Incident Clinical and Mortality Associations of Myocardial Native T1 in the UK Biobank

BackgroundCardiac magnetic resonance native T1-mapping provides noninvasive, quantitative, and contrast-free myocardial characterization. However, its predictive value in population cohorts has not been studied.ObjectivesThe associations of native T1 with incident events were evaluated in 42,308 UK Biobank participants over 3.17 ± 1.53 years of prospective follow-up.MethodsNative T1-mapping was performed in 1 midventricular short-axis slice using the Shortened Modified Look-Locker Inversion recovery technique (WIP780B) in 1.5-T scanners (Siemens Healthcare). Global myocardial T1 was calculated using an automated tool. Associations of T1 with: 1) prevalent risk factors (eg, diabetes, hypertension, and high cholesterol); 2) prevalent and incident diseases (eg, any cardiovascular disease [CVD], any brain disease, valvular heart disease, heart failure, nonischemic cardiomyopathies, cardiac arrhythmias, atrial fibrillation [AF], myocardial infarction, ischemic heart disease [IHD], and stroke); and 3) mortality (eg, all-cause, CVD, and IHD) were examined. Results are reported as odds ratios (ORs) or HRs per SD increment of T1 value with 95% CIs and corrected P values, from logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression models.ResultsHigher myocardial T1 was associated with greater odds of a range of prevalent conditions (eg, any CVD, brain disease, heart failure, nonischemic cardiomyopathies, AF, stroke, and diabetes). The strongest relationships were with heart failure (OR: 1.41 [95% CI: 1.26-1.57]; P = 1.60 × 10^-9) and nonischemic cardiomyopathies (OR: 1.40 [95% CI: 1.16-1.66]; P = 2.42 × 10^-4). Native T1 was positively associated with incident AF (HR: 1.25 [95% CI: 1.10-1.43]; P = 9.19 × 10^-4), incident heart failure (HR: 1.47 [95% CI: 1.31-1.65]; P = 4.79 × 10^-11), all-cause mortality (HR: 1.24 [95% CI: 1.12-1.36]; P = 1.51 × 10^-5), CVD mortality (HR: 1.40 [95% CI: 1.14-1.73]; P = 0.0014), and IHD mortality (HR: 1.36 [95% CI: 1.03-1.80]; P = 0.0310).ConclusionsThis large population study demonstrates the utility of myocardial native T1-mapping for disease discrimination and outcome prediction.     

A Body Shape Index is positively associated with all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in the Chinese population with normal weight: A prospective cohort study

Background and aimA body shape index (ABSI) is a valuable predictor of mortality in the Western population, but similar evidence in the general Chinese population is limited. This study aims to evaluate the association between the ABSI and all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in the Chinese population with normal weight.Methods and results9046 participants with normal BMI (18.5–24.9 kg/m²) from the China Hypertension Survey were enrolled. The baseline ABSI was calculated as waist circumference/(BMI^2/3height^1/2). Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to evaluate the association of the ABSI with all-cause and CVD mortality. Over an average follow-up of 5.4 years, 686 all-cause and 215 CVD deaths occurred. A 0.01-unit increment in the ABSI was associated with a 31% greater risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.31; 95% CI: 1.12, 1.48) and CVD mortality (HR, 1.30; 95% CI: 1.08, 1.58). Compared with quartile 1 of the ABSI, the adjusted HRs of all-cause mortality for quartiles 2–4 were, respectively, 1.25 (95% CI: 0.98, 1.59), 1.28 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.67), and 1.54 (95% CI: 1.17, 2.03) (P_trend = 0.004), and those of CVD mortality for quartiles 2–4 were, respectively, 1.28 (95% CI: 0.88, 1.83), 1.42 (95% CI: 0.97, 2.08), and 1.45 (95% CI: 0.98, 2.170) (P_trend = 0.043). The dose–response analysis showed a linear positive association of the ABSI with all-cause (P_nonlinearity = 0.158) and CVD mortality (P_nonlinearity = 0.213).ConclusionThe ABSI was positively associated with all-cause and CVD mortality among the general Chinese population with normal BMI. The data suggest that the ABSI may be an effective tool for central fatness for mortality risk assessment.     

Remnant cholesterol as a risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in incident peritoneal dialysis patients

Background and aimsRemnant cholesterol (RC) adversely contributes to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and overall survival in various diseases. However, its role in CVD outcomes and all-cause mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD) is limited. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the association between RC and all-cause and CVD mortality in patients undergoing PD.Methods and resultsBased on lipid profiles recorded using standard laboratory procedures, fasting RC levels were calculated in 2710 incident patients undergoing PD who were enrolled between January 2006 and December 2017 and followed up until December 2018. Patients were divided into four groups according to the quartile distribution of baseline RC levels (Q1: <0.40 mmol/L, Q2: 0.40 to <0.64 mmol/L, Q3: 0.64 to <1.03 mmol/L, and Q4: ≥1.03 mmol/L). Associations between RC and CVD and all-cause mortality were evaluated using multivariable Cox models. During the median follow-up period of 35.4 months (interquartile range, 20.9–57.2 months), 820 deaths were recorded, of which 438 were CVD-related. Smoothing plots showed non-linear relationships between RC and adverse outcomes. The risks of all-cause and CVD mortality increased progressively through the quartiles (log-rank, p < 0.001). Using adjusted proportional hazard models, a comparison of the highest (Q4) to lowest (Q1) quartiles revealed significant increases in the hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality (HR 1.95 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.51–2.51]) and CVD mortality risk (HR 2.60 [95% CI, 1.80–3.75]).ConclusionAn increased RC level was independently associated with all-cause and CVD mortality in patients undergoing PD, suggesting that RC was important clinically and required further research.     

Modification of the all-cause and cardiovascular disease related mortality risk with changes in the metabolic syndrome status: a population-based prospective cohort study in Taiwan

AimTo examine whether changes in metabolic syndrome (MetS) status over time are associated with risk of all-cause and cardiovascular disease related (CVD) mortality.MethodsThis prospective cohort study consisted of 544,749 individuals who participated in a self-funded comprehensive health surveillance program offered by Taiwan MJ Health Management Institution between 1998 and 2016. We included 236,216 adults who had at least two repeated MetS measures 5.9 (4.6) years apart and were followed up for mortality over 18.8 (5.2) years. Participants were classified according to the change in their MetS status as follows: MetS-free at both time points (n = 173,116), MetS-developed (n = 22,607), MetS-recovered (n = 13,616), and MetS-persistent (n = 26,877). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the association between change in MetS status and risk of all-cause and CVD mortality.ResultsOver the 4,436,842 person-years follow-up period, 14,226 participants died, including 2671 (19%) of CVD-related causes. The crude CVD mortality rate per 1000 person-years in the study groups were MetS-free, 0.32; MetS-developed, 0.75; MetS-recovered, 1.22; and MetS-persistent, 2.00 (P < 0.001). Compared to the persistent MetS group, participants in the MetS-recovered group had a lower risk of all-cause (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.87; 95%CI, 0.82–0.92) and CVD mortality (aHR, 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.71–0.93). Development of MetS increased the risk for all-cause (aHR, 1.11; 95%CI, 1.05–1.17) and CVD mortality (aHR, 1.22; 95%CI, 1.07–1.39), compared to the MetS-free group.ConclusionRecovery from MetS was significantly associated with a lower risk of all-cause and CVD mortality, whereas development of MetS was associated with increased risk.     

Association between body mass index and mortality in atrial fibrillation patients with and without diabetes mellitus: Insights from a multicenter registry study in China

Background and aimsThe aim of this study was to evaluate the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with and without diabetes mellitus (DM).Methods and resultsA total of 1991 AF patients were enrolled and divided into two groups according to whether they have DM at recruitment. Baseline information was collected and a mean follow-up of 1 year was carried out. The primary outcome was defined as all-cause mortality with the secondary outcomes including cardiovascular mortality, stroke and major adverse events (MAEs). Univariable and multivariable Cox regression were performed to estimate the association between BMI and 1-year outcomes in AF patients with and without DM. 309 patients with AF (15.5%) had comorbid DM at baseline. Patients with DM were more likely to have cardiovascular comorbidities, receive relevant medications but carry worse 1-year outcomes. Multivariable Cox regressions indicated that elevated BMI was related with reduced risk of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and major adverse events. Compared to normal weight, overweight [HR (95% CI): 0.548 (0.405–0.741), p < 0.001] and obesity [HR (95% CI): 0.541 (0.326–0.898), p = 0.018] were significantly related with decreased all-cause mortality for the entire cohort. Remarkably reduced all-cause mortality in the overweight [HR (95% CI): 0.497 (0.347–0.711), p < 0.001] and obesity groups [HR (95% CI): 0.405 (0.205–0.800), p = 0.009] could also be detected in AF patients without DM, but not in those with DM.ConclusionElevated BMI was associated with reduced mortality in patients with AF. This association was modified by DM. The obesity paradox confined to AF patients without DM, but could not be generalized to those with DM.     

Association between the visceral adiposity index and risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in a large cohort: Findings from the UK biobank

Background and aimsThe visceral adiposity index (VAI) has been recently established as a measure of visceral fat distribution and is shown to be associated with a wide range of adverse health events. However, the precise associations between the VAI score and all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in the general population remain undetermined.Methods and resultsIn this large-scale prospective epidemiological study, 357,457 participants (aged 38–73 years) were selected from the UK Biobank. We used Cox competing risk regression models to estimate the association between the VAI score and all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and other mortalities. The VAI score was significantly correlated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.200; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001), cancer mortality (HR, 1.224; 95% CI, 1.150–1.303; P < 0.0001), CVD mortality (HR, 1.459; 95% CI, 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001), and other mortalities (HR, 1.200; 95% CI, 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001) after adjusting for a series of confounders. In addition, the subgroup analyses showed that HRs were significantly higher in participants who were male, aged below 65 years, and body mass index less than 25.ConclusionIn summary, VAI was positively associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in a nationwide, well-characterised population identified in a UK Biobank. The VAI score might be a complementary traditional predictive indicator for evaluating the risk of adverse health events in the population of Western adults aged 38 years and older.     

Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation is associated with reduced risk of mortality in the elderly: a prospective cohort study and propensity score analysis

BackgroundIt is unclear whether catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) affects the long-term prognosis in the elderly. This study aims to evaluate the relationship between CA and long-term outcomes in elderly patients with AF.MethodsPatients more than 75 years old with non-valvular AF were prospectively enrolled between August 2011 and December 2017 in the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry Study. Participants who underwent CA at baseline were propensity score matched (1:1) with those who did not receive CA. The outcome events included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA), and cardiovascular hospitalization.ResultsOverall, this cohort included 571 ablated patients and 571 non-ablated patients with similar characteristics on 18 dimensions. During a mean follow-up of 39.75 ± 19.98 months (minimum six months), 24 patients died in the ablation group, compared with 60 deaths in the non-ablation group [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.49, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.30-0.79, P = 0.0024]. Besides, 6 ablated and 29 non-ablated subjects died of cardiovascular disease (HR = 0.25, 95% CI: 0.11–0.61, P = 0.0022). A total of 27 ablated and 40 non-ablated patients suffered stroke/TIA (HR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.48–1.28, P = 0.3431). In addition, 140 ablated and 194 non-ablated participants suffered cardiovascular hospitalization (HR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.67–1.04, P = 0.1084). Subgroup analyses according to gender, type of AF, time since onset of AF, and anticoagulants exposure in initiation did not show significant heterogeneity.ConclusionsIn elderly patients with AF, CA may be associated with a lower incidence of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.     

Associations of dietary protein intake with all-cause,cardiovascular disease,and cancer mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies

Background and aimsThe relationships between dietary protein intake and risk of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer mortality are still unclear. We conducted a systematic review with meta-analysis of cohort studies to summarize the evidence.Methods and resultsWe searched PubMed and Web of Science for relevant studies through February 2020. The associations of total, animal, and plant proteins with all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortality were evaluated. Study-specific relative risks (RR) were pooled using the fixed effect model when no significant heterogeneity was detected; otherwise the random effect model was employed. Twelve cohort studies were eligible for the study. Increased total protein showed no clear association with risk of all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortality. In the stratified analysis by protein sources, higher plant protein intake was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality (highest vs lowest intake: RR = 0.92; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.96; each 3% increment of intake: RR = 0.97; 95% CI: 0.94, 0.99), and may be associated with a reduced risk of CVD mortality (highest vs lowest intake: RR = 0.90; 95% CI: 0.80, 1.01; each 3% increment of intake: RR = 0.95; 95% CI: 0.91, 0.99). Moreover, higher intake of animal protein may be associated with an increased risk of CVD mortality (highest vs lowest intake: RR = 1.11; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.22; each 3% increment of intake: RR = 1.02; 95% CI: 0.98, 1.06).ConclusionThis study demonstrates that higher plant protein intake is associated with a reduced risk of all-cause and CVD-related mortality. Persons should be encouraged to increase their plant protein intake to potentially decrease their risk of death.     

ACOD frente a AVK en pacientes con fibrilación auricular y bioprótesis: revisión sistemática y metanálisis

Introduction and objectivesDirect oral anticoagulant (DOAC) therapy has been shown to be safe and effective in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, outcomes in AF patients with bioprosthetic valves are unclear, as this population has been underrepresented in clinical trials. The aim of this study was to assess the safety and efficacy of DOACs in this population based on the existing published literature.MethodsA systematic search and review were conducted to identify randomized clinical trials and comparative observational studies published from 2017 to January 2022 that compared DOACs and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) in AF patients with bioprosthetic valves. Hazard ratios (HR) were collected to compare the 2 treatments in terms of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, stroke/systemic embolism, and major bleeding. A meta-analysis combining the results was performed.ResultsWe included 12 studies (30 283 patients). DOACs and VKAs were compared based on HRs at the 95% confidence interval. DOAC therapy was associated with a significant 9% reduction in all-cause mortality (HR, 0.91; 95%CI, 0.85-0.97; P = .0068; I² = 8%), with no significant differences in the risk of stroke/systemic embolism (HR, 0.87; 95%CI, 0.67-1.14; P = .29; I² = 45%) or major bleeding (HR, 0.82; 95%CI, 0.67-1.00; P = .054; I² = 48.7%).ConclusionsDOAC therapy in AF patients with bioprosthetic valves may be associated with a significant reduction in all-cause mortality, with no reduction in the efficacy of stroke/systemic embolism prevention or increase in major bleeding risk.     

Prognostic nutritional index predicts in-hospital mortality in patients with acute type A aortic dissection

BackgroundThe prognostic nutritional index (PNI) has recently been reported to associate with the surgical prognosis of patients with some cardiovascular diseases. However, the prognosis significance of the preoperative PNI in patients with acute type A aortic dissection (AAAD) remains unclear.ObjectivesThe present study aimed to explore the relationship between PNI and postoperative in-hospital mortality in patients with AAAD.MethodsBetween June 2013 and December 2019, we retrospectively reviewed the clinical data of 651 patients undergoing AAAD surgery. Patients were divided into two groups according to the median PNI. The risk factors of postoperative in-hospital mortality were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis.ResultsIn-hospital mortality was significantly more common in the low group (24.8% vs 16.3%: P = .007). The percentage of prolonged mechanical ventilation (58.9% vs 49.8%: P = .020) and the median duration of intensive care unit stays (7.0 vs 6.0 days: P = .003) were also higher and longer in the low group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the PNI, age, hypertension, and operation time independently predicted in-hospital mortality. Besides, compared with patients with a history of hypertension, the low PNI affected in-hospital mortality more than those without (odds ratio [OR]: 2.07; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.20-3.56; P = .009).ConclusionsLower PNI may be independently associated with in-hospital mortality of patients after AAAD surgery.     

Associations of vitamin B6 turnover rate with the risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in hypertensive adults

Background and aimThis study was to assess the association between vitamin B6 turnover rate and mortality in hypertensive adults.Methods and resultsVitamin B6 status including serum pyridoxal-5′-phosphate (PLP) levels, serum 4-pyridoxal acid (4-PA) levels, and vitamin B6 turnover rate (4-PA/PLP) were obtained from the 2005–2010 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) dataset of hypertensive adults with follow-up through December 30, 2019. Using Cox proportional risk regression models, Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were analyzed for PLP, 4-PA and 4-PA/PLP quartiles in relation to cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. A total of 5434 participants were included in this study (mean age, 58.48 years; 50.4% men), and the median 4-PA/PLP was 0.75. The median follow-up time was 11.0 years, with 375 and 1387 cardiovascular and all-cause deaths, respectively. In multivariate COX regression models, PLP was negatively associated with cardiovascular mortality (HR [95% CI] quartile 4 vs. 1: 0.66 [0.47–0.94], P_trend = 0.03) and 4-PA/PLP was positively associated with cardiovascular mortality (HR [95% CI] quartile 4 vs.1: 1.80 [1.21–2.67], P_trend = 0.01). Similarly, the higher the quartile of PLP, the lower the risk of all-cause mortality (HR [95% CI] quartile 4 vs. 1: 0.67 [0.56–0.80], P_trend < 0.01). The higher the quartile of 4-PA and 4-PA/PLP, the higher the risk of all-cause mortality (HR [95% CI] quartile 4 vs. 1: 1.22 [1.01–1.48], P_trend < 0.01; and 2.09 [1.71–2.55], P_trend < 0.01).ConclusionThe findings suggested that higher vitamin B6 turnover rate was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in hypertensive adults.     

Is prognostic nutritional index a predictive marker for estimating all-cause in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients with cardiovascular risk factors?

BackgroundThis study examined the possible association between the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and in-hospital mortality rates in cases with a high cardiovascular risk burden and hospitalized with the diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).Material and MethodsThis retrospective and cross-sectional study included 294 COVID-19 patients hospitalized in a tertiary referral pandemic center. The study cohort was grouped into tertiles based on the initial PNI values as T1, T2, and T3. The PNI was calculated for each case and the prognostic value of this index was compared to CURB-65 and 4C mortality risk scores in predicting in-hospital mortality.ResultsPatients stratified into the T1 tertile had a lower lymphocyte count, serum albumin level, and PNI values. In a multivariate analysis, the PNI (OR: 0.688,%95CI: 0.586–0.808, p < 0.001) was an independent predictor for all-cause in-hospital death. After adjusting for confounding independent parameters, patients included in the T1 tertile were found to have 11.2 times higher rates of in-hospital mortality compared to the T3 group, which was presumed as the reference group. In addition, we found that the area under curve (AUC) value of PNI was significantly elevated than that of serum albumin level and total lymphocyte counts alone. [(AUC):0.79 vs AUC:0.75 vs AUC:0.69; respectively).ConclusionThis study demonstrated that the PNI is independently related with in-hospital mortality in patient with COVID-19 and cardiovascular risk factors. The power of the PNI was also validated using well-accepted risk scores of COVID-19 such as CURB-65 and 4C mortality risk scores.     

Statin use and the risk of CVD events,stroke, and all-cause mortality in patients with diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AimsConsidering the lack of evidence on statin use and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with diabetes in primary and secondary prevention, this study aimed to evaluate the effect of statin use in individuals with diabetes for primary and secondary prevention.Data synthesisThe MEDLINE, Web of Science, Embase, ClinicalTrials.gov, and Cochrane Central Register for Controlled Trials databases were searched. We included studies that assessed the effect of statin use in individuals with diabetes for at least 1 year. The outcomes included CVD, all-cause mortality, and stroke. A total of 24 studies including 2,152,137 patients with diabetes were included in the meta-analysis. Compared with statin non-users, patients who received statins showed a lower risk of CVD events (primary prevention: risk ratio [RR] = 0.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.69–0.94, P = 0.006; secondary prevention: RR = 0.75, 95% CI 0.65–0.87, P < 0.0001). No association was observed between statin and non-statin users and the risk of all-cause mortality. The pooled results also revealed that statin use reduced the risk of ischemic stroke in patients with diabetes (primary prevention: RR = 0.83, 95% CI 0.70–0.97, P = 0.020; secondary prevention: RR = 0.74, 95% CI 0.63–0.85, P < 0.0001).ConclusionsStatin use significantly reduced the risk of CVD events and stroke, but not all-cause mortality, in individuals with diabetes undergoing both primary and secondary prevention. More data are required to verify the effects of statins in patients with diabetes.Systematic review registrationPROSPERO CRD42021281132.     

Prognostic implications of adherence to oral anticoagulants among patients with atrial fibrillation: Insights from MISOAC-AF trial

ObjectivesTo explore the implications of adherence to oral anticoagulants (OACs) on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).MethodsThis post-hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF trial included recently hospitalized patients with AF. Adherence to OACs was assessed by the proportion of days covered (PDC). Good adherence was defined as PDC >80 %. Cox regression models were used to associate PDC with clinical outcomes of all-cause death, cardiovascular death (CVD), stroke, and bleeding. A sub-analysis was performed among adherent patients to compare outcomes between vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) and direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs).ResultsDuring a median 31-month follow-up, 778 cardiac patients with comorbid AF who had been prescribed OACs upon hospital discharge were studied. The mean PDC was 0.78; 66 % of patients had good adherence (>80 %) which was associated with lower risk of all-cause death [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 0.64; 95 % confidence interval (CI): 0.46 to 0.84, p < 0.001] and CVD (aHR: 0.70; 95 % CI: 0.50 to 0.97, p = 0.03). The risk of stroke and major or non-major bleeding did not differ by adherence status. Among adherent patients to OACs, VKA use was associated with higher rates of all-cause death (p < 0.001), CVD (p < 0.001), and stroke (p = 0.01); no differences were found regarding major or non-major bleeding risk.ConclusionsIn recently hospitalized patients with AF, good adherence to OACs was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause death and CVD. The rates of stroke or bleeding events were not significantly different. VKAs were associated with more adverse events compared to DOACs.     

New Onset Atrial Fibrillation Developing in Medical Inpatients

BackgroundThe outcome of patients who develop new onset atrial fibrillation (AF) after admission to an Internal Medicine service for acute medical illnesses is unknown.MethodsIn a retrospective review, we compared patients in the study group: patients who were admitted to hospital for acute medical illnesses and subsequently developed new onset AF during hospitalization, with a control group 1: patients whose admitting diagnosis was new onset AF and a control group 2: patients who were admitted for acute medical illnesses and never developed AF. We analyzed clinical characteristics and all-cause mortality rate during the first 30 days, 6 months, and 1 year after admission.ResultsThe 1-year mortality rates in study group were significantly higher than control group 1 (62% versus 8%, P < 0.001) and control group 2 (62% versus 29%, P < 0.05). These results suggest that AF and acute medical illness both are risk factors for increased mortality. The odds ratios were 4.05 (P = 0.023) and 18.33 (P = 0.001) for AF and acute medical illnesses, respectively, indicating that acute medical illness is the better predictor for mortality. Troponin I levels were elevated in 46% of patients in study group versus 12% in control group 1 and 42% in control group 2 (P < 0.05).ConclusionsMedical inpatients who develop new onset AF during hospitalization for acute medical illnesses have an increased mortality when compared with patients who were admitted solely for new onset AF. Acute medical illness rather than AF plays a more important role on the increased mortality in this subset of patient population.     

Effects of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor and angiotensin Ⅱ receptor blocker on one-year outcomes of patients with atrial fibrillation:insights from a multicenter registry study in China

ObjectiveTo evaluate the effect of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI)/angiotensin II receptor blocker (ARB) therapy on the prognosis of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).MethodsA total of 1, 991 AF patients from the AF registry were divided into two groups according to whether they were treated with ACEI/ARB at recruitment. Baseline characteristics were carefully collected and analyzed. Logistic regression was utilized to identify the predictors of ACEI/ARB therapy. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality, while the secondary endpoints included cardiovascular mortality, stroke and major adverse events (MAEs) during the one-year follow-up period. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression were performed to identify the association between ACEI/ARB therapy and the one-year outcomes.ResultsIn total, 759 AF patients (38.1%) were treated with ACEI/ARB. Compared with AF patients without ACEI/ARB therapy, patients treated with ACEI/ARB tended to be older and had a higher rate of permanent AF, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, heart failure (HF), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 40%, coronary artery disease (CAD), prior myocardial infarction (MI), left ventricular hypertrophy, tobacco use and concomitant medications (all P < 0.05). Hypertension, HF, LVEF < 40%, CAD, prior MI and tobacco use were determined to be predictors of ACEI/ARB treatment. Multivariable analysis showed that ACEI/ARB therapy was associated with a significantly lower risk of one-year all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI): 0.682 (0.527-0.882), P = 0.003], cardiovascular mortality [HR (95% CI): 0.713 (0.514-0.988), P = 0.042] and MAEs [HR (95% CI): 0.698 (0.568-0.859), P = 0.001]. The association between ACEI/ARB therapy and reduced mortality was consistent in the subgroup analysis.ConclusionsIn patients with AF, ACEI/ARB was related to significantly reduced one-year all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and MAEs despite the high burden of cardiovascular comorbidities.     

Malnutrition status in patients of very advanced age with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation and its impact on clinical outcomes

Background and aimsMalnutrition is associated with adverse outcomes in patients with chronic disease. We screened malnutrition among patients of very advanced age with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) by malnutrition scores and investigated the associations between malnutrition and clinical outcomes.Methods and resultsThis retrospective observational study included 461 patients aged ≥80 years with nonvalvular AF. Malnutrition was screened using the Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), and Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) scores. The primary endpoints were composite events, including thromboembolic events and all-cause death. Malnutrition was present in 62.9%, 5.0%, and 21.9% of patients according to the CONUT, PNI, and GNRI scores, respectively. During a median 27-month follow-up, 130 (28.2%) patients had composite events. Kaplan−Meier curves revealed that patients with moderate to severe malnutrition had the worst clinical outcomes (log-rank P < 0.05 for all scores). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that moderate to severe malnutrition was an independent predictor of composite events [hazard ratio (HR): 2.051, 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 1.143–3.679, P = 0.016 for CONUT score; HR: 3.374, 95%CI: 1.898–5.998, P < 0.001 for PNI score; HR: 2.254, 95%CI: 1.381–3.679, P = 0.001 for GNRI score]. Addition of the CONUT or GNRI score to a baseline prediction model for composite events significantly improved the net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement (all P < 0.05).ConclusionModerate to severe malnutrition was an independent predictor of adverse outcomes among patients of very advanced age with nonvalvular AF. Screening for malnutrition might provide useful information regarding prognosis and risk stratification.     

Predicted and Observed Mortality at 10 Years in Patients With Bifurcation Lesions in the SYNTAX Trial

BackgroundPercutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) of bifurcation lesions is associated with higher rates of adverse events, and currently it is unclear whether PCI or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is the safer treatment for these patients at very long-term follow-up.ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to investigate the impact of bifurcation lesions on individual predicted and observed all-cause 10-year mortality in the SYNTAX (Synergy Between PCI With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) trial.MethodsIn the SYNTAXES (SYNTAX Extended Survival) study, 10-year observed and individual predicted mortality derived from the SYNTAX score 2020 (SS-2020) was compared between patients with ≥1 bifurcation (n = 1,300) and those with no bifurcations (n = 487).ResultsAmong patients treated with PCI, patients with >1 bifurcation lesion compared with those without bifurcation lesions had a significantly higher risk for all-cause death (19.8% vs 30.1%; HR: 1.55; 95% CI: 1.12-2.14; P = 0.007), whereas following CABG, mortality was similar in patients with and those without bifurcation lesions (23.3% vs 23.0%; HR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.59-1.12; P = 0.207; P_interaction = 0.006). In PCI patients, a 2-stent vs a 1-stent technique was associated with higher mortality (33.3% vs 25.9%; HR: 1.51; 95% CI: 1.06-2.14; P = 0.021). According to the SS-2020, among those with ≥1 bifurcation, there was equipoise for all-cause mortality between PCI and CABG in 2 quartiles of the population, whereas CABG was superior to PCI in the 2 remaining quartiles.ConclusionsBifurcation lesions require special attention from the heart team, considering the higher 10-year all-cause mortality associated with PCI. Careful evaluation of bifurcation lesion complexity and calculation of individualized 10-year prognosis using the SS-2020 may therefore be helpful in decision making. (Synergy Between PCI With TAXUS and Cardiac Surgery: SYNTAX Extended Survival [SYNTAXES], NCT03417050; Taxus Drug-Eluting Stent Versus Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery for the Treatment of Narrowed Arteries [SYNTAX], NCT00114972)     

Clinical Predictors of Mortality in Patients with Moderate to Severe Mitral Regurgitation

BackgroundMitral regurgitation is the most common form of valvular heart disease worldwide, however, there is an incomplete understanding of predictors of mortality in this population. This study sought to identify risk factors of mortality in a real-world population with mitral regurgitation.MethodsAll patients with moderate or severe mitral regurgitation were identified at a single center from January 1, 2016 to August 31, 2017. Multivariate regression was performed to evaluate variables independently associated with all-cause mortality.ResultsA total of 490 patients with moderate (76.3%) or severe (23.7%) mitral regurgitation due to primary (20.8%) or secondary (79.2%) etiology were identified. The mean age was 66.7 years; 50% were male. At a median follow-up of 3.1 years, the incidence of all-cause mortality was 30.1%, heart failure hospitalization 23.1%, and mitral valve intervention 11.6%. Of 117 variables, multivariate analysis demonstrated 5 that were independently predictive of mortality: baseline creatinine (hazard ratio [HR] 1.2; 95% CI, 1.0-1.3; P = .02), right atrial pressure by echocardiogram (HR 1.3; 95% CI, 1.07-1.55; P = .008), hemoglobin (HR 0.65; 95% CI, 0.52-0.83; P = .001), hospitalization for heart failure (HR 1.6; 95% CI, 1.1-2.4; P = .015), and mitral valve intervention (HR 0.40; 95% CI, 0.16-0.83; P = .049).ConclusionIn this retrospective, pragmatic analysis of patients with moderate or severe mitral regurgitation, admission for heart failure exacerbation, elevated right atrial pressure, renal dysfunction, anemia, and lack of mitral valve intervention were independently associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality. Whether these risk factors may better identify select patients who may benefit from more intensive monitoring or earlier intervention should be considered in future studies.     

Right ventricular systolic pressure – Non-invasive bedside predictor of mortality and readmission in heart failure with reduced and preserved ejection fraction hospitalization

ObjectiveTo study the prognostic role of right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP) in patients with heart failure (HF).BackgroundAlthough RVSP is a readily available echocardiographic parameter, it is often underused. Its prognostic role in patients with heart failure is not well established compared with pulmonary artery pressure measured by right heart catheterization.MethodsThis single-center retrospective cohort study included patients with acute heart failure hospitalization admitted to the hospital from January 2005 to December 2018. The primary predictor was right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP) obtained from bedside transthoracic echocardiography at admission. We divided RVSP into two groups, RVSP <40 mm Hg (reference group) and RVSP ≥40 mm Hg. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were all-cause readmission and cardiac readmission. We conducted propensity-score matching and applied cox-proportional hazard model to compute hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI).ResultsOut of 972 HF patients, 534 patients had RVSP <40 mm Hg and 438 patients had RVSP ≥40 mm Hg. Patients with RVSP ≥40 mm Hg compared with RVSP <40 mm Hg were associated with higher rates of death [HR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.22–2.09, P-value = 0.001], all-cause readmissions [HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.09–1.73, P-value = 0.008] and cardiac readmissions [HR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.07–1.85, P-value = 0.014].ConclusionHigher RVSP (≥40 mm Hg) in HF patients was associated with higher rates of death, all-cause readmissions, and cardiac readmissions. RVSP can be considered as a prognostic marker for mortality and readmission.