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Background

Both the modified History, Electrocardiogram, Age, Risk factors and Troponin (HEART) score and the Emergency Department Assessment of Chest pain Score (EDACS) can identify patients with possible acute coronary syndrome (ACS) at low risk (<1%) for major adverse cardiac events (MACE).

Objectives

The authors sought to assess the comparative accuracy of the EDACS (original and simplified) and modified HEART risk scores when using cardiac troponin I (cTnI) cutoffs below the 99th percentile, and obtain precise MACE risk estimates.

Methods

The authors conducted a retrospective study of adult emergency department (ED) patients evaluated for possible ACS in an integrated health care system between 2013 and 2015. Negative predictive values for MACE (composite of myocardial infarction, cardiogenic shock, cardiac arrest, and all-cause mortality) were determined at 60 days. Reclassification analyses were used to assess the comparative accuracy of risk scores and lower cTnI cutoffs.

Results

A total of 118,822 patients with possible ACS were included. The 3 risk scores’ accuracies were optimized using the lower limit of cTnI quantitation (<0.02 ng/ml) to define low risk for 60-day MACE, with reclassification yields ranging between 3.4% and 3.9%, while maintaining similar negative predictive values (range 99.49% to 99.55%; p = 0.27). The original EDACS identified the largest proportion of patients as low risk (60.6%; p < 0.0001).

Conclusions

Among ED patients with possible ACS, the modified HEART score, original EDACS, and simplified EDACS all predicted a low risk of 60-day MACE with improved accuracy using a cTnI cutoff below the 99th percentile. The original EDACS identified the most low-risk patients, and thus may be the preferred risk score.  相似文献   

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Background

When assessing ischemic stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), the CHA2DS2-VASc score is calculated based on the baseline risk factors, and the outcomes are determined after a follow-up period. However, the stroke risk in patients with AF does not remain static, and with time, patients get older and accumulate more comorbidities.

Objectives

This study hypothesized that the “Delta CHA2DS2-VASc score,” which reflects the change in score between baseline and follow-up, would be more predictive of ischemic stroke compared with the baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score.

Methods

A total of 31,039 patients with AF who did not receive antiplatelet agents or oral anticoagulants, and who did not have comorbidities of the CHA2DS2-VASc score except for age and sex, were studied. The Delta CHA2DS2-VASc scores were defined as the differences between the baseline and follow-up CHA2DS2-VASc scores. During 171,956 person-years, 4,103 patients experienced ischemic stroke. The accuracies of baseline, follow-up, and Delta CHA2DS2-VASc scores in predicting ischemic stroke were analyzed and compared.

Results

The mean baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score was 1.29, which increased to 2.31 during the follow-up, with a mean Delta CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1.02. The CHA2DS2-VASc score remained unchanged in only 40.8% of patients. Among 4,103 patients who experienced ischemic stroke, 89.4% had a Delta CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥1 compared with only 54.6% in patients without ischemic stroke, and 2,643 (64.4%) patients had ≥1 new-onset comorbidity, the most common being hypertension. The Delta CHA2DS2-VASc score was a significant predictor of ischemic stroke that performed better than baseline or follow-up CHA2DS2-VASc scores, as assessed by the C-index and the net reclassification index.

Conclusions

In this AF cohort, the authors demonstrated that the CHA2DS2-VASc score was not static, and that most patients with AF developed ≥1 new stroke risk factor before presentation with ischemic stroke. The Delta CHA2DS2-VASc score, reflecting the change in score between baseline and follow-up, was strongly predictive of ischemic stroke, reflecting how stroke risk in AF is a dynamic process due to increasing age and incident comorbidities.  相似文献   

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Background

Digoxin is widely used in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Objectives

The goal of this paper was to explore whether digoxin use was independently associated with increased mortality in patients with AF and if the association was modified by heart failure and/or serum digoxin concentration.

Methods

The association between digoxin use and mortality was assessed in 17,897 patients by using a propensity score–adjusted analysis and in new digoxin users during the trial versus propensity score–matched control participants. The authors investigated the independent association between serum digoxin concentration and mortality after multivariable adjustment.

Results

At baseline, 5,824 (32.5%) patients were receiving digoxin. Baseline digoxin use was not associated with an increased risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.96 to 1.23; p = 0.19). However, patients with a serum digoxin concentration ≥1.2 ng/ml had a 56% increased hazard of mortality (adjusted HR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.20 to 2.04) compared with those not on digoxin. When analyzed as a continuous variable, serum digoxin concentration was associated with a 19% higher adjusted hazard of death for each 0.5-ng/ml increase (p = 0.0010); these results were similar for patients with and without heart failure. Compared with propensity score–matched control participants, the risk of death (adjusted HR: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.37 to 2.31) and sudden death (adjusted HR: 2.14; 95% CI: 1.11 to 4.12) was significantly higher in new digoxin users.

Conclusions

In patients with AF taking digoxin, the risk of death was independently related to serum digoxin concentration and was highest in patients with concentrations ≥1.2 ng/ml. Initiating digoxin was independently associated with higher mortality in patients with AF, regardless of heart failure.  相似文献   

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Background

Long-term continuous monitoring detects short-lasting, subclinical atrial fibrillation (SCAF) in approximately one-third of older individuals with cardiovascular conditions. The relationship between SCAF, its progression, and the development of heart failure (HF) is unclear.

Objectives

This study examined the relationship between progression from shorter to longer SCAF episodes and HF hospitalization.

Methods

Subjects in ASSERT (Asymptomatic Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke Evaluation in Pacemaker Patients and the Atrial Fibrillation Reduction Atrial Pacing Trial) were ≥65 years old, had history of hypertension, no prior clinical AF, and an implanted pacemaker or defibrillator. We examined patients whose longest SCAF episode during the first year after enrollment was >6 min but ≤24 h (n = 415). Using time-dependent Cox models, we evaluated the relationship between subsequent development of SCAF >24 h or clinical AF and HF hospitalization.

Results

Over a mean follow-up of 2 years, 65 patients (15.7%) progressed to having SCAF episodes >24 h or clinical AF (incidence 8.8% per year). Older age, greater body mass index, and longer SCAF duration within the first year were independent predictors of SCAF progression. The rate of HF hospitalization among patients with SCAF progression was 8.9% per year compared with 2.5% per year for those without progression. After multivariable adjustment, SCAF progression was independently associated with HF hospitalization (hazard ratio [HR]: 4.58; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.64 to 12.80; p = 0.004). Similar results were observed when we excluded patients with prior history of HF (HR: 7.06; 95% CI: 1.82 to 27.30; p = 0.005) or when SCAF progression was defined as development of SCAF >24 h alone (HR: 3.68; 95% CI: 1.27 to 10.70; p = 0.016).

Conclusions

In patients with a pacemaker or defibrillator, SCAF progression was strongly associated with HF hospitalization.  相似文献   

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Objectives To investigate the gene expression of calcium - handling proteins in patients with rheumatic heart disease (RHD) and atrial fibrillation (AF) . Methods A total of 50 patients with rheumatic mitral valve disease were included. According to cardiac rhythm and duration of episode of AF, patients were divided into four groups: sinus rhythm group, paroxysmal AF group, persistent AF for less than 6 months group and persistent AF for more than 6 months group. Atrial tissue was obtained from the right atrial appendage, the right atrial free wall and the left atrial appendage respectively during open heart surgery. Total RNA was isolated and reversly transcribed into cDNA. In a semi - quantitative polymerase chain reaction the cDNA of interest and of glyceralde-hyde3 - phosphate dehydrogenase (GAPDH) were amplified and separated by ethidium bromide - stained gel electrophoresis. Multiple liner regress was used for correlation between the mRNA amount and age, sex, right atrial diameter (RAd) and left a  相似文献   

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Purpose of review

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a growing health problem worldwide. While the disease plagues both men and women, this arrhythmia does not affect both sexes equally. Women are more likely to have major adverse outcomes such as stroke and its sequela; however, recent data on stroke prevention show improving outcomes. The purpose of this review of the recent literature is to summarize important updates on risk scores and management of patients with AF.

Recent findings

It has been well known that women have a higher risk of strokes than men when untreated or when treated with warfarin. Current risk scores emphasizing new risk factors such as the higher risk of strokes in women have been incorporated into clinical guidelines. However, with the use of direct oral anticoagulants, this sex disparity on stroke is no longer seen and women have less major bleeding than men. The use of cardiac glycosides is associated with increased incidence of breast cancer, and this medication is used more in women. Procedural complications for the management of AF are higher in women.

Summary

The study of the pathophysiology of AF and its management is a rapidly evolving area of cardiovascular medicine. Sex-specific data is necessary to achieve advances in the field and improve the outcomes in both men and women.
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BackgroundSex differences in the performance of prognostic risk scores in heart failure (HF) patients have not previously been investigated. We examined the performance of 2 commonly used scores in predicting mortality and a composite end point consisting of ventricular assist device, heart transplantation, or mortality in women vs men with HF.MethodsThis was a retrospective study of 1,136 (25% women) consecutive ambulatory adult HF patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (≤ 40%) followed at a single institution from 2000 to 2012. Discrimination, calibration, and absolute risk reclassification of the Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM) and the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) score to predict 1- and 3-year outcomes were compared between women and men.ResultsAt 1- and 3-year follow-ups, 116 (22% women) and 231 (21% women) patients died, respectively. Survival was equal between sexes (P = 0.41). The SHFM and the MAGGIC score showed similar discriminatory capacity in women (c-statistics 0.84, 95% CI 0.77-0.92, and 0.74, 95% CI 0.64-0.83) and men (c-statistics 0.74, 95% CI 0.69-0.79, and 0.70, 95% CI 0.64-0.75). There was no difference in the predicted and observed 1-year mortality by the scores in both sexes. Compared with the SHFM, the MAGGIC score better reclassified 10% (95% CI 7%-14%) of women and 18% (95% CI 15%-20%) of men. At 3-year follow-up, similar results were seen for discrimination, whereas both scores overestimated mortality with more marked overestimation in women. The results were reproducible for the composite end point, with improved calibration at 3-year follow-up in both scores.ConclusionsOur findings support the use of the MAGGIC score in both women and men owing to better risk classification.  相似文献   

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Background

The risk of stroke from atrial flutter and its relationship with progression to atrial fibrillation (AF) is unclear. This study describes the incidence of AF and stroke in patients with atrial flutter, and whether atrial flutter ablation attenuates the incidence of AF and stroke.

Methods

We performed a population-based retrospective cohort study of adults with typical atrial flutter with no AF history. Using linked health administrative databases we defined 3 cohorts: (1) adult patients diagnosed with new isolated atrial flutter; (2) a contemporary, 1-to-1 matched cohort from the Ontario population; and (3) patients with isolated atrial flutter who underwent atrial flutter ablation.

Results

A total of 9339 new typical atrial flutter patients were identified and 7248 were matched to general population subjects. Over the 3-year follow-up, AF occurred in 40.4% of patients with atrial flutter, and 3.3% of the matched general population (rate ratio, 12.2; P < 0.001). Stroke occurred in 4.1% of patients with atrial flutter and 1.2% of the general population cohort (rate ratio, 3.4; P < 0.001). Among 218 patients who had an atrial flutter ablation, AF occurred in 47 (21.6%) over the following 3 years, and incidence of stroke was between 0 and 2.3%.

Conclusions

Patients with isolated atrial flutter develop AF and stroke at a higher rate than the general population. Catheter ablation reduces but does not eliminate future AF incidence and stroke risk and continued anticoagulation after successful atrial flutter ablation might therefore be warranted.  相似文献   

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Background

Risk stratification of atrial fibrillation patients with a congestive heart failure (C), hypertension (H), age ≥ 75 (A), diabetes (D), stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) (S2) (CHADS2) score of <2 remains imprecise, particularly in women. Our objectives were to validate the CHADS2 and congestive heart failure (C), hypertension (H), age ≥ 75 (A2), diabetes (D), stroke, TIA or prior thromboembolic disease (S2)- vascular disease (V), age 65-74 (A), female gender (S) (CHA2DS2-VASc) stroke risk scores in a healthy cohort of American women with atrial fibrillation and to determine whether CHA2DS2-VASc further risk-stratifies individuals with a CHADS2 score of <2.

Methods

We identified a cohort of 5981 women with atrial fibrillation not on warfarin at baseline (mean age 65.9 ± 7.2 years) enrolled in the Women's Health Initiative and followed for a median of 11.8 years. Univariate and multivariate proportional hazards analyses were used to examine these 2 risk scores, with main outcome measures being annualized event rates of ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack stratified by risk score.

Results

Annualized stroke/transient ischemic attack rates ranged from 0.36% to 2.43% with increasing CHADS2 score (0-4+) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.45-1.71 for each 1-point increase) and 0.20%-2.02% with increasing CHA2DS2-VASc score (1-6+) (HR 1.50; 95% CI, 1.41-1.60 for each 1-point increase). CHA2DS2-VASc had a higher c statistic than CHADS2: 0.67 (95% CI, 0.65-0.69) versus 0.65 (95% CI, 0.62-0.67), P <.01. For CHADS2 scores <2, stroke risk almost doubled with every additional CHA2DS2-VASc point.

Conclusions

Although both CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc are predictive of stroke risk in postmenopausal women with atrial fibrillation, CHA2DS2-VASc further risk-stratifies patients with a CHADS2 score <2.  相似文献   

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Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most commonly encountered arrhythmia in clinical practice, is associated with a 2-fold increase in total cardiovascular mortality, as well as the potential for substantial morbidity, including stroke, congestive heart failure, and cardiomyopathy. Its incidence and prevalence are increasing, and it represents a growing clinical and economic burden. Owing to relative inefficacy and side effects of current pharmacological and non-pharmacological therapy for AF, it remains a great challenge to improve primary and secondary AF prevention strategies to reduce this potentially enormous health burden.  相似文献   

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Termination of Atrial Fibrillation During Catheter Ablation Predicts Better Outcome . Background: The reliable endpoint for ablation of longstanding persistent atrial fibrillation (LPAF) has not been clearly established. Methods and Results: This study included 140 patients who underwent catheter ablation for drug‐refractory LPAF. A stepwise ablation approach included circumferential pulmonary vein isolation followed by left atrial and right atrial complex fractionated electrogram‐guided ablation. Atrial fibrillation (AF) was terminated by radiofrequency application during catheter ablation in 95 patients (67.9%). Among them, 33 patients (23.6%) converted to sinus rhythm directly, whereas 62 patients (44.3%) via atrial tachycardias (ATs). Patients in whom AF terminated during the index procedure had a lower recurrence rate of atrial arrhythmia than patients in whom AF did not terminate (45.3% vs 68.9%, P = 0.009, follow‐up 18.7 ± 7.6 months). Among patients in whom AF terminated, there was no significant difference in recurrence rate according to the termination mode, whether converted to AT or not (P = NS). However, patients who converted to AT had a higher recurrence rate of AT (54.8% vs 81%; P = 0.016). Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that termination of AF during ablation (HR 0.440; 95% CI: 0.200–0.969, P = 0.041) and structural heart disease (HR 2.633; 95% CI: 1.211–5.723; P = 0.015) were significant independent factors predicting the recurrence of atrial arrhythmia. Conclusions: Termination of AF during catheter ablation is associated with a better clinical outcome in patients with LPAF. (J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol, Vol. 23 pp. 1051‐1058, October 2012)  相似文献   

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