Natriuretic peptides as predictors of non-sudden and sudden cardiac death after acute myocardial infarction in the beta-blocking era

OBJECTIVES: This prospective study tested whether the natriuretic peptides predict cardiac death among patients using beta-blocking therapy after an acute myocardial infarction (AMI). BACKGROUND: Natriuretic peptides have provided prognostic information after AMI, but their predictive value has not been well established in the era of beta-blocker use. METHODS: A series of 521 patients (mean age 61 +/- 10 years) with AMI was included in the study. The end points were total mortality and non-sudden and sudden cardiac death (SCD). Plasma concentrations of atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP), N-terminal atrial natriuretic propeptide (N-ANP), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), and ejection fraction (EF) were analyzed before hospital discharge. The cardiac medication was optimized (e.g., adherence to beta-blocking therapy was 97% at discharge and 95% at one year after AMI). RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 43 +/- 13 months, total mortality was 11.5% (60/521), cardiac mortality was 6.3% (33/521), and 3.1% (16/521) experienced SCD. On univariate analysis, high levels of all measured peptides and low EF predicted the occurrence of non-SCD (p < 0.001 for all). Peptides and EF also predicted the occurrence of SCD (p < 0.05), with elevated BNP (>23.0 pmol/l) being the most powerful predictor (hazard ratio [HR] 4.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4 to 13.8; p = 0.01). After adjusting for clinical variables, only elevated BNP (HR 3.9, 95% CI 1.2 to 12.3, p = 0.02) and low EF (<40%) (p = 0.03) remained as significant predictors of SCD. CONCLUSIONS: Natriuretic peptides retain their prognostic value in the beta-blocking era among survivors of AMI. Elevated BNP provides information on the risk of subsequent SCD, independent of clinical variables and left ventricular EF.     

Prediction of sudden cardiac death after acute myocardial infarction: role of Holter monitoring in the modern treatment era.

AIMS: Current treatment may have changed the risk profiles of survivors of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We evaluated the utility of Holter-based risk variables in the prediction of sudden cardiac death (SCD) among survivors of AMI treated with modern therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 2130 AMI patients (mean age 59 +/- 10 years) were included. The patients were treated with modern therapeutic strategies, for example, 94% were on beta-blocking therapy and 70% underwent coronary revascularization. Various risk parameters from Holter monitoring were analysed. During a median follow-up of 1012 days (interquartile range: 750-1416 days), cardiac mortality was 113/2130, including 52 SCDs. All Holter variables predicted the occurrence of SCD (P<0.01), but only reduced post-ectopic turbulence slope (TS) (P<0.001) and non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (P<0.01) remained as marked SCD predictors after adjustment for age, diabetes, and ejection fraction (EF). In a subgroup analysis, none of the Holter variables predicted SCD among those with an EF < or = 0.35, but many variables predicted SCD among those with an EF >0.35, particularly TS (hazard ratio 5.9; 95% CI 2.9-11.7, P<0.001). CONCLUSION: Among the post-AMI patients treated according to the current guidelines, the incidence of SCD is low. Various Holter variables still predict the occurrence of SCD, particularly among the patients with preserved left ventricular function.     

Usefulness of T-wave loop and QRS complex loop to predict mortality after acute myocardial infarction

The aim of the study was to assess whether parameters based on the T-wave loop and QRS loop predict mortality, and cardiac mortality in particular, during follow-up of consecutive survivors of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Patients with AMI (n = 437), treated according to contemporary guidelines, underwent digital high-resolution electrocardiography in orthogonal Frank leads (X, Y, Z) 5 to 14 days after AMI. Several T-wave and QRS loop parameters, such as the width and height of the loops and their ratio, T-wave loop dispersion (TWLD), QRS loop dispersion, and co-sine of the angle between the main vectors of the T-wave and QRS loops (TCRT), were calculated using a custom-made software package. During an average follow-up period of 43 +/- 14 months, 53 patients (12%) died. Of these 53 deaths, 35 were cardiac. TWLD and TCRT were the T-wave loop/QRS loop parameters that best predicted for cardiac mortality on univariate comparison (35.4 +/- 5.62 vs 32.8 +/- 2.87 for TWLD, p < 0.001 and -0.135 +/- 0.665 vs -0.657 +/- 0.518 for TCRT, p < 0.001, alive vs cardiac death, respectively). After adjustment for clinical risk markers in the Cox regression analysis, TWLD still significantly predicted for cardiac mortality (p < 0.05); however, TCRT had lost its predictive power. TWLD did not have significant univariate or multivariate association with noncardiac mortality. In conclusion, TWLD that describes the shape of the T-wave loop is a specific predictor of cardiac death and independent of the clinical risk markers in the current treatment era of patients with AMI.     

The effect of glucose-insulin-potassium solution on ventricular late potentials and heart rate variability in acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Blunted heart rate variability (HRV) and presence of ventricular late potentials (VLPs) are known to correlate with an increased risk of ventricular tachycardia and sudden cardiac death in acute myocardial infarction (AMI). In the present study, we investigated the effect of glucose-insulin-potassium (GIK) solution on the VLPs and HRV in AMI. METHODS: Seventy-two consecutive patients with first Q wave AMI were randomized to GIK solution and placebo. HRV analysis and ambulatory electrocardiographic recordings were taken in all patients between 24 and 48 h. Sub-maximal exercise testing and echocardiography were performed and signal-averaged electrocardiography (SAECG) was recorded before discharge. RESULTS: Total filtered QRS duration (FQRS: 102 +/- 7 versus 108 +/- 11 ms; P < 0.05), low-amplitude signal (LAS: 25 +/- 8 versus 32 +/- 11 ms; P < 0.01) and frequency of VLPs (21 versus 45%; P < 0.05) were found to be significantly lower while root-mean-square voltage of the terminal 40 ms of QRS (RMS-40: 45 +/- 18 versus 36 +/- 20 microV; P < 0.05), and left ventricular ejection fraction (EF: 55 +/- 6 versus 48 +/- 7; P < 0.05) were significantly higher in the GIK group when compared to placebo. During the hospital period, the presence and frequency of post-myocardial infarction angina were significantly lower in the GIK group (15 versus 29%, P < 0.05), whereas an insignificant decrease in frequency of ventricular arrhythmias was observed in these patients. On HRV analysis, there was no significant difference between two groups in either time domain (SD, SDNN, RMS-SD) or frequency domain (HF, LF, LF/HF ratio) parameters. CONCLUSION: GIK solution may be beneficial to VLPs, ischaemic events, and left ventricular systolic performance in the early period of AMI. This therapy has no significant effect on HRV in AMI patients.     

Depressive symptoms and the risk of sudden cardiac death among the elderly.

AIMS: Mental depression is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality, but the reasons for this association are not well known. We tested the hypothesis that depressive symptoms (DS) may specifically increase the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) among the elderly subjects. METHODS: All persons aged 70 years or over of a defined area in Northern Finland (n=1113) were the target population, and 915 (82%); 336 men and 579 women, participated in the questionnaire on depressive symptoms according to the Short Zung Depression Rating Scale. Potential risk factors of SCD were examined in the same connection, and the mode of death was examined via the official death certificates during the following eight years. SCD and non-SCD as well as overall mortality, cardiac mortality and non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI) were the end-points. RESULTS: Four hundred and seventy-six subjects out of 915 (52%) died during the follow-up of 8 years. Thirty-eight of deaths were SCDs (8%) and non-SCD occurred in 106 subjects (22%). In univariate analysis, a high score of DS was a significant predictor of subsequent SCD; hazard ratio 2.67 (95% confidence interval 1.34-5.32), non-SCD; 1.67 (1.06-2.63), cardiac mortality; 1.90 (1.30-2.78) and total mortality; 1.88 (1.52-2.32), but not that of non-fatal MI; 1.74 (0.89-3.38). SCD was also predicted by gender (P<0.01), MI (P<0.01) and tablet- or insulin-treated diabetes mellitus (P<0.01). In multivariate Cox regression analysis by adjusting for the clinical variables, high score of DS remained as a significant predictor of SCD; hazard ratio 2.74 (1.37-5.50) and total mortality; 1.70 (1.37-2.10), but not of cardiac mortality 1.50 (0.998-2.27), non-SCD; 1.38 (0.85-2.24) and non-fatal MI; 1.37 (0.69-2.71). CONCLUSIONS: Depressive symptoms increase the risk of SCD, but not that of non-SCD and non-fatal MI among the elderly subjects.     

Correlation between the signal-averaged electrocardiogram and electrophysiologic study findings in patients with coronary artery disease and sustained ventricular tachycardia

Ventricular late potentials at the end of the surface QRS, detected on the signal-averaged electrocardiogram (SAECG) have been shown to be markers for spontaneous and/or inducible ventricular tachycardia (VT) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). We examined the correlations between electrophysiologic study (EPS) findings and SAECG indexes in 50 patients with chronic CAD with documented spontaneous VT/ventricular fibrillation (VF), who had either syncope (24 patients) or aborted sudden cardiac death (SCD). The prevalence of late potentials was significantly higher in the syncope patients (75%) compared with the SCD group (46%) (p less than 0.05). No correlation was found between the ventricular refractoriness and the SAECG indexes. There was a significant difference in quantitative SAECG indexes comparing the induction mode of the sustained VT/VF by single and double versus triple extrastimuli; the types of the induced VT (sustained monomorphic, sustained pleomorphic or VF, noninducible); and the cycle length of the induced sustained monomorphic VT with the high frequency QRS duration (QRSD). In conclusion, differences in prevalence and characteristics of ventricular late potentials were found between patients with syncope and with SCD. The degree of abnormality of SAECG indexes correlated with the type and the mode of induction of sustained VT. The magnitude of QRSD of the SAECG correlated with the cycle length of monomorphic VT. The above findings suggest that in patients with CAD and sustained VT/VF the SAECG variables are related to the area of reentry.     

心肌梗死急性期QRS波增宽预测远期心脏性猝死发生的价值

目的探讨急性心肌梗死后早期无创性指标左心室射血分数(LVEF)、QRS波时限和QTc间期预测远期心脏性猝死(SCD)发生的价值。方法采集289例急性心肌梗死后存活患者在急性期(<30 d)超声测定LVEF、体表心电图测定QRS波时限和QTc间期的数据,临床随访观察远期(>1年)发生的SCD事件。LVEF降低的界值为35%,QRS波增宽的界值为110 ms,QTc间期延长的界值为450 ms(男)/460 ms(女)。根据随访结果将患者分为SCD组和幸存组。结果在心肌梗死后平均(15±3)个月内,15例(5.2%)患者发生SCD。与幸存组患者相比,SCD组患者的LVEF明显降低[35%(28%～52%)比50%(33%～60%),P<0.0001],QRS波时限明显延长[115(88～152)ms比105(91～126)ms,P=0.0222],而两组患者QTc间期差异无统计学意义[458(416～513)ms比450(394～493)ms,P=0.1836]。SCD组患者中LVEF降低、QRS波增宽和QTc间期延长的比率依次为40%、67%和60%。生存分析提示,LVEF降低(26.1%比3.4%,P<0.0001)和QRS波增宽(9.7%比2.7%,P=0.0098)患者远期SCD发生率增加。多元Logistic回归分析显示,LVEF降低[RR:6.0(2.0～17.8),P=0.0011]和QRS波增宽[RR:3.1(1.0～9.0),P=0.0345]均为SCD发生的独立危险因素。结论急性心肌梗死后早期QRS波增宽能独立预测远期SCD的发生。     

Quantitative improvement in signal-averaged electrocardiography after coronary artery bypass grafting.

Abnormal signal-averaged electrocardiography (SAECG) reflects slow and heterogeneous myocardial conduction, predicting ventricular arrhythmia and sudden cardiac death in patients with ischemic heart disease. The purpose of this study was to investigate the quantitative effect of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) on SAECG, which is still controversial, and to identify the factors that are related to it. Pre- and postoperative SAECGs were recorded in 100 patients who underwent CABG. Compared parameters included filtered QRS duration (dQRS), root mean square voltage in the terminal 40 ms of the QRS complex (RMS40), and duration of the terminal low-amplitude signal less than 40 microV (LAS40). All 3 parameters in SAECG improved significantly after CABG (dQRS: 105+/-21 ms-->99+/-18 ms, RMS40: 55+/-45 microV-->65+/-41 microV, LAS40: 29+/-19 ms-->25+/-12 ms). The improvements in SAECG were greater in patients who underwent complete revascularization and in those without prior myocardial infarction. In conclusion, CABG improved SAECG quantitatively, even in patients with normal SAECG. However, this improving effect was variable and closely related to the presence of prior myocardial infarction and the completeness of revascularization.     

Late arrhythmic events and patency of the infarct-related coronary artery in survivors of acute myocardial infarction.

In the present study we evaluated the influence of intravenous thrombolysis and patency of the infarct-related coronary artery on both markers of ventricular electrical instability and incidence of late arrhythmic events after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Ninety one patients surviving a first AMI who consecutively performed coronary angiography were enrolled in the present study; 44 patients (48%) received thrombolysis, 47 patients (52%) were treated conventionally. Of 91 patients, 90 (99%) had signal-averaged electrocardiogram (SAECG), and 40 (44%) programmed ventricular stimulation. No significant difference was observed between thrombolytic-treated and control group in late potential rate, SAECG determinants and ventricular arrhythmia inducibility. Of 91 patients, 40 (44%) had occlusion of the infarct-related artery: of these, 15 (37%) had late potentials compared with 5 of 51 patients (9%) with a patent artery (p < 0.01). Mean left ventricular ejection fraction was not significantly different between the two groups (0.50 +/- 0.15 vs 0.55 +/- 0.12; p = NS). No significant difference was present between the two groups of patients with regard to inducibility of sustained ventricular tachyarrhythmias, however an odds ratio of 3.5 was observed in the group with a closed vessel.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Prognostic value of heterogeneity of ventricular repolarization in survivors of acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND: The expansion of indications for implantation of cardioverter-defibrillators (ICD) has enhanced the need for risk stratification of patients post myocardial infarction (MI), while the improved treatment of acute MI has decreased mortality and diminished the prognostic power of traditional risk variables. HYPOTHESIS: Increased heterogeneity of ventricular repolarization quantified by TCRT (total cosine R-to-T, angular difference between spatial QRS and T loops, decreased with increase in repolarization heterogeneity) is an independent predictor of mortality in patients post MI. METHODS: Left ventricular ejection fraction (EF), QRS duration on signal-averaged ECG, number of ventricular ectopic beats (VE)/h, heart rate variability (HRV) triangular index, heart rate turbulence slope on 24-h Holter recording, and TCRT were analyzed in 334 survivors of acute MI followed up for 41 +/- 20 months. RESULTS: In multivariate analysis, EF < 35% (relative risk [RR] 2.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-4.7, p = 0.023), VE > 10/h (RR 2.2, CI 1.0-4.6, p = 0.044), HRV < 20 U (RR 2.2, CI 1.1-4.5, p = 0.032), and TCRT < -0.896 (RR 4.3, CI 2.2-8.5, p = 0.00001) were independent predictors of cardiac mortality (11%). Independent predictors of arrhythmic mortality (5%) were VE, HRV, and TCRT (RR 5.8, CI 2.1-15.6, p = 0.0004). Cardiac and arrhythmic mortality of patients with both EF <35% and TCRT < -0.896 were >60 and >30%, respectively, compared with 17 and 7% in those with only EF <35% or TCRT < -0.896. CONCLUSION: Decreased TCRT, which reflects increased repolarization heterogeneity, is a strong and independent predictor of cardiac and arrhythmic death in patients post MI.     

Left ventricular dysfunction is a risk factor for sudden cardiac death in adults late after repair of tetralogy of Fallot

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine if left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction was also a predictor of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in adults late after repair of tetralogy of Fallot (TOF). BACKGROUND: Previous studies looking at risk factors for SCD in adults with repair of TOF have focused on the right ventricle (RV). METHODS: A retrospective chart review of patients assessed at the Toronto Congenital Cardiac Centre for Adults was performed. Twelve adult patients with repaired TOF and SCD were identified (SCD group). A total of 125 living adult patients with repaired TOF were randomly selected for comparison (control group). RESULTS: Patients with SCD were more likely to exhibit moderate or severe pulmonary regurgitation (92% vs. 51%, p = 0.02), have a history of sustained ventricular tachycardia (42% vs. 6%, p < 0.01), and have a QRS > or =180 ms (56% vs. 13%, p = 0.02). Moderate or severe LV systolic dysfunction was also significantly more common in patients with SCD than in the control group (42% vs. 9%, p < 0.01) with a positive predictive value of 29%. The combination of moderate or severe LV systolic dysfunction and QRS > or =180 ms had a positive and negative predictive value for SCD of 66% and 93%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Moderate or severe LV systolic dysfunction is significantly more common in adult patients with repaired TOF and SCD. The combination of QRS > or =180 ms and significant LV systolic dysfunction has high positive and negative predictive value for SCD. The implication of the role of prophylactic antiarrhythmic implantable cardiac defibrillator insertion in these patients needs further elucidating.     

Increased variability of the coupling interval of premature ventricular beats may help to identify high-risk patients with coronary artery disease

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine the characteristics and predictive value of the variability of coupling interval of ventricular premature beats (VPBs) for cardiac mortality in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). BACKGROUND: Frequent VPBs have been linked to an increased risk for cardiac death in patients with coronary artery disease. It is unknown whether analysis of coupling interval of VPBs from ambulatory ECG recordings can be used for risk statification in these patients. METHODS: In 78 consecutive symptomatic patients with documented CAD who presented with frequent VPBs (>720/24 h), the analysis of VPBs' coupling interval (SDNV) was performed. Left ventricular function, ventricular arrhythmias and simple measures of heart rate variability were assessed. Mean follow-up was 702+/-329 days. Cardiac mortality was the primary end-point of the study. RESULTS: During follow-up, 14 patients died-11 deaths were cardiac. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)<40%; no beta-blocker treatment and digoxin use were clinical variables showing a significant association with cardiac mortality. The presence of non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (nsVT), especially if more than five episodes were present; short mean sinus cycle (<750 ms) and SDNV were associated with cardiac deaths. Mean SDNV was 79+/-29 in victims and 63+/-29 in survivors (p<0.05). Univariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the presence of SDNV>80 ms carried a relative risk of 6.7 for cardiac mortality. The adjusted relative risk was 13.3 for nsVT and 4.4 for SDNV>80 ms. Among patients with nsVT, mortality rate was significantly higher with SDNV>80 ms (58%), compared to lower SDNV (14%, p<0.01). Sixty-four percent mortality rate was observed in patients with LVEF<40%, presence of nsVT and SDNV>80 ms, compared to 17% in similar patients with lower SDNV (p<0.05). CONCLUSION: The analysis of coupling interval of ventricular premature beats form the same 24-h ECG recordings may complement the standard Holter analysis for risk stratification. This seems especially promising in the subgroups of patients at highest risk-those with LV systolic dysfunction, non-sustained VT or both.     

A Prospective Study of Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a commonly encountered arrhythmia following cardiac surgery and when sustained, may be associated with significant morbidity. Methods: This large prospective investigation examined a variety of clinical and P wave signal-averaged electrocardiogram (SAECG) parameters to identify independent predictors of AF following cardiac surgery. A total of 272 patients underwent P wave SAECG recording and analysis prior to surgery. Information on their clinical, surgical, and hemodynamic characteristics as well as hospital course was collected. Patients were followed during their postoperative course with telemetry and ECGs. Results: During an observation period of up to 14 days, 79 patients (29%) developed AF 2.5 ± 1.9 days after surgery. Patients who developed AF following cardiac surgery were more likely to be older, undergo valve surgery, to have ejection fraction (EF) < 40%, to have P wave duration on SAECG >140 ms (all P < 0.01), and to take digoxin preoperatively (P < 0.05). A multivariate analysis found that only P wave duration on SAECG >140 ms and EF < 40% were independent predictors of AF following cardiac surgery. The odds ratio of P wave duration on SAECG >140 ms and EF < 40% for the development of AF following cardiac surgery was 3.1 and 2.8, respectively, and 8.7 when combined. Conclusions: Thus, the presence of preexisting abnormal atrial substrate as detected by P wave prolongation on SAECG, and implicated by EF < 40%, clearly predicted a higher risk of AF following cardiac surgery and may provide clinicians with an effective means of identifying those at greatest risk.     

Effect of pre-infarction angina on ventricular late potentials in patients with acute myocardial infarction and successful thrombolysis

OBJECTIVE: Pre-infarction angina is considered as a good clinical model of ischaemic preconditioning which facilitates myocardial protection. Late potentials (LP) have prognostic significance following acute myocardial infarction (AMI). It is also well established that thrombolytic therapy reduces the incidence of LP. Our aim was to evaluate the relationship between pre-infarction angina and LP in patients receiving successful thrombolytic therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: We prospectively studied 55 patients presenting with AMI (<6 hours). All patients received thrombolytic therapy and were evaluated with coronary angiography at predischarge. Signal-averaged recordings (SAECG) were obtained serially prior to thrombolysis, 48 hours after and 10 days later. Pre-infarction angina was present in 14 (25%) patients. There were no significant differences between the clinical characteristics and angiographic findings of the groups. Baseline SAECG parameters of the groups were also similar. After thrombolysis, the 48th hour values of LAS (the duration of the terminal low amplitude signals), and both the 10th day values of LAS and RMS (root mean square voltage of the last 40 ms of the QRS) were significantly better in the pre-infarction angina group. The mean filtered QRS duration and RMS 40 values changed significantly at the 10th day recordings of patients with pre-infarction angina [QRS duration, 110+/-34 ms before to 91+/-11 ms after (p = 0.039); RMS 40, 40+/-17 microV before to 50+/-14 microV after (p = 0.02)]. The incidence of LP significantly decreased after thrombolytic therapy in the pre-infarction angina group, however, this change was not observed in patients without angina. CONCLUSION: Presence of pre-infarction angina reduces the incidence of LP following thrombolysis in AMI. This might be explained by the possible beneficial effect of ischaemic preconditioning on the arrhythmogenic substrate.     

Predicting arrhythmic events after acute myocardial infarction using the signal-averaged electrocardiogram.

To determine if the signal-averaged (SA) electrocardiogram (ECG) predicts the occurrence of sustained ventricular arrhythmia and sudden death after acute myocardial infarction, 182 consecutive patients underwent systematic noninvasive testing, including the SAECG. Seventy-one patients (39%) had an abnormal SAECG. The presence of an abnormal SAECG was not related to underlying left ventricular dysfunction or any other clinical or measured variable. There were 16 end points (sustained ventricular arrhythmia or sudden cardiac death) during 14-month follow-up. The SAECG was a significant predictor of these events (p less than 0.02), and an abnormal SAECG conferred a 2.7-fold increase in risk. The risk associated with an abnormal SAECG was independent of both left ventricular function and ventricular arrhythmia on Holter ECG. The SAECG had excellent negative predictive accuracy (95%), but the positive predictive accuracy was low (15%). When the results of the SAECG were combined with the results of the Holter ECG, a group of very high-risk patients was identified; at 18 months, the presence of abnormal SAECG and Holter ECG was associated with a risk of 26% compared with only 4% if both tests were normal. Furthermore, all published studies with a similar design were pooled for meta-analysis. The meta-analysis revealed a sixfold increase in risk, independent of left ventricular function, and an eightfold increase in risk, independent of Holter results when the SAECG was abnormal. The SAECG is a noninvasive test that can rapidly and easily provide potent prognostic information regarding the risk of sustained ventricular arrhythmias for patients after myocardial infarction.     

Detection and localization of prolonged epicardial electrograms with 64-lead body surface signal-averaged electrocardiography.

BACKGROUND. Prolonged, fractionated ventricular electrograms often are detectable after myocardial infarction and are a marker for an arrhythmia-prone state. QRS late potentials detected on the body surface with signal-averaged electrocardiography (SAECG) are thought to arise from the diseased tissue that generates prolonged ventricular electrograms and as such are also a marker for arrhythmias. A limitation of the current SAECG technique is that recordings are obtained from only three bipolar lead pairs. Because late potentials probably arise from multiple small sources in the heart, more extensive sampling of the body surface may contribute additional information to the SAECG. The present study investigates the additional sensitivity of SAECG using 64 body surface leads in detecting prolonged epicardial electrograms and examines its use in determining the epicardial location of prolonged electrograms. METHODS AND RESULTS. Dogs were studied before and 5-10 days after either lateral left ventricular (n = 13) or right ventricular (n = 8) myocardial infarction. Greater prolongation of signal-averaged QRS duration was detected with 64-lead SAECG (postinfarction QRS duration, 100.3 +/- 16.3 msec) than with three-lead SAECG (postinfarction QRS duration, 89.4 +/- 10.1, p = 0.0005). Nineteen of the 21 dogs (90%) had prolonged epicardial electrograms detected over the infarct. The correlation between epicardial electrogram duration and signal-averaged QRS duration calculated from individual leads was much better for 64-lead SAECG (r = 0.88, p less than 0.0001) than for three-lead SAECG (r = 0.53, p = 0.01), and the difference was most marked in cases with longer electrogram durations (more than 100 msec). Local late potential maxima on the thorax after lateral left ventricular infarction were located to the left and inferior compared with those after right ventricular infarction (p = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS. SAECG with more extensive recording from the body surface using 64 leads detects greater QRS prolongation than three-lead SAECG, and the longer QRS durations detected correspond to the duration of prolonged epicardial electrograms. Body surface location of late potentials corresponds to the epicardial location of the prolonged electrograms. This application of body surface mapping techniques to SAECG may permit more sensitive detection of arrhythmia-prone states and may aid in identifying arrhythmia sources.     

Atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass surgery: P wave signal averaged ECG, clinical and angiographic variables in risk assessment.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a commonly encountered arrhythmia and occurs in up to 40% of patients after coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG). The preoperative signal averaged ECG (SAECG) P wave may be useful indicator of AF after CABG. We prospectively analyzed the predictive value of SAECG P wave compared to clinical variables. METHODS: Fifty-three patients with coronary artery disease undergoing first elective CABG were enrolled. All patients had P wave specific SAECG, standard 12 lead ECG, ejection fraction and left atrial posteroanterior diameter from the echocardiogram within the 24 h before surgery. From the SAECG P wave, filtered P wave duration was measured. Lead II P wave duration, left atrial enlargement and left ventricular hypertrophy were determined from standard ECG. Patients were continuously monitored during their postoperative period and serial ECGs were taken. RESULTS: During an observation period of up to 16 days, 19 (35.8%) patients developed AF 2.8+/-1.3 days after CABG. Patients with AF more often had left atrial enlargement (LAE) on ECG (P = 0.041) and right coronary artery (RCA) lesion (P = 0.0034). The filtered P wave duration on the SAECG was significantly longer in the AF patients than those without AF (129.7+/-13.2 ms versus 113.9+/-9.0 ms, P = 0.001). Logistic regression analysis identified independent predictors, estimated adjusted relative risk (95% confidence interval) of AF: with LAE, the relative risk was 2.72 (1.13-5.82), RCA lesion, the relative risk was 3.06 (1.45-6.45) and SAECG P wave duration >122.3 ms, the relative risk was 4.58 (2.11-9.97). The occurrence of AF was predicted by electrocardiographically determined left atrial enlargement with a sensitivity of 36%, specificity of 88%, positive predictive accuracy of 63%, negative predictive accuracy of 71%. If presence of right coronary artery lesion was evaluated these values were 63%, 79%, 63%, 79% subsequently. P wave duration >122.3 ms had a sensitivity of 68%, specificity of 88%, positive predictive accuracy of 76%, negative predictive accuracy of 83%. If both P wave >122.3 ms and presence of right coronary artery lesion were combined, these values were 47%, 94%, 81%, 76% subsequently. CONCLUSION: The predictors of AF after CABG were left atrial enlargement on standard 12 lead ECG, RCA lesion and SAECG P wave duration. Among these predictors, SAECG P wave duration was the best predictor of AF after CABG.     

Late fields of the magnetocardiographic QRS complex as indicators of propensity to sustained ventricular tachycardia after myocardial infarction

INTRODUCTION: Magnetocardiographic (MCG) mapping is a new method to record cardiac signals. This study examined the association of MCG late fields with the propensity to sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT) after myocardial infarction (MI). METHODS AND RESULTS: One hundred patients with remote MI were studied, 38 with and 62 without history of VT. High-resolution MCG and signal-averaged ECG (SAECG) as a comparative method were recorded. Time-domain parameters describing the abnormal low-amplitude end QRS activity, MCG late fields, and SAECG late potentials were analyzed. Late field parameters differed significantly between the patient groups: filtered QRS duration was 137 +/- 26 msec in the VT group and 110 +/- 18 msec in the control group (P < 0.001), and root mean square amplitude of the last 40 msec was 260 +/- 170 and 510 +/- 360 fT (P < 0.001), respectively. The optimal MCG parameter combination yielded a sensitivity of 92% and a specificity of 61% in classification to the VT group, whereas those for SAECG were 63% and 66%. In a subgroup of 63 patients with marked left ventricular dysfunction and comparable stage of coronary heart disease, only MCG (sensitivity 73%, specificity 67%) but not SAECG could assign a patient to the VT group. CONCLUSION: Late fields of the MCG QRS complex indicate propensity to life-threatening arrhythmias in post-MI patients. This discriminative ability persists in the presence of severe left ventricular dysfunction where ECG late potentials lose their informative value. MCG late field analysis is a potential new method for noninvasive risk assessment in post-MI patients.     

Long-term outcome of cardiac resynchronization therapy in patients with severe congestive heart failure

BACKGROUND: Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) has recently been shown to be an effective short-term therapy for patients with drug-refractory heart failure and intraventricular conduction delay. Little is known about the long-term effects of this therapy. OBJECTIVES: To determine the long-term outcome of all consecutive patients who underwent CRT at two Canadian centres, and to determine what baseline variables predict a response to CRT. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: The present study comprised a total of 85 patients (mean age 66+/-9 years; 88% male) with New York Heart Association class II (4%), class III (84%) or class IV (12%) heart failure. All patients fulfilled the standard CRT indications with a QRS duration of 168+/-22 ms and a nuclear gated ejection fraction (EF) of 21+/-6%. Eighteen of the 85 patients were implanted with a combination automatic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator and CRT device. Within a mean clinical follow-up of 3.0+/-1.0 years, 26 of the 85 patients died, and eight patients underwent cardiac transplantation, with four transplant-related deaths (mean survival 3.53+/-0.26 years). Ten patients died of sudden cardiac death, eight patients died of progressive heart failure and eight patients died of noncardiac causes. None of the baseline factors (age, sex, EF, etiology, New York Heart Association class, QRS duration or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator) or indexes of CRT (change in EF or QRS duration) were predictive of a poor outcome. There was a clear trend for patients with a greater left ventricular EF gain to have a better outcome (P=0.1). The present observational data represent one of the longest follow-up databases of patients undergoing CRT. The significant morbidity and mortality found after CRT highlight the severity of the underlying cardiac pathology and concurrent illnesses.     

Prolonged QRS duration and severity of mitral regurgitation are unfavorable prognostic markers of heart failure in patients with nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: The goal of the present study was to identify predictors of event-free survival in nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy (NIDCM) patients after administration of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI)/angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) and beta-blockers. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study group comprised 78 consecutive patients with NIDCM between 1997 and 2002. NIDCM was defined as ejection fraction (EF) <0.40 and left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD) >55 mm on echocardiography and normal coronary angiography. The mean EF and LVEDD was 26.3 +/- 10.5%, and 62.9 +/- 7.1 mm, respectively. Patients were treated with optimal medical therapy including ACEI/ARBs and/or beta-blockers and followed up for 35.6 +/- 27.8 months. The primary endpoint was either cardiac death or hospitalization because of deterioration of heart failure. Cox's regression analysis was used to establish the association of age, sex, EF, LVEDD, left atrial diameter, cardiac index, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, QRS duration, severity of mitral regurgitation, body mass index, New York Heart Association class and the presence of atrial fibrillation with these events. During follow-up, 23 patients reached the primary endpoint. In a multivariate analysis, EF (chi-square 5.74, p=0.0166), severity of mitral regurgitation (chi-square 12.31, p=0.0004), and QRS duration (chi-square 11.20, p=0.0008) remained significant predictors. CONCLUSION: In NIDCM patients, prolonged QRS duration is a high risk factor for remodeling and unfavorable events. The severity of mitral regurgitation was also a strong risk predictor.