Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with liver cirrhosis.

OBJECTIVE: Although cirrhosis is known to predispose toward hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), there is no agreement on the factors that can influence the risk for HCC in patients with cirrhosis. This study was designed to identify differences in cirrhosis-related risk factors for developing HCC in relation to epidemiological characteristics, stage of the disease and etiology. METHODS: 512 patients from southwestern Spain with Child-Pugh stage A or B cirrhosis were examined periodically by ultrasonography, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) concentration was measured. RESULTS: The average length of follow-up was 37 months. A total of 52 cases of HCC were detected, which represented a risk of 17% after 5 years of follow-up. The Cox model showed that the risk of HCC increased by 8% per year of increasing age. Male sex (relative risk: 3.4), hepatitis C virus infection (relative risk: 4.6), hepatitis B virus infection (relative risk: 2.9) and AFP levels higher than 15 ng/ml (relative risk: 2.5) were also shown to be risk factors. Among alcoholic patients, only age (risk increased by 15% per year), and hepatitis C virus infection (relative risk: 5.4) were risk factors for HCC. However, in patients infected by hepatitis C virus, the main risk factors were age (relative risk increased by 8% per year), male sex (relative risk: 3.9), co-infection with hepatitis B virus (relative risk: 4.9), and increased AFP (relative risk: 2.8). Of the patients with HCC, 71% were infected with hepatitis C virus. Alcoholism, Child-Pugh stage and duration of cirrhosis did not increase the risk of the appearance of HCC. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of HCC increased to 17% after 5 years of follow-up in patients with Child-Pugh stage A or B cirrhosis. Hepatitis C virus infection was the main risk factor in patients with cirrhosis. Other risk factors were age, male sex, hepatitis B virus infection and altered AFP level.     

Estimate of hepatocellular carcinoma incidence in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis

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Liver iron excess in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma developed on viral C cirrhosis

BACKGROUND: Liver iron deposits are frequent in viral C cirrhotic patients but their role is not well defined. AIMS: To investigate the effect of liver iron excess on the prevalence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with viral C cirrhosis. METHODS: Hepatic iron was evaluated retrospectively using a semiquantitative method in liver biopsies of 104 viral C cirrhotic patients, 48 with HCC and 56 controls (HCC free). Corrected total iron score (0-60) was defined by the sum of three scores: hepatocytic iron score (0-36), sinusoidal iron score (0-12), and portal iron score (0-12), multiplied by 3/3, 2/3, or 1/3 according to the heterogeneous iron localisation in the nodules. RESULTS: After adjustment for known risk factors for HCC, regression analysis showed that iron deposits (corrected total iron score >0) were more frequent in HCC patients than in controls (odds ratio 4.94; 95% confidence interval 1.59-15. 32; p=0.0056). The median of corrected total iron score was significantly higher in HCC patients than in controls (odds ratio 1. 092; 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.13; p=0.021). This liver iron overload was sinusoidal (odds ratio 5.2; 95% confidence interval 1. 82-15.11; p=0.0022). CONCLUSIONS: Liver iron deposition was more frequent and more important in viral C cirrhotic patients with HCC than in HCC free controls. Liver iron overload seems to contribute to the development of HCC in patients with viral C cirrhosis.     

Risk factors for massive blood loss during liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis carries risk of major hemorrhage and sometimes requires blood transfusion. We investigated risk factors for massive blood loss during liver resection and indications for storing blood for autologous intraoperative transfusion. METHODOLOGY: We analyzed clinical records of 100 patients with cirrhosis who underwent liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma. Autologous blood was stored preoperatively for 19 patients. RESULTS: Intraoperative blood loss ranged from 5 to 3000 mL (mean, 640). Liver resection was performed without transfusion in 67 patients and with autologous blood storage in 17 patients not receiving homologous blood. In the other 16 patients, homologous blood was transfused. Univariate analysis identified youth, large tumors (> 4cm), major hepatectomy, portal tumor involvement, hepatic vein involvement, and prolonged operation time as risk factors for massive blood loss; multivariate analysis identified portal involvement and hepatic vein involvement as independent risk factors. Blood loss exceeded 1000 mL in the 4 transfused group B patients and 3 of the 4 patients had hepatic vein involvement. CONCLUSIONS: Portal involvement and hepatic vein involvement were risk factors for massive blood loss during liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis. Autologous blood storage is indicated in patients with such risk factors.     

Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma in a cohort infected with hepatitis B or C

Background and Aim: The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma ( HCC) has increased in Australia in recent decades, a large and growing proportion of which occurs among a population chronically infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV). However, risk factors for HCC among these high‐risk groups require further characterization. Methods: We conducted a population‐based cohort study using HBV and HCV cases notified to the New South Wales Health Department between 2000 and 2007. These were linked to cause of death data, HIV/AIDS notifications, and hospital records. Proportional hazards regression was used to identify significant risk factors for developing HCC. Results: A total of 242 and 339 HCC cases were linked to HBV (n = 43 892) and HCV (n = 83 817) notifications, respectively. For both HBV and HCV groups, being male and increasing age were significantly associated with risk of HCC. Increasing comorbidity score indicated high risk, while living outside urban areas was associated with lower risk. Hazard ratios for males were two to three times those of females. For both HBV and HCV groups, cirrhosis, alcoholic liver disease, and the interaction between the two were associated with significantly and considerably elevated risk. Conclusion: This large population‐based study confirms known risk factors for HCC. The association with older age highlights the potential impact of HBV and HCV screening of at‐risk groups and early clinical assessment. Additional research is required to evaluate the impact of improving antiviral therapy on HCC risk.     

Risk factors analysis for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with and without cirrhosis: a case-control study of 213 hepatocellular carcinoma patients from India

AIM: To assess the role of hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV) and alcohol intake as risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the presence or absence of cirrhosis in Indian population. METHODS: A total of 213 patients with HCC and 254 control subjects not affected with hepatic diseases or neoplasm were recruited. Odds ratios (ORs) were estimated for each risk factor and synergism among various risk factors was also studied. RESULTS: The ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of HCC were 48.02 (25.06-91.98) for any HBV marker, 38.98 (19.55-77.71) for HBsAg positivity, 12.34 (2.84-53.61) for HBsAg negative and antibody positive (either of anti-HBe or total anti-HBc), 5.45 (2.02-14.71) for anti-HCV positive and HCV RNA positive, and 2.83 (1.51-5.28) for heavy alcohol use. No significant risk increase was evident for subjects who were anti-HCV positive and HCV RNA negative. Synergism between alcohol and HCV infection in causing HCC was found, but not between alcohol and HBV. Overall, conclusive evidence of the presence or absence of cirrhosis was reached in 189 (88.73%) HCC patients; cirrhosis was present in 137 (72.48%) of them. ORs with 95% CI of HCC in the presence and absence of cirrhosis, respectively, for HBV were as follows: (i) 48.90 (24.61-97.19) and 35.03 (15.59-78.66) for any HBV marker; (ii) 39.88 (19.41-81.97) and 24.40 (10.60-56.18) for HBsAg positivity; and (iii) 12.10 (2.67-54.88) and 19.60 (3.94-97.39) for HBsAg negativity and antibody positivity. Significantly increased risk was found among cirrhotic patients for anti-HCV positivity and HCV RNA positivity [OR = 7.53 (2.73-20.78)] and for heavy alcohol use [OR = 3.32 (1.70-6.47)]; however, in the absence of cirrhosis, no significant risk increase was evident for subjects who were anti-HCV positive and HCV RNA positive [OR = 0.97 (0.11-8.54)], or who had history of heavy alcohol use [OR = 1.58 (0.55-4.53)]. CONCLUSIONS: Infection with HBV and HCV are the major risk factors for the development of HCC in Indian patients. Presence of HBV antibodies even in the absence of HBsAg conferred increased risk for HCC in the presence or absence of cirrhosis. Anti-HCV positivity in the absence of HCV RNA conferred no increased risk. HCV RNA positivity and heavy alcohol use significantly increased the risk of HCC among cirrhotic patients, but not non-cirrhotic patients.     

Deficiency in calcineurin activity in liver transplantation candidates with alcoholic cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma

Background: Tacrolimus and cyclosporin inhibits the activity of calcineurin, a serine/threonine phosphatase that is involved in many physiological and pathological pathways. However, the baseline calcineurin phosphatase activity (CPA) measured before the transplant is unknown. In this study, we determine baseline CPA in liver transplant (LT) candidates and explore some factors that might modify it. Patients and methods: Thirty‐two consecutive LT candidates (25 men, seven women, average age 53.4 years) were included. Seven millilitres of whole blood was collected from each patient. CPA was determined in lymphocytes quantifying a dephosphorylated peptide phosphorylated previously (D‐L‐D‐V‐P‐I‐P‐G‐R‐F‐D‐R‐R‐V‐S‐V‐A‐A‐E) by high‐performance liquid chromatography. The relationship between CPA and the quantitative variables was tested according to Pearson's correlation. A two‐way analysis of variance was performed to test the independent role of categorical parameters in CPA. Results: The median CPA was significantly lower in LT candidates than in healthy volunteers [179.2 (146.9–226.3) vs 247.8 (220.9–292.5) pmol/min/10⁶ peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC), respectively, P=0.0002]. CPA was also significantly lower in alcoholic cirrhosis (152.2 vs 211.1 pmol/min/10⁶ PBMC, P=0.04) and in the presence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (152.0 vs 213.5 pmol/min/10⁶ PBMC, P=0.0074) compared with other liver diseases. A two‐way analysis of variance showed that these parameters were independently associated with lower CPA (P=0.05 for alcohol and P=0.0056 for HCC respectively). Conclusion: This pilot study showed a lower CPA in patients with AC and HCC. This phenomenon may contribute towards lowering the risk of acute rejection in these patients after LT and, on the other hand, may increase the risk of de novo cancers.     

Risk factors for the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C

AIM: To analyze the risk factors of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) treatment with HCV-associated hepatitis. METHODS: Twenty-six patients with HCV-associated HCC who were followed-up for more than 12 mo were selected for this study. Risk factors for distant intrahepatic recurrences of HCC were evaluated for patients in whom complete coagulation was achieved without recurrence in the same subsegment as the primary nodule.Twelve clinical and tumoral factors were examined: Age, gender, nodule diameter, number of primary HCC nodule, Child-Pugh classification, serum platelet, serum albumin, serum AST, post RFA AST, serum ALT, post RFA ALT, post RFA treatment. RESULTS: Distant recurrences of HCC in remnant liver after RFA were observed in 14 cases and in the number of primary HCC nodules (P = 0.047), and the serum platelets (P = 0.030), the clear difference came out by the recurrence group and the non-recurrence group. The cumulative recurrence rates after 1 and 2 years were 30.8% and 86.8%, respectively for primary multinodular HCC, and 15.4% and 29.5% respectively, for primary uninodular HCC. In addition the 1-year recurrence rates for patients with serum albumin more than 3.4 g/dL and less than 3.4 g/dL were 23.1% for both, but the 2-years recurrence rates were 89.0% and 23.1%, respectively. The number of primary HCC nodules (relative risk, 6.970; P = 0.016) were found to be a statistically significant predictor for poor distant intrahepatic recurrence by univariate analysis. CONCLUSION: Patients who have multiple HCC nodules, low serum platelets and low serum albumin accompanied by HCV infection, should be carefully followed because of the high incidence of new HCC lesions in the remnant liver, even if coagulation RFA is complete.     

Risk factors of hepatocellular carcinoma in Germany: hepatitis B or liver cirrhosis?

In a retrospective study, 42 out of 44 cases of hepatocellular carcinoma were investigated immunohistochemically for chronic hepatitis B infection. Surface antigen was found in the liver tissue of only 4 of these cases. In 41 of the patients, mildly to moderately active cirrhosis of the liver was found to be underlying the carcinoma. The age distribution and case histories showed that hepatocellular carcinoma often developed from low-complication cirrhosis of long standing and of various etiologies, and must thus be considered a late complication of cirrhosis.     

Multivariate analysis of risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C virus-related liver cirrhosis

To elucidate the risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related liver cirrhosis (LC), we examined 204 cirrhotic patients negative for hepatitis B surface antigen and positive for HCV antibodies. The independent influence of various clinical characteristics in these patients was analyzed by multiple logistic regression, and the risk factors for HCC were identified. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified and ranked the following four risk factors: male sex (P<0.001), habitual heavy drinking (P<0.005), hepatitis B virus antibody positivity (anti-HBs and/or anti-HBc,P<0.05), and age greater than 60 years (P<0.05). The odds ratio of HCC was 4.20 (95% confidence interval; CI, 1.80–9.78) in male patients, 3.27 (95% CI, 1.46–7.30) in habitual heavy drinkers, 2.01 (95% CI, 1.01–3.99) in patients positive for hepatitis B virus antibodies, and 2.06 (95% CI, 1.00–4.23) in patients older than 60 years. The cumulative occurrence rates of HCC after blood transfusion were significantly higher in habitual heavy drinkers (4.8%, 49.4%, and 74.7% at 10, 20, and 30 years, respectively) than in non-drinkers (0%, 21.0%, and 23.3% at 10, 20, and 30 years, respectively,P<0.0003). The mean interval for progression to LC after blood transfusion was significantly shorter in the habitual heavy drinkers than in the non-drinkers (22.4±4.4 years vs 28.4±3.9 years;P<0.0003). This multivariate analysis revealed that habitual heavy drinking and hepatitis B virus antibody positivity are significant risk factors for HCC in HCV-related liver cirrhosis. This work was presented in preliminary form at the annual meeting of the American Association for Study of Liver Diseases, New Orleans, May 16, 1994 and published as an abstract inGastroenterology 14: A875, 1994.     

Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma in Hepatitis C patients with sustained virologic response to interferon therapy.

BACKGROUND: Although a variety of papers demonstrated inhibited hepatocarcinogenesis with interferon (IFN) therapy for chronic hepatitis C, a small number of hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) were still observed even in sustained virologic responders. AIMS: To clarify factors affecting the development of HCC, we analyzed the frequency of HCC in sustained virologic responders over a long-term observation period. METHODS: Seven hundred and ninety-two out of the 2623 IFN-treated hepatitis C patients who had undergone liver biopsy showed sustained virologic response. Screening for development of HCC was performed periodically during an average follow-up of 5.1 years. Fibrosis of the pretreatment liver biopsy sample was graded. Risk factors for HCC were analyzed by using Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: Of 792 patients, 23 developed HCC. Univariate analysis showed that stage of hepatic fibrosis, age, and alcohol consumption were significantly associated with a risk of HCC (P<0.001). There was a significant difference in the cumulative incidence between patients stratified according to these variables (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Pretreatment hepatic fibrosis score, age, and alcohol consumption may affect development of HCC even in sustained virologic responders. Thus, patients with these factors should be carefully followed even after eradication of the virus.     

Hepatitis B and C viral infections in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

The prevalence of hepatitis B and C virus infections was studied in 70 patients diagnosed as having hepatocellular carcinoma. In addition to viral serological markers, serum hepatitis B virus DNA and hepatitis C virus RNA were determined with a nested polymerase chain reaction assay. Twelve patients (17%) were HBsAg positive, 26 (37%) had antibodies to HBs, HBc or both and 32 (46%) were negative for all hepatitis B virus serological markers. Prevalence of the antibody to hepatitis C virus was 63% (44 patients). Hepatitis B virus DNA was detected in 24 of the 66 tested patients (36%). Twelve of these hepatitis B virus DNA-positive patients were HBsAg negative (seven were positive for antibody to HBs, antibody to HBc or both and five were negative for all hepatitis B virus serological markers). Hepatitis C virus RNA was found in 42 of 68 patients (62%). A high correlation (95%) existed between hepatitis C virus RNA and hepatitis C virus antibodies. Nevertheless, two patients without antibody to hepatitis C virus had serum hepatitis C virus RNA sequences. Coinfection by the two viruses was detected in nine subjects (14%), but no clinical differences were found between these and the rest of the patients. We conclude that nearly 90% (62 of the 70 patients studied) of cases of hepatocellular carcinoma in our geographical area are related to hepatitis virus infections (detected by serological or molecular studies). Hepatitis C is more prevalent than hepatitis B virus in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, and the infection is still active when the tumor is diagnosed.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Incidence and risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma in 967 patients with cirrhosis

Purpose: To determine the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis and to examine the influence of age and sex, and the contribution of etiological factors. Methods: 967 patients with liver cirrhosis and free of hepatocellular carcinoma were enrolled in this longitudinal, retrospective and observational study. Monitoring for hepatocellular carcinoma was scheduled at 3- to 6-month intervals. The mean (±SD) length of follow-up was 60.3 ± 51.7 months (range 6–258). Results: During the observation period, hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 64 patients. The calculated annual incidence was 2.1%. The probability of being free of liver cancer was 92% at 5 years, 80% at 10 years, and 69% at 15 years. Age was the only independent risk factor for the development of malignancy in the multivariate analysis. There were no differences according to male sex, alcohol abuse, and chronic hepatitis B and C virus infection. Conclusions: The annual incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma was 2.1%. These results, although confirming that age is a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis, indicate that alcohol abuse, male sex, and concurrent hepatitis B and C virus infection do not involve a higher risk of developing liver cancer.