Trends in incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma, 1990-2009, Khon Kaen, Thailand

Background: Liver cancer is the most frequent cancer among Thais especially people in northeastern Thailand, but there has as yet been no assessment of trend. The data of all cancers in Khon Kaen can be retrieved from data base of the Khon Kaen Cancer Registry (KKCR) which was established in 1984. Objective: To assess the incidence trend of hepatocellular carcinoma in Khon Kaen, Thailand, between 1990 and 2009. Methods: Population-based cases of liver cancer registered between 1985 and 2009 were retrieved from the KKCR data base and cases with diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with the coding C22.0 according to ICD-O were selected. Incidence trends were calculated using the Jointpoint analysis. Results: There were 7,859 cases of HCC during the study period. Males were affected two times more frequently than females. The most common age group of cases was 50 and 69 years (60.3%). Most patients were diagnosed based on radiology imaging (40.6%) while the morphology verification was 7%. The age-standardized rates (ASR) were 13.1 to 49.8 per 100,000 among males and 4.8 to 38.4 per 100,000 among females depending on year of diagnosis since 1985. Remarkably, the ASRs were clearly low during first few years of starting the registration. The overall ASRs of HCC were 30.3 per 100,000 in males (95% CI: 25.9 to 34.6) and 13.1 per 100,000 (95% CI: 10.4 to 15.8) in females. During 1990-2009, the trends in incidences have been decreasing significantly with the annual percent change (APC) of 6.2% per year (95% CI: –7.6 to –4.8) in males and by 6.5% per year in females (95% CI: –8.4 to –4.9). Conclusions: The incidence trends have been decreasing in both sexes. The recent decline in incidence may represent a falling risk.     

Incidences,Trends and Long Term Outcomes of Retinoblastoma in Three Cancer Registries,Thailand

Background: Retinoblastoma (RB) is rare, albeit the most common primary intraocular malignancy amongchildren. To elucidate the true incidence, trend and survival, we studied incidences and trends of retinoblastomain a large population with long-term follow-up using data from 3 population-based cancer registries. Objective:To describe the incidence, trends and survival of RB between 1990 and 2009 in Khon Kaen, Songkhla and ChiangMai, Thailand. Materials and Methods: We sourced the data from the cancer registries in Khon Kaen, Songkhlaand Chiang Mai on children with retinoblastoma, diagnosed between 1990 and 2009. Retinoblastoma was definedas per the International Classification of Disease for Oncology version 3 using the code 9510/3. Incidence wasanalyzed using the standard method with the criteria of the International Association of Cancer Registries. TheKaplan-Meier method was applied to calculate cumulative survival. Trends were calculated using the log ranktest. Results: We identified 75 cases of children between 0 and 15 years of age diagnosed with RB (Khon Kaen31, Chiang Mai 20, Songkhla 24). Males and females were equally affected. The most common age group was0-4 years. The morphological verification of the disease was 90.7%. The respective ASR in Khon Kaen, ChiangMai and Songkhla was 4.4, 4.0 and 4.6 per million; for which the overall ASR for all 3 areas was 4.3 per million.The respective trend in incidence was 4, 2.8, 5.8 and 5.4 during 1990-4, 1995-9, 2000-4 and 2005-9. Overall,incidence trended gradually upward by 2% annually. The respective survival rate in Khon Kaen, Chiang Maiand Songkhla was 50, 40 and 75% (differences not significantly different at p=0.14) and the overall survival forall centers was 60%. Conclusions: Over the last two decades, the incidence and overall survival of retinoblastomahas increased. The ASRs and survival in Thailand were less than those in resource-rich countries.     

Joinpoint Analysis Trends in the Incidence of Colorectal Cancer in Khon Kaen,Thailand (1989 – 2012)

Objective: This study focused on recent changes in the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Khon Kaen, Thailand. Methods: Data for CRC over the period 1989 to 2012 from the population-based cancer registry of Khon Kaen province were employed. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASR) were calculated and classified into 4 age-groups for comparison. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to detect changes in trends among each line segment and an overall line was generated, whether increasing or decreasing, with annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC). Results: There were 3,364 CRC cases included in the analysis, 72.2% histological confirmed and 53.5% in men. Trends of ASRs generally demonstrated gradual increase over the period 1989 to 2012. For those aged under 45 or 50 years there was slight overall increase, with a somewhat zigzag pattern. From joinpoint analysis, the trends of all aged groups were found to be increasing among both men and women: aged 45 years and older group AAPC=3.40, 2.30 and 3.90, respectively); aged 50 years and older group AAPC=2.90, 2.20 and 3.40; aged under 45 years AAPC=6.30, 6.00 and 6.90; and aged under 50 years (AAPC=5.70, 3.20 and 5.70. Conclusions: ASRs for CRC have been gradually increasing in the northeast region of Thailand. Future studies should consider the subsite distribution.     

Success of a Cervical Cancer Screening Program: Trends in Incidence in Songkhla,Southern Thailand, 1989-2010, and Prediction of Future Incidences to 2030

Background: Cervical cancer has been a leading female cancer in Thailand for decades, and has been secondto breast cancer after 2007. The Ministry of Public Health (MoPH) has provided opportunistic screening withPap smears for more than 30 years. In 2002, the MoPH and the National Health Security Office providedcountrywide systematic screening of cervical cancer to all Thai women aged 35-60 years under universal healthcare coverage insurance scheme at 5-year intervals. Objectives: This study characterized the cervical cancerincidence trends in Songkhla in southern Thailand using joinpoint and age period cohort (APC) analysis toobserve the effect of cervical cancer screening activities in the past decades, and to project cervical cancer ratesin the province, to 2030. Materials and Methods: Invasive and in situ cervical cancer cases were extracted fromthe Songkhla Cancer Registry from 1990 through 2010. Age standardized incidence rates were estimated. Trendsin incidences were evaluated by joinpoint and APC regression models. The Norpred package was modified for Rand was used to project the future trends to 2030 using the power of 5 function and cut trend method. Results:Cervical cancer incidence in Songkhla peaked around 1998-2000 and then dropped by -4.7% per year. APCanalysis demonstrated that in situ tumors caused an increase in incidence in early ages, younger cohorts, and inlater years of diagnosis. Conclusions: Both joinpoint and APC analysis give the same conclusion in continuationof a declining trend of cervical cancer to 2030 but with different rates and the predicted goal of ASR below 10or even 5 per 100,000 women by 2030 would be achieved. Thus, maintenance and improvement of the screeningprogram should be continued. Other population based cancer registries in Thailand should analyze their datato confirm the success of cervical cancer screening policy of Thailand.     

Trends in Incidence of Childhood Leukemia,Khon Kaen,Thailand, 1985-2002

Background: The Khon Kaen Cancer Registry (KKCR), providing both hospital and population-based ‍registration, was established in 1984 in the Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University. Leukemia is the most ‍common cancer among Thai children in Thailand, including both curable and preventable types, but no assessment ‍of trends has hitherto been performed. Objective: To perform a statistical assessment of the incidence trend of ‍childhood leukemia in Khon Kaen, Thailand, between 1985 and 2002. Methods: Population-based cases of childhood ‍leukemia registered between 1985 and 2002 were retrieved from the KKCR and cases with an ICD-O diagnosis ‍(coding C42) in children under 15 were selected. Incidence trends were calculated using the Generalized Linear ‍Model method (GLM), which generates incidence-rate-based logarithms. Results: Of the 277 cases of leukemia, ‍boys were affected two times more frequently than girls and half of the cases were 0-4 years of age. Most diagnoses ‍were histologically- or cytologically-proven and the most common type (affecting two-thirds, 65.7%) was acute ‍lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). The overall, age-standardized rate (ASR) for leukemia was 31.9 per million (95%CI: ‍28.1 to 35.7); 40.3 per million (95%CI: 34.2 to 46.4) in boys and 27.0 (95%CI: 21.8 to 32.2) in girls. Incidence has ‍been increasing by 2.4% per year in boys (95% CI: -0.5 to 5.3) and 4.1% per year in girls (95% CI: 1.1 to 7.2). ‍Conclusions: This incidence-rate-based logarithm indicates that childhood leukemia has been increasing, suggesting ‍further epidemiological research on causes and possible prevention is needed.     

Survival of Stomach Cancer Cases in Khon Kaen,Thailand 2000-2012

Background: Stomach cancer is an aggressive malignancy that is difficult to detect at an early stage and therefore is characterized by poor survival rates. Over the last two decades, there has been no report of gastric cancer survival in Khon Kaen province, Thailand. The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to provide up-to-date information about the survival of gastric cancer patients in this province. Materials and Methods: Data from Khon Kaen population-based cancer registry, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University were newly obtained on 650 patients who were diagnosed with stomach cancer during the period 1 January, 2000 to 31 December, 2012. These were then followed up until death or the end of the study (31 December 2014). We calculated the observed survival with the actuarial life table method, and relative survival, defined as the ratio of observed survival in the group of the stomach cancer patients to the expected survival in the entire Thai population from the estimated generation life tables for Thailand of five-year birth cohorts from 1900 - 2000. Results: The 5 year observed and 5 year relative survival rates were 17.2 % (95% CI: 13.54-21.14) and 18.2 % (95% CI: 14.3-22.4), respectively. The highest 5 year relative survival rates were demonstrated among patients aged 45-65, with stage I or II lesions, with adenocarcinomas, with a body of stomach location, well differentiated and receiving surgery and/or chemotherapy. Conclusions: The observed and relative survival rates were close to each other. Our findings provide basic information beneficial to development of an effective treatment system and appropriately improved population-based cancer registration.     

Trends in Incidences of Stomach and Colorectal Cancer in Khon Kaen,Thailand 1985-2004

Background: The life styles of Thai people are changing with westernization and this would be expected to havean impact on the prevalence of cancer and other non-communicable diseases. For planning control programmes it isnecessary to monitor change over time and the present study was conducted to provide information on stomach andcolorectal cancer incidence rates in Khon Kaen Cancer Registry (KKCR), established in 1984 at the Faculty ofMedicine, Srinagarind Hospital, Khon Kaen University. Objective: To assess trends in urban and rural areas ofKhon Kaen province during 1985 - 2004. Methods: Data for stomach and colorectal cancer with an ICD-O diagnosis(coding C16 , C18 – C20) from the population-based cases of the KKCR, registered between 1985 and 2004, wereretrieved and incidence trends were calculated using the Generalized Linear Model method (GLM), which generatesincidence-rate-based logarithms. Results: The study population comprised 2,530 cases, 721 of stomach (males 449,females 272) and 1809 of colorectal (males 976, females 833) cancer. Most cases were aged 35-75 years. Accordingto the histopathological diagnosis, the most common was adenocarcinoma with over 90 percent. The overall agestandardizedincidence rates (ASR) for stomach cancer were 4.5 and 1.4 per 100 000 in males and females, respectively,during 1985-1989, 3.7 and 2.0 during 1990-1994, 3.0 and 2.2 during 1995-1999 and 3.6 and 1.8 during 2000-2004 .The respective figures for colorectal cancer were 3.3 and 2.6, 4.6 and 3.1, 5.4 and 3.5 and finally 5.8 and 5.3. In bothurban and rural areas males were affected more frequently than females, although a shift was evident towardsdecrease in the se ratio was evident for colorectal cancers over time. Discussion: The results of this study showedslight increase in the incidence of colorectal cancer in Khon Kaen province, while rates for stomach cancer remainedquite stable. The findings indicate a need for continuing research in stomach and colorectal cancer epidemiology,with subdivision into particular sites within these two sections of the gut.     

Reproductive Risk Factors for Thyroid Cancer: A Prospective Cohort Study in Khon Kaen,Thailand

Background: Because of the gender disparity in the incidence of thyroid cancer, this study aimed to determinethe association between reproductive factors and thyroid cancer. Methods: A total of 10,767 eligible women fromthe Khon Kaen Cohort, recruited and interviewed between 1990 and 2001, were followed up until 2011. Thedata were linked to the Khon Kaen Population-Based Cancer Registry to detect thyroid cancer cases. Results:There was 17 thyroid cancer cases detected, an incidence of 11.2 per 100,000 person-years, of which 70.6 % werepapillary tumors. The incidence was apparently greater among those with an early age of menarche, nulligravidawomen, and oral contraceptive users. Conlusions: There was a trend for thyroid cancer to develop in relationto longer estrogen exposure. This evidence is inconclusive but warrants further investigation.     

Trends in Incidence of Childhood Lymphoma in Khon Kaen,Thailand, 1985-2008

Background: Lymphoma is the second most common of childhood cancer in Thailand, but data on trendsover time are limited. Objective: To perform a statistic assessment of the incidence trend of childhood lymphomain Khon Kaen, Thailand, between 1985 and 2008. Method: All children aged < 15 years newly diagnosed withlymphoma according to International Childhood Cancer Classification (ICCC) during January 1, 1985- December31, 2008 were collected from data base of Khon Kaen Provincial Registry. Aged-adjusted incidence rates (ASRs)were calculated by standard method and trends were calculated using the generalized linear model method, which utilizes incidence-rate-base logarithms. Results: During 1985-2008 there were 72 children (47boys and 25 girls) who were diagnosed with lymphoma in Khon Kaen province. The peak age-group of diseasewas in the 5-9 year olds for both sexes. All cases were pathologically proven. Non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL)was more common than Hodgkin disease (ratio 7:1). The overall ASR was 6.04 per million (95%CI: 4.64 to 7.45)and the ASR was 7.64 per million (95%CI: 5.44 to 9.84) in boys and 4.37 per million (95%CI: 2.64 to 6.10) ingirls. Significant increases were observed for boys, since the 2006 to 2008 ASR was 15.3 per million (95%CI:5.73 to 25.0). Trend analyses during 1985 - 2008 showed that incidence among boys for lymphoma increasedby 1.38 percent per year (95%CI:- 4.6-8.3) while the incidence among girl decreased by 2.6 percent per year(95%CI:- 12-6.8). Conclusions: Our data showed that the incidence of childhood lymphoma in Khon Kaenprovince was similar to the one of Thailand but lower than those of western countries. During the past 24 years,the incidence trend seems to be increasing in boys but decreasing in girls. Interpretation is difficult without abetter understanding of what underlies the reported changes.     

Coffee Consumption and Lung Cancer Risk: A Prospective Cohort Study in Khon Kaen Thailand

Background:  Lung cancer is a major cause of cancer death worldwide. The incidence of lung cancer in Thailand increasing, but risk factors are rarely reported. Objective: To investigate the effect of coffee consumption on lung cancer in Thai population. Methods: Between 1990 and 2001, lifestyle and demographic data were collected from 24,528 participants in the Khon Kaen Cohort Study (KKCS), who were followed through 2016, by linking to the Khon Kaen Population-based Cancer Registry. A total of 12,668 eligible participants (68.8% females, mean age 51.0 years at baseline) having complete datasets (239,488 person-years of follow up with 138 incident cases of lung cancer observed) were analyzed using a multi-variable adjusted Cox proportional hazard models. Results: Coffee consumption was associated with reduced risk for lung cancer (adj. HR = 0.54; 95% CI: 0.35-0.84) after adjusting for age and gender.  Cigarette smoking (adj. HR = 2.76; 95% CI: 1.32-5.78) and family history of cancer (adj. HR = 1.65; 95% CI: 1.10-2.48) were associated with higher risk. Conclusion: This study suggests coffee consumption may be a protective factor for lung cancer in among this cohort.     

Subtype Specific Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Incidence and Survival Trends: Differences between Endemic and Non-Endemic Populations

Background: While nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is rare in non-endemic regions such as the North America, endemic countries, such as Thailand, continue to struggle with high incidence and mortality rates. NPC has a complex etiology that varies by histological subtype. Methods: NPC cases (1990-2014) were identified using the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology (ICD-O) code C11 from the Chiang Mai, Khon Kaen, Lampang, and Songkhla cancer registries and compared to Asian/Pacific Islanders (A/PI) from the US SEER program. Age-standardized incidence rates and changes in annual percent change (APC) for overall and subtype specific NPC were assessed using R and Joinpoint. Kaplan Meier curves were generated in SAS to evaluate differences in survival by sex, year of diagnosis and histological subtype. Five-year relative survival estimates were calculated between 2000-2014. Results: Non-keratinizing NPC predominated across all registries except Songkhla, where the keretinizing subtype made up ~60% of all reported cases. Incidence of keratinizing NPC significantly decreased among Chiang Mai males between 1996 and 2014 (APC:-13.0 [95%CI:-16.2, -9.6]), Songkhla females (APC:-4.0 [95%CI: -7.4, -0.5]) and males between 2006 and 2014 (APC:-15.5 [95%CI:-25.0, -4.7]), as well as A/PI females (APC:-5.1 [95%CI:-6,7, -3.4]) and males (APC: -4.8 [95%CI:-5.9, -3.7]). Non-keratinizing NPC increased among Songkhla males (APC:4.3 [95%CI:1.8, 6.9]). The keratinizing subtype exhibited the worst survival, while the non-keratinizing undifferentiated subtype had the best survival. Although US A/PI had the highest 5-year relative survival estimates, among the Thai registries Chiang Mai had the best and Lampang the worst survival. Conclusion: Although US A/PIs exhibited similar rates of NPC as seen in the endemic Thai population, improved tobacco control has led to a decrease in keratinizing NPC incidence irrespective of geography. Additionally, while challenges associate with access to care may still exist among rural Thais, chemoradiation was shown to confer a survival benefit in non-keratinizing NPC treatment.     

Data Quality of Childhood Cancer in Khon Kaen,Thailand, 1990-2007

Introduction: Khon Kaen Cancer Registry (KKCR) was established in 1984. KKCR aims to collect allcancer cases in Khon Kaen Province. The poorly qualified data may lead to distort the cancer burden andmisinterpretation of policy maker. Objective: To assess data quality in childhood cancer between 1990 and 2007in Khon Kaen Province, Thailand. Materials and Methods: Data of childhood cancer cases aged less than 20 yearsdiagnosed during 1990-2007 were retrieved from the population-based data set of KKCR. All childhood cancerdata were verified before data entry. Internal consistency, percentage of morphological verification (MV%) andcancer cased of the basis of diagnosis by death certificate only (DCO%) were evaluated. The age-adjusted rate(ASR) was calculated by standard method. Results: The data of childhood cancer from KKCR is acceptablyqualified which reflects the quality of the whole registration.     

Lifestyle-related risk factors for stomach cancer in northeast Thailand.

Background: Stomach cancer is not common in Thailand but the life styles of the Thai population are changingto become more Western so that information for planning control programme of stomach cancer is necessary.The highest incidence rates of this neoplasm are found in Eastern Asia, ranging from age-standardized rates of95.5/105 (men) and 40.1/105 (women) in Yamagata, Japan to 4.1/105 (men) and 2.1/105 (women) in Khon Kaen,Northeast of Thailand. In Thailand, the estimated age-standardized incidence rates in 1993, 1996 were 4.9/105,4.1/105 in men and 3.0/105 , 2.6/105 in women. Risk factors for stomach cancer in Thai population are unclear,but possibly include low intake of vegetables and fruits, alcohol drinking, tobacco smoking and high intake ofsalt. Objective: To investigate various aspects of dietary factors, smoking, and alcohol drinking in determiningrisk of stomach cancer in Thai population. Methods: A case-control study was conducted in Khon Kaen, Thailandduring 2002-2006, to study the role of these factors in stomach cancer. 101 stomach cancer cases and 202 matchedcontrols (case : control = 1:2) by sex, age (± 3 years) and region were recruited from Srinagarind Hospital andKhon Kaen Regional Hospital, in Khon Kaen Province. All of cases were histologically confirmed. Controls hada variety of diseases, the main ones being disease of the eye. Information on dietary habits, alcohol drinking andsmoking were collected by a structured questionnaire, blood samples were collected for further study. Results:The distribution of the general characteristics by case-control status, the distribution of age and sex were similarin cases and controls. In the final analysis, the factors that found to be higher risk but not statistically significantwere long-term filter cigarette smoking (OR=1.9, 95%CI: 0.85-4.50), long-term alcohol consumption (OR=1.2,95%CI: 0.51-2.60) and low intake of vegetables and fruits (OR=1.2, 95%CI: 0.74-1.96). A high intake of vegetableoil (OR=4.5, 95%CI: 1.00.-20.17) was found to be associated with increased risk, and similar tendencies werenoted for pork oil (OR=1.4, 95%CI: 0.63-3.01) and jeaw prik (mainly chilly with plara broth) (OR=1.2, 95%CI:0 .76- 2.01). Conclusion: Our study confirmed protective effects of a high intake of fruits and vegetables againststomach cancer development and showed a high intake of sauces to increase risk of stomach cancer as in othercountries in Asia.     

Trends in Liver Cancer Incidence between 1985 and 2009, Khon Kaen,Thailand: Cholangiocarcinoma

Background: The Khon Kaen Cancer Registry (KKCR), having both hospital and population-based registration, was established in 1984 at the Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University. Liver cancer is the most frequent malignancy among Thais from northeastern Thailand, but there has hitherto been no assessment of trends over time. Objective: To perform a statistical assessment of the incidence trends between 1985 and 2009 of liver cancer, specifically focusing on cholangiocarcinoma (CHCA). Methods: Cases of CHCA, registered between 1985 and 2009, were retrieved from the KKCR and all those with a specific ICD-O-3rd diagnosis with a coding of C22.1, C24.0, C24.8 and C24.9 were selected. Incidence trends were calculated using the generalized linear model method (GLM), which generates incidence rate based logarithms. Jointpoint analysis was used to identify the best fitting model. Results: Of the 18,589 cases of liver cancer 42% (7,859) were hepatocellular carcinoma and 58% (10,731) were CHCA. Among persons with CHCA, males were affected two times more frequently than females. Three-quarters of the cases were between 55 and 69 years of age. Morphology verified through a cytological or histological examination of tissue from the primary site (%MV) was only 10.8 % (1,141). The respective overall Age Standardized Rate (ASR) for CHCA from 1985 to 2009 was 16.8 to 62.0 per 100,000 among males and 4.8 to 25.6 per 100,000 among females. The respective, overall, ASR of CHCA among males vs. females was 44.3 per 100,000 (95% CI: 38.9 to 49.7) vs. 17.6 (95% CI: 14.5 to 20.7). Among males vs. females, the respective incidence from 1990 to 2009 has been significantly decreasing by –0.7% per year (annual percent change, APC: –0.7%, 95%CI: –2.1% to +0.8%) vs. –0.4% per year (APC: –0.4%, 95% CI: –2.1% to +1.4%).Conclusions: The rate increase in the first 5 to 6 years may be due to improved completeness of the registry, since in the subsequent 10 to 12 years there is a rather stable rate. It may be, however, that the recent decline in incidence represents a real fall in risk.     

Lack of Significant Effects of Chlamydia trachomatis Infection on Cervical Cancer Risk in a Nested Case-Control Study in North-East Thailand

Cervical cancer continues to be an important public health problem in Thailand. While the high risk humanpapillomavirus (HPV) types have been established as the principle causative agent of both malignancies andthe precursor lesions, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN), other factors may also be involved like othersexually transmitted diseases, as well as smoking. Chlamydia trachomatis is an obligate intracellular Gramnegativebacterium which has a tendency to cause chronic infection featuring inflammation and therefore mightbe expected to increase the risk of cervical cancer. In the present nested case-control study, 61 cases of cervicalcancer and 288 matched controls with original serum samples were identified from the Khon Kaen Cohort,established in the North-East of Thailand, by linkage to the Khon Kaen population based cancer registry. C.trachomatis specific IgG antibodies at recruitment were measured by microimmunofluorescence and assessed forassociation with cervical cancer using STATA release10. No significant link was noted either with all cancers orafter removal of adenocarcinomas. The results suggest no association between Chlamydia infection and cervicalcancer development in North-East Thailand, but possible influencing factors must be considered in any futureresearch on this topic.     

The Trend and Prediction of Cervical Cancer Incidence in Delhi,India: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis

Objective: The objective of the study is to assess the trend of age-standardised incidence rate (ASIRs) of cervical cancer, standardised median age at diagnosis, and projection of cervical cancer incidence rate and the number of new cases up to 2030. The projections help in making strategies for resource allocation to circumvent the future burden. Methods: The data were extracted from the Delhi population-based cancer registry from 1990 to 2014. Joinpoint regression analysis was applied to ASIRs to assess the trend. The natural cubic splines age-period-cohort (APC) model was fitted to project the incidence rate and incidence cases. The trend of standardised median age at diagnosis and percentage of cervical cancer to total women cancer was also assessed using regression analysis. Projections of new cases are decomposed into three components aging, the structure of the population, and age-specific incidence rate. Results: The age-standardised incidence rate of cervical cancer decreased with an annual decline at a rate of 2.98% (95% CI -3.48 to -2.47) from 1990 to 2014. The standardised median age at diagnosis showed an upward trend with an average annual increase of 0.167 per year and the median age increased by 4.18 years during 25-years period, this change was due to the shifting of the peak from 40-44 in 1990 to 60-64 in 2014. The APC model revealed ASIRs would decline by 43.8% in 2030 compared to average ASIRs 2010-2014, albeit a net 12% increase in the incidence cases. An increase in incidence cases is primarily attributed to the aging of the population and population  growth by 38.87% and 33.84% respectively.  The trend analysis of  cervical cancer ASIRs in pre (< 50 years) and post menopause (≥ 50 years) showed a decreasing trend. However, the ratio of cervical to total women increased over time from 1:1 in 1990 to 2:3 in 2014. Conclusion: The declining trend in ASIRs was observed in Delhi and will continue to decrease up to 2030.  The burden of the number of new cases of cervical cancer showed an upward trend primarily due to the aging of the population and shifting of population structure. To counter this big challenge a cost-effective vaccination for vulnerable populations, community-based screening programs, and awareness about cervical cancer prevention might help in eliminating this preventable cancer.     

Gastric Cancer: the Roles of Diet,Alcohol Drinking,Smoking and Helicobacter pylori in Northeastern Thailand

The incidence of gastric cancer in the countries of South East Asia is variable, ranging from age-standardized ‍rates of 20.9/105 (men) and 10.4/105 (women) in Hanoi, Vietnam to 4.1/105 (men) and 2.1/105 (women) in Khon Kaen, ‍Thailand. The reasons for these differences are unknown. Possible explanations are differences in dietary habits, ‍alcohol drinking, smoking and/or the prevalence of infection with Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori). A case-control ‍study was conducted in Khon Kaen, Thailand, to study the role of these factors in gastric cancer carcinogenesis. 131 ‍gastric cancer cases and 262 matched controls were recruited for the study. Information on dietary habits, alcohol ‍drinking and smoking were collected by a structured questionnaire. Blood samples were available from 111 cases ‍and 232 controls for H. pylori assay. Using an unconditional logistic regression model controlling for age and sex, we ‍assessed the effects of dietary habits, alcohol drinking, smoking and H. pylori infection on the risk of gastric cancer. ‍A high intake of salt (OR=1.8; 95%CI 1.1-3.0) and fermented foods (OR=1.9; 95%CI 1.1-3.3) was found to be ‍associated with an increased risk. Preference for spicy food was not associated with gastric cancer risk in this ‍population. Although there were negative associations between gastric cancer and vegetable and fruit intake, they ‍were rather weak (OR 0.8 for both) and non significant. There were also weak (non-significant) associations with ‍smoking and alcohol consumption, and no association with H. pylori infection (OR=0.6; 95%CI 0.4-1.0). Infection of ‍H. pylori was associated with various indicators of crowding. ‍     

Epidemiology of oral and pharyngeal cancers in Khon Kaen, Thailand: a high incidence in females

Background: This study was aimed to describe incidence, trends, and survival of oral and pharyngeal cancers in Khon Kaen, the province situated in the northeast of Thai-land. Methods: Data on oral and pharyngeal cancer cases diagnosed during 1985 - 2001 were retrieved from the population-based cancer registry of Khon Kaen. The final status of the patients was verified by database linkage and follow-up using postcards. Results: Of 1,038 cases, 62.6% were female and 37.4% were male, with a mean age of 63 years. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) in females (6.2 per 100 000; 95%CI 5.7-6.7) was significantly higher than in males (3.9 per 100 000; 95%CI 3.5-4.4). Annual percent changes in ASR were 1.7 in females (p<0.05), but 1.2 in males. Lip and buccal cancers were the most common sites respectively; however, the incidence of tongue cancer was increasing in the last period. Eighty five percent of all cases were diagnosed in advanced stage (stage III and IV). The overall five-year relative survival was 43.1%. We found stage distribution and survival did not change during the study period. Conclusion: The considerably high incidence in female suggests a need for research on specific risk factors. Moreover, attempts should be made to detect oral cancers earlier in order to improve the outcomes of cancer control.     

Numbers of New Cases and Trends of Cancer 1993-2012: Srinagarind Hospital Based Population,Khon Kaen,North-East Thailand

Background: Cancer is the most common cause of death in Thailand, where treatment outcomes andprognosis are poor and mortality rates remain high. This study reports new cancer cases and trends of allcancers registered in Srinagarind Hospital from 1993 to 2012 and also provides a picture of the cancer situationin Northeast Thailand. Materials and Methods: All new cases of cancer registered in the hospital-based cancerregistry at Faculty of Medicine, Srinagarind Hospital, Khon Kaen University during 1993-2012 were included inthe study. Results and Conclusions: The number of new cancer cases has gradually increased each year duringthe last 20 years. The three most common cancers at present in males are liver and bile duct cancer, lung cancerand colorectal cancer, respectively. In females, liver and bile duct, breast and thyroid cancers are now the mostfrequent. Interestingly, the number of cases of both liver and bile duct cancer and colorectal cancer in malesnoticeably increased during the second decade of the study. Additionally, breast cancer greatly increased in thesame decade and lung cancer in females climbed into the top five most common cancers. Thyroid cancer hasalso risen steadily in the last decade. Trends of common cancers are similar to those throughout Thailand.