nonsmokers (P=0.01) to say that smoking causes any adverse health outcome, including those not known to be related to smoking. Although this is a culturally, ethnically and geographically unique group, knowledge of smoking risks among smoking and nonsmoking rural Hispanics is similar to that found in the general population. When compared with nonsmokers, current smokers underestimate the risk that smoking poses to health.     

Smoking cessation and mortality trends among 118,000 Californians, 1960-1997.

We assessed the impact of smoking cessation on subsequent death rates among a cohort of 51,343 men and 66,751 women in California enrolled in late 1959 in the original American Cancer Society (ACS) Cancer Prevention Study (CPS I) and followed for 38 years. We compared the age-adjusted death rate, expressed as deaths per 1,000 person-years, among all subjects who smoked cigarettes in 1959 but who had largely quit as of 1997 with the death rate among never smokers over a 38-year period. The all causes death rate for males decreased from 20.67 during 1960-1969 to 18.68 during 1960-1997 for smokers and decreased from 10.51 to 9.46 for never smokers. The lung cancer death rate for males increased from 1.558 to 1.728 for smokers and increased from 0.127 to 0.133 for never smokers. The all causes death rate for females increased from 9.54 to 10.14 for smokers and decreased from 6.95 to 6.44 for never smokers. The lung cancer death rate for females increased greatly from 0.208 to 0.806 for smokers and increased from 0.094 to 0.116 for never smokers. These results indicate there has been no important decline in either the absolute or relative death rates from all causes and lung cancer for cigarette smokers as a whole compared with never smokers in this large cohort, in spite of a substantial degree of smoking cessation. While cessation clearly reduces the mortality risk among long-term former smokers, the population impact of cessation appears to be less than currently believed.     

Cigarette smoking and the risk of diabetes in women.

OBJECTIVES. Noninsulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease, is prevalent in more than 12 million Americans. A voluminous amount of data demonstrates that cigarette smoking is an important cause of cancer and coronary heart disease. However, the association between cigarette smoking and the risk of diabetes is virtually unexplored, especially in women. METHODS. We examined the association between smoking and the incidence of noninsulin-dependent diabetes mellitus among 114,247 female nurses who were free of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer in 1976. We collected exposure information and disease status prospectively for 12 years from biennially self-administered questionnaires. RESULTS. Current smokers had an increased risk of diabetes, and we observed a significant dose-response trend for higher risk among heavier smokers. During 1,277,589 person-years of follow-up, 2333 women were clinically diagnosed with diabetes. The relative risk of diabetes, adjusted for obesity and other risk factors, was 1.42 among women who smoked 25 or more cigarettes per day compared with nonsmokers. CONCLUSIONS. These data suggest that cigarette smoking may be an independent, modifiable risk factor for noninsulin-dependent diabetes mellitus.