Impact of increased physician supply on use of health services: a longitudinal analysis in rural Minnesota

Prevalence studies of the use of ambulatory health care services have consistently reported relatively lower demand for services in rural areas. Such studies have implied that low use rates may be fixed characteristics of rural populations and may be resistant to the influence of manipulable variables such as supply of physicians. This longitudinal study suggests that use rates are in fact significantly changed after improvement of manpower resources, but that the effects are limited to the vicinity of new practice locations.     

The personal assistance workforce: trends in supply and demand

The workforce providing noninstitutional personal assistance and home health services tripled between 1989 and 2004, according to U.S. survey data, growing at a much faster rate than the population needing such services. During the same period, Medicaid spending for such services increased dramatically, while both workforce size and spending for similar services in institutional settings remained relatively stable. Low wage levels for personal assistance workers, which have fallen behind those of comparable occupations; scarce health benefits; and high job turnover rates highlight the need for greater attention to ensuring a stable and well-trained workforce to meet growing demand.     

Planning and managing the physician workforce

ABSTRACT: National planning and management of the physician workforce is a multifaceted, difficult, and even controversial activity. It is an important subset of overall health workforce planning and management, which contributes to a country's having an effective and efficient health care system. This commentary builds on a new survey of specialty considerations by Israeli medical students early in their clinical training, places it in the broader context of health workforce planning, and provides examples of some approaches and activities being taken in the United States that are applicable to other developed countries.This is a commentary on http://www.ijhpr.org/content/1/1/13.     

Downsizing the physician workforce.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the need for downsizing the physician workforce in a changing health care environment. METHODS: First assuming that 1993 physician-to-population ratios would be maintained, the authors derived downsizing estimates by determining the annual growth in the supply of specialists necessary to maintain these ratios (sum of losses from death and retirement plus increase necessary to parallel population growth) and compared them with an estimate of the number of new physicians being produced (average annual number of board certificates issued between 1990 and 1994). Then, assuming that workforce needs would change in a system increasingly dominated by managed care, the authors estimated specialty-specific downsizing needs for a managed care dominated environment using data from several sources. RESULTS: To maintain the 1993 199.6 active physicians per 100,000 population ratio, 14,644 new physicians would be needed each year. Given that an average of 20,655 physicians were certified each year between 1990 and 1994, at least 6011 fewer new physicians were needed annually to maintain 1993 levels. To maintain the 132.2 ratio of active non-primary care physicians per 100,000 population, the system needed to produce 9698 non-primary care physicians per year, because an average of 14,527 new non-primary care physicians entered the workforce between 1990 and 1994, downsizing by 4829, or 33%, was needed. To maintain the 66.8 active primary care physicians per 100,000 population ratio, 4946 new primary care physicians were needed per year, since primary care averaged 6128 new certifications per year, a downsizing of 1182, or 20% was indicated. Only family practice, neurosurgery, otolaryngology, and urology did not require downsizing. Seventeen medical and hospital-based specialties, including 7 of 10 internal medicine subspecialties, needed downsizing by at least 40%. Less downsizing in general was needed in the surgical specialties and in psychiatry. A managed care dominated-system would call for greater downsizing in most of the non-primary care specialties. CONCLUSION: These data support the need for downsizing the nation''s physician supply, especially in the internal medicine subspecialties and hospital support specialties and to a lesser extent among surgeons and primary care physicians.     

The physician workforce: a medical school dilemma

Richard Cooper has advanced a projection of a sizable deficit in physicians in the United States, requiring the training of as many as 10,000 additional physicians annually by the year 2025. He questions the ability of U.S. medical schools to "fill the gap." This challenge presents another important dilemma for medical education. Could the applicant pool be enlarged sufficiently to increase qualified applicants? Would medical schools be able to accommodate this increase in students? The impact of these increases could be an ultimate decrease in the quality of health care and the production of physicians who are not current with research findings, particularly in the area of genetics.     

The primary care physician workforce: ethical and policy implications

PURPOSE We undertook a study to examine the characteristics of countries exporting physicians to the United States according to their relative contribution to the primary care supply in the United States.METHODS We used data from the World Health Organization and from the American Medical Association Physician Masterfile to gather sociodemographic, health system, and health characteristics of countries and the number of international medical graduates (IMGs) for the countries, according to the specialty of their practice in the United States.RESULTS Countries whose medical school graduates added a relatively greater percentage of the primary care physicians than the overall percentage of primary care physicians in the United States (31%) were poor countries with relatively extreme physician shortages, high infant mortality rates, lower life expectancies, and lower immunization rates than countries contributing relatively more specialists to the US physician workforce.CONCLUSION The United States disproportionately uses graduates of foreign medical schools from the poorest and most deprived countries to maintain its primary care physician supply. The ethical aspects of depending on foreign medical graduates is an important issue, especially when it deprives disadvantaged countries of their graduates to buttress a declining US primary care physician supply.     

Family physicians: supply and demand

The nation's supply of family physicians as estimated by the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee appears fairly accurate. At the same time, the demands for family physicians appear to be strong, partially because case-management systems recognize the cost-effectiveness and appropriate training of family physicians for their needs. The largest factor inhibiting the supply of such physicians appears to be the relatively lower income of family practice compared to other specialty fields. This creates more difficulties in funding training positions and may limit the attractiveness of the field to medical school graduates.     

Medical education and the physician workforce of Iraq

The lack of resources in a country experiencing decades of successive wars, blockade, administrative corruption, and poor governance led to deteriorated standards throughout medical education. Although professional certification programs exist, continuing medical education accreditation and credit systems are required to monitor and certify the continuing professional development of physicians.