Effect of body mass index trajectory on lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease in a Chinese population: A cohort study

Background and aimsThe longitudinal trajectories of body mass index (BMI) can reflect the pattern of BMI changes. Lifetime risk quantifies the cumulative risk of developing a disease over the remaining life of a person. We aimed to identify the trajectory of BMI and explore its association with cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the Chinese population.Methods and resultsA total of 68,603 participants with a mean age of 55.46 years were included from the Kailuan cohort in Tangshan, China, who were free of CVD and cancer and with repeated measurements of BMI from 2006 to 2010. A latent mixture model was used to identify BMI trajectories. An improved Kaplan-Meier estimator was used to predict the lifetime risk of CVD according to BMI trajectories. During a median follow-up of 7.0 years, 3325 participants developed CVD. Five BMI trajectories were identified at three index ages (35, 45, and 55) respectively. For index age 35 years, compared with the stable low-normal weight group (22.7% [95% CI, 20.0%–25.4%]), the stable high-normal weight (27.6% [25.6%–29.5%]), stable overweight (29.4% [27.4%–31.4%]), stable-low obesity (32.8% [30.0%–35.5%]), and stable-high obesity (38.9% [33.3%–44.5%]) groups had a higher lifetime risk of CVD (P < 0.05). We observed similar patterns for stroke and myocardial infarction. Similarly, the lifetime risk of CVD was higher in the long-term overweight and obese groups at 45 and 55 index ages.ConclusionsLong-term overweight and obesity were associated with an increased lifetime risk of CVD. Our findings could assist in predicting the population burden of CVD.     

Subclinical atherosclerosis in adolescents and young adults and the risk of cardiovascular disease: The Strong Heart Family Study (SHFS)

Background and aimsRates of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among American Indians (AI) have been increasing. Although we have observed an association between atherosclerosis and CVD in older adults, the potential association among young AI is unclear. Therefore, we aim to describe the prevalence of atherosclerosis among young AI and determine its association with CVD and all-cause mortality.Methods and resultsWe evaluated AI participants from the Strong Heart Family Study (SHFS), who were <40 years old and CVD free at the baseline examination, 2001–2003 (n = 1376). We used carotid ultrasound to detect baseline atherosclerotic plaque. We identified CVD events and all-cause mortality through 2019, with a median follow-up of 17.8 years. We used shared frailty Cox Proportional Hazards models to assess the association between atherosclerosis and time to CVD event or all-cause mortality, while controlling for covariates.Among 1376 participants, 71 (5.2%) had atherosclerosis at baseline. During follow-up, 120 (8.7%) had CVD events and 104 (7.6%) died from any cause. CVD incidence was higher in participants who had baseline atherosclerosis (13.51/1000 person-years) than in those who did not (4.95/1000 person-years, p = 0.0003). CVD risk and all-cause mortality were higher in participants with atherosclerosis, while controlling for covariates (CVD HR = 1.85, 95%CI = 1.02–3.37, p = 0.0420; all-cause mortality HR = 2.04, 95%CI = 1.07–3.89, p = 0.0291).ConclusionsAmong young AI, atherosclerosis was independently associated with incident CVD and all-cause mortality later in life. Thus, atherosclerosis begins early in life and interventions in adolescents and young adults to slow the progression of disease could prevent or delay CVD events later in life.     

Risk stratification for mortality in cardiovascular disease survivors: A survival conditional inference tree analysis

Background and aimsEfficient analysis strategies for complex network with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk stratification remain lacking. We sought to identify an optimized model to study CVD prognosis using survival conditional inference tree (SCTREE), a machine-learning method.Methods and resultsWe identified 5379 new onset CVD from 2006 (baseline) to May, 2017 in the Kailuan I study including 101,510 participants (the training dataset). The second cohort composing 1,287 CVD survivors was used to validate the algorithm (the Kailuan II study, n = 57,511). All variables (e.g., age, sex, family history of CVD, metabolic risk factors, renal function indexes, heart rate, atrial fibrillation, and high sensitivity C-reactive protein) were measured at baseline and biennially during the follow-up period. Up to December 2017, we documented 1,104 deaths after CVD in the Kailuan I study and 170 deaths in the Kailuan II study. Older age, hyperglycemia and proteinuria were identified by the SCTREE as main predictors of post-CVD mortality. CVD survivors in the high risk group (presence of 2–3 of these top risk factors), had higher mortality risk in the training dataset (hazard ratio (HR): 5.41; 95% confidence Interval (CI): 4.49–6.52) and in the validation dataset (HR: 6.04; 95%CI: 3.59–10.2), than those in the lowest risk group (presence of 0–1 of these factors).ConclusionOlder age, hyperglycemia and proteinuria were the main predictors of post-CVD mortality.Trial registrationChiCTR-TNRC-11001489.     

Exposure to Chinese famine in early life modifies the association between hyperglycaemia and cardiovascular disease

Background and aimsThe Great Leap Forward Famine during 1959–1961 was the world's largest famine, and its adverse long-term effects might be more apparent in the coming decade with ageing of the exposed populations. The aim of this study was to examine whether the Chinese Famine modified the effect of hyperglycaemia on cardiovascular disease (CVD).Methods and resultsWe used data of 4337 adults born between 1952 and 1964 collected from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and confidence intervals (CIs) between hyperglycaemia and CVD. The prevalence of CVD showed significant difference among different famine exposure cohorts (P = 0.0156). After multivariable adjustment, the ORs (95% CIs) were as follows: 1.46 (0.94, 2.26) for late childhood, 1.76 (1.06, 2.90) for mid childhood, 1.40 (0.86, 2.27) for early childhood, 2.55 (1.30, 5.02) for the foetal cohort and 1.10 (0.63, 1.95) for the non-exposed cohort. There was a significant interaction between hyperglycaemia and famine exposure for CVD (P = 0.0374). In addition, the subgroup analyses showed that the effect of hyperglycaemia on CVD in the foetal exposure cohort was significantly higher than those in any of the other famine-exposed cohorts, especially in those who lived in rural areas (OR: 4.67, 95% CI: 1.70–12.84), those who lived in severe famine areas (OR: 5.01, 95% CI: 1.22–20.66) and those who were men (OR: 3.66, 95% CI: 1.01–13.33).ConclusionExposure to the Chinese Famine, especially during the foetal stage of life, aggravated the association between hyperglycaemia and CVD.     

Intake of legumes and cardiovascular disease: A systematic review and dose–response meta-analysis

AimsTo summarize the evidence on the association between the intake of legumes and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) overall, coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke, and to identify optimal intake levels for reduced disease risk through a systematic review and dose–response meta-analysis.Data synthesisWe have systematically searched PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science up to March, 2022 for the retrieval of intervention and observational studies (PROSPERO Reg. number: CRD42021247565). Pooled relative risks (RRs) comparing extreme categories of intake were computed using random-effects models. One-stage dose–response meta-analyses were also performed using random-effects models. 22 831 articles were screened resulting in 26 eligible observational studies (21 prospective cohort and 5 case–control studies). When comparing extreme categories of intake, the consumption of legumes was inversely associated with CVD (n = 25: RR = 0.94; 95%CI:0.89,0.99) and CHD (n = 16: RR = 0.90; 95%CI:0.85,0.96), but not with stroke (n = 9: RR = 1.00; 95%CI:0.93,1.08). We further found evidence for an inverse dose–response association with CHD, increasing in magnitude up to an intake of 400 g/week, after which the benefit seems to level-off.ConclusionsThe intake of legumes was associated with a reduced risk of CVD and CHD, but not with stroke, among individuals with the highest consumption levels. An intake level of 400 g/week seemed to provide the optimal cardiovascular benefit. Further research is needed to better understand the role of legumes in stroke subtypes.     

Circulating 25-hydroxy-vitamin D and the risk of cardiovascular diseases. Systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies

AimsCirculating vitamin D is linked with the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). A meta-analysis has yet to explicitly explore correlation between vitamin D and the risk of CVD incidence and recurrent CVD. This meta-analysis examines the association between 25-hydroxy-vitamin D (25(OH)D) and the risk of CVD incidence (fatal, non-fatal, fatal and non-fatal combined events) and the risk of recurrent CVD (fatal, recurrent, and fatal and recurrent combined events). PROSPERO registration-CRD42021251483.Data synthesisA total of 79 studies (46 713 CVD cases in 1 397 831 participants) were included in the meta-analysis, of which 61 studies examined the risk of CVD incidence events, and 18 studies examined risk of recurrent CVD events. The risk of CVD incidence events (RR = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.26–1.43, p < 0.001) and recurrent CVD events (RR = 1.86, 95% CI: 1.46–2.36, p < 0.001) was higher in the lowest than the highest category of circulating 25(OH)D. Dose–response analysis reported a linear association for every 10 ng/ml increment of 25(OH)D and non-fatal CVD incidence events (RR = 0.94; 95% CI = 0.89–0.98, p = 0.005), lower fatal recurrent CVD events (RR = 0.45; 95% CI = 0.32–0.62, p < 0.001) and lower combined recurrent CVD events (RR = 0.80; 95% CI = 0.65–0.97, p = 0.023). A non-linear association was observed between higher 25(OH)D and lower fatal CVD incidence events (P-nonlinear<0.001), lower combined CVD incidence events (P-nonlinear = 0.001), and lower non-fatal recurrent CVD events (P-nonlinear = 0.044).ConclusionsThe lowest category of circulating 25(OH)D was associated with a higher risk of CVD incidence events and recurrent CVD events.     

Performance of WHO updated cardiovascular disease risk prediction charts in a low-resource setting – Findings from a community-based survey in Puducherry,India

Background and aimThe World Health Organization has revised the cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction charts in 2019 for each of the 21 Global Burden of Disease regions. These charts (non-lab and lab versions) estimate the total CVD risk in an individual, of which the non-lab is for low-resource settings. We aimed to estimate the burden of ten-year risk of fatal or non-fatal CVD event in the district of Puducherry in India using ‘non-lab’ and ‘lab’ versions of WHO CVD risk prediction charts, and to evaluate the agreement between them.Methods and resultsWe included 710 individuals aged 40–69 years who participated in a district wide non-communicable diseases survey conducted in Puducherry, India, during 2019–20. Both charts use information on age, gender, systolic blood pressure and smoking status. Additionally, lab-chart requires individual's status on diabetes mellitus and total cholesterol while non-lab requires body mass index. Population in different CVD risk levels was presented using proportions (95% confidence intervals). Agreement between lab and non-lab charts was evaluated using Cohen's Kappa (k).The lab and non-lab charts estimated 3% (95% CI: 1.7–4.2) and none of the population respectively, to have high risk (≥20%) for fatal or non-fatal CVD event over the next ten years. Both the charts showed 89.4% (95% CI:87.2%–91.7%) concordance in CVD risk prediction indicating a good level of agreement (k = 0.653).ConclusionWHO updated CVD risk prediction charts are feasible to apply when data is available and there is good agreement between non-lab and lab based charts.     

Smoking and alcohol consumption influence the risk of cardiovascular diseases in Korean adults with elevated blood pressure

Background and aimsCardiovascular disease (CVD) and hypertension are the main causes of global death. We aimed to investigate the independent and combined effects of smoking and alcohol consumption on CVD risk among Koreans with elevated blood pressure (BP).Methods and resultsAdults aged 20–65 years with elevated BP and without pre-existing CVDs were selected from the National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort version 2.0. We followed up 59,391 men and 35,253 women between 2009 and 2015. The association of CVD incidence with smoking pack-years and alcohol consumption was investigated using the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model. Among women, smokers (10.1–20.0 pack-years) and alcohol drinkers (≥30.0 g/day) had higher CVD risks (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.15, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.06–1.25, HR = 1.06, 95% CI 1.00–1.12, respectively) compared to each referent group. However, men who smoked exhibited an increased CVD risk only with pack-years >20.0 (HR = 1.09, 1.03–1.14 and HR = 1.18, 1.11–1.26 for smokers with 20.1–30.0 and ≥ 30.1 pack-years, respectively) compared to nonsmokers. In the combined groups of those smoking and consuming alcohol, only nonsmoking men consuming alcohol 1.0–29.9 g/day had a lower CVD risk than did nonsmoking, nondrinking men (HR = 0.90, 0.83–0.97). Women smoking 1.0-10.0 pack-years and consuming alcohol ≥30.0 g/day had a higher CVD risk (HR = 1.25, 1.11–1.41) than nonsmoking and nondrinking women.ConclusionSmoking and alcohol consumption, independently and jointly, were associated with CVD risk in men and women. Women had a greater CVD risk than did men among Korean adults with elevated BP.     

Association between dairy product consumption and hyperuricemia in an elderly population with metabolic syndrome

Background and aimsThe prevalence of hyperuricemia has increased substantially in recent decades. It has been suggested that it is an independent risk factor for weight gain, hypertension, hypertriglyceridemia, metabolic syndrome (MetS), and cardiovascular disease. Results from epidemiological studies conducted in different study populations have suggested that high consumption of dairy products is associated with a lower risk of developing hyperuricemia. However, this association is still unclear. The aim of the present study is to explore the association of the consumption of total dairy products and their subtypes with the risk of hyperuricemia in an elderly Mediterranean population with MetS.Methods and resultsBaseline cross-sectional analyses were conducted on 6329 men/women (mean age 65 years) with overweight/obesity and MetS from the PREDIMED-Plus cohort. Dairy consumption was assessed using a food frequency questionnaire. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regressions were fitted to analyze the association of quartiles of consumption of total dairy products and their subtypes with the prevalence of hyperuricemia. Participants in the upper quartile of the consumption of total dairy products (multiadjusted prevalence ratio (PR) = 0.84; 95% CI: 0.75–0.94; P-trend 0.02), low-fat dairy products (PR = 0.79; 95% CI: 0.70–0.89; P-trend <0.001), total milk (PR = 0.81; 95% CI: 0.73–0.90; P-trend<0.001), low-fat milk (PR = 0.80; 95% CI: 0.72–0.89; P-trend<0.001, respectively), low-fat yogurt (PR = 0.89; 95% CI: 0.80–0.98; P-trend 0.051), and cheese (PR = 0.86; 95% CI: 0.77–0.96; P-trend 0.003) presented a lower prevalence of hyperuricemia. Whole-fat dairy, fermented dairy, and yogurt consumption were not associated with hyperuricemia.ConclusionsHigh consumption of total dairy products, total milk, low-fat dairy products, low-fat milk, low-fat yogurt, and cheese is associated with a lower risk of hyperuricemia.     

Dose–response relationship between distinct serum uric acid trajectories and metabolic syndrome risk: A 5-year prospective cohort study

Background and aimsAlthough high serum uric acid (SUA) at baseline has been linked to increased risk for metabolic syndrome (MetS), the association of longitudinal SUA changes with MetS risk is unclear. We aimed to examine the effect of distinct SUA trajectories on new-onset MetS risk by sex in a Chinese cohort.Methods and resultsA total of 2364 women and 2770 men who were free of MetS in 2013 were enrolled in this study and followed up to 2018. Group-based trajectory modeling was applied to identify SUA trajectories. Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the association between SUA trajectory and new-onset MetS. The dose–response relationship between SUA trajectories and MetS risk was examined by treating trajectory groups as a continuous variable. During a median follow-up of 48.0 months, 311 (13.16%) women and 950 (34.30%) men developed MetS. SUA trajectories (2013–2018) were defined as four distinct patterns in both women and men: “low”, “moderate”, “moderate-high”, and “high”. Compared with “low” SUA trajectory, the adjusted hazard ratio for incident MetS among participants with “moderate”, “moderate-high” and “high” trajectory was in a dose–response manner: 1.75 (95% CI: 1.08–2.82), 1.94 (95% CI: 1.20–3.14), and 3.05 (95% CI: 1.81–5.13), respectively, for women; 1.20 (95% CI: 0.97–1.49), 1.48 (95% CI: 1.19–1.85), and 1.66 (95% CI: 1.25–2.21), respectively, for men.ConclusionsElevated SUA trajectories are associated with increased risk for new-onset MetS in women and men. Monitoring SUA trajectories may assist in identifying subpopulations at higher risk for MetS.     

Coffee consumption and cardiovascular diseases and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and dose–response meta-analysis of cohort studies

AimsTo evaluate the long-term consequences of coffee drinking in patients with type 2 diabetes.Data synthesisPubMed, Scopus, and Web of Sciences were searched to November 2020 for prospective cohort studies evaluating the association of coffee drinking with risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. Two reviewers extracted data and rated the certainty of evidence using GRADE approach. Random-effects models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. Dose–response associations were modeled by a one-stage mixed-effects meta-analysis. Ten prospective cohort studies with 82,270 cases were included. Compared to those with no coffee consumption, the HRs for consumption of 4 cups/d were 0.79 (95%CI: 0.72, 0.87; n = 10 studies) for all-cause mortality, 0.60 (95%CI: 0.46, 0.79; n = 4) for CVD mortality, 0.68 (95%CI: 0.51, 0.91; n = 3) for coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality, 0.72 (95%CI: 0.54, 0.98; n = 2) for CHD, and 0.77 (95%CI: 0.61, 0.98; n = 2) for total CVD events. There was no significant association for cancer mortality and stroke. There was an inverse monotonic association between coffee drinking and all-cause and CVD mortality, and inverse linear association for CHD and total CVD events. The certainty of evidence was graded moderate for all-cause mortality, and low or very low for other outcomes.ConclusionsDrinking coffee may be inversely associated with the risk of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. However, more research is needed considering type of coffee, sugar and cream added to coffee, and history of CVD to present more confident results.Registry and registry numberThe protocol of this systematic review was registered at Open Science Framework (https://osf.io/8uaf3, registered form: osf.io/xur76, registration DOI: 10.17605/OSF.IO/8UAF3).     

Mean platelet volume modifies the contribution of homocysteine to cardiovascular disease: A real-world study

Background and aimsThe effect of reductions in homocysteine (Hcy) on cardiovascular disease (CVD) was suggested to be modified by platelet activation, but the interaction between Hcy and platelet activation on CVD events is not well studied. Here, we aimed to examine the interaction between Hcy and platelet activation on CVD in a large, real-world population.Methods and resultsA total of 27,234 patients with hypertension (mean 63 years, 48% male) who were registered in Taicang city and free of CVD were prospectively followed up for new CVD events from 2017 to 2020. Hcy and platelet indices including mean platelet volume (MPV) were assayed at baseline. A total of 1063 CVD events were recorded during follow-up. Hcy at baseline was significantly associated with a higher risk of CVD (HR = 1.85, P < 0.001 for log-transformed Hcy). MPV showed a significant interaction effect with Hcy on CVD (HR = 1.20, P = 0.030 for the interaction term). The association between Hcy and CVD was significantly stronger in participants with a large (vs. small) MPV (HR = 2.71 vs. 1.32, P = 0.029 for log-transformed Hcy). For participants with both elevated Hcy and a large MPV, the attributable proportion of CVD events due to their interaction was 0.26 (95% CI: 0.06–0.45).ConclusionsThe association between Hcy and CVD was significantly stronger in patients with hypertension with a larger MPV. MPV may modify the contribution of Hcy to CVD events through synergistic interactions with Hcy. These findings suggest that MPV could be monitored and controlled in the prevention of CVD.     

The association between a novel inflammatory biomarker,systemic inflammatory response index and the risk of diabetic cardiovascular complications

Background and aimSystemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) is a novel inflammatory biomarker. The relationship between SIRI and the risk of diabetic cardiovascular complications is still unclear. The purpose of our study was to address the correlation between SIRI and the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in diabetes mellitus (DM) patients.Methods and resultsA total of 8759 individuals were selected from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) (2015–2020) in our study. Comparing with control (n = 6446) and pre-DM (n = 350) individuals, the DM patients (n = 1963) show the higher SIRI level (all P < 0.001) and prevalence of CVD (all P < 0.001). Furthermore, in a fully adjusted model, we observed the increase of tertiles of SIRI was a risk factor for CVD in DM patients (the middle tertile: 1.80, 95% CI: 1.13–3.13; the highest tertile: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.03–3.22; all P < 0.05), while the relationship between hypersensitive CRP (hs-CRP) and the risk of diabetic cardiovascular complications was not observed (all P > 0.05). Furthermore, the SIRI tertiles–CVD association was significant strongly in patients with high body mass index (BMI; >24 kg/m²) than in those with a low BMI (≤24 kg/m², P for interaction = 0.045). Using restricted cubic splines, we observed a dose–response relation between lg SIRI and the risk of CVD in DM patients.ConclusionsThe elevated SIRI was independently associated with the increased risk of CVD in the DM population with a high BMI (>24 kg/m²), and its clinical value is greater than hs-CRP.     

Use of fish oil and mortality of patients with cardiometabolic multimorbidity: A prospective study of UK biobank

Background and aimsCardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) has risen as a global issue of public health, with an in-creasing prevalence and more severe clinical prognosis. This study aimed to estimate the association between use of fish oil and mortality among patients with CMM.Methods and ResultsIn this prospective study based on UK Biobank, participants with ≥2 of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs, including coronary heart disease [CHD], diabetes, hypertension, and stroke in this study) at recruitment were included. Use of fish oil was derived from touchscreen questionnaires at baseline. All-cause and cardiovascular mortality were accessed via electronic health-related records. Kaplan–Meier curves and flexible parametric Royston-Parmar proportion-hazard models were fitted to assess the as-sociations of fish-oil use with all-cause, cardiovascular mortality, and related life expectancy alterations. Among 30 068 participants from UK Biobank (67.9% men; mean age 61.75 years), 5357 deaths were reported during 12.03 years of follow-up. For patients with CMM, use of fish oil was associated with a 17% lower risk of all-cause mortality (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.78–0.88, P < 0.001), and 19% lower risk of cardiovascular mortality (95% CI 0.72–0.90, P < 0.001) in multivariable-adjusted models. At 45 years old, using fish oil was associated with 1.66 years of life expectancy gained.ConclusionAmong patients with CMM, use of fish oil was associated with a significantly reduced risk of all-cause, cardiovascular mortality, and prolonged life expectancy.     

Screen time and the risk of metabolic syndrome among children and adolescents: A systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis

AimsThe metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its consequences are one of the main public health challenges worldwide. We conducted a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of studies that examined the association between screen time and the MetS among children and adolescents.Data synthesisA systematic search was conducted using electronic databases, including PubMed, Scopus, ProQuest, and Cochrane Library, for studies published from 1963 up to 2 May 2022. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, observational studies with cross-sectional, case-control, and cohort design evaluating the association between screen time and MetS were included. Random effects models and linear and nonlinear dose-response meta-analyses were used to pool study results.ResultsSeven studies were included in the meta-analysis. The summary OR of MetS among children and adolescents for the highest vs. lowest time of screen time was 1.64 (95% CI: 1.32–2.03, with little evidence of heterogeneity, I² = 9.3%, P-_{heterogeneity} = 0.35, n = 7 studies) and 1.64 (95% CI: 1.27–2.12, I² = 27.7%, n = 6) for cross-sectional studies. Results persisted across several additional subgroup analyses. There was a linear positive association between screen time and the risk of MetS (P dose-response < 0.0001; P nonlinearity = 0.64) with an OR of 1.29 (95% CI: 1.12–1.46) per 2 h/day increment in screen time.ConclusionThe current dose-response meta-analysis suggested that increased screen time is associated with an increased risk of MetS among children and adolescents. Public health strategies may target unhealthy screen-based related behaviors to halt the development of MetS among children and adolescents.     

Serum uric acid is associated with incident metabolic syndrome independent of body shape index and body roundness index in healthy individuals

Background and aimsElevated serum uric acid (SUA) levels, body shape index (BSI) and body roundness index (BRI) were associated with incident metabolic syndrome (MetS). We aimed to investigate the relationship among the SUA level, BSI, and BRI on the incidence of MetS.Methods and resultsWe retrospectively included 6221 healthy individuals from annual health exams at our hospital between 2016/1/1 and 2016/12/31. We defined hyperuricemia as SUA levels greater than 7 mg/dl in men and 6 mg/dl in women and MetS according to the contemporary definition. The study cohort included 6221 healthy individuals with an overall incidence rate of MetS of 9.8%. Compared with the normouricemic group, the hyperuricemic group had a greater incidence of MetS (17.2% vs. 9.6%, P < 0.001). After full adjustment for confounders, the SUA level was significantly associated with incident MetS in addition to body mass index (BMI) (adjusted OR [aOR]: 1.161, 95% CI: 1.071–1.259, P < 0.001), BRI (aOR: 1.196, 95% CI: 1.104–1.296, P < 0.001), and BSI (aOR: 1.297, 95% CI: 1.200–1.403, P < 0.001). Regarding the anthropometric indices, BMI and BRI were independent predictors of incident MetS, but the BSI lost its significant association in multivariate logistic regression analyses. In sensitivity analyses, various thresholds of elevated SUA levels remained associated with incident MetS.ConclusionWe showed a dose-response effect of SUA on incident MetS independent of BMI, BRI and BSI in healthy individuals. Future studies can use SUA levels to stratify cardiometabolic risk in healthy individuals.Clinical trialsClinicalTrials.gov with the identification number NCT03473951.     

Predicting Long-Term Absence of Coronary Artery Calcium in Metabolic Syndrome and Diabetes: The MESA Study

ObjectivesThe purpose of this study was to identify predictors of healthy arterial aging (long-term coronary artery calcification [CAC] of 0) among individuals with metabolic syndrome (MetS) or type 2 diabetes (T2D), which may improve primary prevention strategies.BackgroundIndividuals with MetS or T2D have a heterogeneously increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and not all have a high-intermediate risk.MethodsWe included 574 participants from the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) with MetS or T2D who had CAC=0 at baseline and a repeat CAC scan 10 years later. Multivariable logistic regression assessed the association of traditional and novel atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk factors and the MetS severity score (based on the 5 MetS criteria) with healthy arterial aging.ResultsThe mean age of participants was 58.9 years, 67% were women, 422 participants had MetS, and 152 had T2D. The proportion with long-term CAC=0 was similar for MetS (42%) and T2D (44%). A younger age was the only individual low/normal traditional risk factor associated with an increased likelihood of long-term CAC=0 (odds ratio [OR]: 1.50; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22 to 1.85 per 10-years younger). The strongest associations of nontraditional risk factors were observed for an absence of thoracic calcification (OR: 2.42; 95% CI: 1.24 to 4.72), absence of carotid plaque (OR: 1.81; 95% CI: 1.25 to 2.61), and among persons with a high sensitivity troponin <3 ng/ml (OR: 1.55; 95% CI: 1.01 to 2.38). In addition, persons with the lowest quartile MetS severity score had a substantially higher odds of healthy long-term CAC=0 (OR: 2.71; 95% CI: 1.27 to 5.76).ConclusionSMore than 40% of adults with MetS or T2D and baseline CAC=0 had long-term absence of CAC, which was most strongly associated with an absence of extracoronary atherosclerosis and a low MetS score. An optimal overall cardiovascular profile appears to be more important than an ideal value of any individual risk factor to maintain healthy arterial aging.     

Life expectancy following a cardiovascular event in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes: A UK multi-ethnic population-based observational study

Background and aimsWe aimed to evaluate the life expectancy following the first cardiovascular disease (CVD) event by type 2 diabetes (T2D) status and ethnicity.Methods and resultsWe used the Clinical Practice Research Datalink database in England (UK), linked to the Hospital Episode Statistics information, to identify individuals with and without T2D who survived a first CVD event between 1st Jan 2007 and 31st Dec 2017; subsequent death events were extracted from the Office for National Statistics database. Ethnicity was categorised as White, South Asian (SA), Black, or other. Flexible parametric survival models were used to estimate survival and predict life expectancy. 59,939 individuals with first CVD event were included: 7596 (12.7%) with T2D (60.9% men; mean age at event: 69.7 years [63.2 years in SA, 65.9 in Black, 70.2 in White]) and 52,343 without T2D (56.7% men; 65.9 years [54.7 in Black, 58.2 in SA, 66.3 in White]). Accounting for potential confounders (sex, deprivation, lipid-lowering medication, current smoking, and pre-existing hypertension), comparing individuals with vs without T2D the mortality rate was 53% higher in White (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.53 [95% CI: 1.44, 1.62]), corresponding to a potential loss of 3.87 (3.30, 4.44) life years at the age of 50 years in individuals with T2D. No evidence of a difference in life expectancy was observed in individuals of SA (HR: 0.82 [0.52, 1.29]; −1.36 [-4.58, 1.86] life years), Black (HR: 1.26 [0.59, 2.70]; 1.21 [-2.99, 5.41] life years); and other (HR: 1.64 [0.80, 3.39]; 3.89 [-2.28, 9.99] life years) ethnic group.ConclusionFollowing a CVD event, T2D is associated with a different prognosis and life years lost among ethnic groups.     

Association between the visceral adiposity index and risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in a large cohort: Findings from the UK biobank

Background and aimsThe visceral adiposity index (VAI) has been recently established as a measure of visceral fat distribution and is shown to be associated with a wide range of adverse health events. However, the precise associations between the VAI score and all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in the general population remain undetermined.Methods and resultsIn this large-scale prospective epidemiological study, 357,457 participants (aged 38–73 years) were selected from the UK Biobank. We used Cox competing risk regression models to estimate the association between the VAI score and all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and other mortalities. The VAI score was significantly correlated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.200; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001), cancer mortality (HR, 1.224; 95% CI, 1.150–1.303; P < 0.0001), CVD mortality (HR, 1.459; 95% CI, 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001), and other mortalities (HR, 1.200; 95% CI, 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001) after adjusting for a series of confounders. In addition, the subgroup analyses showed that HRs were significantly higher in participants who were male, aged below 65 years, and body mass index less than 25.ConclusionIn summary, VAI was positively associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in a nationwide, well-characterised population identified in a UK Biobank. The VAI score might be a complementary traditional predictive indicator for evaluating the risk of adverse health events in the population of Western adults aged 38 years and older.     

Contribution of metabolic risk factors and lifestyle behaviors to cardiovascular disease: A mendelian randomization study

Background and aimsEtiologic associations between some modifiable factors (metabolic risk factors and lifestyle behaviors) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remain unclear. To identify targets for CVD prevention, we evaluated the causal associations of these factors with coronary artery disease (CAD) and ischemic stroke using a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) method.Methods and resultsPreviously published genome-wide association studies (GWASs) for blood pressure (BP), glucose, lipids, overweight, smoking, alcohol intake, sedentariness, and education were used to identify instruments for 15 modifiable factors. We extracted effects of the genetic variants used as instruments for the exposures on coronary artery disease (CAD) and ischemic stroke from large GWASs (N = 60 801 cases/123 504 controls for CAD and N = 40 585 cases/406 111 controls for ischemic stroke). Genetically predicted hypertension (CAD: OR, 5.19 [95% CI, 4.21–6.41]; ischemic stroke: OR, 4.92 [4.12–5.86]), systolic BP (CAD: OR, 1.03 [1.03–1.04]; ischemic stroke: OR, 1.03 [1.03–1.03]), diastolic BP (CAD: OR, 1.05 [1.05–1.06]; ischemic stroke: OR, 1.05 [1.04–1.05]), type 2 diabetes (CAD: OR, 1.11 [1.08–1.15]; ischemic stroke: OR, 1.07 [1.04-1.10]), smoking initiation (CAD: OR, 1.26 [1.18–1.35]; ischemic stroke: OR, 1.24 [1.16–1.33]), educational attainment (CAD: OR, 0.62 [0.58–0.66]; ischemic stroke: OR, 0.68 [0.63–0.72]), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (CAD: OR, 1.55 [1.41–1.71]), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (CAD: OR, 0.82 [0.74–0.91]), triglycerides (CAD: OR, 1.29 [1.14–1.45]), body mass index (CAD: OR, 1.25 [1.19–1.32]), and alcohol dependence (OR, 1.04 [1.03–1.06]) were causally related to CVD.ConclusionThis systematic MR study identified 11 modifiable factors as causal risk factors for CVD, indicating that these factors are important targets for preventing CVD.