Ulcerative colitis: no rise in mortality in a European-wide population based cohort 10 years after diagnosis

BACKGROUND: Population based studies have revealed varying mortality for patients with ulcerative colitis but most have described patients from limited geographical areas who were diagnosed before 1990. AIMS: To assess overall mortality in a European cohort of patients with ulcerative colitis, 10 years after diagnosis, and to investigate national ulcerative colitis related mortality across Europe. METHODS: Mortality 10 years after diagnosis was recorded in a prospective European-wide population based cohort of patients with ulcerative colitis diagnosed in 1991-1993 from nine centres in seven European countries. Expected mortality was calculated from the sex, age and country specific mortality in the WHO Mortality Database for 1995-1998. Standardised mortality ratios (SMR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. RESULTS: At follow-up, 661 of 775 patients were alive with a median follow-up duration of 123 months (107-144). A total of 73 deaths (median follow-up time 61 months (1-133)) occurred compared with an expected 67. The overall mortality risk was no higher: SMR 1.09 (95% CI 0.86 to 1.37). Mortality by sex was SMR 0.92 (95% CI 0.65 to 1.26) for males and SMR 1.39 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.93) for females. There was a slightly higher risk in older age groups. For disease specific mortality, a higher SMR was found only for pulmonary disease. Mortality by European region was SMR 1.19 (95% CI 0.91 to 1.53) for the north and SMR 0.82 (95% CI 0.45-1.37) for the south. CONCLUSIONS: Higher mortality was not found in patients with ulcerative colitis 10 years after disease onset. However, a significant rise in SMR for pulmonary disease, and a trend towards an age related rise in SMR, was observed.     

Survival and causes of death in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: a population-based study.

Relative survival up to December 31, 1986 was analyzed for all patients diagnosed with ulcerative colitis (UC) (n = 2,509) and Crohn's disease (CD) (n = 1,469) within the Uppsala Region, Sweden 1965-1983. After 10 years survival was 96% of that expected for UC and CD. Patients with ulcerative proctitis, left-sided colitis, and pancolitis at diagnosis had relative survival rates of 98%, 96%, and 93% respectively. Survival did not differ by extent at diagnosis for patients with CD. After including prevalent cases, 684 deaths occurred compared with 481.1 expected deaths [standardized mortality ratio (SMR) = 1.4; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.3-1.5]. Inflammatory bowel disease was the main reason for this excess mortality. Colorectal cancer increased mortality (50 deaths observed vs. 15.2 expected). Death from other cancers were not greater than expected. Obstructive respiratory diseases, especially bronchitis, emphysema, and asthma increased mortality SMR = 1.5 (95% CI = 1.1-2.2) in UC. Cerebrovascular disease mortality occurred less often than expected (SMR = 0.7; 95% CI = 0.5-1.0). Mortality for other diseases and groups of diseases was close to that expected.     

Survival and cause specific mortality in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: a long term outcome study in Olmsted County, Minnesota, 1940-2004

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We followed a population based cohort of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) from Olmsted County, Minnesota, in order to analyse long term survival and cause specific mortality. Material and METHODS: A total of 692 patients were followed for a median of 14 years. Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs, observed/expected deaths) were calculated for specific causes of death. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine if clinical variables were independently associated with mortality. RESULTS: Fifty six of 314 Crohn's disease patients died compared with 46.0 expected (SMR 1.2 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.9-1.6)), and 62 of 378 ulcerative colitis (UC) patients died compared with 79.2 expected (SMR 0.8 (95% CI 0.6-1.0)). Eighteen patients with Crohn's disease (32%) died from disease related complications, and 12 patients (19%) died from causes related to UC. In Crohn's disease, an increased risk of dying from non-malignant gastrointestinal causes (SMR 6.4 (95% CI 3.2-11.5)), gastrointestinal malignancies (SMR 4.7 (95% CI 1.7-10.2)), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (SMR 3.5 (95% CI 1.3-7.5)) was observed. In UC, cardiovascular death was reduced (SMR 0.6 (95% CI 0.4-0.9)). Increased age at diagnosis and male sex were associated with mortality in both subtypes. In UC but not Crohn's disease, a diagnosis after 1980 was associated with decreased mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In this population based study of IBD patients from North America, overall survival was similar to that expected in the US White population. Crohn's disease patients were at increased risk of dying from gastrointestinal disease and COPD whereas UC patients had a decreased risk of cardiovascular death.     

Divergent patterns of total and cancer mortality in ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease patients: the Florence IBD study 1978-2001

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Two divergent patterns of mortality for smoking related diseases in ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease patients were suggested in a previous population based study in Florence, Italy. Long term follow up (median 15 years) was completed to re-evaluate mortality in this Mediterranean cohort. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Overall, 920 patients with inflammatory bowel disease were followed until December 2001 or death, with seven patients (0.8%) lost to follow up. A total of 14 040 person years were available for analysis; 118 deaths were observed (81/689 in ulcerative colitis and 37/231 in Crohn's disease). Expected deaths were estimated using age, sex, and calendar specific national and local mortality rates; standardised mortality ratios (SMR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated. RESULTS: Among Crohn's disease patients, mortality was strongly increased for gastrointestinal diseases (SMR 4.49 (95% CI 1.80-9.25)), all cancers (SMR 2.10 (95% CI 1.22-3.36)), and lung cancer (SMR 4.00 (95% CI 1.60-8.24)), leading to a significant 50% excess total mortality. Ulcerative colitis patients showed a significantly reduced total mortality because of lower cardiovascular (SMR 0.67 (95% CI 0.45-0.95)) and lung cancer (SMR 0.32 (95% CI 0.07-0.95)) mortality. No significant excess for colorectal cancer mortality was evident in this extended follow up. CONCLUSIONS: These clearly divergent patterns of mortality correlate with documented differences in smoking habits between Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis patients. Family doctors and gastroenterologists should consider stopping cigarette smoking a specific priority for Crohn's disease patients; the latter should be offered free participation in structured programmes for smoking cessation, with the aim of reducing smoking related excess mortality. Overall, no evidence of an increased mortality for large bowel cancer emerged in this series.     

Crohn's disease: increased mortality 10 years after diagnosis in a Europe-wide population based cohort

BACKGROUND: No previous correlation between phenotype at diagnosis of Crohn's disease (CD) and mortality has been performed. We assessed the predictive value of phenotype at diagnosis on overall and disease related mortality in a European cohort of CD patients. METHODS: Overall and disease related mortality were recorded 10 years after diagnosis in a prospectively assembled, uniformly diagnosed European population based inception cohort of 380 CD patients diagnosed between 1991 and 1993. Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated for geographic and phenotypic subgroups at diagnosis. RESULTS: Thirty seven deaths were observed in the entire cohort whereas 21.5 deaths were expected (SMR 1.85 (95% CI 1.30-2.55)). Mortality risk was significantly increased in both females (SMR 1.93 (95% CI 1.10-3.14)) and males (SMR 1.79 (95% CI 1.11-2.73)). Patients from northern European centres had a significant overall increased mortality risk (SMR 2.04 (95% CI 1.32-3.01)) whereas a tendency towards increased overall mortality risk was also observed in the south (SMR 1.55 (95% CI 0.80-2.70)). Mortality risk was increased in patients with colonic disease location and with inflammatory disease behaviour at diagnosis. Mortality risk was also increased in the age group above 40 years at diagnosis for both total and CD related causes. Excess mortality was mainly due to gastrointestinal causes that were related to CD. CONCLUSIONS: This European multinational population based study revealed an increased overall mortality risk in CD patients 10 years after diagnosis, and age above 40 years at diagnosis was found to be the sole factor associated with increased mortality risk.     

Early mortality in EURODIAB population-based cohorts of type 1 diabetes diagnosed in childhood since 1989

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aims of this study were to provide a contemporary picture of mortality and causes of death in Europe following a diagnosis of type 1 diabetes made before the 15th birthday, and to examine excess mortality by country for possible links to incidence level or national prosperity. METHODS: Thirteen population-based EURODIAB registers in 12 countries followed-up 28,887 children diagnosed since 1989, either by record linkage to population registers or through contact with doctors providing care. RESULTS: There were 141 deaths in the cohort during 219,061 person-years of follow-up compared with 69.1 deaths expected from national mortality rates, a standardised mortality ratio (SMR) of 2.0 (95% CI 1.7-2.4). The SMR varied from 0 to 4.7 between countries, but showed little relationship with the country's incidence rate or gross domestic product (US$ per capita). The SMR did not change significantly with attained age, calendar period or time since diagnosis. The female SMR (2.7; 95% CI 2.0-3.5) was greater than the male SMR (1.8; 95% CI 1.4-2.2), although absolute numbers of excess deaths were similar in the two sexes. One-third of deaths were classified as directly attributable to diabetes (many with mention of ketoacidosis) and half were unrelated to diabetes. There was a non-significant excess of accidental/violent deaths (48 observed vs 40.7 expected; SMR 1.2; 95% CI 0.9-1.6) but little excess in suicides (11 observed, 10.2 expected; SMR 1.1; 95% CI 0.5-1.9). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Before the onset of late complications, significant excess mortality existed following the diagnosis of type 1 diabetes in childhood, even in recent years. Variation between countries in this excess could not be explained.     

Mortality and causes of death in Crohn's disease: follow-up of a population-based cohort in Copenhagen County,Denmark

BACKGROUND & AIMS: A population-based cohort comprising 374 patients with Crohn's disease diagnosed in Copenhagen County between 1962 and 1987 was observed until 1997 for mortality and causes of death. METHODS: Observed deaths were compared with expected deaths calculated by using individually computed person-years at risk and 1995 rates for Copenhagen County. Cumulative survival curves were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 84 deaths occurred vs. 67 expected (standardized mortality ratio [SMR], 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.56): 45 women vs. 31.8 expected (SMR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.03-1.89) and 39 men vs. 35.2 expected (SMR, 1.1; 95% CI, 0.79-1.51). An excess mortality was observed among women observed for 21-25 years after diagnosis. Among women aged <50 years at diagnosis, 25 deaths were observed vs. 7.3 expected (SMR, 3.42; 95% CI, 2.21-5.04). Fourteen (31%) of the observed deaths among women and 8 (21%) among men had a certain or possible connection to Crohn's disease. Among causes of death unrelated to Crohn's disease, an overrepresentation of gastrointestinal diseases, infections, and diseases of the urinary organs was observed. CONCLUSIONS: An increased mortality was observed late in the disease course that was most pronounced among women younger than 50 years at diagnosis and was attributed to death associated with severe Crohn's disease.     

Survival and causes of death in Italian patients with ulcerative colitis A GISC nation-wide study

BACKGROUND: Death rate for patients with ulcerative colitis has changed over last few decades. Recent studies indicate that cumulative long-term mortality is comparable to that in general population, and that deaths may depend on causes not strictly related to colonic disease. AIM: To evaluate overall and cause-specific mortality rate in a large group of Italian patients with ulcerative colitis. METHODS: A total of 2,066 ulcerative colitis patients aged >18 years consecutively diagnosed in twenty Italian Gastroenterology Units between 1964 and 1995 were followed-up from diagnosis until 1997. Standardised Mortality Ratios and Relative Survival Ratios were calculated. RESULTS: Overall mortality of patients with ulcerative colitis was comparable to that in general population with 93 deaths observed versus 92.1 expected (standardises mortality ratio, 1.0; 95% confidence interval, 0.8-1.2). Significantly higher mortality was observed in patients under 30 years of age at diagnosis (standardised mortality ratio, 2.7; 95% confidence interval, 1.3-4.9), and in those diagnosed before 1974 (standardised mortality ratio, 2.7; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-5.7). Proctocolitis and complications from surgery were mentioned in 11 and 5 certificates, respectively. A significant excess of deaths was observed for colorectal cancer (colon: standardised mortality ratio, 3.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.0-6.9; rectum: standardised mortality ratio, 4.4; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-11.3), and haemolymphopoietic neoplasms (standardised mortality ratio, 2.8; 95% confidence interval, 1.0-6.1), in particular multiple myeloma and non-Hodgkin lymphoma. A significant deficit of deaths was observed for cancer of the respiratory system (standardised mortality ratio, 0.3; 95% confidence interval, 0.1-1.0). CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms that, also in Italy, mortality of patients with ulcerative colitis is comparable to that in general population. Only 12% of deaths were due to ulcerative colitis itself, whereas 10% of deaths were attributed to colorectal cancer. Deaths from colorectal cancer occurred, on average, 9 years after diagnosis of ulcerative colitis, suggesting that the risk of cancer is not limited to patients with long-standing colitis. As to mortality for causes unrelated to colitis, there was an excess of deaths due to malignancies of the haemolymphopoietic system.     

Mortality and Causes of Death in Celiac Disease in a Mediterranean Area

No data on mortality in celiac disease arecurrently available in southern Europe. Our aim was toevaluate mortality and the cause of death in adultceliac disease in a Mediterranean area. In all, 228adults with celiac disease were histologicallydiagnosed in our department from 1980 to 1997. Fullinformation on their state of health was obtained in 216of 228 patients. A tabulation of patient-years at risk was constructed in terms of age at diagnosisand the interval from diagnosis. Standardized mortalityratio was calculated by dividing the number of observeddeaths by the number of expected deaths. Twelve deaths were observed, whereas 3.12 deaths wereexpected (SMR = 3.8; 95% CI 2-7). The increasedmortality was mainly observed within four years fromdiagnosis (8 observed; 1.4 expected) (SMR = 5.8; 95% CI 2.5-11.5). Twelve tumors were observed (sixlymphomas). In conclusion, mortality from adult celiacdisease in our geographical area is increased comparedwith the general population, and this increased risk seems due to non-Hodgkin'slymphoma.     

Low mortality in ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease in three regional centers in England

OBJECTIVES: Recent epidemiological studies suggest that mortality rates for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are similar to those of the general population. However, most of this work has been done in referred populations or larger urban centers. We intended to estimate mortality rates for ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease (CD) in three British district general hospital practices in Wolverhampton, Salisbury, and Swindon. METHODS: Consecutive patients with CD or UC were identified from 1978 to 1986 and followed prospectively. Demographic data, date and cause of death or health status at December 31, 1993 were used to estimate standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: Sixty-four deaths occurred in 552 patients (UC 41 of 356; CD 23 of 196). The overall SMRs were 103 [95% confidence interval (CI): 79-140] for UC and 94 (95% CI: 59-140) for CD. The respective SMRs were higher only in the first year after diagnosis at 223 (95% CI: 99-439; p = 0.02) and 229 (74-535; p = 0.056), and even then, most subjects died from non-IBD causes (5 of 13). Nonsurvivors were significantly older than survivors in both UC and CD (p < 0.01). The SMR was also significantly greater during a severe first attack of UC at 310 (95% CI: 84-793; p = 0.04). Patients with perianal or colonic CD had an increased SMR [396 (95% CI: 108-335; p = 0.02) and 164 (95% CI: 82-335; p = 0.02)] respectively, partly related to the older mean age (52 vs 32 yr, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality rates are not increased in IBD compared with the general population. However, older patients may be at increased risk of dying from other causes early in the disease clinical course.     

Causes of death in patients with celiac disease in a population-based Swedish cohort

BACKGROUND: Patients with celiac disease have an increased risk of death from gastrointestinal malignancies and lymphomas, but little is known about mortality from other causes and few studies have assessed long-term outcomes. METHODS: Nationwide data on 10 032 Swedish patients hospitalized from January 1, 1964, through December 31, 1993, with celiac disease and surviving at least 12 months were linked with the national mortality register. Mortality risks were computed as standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), comparing mortality rates of patients with celiac disease with rates in the general Swedish population. RESULTS: A total of 828 patients with celiac disease died during the follow-up period (1965-1994). For all causes of death combined, mortality risks were significantly elevated: 2.0-fold (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.8-2.1) among all patients with celiac disease and 1.4-fold (95% CI, 1.2-1.6) among patients with celiac disease with no other discharge diagnoses at initial hospitalization. The overall SMR did not differ by sex or calendar year of initial hospitalization, whereas mortality risk in patients hospitalized with celiac disease before the age of 2 years was significantly lower by 60% (95% CI, 0.2-0.8) compared with the same age group of the general population. Mortality risks were elevated for a wide array of diseases, including non-Hodgkin lymphoma (SMR, 11.4), cancer of the small intestine (SMR, 17.3), autoimmune diseases (including rheumatoid arthritis [SMR, 7.3] and diffuse diseases of connective tissue [SMR, 17.0]), allergic disorders (such as asthma [SMR, 2.8]), inflammatory bowel diseases (including ulcerative colitis and Crohn disease [SMR, 70.9]), diabetes mellitus (SMR, 3.0), disorders of immune deficiency (SMR, 20.9), tuberculosis (SMR, 5.9), pneumonia (SMR, 2.9), and nephritis (SMR, 5.4). CONCLUSION: The elevated mortality risk for all causes of death combined reflected, for the most part, disorders characterized by immune dysfunction.     

Long-term mortality in people with celiac disease diagnosed in childhood compared with adulthood: a population-based cohort study

INTRODUCTION: To explore whether the excess mortality in celiac disease is related directly to the disease and duration of gluten exposure before diagnosis we have examined the long-term mortality experience of people with celiac disease diagnosed as children and as adults. METHODS: Two hundred eighty-five children and 340 adults diagnosed with celiac disease were followed until death, loss to follow-up, or December 31, 2004. We calculated standardized mortality ratios (SMRs). RESULTS: All-cause mortality more than 5 yr after diagnosis was increased threefold in children (SMR 3.32, 95% CI 2.05-5.07) compared with only a 38% increase in adults (SMR 1.38, 95% CI 1.16-1.63). This excess mortality in children was primarily because of an increased risk of death from accidents, suicide, and violence (seven deaths, SMR 3.22, 95% CI 1.29-6.63), cancer (five deaths, SMR 3.72, 95% CI 1.21-8.67), and cerebrovascular disease (two deaths, SMR 10.03, 95% CI 1.21-36.00). CONCLUSIONS: Children diagnosed with celiac disease had a threefold increased risk of long-term mortality. This is in marked contrast to the experience of adult celiac disease where the long-term increase of mortality was modest. The increased mortality in children from external causes may reflect behavioral change associated with coping with a chronic disease and its treatment.     

Overall and cause-specific mortality in ulcerative colitis: meta-analysis of population-based inception cohort studies

OBJECTIVES: It remains debated whether patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) are at greater risk of dying and whether a possible alteration in mortality can be attributed to specific causes of death. We aimed to clarify this issue by conducting a meta-analysis of population-based inception cohort studies on overall and cause-specific mortality in patients with UC. METHODS: The MEDLINE search engine and abstracts from international conferences were searched for relevant literature by use of explicit search criteria. STATA meta-analysis software was used to calculate pooled risk estimates (SMR, standardized mortality ratio, observed/expected deaths) of overall mortality and specific causes of death and to conduct metaregression analyses of the influence of specific variables on SMR. RESULTS: Ten papers fulfilled the inclusion criteria, reporting SMRs varying from 0.7 to 1.4. The overall pooled estimate was 1.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.9-1.2, P= 0.42). However, greater risk of dying was observed during the first years of follow-up, in patients with extensive colitis, and in patients from Scandinavia. Metaregression analysis showed an increase in SMR by increasing cohort size. UC-related mortality accounted for 17% of all deaths. Mortality from gastrointestinal diseases, nonalcoholic liver diseases, pulmonary embolisms, and respiratory diseases was increased whereas mortality from pulmonary cancer was reduced. CONCLUSIONS: The overall risk of dying in patients with UC did not differ from that of the background population, although subgroups of patients were at greater risk of dying. The cause-of-death distribution seemed to differ from that of the background population.     

Cause-specific and total mortality in the Canterbury (New Zealand) insulin-treated Diabetic Registry population: a 15-year follow-up study.

AIMS: To establish all-cause and cause-specific death rates, and risk factors for mortality in insulin-treated diabetic individuals living in the province of Canterbury, New Zealand. METHODS: Insulin-treated diabetic subjects (n = 995) on the Canterbury Diabetes Registry were followed up over 15 years and vital status determined. Death rates were standardized and hazard regression was used to model the effects of demographic covariates on relative survival time. RESULTS: There were 419 deaths in 11 226.3 person-years of follow-up with a standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of 2.0 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8-2.2). Relative mortality was greatest for the group aged 0-29 years (SMR 3.0 (95% CI 2.4-3.7)). After controlling for diabetes duration and gender, a 10-year increment in age of onset was associated with a 33% decrease in relative hazard (95% CI 29-36%), indicating that excess mortality due to diabetes declines with rising age of onset. After controlling for age of onset and gender, each 10-year increment in duration of diabetes is associated with a 26% decrease in relative hazard (95% CI 24-29%), indicating that with longer survival the mortality hazard approaches the general population hazard. Relative mortalities were increased for cardiovascular, renal and respiratory disease, but not malignancy. Relative mortality from acute metabolic complications was increased in the subgroup with age of onset of diabetes < 30 years and requiring insulin within 1 year of diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality rates are high for insulin-treated diabetic individuals relative to the general population.     

Response to methotrexate treatment is associated with reduced mortality in patients with severe rheumatoid arthritis

OBJECTIVE: This study investigated whether efficacious methotrexate (MTX) treatment has an impact on mortality of patients with severe rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: In this prospective, observational, one-center study, patients with severe RA refractory to other disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs started MTX treatment between 1980 and 1987. Patients were divided into 4 different groups according to their response to MTX treatment after 1 year (>50% improvement [n = 99], 20-50% improvement [n = 70], no improvement [n = 52], and discontinued treatment [n = 35]). After a followup of 7.5-15.3 years (mean 10 years), the numbers of deaths were assessed in the different groups. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated by comparing the number of observed deaths in the study with the number of expected deaths in an age- and sex-matched sample of the general population. RESULTS: Two hundred seventy-one patients entered the study between 1980 and 1987. In 1995/1996, outcomes for 256 patients (94.5%) could be documented; 88 patients (34.4%) had died. In patients with >50% improvement after 1 year, the SMR was 1.47, while in patients with 20-50% improvement, the SMR was 1.85. In both groups combined, the SMR was 1.64 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.11-2.17), compared with 4.11 (95% CI 2.56-5.66) in patients without improvement. Patients who had discontinued MTX treatment during the first year had an SMR of 5.56 (95% CI 3.29-7.83). CONCLUSION: Patients with severe RA who do not respond to MTX treatment have a poor prognosis, with >4-fold increased mortality compared with the general population, while RA patients who respond to MTX treatment have only a moderately increased mortality rate.     

Causes of death in patients with peptic ulcer perforation: a long-term follow-up study

BACKGROUND: Survival is lower in ulcer perforation patients than in the general population. This study assesses the causes of death in patients treated for peptic ulcer perforation. METHODS: Cause-specific mortality in a population-based cohort of 817 patients treated for ulcer perforation in western Norway during the period 1962-1990 was compared with cause-specific population death rates. Analyses were based on observed and expected mortality curves for major causes of death and on standardized mortality rates (SMRs). Cox regression models were used to analyse possible differences on the basis of sex, birth cohort, surgical procedure, and ulcer location. RESULTS: Ulcer perforation patients experienced increased mortality from neoplasms (SMR = 1.8; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.4-2.1), lung cancer (SMR = 3.6; 95% CI = 2.3-4.9), circulatory diseases (SMR = 1.3; 95% CI = 1.1-1.6), ischaemic heart disease (SMR = 1.3; 95% CI = 1.03-1.6), and respiratory diseases (SMR = 1.9; 95% CI = 1.3-2.6). Postoperative deaths accounted for 38% of all excess deaths. Death from recurrent peptic ulcer was increased also in subjects who survived the 1st year after the perforation (SMR = 5.8; 95% CI = 1.2-10.4) but accounted for only a few deaths. The increase in mortality from lung cancer was higher in subjects born after 1910 than in patients of older generations. Excess mortality from lung cancer and from circulatory diseases was higher in male than in female patients. CONCLUSIONS: Increased mortality in ulcer perforation patients could mainly be attributed to smoking-related diseases. This is indirect evidence that smoking may be an important aetiologic factor for ulcer perforation.     

AIDS mortality trends in Mexico, 1988-1997

OBJECTIVE: To assess the geographic distribution and trends of AIDS deaths for the 1988-1997 period in Mexico. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Crude and adjusted mortality rates were estimated for the 1988-1997 period. A trend test was performed using the simple linear regression method. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) and years of potential life lost (YPLL) were calculated for each Mexican state. RESULTS: During the study period (1988-1997), there were 26,999 AIDS deaths in Mexico; 86.5% (23,354) of them were among men. The mean age at the time of death was 38.4 years for men and 37.7 years for women (p > 0.05). The crude AIDS mortality rate for the period of study was 3.02 cases (95% CI: 2.94, 3.06) per 100,000 inhabitants. The adjusted rate was 3.13 (95% CI: 3.09, 3.17), with 5.22 (95% CI: 5.16-5.29) for men and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.79-0.84) for women. The states with the highest SMR were: Baja California (SMR: 248.69; 95% CI: 234.02-263.36), Mexico City (SMR: 220.74; 95% CI: 215.57-225.91), and Jalisco (SMR: 169.16; 95% CI: 162.88-175.44). Similarly, a Potential Lost Life Years Index (PLLYI) analysis by state showed a greater risk of premature AIDS mortality in the same states [Baja California (PLLYI index: 236.33; 95% CI: 233.97-238.68), Mexico City (PLLYI: 194.68; 95% CI: 193.88-195.48), and Jalisco (PLLYI: 170.69; 95% CI: 169.60-171.79)]. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality trends indicate that AIDS mortality in Mexico increased by an annual rate of 23% between 1988 and 1997. The adjusted AIDS mortality rate increased from 0.75 per 100,000 in 1988, to 4.20 per 100,000 in 1997, with the largest burden of mortality in men (male to female ratio of 6:1). We therefore expect that a decreasing effect on AIDS mortality trends will be observed in the next years. The English version of this paper is available too at: http://www.insp.mx/salud/index.html.     

Risk of intestinal cancer in inflammatory bowel disease: a population-based study from olmsted county, Minnesota

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The risk for colorectal cancer in Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis patients from the United States currently is unknown. We estimated the risk for small-bowel and colorectal cancer in a population-based cohort of 692 inflammatory bowel disease patients from Olmsted County, Minnesota, from 1940 to 2001. METHODS: The Rochester Epidemiology Project was used to identify cohort patients with colorectal and small-bowel cancer. The cumulative probability of cancer and standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were estimated using expected rates from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results, white patients from Iowa, from 1973 to 2000, and Olmsted County, from 1980 to 1999. RESULTS: Colorectal cancer was observed in 6 ulcerative colitis patients vs 5.38 expected (SIR, 1.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.4-2.4), but 4 of these occurred among those with extensive colitis or pancolitis (SIR, 2.4; 95% CI, 0.6-6.0). Six Crohn's disease patients (vs 3.2 expected) developed colorectal cancer (SIR, 1.9; 95% CI, 0.7-4.1). Three Crohn's disease patients developed small-bowel cancer vs 0.07 expected (SIR, 40.6; 95% CI, 8.4-118). CONCLUSIONS: The risk for colorectal cancer was not increased among ulcerative colitis patients overall, but appeared to be increased among those with extensive colitis. The colorectal cancer risk was increased slightly among Crohn's disease patients, who also had a 40-fold excess risk for small-bowel cancer.     

Fracture risk is increased in Crohn's disease, but not in ulcerative colitis

AIMS: To study fracture rates and risk factors for fractures in patients with Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis. METHODS: 998 self administered questionnaires were issued to members of the Danish Colitis/Crohn Association, and 1000 questionnaires were issued to randomly selected control subjects. 845 patients (84.5%) and 645 controls (65.4%) returned the questionnaire (p<0.01). 817 patients and 635 controls could be analysed. RESULTS: Analysis was performed on 383 patients with Crohn's disease (median age 39, range 8-82 years; median age at diagnosis 26, range 1-75 years), 434 patients with ulcerative colitis (median age 39, range 11-86 years; median age at diagnosis 29, range 10-78 years), and 635 controls (median age 43, range 19-93 years, p<0.01). The fracture risk was increased in female patients with Crohn's disease (relative risk (RR) = 2.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.7-3.6), but not in male patients with Crohn's disease (RR = 0.6, 95% CI 0.3-1.3) or in patients with ulcerative colitis (RR = 1.1, 95% CI 0.8-1.6). An increased proportion of low energy fractures was observed in patients with Crohn's disease (15.7% versus 1.4 % in controls, 2p<0. 01), but not in patients with ulcerative colitis (5.4%, 2p=0.30). The increased fracture frequency in Crohn's disease was present for fractures of the spine, feet, and toes and fractures of the ribs and pelvis. Fracture risk increased with increasing duration of systemic corticosteroid use in Crohn's disease (2p=0.028), but not in ulcerative colitis (2p=0.50). CONCLUSIONS: An increased risk of low energy fractures was observed in female patients with Crohn's disease, but not in male patients with Crohn's disease or in patients with ulcerative colitis.