Risk of cancer incidence and mortality associated with diabetes: A systematic review with trend analysis of 203 cohorts

AimWhether the relative risk of cancer incidence and mortality associated with diabetes has changed over time is unknown.Data synthesisOn August 12th, 2020, we electronically searched for observational studies reporting on the association between diabetes and cancer. We estimated temporal trends in the relative risk of cancer incidence or mortality associated with diabetes and calculated the ratio of relative risk (RRR) comparing different periods. As many as 193 eligible articles, reporting data on 203 cohorts (56,852,381 participants; 3,735,564 incident cancer cases; 185,404 cancer deaths) and covering the period 1951–2013, were included. The relative risk of all–site cancer incidence increased between 1980 and 2000 [RRR 1990 vs.1980: (1.24; 95% CI: 1.16, 1.34); 2000 vs.1990: (1.23; 1.15, 1.31)] and stabilised thereafter at a relative risk of 1.2; the relative risk of all–site cancer mortality was constant at about 1.2 from 1980 to 2010. Both magnitudes and trends in relative risk varied across cancer sites: the relative risk of colorectal, female breast, and endometrial cancer incidence and pancreatic cancer mortality was constant during the observed years; it increased for bladder, stomach, kidney, and pancreatic cancer incidence until 2000; and decreased for liver while increased for prostate, colon and gallbladder cancer incidence after 2000.ConclusionsAlongside the increasing prevalence of diabetes, the temporal patterns of the relative risk of cancer associated with diabetes may have contributed to the current burden of cancer in people with diabetes.     

Lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease and life expectancy with and without cardiovascular disease according to changes in metabolic syndrome status

Background and aimsThe relationship between dynamic changes in metabolic syndrome (MetS) status and lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) has not been reliably quantified. This study aimed to estimate lifetime risk of CVD and life expectancy with and without CVD according to dynamic MetS status.Methods and ResultsDynamic changes in MetS status were assessed: MetS-free, MetS-chronic, MetS-developed, and MetS-recovery groups. We used Modified Kaplan–Meier method to estimate lifetime risk and used multistate life table method to calculate life expectancy. Participants free of CVD at index ages 35 (n = 40 168), 45 (n = 33 569), and 55 (n = 18 546) years. At index age 35 years, we recorded 1341 CVD events during a median follow-up of 6.1 years. Lifetime risk of 33.9% (95% CI: 26.9%–41.0%) in MetS-recovery group was lower than that of 39.4% (95% CI: 36.1%–42.8%) in MetS-chronic group. Lifetime risk of 37.8% (95% CI: 30.6%–45.1%) in MetS-developed group was higher than that of 26.4% (95% CI: 22.7%–30.0%) in MetS-free group. At index age 35 years, life expectancy free of CVD for MetS-recovery group (44.1 years) was higher than that for MetS-chronic group (38.8 years). Life expectancy free of CVD for MetS-developed group (41.9 years) was lower than that for MetS-free group (46.7 years).ConclusionsRecovery from MetS was associated with decreased lifetime risk of CVD and a longer life expectancy free of CVD, whereas development of MetS was associated with increased lifetime risk of CVD and a shorter life expectancy free of CVD.     

Intake of legumes and cardiovascular disease: A systematic review and dose–response meta-analysis

AimsTo summarize the evidence on the association between the intake of legumes and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) overall, coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke, and to identify optimal intake levels for reduced disease risk through a systematic review and dose–response meta-analysis.Data synthesisWe have systematically searched PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science up to March, 2022 for the retrieval of intervention and observational studies (PROSPERO Reg. number: CRD42021247565). Pooled relative risks (RRs) comparing extreme categories of intake were computed using random-effects models. One-stage dose–response meta-analyses were also performed using random-effects models. 22 831 articles were screened resulting in 26 eligible observational studies (21 prospective cohort and 5 case–control studies). When comparing extreme categories of intake, the consumption of legumes was inversely associated with CVD (n = 25: RR = 0.94; 95%CI:0.89,0.99) and CHD (n = 16: RR = 0.90; 95%CI:0.85,0.96), but not with stroke (n = 9: RR = 1.00; 95%CI:0.93,1.08). We further found evidence for an inverse dose–response association with CHD, increasing in magnitude up to an intake of 400 g/week, after which the benefit seems to level-off.ConclusionsThe intake of legumes was associated with a reduced risk of CVD and CHD, but not with stroke, among individuals with the highest consumption levels. An intake level of 400 g/week seemed to provide the optimal cardiovascular benefit. Further research is needed to better understand the role of legumes in stroke subtypes.     

Triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and cardiovascular events in the general population: A systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies

AimsThe ratio of triglyceride (TG) to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) has been regarded as a novel surrogate indicator of insulin resistance and the atherogenic index of plasma. This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the association between the TG/HDL-C ratio and the incidence of cardiovascular events in the general population.Data synthesisCohort studies reporting the association between the TG/HDL-C ratio and cardiovascular events in the general population were obtained by a systematic literature search of PubMed, Embase and Web of Science databases until April 11, 2021. 13 cohort studies with a total of 207,515 participants were included in this meta-analysis. In a random-effects model, compared with those with the lowest category of the TG/HDL-C ratio, participants with the highest category were independently associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular events (pooled HR: 1.43, 95%CI: 1.26–1.62, I² = 72.9%). For the presence of publication bias detected by the Egger's test (p = 0.011), correction for publication bias using the trim-and-fill method reduced the HR to 1.26 (95%CI: 1.11–1.44). This result was consistent with the finding of the TG/HDL-C ratio analyzed as a continuous variable (pooled HR per unit increment of the TG/HDL-C ratio: 1.08, 95%CI: 1.04–1.12, I² = 67.0%). Subgroup analyses indicated that population gender, geographical region, duration of follow-up, adjustment for other lipid parameters, adjustment for diabetes and categorical number did not significantly vary the relationship.ConclusionElevated TG/HDL-C ratio may be independently associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events in the general population. More well-designed studies are needed to confirm the current findings.Registration number in PROSPEROCRD42021244583.     

Mean platelet volume modifies the contribution of homocysteine to cardiovascular disease: A real-world study

Background and aimsThe effect of reductions in homocysteine (Hcy) on cardiovascular disease (CVD) was suggested to be modified by platelet activation, but the interaction between Hcy and platelet activation on CVD events is not well studied. Here, we aimed to examine the interaction between Hcy and platelet activation on CVD in a large, real-world population.Methods and resultsA total of 27,234 patients with hypertension (mean 63 years, 48% male) who were registered in Taicang city and free of CVD were prospectively followed up for new CVD events from 2017 to 2020. Hcy and platelet indices including mean platelet volume (MPV) were assayed at baseline. A total of 1063 CVD events were recorded during follow-up. Hcy at baseline was significantly associated with a higher risk of CVD (HR = 1.85, P < 0.001 for log-transformed Hcy). MPV showed a significant interaction effect with Hcy on CVD (HR = 1.20, P = 0.030 for the interaction term). The association between Hcy and CVD was significantly stronger in participants with a large (vs. small) MPV (HR = 2.71 vs. 1.32, P = 0.029 for log-transformed Hcy). For participants with both elevated Hcy and a large MPV, the attributable proportion of CVD events due to their interaction was 0.26 (95% CI: 0.06–0.45).ConclusionsThe association between Hcy and CVD was significantly stronger in patients with hypertension with a larger MPV. MPV may modify the contribution of Hcy to CVD events through synergistic interactions with Hcy. These findings suggest that MPV could be monitored and controlled in the prevention of CVD.     

Remnant cholesterol as a risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in incident peritoneal dialysis patients

Background and aimsRemnant cholesterol (RC) adversely contributes to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and overall survival in various diseases. However, its role in CVD outcomes and all-cause mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD) is limited. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the association between RC and all-cause and CVD mortality in patients undergoing PD.Methods and resultsBased on lipid profiles recorded using standard laboratory procedures, fasting RC levels were calculated in 2710 incident patients undergoing PD who were enrolled between January 2006 and December 2017 and followed up until December 2018. Patients were divided into four groups according to the quartile distribution of baseline RC levels (Q1: <0.40 mmol/L, Q2: 0.40 to <0.64 mmol/L, Q3: 0.64 to <1.03 mmol/L, and Q4: ≥1.03 mmol/L). Associations between RC and CVD and all-cause mortality were evaluated using multivariable Cox models. During the median follow-up period of 35.4 months (interquartile range, 20.9–57.2 months), 820 deaths were recorded, of which 438 were CVD-related. Smoothing plots showed non-linear relationships between RC and adverse outcomes. The risks of all-cause and CVD mortality increased progressively through the quartiles (log-rank, p < 0.001). Using adjusted proportional hazard models, a comparison of the highest (Q4) to lowest (Q1) quartiles revealed significant increases in the hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality (HR 1.95 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.51–2.51]) and CVD mortality risk (HR 2.60 [95% CI, 1.80–3.75]).ConclusionAn increased RC level was independently associated with all-cause and CVD mortality in patients undergoing PD, suggesting that RC was important clinically and required further research.     

CAPTURE: A cross-sectional study on the prevalence of cardiovascular disease in adults with type 2 diabetes in Italy

Background and aimsThe prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in Italy is increasing and cardiovascular disease (CVD) represents the leading cause of death in this population. CAPTURE was a multinational, multicentre, non-interventional, cross-sectional study assessing the prevalence of CVD, atherosclerotic CVD (AsCVD) and CVD subtypes among patients with T2D, across 13 countries. Here we report the results from Italy.Methods and resultsOverall, 816 patients with T2D (median age, 69 years [interquartile range: 62–75]; median duration of diabetes, 11.2 years [interquartile range: 5.7–18.7]) were recruited during routine clinical visits at secondary care centres in Italy between December 2018–September 2019. The prevalence of CVD was estimated at 38.8%, largely accounted for by AsCVD (33.1%). The most prevalent CVD subtype was coronary heart disease (20.8%), followed by carotid artery disease (13.2%). Most patients (85.9%) were prescribed oral glucose-lowering agents (GLAs), particularly biguanide (76.7%). Insulin use was higher in patients with CVD (41.3%) than in patients without CVD (32.9%). Sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) were prescribed to 20.2% vs 14.6%, and 14.5% vs 16.6% of patients with CVD compared to those without CVD, respectively.ConclusionThe results show that, in Italy, more than one in three patients with T2D attending secondary care centres have CVD, 85% of whom have AsCVD, yet only a minority are treated with SGLT2is and GLP-1 RAs, in discordance with the recommendations of current national and international guidelines.     

Effects of weight loss medications on mortality and cardiovascular events: A systematic review of randomized controlled trials in adults with overweight and obesity

AimsAdults affected by obesity are at higher risk of premature mortality. Medications can help to lose weight and to maintain weight loss. Aim of this meta-analysis was to assess whether anti-obesity medications affect all-cause mortality, mortality due to cardiovascular events, cardiovascular risk factors and body weight.Data synthesisA Medline search was performed to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of anti-obesity medications in adults with overweight or obesity reporting data on all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality or non-fatal cardiovascular events, with a follow-up of at least 6 months. We identified 28 RCTs with 50,106 participants. The median follow-up was 52 weeks. Evidence did not show superiority of anti-obesity medications over placebo in reducing all-cause mortality (risk ratio 1.03, 95%Confidence Interval [CI] 0.87 to 1.21) or cardiovascular mortality (risk ratio 0.92, 95%CI 0.72 to 1.18). All-cause mortality rate was positively associated with weight loss (β = 0.0007; p = 0.045); hence, for each kg of body weight lost there was a 0.07% decrease of all-cause mortality. The pharmacological treatment reduced total-cholesterol (7.15 mg/dl; 95%CI 1.46–12.85), LDL-cholesterol (5.06 mg/dl; 95%CI 1.12–9.00), and triglycerides levels (9.88 mg/dl; 95%CI 5.02–14.75), while it increased HDL-cholesterol (1.37 mg/dl; 95%CI 0.17–2.57). Systolic blood pressure decreased (0.90 mmHg; 95%CI 0.15–1.64).ConclusionsAlthough we were unable to demonstrate a superiority of anti-obesity medications over placebo on mortality, metaregression showed that even a small weight reduction tends to reduce all-cause mortality in obesity. Our data support public health measures to reduce the obesity burden by including the use of anti-obesity medications.Registration number (PROSPERO)CRD42020210329.     

Three-fold Increased Risk of Death in Budd-Chiari Syndrome Compared to Matched Controls: A Population-based Cohort Study

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Effect of one-anastomosis gastric bypass on cardiovascular risk factors in patients with vitamin D deficiency and morbid obesity: A secondary analysis

Background and aimsBariatric patients often suffer from vitamin D (VD) deficiency, and both, morbid obesity and VD deficiency, are related to an adverse effect on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Therefore, we assessed the change of known CVD risk factors and its associations during the first 12 months following one-anastomosis gastric bypass (OAGB).Methods and resultsIn this secondary analysis, CVD risk factors, medical history and anthropometric data were assessed in fifty VD deficient (25-hydroxy-vitamin D (25(OH)D) <75 nmol/l) patients, recruited for a randomized controlled trial of VD supplementation. Based on previous results regarding bone-mass loss and the association between VD and CVD risk, the study population was divided into patients with 25(OH)D ≥50 nmol/l (adequate VD group; AVD) and into those <50 nmol/l (inadequate VD group; IVD) at 6 and 12 months (T6/12) postoperatively. In the whole cohort, substantial remission rates for hypertension (38%), diabetes (30%), and dyslipidaemia (41%) and a significant reduction in CVD risk factors were observed at T12. Changes of insulin resistance markers were associated with changes of total body fat mass (TBF%), 25(OH)D, and ferritin. Moreover, significant differences in insulin resistance markers between AVD and IVD became evident at T12.ConclusionThese findings show that OAGB leads to a significant reduction in CVD risk factors and amelioration of insulin resistance markers, which might be connected to reduced TBF%, change in 25(OH)D and ferritin levels, as an indicator for subclinical inflammation, and an adequate VD status.Registered at clinicaltrials.gov(Identifier: NCT02092376) and EudraCT (Identifier: 2013-003546-16).     

Neck circumference for predicting the occurrence of future cardiovascular events: A 7.6-year longitudinal study

Background & aimsThis study aimed to investigate whether neck circumference (NC) could be used to predict future cardiovascular (CV) events in a community-based Chinese cohort.Methods and resultsWe enrolled 1435 participants aged 50–80 years (men, 43.62%) from communities in Shanghai. High NC was defined as NC ≥ 38.5 cm in men and NC ≥ 34.5 cm in women. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression were performed to explore the association between NC and CV events. During a mean follow-up period of 7.6 years, 148 CV events (10.31%) occurred. The incidence of CV events was higher in men than in women (83 (13.26%) vs. 65 (8.03%), P = 0.002). Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analysis showed that for every 1-SD increase in NC in the whole population, the hazard ratio (HR) of CV events was 1.45 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15–1.83). The dose-response association between NC and CV events was significant in men (HR, 1.37, 95% CI, 1.10–1.71) but not in women (HR, 1.19, 95% CI, 0.94–1.52). In comparison with participants showing low baseline NC, those with high baseline NC showed a significantly higher risk of CV events (HR, 1.59, 95% CI, 1.14–2.22). Further stratified by sex, the positive association remained significant in men (HR, 1.90, 95% CI, 1.21–2.98) but not in women (HR, 1.25, 95% CI, 0.75–2.07).ConclusionNC was significantly associated with the risk of future CV events in middle-aged and elderly populations in the community and was a better predictor in men.     

Exposure to Chinese famine in early life modifies the association between hyperglycaemia and cardiovascular disease

Background and aimsThe Great Leap Forward Famine during 1959–1961 was the world's largest famine, and its adverse long-term effects might be more apparent in the coming decade with ageing of the exposed populations. The aim of this study was to examine whether the Chinese Famine modified the effect of hyperglycaemia on cardiovascular disease (CVD).Methods and resultsWe used data of 4337 adults born between 1952 and 1964 collected from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and confidence intervals (CIs) between hyperglycaemia and CVD. The prevalence of CVD showed significant difference among different famine exposure cohorts (P = 0.0156). After multivariable adjustment, the ORs (95% CIs) were as follows: 1.46 (0.94, 2.26) for late childhood, 1.76 (1.06, 2.90) for mid childhood, 1.40 (0.86, 2.27) for early childhood, 2.55 (1.30, 5.02) for the foetal cohort and 1.10 (0.63, 1.95) for the non-exposed cohort. There was a significant interaction between hyperglycaemia and famine exposure for CVD (P = 0.0374). In addition, the subgroup analyses showed that the effect of hyperglycaemia on CVD in the foetal exposure cohort was significantly higher than those in any of the other famine-exposed cohorts, especially in those who lived in rural areas (OR: 4.67, 95% CI: 1.70–12.84), those who lived in severe famine areas (OR: 5.01, 95% CI: 1.22–20.66) and those who were men (OR: 3.66, 95% CI: 1.01–13.33).ConclusionExposure to the Chinese Famine, especially during the foetal stage of life, aggravated the association between hyperglycaemia and CVD.     

Effect of body mass index trajectory on lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease in a Chinese population: A cohort study

Background and aimsThe longitudinal trajectories of body mass index (BMI) can reflect the pattern of BMI changes. Lifetime risk quantifies the cumulative risk of developing a disease over the remaining life of a person. We aimed to identify the trajectory of BMI and explore its association with cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the Chinese population.Methods and resultsA total of 68,603 participants with a mean age of 55.46 years were included from the Kailuan cohort in Tangshan, China, who were free of CVD and cancer and with repeated measurements of BMI from 2006 to 2010. A latent mixture model was used to identify BMI trajectories. An improved Kaplan-Meier estimator was used to predict the lifetime risk of CVD according to BMI trajectories. During a median follow-up of 7.0 years, 3325 participants developed CVD. Five BMI trajectories were identified at three index ages (35, 45, and 55) respectively. For index age 35 years, compared with the stable low-normal weight group (22.7% [95% CI, 20.0%–25.4%]), the stable high-normal weight (27.6% [25.6%–29.5%]), stable overweight (29.4% [27.4%–31.4%]), stable-low obesity (32.8% [30.0%–35.5%]), and stable-high obesity (38.9% [33.3%–44.5%]) groups had a higher lifetime risk of CVD (P < 0.05). We observed similar patterns for stroke and myocardial infarction. Similarly, the lifetime risk of CVD was higher in the long-term overweight and obese groups at 45 and 55 index ages.ConclusionsLong-term overweight and obesity were associated with an increased lifetime risk of CVD. Our findings could assist in predicting the population burden of CVD.     

Contribution of metabolic risk factors and lifestyle behaviors to cardiovascular disease: A mendelian randomization study

Background and aimsEtiologic associations between some modifiable factors (metabolic risk factors and lifestyle behaviors) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remain unclear. To identify targets for CVD prevention, we evaluated the causal associations of these factors with coronary artery disease (CAD) and ischemic stroke using a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) method.Methods and resultsPreviously published genome-wide association studies (GWASs) for blood pressure (BP), glucose, lipids, overweight, smoking, alcohol intake, sedentariness, and education were used to identify instruments for 15 modifiable factors. We extracted effects of the genetic variants used as instruments for the exposures on coronary artery disease (CAD) and ischemic stroke from large GWASs (N = 60 801 cases/123 504 controls for CAD and N = 40 585 cases/406 111 controls for ischemic stroke). Genetically predicted hypertension (CAD: OR, 5.19 [95% CI, 4.21–6.41]; ischemic stroke: OR, 4.92 [4.12–5.86]), systolic BP (CAD: OR, 1.03 [1.03–1.04]; ischemic stroke: OR, 1.03 [1.03–1.03]), diastolic BP (CAD: OR, 1.05 [1.05–1.06]; ischemic stroke: OR, 1.05 [1.04–1.05]), type 2 diabetes (CAD: OR, 1.11 [1.08–1.15]; ischemic stroke: OR, 1.07 [1.04-1.10]), smoking initiation (CAD: OR, 1.26 [1.18–1.35]; ischemic stroke: OR, 1.24 [1.16–1.33]), educational attainment (CAD: OR, 0.62 [0.58–0.66]; ischemic stroke: OR, 0.68 [0.63–0.72]), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (CAD: OR, 1.55 [1.41–1.71]), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (CAD: OR, 0.82 [0.74–0.91]), triglycerides (CAD: OR, 1.29 [1.14–1.45]), body mass index (CAD: OR, 1.25 [1.19–1.32]), and alcohol dependence (OR, 1.04 [1.03–1.06]) were causally related to CVD.ConclusionThis systematic MR study identified 11 modifiable factors as causal risk factors for CVD, indicating that these factors are important targets for preventing CVD.     

A Prospective Diet-Wide Association Study for Risk of Colorectal Cancer in EPIC

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